Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Session: 2013-2014
Subject: Managerial Economics (NMBA-012)
Questions bank:
1. Define Managerial Economics and discuss the nature and scope of managerial economics in the context of business decisions.
Managerial Economics is the integration of economic theory with business practice for the purpose of facilitating decision making and forward planning by management.
Explain
Sol: Managerial economics is essentially applied economics in the field of business management. It is the economics of business or managerial decisions. It pertains to all
economic aspects of managerial decision making.
Managerial economics is concerned with the application of economics concepts and economics to the problems of formulating rational decision making- Mansfield
Managerial economics may be defined as the integration of economic theory with business practice for the purpose of facilitating decision making and forward planning by
management.- Spencer and Seigelman
It will be useful to understand the meaning of two wards-decision making and forward planning
Decision making-selecting one out of a set of two or more alternatives.
Forward planning- planning for the future.
Management has to make decision and forward plan on the basis of past statistical data, present information and future anticipation. It helps management in making right
decision and planning for future in an atmosphere of uncertainty.
Nature of Managerial Economics
6.
Contribution Analysis: The contribution of a business decision refers to the difference b/w the incremental revenue and incremental cost
associated with that particular decision. It is a useful technique for taking various decisions- acceptance/ rejection, introduce new plant, make/
buy.
7.
Marginal Principle: Marginal refers to the change in total qty or value due to a one unit change in its determinant. Marginality concept assumes special significance
where maximization or minimization problem is involved- maximization of a consumer utility, maximization of a firms profit and minimization of cost etc.
3. Explain the role and responsibilities of a Managerial Economist.
Sol: Role and Responsibilities of a Managerial Economist
A managerial economist in a business firm may carry on a wide range of duties, such as:
Analysis of the market survey to determine the nature and extent of competition.
Discovering new and possible fields of business endeavour and its cost-benefit analysis as well as
feasibility studies.
4. What do you understand by law of Demand? Discuss the factors which bring about changes in Demand and its exceptions? Why does the demand curve usually slope
downward to the right?
Sol: Law of Demand: State that when other factor remain the same then price increase, demand decrease
and when price decrease, demand increase.
According to Samuelson, when the price of a commodity is raised less of it is demanded or if a greater
quantity of a commodity is put on the market, then other things being equal it can be sold at a lower price.
Assumptions Underlying the Law of Demand
Price of a commodity- effect the demand that way before purchasing anything first know the price, after that decide, how much to purchased. When the
price of a commodity is raised less of it is demanded or if a greater quantity of a commodity at lower price.
Income of a consumer- A rise in the consumers income raises the demand for a commodity and a fall in his income reduces the demand for it.
Tastes, habits and preferences (People with different tastes and habits have different preferences for different goods)-when there is a change in the taste of
consumers in favour of a commodity, due to fashion, its demand will rise with no change in its present prevailing price.
Consumers expectation regarding the future- When a consumer expects its price to fall in future, tend to buy less at the present prevailing price.
Similarly if consumer expects its price to rise in future, buy more at present.
Advertisement effect and sales propaganda-demand for many products in the present day are influenced by the seller efforts through advertisements
Climate and weather condition- Demand for certain products are determined by climate and weather conditions. In summer there is a greater demand for
coolers and ACs.
Distribution of income and wealth-If there is equal distribution of wealth, the market demand for any product of common consumption tends to be greater
than in the case of unequal distribution.
Growth of Population and no of buyer- A high growth of population over a period of time tends to imply a rising demand for essential gods and services in
general.
Social customs and festivals- demand for certain goods are determined by social customs, festival etc. during diwali there is greater demand for sweets and
crackers.
Taxation- A progressively high tax would mean a low demand for goods in general while highly taxed commodity will have a relatively lower demand than
untaxed commodity.
Age structure and sex ratio of the population affect the demand for many goods. If the population pyramid of a area is broad based with kids/teenagers then
demand for toys, stationary required by children will be much higher than goods needed by elderly people.
