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December 28, 2009
FIXED INCOME & FX TRADE OF THE WEEK
SSL urges investors to take long positions (9 – 12 months) as interest rates are
expected to continue on a downward trend. As a result, SSL recommends the
opportunities shown below. Weekly FX UPDATE
JMD Repo (12 months) Spot Rate
This instrument provides investors with an opportunity to lock in higher returns
given the trend in interest rates. Bid – Ask
89.11 – 89.57
GOJ Eurobond (2012)
This instrument offers a yield of 14.00%.
The bond, which matures on July 27, 2012 is denominated in Euros. It is
attractive for investors seeking to diversify their portfolios. Breakeven Forward Exchange Rate
Cayman Islands 5.95%, 11/24/2019 30 day: 90.07 JMD/USD
This bond provides a yield of 5.86%. 90 day: 91.11 JMD/USD
In September 2009, Moody's maintained its Aa3 rating and stable outlook on
the Cayman Islands.
Target Corp 4.875%, 05/15/2018
This instrument has a YTM of 4.40%. 10‐day moving average
Target Corp (NYSE: TGT) is one of the largest retail chains in the US, offering a
variety of merchandise at discounted prices. The Company recently posted an Buy – Sell
18% rise in third‐quarter Profit to USD 436mm from USD 369mm a year ago. 89.20 – 89.61
TRADER COMMENTS
ION
The market remains relatively inactive mainly due to the holiday season.
OMO maturities totaled JMD 3.25B last week. JMD 541mm entered the market
on December 21, 2009, representing the maturity of FR LRS 16.50% 2009.
OMO maturities for this week will amount to JMD 3.3B. No instruments are
scheduled to mature this week.
RECENT MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
Local
There are no instruments scheduled for release for the rest of the month. The schedule for January 2010 has not
yet been issued.
International
JP Morgan Chase & Co issued USD 4B worth of bonds last week, representing the only US corporate bond offering
during the shortened week.
Swiss insurer, Zurich Financial Services AG sold a USD 225mm catastrophe bond to replace the expiring 2006
Lakeside Re Ltd instrument, hedging it against possible earthquake claims from California.
WEEKLY YIELD CURVES
WEEKLY FOREIGN EXCHANGE CHANGE
As of Thursday December 24, 2009 %∆ MTD %∆ YTD Current Bid Price Current Ask Price Current YTM
GOJ LOCAL (JMD)
Repurchase Agreements
Overnight ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 7.00% ‐ 10.00%
30 day ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 12.50% ‐ 14.50%
90 day ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 13.50 ‐ 14.50
Local Registered Stock (LRS)
FR 15.00% 2010AA 1.11% 8.19% 99.76 99.89 15.15%
FR 14.375% 2011AC 1.22% 10.85% 97.22 97.46 17.16%
FR 14.00 2012AE 1.80% 16.01% 94.02 94.33 17.30%
FR 14.375% 2014AE 2.71% 14.06% 91.39 91.97 17.00%
FR 17.25% 2019 4.80% 14.43% 97.70 98.60 17.55%
FR 15.45% 2036 5.65% 9.52% 78.34 79.14 19.55%
Index Bonds (US$)
FR 8.125% 2010 0.04% 3.13% 100.21 100.31 7.45%
FR 9.25% 2012 0.05% 5.83% 100.57 101.01 8.82%
FR 11.125% 2022 ‐1.27% ‐2.66% 90.26 91.71 12.45%
GOJ GLOBALS (USD)
GOJ 05/15/2011 0.00% ‐6.48% 99.00 101.00 10.93%
GOJ 06/02/2015 ‐1.32% 10.29% 88.75 93.75 10.54%
GOJ 06/20/2017 1.88% 1.88% 90.75 94.75 11.70%
GOJ 06/24/2019 9.21% 10.67% 78.00 83.00 11.15%
GOJ 01/15/2022 0.60% ‐15.10% 102.13 106.13 10.71%
GOJ 10/17/2025 2.16% 11.82% 79.75 82.75 11.66%
GOJ 02/28/2036 1.07% 8.85% 65.75 70.75 12.25%
GOJ 03/15/2039 12.31% 21.67% 69.00 73.00 11.14%
JAMAIR 07/08/15 0.83% 14.87% 85.75 90.75 11.69%
JAMAIR 06/14/27 ‐0.35% 5.60% 65.75 70.75 12.21%
CAPJAM 11/16/21 ‐1.27% 10.71% 71.50 77.50 12.12%
REGIONAL GLOBALS
Barbados
BARBAD 06/15/10 ‐0.24% 0.48% 102.75 103.75 0.59%
BARBAD 12/15/21 ‐0.73% 6.65% 100.50 102.25 6.97%
BARBAD 12/05/35 ‐1.16% 3.65% 83.75 85.25 7.98%
Trinidad & Tobago
TRITOB 07/01/20 ‐0.37% 13.56% 131.00 134.00 5.46%
TRITOB 05/17/27 ‐0.97% 20.00% 100.00 102.00 5.69%
Dominican Republic
DOMREP 09/27/11 ‐1.17% 23.82% 104.75 105.25 4.02%
DOMREP 01/23/18 ‐0.90% 77.42% 108.50 110.00 6.90%
DOMREP 04/20/27 0.00% 101.89% 105.00 107.00 7.88%
* Please treat all offers as subject as well as all levels as indicative.
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND CERTIFICATION
The author certifies that this research report accurately states his/her personal views about the subject securities, which
are reflected in the ratings as well as in the substance of this report. The author certifies that no part of his/her
compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation or views contained in this
research report.
Research Analysts employed at Stocks & Securities Ltd (SSL) are compensated from revenues generated by the Firm.
Research Analysts do not receive compensation based upon revenues from specific transactions. SSL generally prohibits
any Research Analyst and any member of his or her household from executing trades in the securities of a Company that
such Research Analyst covers. Additionally, SSL generally prohibits any Research Analyst from serving as an officer,
director or advisory board member of a Company that such Analyst covers.
COMPANY SPECIFIC DISCLOSURES
The Analyst/Associate/Member/Company holds a position in these securities.
OTHER DISCLOSURES
This report is issued and approved for distribution by Stocks & Securities Ltd (SSL), a member of the Jamaica Stock
Exchange (JSE), and regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC). This report is provided, for informational
purposes only, to institutional and retail clients of SSL and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any
securities discussed herein in any jurisdiction where such offer or solicitation would be prohibited. The securities
mentioned in this report may not be suitable for all types of investors. This report does not take into the account the
investment objective, financial situation or specific needs of any particular client of SSL. Recipients should consider this
report only as a singular factor in making an investment decision and should not rely solely on investment
recommendations contained herein, if any, as a substitution for the exercise of independent judgment of the merits and
risks of investments. The Analysts writing the report is not a person or Company with actual, implied or apparent
authority to act on behalf of any issuer mentioned in the report. Before making an investment decision with respect to
any security recommended in this report, the recipient should consider whether such a recommendation is appropriate
given the recipients particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. SSL recommends that investors
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