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Welcome to:

DOE Simplified:
An Overview of
Designed Experiments
By: Larry A. Scott
Principal: Process Technologies

Agenda
Intro to DOE:
Full Two-Level Factorials
Design: Eye-Hand Exercise
Analysis:
Interactions The Hidden Gold
Example: Engine Performance
Overall Strategy Of DOE

DOE Works on Any Process

DOE is:
Controllable Factors (X)

Process

A series of tests,
in which purposeful changes
are made to input factors,

Responses (Y)

so that you may identify causes


for significant changes
in the output responses.

Uncontrollable Variables (Z)

Design Terminology

OFAT vs. DOE (factorials)


Factor Effects
Main Effects
Interactions (effects)
Balanced Test Matrix
Array Codes
Prediction Equations (Y = mX + b)
Y = b0 + b1X1 + b2X2 + b12X1X2

Full TwoLevel Factorial Design

Run high/low combos of two or more factors


Use statistics to identify the critical few
Main effects
Interactions (the hidden gold!)

What could be simpler?

Exercise: Eye-Hand Coordination

Your mission: In a 10 second span, mark


as many dots in two circles as you can.
You must alternate between circles and
use only one hand.
2 inch

1 inch

Response: Number of dots in both circles.

Eye-Hand Coordination

Factors:
A. Which hand holds the pen:
Non-Dominant hand (ND)
+ Dominant (D)
B. Size of circle:
Small
+ Large

Eye-Hand Coordination
Factor Space and Test Matrix

Large

B
-

Small

ND

A
Hand

B
Size

AB

___

___

___

___

Eye-Hand Coordination
Templates
1. Small, Dominant: ___
2. Large, Dominant: ___

3. Small, Non-Dominant: ___


4. Large, Non-Dominant: ___

Eye-Hand Coordination
Procedure for Doing Exercise

1. Write the numbers 1 through 4 on four


slips of paper. Put these in one hand
and blindly pull out at random.

2. Following procedure in your notes,

perform tests in random run order.


Record data (Y) in blank at bottom of
templates. Chart on following graph.

Eye-Hand Exercise Outline

Reference:
DOE Simplified Practical Tools for Effective Experimentation
by Mark J. Anderson and Patrick J. Whitcomb, Productivity, Inc., Portland, OR
(2000).*

Eye-Hand Coordination
Interaction Graph
The Y-axis shows
the number of
dots (cycles).
Plot the data for
D vs. ND for the
small circles,
connect with a
line and label.
Then do same for
the large circles.

20

15

10

Non-Dominant

Dominant

Hand

Eye-Hand Coordination
Interaction Graph

Using statistical software, lets see how


well the Stat-Ease programming staff did
on this exercise and compare results.

Eye-Hand Coordination
Interaction Graph (published*)

Bullseyes

In this case, there


was a significant
interaction: the
effect of switching
hands became
more pronounced
with large circles.
"#

$%& '

B: Circle Size

45
40
35
30

Large

25
20

Small

15

Non-dominant

Dominant

A: Hand
+

,-.$
/ 00 $*

1$*2
$)

Real-World Example: OFAT Misses


Breakthrough Interaction!
130
B+

Life

90
50

B
10

A+

Eye-Hand Coordination
Factor Space and Test Matrix

Large

B
-

Small

ND

A
Hand

B
Size

AB

___

___

___

___

Relative Efficiency of Factorial vs


One Factor at a Time (OFAT)

(4

5 66666666666666

(4

5 66666666666666

(4

5 66666666666666

(4

566666666666666

(4

566666666666666

5 66666666666666

Advantages of DOE vs. OFAT


9 .
9 )

:.

9
9 2
9

,
8

9 .;

4
1

9 <
9

)
,

,
2

Relative Efficiency of Factorial vs.


One Factor at a Time (OFAT)
16
B+

128
85

26
19

21
C+

17

25
CA+

B-A-

Relative efficiency = 16/


16/8 = 2

Case Study: 23 Factorial Design


Background: An engineer wants to study the effect
of three factors on mileage performance of an engine.

