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79
80
the dynamics of the ZCs price is then dt P (t, T ) = rt P (t, T )dt with the
terminal condition P (T, T ) = 1. If r is a stochastic process, the problem
81
of giving the price of a zero-coupon bond is more complex; we shall study this
case later. In that setting, the previous formula for P (t, T ) would be absurd,
since P (t, T ) is known
at time t (i.e., is Ft -measurable), whereas the quantity
T
exp t r(s)ds is not. Zero-coupon bonds are traded and are at the core
of trading in nancial markets.
Comment 2.1.1.1 In this book, we assume, as is usual in mathematical
nance, that borrowing and lending interest rates are equal to (rs , s 0): one
t
monetary unit borrowed at time 0 has to be reimbursed by St0 = exp 0 rs ds
monetary units at time t. One
monetary
unit invested in the riskless asset at
t
time 0 produces St0 = exp 0 rs ds monetary units at time t. In reality,
borrowing and lending interest rates are not the same, and this equality
hypothesis, which is assumed in mathematical nance, oversimplies the realworld situation. Pricing derivatives with dierent interest rates is very similar
to pricing under constraints. If, for example, there are two interest rates with
r1 < r2 , one has to assume that it is impossible to borrow money at rate r1
(see also Example 2.1.2.1). We refer the reader to the papers of El Karoui
et al. [307] for a study of pricing with constraints.
A portfolio (or a strategy) is a (d + 1)-dimensional F-predictable process
(
ti Sti = t0 St0 +
i=0
t
ti Sti .
i=1
We assume that the integrals 0 si dSsi are well dened; moreover, we shall
often place more integrability conditions on the portfolio
to avoid arbitrage
opportunities (see Subsection 2.1.2).
We shall assume that the market is liquid: there is no transaction cost (the
buying price of an asset is equal to its selling price), the number of shares of the
asset available in the market is not bounded, and short-selling of securities
is allowed (i.e., i , i 1 can take negative values) as well as borrowing money
( 0 < 0).
We introduce a constraint on the portfolio, to make precise the idea that
instantaneous changes to the value of the portfolio are due to changes in
prices, not to instantaneous rebalancing. This self-nancing condition is
an extension of the discrete-time case and we impose it as a constraint in
continuous time. We emphasize that this constraint is not a consequence of
It
os lemma and that, if a portfolio (
t = (ti , i = 0, . . . , d) = (t0 , t ); t 0)
is given, this condition has to be satised.
82
is said to be self-nancing if
) =
dVt (
ti dSti ,
i=0
) = V0 (
) +
or, in an integrated form, Vt (
t
i=0 0
si dSsi .
If
) = t0 St0 rt dt +
ti dSti = rt Vt (
)dt +
i=1
i=1
) +
Rt Vt (
d
i=1
si d(Rs Ssi ) .
(2.1.1)
(2.1.2)
t = (Vt t St , t ); t 0) is a self-nancing
).
strategy, and Vt = Vt (
s d(Rs Ss )
Vt Rt = x +
0
d
i=1
ti Sti = Vt t St .
83
The portfolio
represents the investment in the risky assets. The equality (2.1.1) can be
written in terms of the savings account S 0 as
i
d t
Ss
Vt (
)
i
=
V
(
)
+
d
0
s
0
St0
S
s
i=1 0
or as
dVt0 =
(2.1.3)
ti dSti,0
i=1
where
Vt0 = Vt Rt = Vt /St0 ,
are the prices in terms of time-0 monetary units. We shall extend this property
in Section 2.4 by proving that the self-nancing condition does not depend
on the choice of the numeraire.
By abuse of language, we shall also call = ( 1 , . . . , d ) a self-nancing
portfolio.
The investor is said to have a long position at time t on the asset S if
t 0. In the case t < 0, the investor is short.
(t, 1)
Exercise 2.1.1.4 Let dSt = (dt + dBt ) and r = 0. Is the portfolio
self-nancing? If not, nd 0 such that (t0 , 1) is self-nancing.
2.1.2 Arbitrage Opportunities
Roughly speaking, an arbitrage opportunity is a self-nancing strategy
with zero initial value and with terminal value VT 0, such that E(VT ) > 0.
From Dudleys result (see Subsection 1.6.3), it is obvious that we have to
impose conditions on the strategies to exclude arbitrage opportunities. Indeed,
if B is a BM, for any constant A, it is possible to nd an adapted process
T
such that 0 s dBs = A. Hence, in the simple case dSs = Ss dBs and
T
null interest rate, it is possible to nd such that 0 s dSs = A > 0. The
t
process Vt = 0 s dSs would be the value of a self-nancing strategy, with null
84
Prove
Prove
Prove
Prove
85
86
A0 = K
L0+
s dSs f : is admissible, f 0, f nite ,
X=
0
A = A 0 L ,
A = closure of A in L .
Note that K is the set of terminal values of admissible self-nancing strategies
87
88
Using the characterization of a self-nancing strategy obtained in Proposition 2.1.1.3, we see that the contingent claim H is hedgeable if there exists a
pair (h, ) where h is a real number and a d-dimensional predictable process
such that
d T
si d(Ssi /Ss0 ) .
