COAL DEMAND IN THE PHILIPPINES

ATTY. RINO E. ABAD

Director
Energy Resource Development Bureau, DOE

CURRENT DEMAND FOR COAL

Primary Energy Supply Mix (2013)

Primary Energy Supply Mix
in million tons of oil equivalent (MTOE)

Fuel Type/Source
Indigenous
Energy
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Hydro
Geothermal
Solar
Wind
Biomass
Biofuels
Net Imported
Energy
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Biofuels
Total Supply
Self-Sufficiency

2008
2013
Actual
23.9

25.5

1.9
3.2
0.7
2.5
9.2
0.0
0.0
6.3
0.1

3.7
2.9
0.7
2.5
8.3
0.0
0.0
7.3
0.2

16.6

19.5

4.5

6.3

12.1
0.0
40.5
59.0%

13.0
0.2
45.0
56.8%

Self-Sufficiency Mix

Imported
Energy
43%

Indigenous
Energy
57%

Primary Energy Supply Mix

PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY MIX

in million tons of oil equivalent (MTOE)

Fuel Type/Source

2008

2013
Actual

Indigenous Energy
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Hydro
Geothermal
Solar
Wind
Biomass
Biofuels

23.9
1.9
3.2
0.7
2.5
9.2
0.0
0.0
6.3
0.1

25.5
3.7
2.9
0.7
2.5
8.3
0.0
0.0
7.3
0.2

Net Imported
Energy

16.6

19.5

4.5

6.3

12.1
0.0
40.5
59.0%

13.0
0.2
45.0
56.8%

Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Biofuels
Total Supply
Self-Sufficiency

Wind
Solar

0%

Biomass
16%

Coal
22%

0%

Natural Gas

Geothermal

6%

18%
Oil
Hydro
6%

31%

Biofuel
1%

2013 COAL CONSUMPTION,

BY MAJOR TYPE OF USER
in thousand metric tons (MT)
Power Generation
Cement

14,762.46

Power Generation
Industrial Uses/Others

Cement

5%

3,154.69

17%
Industrial Uses/Others
Total

1,005.06
18,922.21

78%

2013 COAL CONSUMPTION,

BY MAJOR TYPE OF USER
in thousand metric tons (MT)
Power Generation
Cement

Industrial Uses/Others

Total

CONSUMPTION OF IMPORTED
COAL(76%)
12,408.30
1,017.012

CEMENT
7%

INDUSTRY
7%

989.28

14,414.59

POWER
86%

2013 COAL CONSUMPTION,

BY MAJOR TYPE OF USER
in thousand metric tons (MT)
Power Generation

2,353.80

Cement

2,042.92

Industrial Uses/Others

Total

44.41

4,441.14

CONSUMPTION OF LOCAL
COAL(24%)
INDUSTRY
0%

CEMENT
46%

POWER
53%

2013 COAL CONSUMPTION,

BY MAJOR TYPE OF USER
in thousand metric tons (MT)
TYPE OF COAL
BITUMINOUS
(IMPORTED)

ANTHRACITE
(IMPORTED)

CONSUMPTION BY TYPE OF
COAL

CONSUMPTION

SUBBITUMINOUS
24%

14,191.66

189.22 ANTHRACITE
1%

SUB-BITUMINOUS
(LOCAL)
TOTAL

4,541.33
18,922.21

BITUMINOUS
75%

2013 Coal Consumption for Power Generation

in thousand metric tons (MT)
LUZON (8)
POWER PLANT
(IC = 4,530.60 MW)

TYPE OF POWER
PLANT

LOCATION

Aboitiz/Thermal

PC

Pagbilao

1,764,882.00

San Miguel

PC

Sual

2, 654,871.00

Semirara/DMCI

PC/CFB

Calaca

1,509,230.00

AES-MPPCL

PC

Masinloc

Quezon Power

PC

Pagbilao

1,870,100.00

GN Power

PC

Bataan

1,539,132.00

Petron Corp

PC

Manila

CONSUMPTION (MT)

1,842,945.00

250,407.00

2013 Coal Consumption for Power Generation

in thousand metric tons (MT)
VISAYAS (3)
POWER PLANT
(IC = 805.6 MW)

TYPE OF POWER
PLANT

LOCATION
Toledo

Global Power Group

CFB

Cebu
Panay

Cebu Thermal Power Plant

PC

Cebu

Kepco-SPC

PC

Naga

CONSUMPTION
(MT)
64,932.00
933,905.00
596,138.00
106,632.00
816,978.00

2013 Coal Consumption for Power Generation

in thousand metric tons (MT)