Exceptional Cases
Giffen goods- introduced by Robert giffen when the price falls, quite often less qty will be purchased then before because of the negative income
effect and consumer increasing preferences for a superior commodity with the rise in their real income
Articles of snob appeal-Certain goods are demanded only because they happen to be expensive or prestige goods(status symbol)
Speculation- prices that are rising now. When consumer expects that the price of any commodity will increase in the near future with the prices that
are rising now. In that case buy more at increasing prices. Whereas anticipate that the price will fall in future consumer shall buy less`
Consumers psychological bias that product having high price, is qualitative product.
Necessities- It is not applicable in the case of necessities of life such as food grains, milk etc.
Ignorance and emergency- caused by war, famine political etc. During these periods consumers behave in an abnormal way. They accentuate
scarcities and further price rises by making more purchases even at higher prices
Demand curve slope downward due to following reason
Negative correlation b/w price and qty demanded-As per law of demand, a negative correlation b/w prices and qty. more will be purchased at lower price
and vice versa, makes the demand curve to slope downward toward right.
Law of diminishing marginal utility- According to this law, with the successive increase in the units of consumption of a commodity, every additional unit
gives lesser satisfaction. In order to increase consumption, consumer pays lower prices.
Income effect- Due to fall in prices, consumer can afford to buy more or buy some other commodity, his real income increases. It is called income effect.
Substitution effect- when the commodity becomes dearer consumer tries to substitutes that commodity with other commodity. This is called substitutes
effect.
No. of consumers/potential buyer- those buyers who are ready to buy the commodity, but cannot buy because of high prices. As soon as the price falls, they
put forward their demand and demand increase.
Different uses of a commodity- A commodity of trends to be put to more uses or less important uses when its price is lowered. Increase in price will compel
the consumers to withdraw that from unimportant uses.
5. What do you understand by elasticity of demand? Discuss its different kinds.
Price Elasticity of Demand - The price elasticity is defined as a ratio percentage or proportional change in the quantity demanded to the percentage
or proportional change in price
Income Elasticity of Demand - The income elasticity is defined as a ratio percentage or proportional change in the quantity demanded to the
percentage or proportional change in income
Cross Elasticity of Demand - The cross elasticity is defined as a ratio percentage or proportional change in the quantity demanded to the
percentage or proportional change in price of related product.
Advertising/ promotional Elasticity of Demand- The advertising elasticity is defined as a ratio percentage or proportional change in the quantity
demanded to the percentage or proportional change in advertisement and promotional expenditure for a commodity.
Nature of commodity
Availability of substitutes
Number of uses
Consumers income
Proportion of expenditure
Habit
Complementary goods
Time
Recurrence of demand
Possibility of postponement
Managerial uses of price elasticity of demand
Determination of price
Determination of wages
Effect on employment
6. Define demand forecasting. Explain the purposes of short-term and long-term forecasting?
Sol: Demand forecasting:
forecasting: Prediction of probable demand for the quantity produced for the market or an estimation of future demand. The importance of demand forecasting to
business planning.
Good production and sales planning require forecasts of the business conditions and of their relationship to demand. In fact it is to minimize the uncertainties of the unknown future
that these forecasts are needed. The more realistic the forecasts more effective decisions can be taken for tomorrow.
Expectations about the future course of the market demand for a product.
It is based on the statistical data about past behaviour and empirical relationships of the determinants.
Features
1. Estimation for specified future period.
2. Only prediction, not necessarily an accurate quantification.
3. Heavily based on historical data.
4. Influenced by micro and macro factor.
Purpose of demand forecasting
Production planning
Sales forecasting
Control of business
Inventory control
Stability
Assumptions:
Change in technology
Technological changes.
8. What are the salient features of perfect competition? How is the price policy determined under perfect competition?
Sol: Perfect Competition
It refers to the market structure characterized by many firms to compete in producing identical goods and the market-entry is free no market-barriers.
Characteristics of Perfect Competition
Product homogeneity.
Government non-intervention.
