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January 24 PDUFA date set for patented, drug with large market potential = near term catalyst
Shares may be coming off double bottom formation
Completed capital raise in November by BofA Merrill Lynch at 9:00/share for net proceeds of $54.7 million
$53 million in ttm revenue from existing operations
Overview/Share Structure
Rockwell Medical, Inc. (RMTI) is a biopharmaceutical company targeting end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and
chronic kidney disease (CKD) with products and services for the treatment of iron deficiency anemia, secondary
hyperparathyroidism and hemodialysis.
Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Wixom, MI, Rockwell Medical has 286 full time employees.
Shares outstanding: 46.6 million (following November capital raise)
Insider ownership: 18.6% with 420,000 shares purchased in last 4 months and zero insider sells
Institutional ownership: 22-28% (depending on source)
Existing Operations
Risk in RMTI is somewhat mitigated in the fact the company has a 20 year operating history and ttm revenues of $53 million from sales of various
solutions and products for dialysis. In October 2014, the company entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with Baxter Healthcare, a $40 billion
industry giant, to market their dialysis solutions (listen to conference call). So, unlike a pharma microcap with one product thats make or break leading
up to the PDUFA date, RMIT has several irons in the fire for future revenue expansion.
Analyst Estimates
For those who follow analyst estimates, there are 5 currently covering Rockwell Medical. Their average estimate for 2014 is for a loss of .46/share,
improving (dramatically) to positive earnings of .24/share for 2015.
Suggested Trade
I believe shares have a reasonably strong chance of coming off the bottom here and are likely to move up rapidly by January as the 1/24/2015 PDUFA
date nears.
Buy RMTI shares above recent $8.10 low and below $9 with a tight stop loss. Should shares be under $8.10 by the time you read this- you might
consider holding off for even lower prices as the year winds down and tax loss sellers complete their exit.
Disclosure: I am long RMTI @ $8.14
Gary Anderson