H/ST0 = h +
i=1
=h+
d
i=1
si dSsi,0 .
0
V0
89
(2.1.4)
(2.1.5)
(2.2.1)
90
ti,j dBtj ) ,
(2.2.2)
j=1
where r, bi , and the volatility coecients i,j are supposed to be given Fpredictable processes, and satisfy for any t, almost surely,
t
t
t
i
rt > 0,
rs ds < ,
|bs |ds < ,
(si,j )2 ds < .
0
t
n t
n t
1
Sti = S0i exp
bis ds +
si,j dBsj
(si,j )2 ds .
2
0
0
0
j=1
j=1
In particular, the prices of the assets are strictly positive. As usual, we denote
by
t
Rt = exp
rs ds
= 1/St0
the discount factor. We also denote by S i,0 = S i /S 0 the discounted prices and
V 0 = V /S 0 the discounted value of V .
2.2.1 Absence of Arbitrage
Proposition 2.2.1.1 In the model (2.2.12.2.2), the existence of an e.m.m.
implies absence of arbitrage.
Proof: Let be an admissible self-nancing strategy, and assume that Q is
an e.m.m. Then,
dSti,0 = Rt (dSti rt Sti dt) = Sti,0
ti,j dWtj
j=1
91
L0 = 1
ti,j dWtj .
j=1
HRT = EQ (HRT ) +
hs dWs .
0
Therefore,
HRT = EQ (HRT ) +
d
d
i=1
si dSsi,0
Remark 2.2.2.1 In the case d < n, the market is generally incomplete and
does not present arbitrage opportunities. In some specic cases, it can be
reduced to a complete market as in the Example 2.3.6.1.
In the case n < d, the market generally presents arbitrage opportunities,
as shown in Comments 2.1.5.3, but is complete.
1
92
i=1
= V (0, S0 ) +
d t
i=1
xi V (s, Ss )dSsi,0 ,
d
i=1
si
si dSsi,0
0
= xi V (s, Ss ).
j=1
be the risk-neutral dynamics of the d risky assets where the interest rate is
deterministic. Assume that V solves the PDE, for t < T and xi > 0, i,
t V + r(t)
i=1 xi xi V +
d
1
xi xj xi xj V
i,k j,k = r(t)V
2 i,j
k=1
(2.2.3)
with terminal condition V (T, x) = h(x). Then, the value at time t of the
contingent claim H = h(ST ) is equal to V (t, St ).
The hedging portfolio is ti = xi V (t, St ), i = 1, . . . , d.
93
In the one-dimensional case, when dSt = St (b(t, St )dt + (t, St )dBt ) , the
PDE reads, for x > 0, t [0, T [,
1
t V (t, x) + r(t)xx V (t, x) + 2 (t, x)x2 xx V (t, x) = r(t)V (t, x)
2
(2.2.4)
with the terminal condition V (T, x) = h(x).
Denition 2.2.3.2 Solving the equation (2.2.4) with the terminal condition
is called the Partial Derivative Equation (PDE) evaluation procedure.
In the case when the contingent claim H is path-dependent (i.e., when the
payo H = h(St , t T ) depends on the past of the price process, and not
only on the terminal value), it is not always possible to associate a PDE to
the pricing problem (see, e.g., Parisian options (see Section 4.4) and Asian
options (see Section 6.6)).
Thus, we have two ways of computing the price of a contingent claim
of the form h(ST ), either we solve the PDE, or we compute the conditional
expectation (2.1.5). The quantity RL is often called the state-price density
or the pricing kernel. Therefore, in a complete market, we can characterize
the processes which represent the value of a self-nancing strategy.
Proposition 2.2.3.3 If a given process V is such that V R is a Q-martingale
(or V RL is a P-martingale), it denes the value of a self-nancing strategy.
In particular, the process (Nt = 1/(Rt Lt ), t 0) is the value of a portfolio
(N RL is a P-martingale), called the num
eraire portfolio or the growth
optimal portfolio. It satises
dNt = Nt ((r(t) + t2 )dt + t dBt ) .
(See Becherer [63], Long [603], Karatzas and Kardaras [511] and the book
of Heath and Platen [429] for a study of the numeraire portfolio.) It is a
main tool for consumption-investment optimization theory, for which we refer
the reader to the books of Karatzas [510], Karatzas and Shreve [514], and
Korn [538].
94
rb
= ,
95
where is the risk premium. Therefore, the unique e.m.m. has a RadonNikod
ym density L which satises dLt = Lt dBt , L0 = 1 and is given by
Lt = exp(Bt 12 2 t).
Hence, from Girsanovs theorem, Wt = Bt + t is a Q-Brownian motion,
and
dSt = St (bdt + dBt ) = St (rdt + (dBt + dt)) = St (rdt + dWt ) .
In a closed form, we have
2
2
t = S0 ert exp Wt
t = S0 eXt
St = S0 exp bt + Bt
2
2
with Xt = t + Wt , and =
2 .