Uniform Price
Price taker not a maker(Price decided by industry on the basis of demand and supply)
Price determination under perfect competition market
Short Run Equilibrium:
In short duration if demand increases, a firm can increase the production by increasing the variable factors only. It is not possible to change the amount of fixed factors of
production like machinery, land, factory building etc. the factors whose quantity cannot be changed, neither new firm can enter the industry nor can the old firms leave it in
short term.
Price of a commodity determined by total demand and total supply of the industry. This price is given for the firms. .At a prevailing market price, the firm determines its
quantity of output by equating short run marginal cost with short run marginal re-venue. Some firms may earn super normal profit, some forms may suffer losses and some
firms may earn normal profit only.
Super normal profit: At the equilibrium level of output a firm may get a abnormal profit f its average revenue exceeds the average cost of production
Normal profit: When the firm just meets its average total cost, it earns normal profits.(MR=MC) AR=ATC or OP= EQ
Losses: A firm may suffer loss because of the fact that a part of the FC may not be recovered in the short run. In spite of these losses the firm would decide to produce, and
recover only AVC.(AR<AC)
Shut Down Point: When firms average variable costs tend to be much higher than the market price of its product, and there are no chances of improvement
If AR,AVC
In long run, the firm will be earning just normal profits. If they make supernormal profits, new firms will be attracted in the industry and old firms
expand so as a result supply increase and price fall. Due to reduction in prices firms marginal and average revenue declines and their super normal profit vanishes and this
condition continues till all the firms start earning normal profit. Where P= LAR=LMR=LMC=LAC. Firms long term equilibrium can be seen with the help of below
mentioned fig.
1.
2.
3.
4.
2)
Price and output determination under monopolistic competition in the long period:
Long period of time in which all the firms working in monopolistic market can change their production by changing all factors of factors of production. Normally entry of firms
is not restricted in monopolistic competition. If the operating firms are earning super normal profit then new firms will enter the industry. If some of the operating firms are
suffering losses they will leave the industry. Therefore firms will be earning only normal profit in long run.
10. Explain the meaning and features of monopolistic competition. How is the price policy determined under monopoly competition?
Sol: Monopoly: It refers to the market structure in which there is only a single producer or supplier of a product and the entire market supply is in his control. Monopoly is
antithesis of competition.
Features of Monopoly
There exists only one seller but there are many buyers.
There are many entry barriers such as natural, economic, technological or legal, which do not allow competitors to enter the market.
A monopoly firm is a price-maker. In a monopoly market, the price is solely determined at the discretion of the monopolist, since he has control
over the market supply.
There are no closely competitive substitutes for the product of the monopolist. So the buyers have no alternative or choice. They have to either
buy the product from the monopolist or go without it.
Since a monopolist has a complete control over the market supply in the absence of a close or remote substitute for his product, he can fix the
price as well as quantity of output to be sold in the market. Though a monopolist is a price-maker, he has no unlimited power to charge a high price for his product in the
market.
Types of Monopoly
Price and output determination under monopoly competition in the short period:
In short period increase or decrease the use of variable means of production to increase or decrease the production. If monopolist needs to produce more then he can use more
laborers, increase the qty of fixed materials and fuel, but cannot change the quantity of fixed factors in short period.
Abnormal profit: In short run monopoly equilibrium is at E where the MC curve cuts the MR curve from below. The monopoly sells OQ output at
OP price. The OQ, being above AC, the monopoly earns AP profit per unit of output. Thus profit= PCAB
Normal profit: The short equilibrium of the monopoly is shown when he earns only normal profit .(ATC=AR)
Minimum loss: If a monopoly faces a very low demand or his product and his cost condition (ATC=AR) It will not making profit but incur losses.
Short Run Monopoly Equilibrium: Try to maximized profit or minimized losses
Price Discrimination: It is a practice of changing different prices from different customers for the same good or services. (1) By charging different prices for the same
product (2) by not setting prices of different varieties of products or different products in relation to their cost differences.
Forms of price discrimination:
Personal discrimination
Age discrimination
Sex discrimination
Size discrimination
High degree of interdependence regarding policies in fixing price and determining output.
