1 Principles of Analytical Estimating To analyse something is to break it down into its constituent parts and study each part in detail. Therefore analytical estimating involves the analysis and costing of construction resources to produce an estimate. The production of an estimate normally involves the calculation of unit rates i.e. the cost of a square metre of brickwork, a cubic metre of concrete or a metre of skirting (as found in a Bill of Quantities). DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 2 Analytical estimating is therefore the most accurate form of estimating as each resource and unit rate is analysed and costed individually. This form of estimating is used for pricing contracts with bills of quantities, specifications and drawings or where the contractor has measured and prepared their own quantities of work. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 3 Tukang Skilled workers; craftmen; highly paid per hour Kepala (Mandur) Leader in the subcontracted work General labour Angkatap buruh Rate of doing certain type of work (e.g. hour per meter 3
requires determining the number of labor hours to do a specific task and then applying a wage rate. 1 labor hour = 1 labor working 1 hour requires knowing the quantity of work to be placed and the productivity rate for the specific crew. The productivity rate is often expressed as a number of labor hours per unit of work. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 4 The productivity rates can come from a number of sources, but the most reliable source is historical data. The advantage of historical data is that it reflects how a particular companys personnel perform the tasks.
Productivity rate = Labor hours Quantity of work Example of good historical data:
Type of work 8'' 8'' 16'' Concrete Masonry Units (CMUs) Quantity of work1,700 square feet Labor costRM6,987 Labor hours170 labor hours Productivity rate = 170 labor hours 1,700 ft 2
= 0.1 labor hours per sf
DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 5 How to apply?
Labor hours = Quantity takeoff x Productivity rate
The productivity rate derived from historical data is for the average or standard conditions On many occasions, the project that is being bid deviates from these standard conditions.
Adjusted labor hours = Labor hours x Productivity factor Variables for Productivity Factor Availability and Productivity of Workers Number & skill factors Climatic Conditions Cold, hot, winds, rain, snow, etc. Working Conditions working space, storage space, high-rise etc. Efficiency averaged 30 to 50 minutes per hour DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 6 Once the average crew wage rate has been found, it can be multiplied by the number of labor hours to determine the labor costs
Labor cost = Adjusted labor hours x Weighted average burdened wage rate In addition to the actual cost of the material the estimator must also consider: Transportation costs Unloading and Stacking costs Materials movement on site Extra Materials to compensate for: Wastage; Allowance in BQ; Loss in consolidation, shrinkage etc. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 7 The equipment must pay for itself. If the cost can be charged off to one project or other proposed uses of the equipment, it will pay for itself and should be purchased. For example, if a piece of equipment costing $15,000 but will save $20,000 on a project, it should be purchased For idling plants (a few weeks): 1. What will be done with it? 2. Will it be returned to the storage/garage? 3. Is there room to store it on the project? 4. If rented, will it be returned so that the rental charge will be saved? DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 8 Non-Mechanical Plant Basic items of plant including wheel-barrows, hosepipes, spades, trestles, scaffolding, small powered hand tools etc With the exception of scaffolding and one or two other items it is virtually impossible to allocate the cost of non-mechanical plant items to a contract, let alone to a specific unit rate (e.g. mostly may be used on several contracts in its lifetime). Non-Mechanical Plant The cost may be included in overhead charges as a percentage, as a lump sum in the preliminaries bill or, more accurately, on longer contracts a list of non-mechanical plant items is prepared, costed and included in the contract sum. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 9 Non-Mechanical Plant Peranca (scaffolding) Kain terpal (trapauline) Kotak pengukur (gauge boxes) Tangga (ladders) Kereta sorong (wheel barrows) Perkakas (tools) Pelentur besi (bending machine) Mechanical Plant Equipment that is required throughout the project is included under equipment expenses, because it cannot be charged to any particular item of work. (e.g. material-handling JCB and forklifts.) Mechanical plant such as excavators, lorries, dumpers, mixers, etc. can be very expensive. Contractors may buy, hire or lease. The purchase of plant must be viewed as an investment on which a return is required. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 10 Mechanical Plants Lorry Excavator Bulldozer Concrete mixer Vibrators Compressors Rollers Possible costs cost of hiring or depreciation maintenance & repair fuel operator & labor costs
DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 11 The amount of money added to the total estimated cost of the project. Determined by a number of factors largely outside the remit of an estimator. However, in larger companies the senior or managing estimator may be a member of the management team. In smaller companies, the estimator may be a director. In both cases they may make commercial decisions regarding profit margins. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 12 Factors affecting profit levels are: Market forces of supply and demand Amount of competition Who the competitors are Size / Value of contract Risk involved in contract Interest rates. A few typical approaches are listed as follows: 1. Add a percentage of profit to each item as it is estimated, allowing varying amounts for the different items; for example, 8 to 15% for concrete work, but only 3 to 5% for work subcontracted out. DR SHAIFUL AMRI FKA UTM SKUDAI 13 A few typical approaches are listed as follows: 2. Add a percentage of profit to the total price tabulated for materials, labor, overhead, and equipment. The percentage would vary from small jobs to larger jobs (perhaps 20 to 25% on a small job and 5 to 10% on a larger one), taking into account the accuracy of the takeoff and pricing procedures used in the estimate.
Look at the profit then discuss the risks. It is far better to bid high enough to cover the risks than to neglect the risks, bid low, and lose money. Sometimes a tendency to need or want a job so badly that risks are completely ignored. If a project entails substantial risk and profit is questionable, do not bid. Remember, construction is a business..