2
EQ (h(ST )) = E h(S0 erT 2 T exp( T G))
where G is a standard Gaussian variable.
We can also think about the expression EQ (h(ST )) = EQ (h(xeXT )) as a
computation for the drifted Brownian motion Xt = t + Wt . As an exercise on
Girsanovs transformation, let us show how we can reduce the computation to
the case of a standard Brownian motion. The process X is a Brownian motion
under Q , dened on FT as
1
Q = exp WT 2 T Q = T Q .
2
Therefore,
(1)
EQ (h(xeXT )) = EQ (T
From
(1)
T
1
= exp WT + 2 T
2
h(xeXT )) .
1
= exp XT 2 T
2
,
we obtain
1 2
XT
EQ h(xe
) = exp T EQ (exp(XT )h(xeXT )) ,
2
(2.3.1)
96
2
2
)T
W eXT h(xeXT )
2
2
)(T t)
W eXT t h(zeXT t ) |z=St .
2
2
)T
W eXT (xeXt , t T ) .
Proof: It remains to establish the formula for the time-t value. From
EQ (er(T t) h(ST )|Ft ) = EQ (er(T t) h(St STt )|Ft )
where STt = ST /St , using the independence between STt and Ft and the
law
equality STt = ST1 t , where S 1 has the same dynamics as S, with initial
value 1, we get
EQ (er(T t) h(ST )|Ft ) = (St )
where
This last quantity can be computed from the properties of BM. Indeed,
2
2
1
dy h St er(T t)+ T ty (T t)/2 ey /2 .
EQ (h(ST )|Ft ) =
2 R
(See Example 1.5.4.7 if needed.)
97
Notation 2.3.1.4 In the sequel, when working in the Black and Scholes
framework, we shall use systematically the notation = r 2 and the fact
that for t s the r.v. Sts = St /Ss is independent of Ss .
Exercise 2.3.1.5 The payo of a power option is h(ST ), where the function
h is given by h(x) = x (x K)+ . Prove that the payo can be written as
the dierence of European payos on the underlying assets S +1 and S with
strikes depending on K and .
Exercise 2.3.1.6 We consider a contingent claim with a terminal payo
h(ST ) and a continuous payo (xs , s T ), where xs is paid at time s. Prove
that the price of this claim is
T
r(T t)
h(ST ) +
er(st) xs ds|Ft ) .
Vt = EQ (e
t
Exercise 2.3.1.7 In a Black and Scholes framework, prove that the price at
time t of the contingent claim h(ST ) is
Ch (x, T t) = er(T t) EQ (h(ST )|St = x) = er(T t) EQ (h(STt,x ))
where Sst,x is the solution of the SDE
dSst,x = Sst,x (rds + dWs ), Stt,x = x
and the hedging strategy consists of holding x Ch (St , T t) shares of the
underlying asset.
law
Assuming some regularity on h, and using the fact that STt,x = xeXT t ,
where XT t is a Gaussian r.v., prove that
1
x Ch (x, T t) = EQ h (STt,x )STt,x er(T t) .
x
2.3.2 European Call and Put Options
Among the various derivative products, the most popular are the European
Call and Put Options, also called vanilla2 options.
A European call is associated with some underlying asset, with price
(St , t 0). At maturity (a given date T ), the holder of a call receives (ST K)+
where K is a xed number, called the strike. The price of a call is the amount
of money that the buyer of the call will pay at time 0 to the seller. The time-t
price is the price of the call at time t, equal to EQ (er(T t) (ST K)+ |Ft ),
or, due to the Markov property, EQ (er(T t) (ST K)+ |St ). At maturity (a
given date T ), the holder of a European put receives (K ST )+ .
2
To the best of our knowledge, the name vanilla (or plain vanilla) was given to
emphasize the standard form of these products, by reference to vanilla, a standard
avor for ice cream, or to plain vanilla, a standard font in printing.
98
Ke
,T t
r(T t)
Ker(T t) N d2
Ke
,T t
r(T t)
(2.3.3)
where
1 2
1
d1 (y, u) =
ln(y) +
u, d2 (y, u) = d1 (y, u) 2 u ,
2
2 u
where we have written 2 so that the formula does not depend on the sign
of .
Proof: It suces to solve the evaluation PDE (2.2.4) with terminal condition
C(x, T ) = (x K)+ . Another method is to compute the conditional
expectation, under the e.m.m., of the discounted terminal payo, i.e.,
EQ (erT (ST K)+ |Ft ). For t = 0,
EQ (erT (ST K)+ ) = EQ (erT ST 1{ST K} ) KerT Q(ST K) .
law
TG
, where G is
The equality
EQ (erT ST 1{ST K} ) = xN
d1
S0
,T
KerT
can be proved using the law of ST , however, we shall give in Subsection 2.4.1 a more pleasant method.
The computation of the price at time t is carried out using the Markov
property.
Let us emphasize that a pricing formula appears in Bachelier [39, 41] in
the case where S is a drifted Brownian motion. The central idea in Black and
Scholes paper is the hedging strategy. Here, the hedging strategy for a call is to
keep a long position of (t, St ) = C
x (St , T t) in the underlying asset (and to
have C St shares in the savings account). It is well known that this quantity
99
100
Vt t St
Ct
1
t C + 2 St2 xx C + St bx C
2
+ t St b = rVt .