Due to interdependence, oligopolistic firm cannot keep its price and output constant.
When firm changes its price, its rival firms will have to react, which would affect the demand of the former firm.Therefore, firm cannot have a
definite demand curve. It keeps shifting as the rivals change their prices in reaction to the prices changes made by it.
Models to determine price output:
Due indefinite demand curve, the price and output cannot be ascertained by economic analysis.
Price is based on numbers of models, depending on the behavior pattern of the members of the group are..
The Curve have more elastic demand above the kink Point and Less elastic demand below.
Before the kink point, the DC is flatter, after the kink it becomes steeper
period of time
Under this, once a general price level is reached whether by collusion, price leadership or some formal agreement, it remain unchanged over a
It can be seen when MC curve can fluctuate b/w MC1 and MC2 within the range of gap in MR, without disturbing the EP and output.
1. Price Leadership: Leader in oligopoly announces price changes from time to time, other competitor follow.
Dominant- firm may assume the price leadership; it claims a substantial share of the market.
Initiative: When the firm develops a product or a new sale territory.
Aggressive: When the firm fixed price aggressively and force the other firm to accept or go out.(to capture market)
Reputation: When the firm acquires reputation for sound pricing policies, other may accept its leadership.
Barometric: price fixed by the wisest producer.
2. Price Wars: Never planned, occur as a consequence of one firm cutting the prices and other following.
3. Price Cuts to Weed out Competition: A financially strong firm may deliberately resort to price cuts to eliminate competitors from the
market and secure its position.
4. May cut price to eliminate competitors and secure its position.
5. Collusion: Group or trusts may be formed by competing firms and agree to charge a uniform price, thereby to eliminate price cut
competition. It considered illegal under anti-trust laws. (Such as MRTP act).
6. Cartel: It is agreement among different firms to regulate the prices and output of the group. Firms sell such output at agreed price fixed by
cartel board. But it is not be possible on permanently bases of the different behavior and opinion. The OPEC is an international cartel in the
world petroleum market.
7. Secret Price Concessions: May offer secret price concessions for selected buyer instead of having an open price cut.
8. Non-price Competition: Except price competition by competing in sales promotion efforts, advertising, and product improvement.
12. Explain the law of returns to factor and law of variable proportions with suitable examples and graph. How it is differ from return to scale
Sol: Law of Variable Proportion
It is assumed that only one factor of production is variable while other factors are fixed.
As a producer goes on increasing the qty of variable input, which is combined with other fixed factors, then in the
beginning the marginal productivity of that input increase at increasing rate, at constant and at last MP increasing by decreasing rate.
Assumptions:
Labour
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
TP
20
50
90
120
150
175
190
200
200
197
AP
20
25
30
30
30
29.1
27.1
25
22.1
19.7
MP
20
30
40
30
30
25
15
10
0
-3
Product Curves
Return to Scale
In order to increase the productivity, all factor of production are raised simultaneously in a same proportion.
By increasing all factors, the output may rise initially at a more rapid rate than the rate of increase in inputs, then output may increase in the same
proportion of input and ultimately, output increase less proportionately.
L+K
AP
1L+2K
10
2L+4K
100%
30
200%
3L+6K
50%
60
100%
4L+8K
33%
90
50%
5L+10K
25%
100
11.11%
6L+12K
20%
110
10%
7L+14K
16%
120
9%
8L+16K
14%
125
4%
Assumptions:
Technological advancement.
All units of factors are homogenous
Returns are measured in physical terms.
Causes for increasing return:
Increased efficiency of labour & capital
Use of sophisticated machinery, better technology
Improvement in large scale operation
Causes for constant return:
Given a constant result & factors are perfectly substitutable.
All factors are infinitely divisible.
Supply of all factors is perfectly elastic at the given price
Causes for diminishing return
All factor input increase proportionately; organization & management factor cannot be increased in equal proportion.
Business risk
Production increase beyond a limit.
Increasing difficulties & coordination of managing a big firm.
