Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EXECUTIVE SUMARRY:................................................................................................3
INTRODUCTION TO COMMODITY MARKETS:...............................................................4
Definition of a commodity:......................................................................................4
COMMODITY EXCHANGE:............................................................................................4
Definition of commodity futures:.............................................................................4
Need for future markets:.........................................................................................4
Objectives of commodity futures:...........................................................................5
Benefits of future markets:......................................................................................5
EVOLUTION OF COMMODITY MARKETS:......................................................................7
HISTORY OF COMMODITY MARKET IN PAKISTAN:.......................................................9
INTRODUCTION TO NCEL:...........................................................................................9
VISION AND MISSION:.................................................................................................9
OBJECTIVES:.............................................................................................................10
THE PRODUCTS OF NCEL:.........................................................................................11
RICE:......................................................................................................................11
PALM OIL:..............................................................................................................11
GOLD:....................................................................................................................11
SILVER:..................................................................................................................11
CRUDE OIL:............................................................................................................11
INTEREST RATES:..................................................................................................11
INTERNATIONAL COMMODITYEXCHANGES:..............................................................12
The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX):.......................................................12
London Metal Exchange:.......................................................................................12
CBOT:....................................................................................................................12
Tokyo Commodity Exchange: (TOCOM):................................................................12
Chicago Mercantile Exchange:..............................................................................13
THE FUNCTIONING OF COMMODITY MARKETS:.........................................................14
Steps of Commodity Trading System:...................................................................15
HOW TO INVEST IN A NCEL:......................................................................................16
RULES AND REGULATIONS:......................................................................................16
Broker:..................................................................................................................16
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System Audit:........................................................................................................20
CURRENT SCENARIO OF NCEL:.................................................................................31
Technical set up:...................................................................................................31
Benefits to the Economy:......................................................................................31
CONCLUSION:...........................................................................................................33
RECOMMENDATIONS:...............................................................................................33
RECOMMENDATIONS:
EXECUTIVE SUMARRY:
Commodities are a center of concentration for last two decades. The population is
increasing and the demand for the commodities ever increasing because of the
increase in the demand. The emergence of open market system has exposed the
commodities to the price fluctuations. The emerging economies like the central Asian
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and south Asian countries are consuming the commodities and hence the commodity
market is much larger than the stock markets all over the world. Another reason for the
growth of the commodity futures is; less regulations and capital requirements for
investment in derivatives market.
Pakistan is one of the biggest producers of commodities like, rice and cotton. Pakistan
also possesses large markets for the precious metals and gemstones. 130 tons of gold
is traded on average every year in Pakistan. The agricultural and textile sector has been
facing many business risks in the growing economy of Pakistan. The need for the risk
management has been fulfilled by the establishment of NCEL in the country. Lead by
the technical assistance of the KSE the NCEL has attracted investments in many
commodities futures as it has provided a centralized and regulated market for the
commodities to be traded with transparency. The price discovery has helped the
investors to make production and investment decisions and many individuals have
profited from price speculations.
The formal commodity market is new in Pakistan, so there is a need to benchmark the
rules and regulations according to the leading mercantile exchanges like the Chicago
mercantile and Tokyo commodity exchange. More and more commodities like steel and
some non ferrous metals, sugar and sugarcane, wheat and gemstones should also be
introduced on the exchange. Along with the futures the options contracts on the
commodities can also increase the trade volume of the commodities.
3
of the commodity exchanges through out the world. The precious metals like gold and
silver and some other metals like copper an bronze are also traded on the commodity
exchanges. Cereals, pulses, grains, cotton and cotton products, jute and jute products,
vegetable and fruit seeds, oil seeds, sugar, tea, coffee, vegetables and fruits and spices
are also traded on commodity exchanges.
COMMODITY EXCHANGE:
“A commodity exchange is an association or a company or any other body corporate
organizing futures trading in commodities for which license has been granted by
regulating authority.”
• Consumer Preferences:
With the passage of time the consumers’ choices change and their preferences
as well, so the demand for one commodity falls where as the demand of another
commodity rise. This shift in demand curve causes the prices of one commodity
to fall and the prices of the other to rise. But this shift in demand is a slow
process and it gives time to the manufacturers and the sellers of the commodities
to adjust their products according to the demand. Hence, the effect of the
consumer preferences on the price volatility of commodities is lesser in the short
term.
• Changes in supply:
Weather plays an important role in the production and supply of the agricultural
commodities. Whenever there is a bad effect of weather on the crops and the
supply of a commodity decreases, its prices jump up. But futures market has
decreased the disastrous effects of these price fluctuations through hedging.