(2.3.5)
(2.3.6)
is obtained. Now,
t = Vt x C(Sx C C)1 = V0
N (d1 )
.
KerT N (d2 )
101
102
s d(RS)s
0
S0 = EQ (ST RT +
103
i RTi ) .
i=1
We now assume that the dividends are paid in continuous time, and let D
be the cumulative dividend process (that is Dt is the amount of dividends
received between 0 and t). The discounted price of the stock is the riskneutral expectation (one often speaks of risk-adjusted probability in the case
of dividends) of the future dividends, that is
T
St Rt = EQ
Rs dDs |Ft
ST RT +
t
is a Q-martingale. Note that Stcum = St + R1t 0 Rs dDs . If we assume that the
reference ltration is a Brownian ltration, there exists such that
d(Stcum Rt ) = t St Rt dWt ,
and we obtain
d(St Rt ) = Rt dDt + St Rt t dWt .
Suppose now that the asset S pays a proportional dividend, that is, the
holder of one share of the asset receives St dt in the time interval [t, t + dt].
In that case, under the risk-adjusted probability Q, the discounted value of
an asset equals the expectation on the discounted future payos, i.e.,
Rt St = EQ (RT ST +
Rs Ss ds|Ft ) .
t
104
j=1
4
(2.3.8)
105
where B is a n-dimensional BM, with n > d, can often be reduced to the case
of an FTS -complete market. Indeed, it may be possible, under some regularity
assumptions on the matrix , to write the equation (2.3.8) as
dSti
tj ), S i = xi ,
j=1
(2.3.9)
j=1
and n > d, if the coecients are adapted with respect to the Brownian
ltration FB , then the market is generally incomplete, as was shown in
Exercice 2.3.6.1 (for a general study, see Karatzas [510]). Roughly speaking,
a market with a riskless asset and risky assets is complete if the number of
sources of noise is equal to the number of risky assets.
An important case of an incomplete market (the stochastic volatility
model) is when the coecient is adapted to a ltration dierent from FB .
(See Section 6.7 for a presentation of some stochastic volatility models.)
Let us briey discuss the case dSt = St t dWt . The square of the volatility
t
can be written in terms of S and its bracket as t2 = dS
and is obviously
S 2 dt
t
106
1
ln(K/x) (r 2 )T
2
,
x
,T
rT
Ke
erT EQ (ST 1{ST K} ) = S0 N d1
x
,
T
.
KerT
Note that this change of probability measure corresponds to the choice of
(St , t 0) as numeraire (see Subsection 2.4.3).
107
ti dSti,1
i=2
(2.4.1)
(2.4.2)
hence,
1
St1
1
= 1
St
dVt1 =
dVt Vt1 dSt1 d
S 1 , V 1 t
t2 dSt2 t2 St2,1 dSt1 d
S 1 , V 1 t
where we have used (2.4.1) for the last equality. The equality St2,1 St1 = St2
implies
dSt2 St2,1 dSt1 = St1 dSt2,1 + d
S 1 , S 2,1 t
hence,
dVt1 = t2 dSt2,1 +
t2
1
d
S 1 , S 2,1 t 1 d
S 1 , V 1 t .
St1
St
108
109
When the spot rate r is a stochastic process, P (t, T ) = (Rt )1 EQ (RT |Ft )
where Q is the risk-neutral probability measure and the price of a contingent
claim H is (Rt )1 EQ (HRT |Ft ). The computation of EQ (HRT |Ft ) may be
dicult and a change of numeraire may give some useful information.
Obviously, the process
t : =
1
P (t, T )
EQ (RT |Ft ) =
Rt
P (0, T )
P (0, T )
P (t, T )
Rt .
P (0, T )
VtH = EQ
H exp
rs ds |Ft
t
110
processes. We do not assume that there is a riskless asset (we can consider
this case if we specify that dSt1 = rt St1 dt).
Let = ( 1 , 2 , . . . , k ) be a self-nancing trading strategy satisfying the
following constraint:
k
t [0, T ],
ti Sti = Zt ,
(2.4.3)
i=+1
V0,1
i=2
t
ui
dSui,1
Zu1
k,1
0 Su
k1
i=+1
ui
0
Sui,1
i,1
k,1
dSu k,1 dSu
Su
dSuk,1 .
ti Sti,1 = Zt1 ,
i=+1
and thus
k1
ti Sti,1 .
tk = (Stk,1 )1 Zt1
(2.4.5)
i=+1
i=2
si dSsi,1 +
k1
i=+1
t
0
Ssi,1
si dSsi,1 k,1
dSsk,1 .
