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Assumptions
Important Assumptions
Core Financial Statements
Quarterly IS
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flows
Supporting Financial Modeling Schedules
Debt
Working Capital
Depreciation Schedule
Amortization Schedule
Shareholder's Equity
Shares Oustanding
Valuations
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Option Value
Box IPO
Assumptions
Dec-11
Jan-13
-24%
-49%
-169%
-43%
33%
100000
Jan-14
111%
-21%
-37%
-138%
-32%
20%
Jan-15
100%
-20%
-30%
-120%
-30%
5%
Jan-16
90%
-20%
-25%
-110%
-28%
5%
Jan-17
85%
-20%
-20%
-100%
-26%
5%
Jan-18
80%
-20%
-15%
-90%
-24%
5%
Jan-19
75%
-20%
-10%
-80%
-22%
5%
Box IPO
Quarterly Income Statement
Apr. 30,2012
2012
10,013
(2,355)
7,658
Operating expenses:
Research and development
Sales and marketing
General and administrative
Total operating expenses
(5,994)
(17,971)
(3,910)
(27,875)
(20,217)
(222)
9
(20,430)
3
Net loss
Accretion of redeemable convertible preferred stock
(20,433)
(20,433)
Net loss per share attributable to common stockholders, basic and diluted
(4)
Weighted-average shares used to compute net loss per share attributable to common 5,284
stockholders, basic and d
Pro forma net loss per share attributable to common stockholders, basic and diluted (unaudited)
Diluted Wt average Shares
EBITDA
Revenue
(% yoy)
10,013
Cost of revenue
% sales
-2,355
-23.5%
-5,994
-59.9%
-17,971
-179.5%
-3,910
-39.0%
-30,230
-301.9%
-20,217
-201.9%
Quarter Ended
Jul. 31,2012 Oct. 31,2012
2012
2012
Jan. 31,2013
2013
Apr. 30,2013
2013
Jul. 31,2013
2013
Oct. 31,2013
2013
12,958
(3,164)
9,794
16,164
(4,484)
11,680
19,662
(4,277)
15,385
23,414
(4,561)
18,853
28,364
(5,907)
22,457
33,585
(7,172)
26,413
(6,663)
(22,363)
(5,385)
(34,411)
(7,993)
(27,934)
(8,447)
(44,374)
(8,346)
(30,953)
(7,687)
(46,986)
(9,439)
(33,936)
(8,261)
(51,636)
(10,965)
(41,416)
(10,010)
(62,391)
(12,090)
(48,822)
(11,386)
(72,298)
(24,617)
(32,694)
(31,601)
(32,783)
(39,934)
(45,885)
(1,529)
(347)
6
(81)
(614)
-
(117)
(581)
101
(693)
(548)
(9)
(1,607)
(716)
(73)
(3,583)
(1,979)
111
(26,487)
-
(33,389)
8
(32,198)
48
(34,033)
6
(42,330)
(2,575)
(51,336)
55
(26,487)
(33,397)
(32,246)
(34,039)
(39,755)
(51,391)
(26,487)
(33,397)
(32,246)
(34,039)
(39,755)
(51,391)
(4)
(3)
(10,170)
(8,548)
(4)
6,099
7,684
d (unaudited)
11,341
(2)
8,294
12,958
16,164
19,662
21.6%
23,414
19.1%
28,364
21.1%
33,585
18.4%
-3,164
-24.4%
-4,484
-27.7%
-4,277
-21.8%
-4,561
-19.5%
-5,907
-20.8%
-7,172
-21.4%
-6,663
-51.4%
-22,363
-172.6%
-5,385
-41.6%
-7,993
-49.4%
-27,934
-172.8%
-8,447
-52.3%
-8,346
-42.4%
-30,953
-157.4%
-7,687
-39.1%
-9,439
-40.3%
-33,936
-144.9%
-8,261
-35.3%
-10,965
-38.7%
-41,416
-146.0%
-10,010
-35.3%
-12,090
-36.0%
-48,822
-145.4%
-11,386
-33.9%
-37,575
-290.0%
-48,858
-302.3%
-51,263
-260.7%
-56,197
-240.0%
-68,298
-240.8%
-79,470
-236.6%
-24,617
-190.0%
-32,694
-202.3%
-31,601
-160.7%
-32,783
-140.0%
-39,934
-140.8%
-45,885
-136.6%
0.0%
6.1%
-0.1%
Jan. 31,2014
2014
38,829
(8,334)