Imperfect substitutability of factors
Features:
Walking inflation
Running inflation
Galloping or hyper inflation.
2.
Inflation on the basis of govt reaction
Open inflation: When prices rise, without any interruption of govt. Under this free market mechanism is permitted to fulfill its historic function, short supply
of goods and distribute them according to consumer ability to pay.
Repressed /suppressed inflation: Under this price increase are prevented and control by adopting different policy.
3.
prices.
4.
Price level is zooming on account of the excessive demand for goods and services.
5.
Cost push inflation-Continually rising input costs leading to rising prices of goods and services
6.
Stag inflation
7.
Mark up inflation
8.
True inflation
13. Discuss the causes of inflation. How can inflation be controlled?
Sol: Demand related factors
Excessive speculation
Draught, famine or any other natural calamity adversely affecting agricultural production.
Deficit financing
Bank credit
Black money
Population growth
Over-dependence on agriculture
Natural calamities
Dependence on imports
Measures to control inflation:
Monetary policy
Fiscal policy
Increased production
Compulsory saving
14. Explain the concept of business cycle and its various phases.
Sol: A business cycle refers to regular fluctuations in economic activities in the economy as a whole. It signifies wavelike fluctuations in aggregate economic activity
particularly in national income, employment and output. A business cycle is a period of up and down movement in aggregate measure of current economic output and income.
Features:
Business differ in time, prices and production generally rise or fall together
Business cycle are more marked in capital goods industries than consumer goods industries.
Phases of business cycle:
Prosperity: There is full employment in the economy representing around stability of output, wages, prices, income etc. All the factors of production are
fully employed. There is no involuntary unemployment. There is a high level of output, trade employment, income and profits are quite high. Business failures are very few.
Thus there is a feeling of optimism in the whole economy.
Recession: Is a turn from boom to depression. During this pd, businessmen lose their confidence and failure of some business houses discourages fresh
investments. A recession, once starts, tends to build upon itself much as forest fire, once under way tends to create its own draft and give internal impetus to its destructive
ability.
Depression: means a state of affairs in which real income consumed or volume of production per head and the rate of employment are falling or are
subnormal in the sense that there are idle resources and unused capacity, especially unused labor.
Recovery: After lowest point is reached, the economic situation begins to improve as a result of monetary and fiscal measure. Recovery first appears in the
capital goods industries, then an increase in investment, income and employment. Increased income with the people pushes up the demand for goods and services.
15. What are the causes of business cycles? Explain the measures have been suggested to control business cycle.
Sol: Various causes that lead to business cycle are:
Innovation
Feelings of entrepreneurs
Seasonal fluctuations
Other factors
Measures for controlling business cycle:
Business cycle brings about instability in the economy. That why modern economies follow stabilization policy to avoid the evil effects of business cycles. It means to prevent
the extremes ups and downs or boom and depression in the economy without preventing factors of economic growth to operate.
16. Explain meaning & methods of measuring NI. Why measurement of NI is important for a country?
Sol: NI is the total market value of all final goods and services produced with in domestic territory including net factor income abroad during an accounting year. It also refers to
the aggregate of factor income earned by the normal residents of a nation during a given period.
Various concept of NI includes: GDPmp, GDPfc, NDPfc, NDPmp, Personal income private income, personal disposable income and per capita income.
Methods of measurement of NI
Expenditure method
Importance of national income: national income is a most important index of the overall economics situation of a country.
1.Economic policy: National income figures are an important tool of macro-economic analysis and policy, national income estimates are the most comprehensive measures of
aggregate economic activity in an economy. It is through such estimates that we know the aggregate yield of the economy and lay down future economic policy for
development.
2. Economys structure: National income statistics enable us to have a correct idea about the structure of the economy. It enables us to know the
relative importance of the various sectors of the economy and their contribution towards national income. From these studies we learn how
income is produced and how it is distributed, how much is spent, solved or taxed.