MINDANAO (1)
POWER PLANT
(IC = 232 MW)

TYPE OF
POWER
PLANT

STEAG

PC

TOTAL
*Note: Total of 12 Power Plants

LOCATION CONSUMPTION (MT)

Misamis
Oriental

812,311.00
14,762,464.00

List of Cement Plants (17):

Cement Plants
Eagle Cement
Holcim (4)
La Farge (6)
Cemex (2)
Taiheiyo Cement
Goodfound Cement
Northern Cement
Pacific Cement
Total
A Total of 17 Cement Plants:

Holcim has 4 Plants

La Farge Has 6

Cemex has 2

Consumption (MT)
190,574.00
724,949.00
1,405,709.00
487,751.00
101,399.00
59,684.00
135,325.00
49,300.00
3,154,691.00

List of Industrial Plants (25):

Industrial Plants

Asian Alcohol

Consumption (MT)

29,610.19

Industrial Plants

Consumption (MT)

Industrial Plants
Consumption (MT)

Ligo

1,200.00

Del Monte
42,135.48

Asia Pacific
Energy
201,334.45
Phil. Sinter

215,505.48

Shemberg
10,529.45

Taganito HPAL
Nickel
114,000.00
Pacifc Meat

5,040.00

PERMEX
1,599.96

Pasar
8,013.86
Celebes

2,703.84
Sprint
Industrial
4,929.00

Philphos
5,040.00
Mega Fishing

2,010.48

UPPC
121,511

List of Industrial Plants:

Industrial Plants

Consumption (MT)

Industrial Plants
Consumption (MT)

Coral Bay

183,490.68

Columbus
3,853.92

TOTAL

Lopez Sugar

5,535.00

GenTuna
18,000.00

TATEH

2,068.80

Phidco
2,220.00

Quanta Paper

6,330.00

Philbest
5,790.00

Santeh Feeds

6,241.98

OCEAN CANNING
6,364.74
1,005,059.00

*Note: Total of 25 Industrial Plants

FUTURE COAL DEMAND

PHILIPPINE POLICY FRAMEWORK:

ENERGY
REFORM AGENDA ON ENSURING ENERGY
SECURITY, ACHIEVING OPTIMAL ENERGY PRICE
AND DEVELOPING SUSTAINABLE ENERGY
SYSTEM:
Continuous offering of prospective areas under the
PECR

Continuous implementation of small-scale coal

mining

PHILIPPINE POLICY FRAMEWORK:

ENERGY
REFORM AGENDA ON ENSURING ENERGY
SECURITY, ACHIEVING OPTIMAL ENERGY PRICE
AND DEVELOPING SUSTAINABLE ENERGY
SYSTEM:
Strengthening coordination with other agencies of
the Government on endorsement/permitting
requirements of coal contracts

Positive outlook of the Philippines towards

achieving lasting peace in conflict areas

PHILIPPINE ENERGY FRAMEWORK

(2014-2018)

HISTORICAL CONSUMPTION (2008-2013) AND

FORECASTED CONSUMPTION(2014-2018)
OVERALL COAL PERFORMANCE
30.00
in million MT

25.00
20.00
15.00

2008-2013

10.00

2014-2018

5.00
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

years

Consumption for the past five years has been increasing at an

average rate of 11% per year or around 1.6 MMT per year

Out of the 1.6 Million MT: (1) 0.384M (24%) Local

(2) 1.216M (76%) Imported

POWER GENERATION FORECAST (MW)

Power Generation, Total Philippines

POWER GENERATION MIX

in gigawatt-hours (GWh)
Source/Plant Type
Oil-Based

Coal
Natural Gas
Hydro
Geothermal
Other Renewable*

Total Generation
Self-Sufficiency (%)

*Wind,Solar,Biomass

Actual
2008

2013

4,868

4,491

15,749

32,081

19,576

18,791

9,843

10,019

10,723

9,605

63

279

60,821

75,266

67.1

56.2

Geothermal
13%

Other
Renewable*
0%

OilBased
6%

Hydro
13%
Coal
43%
Natural
Gas
25%

POWER GENERATION FORECAST (MW)

Highest Peak Demand (MW)
LUZON

Demand Growth Rate

4.20%

4.20%

4.20%

4.80%

4.80%

4.80%

GDP Growth Rate

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

Additional Capacity Required (MW)