30,495
(13,473)
(47,014)
(10,186)
(70,673)
(40,178)
(2,594)
(462)
(55)
(43,289)
83
(43,372)
(43,372)
9,579
38,829
15.6%
-8,334
-21.5%
-13,473
-34.7%
-47,014
-121.1%
-10,186
-26.2%
-79,007
-203.5%
-40,178
-103.5%
-0.2%
Box IPO
Annual Income Statement
Historicals
($ in Million Except Per Share Amounts)
Dec-11
Jan-13
Jan-14
Revenue
Cost of revenue
Gross profit
21,084
(6,873)
14,211
58,797
(14,280)
44,517
124,192
(25,974)
98,218
(14,396)
(36,189)
(13,480)
(64,065)
(28,996)
(99,221)
(25,429)
(153,646)
(45,967)
(171,188)
(39,843)
(256,998)
(5,339)
(4,139)
(12,804)
(10,388)
(21,417)
(17,586)
(49,854)
(109,129)
(158,780)
(8,477)
(3,705)
(26)
Operating expenses:
Research and development
Sales and marketing
General and administrative
Total operating expenses
Per Month Operating Expense
Per Month Operating Expense (ex R&D)
(50,270)
1
(50,271)
(80)
(112,504)
59
(112,563)
(226)
(170,988)
(2,431)
(168,557)
(341)
(50,351)
(112,789)
(168,898)
21,084
58,797
178.9%
124,192
111.2%
(6,873)
-32.6%
(14,396)
-68.3%
(36,189)
(14,280)
-24.3%
(28,996)
-49.3%
(99,221)
(25,974)
-20.9%
(45,967)
-37.0%
(171,188)
EBITDA
Growth Analysis and Drivers
Revenue
(% yoy)
Cost of revenue
% sales
Research and development
% sales
Sales and marketing
% sales
General and administrative
% sales
-171.6%
(13,480)
-63.9%
-168.8%
(25,429)
-43.2%
-137.8%
(39,843)
-32.1%
(70,938)
-336.5%
(167,926)
-285.6%
(282,972)
-227.9%
(49,854)
-236.5%
(109,129)
-185.6%
(158,780)
-127.9%
1.4%
21,084
12,921
(3,614)
30,391
177.0%
58,797
40,099
(13,169)
85,727
182.1%
124,192
90,072
(40,099)
174,165
103.2%
43%
47%
52%
Forecasts
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
248,384
(49,677)
198,707
471,930
(94,386)
377,544
873,070
(174,614)
698,456
1,571,526
(314,305)
1,257,220
2,750,170
(550,034)
2,200,136
(74,515)
(298,061)
(74,515)
(447,091)
(117,982)
(519,123)
(132,140)
(769,245)
(174,614)
(873,070)
(226,998)
(1,274,682)
(235,729)
(1,414,373)
(377,166)
(2,027,268)
(275,017)
(2,200,136)
(605,037)
(3,080,190)
(37,258)
(31,048)
(64,104)
(54,272)
(106,223)
(91,672)
(168,939)
(149,295)
(256,683)
(233,764)
(248,384)
(391,702)
(576,226)
(770,048)
(880,054)
10,766
23,512
35,448
(1,986)
1,352
(250,370)
(250,370)
(390,350)
0
(390,350)
(565,460)
0
(565,460)
(746,535)
0
(746,535)
(844,606)
(844,606)
(250,370)
(390,350)
(565,460)
(746,535)
(844,606)
(218,620)
(354,364)
(526,469)
(695,518)
(805,524)
248,384
100.0%
471,930
90.0%
873,070
85.0%
1,571,526
80.0%
2,750,170
75.0%
(49,677)
-20.0%
(74,515)
-30.0%
(298,061)
(94,386)
-20.0%
(117,982)
-25.0%
(519,123)
(174,614)
-20.0%
(174,614)
-20.0%
(873,070)
(314,305)
-20.0%
(235,729)
-15.0%
(1,414,373)
(550,034)
-20.0%
(275,017)
-10.0%
(2,200,136)
-120.0%
(74,515)
-30.0%
-110.0%
(132,140)
-28.0%
-100.0%
(226,998)
-26.0%
-90.0%
(377,166)
-24.0%
-80.0%
(605,037)
-22.0%
(496,768)
-200.0%
(863,631)
-183.0%
(1,449,296)
-166.0%
(2,341,573)
-149.0%
(3,630,224)
-132.0%
(248,384)
-100.0%
(391,702)
-83.0%
(576,226)
-66.0%
(770,048)
-49.0%
(880,054)
-32.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
