Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy
INTERNAL
NEGATIVE
STRENGHTS:
Very high quality product.
Strong brand image.
Large market share
WEAKNESSES:
High reliance on debt financing
Large investments on accounts
receivables.
Longer terms of trade
EXTERNAL
POSITIVE
OPPORTUNITIES:
Development
of
international
expansion.
High demand in the coming years.
THREATS:
Risk on bad debt expense may
increase materially.
Potential new entrants.
Strengths
Over the past years, Schweitzers were into brewery and not finance or marketing. From this, rest assured
that they would give very high quality products because brewery has been in their family for so long. In
fact, the company had been doing business for 12 generations in the Schweitzer family. It earned a very
strong brand image. Through years of practice, Schweitzers were able to produce products that could be
sold at a price they asked for which favored their Company as the consumers still insist in buying their
products. Aside from those, the beer won popularity for its full-bodied, malty taste. Deutsche Brauerei has
a large market share in Germany and it manages to capture a good market share in Ukraine.
Weaknesses
One weakness of the Deutsche Brauerei is that they highly rely on debt financing. Aside from that, the
company also has large investments on accounts receivables because they believe that trade-credit
concessions are the best financing they can use and they trust their distributors too much believing that it
is one of the best way they can earn profit the most especially in Ukraine. They also plan to extend the
terms that they give which is a bit risky for the company.
Opportunities
Given that the company expects a high demand for product in coming years, the company who has a
very strong brand image has a high possibility succeeding in global expansion since consumers would be
interested in imported high quality products.
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy
Threats
Bad debt amount may increase as the company has large investments on accounts receivable. Relaxing
the payment term may have negative impact for the company. Other threat for the company is
competition. As the boom in the beer industry continues, potential entrance of competitors also increases.
Lastly, the global economic recession may affect the company in the future.
Alternative Courses of Action
Greta Schwitzeir should suggest:
(A. 2001 Financial plan budget)
To continue Olegs proposal to invest in a new plant and equipment in Ukraine in 2001 amounting
to EURO7 million in order to exhaust existing unused product capacity by late 2001. Since past
expansions brought success to the company, there will be a high probability that future expansions will
also make the company profitable in the future which was shown in the forecasted income statement
(Appendix A). How profitable this investment would have, will depend on the ability to manage possible
risk. The computations in Appendix B provide further explanations for the acceptance of the investment.
NPV is positive and therefore, the proposal should be accepted.
To provide controls on distributor performance in order to be aware of significant changes such
controls include monthly reports, visits and inspections of facilities and inventories and constant
monitoring of receivables collection. Comparisons in Exhibit 7 shows that some of the distributors provide
lower profit margins for the company due to poor cost control. Greta should also suggest to tighten the
credit policy toward the Ukrainian distributors in order to reduce borrowing needs and revert back to the
original credit term of the company for all distributors, which is 41 days as shown in Appendix C.
To stop the Ukrainian expansion since the analysis that Pinchuk made ignores relevant data that
can significantly affect the return on investment, such relevant data includes inventories and fixed assets.
Also, Pinchuks analysis assumes no losses on credit extended which takes for granted the possible risk
of the expansion. A sensitivity analysis on credit losses computed in Appendix D shows a high loss rate
than the usual credit losses. The 32 % loss in outstanding receivables made the ROI fall below the
Deutsches cost of borrowing which should be higher than the normal rate.
(B. Declaration of the quarterly dividend)
To reduce its payout ratio since 75% is a huge ratio that may discourage the debt holder since
the company is relying on long term debt and new investment for further business expansion.
To retain the 75% payout ratio and not cut too much dividend considering the issue that the board
of directors cannot tolerate the dividend reduction since it is mainly composed of family members and
most of them are retired person. The 75% dividend payout will still provide a high ROE as shown in
Appendix E.
(C. Adoption of compensation scheme for Oleg Pinchuks salary raise)
To not increase Pinchuks base salary from EURO40,000 to EURO48,500 and not consider the
incentive payment of .6 percent of the annual increase in sales since Lukas Schwitzeir only focus on
Pinchuks sales accomplishments which is the rapid growth of sales and distributorship without
considering the investors interest and concern that one day the expansion in Ukraine will stop, and when
it does, the huge field inventory will spoil and the receivables will default.
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy
Recommendations
Given all the facts and events that are present in Deutsche Brauerei and upon considering
Ukraines investments to inventories and capital expenditure, we recommend to improve the credit policy
of Deutsche Brauerie for Ukranian distributors giving them higher discounts to them who pay their
accounts in full or on time. It will lead to reduction of the chance of getting past due payments and
minimizing their receivables as a response to projected increase in the bad debt expense of the company.
With regards to the expansion plan, we recommend that Deutsche Brauerie should be careful in
when to purchase the equipment. They should not heavily rely on financing. There is an assumption by
Oleg that Ukraine Sales will increase further, but the beer market is still on its early stage and it will be
risky for the company to assume right away. Aside from that, decrease in market share and volume sales
are inevitable in their case, thus, expansion plan should not be their focus.
Also, they should be careful and conservative in declaring dividend to see if the forecasted
amounts match actual earnings. If the record shows meeting projections with the actual earnings,
Deutsche Brauerie could pay higher dividend in order to achieve 75% dividend payment. For the
meantime, the companys focus should be the future generations as they are always into their familys
business which they had preserved and improved for twelve generations already. Lastly, increasing
incentives for Oleg is a must. However, only the fixed income should be increased, but should leave the
compensation at 5%, as the projected increase in volume sales will still net Oleg a reasonable incentive
package.
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy
APPENDICES
APPENDIX A
DEUTSCHE BRAUEREI
Historical and Projected Balance Sheets
Fiscal Year Ended December 31; all figures in thousands
APPENDIX B
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy
APPENDIX C
DEUTSCHE BRAUEREI
Sensitivity Analysis of Financial Forecast
(in thousands of euros)
The following table gives the short-term debt balances, annual net income, and return on equity
for the following three scenarios, in which changes have been made solely in the indicated assumptions:
A.
Credit extension is cut back in the east to 41 days and the annual rate of sales in the east grows
only 2% per year (down from 45% and 30%).
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy
B.
The plant is not expanded in 2001 and 2002; company sales growth in the east and west is only
2% per year. Days sales outstanding in both east and west are 41 days.
C.
APPENDIX D
Sensitivity Analysis of ROI to Variations in Credit Loss Percentage
APPENDIX E
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Osial, Krystal Anne, General, Jan Michael, Padua, Blessy, Ybaez, Noemi Joy