4
Objectives of commodity futures:
• Its most important objective is to hedge the risk related to the possession of any
physical asset. Any adverse movement in the price of the physical asset
possessed by a seller can cause him heavy losses. But, the futures give an
opportunity to hedge that type of associated risks.
• To help the investors better allocate their resources and reduce the inventor
requirements. The investors get an idea about the future demand and supply and
keep the inventory accordingly.
• To maintain price stability by providing predictability to about the future prices
and demand and supply.
• To reduce the risk of the investors and make it easier for them to arrange
finances. As the future trading leads to predictability of the prices, demand and
supply so the risk decrease and the financial institutions finance the commodity
producers.
Price risk is inherent in the business of spot markets. The farmers, processors,
merchandisers, exporters and importers etc can hedge this risk by taking an
equal but opposite position in the future market.
For the exporters, the purchase made from the physical market can expose them
to the price risk and the risk of the possession of the commodities if the
commodity is perishable. The future markets can help the exporters to hedge the
proposed purchase by temporarily substituting for the actual physical purchase
until the right time arrives.
• Predictable pricing:
To maintain the stability in prices the sellers need to heavily invest in the
inventory reserves and maintain the supply. They do this to avoid the short term
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price fluctuations in the prices. With the help of futures markets they can maintain
the supply just by locking the purchase of a particular commodity on a particular
price on a future date. This cost them just the price for the future contract and not
for the inventory to be held itself. The investors can use the money for other
profitable investment options.
To avoid the price fluctuations the farmers stock the seeds for the future crops.
They also stock the grains for future sales. But this exposes them to the risk of
loss if the reserved commodities perish or a parasite attacks their agricultural
reserves. The futures markets can help them to avoid these losses. The price
predictability of the futures trading also help the farmers to take the production
decisions. They can decide from the prices how much, when and what to
produce.
• Credit accessibility:
The exchange always set some quality standards and allow the grading and
pricing of the commodities according to their quality. Hence it gives an incentive
to the producers to improve the quality of their products and compete for the
higher grade in the exchange.
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In 19th century CHICAGO emerged as the business centre of U.S. it attracted the
farmers from the surroundings to sell their wheat in Chicago to the dealers and the
distributors. Due to the lack of storing facilities, uniform weighing and grading facilities,
the farmers were dependant upon the mercy of the dealers. It lead to the need for a
common place for all the farmers and dealers to gather and trade on the rules
uniformity.
Gradually the farmers and the buyers started making commitments for the future
exchange of the commodities for cash and the future contracts were evolved. The
futures contracts allow the buyer to know the price he will be paying for the commodity
on the future. This type of contracts proved beneficial for both the producers and the
buyers. After signing a contract if the buyer is no more interested in the underlying
commodity he was able to sell his right to someone else who is interested and the
producer will be selling his product. Similarly the producers if not interested to produce
can pass on his responsibility of delivering the product to the dealer in the future. The
prices for the contracts were dependant upon the market prices of the underlying
commodity (wheat at that time), hence the name derivative evolved. Latter on by
making some modifications these contracts transformed in to an instrument to protect
involved parties against adverse factors such as unexpected price movements and
unfavorable climatic factors. This promoted traders entry in futures market, which had
no intentions to buy or sell wheat but would purely speculate on price movements in
market to earn profit.
Trading of wheat in the futures market was proved very profitable and it attracted other
commodities as well to the futures exchanges. This created a platform for establishment
of a body to regulate and supervise these contracts and the Chicago Board Of Trade
was established in 1848. In 1870 and 1880s’ many new commodity exchanges
emerged including New York exchange of coffee and cotton. Initially the agricultural
commodities were traded on the commodity exchanges. After 1872 the dairy products
were introduced on the exchanges. In the early 1900s’ some metals and rubber were
introduced. In 1933, during the Great Depression, the Commodity Exchange, Inc. was
established in New York through the merger of four small exchanges – the National
Metal Exchange, the Rubber Exchange of New York, the National Raw Silk Exchange,
and the New York Hide Exchange.
Largest commodity exchange is CBOT and today there are many big and small
commodity exchanges in more than 30 countries of world including South Asian
countries.
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HISTORY OF COMMODITY MARKET IN PAKISTAN:
In Pakistan the commodity futures market is still not very wide spread. The first
commodity futures exchange; National Commodity Exchange of Pakistan, was
incorporated on April 20, 2002 and it started functioning in the July of the year 2003.