3. Economic planning: National income statistics are the most important tools for long-term and short- term economic planning. A country cannot
possibly frame a plan without having a prior knowledge of the trends in national income. The Planning Commission in India also kept in view the
national income. The national income estimate before formulating the five year plans.
4. Inflationary and deflationary gaps: National income and national product figures enable us to have an idea of the inflationary and deflationary
gaps. For accurate and timely anti-inflationary and deflationary policies, we need regular estimates of national income.
5. National expenditure: National income studies show as to how national expenditure is dividend between consumption expenditure and
investment expenditure. It enables us to provide for reasonable depreciation to maintain the capital stock of a community. Too liberal allowance
of depreciation may prove harmful as it may unnecessarily lead to a reduction in consumption.
6. Distribution of grants-in aid: National income estimates help a fair distribution of grants-in-aid by the federal governments to the state
governments and other constituent units.
7. Standard of living: National income studies help us to compare the standards of living of people in different countries and of people living in
the same country at different times.
8. International sphere: National Income studies are important even in the international sphere as these estimates not only help us to fix the
burden of international payments equitably among different nations but also they enable us to determine the subscriptions of different countries to
international organizations like U.N.O., I.M.F., I.B.R.D., etc.
9. Budgetary policies: Modern governments try to prepare their budgets within the framework of national income data and try to formulate anticyclical policies according to the facts revealed by the nation income estimates. Even the taxation and borrowing policies are so framed as to
avoid fluctuations in national income.
10. Public sector: National income figures enable us to know the relative roles of public and private sectors in the economy. If most of the
activities are performed by the state, we can easily conclude that public sector is playing a dominant role.
11. Defence and development: National income estimates help us to divide the national product between defense and development purposes.
From such figures, we can easily know how much can be spread for war by the civilian population.
According to Samuelsons- By means of statistics of NI we can chart the movement of a country from depression to
prosperity, its steady long term rate of economic growth and development and finally its material standard of living in
In economics money exp alone do not constitute cost but some other factor also include in cost(cost bear by owner)
Costs Function: It is mathematical expression of functional relationship between the costs and out-put level with determinants.
size of plant
Output level
Prices of inputs
Real cost: Payment made to the factor of production to compensate for his utility of rendering services including troubles, pains and discomfort).
Opportunity cost: Forgone value from the use or application of a given resource from its next best application
Future cost: based on forecasts, involve appraisal of capital expenditure decision on new project.
Direct cost: are prime cost, having a direct relationship with a unit of operation
Indirect cost: indirectly incurred in production process.
Incremental cost: Additional cost associate due to change in method or technique.
Sunk cost: Which is made once and for all, cannot altered, increased or decreased, by varying the rate of output, nor can be recovered.
Historical cost: cost incurred in past on the acquisition of productive assets..
Replacement cost: Outlay that has to be made for replacing an old assets.
Social cost: Cost bear by the society.(cost of resources for which firm is not compelled to pay a price)
Explicit costs: Actually incurred expenses to buy or hire the productive resources, it needs in the production process.
Implicit costs: Deemed expenses or costs arise when the firm or owner supplies certain factors owned by himself.
Accounting costs: Include explicit costs only.
Economic costs: Include both explicit & implicit costs.
Fixed costs: Costs remaining unchanged, irrespective of the level of output.
Variable costs: Cost varying with output variation.
Marginal Costs: The additional costs relating to each successive unit-wise increment in total output. It is measured on the ratio of change in total cost to one unit change in total
output. Symbolically, thus, MC = where, D denote change in output assumed to change by 1 unit only.
Costs Function: It is mathematical expression of functional relationship between the costs and out-put level with determinants.
size of plant
Output level
Prices of inputs
Cost- output relationship: Cost output relationship helps in determining optimum level of production.
Short period: Short run is the period during which fixed assets like land, building plant etc remain unchanged. In this period production can be increased within the limit of
available production capacity by increasing the Qty of variable factors of production.
Short-run Average cost (SAC) Curve
U shaped indicating declining SAC in the beginning, then remaining constant for a while and then rising.
AFC curve continues to fall from left to right but it never touches zero.