416.00

348.81

363.46

432.83

453.60

475.38

Additional Regulating Reserve (MW)

16.64

13.95

14.54

17.31

18.14

19.02

1,659.62 1,729.33 1,801.96 1,888.45 1,979.10

2,074.09

Highest Peak Demand (MW)

VISAYAS

2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
8,305.00 8,653.81 9,017.27 9,450.10 9,903.70 10,379.08

Demand Growth Rate

4.20%

4.20%

4.20%

4.80%

4.80%

4.80%

GDP Growth Rate

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

Additional Capacity Required (MW)

108.57

69.70

72.63

86.49

90.65

95.00

4.34

2.79

2.91

3.46

3.63

3.80

1,394.98 1,453.56 1,514.61 1,587.32 1,663.51

1,743.36

Additional Regulating Reserve (MW)

Highest Peak Demand (MW)
Demand Growth Rate

4.20%

4.20%

4.20%

4.80%

4.80%

4.80%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

7.00%

Additional Capacity Required (MW)

73.98

58.59

61.05

72.70

76.19

79.85

Additional Regulating Reserve (MW)

2.96

2.34

2.44

2.91

3.05

3.19

MINDANAO GDP Growth Rate

Total Highest Peak Demand (MW)

11,359.60 11,836.70 12,333.84 12,925.87 13,546.31 14,196.53

Total Additional Capacity Required (MW)
622.49
496.19
517.03
615.71
645.26
676.23

FORECASTED DEMAND EQUIVALENT IN COAL (MT)

Year

Total Required Coal Power

Additional
Plant(43%)
Capacity (MW) (MW)

Equivalent Metric Equivalent Coal

Ton per Year per Requirement for
MW
Power (MT)

Total Coal Usage

Requirement (78%
for Power)

2013

622.49

267.67

4,320.00

1,156,340.04

1,482,487.23

2014

496.19

213.36

4,320.00

921,717.45

1,181,689.04

2015

517.03

222.32

4,320.00

960,429.59

1,231,319.98

2016

615.71

264.75

4,320.00

1,143,734.43

1,466,326.20

2017

645.26

277.46

4,320.00

1,198,633.69

1,536,709.85

2018

676.23

290.78

4,320.00

1,256,168.10

1,610,471.93

Note: (1) 1 MW= 12 MT/ Day; (2) 1 year = 360 days

Expected consumption, based from the above figures,
for the 2014 to 2018 will be around 1.4 MMT per year
Out of the 1.4 Million MT: (1) 0.34M Local (24%)
(2) 1.06M Imported(76%)

Summary of Committed Power Plants as of

September 2014

COMMITTED

TOTAL

LUZON

VISAYAS

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

1
7

TOTAL NO.
OF
MINDANAO
PLANTS
CAPACITY (MW)
2

217.00

1,017.00

1,275.00

960.00

460.00

14

3,929.00

Summary of Indicative Power Plants as of

September 2014
INDICATIVE

LUZON

VISAYAS

2015

TOTAL

MINDANAO

TOTAL

CAPACITY (MW)

20.00

2016

1,270.00

2017

2,200.00

2018

2,400.00

2019

1,200.00

2020

640.00

20

7,730.00

10

Committed Coal Power Plants (Luzon) as of September 2014

Name of the Project

Project Proponent

Location

135 MW Puting Bato Coal

Fired Power Plant Phase I

South Luzon Thermal

Energy Corp. (SLTEC)

Brgy. Puting Bato

West, Calaca,
Batangas

2 X 150 MW SLPGC CoalFired Power Plant Phase I

Southwest Luzon Power

Generation Corporation
(Project Company)

135 MW Puting Bato Coal

Fired Power Plant Phase II

South Luzon Thermal

Energy Corp. (SLTEC)

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

1,372.00

COAL

Anda Power Corporation's

82 MW Ciculating Fluidized Anda Power Corporation
Bed Coal Fired Power Plant
300 MW Limay Power Plant
SMC Consolidated
Project Phase I
Power Corporation
(2x150MW)
1 x 420 MW Pagbilao Coal- Pagbilao Energy
Fired Thermal Power Plant Corporation
San Buenaventura Power
Ltd. Co. (SBPL) Project

Rated Capacity
(MW)

San Buenaventura
Power Ltd. Co. (SBPL)