'

Factor

Low ()

High (+)

Engine Speed (rpm)

2000

5000

Engine Torque (lb/ft)

52

Spark Angle (deg)

10

30

!
*

"

# $ $ %&
! (

23 Full Factorial Array


Std

Order

Y1

Y2

2000

10

4.5

13

5000

10

15.5

77

2000

32

10

9.8

201

5000

32

10

29.0

528

2000

30

3.7

27

5000

30

12.5

219

2000

32

30

9.1

324

5000

32

30

25.8

1010

Responses:
Y1 = fuel flow (lb/hr)
Y2 = NOx (g/hr)

Fuel Flow:
All Effects Calculated
Std

AB

AC

BC

ABC

Y1

4.5

15.5

9.8

29

3.7

12.5

9.1

Effect

9.38

-1.92

4.02

-1.18

+
+
25.8
-0.03 -2.13 13.73

Fill in effect of A. Which, if any, effects are significant?

Fuel Flow (Y1):


Calculating Effect of A (Engine Speed)
9.1

25.8

3.7

General formula:

12.5

+
9.8

Effect =

29
B

n+

Y
n

C
A

4.5
15.5
Engine speed

A effect =

Y+

15.5 + 29 + 12.5 + 25.8

4.5 + 9.8 + 3.7 + 9.1

= 13.4

Half-Normal Plot:
Identify the Big Effects

99

99
97
B

90
85
80
70
=

97
95

90
85
80
70
60

A
C
AB

B
AB

40
20
0

40
20
0
0.00

0.24

0.47
Effect

0.71

0.94

0.00

3.48

6.96
Effect

10.44

13.93

Sparsity of Effects Principle


Two types of effects:

Vital Few: the big ones we want to catch


20 % of ME'
s and 2FI'
s will be significant.

Trivial Many: the remainder that result from random variation.


These effects will be centered on zero.
Since they are based on averages,
you can assume normality
by the Central Limit Theorem*.

Half-Normal Probability Paper


92.86

78.57

Significant effects
(the vital few) fall
abnormally high (to
the right) on the
absolute effect
scale. These are
the keepers.

Pi
64.29

AB

50.00
35.71
21.43
7.14
0

|Effect|

12

15

What do you do with


the little ones?

Interactions The Hidden Gold


Fuel flow

The effect of speed


depends on the level
of torque. This is an
interaction.
Can you explain
whats happening to
the fuel flow?

30
24

gh
Hi

18
12

Lo

ee
Sp

d
pe e
s
w

6
0

B-

torque

B+

Analysis of Variance Report


(ANOVA)
!

*
+

0 00
= 0
= 3

2
>.
?.
>?

03

!3 =

)
+ @

!
0
0
=

" #$

%&
%%%'

New!

Minimum-Run Resolution IV Designs*


The minimum number of runs for
resolution IV design is only two times the
number of factors (runs = 2k). This can offer
quite a savings when compared to a regular
resolution IV 2k-p fraction.

! " #"

%&

%'(
)*+

Minimum-Run Resolution IV Designs


k

2k-p

Min

2k-p

Min

16

12

16

32

32*

16

14

17

64

34

16

16*

18

64

36

32

18

19

64

38

10

32

20

20

64

40

11

32

22

21

64

42

12

32

24

22

64

44

13

32

26

23

64

46

14

32

28

24

64

48

15

32

30

25

64

50

./

RSM: When to Apply It


Use factorial
design to get close
to the peak. Then
RSM to climb it.

Region of Interest

Region of Operability

RSM vs OFAT
Response

95
88
80
73
65

n
o
p
s
e
R

4
2
90

Factor B

85

0
-2
-4 -4

-2

90
4

75

Factor A
Response

Response

80
75

n
o
p
s
e
R

70

60

45

65
30

60
-2

-1

-2

-1

Factor A

Factor B

Advantages of DOE vs. OFAT


9 .
9 )

:.

9
9 2
9

,
8

9 .;

4
1

9 <
9

)
,

,
2

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