248,384
193,492
(90,072)
351,804
102.0%
471,930
340,312
(193,492)
618,749
75.9%
873,070
651,148
(340,312)
1,183,906
91.3%
1,571,526
1,124,906
(651,148)
2,045,283
72.8%
2,750,170
1,986,434
(1,124,906)
3,611,698
76.6%
55%
55%
55%
55%
55%
Box IPO
Annual Balance Sheet
Jan-13
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Accounts receivable
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
Deferred commissions
Total current assets
Property and equipment, net
Intangible assets, net
Goodwill
Other long-term assets
Total assets
127,625
17,218
8,177
8,959
161,979
29,949
830
0
3,034
195,792
LIABILITIES
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable
Accrued compensation and benefits
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities
Deferred revenue
Deferred rent
Debt
Total current liabilities
11,906
3,899
1,628
38,275
504
968
57,180
30,060
1,824
2,869
5,125
491
Total liabilities
97,549
281,899
1
10,129
-1,177
0
-192,609
Check
-183,656
195,792
-
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
108,851
42,669
7,776
7,152
166,448
206,118
85,063
14,903
13,661
319,746
100,000
161,620
28,316
25,956
315,892
100,000
298,996
52,384
48,019
499,400
100,000
538,194
94,292
86,434
818,919
100,000
941,839
165,010
151,259
1,358,108
41,385
6,567
8,081
12,948
26,823
6,268
8,081
12,948
15,770
5,940
8,081
12,948
10,585
9,387
8,081
12,948
14,786
17,090
8,081
12,948
77,918
30,687
8,081
12,948
235,429
373,866
358,631
540,401
871,824
1,487,743
12,405
16,098
14,161
78,282
1,213
122,159
24,498
29,806
12,419
193,492
2,235
262,451
46,546
56,632
23,596
340,312
4,247
182,489
653,823
86,111
104,768
43,653
651,148
7,858
523,771
1,417,310
155,000
188,583
78,576
1,124,906
14,144
934,061
2,495,269
271,250
330,020
137,508
1,986,434
24,752
1,205,830
3,955,794
34,000
11,790
0
4,086
1,343
32,514
11,790
0
4086
1343
16,257
11,790
0
4086
1343
0
11,790
0
4086
1343
0
11,790
0
4086
1343
0
11,790
0
4086
1343
173,378
312,184
687,299
1,434,529
2,512,488
3,973,013
0
9
424,370
-1,177
15
-361166
62,051
235,429
61,681
373,866
-328,669
358,631
-894,129
540,401
-1,640,664
871,824
-
-2,485,270
1,487,743
-
Box IPO
Annual Cash Flows
Dec-11
Jan-13
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
Net loss
(50,271)
(112,563)
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash used in operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
2,838
8,616
Stock-based compensation expense
6,222
7,536
Amortization of deferred commissions
1,688
7,028
Remeasurement of redeemable convertible preferred stock warrant
356 liability 1,727
Release of deferred tax valuation allowance
Other
214
628
Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of effects of acquisitions:
Accounts receivable
(4,102)
(11,499)
Deferred commissions
(3,108)
(14,027)
Prepaid expenses and other assets
(7,478)
(2,028)
Accounts payable
3,546
2,046
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
3,048
2,100
Deferred rent
3,467
1,755
Deferred revenue
9,307
26,930
