This assessment examines the threat from terrorists and
Canadian National Capital Region (NCR). Since the last update 2011 09 22, Key Points 0O be identified as a legitimate target Islamist terrorist organizations. The presence of high-profile federal institutions, foreign embassies, tourists and other symbolic Iocatio rnak the NCR a rich environment for possible of differently-motivated ists. 4 from all points on the political and ideological ITAC/CIET 13160-E CONFIDENTIAL 3. Targets Attractiveness: The presence of numerous embassies, military facilities, tourist attractions, and environment for possible plots by a variety of NCR have been characterized mostly as politically-motivated vh or embassies (see Appendix). More recently, the NCR has been menti by Islamist terrorists, for example, the so-called Toronto 18. 4. Canadas heightened strategic profile amongst international terrorist organizations: Overall Threat Assessment fojn a fich in the /D) 1? On 2013 06 25, Anjem Chou yj. jased radical Islamist preacher and AQ sympathizer, made statements in an ii that identified Canada as a top-tier terrorist target alongside the s support of Israel and the war on terror Canada was identified and AS member who In 2002, Canada was specifically I and Australia in an audio-tape recorded of an American citizen Italy an Al-Jazeera. ITAC I CIET CONFIDENTIAL 13160-E The Effectiveness of Lone Actors and Small-Scale Attacks 6. The majority of these attacks both out either by lone actors or small numbers of i weapons or rudimentary improvised explosive c.,. Active Shooter: Active shooter situations are unpredictable and evolve quickly. These attacks typically take place in highly populated, confined spaces and are carried out by individuals indifferent to their own survival. Such terrorist attacks have been successfully staged in Europe and the USA. Bladed-Weapon A] such as those that occurred in May 2013 require lii with little or no ware Improvised Explosive Devices: The 2013 O4l5 Boston Marathon bombings and the 7/22 Anders Breivik attacks in Norway (ITAC TA 12/49) demonstrate that self-directed individuals with limited formal training, are capable of researching and carrying out successful terrorist attacks using home-made jrnprovised explosive devices (TED). iJ tr 01 rQ( k1r cs - il al have been camed I,have?c&si1Vaps, bladed tsoft /4( S 7. attacks, using available weapons and minimal preparation with the actual capabilities of most extremists. + - - CONFIDENTIAL ITAC I CIET 13I60-E The Transformation of the Threat from AQ Core and its Affiliates 11. Canadian citizens have civilians overseas; Canadians are travelling to Northern Africa to train or fight on behalf of Islamist attacks against istan, Syria, Somalia and organizations. to the National Capital Region Violence against Foreign Dignitaries: There is a lengthy ly motivated violence being directed against embassies and nature of these incidents ranges from fatal attacks on 1 1 04 05 arrest of seven men for forcing their way Iting a diplomat. 13. The Threat from .2012, the Government of Canada suspended diplomatic relations with the iran, and listed Iran as a supporter of terrorism under the State Immunily Act. In response, Tebran threatened Canada with swift retaliation. Other into / CONFIDENTIAL ITAC!CIET 13/60-E in December 2012 the Government of Canada listed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (1RGC)-Qods as a terrorist entity, reinforcing the Government of Irans view that Canada is hostile towards Iran Tehrans anti-Canada rhetonc continus and is well-documented, Ramin Mehmanparast, the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman w ued stating Canadas radical government has put into practice a project to harass Iran and it s clear tIat i has pursued these hostile actions in response to accusations that a man pteste in Canada under tefloism charges may have been sponsored by AQ in Iran V/ 14. Possibility of Attacks against Military Personnel or Facilities: Canadian military facilities were among the targets discussed by the Toronto 18 plotters in recent successful attack on a cananali forces facility in Canada highlights the threat from non-Islami St single-issue extremism. On 2010 07 02, a Quebec-based group, Resistance Internationaliste, bombed a recruiting office in Trois-Rivieres, Quebec saying it was protesting the militaristic ideals and policies of the Canadian government,()..) ains an ongoing security concern in Canada with use of violent tactics to support issue-based anti-capitalism, ethno-nationalism and of domestic extremism have been small- attack on an Royal Bank of Canada branch in lines in Northern British Columbia between scale attacks, Ottawa and the October 2008 and July 2009. CONFIDENTIAL ITAC I CIET 13!60E Appendix: Chronology of Politically Motivated Attacks and Plots in the NCR 2011, Libyan Embassy: Seven young men were Embassy in Ottawa and assaulting a diplomat. 2010, Royal Bank of Canada: An RBC brh, firebomb attack by domestic extremists advocating 2010, Project Samossa: Three men were arrested in attacks in Ottawa and other Canadian cities. 0 2006, Toronto 18 Police arrested eighteen individuals for plotting S across southern Ontario. One of the locations considered for an attack was Parliament Hill. 1992, Iranian Embassy: Some 40 individuals armed with crowbars, sledgehammers and a ladder attacked the Iranian Embassy in Ottawa. Most of the individuals were members of the Mujahedin e-Khalq (MEK), a terrorist organization opposed to the Iranian regime. The MEK was listed by Canada as a terrorist organization from 05 2005 to 12 2012. The attackers vandalized the premises beforebingarreted. 1992, Sudanese Dignitary Assaulted-pr Haan bdallah Al-Turabi was assaulted at Ottawa International Airport by refug& arts expert. Al-Turabi, Chairman of the National Islamic FronYii the 1Stcjn, su1ied, s 5,iAieai-injunes and was hospitalized for several weeks. / 1989, Bus Hijacked on Parliament of Lebaxese origin highjacked a Greyhound bus from Montreal to Ottawa clt)n ol1,gvances He kept police at bay on Parliament Hill for 5 hours before the incident ed p 4f1z 1985, Turkish Embassy: Armenian terrorists stormed the Turkish Embassy, killing one Canadian guard. The Turkish Ambassador was left seriously wounded when he tried to escape from an upstairs window. 1982, Turkish Diplomat Assassinated: Turkish Diplomat Colonel Atilla Altikat was shot and killed in Ottaahile his car idled at a stoplight on the Western Parkway. 1982, Turkish Ernbassy Annernan gunmen opened fire on Turkish Embassy Commercial Attacle Mr Kani Gungr, as he entered the garage of his apartment complex The victim was left paralysed by th shooting C 1977, Indian fligb$owihassioo: The Indian High Commission in Ottawa was lightly damaged by a Molotov cockiaii,. attack attributed to the Ananda Marga Yoga Society seeking the release of one of its leaders in India 1972, Israeli Diplomats Six letter bombs seflt to Isradi officials in Ottawa were intercepted and dismantled. - access to the Libyan of a q - IEDsfor ITAC I CIET 13/60-E CONFIDENTIAL ,O,.. ? 1. ifl HANDLING lNS1pCrIoNS 1 L/- : ..- This document is the property of the Integrated Tezron AsseszmentCaitre (ITACY Pepedjy TAC it is derived from various souxtcs th information effective a of th d.ofij,jation. It fjie4 tQ your agency/department in confidence and may be further dissnina by. you? /,aitment.those with appropriate security clearances and appropriate security systems to retain the I rxnabofl. i1it,qt be reclassified or reused in any in whole or in part, without the consent of the oniriaxot. Any fee ould be directed viaemailtolTACat /. It ., . This document constitutes a record which may be subject to mandatojy exemption under the Access to Act or the Privacy Act. The information or intelligence may also be protected by the provisions of the Crntda Evidence Act. The information or intelligence must not be disclosed or used as evidence without prior consultation with ITAC.