135

May 2014

October 2014

Brgy. San Rafael,

Calaca, Batangas

300

Unit I & II -December

2014

Brgy. Puting Bato

West, Calaca,
Batangas

135

June 2015

November 2015

Brgy. Bundagul,
Mabalacat,
Pampanga

82

June 2015

October 2015

Brgy. Lamao, Limay,

Bataan

300

Unit 1 - 150 MW Unit 1 - 150 MW -May 2016

March 2016
Unit 2 - 150 MW -September 2016
Unit 2 - 150 MW -July
2016

Pagbilao Power
Station, Nrgy.
Ibabang Polo,
Pagbilao, Quezon

420

Between May to
November 2017

November 2017

Mauban, Quezon

460

December 2017

June 2018

Unit 1 - March 2015

Unit 2 June 2015;

Indicative Coal Power Plants (Luzon)

Name of the Project

Project Proponent

Location

Rated Capacity
(MW)

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

Unit 1 - June 2018

Unit 2 - Dec 2018
Unit 3 - June 2019
Unit 4 - Dec 2019

Unit 1 - June 2018

Unit 2 - Dec 2018
Unit 3 - June 2019
Unit 4 - Dec 2019
(Target Testing & Commissioning Date)

5,740.00

COAL
4 X 150 MW Coal Fired
Thermal Power Plant

JG Summit Holdings, Brgy. Pinamukan Ibaba,

Inc.
Batangas City

600

2 X 20 MW FDC Camarines
CFB Coal Power Plant

FDC Utilities, Inc.

40

March 2016

Camarines Sur

TBA

2 X 300 MW Coal-Fired Power Redondo Peninsula

Plant
Energy, Inc.

Sitio Naglatore, Cawag,

Subic Bay Freeport Zone

600

Unit I - October 2016

Unit II - December
2016
(Target
Target Commercial Operation will be
Commencement of
Dependent on Supreme Court decision on
Construction will be
Writ of Kalikasan Case;
Dependent on Supreme
Court decision on Writ
of Kalikasan Case.)

2 X 150 MW SLPGC CoalFired Power Plant Phase II

Southwest Luzon
Power Generation
Corporation (Project
Company)

Brgy. San Rafael, Calaca,

Batangas

300

Unit I - 2016
Unit II - 2016

2017

2 X 300 MW Masinloc
Expansion

AES Masinloc Power

Partners Co., Inc.

600

Unit 3 (300 MW) October 2017

Unit 4 (300 MW) October 2017

3rd Quarter of 2017

(Target Testing and Commissioning)

Zambales

Indicative Coal Power Plants (Luzon)

Name of the Project

Project Proponent

Location

Rated Capacity
(MW)

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

5,740.00

COAL
1x300 MW Coal Power
Plant

Lucidum Energy, Inc.

2 X 600 MW Mariveles
Expansion Project

GNPower Mariveles Coal

Plant Ltd. Co.

Meralco PowerGen
2 x 600 MW (net) Coal- Corporation (Project
Fired Power Plant
Company: Atimonan
One Energy

Silanguin Bay,
Zambales

300

June 2017

June 2017
(Target Testing & Commissioning)

Mariveles, Bataan

1200

2018

2018

Atimonan, Quezon

1,200

2019

2019
Unit 1 - December 2016
Unit II - May 2017
(Target Testing & Commissioning)

300 MW Limay Power

Plant Project Phase II
(2x150MW)

SMC Consolidated
Power Corporation

Brgy. Lamao, Limay,

Bataan

300

Unit 1 - December
2016
Unit II - May 2017

600 MW Limay Power

Plant Project Phase III
(2x300MW)

SMC Consolidated
Power Corporation

Brgy. Lamao, Limay,

Bataan

600

Unit 1 - October 2017 Unit 1 - October 2017

Unit II - December
Unit II - December 2017
2017
(Target Testing & Commissioning)

1x300 MW Coal Power

Plant

Lucidum Energy, Inc.

Silanguin Bay,
Zambales

300

June 2017

June 2017
(Target Testing & Commissioning)

2 X 600 MW Mariveles
Expansion Project

GNPower Mariveles Coal

Plant Ltd. Co.