AVC curve falls from left to right to certain level of production after this curve starts to rise towards right and takes U shape.
ATC curve also behaves like AVC curve. It also takes u shape but it is more flat than AVC curve.
MC curve also behave like ATC and AVC, take U shape. IT intersects ATC and AVC curve at 1 and 2 points respectively. These points are the minimum
points of ATC and AVC curves
Long period: The period, in which a firm can increase its production capacity, in which the investment in land, building etc can be changed according to the need of
business. In long run all the cost are variable and no cost is fixed. Maximum adjustment is possible. As all the costs are variable there is no use of studying AFC and
AVC. Only the study of ATC is relevant.
Long-Run Average Costs Curve:
It relates to the cost-output relation in the long-run. It is a flatter U-shaped curve.
It refers to the lowest point on the long-run average cost curve, implying optimum use of factor-input and minimum average cost.
Derivation- The long run average cost curve is the envelope of the various short average cost curves. It is drawn as tangent to the SACs as depicted in below fig:
Tangent curve: By joining the various plant curves relating to different operational short run phases, the LAC curve is drawn as a tangent curve.
Envelope curve: It is the envelope of a group of short run average cost curves appropriate to different levels of output.
Planning curve: LAC curve is regarded as the long run planning device, as it denotes the least unit cost of producing each possible level output
and the size of the plant in relation to the LAC curve. A rational entrepreneur would select the optimum scale of plant.
Mini cost combinations: The cost levels be presented by the LAC curve for different levels of output reflect minimum cost combinations of
resource inputs to be adopted by the firm at each long run level of output.
Flatter U- shaped: The LAC is less U shaped or rather dish- shaped. This means that in the beginning it gradually slopes downwards then after
Consider the vital role of technological progress as a cost minimizing and output maximizing function.
Expert opinion
Surveys
Trend Analysis
Projection Techniques
Econometric Models
Opinion Polls Opinion polls are conducted on various issues. The issues could be political, economic, product related, market related etc.
Such polls are useful in detecting future trends and changes in trends which quantitative techniques might not be able to capture.
Market research uses the technique extensively to gather information on consumers behavior in the marketplace with respect to a specific product
or product category.
Expert Opinion involves seeking the opinion of experts on a subject matter.
It involves gathering of information about consumer behavior from a sample of consumers which is analyzed and then further projected onto the population.
Surveys are conducted to assess consumers perception of various aspects, such as new variations in products, variations in prices of the product
and related products, new variations in services provided etc.
The drawback of this method is that the consumer has to respond to hypothetical situations. The information collected through questionnaire,
personal observation and personal interview. Managerial economist can construct important demand relationship, such as- price demand, income and cross demand.
Market experiments:
The seller gathers information on the behavior of the consumers in this representative market.
Advantage of market experiments are that they can be conducted on a large scale to ensure validity of results and consumers are not aware that they are a part
of experiments.
Consumer Clinics:
Consumers are asked to act in a simulated situation, wherein they are given a certain sum of money and made to treat in buying and their behavior is observed.
These are laboratory experiments. Participants have an incentive to purchase the commodity as they are usually allowed to keep the goods
purchased
Virtual Shopping
A representative sample of consumers shop in a virtual store simulated on the computer screen.
By doing so, this method eliminates the high cost in terms of time and money involved in consumer clinics.
Sample customers are asked to take a series of trips through the simulated virtual store.
Prices, packaging, displays and promotions are changed in subsequent trips and consumer reaction recorded.
The Delphi method is a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of independent experts.
The carefully selected experts answer questionnaires in two or more rounds. After each round, a facilitator provides an anonymous summary of the experts forecasts
from the previous round as well as the reasons they provided for their judgments.
Thus, participants are encouraged to revise their earlier answers in light of the replies of other members of the group.
It is believed that during this process the range of the answers will decrease and the group will converge towards the "correct" answer.
Finally, the process is stopped after a pre-defined stop criterion (e.g. number of rounds, achievement of consensus, stability of results) and the