Ss
(2.4.6)
111
V0,1
ui
dSui,1
i=2
k1
ui,k,1 dS
ui,k,1 ,
t [0, T ],
i=+1
where we denote
i,k,1
ti,k,1 = ti (St1,k )1 et
with Sti,k = Sti (Stk )1 and
ti,k,1
= ln S
i,k
, ln S
1,k
t =
i,k,1
S
ti,k,1 = Sti,k et ,
(2.4.7)
(2.4.8)
k1
ti dSti,k .
i=1
Sti,k (St1,k )1
=
and Vt1 = Vtk (St1,k )1 , using an argument analogous
Since
to that of the proof of Proposition 2.4.2.1, we obtain
Vt1
V01
Sti,1
i=2
ui
dSui,1
k1
i=+1
ui,k,1 dS
ui,k,1 ,
t [0, T ],
ti,k,1 , S
ti,k,1 and ti,k,1 are given by (2.4.7)(2.4.8).
112
Then there exist two F-predictable processes 1 and k such that the strategy
= ( 1 , 2 , . . . , k ) belongs to (Z) and replicates H. The wealth process of
equals, for every t [0, T ],
l t
Vt )
=x+
ui dSui,1
St1
i=2 0
t
k1
t
Sui,1
Zu1
+
ui dSui,1 k,1
dSuk,1 +
dSuk,1 .
k,1
S
S
0
u
u
i=l+1 0
2.5 Feynman-Kac
In what follows, Ex is the expectation corresponding to the probability
distribution of a Brownian motion W starting from x.
2.5.1 Feynman-Kac Formula
Theorem 2.5.1.1 Let R+ and let k : R R+ and g : R R be
continuous functions with g bounded. Then the function
t
dt g(Wt ) exp t
k(Ws )ds
(2.5.1)
f (x) = Ex
0
( + k)f =
(2.5.2)
Let us assume that f is a bounded solution of (2.5.2). Then, one can check
that equality (2.5.1) is satised.
We give a few hints for this verication. Let us consider the increasing
process Z dened by:
t
Zt = t +
k(Ws )ds .
0
By applying It
os lemma to the process
Ut
Zt
: = (Wt )e
+
0
where is C 2 , we obtain
g(Ws )eZs ds ,
2.5 Feynman-Kac
113
1
(Wt ) ( + k(Wt )) (Wt ) + g(Wt ) eZt dt
2
2.5.2 Occupation Time for a Brownian Motion
We now give Kacs proof of Levys arcsine law as an application of the
Feynman-Kac formula:
t
Proposition 2.5.2.1 The random variable A+
t : = 0 1[0,[ (Ws )ds follows
the arcsine law with parameter t:
P(A+
t ds) =
ds
1{0 s < t} .
s(t s)
(2.5.4)
Bounded and continuous solutions of this dierential equation are given by:
1
Aex 2(+) + +
, x0
f (x) =
.
1
x 2
+ ,
x0
Be
Relying on the continuity of f and f at zero, we obtain the unique bounded
C 2 solution of (2.5.4):
+
+
A=
, B=
.
( + )
+
The following equality holds:
114
f (0) =
+
dtet E0 eAt =
1
( + )
ds
s(t s)
1{s<t} .
s)
=
t
t
law
+
Note that, by scaling, A+
t = tA1 .
Comment 2.5.2.2 This result is due to Levy [584] and a dierent proof was
t
given by Kac [502]. Intensive studies for the more general case 0 f (Ws )ds
have been made in the literature. Biane and Yor [86] and Jeanblanc et al. [483]
present a study of the laws of these random variables for particular functions
f , using excursion theory and the Ray-Knight theorem for Brownian local
times at an exponential time.
2.5 Feynman-Kac
115
1
f f + f + 1{x<0} f = 1 .
2
Hence,
2 + 2( + )
2 + 2
+
2( + )
2
2
2
1 + 2( + ) + 2
1
.
+
2
+
2 ( + )
(, ) =
2
2
,0,
exp u 2 ( u)
du)/du =
P(At
u
2
2
+
exp (t u) ( t u)
2
2(t u)
(2.5.5)
2
for
where (x) = 12 x exp( y2 )dy. More generally, the law of A,L,
t
L > 0 is obtained from
u
,L,
,0,
P(At
u) =
ds (s, L; )P(Ats
< u s)
0
where (s, L; ) is the density P(TL (X) ds)/ds (see (3.2.3) for its closed
follows from A+,L,
+ A,L,
= t.
form). The law of A+,L,
t
t
t
+,L,0
The law of At
can also be obtained in a more direct way. It is easy to
compute the double Laplace transform
+,L,0
dt et E0 eAt
(, ; L) : =
0
ds 1{Ws >L}
TL
1
1
E0 (1 eTL ) +
E0 (eTL )
( + )
1
1
eL 2 .
= (1 eL 2 ) +
( + )
=
(, ; L) =
0
1
u(t u)
eL
/(2(tu))
et eu f (t, u)dtdu .
1{u<t} du ,
116
2
1
ex /(2(ts)) ds 1{u<t} .
s3 (t s)3
2.5 Feynman-Kac
t f =
1
xx f 1],0] (s)f,
2
117
Letting f
be the Laplace transform in time of f , i.e.,
et f (x, t)dt ,
f
(, x) =
0
we obtain
1
xx f
1],0] (x)f
.