Net cash used in operating activities
(34,273)
(81,751)
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES:
Purchases of marketable securities
(35,814)
Proceeds from maturity of marketable securities
12,000
Purchases of property and equipment
(13,467)
Investments in non-marketable equity securities
Acquisition, net of cash acquired and purchases of intangible(1,012)
assets
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities
(38,293)
Cash Flow available for Financing Activities
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
(168,557)
(250,370)
(390,350)
(565,460)
(746,535)
(844,606)
17,867
11,749
13,500
8,477
(2,590)
212
29,764
37,337
49,757
74,530
74,530
(25,157)
(13,999)
(3,792)
(3,177)
24,055
(330)
49,973
(91,769)
(42,394)
(6,509)
(7,127)
12,093
11,966
1,022
115,210
(76,557)
(12,295)
(13,413)
22,048
38,003
2,012
146,820
(137,377)
(22,063)
(24,068)
39,565
68,194
3,610
310,836
(239,197)
(38,415)
(41,907)
68,889
118,737
6,286
473,757
(403,645)
(64,825)
(70,719)
116,250
200,370
10,608
861,528
(136,344)
(246,395)
(277,006)
(323,856)
(120,510)
(12,419)
(23,596)
(43,653)
(78,576)
(137,508)
20,000
(19,499)
(125)
(62)
314
(24,424)
(7,761)
(32,185)
(81,437)
(6,786)
(123,954)
(10,330)
(2,484)
(2,360)
(4,365)
(7,858)
(13,751)
(14,903)
(25,956)
(48,019)
(86,434)
(151,259)
(151,247)
(272,351)
(325,025)
(410,289)
(271,769)
(1,486)
182,489
(16,257)
341,282
(16,257)
410,289
-
271,769
-
248,514
166,232
325,025
410,289
271,769
250,000
30,283
91,360
(18,774)
97,267
(106,118)
(0)
(0)
8,569
38,852
36,265
127,625
127,625
108,851
108,851
206,118
206,118
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
Box IPO
Debt Schedule
Dec-11
Jan-13
Jan-14
Jan-15
(151,246.6)
250,000.0
108,851.0
(100,000.0)
107,604.4
(1,486.0)
106,118.4
34,000.0
34,000.0
(1,486.0)
32,514.0
3.5%
-
33,257
3.5%
1,164
Interest Expense
(1) + (2): Total Interest Expense
1,164
Cash Balances
Cash Balance
Average Cash Balance
Interest Earned
108,851
2%
206,118
157,485
3,150
Jan-16
(272,350.8)
206,118.4
(100,000.0)
(166,232.3)
Jan-17
(325,025.1)
100,000.0
(100,000.0)
(325,025.1)
Jan-18
(410,289.4)
100,000.0
(100,000.0)
(410,289.4)
Jan-19
(271,769.5)
100,000.0
(100,000.0)
(271,769.5)
(16,257.0)
(182,489.3)
(16,257.0)
(341,282.1)
(410,289.4)
(271,769.5)
182,489.3
182,489.3
182,489.3
341,282.1
523,771.5
523,771.5
410,289.4
934,060.9
32,514.0
16,257.0
(16,257.0)
16,257.0
(16,257.0)
-
91,245
3.5%
3,193.6
353,130
3.5%
12,359.6
728,916
3.5%
25,512.1
1,069,946
3.5%
37,448.1
24,386
5.0%
1,219
8,129
5.0%
406
5.0%
-
5.0%
-
934,060.9
271,769.5
1,205,830.4
4,413
12,766
25,512
37,448
100,000
153,059
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
100,000
3,061
2,000
2,000
2,000
Box IPO
Working Capital
Dec-11
Jan-13
Jan-14
58,797
14,280
124,192
25,974
17,218
8,177
8,959
34,354
42,669
7,776
7,152
57,597
Accounts payable
Accrued compensation and benefits
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities
Deferred revenue
Deferred rent
Total Non-Debt Current Liabilities
11,906
3,899
1,628
38,275