The exchange is the only company to provide a centralized and regulated place for
commodity futures to be traded in Pakistan. It aims to develop a premier Commodity
Exchange not only in Pakistan but also in the region to provide fully automated trading,
settlement and risk management systems complying to the national and the
international standards. Initially the gold was the only trading commodity and the rest of
the commodities; wheat, rice, sugar, cotton yarn, etc were started trading later in
phases. The establishment of the exchange is the continuation of economic policies of
the government to stimulate investment in the country, regulate trading in commodities
and document the national economy.
8
INTRODUCTION TO NCEL:
National Commodity Exchange Limited (NCEL) is the first technology driven,
demutualised, on-line commodity futures exchange in Pakistan. NCEL’s shareholders
are National Bank of Pakistan, Karachi Stock Exchange (the largest shareholder,
holding 40% shares), Lahore Stock Exchange, Islamabad Stock Exchange, Pak Kuwait
Investment Company (Pvt.) Limited and the Zarai Taraqiati Bank Ltd and it is regulated
by Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan.
FROM TO
Price Distortion Observable prices
Wide spreads or one way quote Narrow spreads and two way quotes
Lack of storage State of the art warehousing
Absence of standardization Quality certification & standardization
Counterparty risk Complete risk mitigation
Impediments in financing Ease in financing
Price manipulation Price dissemination
OBJECTIVES:
• The objective of the exchange is to establish, conduct, regulate and control the
trade of futures commodity contracts within and outside the country and to
perform all the associated functions to facilitate setup and carry on the business
of chosen commodities. It will also regulate the imports and exports in the
country.
9
and decide points of practice, disputes, questions of usage, custom and courtesy
in the conduct of trade and business.
• One of the most important objectives of the exchange which would have a
positive impact on exports is that it will communicate with the chambers of
commerce and other mercantile and public bodies in and outside the country for
the protection of the commodity trade.
RICE:
PALM OIL:
10
GOLD:
SILVER:
CRUDE OIL:
INTEREST RATES:
INTERNATIONAL COMMODITYEXCHANGES:
Commodities markets were evolved as a solution to the problem of maintaining the
supply of the seasonal products like agricultural products. The U.S, Japan, Brazil, U.K,
Australia and Singapore are the homes of the major commodity exchanges.
11
Propane, Gold, Silver, Copper, Aluminum, Platinum; Palladium, etc are traded on the
exchange.
CBOT:
It is one of the oldest exchanges on the world map. It was formed in 1848 by the
merchants of Chicago. More than 50 contracts are being offered on the exchange. This
exchange also holds the outcry trading and the primary commodities are agricultural
products like; , Soybean, Oil, Soybean meal, Wheat, Oats, Ethanol, Rough Rice and the
non agricultural products like gold and silver etc.
12
Feeder cattle, frozen pork bellies, Lean Hogs, Live cattle, Non-fat Dry Milk, Urea, Urea
Ammonium Nitrate, etc.
Following diagram gives a fair idea about working of the Commodity market:
In most of the commodity markets including Pakistan the trading system is fully
computerized and traders do not need to visit the commodity exchanges for speculation.
Hey can see the price board on the exchanges websites and make the sales or
purchases online on phone or internet through broker or individually themselves.
14
○ Price limits
○ Position limits
• Clearing:
○ Matching
○ Registration
○ Clearing
○ Clearing limits
○ Notation
○ Margining
○ Price limits
○ Position limits
○ Clearing house
• Settlement:
○ Marking to market
○ Receipts and payments
○ Reporting
○ Delivery upon expiration or maturity.
• NIC
• National driving license
• Passport
15
RULES AND REGULATIONS:
Broker:
The broker is a person of a firm who deals as a liaison between the commodity trader
and the exchange. The Commodity Broker is the member of Commodity Exchange,
having direct connection with the exchange to carry out all trades legally.
16
• He must not have been the director of a company which is accused of a
brokerage offense.
• Has not defaulted in the payments of dues to clearing house of any exchange.
• Has not defaulted in compliance with the provisions of the Ordinance, the Act,
and the rules and regulations made hereunder;
• Has not defaulted in a settlement of an investor’s complaint where the complaint
has been considered by the exchange or any commission.
• He must have always complied with the directives of the commission in respect
of business conduct.
• He must have the minimum net worth as decide by the commission at different
times.
• He must remain in compliance with the above mentioned rules and should report
to the commission if he does not comply any more.
• Every applicant which is a corporate entity shall have at least one director who
will satisfy the requirements set forth under sub-rule (1) above.