2
Solving this ODE with the boundary conditions at 0 and a leads to
exp(a 2)
= f
1 ()f
2 () ,
f (, 0) =
+ +
1[a,[ (x) + f
=
with
(2.5.6)
1
, f
2 () = exp(a 2) .
f
1 () =
+ +
exp(a 2)
2
.
+ +
The right-hand side of (2.5.6) may be recognized as the product of the Laplace
transforms of the functions
f1 (t) =
2
1 et
a
, and f2 (t) =
ea /2t ,
3
3
2t
2t
du|Wt = x).
Exercise 2.5.4.3 (1) Deduce from Proposition 2.5.4.1 P(A,0
t
du).
(2) Recover the formula (2.5.5) for P(A,0
t
118
2.5.5 Quantiles
Proposition 2.5.5.1 Let Xt = t + Wt and MtX = supst Xs . We assume
> 0. Dene, for a xed t, tX = sup{s t : Xs = MsX }. Then
law
tX =
1{Xs >0} ds .
0
q X (, t) =
sup Xs1 +
0st
inf
0s(1t)
Xs2 .
Tx
1Tx
0
1{Xs+Tx x} ds
avs
ua
avs
119
sup
0<vsa
Xv3
Exercise 2.5.5.3
Prove that, in the case = 0, setting = ((1 )/)1/2 ,
2
and (x) = 2/ x ey /2 dy
2
2/ ex /2 (x)dx for x 0
P(q() dx) =
.
2
2/ ex /2 (x 1 )dx for x 0
Comment 2.5.5.4 See Akahori [1], Dassios [211, 212], Detemple [252],
Embrechts et al. [324], Fujita and Yor [368], Fusai [370], Miura [653] and
Yor [866] for results on quantiles and pricing of quantile options.
(2.6.1)
t
t
eK(s) k(s)(s)ds +
eK(s) (s)dWs
rt = eK(t) r0 +
where K(t) =
mean
t
0
and covariance
eK(t)K(s)
ts
e2K(u) 2 (u)du .
0
120
(2.6.2)
ek(tu) dWu .
The process (rt , t 0) is a Gaussian process with mean (r0 )ekt + and
covariance
Cov(rs , rt ) =
2 k(s+t) 2ks
2 kt
e
e
(e 1) =
sinh(ks)
2k
k
for s t.
In nance, the solution of (2.6.2) is called a Vasicek process. In general, k is
chosen to be positive, so that E(rt ) as t (this is why this process
is said to enjoy the mean reverting property). The process (2.6.1) is called
a Generalized Vasicek process (GV). Because r is a Gaussian process,
it takes negative values. This is one of the reasons why this process is no
longer used to model interest rates. When = 0, the process r is called an
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process. Note that, if r is a Vasicek process, the
process r is an OU process with parameter k. More formally,
Denition 2.6.1.3 An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process driven by a BM
follows the dynamics drt = krt dt + dWt .
An OU process can be constructed in terms of time-changed BM (see also
Section 5.1):
Proposition 2.6.1.4 (i) If W is a BM starting from x and a(t) = 2 e 2k1 ,
the process Zt = ekt Wa(t) is an OU process starting from x.
(ii) Conversely, if U is an OU process starting from x, then there exists a
BM W starting from x such that Ut = ekt Wa(t) .
2kt
Proof: Indeed, the process Z is a Gaussian process, with mean xekt and
covariance ek(t+s) (a(t) a(s)).
121
2
(1 e2k(ts) ) .
2k
Note that the ltration generated by the process r is equal to that of the
driving Brownian motion. Owing to the Gaussian property of the process r,
t
the law of the integrated process 0 rs ds can be characterized as follows:
Proposition 2.6.1.6 Let rbe a solution of (2.6.2).
t
The process 0 rs ds, t 0 is Gaussian with mean and variance given by
122
1 ekt
,
rs ds = t + (r0 )
k
0
t
2
2
1 ekt
Var
rs ds = 3 (1 ekt )2 + 2 t
2k
k
k
0
t
+
e
s
e
.
k2
k
k
2k
Proof: From the denition, rt = r0 + kt k
t
0
rs ds + Wt , hence
1
[rt + r0 + kt + Wt ]
k
t
1
kt
kt
eku dWu + Wt ].
= [kt + (r0 )(1 e ) e
k
0
rs ds =
0
Obviously, from the properties of the Wiener integral, the right-hand side
denes a Gaussian process. It remains to compute the expectation and the
variance of the Gaussian variable on the right-hand side, which is easy, since
the variance of a Wiener integral is well known.
Note that
t one can also justify directly the Gaussian property of an integral
process ( 0 ys ds, t 0) where y is a Gaussian process.
More generally, for t s,
t
1 ek(ts)
: = M (s, t) , (2.6.3)
ru du|Fs = (t s) + (rs )
E
k
s
t
2
Var s
ru du = 3 (1 ek(ts) )2
2k
s
2
1 ek(ts)
+ 2 ts
: = V (s, t) .(2.6.4)
k
k
Exercise 2.6.1.7 Compute the transition probability for an OU process.