504
56,212
12,405
16,098
14,161
78,282
1,213
122,159
(21,858)
(64,562)
Net Sales
Cost of Sales
42,704
Purchases
Ratios & Assumptions
Accounts Receivable, net (Collection period in days)
107
125
8,177
13.9%
7,776
6.3%
Deferred commissions
% of Sales
8,959
15.2%
7,152
5.8%
304
174
3,899
27.3%
16,098
62.0%
1,628
11.4%
14,161
54.5%
Deferred revenue
Deferred rent
% of COGS
38,275
504
3.5%
78,282
1,213
4.7%
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
248,384
49,677
471,930
94,386
873,070
174,614
1,571,526
314,305
2,750,170
550,034
85,063
14,903
13,661
113,627
161,620
28,316
25,956
215,892
298,996
52,384
48,019
399,400
538,194
94,292
86,434
718,919
941,839
165,010
151,259
1,258,108
24,498
29,806
12,419
193,492
2,235
262,451
46,546
56,632
23,596
340,312
4,247
471,334
86,111
104,768
43,653
651,148
7,858
893,539
155,000
188,583
78,576
1,124,906
14,144
1,561,208
271,250
330,020
137,508
1,986,434
24,752
2,749,964
(148,824)
(255,442)
(494,139)
(842,289)
84,262
106,618
238,697
348,150
649,566
125
125
125
125
125
(1,491,856)
14,903
6.0%
28,316
6.0%
52,384
6.0%
94,292
6.0%
165,010
6.0%
13,661
5.5%
25,956
5.5%
48,019
5.5%
86,434
5.5%
151,259
5.5%
180
180
180
180
180
29,806
60.0%
56,632
60.0%
104,768
60.0%
188,583
60.0%
330,020
60.0%
12,419
25.0%
23,596
25.0%
43,653
25.0%
78,576
25.0%
137,508
25.0%
193,492
2,235
4.5%
340,312
4,247
4.5%
651,148
7,858
4.5%
1,124,906
14,144
4.5%
1,986,434
24,752
4.5%
Box IPO
Consolidated Depreciation and Capex
Dec-11
Net Sales
Capital Expenditures
Capital Expenditures as % of Net Sales
Jan-13
58,797
19,499
33.2%
Jan-15
248,384
12,419
5.0%
41,385.0
12,419.2
(26,981.0)
41,385.0
26,823.2
Total Capex
Breakup
Servers
Computer hardware and software
Furniture and fixtures
Leasehold improvements
Construction in progress
Jan-14
124,192
24,424
19.7%
8,649
1,019
772
1,669
310
3
49,168
16,389.3
Year Capex
Useful Life
2015 8649.4784
3.0
2016 16434.009
3.0
2017 30402.917
3.0
2018
54725.25
3.0
2,883.2
Depreciation (Servers)
19,272.5
3
5,792.0
1,930.7
Year
2015
2016
2017
2018
339.6
2,270.3
1,462.7
3
4,388.0
Year
2015
2016
2017
2018
1,720.0
3
9,486.0
3,162.0
Year
2015
2016
2017
2018
257.3
556.2
3,718.2
26,981.0
Jan-16
471,930
23,596
5.0%
Jan-17
873,070
43,653
5.0%
Jan-18
1,571,526
78,576
5.0%
Jan-19
2,750,170
137,508
5.0%
26,823.2
23,596.5
(34,650.1)
15,769.6
43,653.5
(48,837.9)
10,585.2
78,576.3
(74,375.9)
14,785.6
137,508.5
(74,375.9)
15,769.6
10,585.2
14,785.6
77,918.2
s amounts
Useful Life
3
3
3
3
NA
Proportion of Assets
69.6%
8.2%
6.2% Straight Line Method of Depreciation
13.4% Straight Line Method of Depreciation
2.5% Straight Line Method of Depreciation
16,434
1,936
1,467
3,171
589
30,403
3,581
2,713
5,866
1,090
54,725
6,447
4,884
10,558
1,962
95,769
11,282
8,547
18,477
3,434
16,389.3
16,389.3
16,389.3
16,389.3
2,883.2
5,478.0
2,883.2
5,478.0
10,134.3
2,883.2
5,478.0
10,134.3
18,241.7
2,883.2
5,478.0
10,134.3
18,241.7
24,750.5
34,884.8
53,126.6
53,126.6
1,930.7
1,930.7
1,930.7
1,930.7
339.6
645.3
339.6
645.3
1,193.8
339.6
645.3
1,193.8