Certificate of registration:
• The certificate remains valid for one year after the issuance.
• The commission should report the exchange about the issuance of the certificate.
• No application shall be rejected without giving an opportunity to the applicant to
be heard by the commission.
• The decision shall be communicated to the applicant as well as the concerned
Exchange within fourteen days of the last hearing given to the applicant, stating
therein the grounds for refusal.
• The applicant refused under the above rule can apply for the reconsideration of
the case within 30 days.
Any person whose application for the registration as a broker has been rejected by the
commission shall not deal in the trade of commodities on the exchange.
Renewal of registration:
The registration of the certification after the expiration is renewed by the commission for
the fees decided by the exchange by time to time. The commission re consider the
compliance with the eligibility criteria as mentioned above and renews the certification.
17
A member whose certificate expires should not deal with the trade of the commodities
futures on the exchange before the renewal of the certificate. The member whose
renewal is refused is also not allowed to trade in the exchange.
The commission can suspend the registration of the broker if it finds that the broker has:
The commission may suspend the registration of the broker for a specified period or
charge him a fine not exceeding PKR 100,000 for any non compliance. The broker is a
given a chance to be heard before fining him or before a suspension.
If the commission finds under the above mentioned rules that the broker has been
involved in:
Then the commission can cancel the registration of the broker’s certificate in writing.
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• Is declared defaulter by an Exchange and is not re-admitted to Membership
within a period of six months from such declaration
• Surrenders Membership of an Exchange;
• Is declared insolvent by a Court;
• Voluntarily surrenders certificate of registration to the Commission; or
• Is wound up by an order passed by a Court.
The brokers shall be responsible to keep the record of the transactions as required by
the commission under the act.
Broker should abide by all the rules and should follow all the codes of conduct as
decided by the commission by time to time.
System Audit:
A broker shall go under an annual system audit by an authorized auditing firm approved
by the commission under the timely rules of the commission. The following audit firms
are approved by the commission:
CATEGORY A:
19
Beaumont Road, Karachi 75530
Karachi, 75530.
Email: khi@shznco.com
20
New Garden Town, Lahore.
E.Mail: milyas@brain.net.pk
Shahrah-e-Faisal, Karachi.
Fax: 021-45413
Karachi.
E-mail: racolhr@brain.net.pk
sarfrazm@brain.net.pk
21
1st Floor, Sheikh Sultan Trust Building No. 2,
Beaumont Road,Karachi-75530
Phone #: 021-5650007-11
Fax #: 021-5681965
E. mail: frsh.khi@pk.ey.com
Lahore – 54660
Phone # 042-5875965-68
Fax # 042-5758621
E. mail: alnasr@wol.net.pk
Fax: 042-5759226
E. mail: hhc@horwath.com.pk
CATEGORY B:
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• Hameed Ch. & Co.
Tel: 042-7235084-7
Fax: 042-7235083
Fax: 042-7351851
Tel: 021-5210577-5673529
Fax: 021-5676591
Email: adminstrator@ijaztabussum.com
Website: www.ijaztabussum.com
Gulberg-II, Lahore
23
Tel: 042- 758199, 5873896
Fax: 042-5873896
Tel: 051-270116-279658
Fax: 051-279658
Lahore.
Tel: 042-5712554-5712557
24
Tel: 021-4945427- 4946112, 4931736
Fax: 021-4932629
Tel: 021-5674741-44,
Fax: 021-2639843
Chartered Accountants,
CATEGORY C:
Fax: 042-7560971
Tel: (081)832546-832516
E-mail: hbui@paknet.com.pk
Tel: 021-5661192-5215703
Fax: 021-5673940
26
Near Passport Office, off Shahrah-e-Iraq
Saddar, Karachi
Fax: 021-5650453
Main Shaharah-e-Faisal,Karachi.
Tel: 021-4535712-13
Fax: 021-4546291
Phone: 042--7552728-29
E-mail: Lahore@mmdk.com.pk
Fax: 021-4396247
E-mail: dossani@mmdk.com.pk
URL: http://www.mmdk.com.pk
27
Gulberg 111, Lahore-54660, Pakistan
Phone: 042-5872061-3
Fax: 042-5872060
E-mail: taac@accountant.com
E-mail: consult1@cyber.net.pk
Every commodity future shall be registered with the commission under the following
rules in order to be traded on the exchange:
Secrecy:
No person should disclose any information to any person or institution with out the
permission of the commission and to any person or institution which is not legally
28
entitled which he is entrusted, to which he had access or which he obtained for any
legal purpose.