Exercise 2.6.1.8 (1) Let B be a Brownian motion, and dene the probability
P b via
T
b2 T 2
b
P |FT : = exp b
Bs dBs
Bs ds P|FT .
2 0
0
Prove that the process (Bt , t 0) is a Pb -Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and
that
b2 t 2
b 2
2
b
2
B ds
= E exp Bt + (Bt t)
,
E exp Bt
2 0 s
2
123
where Eb is the expectation w.r.t. the probability measure Pb . One can also
prove that if B is an n-dimensional BM starting from a
b2 t
2
2
|Bs | ds)
Ea exp(|Bt |
2 0
n/2
|a|2 b 1 + 2
2
b coth bt
sinh bt
,
exp
= cosh bt +
b
2 coth bt + 2/b
where Ea is the expectation for a BM starting from a. (See Yor [864].)
(2) Use the Gaussian property of the variable Bt to obtain that
12
b2 t 2
2
Bs ds
= cosh bt + 2 sinh bt
.
EP exp Bt
2 0
b
If B and C are two independent Brownian motions starting form 0, prove that
1
b2 t 2
0
1
(Bs dCs Cs dBs ) =
2
(Bs2
Cs2 )ds
124
1ek(T t)
.
k
k((s) Ws )ds
Wt = x + t +
0
125
Pk,
x | Ft
k
2
2
t + x k t 2x
= exp
(2.6.6)
2
t
k2 t 2
k
Xs ds
X ds Wx |Ft .
exp Xt2 + kXt + k 2
2
2 0 s
0
Proof: The absolute continuity relation (2.6.6) follows from Proposition 2.6.3.1.
Example 2.6.3.3 As an exercise, we present the computation of
t
2 t 2
2
A = Ek,
X
ds
X
ds
,
exp
X
t
s
x
t
2 0 s
0
where (, , , , ) are real numbers with > 0. From (2.6.6)
k
A = exp
t + x2 k2 t 2x
2
t
2 t 2
Xs ds 1
Xs ds
Wx exp 1 Xt2 + 1 Xt + (k 2 )
2 0
0
where 1 = + k2 , 1 = k , 12 = 2 + k 2 . From
(k )
2
2
Xs ds 1
2
Xs2 ds
0
2
= 1
2
(Xs + 1 )2 ds +
0
12 12
t
2
126
with 1 =
12 12
k
2
2
t + x k t 2x +
t
A = exp
2
2
12 t 2
2
Z ds
.
Wx+1 exp 1 (Zt 1 ) + 1 (Zt 1 )
2 0 s
Now,
1 (Zt 1 )2 + 1 (Zt 1 ) = 1 Zt2 + (1 + 21 1 )Zt 1 (1 1 + 1 ) .
Hence,
12 t 2
2
Wx+1 exp 1 (Zt 1 ) + 1 (Zt 1 )
Z ds
2 0 s
2 t 2
= e1 (1 1 +1 ) Wx+1 exp 1 Zt2 + (1 + 21 1 )Zt 1
Zs ds
.
2 0
From (2.6.6) again
2 t 2
Zs ds
Wx+1 exp 1 Zt2 + (1 + 21 1 )Zt 1
2 0
1
2
t + (x + 1 )
=
exp
2
1 2
1 ,0
)X
exp
(
.
Ex+
+
+
(
+
2
)X
1
1
1
1
t
t
1
2
Finally
1
1 ,0
exp (1 + )Xt2 + (1 + 21 1 )Xt
A = eC Ex+
1
2
where
C=
22
1
k
t + x2 k2 t 2x + 1 1 t 1 (1 1 + 1 )
t + (x + 1 )2 .
2
2
2
1 ,0
One can then nish the computation since, under Px+
the r.v. Xt is a
1
2
21 t
).
21 (1 e
m 2
m2
2
exp
( + 2 ) 2 .
E(exp{U + U }) =
2
with 2 =
2
, for 2 2 < 1.
1 2 2
127
E exp
s ds
= A(T ) exp
k
(T + x2 k
2
(s)ds 2(0)x)
2
T
T
1
2
f (s)ds +
g (s)ds
.
A(T ) = exp
2
0
0
where
Here,
eKs + eKs
,
eKs eKs
T
(T )v(T ) s ( (u) k(u))v(u)du
g(s) = k
v(s)
f (s) = K
k K 2T K
e
k 2 + 2 and =
.
k+K
E exp
s ds
0
= A(T ) exp
k
(T + x2 k
2
(s)ds 2(0)x)
2
128
The computation of A(T ) follows from Example 1.5.7.1 which requires the
solution of
f 2 (s) + f (s) = k2 + 2, s T,
f (s)g(s) + g (s) = k (s) k2 (s),
with the terminal condition at time T
f (T ) = k,
g(T ) = k(T ) .
eKs + eKs
.
eKs eKs
k K 2T K
e
. A straightforward computak+K
tion leads to the expression of g given in the proposition.
129
Zs11/(2) dWs
Zt = z + 2
2k
Zs ds + (2( 1) + )
0
Zs11/ ds .