2,148.9
339.6
645.3
1,193.8
2,148.9
2,915.6
4,109.4
6,258.3
6,258.3
1,462.7
1,462.7
1,462.7
1,462.7
257.3
488.9
257.3
488.9
904.4
257.3
488.9
904.4
1,628.0
257.3
488.9
904.4
1,628.0
2,208.9
3,113.3
4,741.3
4,741.3
3,162.0
3,162.0
3,162.0
3,162.0
556.2
1,056.9
556.2
1,056.9
1,955.2
556.2
1,056.9
1,955.2
3,519.4
556.2
1,056.9
1,955.2
3,519.4
4,775.1
6,730.3
10,249.7
10,249.7
34,650.1
48,837.9
74,375.9
74,375.9
Box IPO
Consolidated Amortization & Intangible
Dec-11
Net Sales
Additions to Intangibles
Additions to Intangibles as % of Net Sales
Beginning Net Intangibles
Additions to Intangibles
(Amortization Expense)
(Intangible Sales and write offs)
Ending Net Intangibles
Jan-13
58,797
-62.0
-0.1%
Jan-14
124,192
-7761.0
-6.2%
6,567.0
Jan-15
248,384
2483.8
1.0%
Jan-16
471,930
2359.6
0.5%
6,567.0
2,483.8
(2,783.0)
6,267.8
2,359.6
(2,687.0)
6,267.8
5,940.5
Jan-17
873,070
4365.3
0.5%
Jan-18
1,571,526
7857.6
0.5%
Jan-19
2,750,170
13750.8
0.5%
5,940.5
4,365.3
(919.0)
9,386.8
7,857.6
(154.0)
17,090.5
13,750.8
(154.0)
9,386.8
17,090.5
30,687.3
Box IPO
Consolidated Shareholder's Equity
Dec-11
Beginning Equity Balance
Net Income
Issuance/ (Repurchase) of Equity
Ending Equity Balance
Jan-13
Jan-14
Jan-15
62,051.0
(250,369.7)
250,000
62,051.0
61,681.3
Jan-16
61,681.3
(390,349.9)
(328,668.6)
Jan-17
(328,668.6)
(565,460.1)
(894,128.7)
Jan-18
(894,128.7)
(746,535.5)
(1,640,664.1)
Jan-19
(1,640,664.1)
(844,606.2)
(2,485,270.3)
Box IPO
Valuing Box Inc Options
Assumptions
Inputs for Black-Scholes Model
Enter the current stock price =
Enter the strike price on the option =
Enter the expiration of the option =
Enter the standard deviation in stock prices =
Enter the annualized dividend yield on stock =
Enter the treasury bond rate =
Enter the number of warrants (options) outstanding =
Enter the number of shares outstanding =
20
3.65
4.225
48.00% << page F-35; 48% - 57%
0.00%
2.70%
18,427
90,461
20
3.65
19.4
3.65
4.225
Options Issued
Total Shares outstanding
T Bond Rate
Variance
Annualized dividend yield
Interest Rate
18427
90,461
2.70%
0.2304
0.00%
2.70%
d1 =
N (d1) =
2.2999
0.9893
d2 =
N (d2) =
1.3132
0.9054
16.20
$298,534
Box IPO
Shares Oustanding Schedule
Common Shares
Current Structure
Class A
Class B
Class B
Class B
New Class B Shares Issed through IPO
90,193,539
225,300 issuable upon vesting
41,840 future issuable
<< put your number here
90,460,679
13.27
Options Data
Shares Subject to
Outstanding Options
13,992,407
7,847,410
(2,267,540)
(189,936)
(955,266)
18,427,075
17,863,613
5,438,985
WeightedAverage Exercise
Price
1.84
6.16
1.32
0.73
3.77
3.65
3.62
1.57
Weighted-Average Remaining
Aggregate Intrinsic Value (in
Contractual Life (Years)
thousands)
8.69
38,954
8.45
8.44
7.49
191,809
186,436
67,947
Box IPO
DCF Valuations
Free Cash Flow Projections
Historicals
Dec-11
Jan-13
EBIT
(49,854)
(109,129)
(49,854)
2,838
(14,479)
(109,129)
8,616
(19,561)
(61,495)
(120,074)
NOLs
Cost of Capital
Infinite growth rate
15.0%
5%
Dec-11
Cash Flows
NPV of explicit period
Jan-13