• No person shall directly or indirectly deal in any commodity future contract traded
on cleared on the exchange of which he or she is or has been an employee for
the last six months.
• No person shall deal directly or indirectly in the commodity underlying a future
contract if he has the information which is:
○ Not generally available
○ Would if it were so available, be likely to materially affect the price of such
Commodity Futures Contract
○ Relates to any such transaction underlying futures contract.
If any such transaction takes place the commission has the right to ask the responsible
person to pay off for the suffering persons.
29
CURRENT SCENARIO OF NCEL:
Initially the NCEL started trading in the future contracts of gold and then in phases
different other commodities were introduced on the exchange for trading. Cotton yarn
was the second commodity to be traded on the exchange. Later on the 3rd phase the
rice was introduced. In the year 2005 the commission allowed the exchange to
introduce the future contracts in crude oil. Today the NCEL deals in 14 different types of
contracts in the commodities mentioned above in the introduction section. Promoting
the crude oil future contracts the chief of the NCEL Mr. Sameer in 2005 said that the
beneficiaries of the contracts would be the oil companies as they would be able to start
hedging on the imported orders of the oil products. Following the crude oil futures the
silver futures were introduced. The futures on the currencies are under process.
Initially the NCEL started with the capital of 310million including initial paid up capital of
50million and 260million raised from the licensing of 260 brokers for 10million each. The
initial investment was from the three stock exchanges of which the major share is from
KSE i.e. 40%. Today many of the robust financial institutions, including National Bank of
Pakistan, Zaraei Taraqiyati Bank and Pak Kuwait investment co are the capital investors
of the NCEL as well.
30
investors as well as the country to maintain gold stocks through future trading”.
(M.D KSE and NCEL 2003, Moin Fidda).
• The establishment of the commodity exchange helped Pakistan to be the
regional center for gold as even India did not have gold future contracts in 2003.
• As the gold is available on international fair prices on the NCEL the smuggling of
gold has significantly decreased. (the concept, the image NCEL, PAGE Jan 13
2003, SYED M.ASLAM, )
• The exchange has offered hedging to the agricultural investors who were prone
to adverse weather conditions and prices from the very beginning.
• The risk hedging and market driven speculation has lead to fair pricing and price
competition.
• Cotton yarn has been the most important export of Pakistan and its future
contracts trading on the exchange will further enhance its exposure in the foreign
markets. It will benefit both the textile sector and the economy.
• The increase in the cost of production has increased the risk involved in the
textile sector. The hedging facility will help the textile millers to reduce their risk
and to attract investments.
• The open market allows the commodity prices to move by time to time. The
futures market will allow the investors to speculate and earn the profits.
31
CONCLUSION:
NCEL the first commodity exchange in Pakistan has introduced the commodity futures
and a centralized and regulated market place for the investors. The NCEL has played
an important role in the development of the economy and the industry of Pakistan, as it
has attracted the investments in different commodities and industries from national and
international investors. The future contracts available for the above listed products have
increased their trading and the market access for their producers. To further improve
the economic conditions of Pakistan the NCEL needs to introduce some more
commodities and derivatives’ types.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
Pakistan is facing crisis in different basic commodities for last few years, like sugar
crisis and wheat crisis. The prices of other commodities like steel, copper, dairy and
poultry products are not fair and rising. NCEL needs to take steps to improve the
markets of these commodities as well.
• NCEL should introduce future contracts on sugar and wheat as well. It will help in
fair pricing and regulated trading of these commodities. It will also reduce the
smuggling of wheat to Afghanistan as the traders will get a fair price according to
the international trading in their market.
• The introduction of steel on NCEL will also attract investments in the industry and
the local industries will be motivated to produce as they will get internationally fair
prices. Our best friend and neighbor china is the biggest consumer of steel and
the NCEL will help to boost steel exports to India and china. It will improve
Pakistan’s BOP.
• To stabilize the dairy and poultry markets the NCEL should also introduce futures
on these products. It will motivate the investors to improve the production
technologies. They do not invest in improved dairy and poultry technologies
because of unfair pricing. As they will get fair prices and an open access to the
international markets, they will invest to increase the production and improve the
quality. Pakistan has 40million milking animals and America has only 4million
milking animals, even then USA is a net exporter of dairy products where as
Pakistan is a net importer. The only reason is low average production per animal
because of technological gaps. So there is a need to improve this market and
attract investments as it will also improve Pakistan economy
• The poultry and other livestock should also be included in the products list of
NCEL.
32