0
Zs11/(2) dWs 2k
Zt = z + 2
0
Zs ds ,
0
or in dierential notation
dZt = Zt (dt + Zt dWt ) ,
with
= 2k, = 1/(2) = 1/( 2), = 2 .
The process Z is called a CEV process.
Comment 2.6.5.1 We shall study CIR processes in more details in
Section 6.3. See also Pitman and Yor [716, 717]. See Section 6.4, where
squares of OU processes are of major interest in constructing CEV processes.
(2.7.1)
130
St = S0 e(r)t eWt
2
2
The domestic (resp. foreign) interest rate r (resp. ) and the volatility
are constant. The term corresponds to a dividend yield for options (see
Subsection 2.3.5).
The method used in the Black and Scholes model will give us the PDE
evaluation for a European call. We give the details for the readers convenience.
In that setting, the PDE evaluation for a contingent claim H = h(ST )
takes the form
1
u V (x, T t) + (r )xx V (x, T t) + 2 x2 xx V (x, T t) = rV (x, T t)
2
(2.7.2)
with the initial condition V (x, 0) = h(x). Indeed, the process ert V (St , t)
is a Q-martingale, and an application of It
os formula leads to the previous
equality. Let us now consider the case of a European call option:
Proposition 2.7.1.1 The time-t value of the European call on an underlying
with risk-neutral dynamics (2.7.1) is CE (St , T t). The function CE satises
the following PDE:
1
CE
2 CE
(x, T t) + 2 x2
(x, T t)
u
2
x2
CE
(x, T t) = rCE (x, T t) (2.7.3)
+ (r )x
x
131
dSt1 = St1 ((r )dt + 1 dWt ) , dSt2 = St2 ((r )dt + 2 dBt )
where r is the risk-free interest rate and and are, respectively, the stock
1 and 2 dividend yields and 1 and 2 are the stock prices volatilities. The
correlation coecient between the two Brownian motions W and B is denoted
by . It is assumed that all of these parameters are constant. The payo at
maturity of the exchange call option is (ST1 ST2 )+ . The option price is
therefore given by:
CEX (S01 , S02 , T ) = EQ (erT (ST1 ST2 )+ ) = EQ (erT ST2 (XT 1)+ )
(2.7.5)
= S02 EQ (eT (XT 1)+ ) .
Here, Xt = St1 /St2 , and the probability measure Q is dened by its RadonNikod
ym derivative with respect to Q
2
22
dQ !!
(r)t St
t .
(2.7.6)
=e
= exp 2 Bt
dQ Ft
S02
2
Note that this change of probability is associated with a change of numeraire,
the new numeraire being the asset S 2 . Using It
os lemma, the dynamics of X
are
dXt = Xt [( + 22 1 2 )dt + 1 dWt 2 dBt ] .
Girsanovs theorem for correlated Brownian motions (see Subsection 1.7.4)
" and B
dened as
implies that the processes W
t = Bt 2 t ,
"t = Wt 2 t, B
W
are Q -Brownian motions with correlation . Hence, the dynamics of X are
"t 2 dB
t ] = Xt [( )dt + dZt ]
dXt = Xt [( )dt + 1 dW
where Z is a Q -Brownian motion dened as
"t 2 dB
t )
dZt = 1 (1 dW
#
and where
=
12 + 22 21 2 .
1
ln(S01 /S02 ) + ( )T
+ T , b2 = b 1 T .
2
T
132
This value is independent of the domestic risk-free rate r. Indeed, since the
second asset is the numeraire, its dividend yield, , plays the r
ole of the
domestic risk-free rate. The rst asset dividend yield , plays the role of
the foreign interest rate in the foreign currency option model developed by
Garman and Kohlhagen [373]. When the second asset plays the role of the
numeraire, in the risk-neutral economy the risk-adjusted trend of the process
(St1 /St2 , t 0) is the dividend yield dierential .
2.7.3 Quanto Options
In the context of the international diversication of portfolios, quanto
options can be useful. Indeed with these options, the problems of currency
risk and stock market movements can be managed simultaneously. Using
the model established in El Karoui and Cherif [298], the valuation of these
products can be obtained.
Let us assume that under the domestic risk-neutral probability Q, the
dynamics of the stock price S, in foreign currency units and of the currency
price X, in domestic units, are respectively given by:
dSt = St (( 1 2 )dt + 1 dWt )
dXt = Xt ((r )dt + 2 dBt )
(2.7.7)
133
1
ln(S0 /K) + ( )T
+ 1 T , b2 = b1 1 T .
2
1 T
ln(X0 S0 /K) + (r )T
1
+ XS T , b2 = b1 1 T .
2
XS T
134
rate (X is xed at time zero). The call price is therefore given by:
T K)+ )
Cqt3 (S0 , X0 , T ) := EQ (erT X(S
i.e.,
1
ln(S0 /K) + ( 1 2 )T
+ 1 T , b2 = b1 1 T .
2
1 T
1
ln(X0 /K) + (r + 1 2 )T
+ 2 T , b2 = b1 2 T .
2
2 T
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