Mariveles, Bataan

1200

2018

2018

Committed Coal Power Plants (Visayas)

Name of the
Project

Project
Proponent

COAL
TPC Coal-Fired
Power Plant
Toledo Power
Expansion Project
Company
(1 x 82 MW CoalFired Power Plant

Location

Rated
Capacity
(MW)
352.00

Toledo City,
Cebu

82

October 2014

270

1st Unit - 3rd

Quarter of 2015
2nd Unit - May
1st Unit - 2nd Quarter of 2016
2016 to
2nd Unit - November 2016
September 2016
(specific dates for the 2nd unit
(specific dates for
will still be firmed up after 1st
the 2nd unit will
unit's commencement of
still be firmed up
construction) ;
after 1st unit's
commencement
of construction)

2 X 135 MW
Concepcion Coalfired Power Plant
Phase 1-135MW
(1st Unit)
Phase 2-135MW
(2nd Unit)

Target Testing &

Target Commercial Operation
Commissioning

Palm Thermal Brgy. Nipa,

Consolidated Concepcion,
Holdings Corp.
Iloilo

December 2014

Indicative Coal Power Plants (Visayas)

Name of the Project Project Proponent

Location

Rated Capacity Target Testing &

(MW)
Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

5,740.00

COAL
PEDC Expansion
Panay Energy
Project
Development
Former report
Corporation
(1x150 MW
(Global Business
Circulating Fluidized
Power
Bed (CFB) CoalCorporation)
Fired Power Plant)

Brgy. Ingore,
La Paz, Iloilo

1 X 20 MW FDC
Danao CFB Coal
Power Plant

FDC Utilities, Inc.

Danao City,
Cebu

300 MW Therma
Visayas Energy
Project

Therma Visayas
Inc.

Brgy. Bato,
Toledo City,
Cebu

150

May 2016

July 2016

20

2016

2016
(Target Testing and
Commissioning)

300

March 2017

June 2017

Committed Coal Power Plants (Mindanao)

Name of the Project

Project Proponent

Location

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

1,745.00

COAL
2 X 150 MW CoalFired Therma South
Energy Project

Rated Capacity
(MW)

Therma South Inc.

2 X 100 MW Southern
Sarangani Energy
Mindanao Coal Fired
Corporation
Power Station
3 X 135 MW FDCMisamis Circulating
Fluidized Bed (CFB) FDC Utilities, Inc.
Coal-Fired Power Plant
Project

Brgy. Binugao, Toril,

Davao City and
Brgy. Inawayan,
Sta. Cruz, Davao
Del Sur

Unit 1 Unit 1 - November 2014 31 March 2015

300

Brgy, Kamanga,
Maasim, Sarangani

200

Unit 2 -November 2014 Unit 2 30 June 2015

Phase 1 - February 2015
1st Unit - December
2015

Phividec Industrial
Estate, Villanueva,
Misamis Oriental

405

2nd Unit March 2016

3rd UnitJune 2016

300 MW SMC Davao

San Miguel
Power Plant Project
Consolidated Power
Phase I
Corporation
2x150MW

Brgy. Culaman,
Malita, Davao del
Sur

300

GNPower Kauswagan
GN Power
Ltd. 540MW Clean
Kauswagan Ltd. Co.
Coal-Fired Power Plant

Kauswagan, Lanao
del Norte

540

Unit 1 December 2015

Phase 1 - September 2015

1st Unit June 2016

2nd Unit - September 2016

3rd UnitDecember 2016

Unit 1 February 2016

Unit 2 -May 2016

Unit 2 -July 2016

(Target Testing & Commissioning)

February 2017

December 2017

Indicative Coal Power Plants (Mindanao)

Name of the Project Project Proponent
Name of the Project

Project Proponent

Location
Location

Rated Capacity
(MW)
Rated Capacity (MW)

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

1,230.00

COAL

5,740.00
COAL
Davao
del Norte 20
PEDC Expansion
MW Circulating
Project
Panay Energy
Fluidized
Bed
Maco, Davao del
Utilities, Inc.
20
Former report FDCDevelopment
Biomass-Coal Fired
Brgy.Norte
Ingore, La Paz,
(1x150 MW
Corporation
150
Iloilo
Thermal
Power
Circulating Fluidized (Global Business
Plant Bed (CFB) CoalPower Corporation)

March 2015
(Target Testing and Commissioning)

March 2015
May 2016

July 2016

2016
December
2015

2016
June 2016
(Target Testing
and Commissioning)

March 2017

June 2017

Fired Power Plant)

ZAM 100 MW
Sitio San Ramon,
1 X 20 MW FDC
Circulating
FluidizedSan FDC
Ramon
Power
Danao CFB Coal
Utilities, Inc. Bgry.
Danao
City, Cebu
Talisayan,
Bed (CFB)
Inc.
Power CoalPlant
Zamboanga City
Fired Power Station

20
100

Brgy. Bato, Toledo

City, Cebu

300

300 MW Therma
Visayas Energy
Project

Therma Visayas Inc.