(958,307)
Dec-11
Jan-13
(1,603,785)
2014
(958,307)
37.4%
(1,603,785)
62.6%
($2,562,092)
($74,851)
($2,487,241)
$298,534
($2,785,775)
(30.80) doesn't make sense due to negative FCFF
Sensitivity Analysis
growth
(30.80)
10%
8%
6%
5%
3%
1%
icals
Forecasts
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
(158,780)
(248,384)
(391,702)
(576,226)
(770,048)
(880,054)
(156,523)
17,867
(32,185)
42,704
(128,137)
(248,384)
29,764
(14,903)
84,262
(149,261)
(391,702)
37,337
(25,956)
106,618
(273,702)
(576,226)
49,757
(48,019)
238,697
(335,791)
(770,048)
74,530
(86,434)
348,150
(433,801)
(880,054)
74,530
(151,259)
649,566
(307,218)
263,700
512,084
903,786
Jan-14
Jan-15
(149,261)
Jan-16
(273,702)
Jan-17
(335,791)
Jan-18
(433,801)
Jan-19
(307,218)
Jan-14
Jan-15
0
Jan-16
0
Jan-17
0
Jan-18
0
Jan-19
(3,225,785)
WACC
1,480,012
2,250,059
3,130,113
12%
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
14%
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
15%
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
20%
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
25%
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
(30.8)
Box IPO
Relative Valuation
Company
Athenahealth
Bazaarvoice
Benefitfocus
BroadSoft
Concur Technologies
Constant Contact
Cornerstone OnDemand
Cvent
Dealertrack Technologies
Demandware
E2open
Fleetmatics Group
IntraLinks
Jive Software
LifeLock
LinkedIn
LivePerson
LogMeIn
Marin Software
Marketo
Medidata Solutions
NetSuite
Proofpoint
Qualys
Rally Software
RealPage
RingCentral
Salesforce
ServiceNow
SPS Commerce
Textura
The Ultimate Software Group
Veeva
Vocus
Wix
Workday
Xero
Ticker
ATHN
BV
BNFT
BSFT
CNQR
CTCT
CSOD
CVT
TRAK
DWRE
EOPN
FLTX
IL
JIVE
LOCK
LNKD
LPSN
LOGM
MRIN
MKTO
MDSO
N
PFPT
QLYS
RALY
RP
RNG
CRM
NOW
SPSC
TXTR
ULTI
VEEV
VOCS
WIX
WDAY
XRO
Price
MarketCap
$175.50
$7,095
$8.49
$653
$56.97
$1,551
$27.85
$842
$105.82
$6,352
$26.81
$878
$56.12
$3,244
$40.55
$1,892
$52.90
$2,978
$73.89
$2,913
$25.63
$784
$35.57
$1,416
$10.43
$639
$9.00
$702
$19.81
$2,016
$196.78
$25,527
$12.20
$750
$45.33
$1,201
$10.42
$364
$35.14
$1,645
$62.51
$3,497
$102.66
$8,288
$42.56
$1,894
$27.43
$1,040
$18.03
$440
$18.77
$1,520
$20.60
$1,489
$58.16
$37,603
$66.18
$10,824
$64.51
$1,100
$27.10
$733
$154.72
$4,664
$32.26
$4,768
$14.49
$327
$26.40
$1,261
$100.91
$20,789
$35.81
$4,502
EV
$7,254
$596
$1,473
$770
$6,161
$755
$3,154
$1,734
$3,016
$2,637
$776
$1,303
$629
$603
$1,843
$23,203
$658
$1,012
$266
$1,525
$3,486
$8,102
$1,797
$944
$345
$1,487
$1,408
$39,273
$10,604
$969
$658
$4,583
$4,480
$371
$1,159
$19,384
$4,455
$1,551
$4,545
$327
$37,603
$1,487
$4,402
$266
$39,273
Median
Mean
Low
High
Box Inc Valuations
EV/Revenue Implied
Box Revenue
EV
Debt
Cash
Equity Value
Price Per Share
Pessimistic
5.0x
248,384
1,241,920
2015
Base
Optimistic
7.1x
10.0x
248,384
248384
1,762,570 2,483,840
32,514
206,118
1,068,316
32,514
32,514
206,118
206,118
1,588,965 2,310,236
11.81
17.57
25.54
Note: All metrics are calendarized. Multiples >75x are considered not meaningful "NM".
source - www.bvp.com/cloud/comps, last updated on 15th March, 2014
Multiples
EV/Revenue
P/FCF EV/EBITDA
2014
2015
2014
2014
9.8x
7.9x
NM
54.4x
3.0x
2.6x
NM
NM
11.3x
9.0x
NM
NM
3.8x
3.3x
16.7x
15.8x
8.5x
6.8x
NM
53.0x
2.3x
2.1x
30.8x
15.2x
12.0x
8.6x
NM
NM
12.7x
10.1x
NA
NA
5.4x
4.7x
39.5x
22.1x
19.1x
14.2x
NM
NM
3.4x
2.8x
28.8x
11.2x
5.7x
4.6x
52.0x
20.2x
2.7x
2.5x
16.5x
15.6x
3.4x
2.8x
69.4x
NM
4.1x
3.5x
32.7x
39.7x
10.7x
7.8x
NM
44.3x
3.3x
2.8x
NM
29.0x
5.3x
4.5x
40.0x
29.6x
2.8x
2.3x
NM
NM
12.1x
9.4x
NM
NM
10.0x
8.7x
NM
39.4x
15.2x
11.8x
NM
NM
10.9x
8.4x
NM
NM
7.4x
6.2x
52.2x
45.6x
3.7x
3.0x
NM
NM
3.2x
2.8x
21.1x
13.1x
7.1x
5.5x
NM
NM
7.5x
6.1x
48.1x
43.8x
17.3x
12.0x
NM
NM
7.7x
6.3x
NM
64.0x
9.8x
6.5x
NM
NM
9.1x
7.4x
NM
40.8x
17.2x
13.8x
NM
NM
2.0x
1.9x
50.0x
12.2x
9.5x
7.0x
NM
NM
27.7x
19.1x
NM
NM
44.1x
23.7x
NM
NM
7.7x
9.5x
2.0x
44.1x
6.3x
7.1x
1.9x
23.7x
39.5x
38.3x
16.5x
69.4x
29.6x
32.0x
11.2x
64.0x
Revenue
2013
$592
$180
$103
$177
$579
$285
$186
$111
$479
$101
$176
$176
$229
$146
$368
$1,519
$178
$165
$77
$94
$276
$411
$133
$108
$74
$387
$158
$4,052
$420
$104
$42
$409
$205
$185
$79
$463
$52
$178
$364
$42
$4,052
% Revenue Growth
'13-'14
14-'15
26%
24%
10%
15%
26%
26%
15%
16%
25%
24%
13%
13%
42%
39%
24%
26%
17%
13%
36%
35%
29%
23%
29%
23%
3%
6%
23%
20%
21%
19%
43%
36%
13%
15%
15%
18%
22%
22%
33%
30%
26%
15%
30%
30%
25%
30%
19%
19%
25%
25%
19%
16%
26%
27%
29%
23%
46%
45%
20%
23%
62%
50%
23%
23%
27%
25%
3%
1%
55%
35%
51%
45%
94%
86%
25%
28%
3%
94%
23%
26%
1%
86%
Operating Metrics
% Margin
Gross
S&M
R&D
62%
25%
8%
67%
47%
21%
44%
35%
14%
81%
115%
22%
71%
41%
10%
72%
41%
15%
73%
62%
13%
74%
43%
9%
47%
35%
3%
75%
42%
19%
75%
32%
6%
75%
32%
6%
76%
62%
10%
67%
53%
34%
73%
44%
11%
87%
33%
26%
78%
32%
19%
90%
50%
18%
61%
55%
24%
61%
65%
32%
75%
22%
19%
71%
50%
17%
72%
52%
22%
77%
41%
22%
79%
52%
27%
65%
24%
15%
62%
NA
NA
80%
53%
14%
66%
40%
16%
70%
NA
NA
0%
NA
NA
60%
22%
18%
62%
NA
NA
82%
57%
7%
81%
NA
NA
63%
45%
38%
NA
NA
NA
72%
69%
0%
90%
43%
45%
22%
115%
17%
17%
3%
38%
FCF
9%
(28%)
(10%)
18%
4%
9%
5%
NA
12%
2%
11%
11%
13%
(7%)
17%
13%
3%
11%
(37%)
(30%)
12%
11%
4%
12%
(27%)
12%
(24%)
13%
3%
11%
(29%)
11%
16%
2%
(5%)
(12%)
(41%)
7%
(0%)
(41%)
18%
% Gross
Retention
NA
90%
NA
NA
95%
80%
93%
NA
85%
97%
97%
NA
85%
95%
NA
NA
81%
80%
81%
81%
NA
93%
85%
NA
85%
NA
NA
85%
97%
NA
NA
96%
NA
85%
NA
99%
NA
85%
89%
80%
99%