600 MW SMC
San Miguel
Brgy. Culaman,
Davao Power Plant Consolidated Power Malita, Davao del
Project Phase III
Corporation
Sur

600

Phase I
Unit 1 (150MW) - January
2016
Unit 2 (150MW0 - June
2016
Phase II
300 MW - Dec 2018

Phase I
Unit 1 (150MW) - January 2016
Unit 2 (150MW0 - June 2016
(Testing and Commissioning)
Phase II
300 MW - Dec 2019

Indicative Coal Power Plants (Mindanao)

Name of the Project

Project Proponent

Location

Target Testing &

Commissioning

Target Commercial Operation

1,230.00

COAL

Sibuguey Power
Plant Project

Rated Capacity (MW)

Philippine National Oil

Company (PNOC-EC)

2x55 MW Balingasag
Thermal Power Plant
(Circulating Fluidized
Bed Combustion
(CFBC) Coal-Fired
Power Plant Plant)

Minergy Coal
Corporation

300 MW Coal Fired

Power Plant
Phase 1 - 2 x
Ozamiz Power
100MW
Generation, Inc.
Phase 2 - 1 x
100MW
300 MW SMC DavaoSan Miguel
Power Plant Project Consolidated Power
Phase II
Corporation

Sibugay,
Zamboanga

100

September 2016

September 2016
(Target Testing and Commissioning)

Brgy. Mandangoa,
Balingasag,
Misamis Oriental

110

January 2017

January 2017
(Target Testing and Commissioning)

Brgy. Pulot,Ozamiz
City,Misamis
Occidental

300

Phase 1 - 2 x 100MW - Phase 1 - 2 x 100MW -September

March 2018
2018
Phase 2 - 1 x 100MW - Phase 2 - 1 x 100MW - 2018
2018

Brgy. Culaman,
Malita, Davao del
Sur

300

December 2018

December 2018
(Target Testing and Commissioning)

Low Carbon Scenario vs. Business As Usual

2018 Business As Usual

2013 Energy Mix

Solar &
Biomass
16%

Coal

Geothermal

22%

18%

0%

0%

0%

0%

8%

Wind

Biofuels

Wind

Biofuels

Biomass

Solar &

Coal
Natural
Gas

7%

27%

Geothermal
21%

Gas

30%

5%

Oil

Natural

Oil

Hydro

9%

2018 Low Carbon Scenario

31%

Biofuels

Hydro

Solar &

6%

Wind

0%

0%

Biomass
8%

Coal

Total Energy: in million tons of oil equivalent

(MTOE)

YEAR
2013
2018
2030

BAU
44.90
50.60
73.85

LCS
44.90
50.60
77.52

27%
Geothermal
21%
Hydro
5%

Natural
Oil
30%

Gas
9%

Low Carbon Scenario vs. Business As Usual

2030 Business As Usual

Biomass

2018 Business As Usual

Solar &

Geothermal

Biofuels

Biomass

Wind

4%

3%

0%

8%

Biofuels
3%

Solar & Wind

0%
Hydro
15%

0%
Coal

Coal
39%

Oil

27%

25%

Geotherma
l

Natural Gas

21%

11%
Natural

Hydro

Gas

Oil

5%

9%

30%

Total Energy: in million tons of oil equivalent

(MTOE)

YEAR
2013
2018
2030

BAU
44.90
50.60
73.85

LCS
44.90
50.60
77.52

Low Carbon Scenario: Energy Supply Mix

Forecast
35.0
30.0

Coal: in million tons of oil

equivalent (MTOE)

25.0
20.0
BAU

15.0

LCS
10.0
5.0

Year

BAU Business As Usual

LCS Low Carbon Scenario

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

0.0

2013

LCS
10.201
10.916
11.9208
12.8752
13.9002
14.69
14.98
15.26
15.56
15.89
16.23
16.61
17.01
17.44
17.9
18.4
18.93

2008

BAU
10.201
10.916
11.9208
12.8752
13.9002
14.69
15.76
16.96
18.2
18.98
20.33
21.59
23.13
24.09
25.57
27.12
28.73

in MTOE

YEAR
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030

Thank you for your attention!