Climate Talks

Aff
Climate talks wont solve no spillover and empirics
NBC News 11/12 [U.S.-China Climate Deal Won't Slow Warming: Scientists, 11/12/14,
http://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/u-s-china-climate-deal-wont-slow-warming-scientists-n247451]

Don't expect the landmark U.S.-China climate change agreement, announced Wednesday, to nudge
the world's rising thermostat downward unless other countries help, say scientists who study heattrapping carbon dioxide. China, the world's No. 1 polluter, will still increase its emissions until 2030 or
so, under the agreement. The U.S., which ranks second, promised to cut pollution from the burning of
coal, oil and gas to levels that haven't been seen since 1969. But any U.S. cuts will be swamped by
Chinese pollution growth over the next 15 years, said Glen Peters, a Norwegian scientist who was part
of the Global Carbon Project that tracks global emissions. In 2009, countries across the globe set a goal
of limiting warming to about another 2 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) above current levels.
Peters' team calculated this fall that the mark would be reached around 2040 and the U.S.-China
accord doesn't change that, he said. MIT professor John Sterman compared the numbers to a driver
flooring the accelerator and heading toward a cliff. This agreement is like letting up on the pedal, not
slowing the car. "It doesn't buy a lot of time for when we blast through the 2-degree level," Sterman
said.

Neg
Climate talks solve carbon emissions
Morales 11/12 [China-U.S. Move to Curb Global Warming Loosens Climate Logjam in Developing World, Alex Morales is
a journalist for Bloomberg News, 11/12/14, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-12/china-s-move-with-u-s-onpollution-spurs-work-on-climate-deal.html]

Chinas decision to join with U.S. President Barack Obama in reining in greenhouse gases jump-starts
the global fight against climate change, removing an excuse for inaction in developing nations. Chinese
President Xi Jinping broke ranks with India, Brazil and South Africa in setting a target for the first time
to reduce fossil-fuel emissions by 2030. In turn, Obama pledged to double the pace of cutting carbon
dioxide starting in 2020. The U.S. and China are the biggest polluters, responsible for almost 40 percent
of the gases linked to global warming. Their new partnership toward a global limit is essential to draw
countries whose emissions are rising into a deal that the United Nations intends to adopt at the end of
2015.

Bio-D

Alt causes
AU News 11/13/14 [Nature reserves on the rise but funds lacking: UN, 11/13/14,
https://au.news.yahoo.com/world/a/25505397/nature-reserves-on-the-rise-but-funds-lacking-un/]

Vast areas of land and sea have become environmental sanctuaries in recent years but the world is not
funding them adequately, the United Nations warned Thursday. The United Nations Environment
Programme (UNEP) said that countries were on track to meet targets to protect 17 percent of land and
10 percent of marine areas by 2020. With more than a million square kilometres (386,000 square miles)
made protected zones in the past two years, "the physical coverage aspect of the target is likely to be
met," it said in a report. But more needed to be done to ensure "protected areas are appropriately
located in areas important for biodiversity and ecosystem services, are effectively and equitably
managed and are well-connected". The warning comes as thousands of delegates attend this week's
World Parks Congress in Sydney to lay out a global agenda for protected areas over the next 10 years.
The UNEP, citing a 2012 estimate, said US$76.1 billion was needed each year to effectively establish
and manage the world's protected areas.

Bio-d decline inev and alt causes

Inertia 11/12 [The Oceans Could Be Dead by the Year 2048, 11/12/14, http://www.theinertia.com/environment/theoceans-could-be-dead-by-the-year-2048/]

An international team of ecologists and economists has made an incredibly scary prediction. In just a
few short years, the worlds oceans will empty of fish. While that dire prophecy may seem a little
alarmist, the scariest thing about it is that it is backed up with good ol science fact. It was published in
Science, a publication that, if nothing else, does not publish bullshit. Cue terror in the streets. Back in
2006, the study was done by a man named Boris Worm (whose hilarious name should not detract from
his horrible prediction), a man with a PhD from Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia. Along with
colleagues in the U.K, U.S., Sweden, and Panama, Worm has predicted that by the year 2048, the ocean
will be devoid of fish which, if it occurs, would effectively end life as we know it on planet Earth. In an
effort to discover exactly what would happen to the world if there were no more fish in the ocean, the
researchers analyzed all kinds of data. What they found was much worse than they suspected. I was
shocked and disturbed by how consistent these trends are beyond anything we suspected, Worm
said in a news release. After doing 32 thorough experiments on a variety of marine environments, the
team of researchers looked at the history from the past 1,000 years in 12 different coastal regions
around the world. Then they analyzed fishery data from 64 marine ecosystems and how nearly 50
protected ocean areas recovered after their protection. The news was not good. Overfishing, habitat
loss, climate change (yes), and pollution are driving numbers of most species into a faster and faster
decline. Keep in mind this study was published back in 2006 but since then, not much has changed.
Not enough, anyway. When the study was released, just over 1% of the ocean was deemed protected.
As of last year, the World Database on Protected Areas run by the United Nations Environment
Program reported that only 2.8% of the ocean is protected, and much of that is only token protection
that isnt effectively enforced. This isnt predicted to happen, said Nicola Beaumont, a PhD of the
Plymouth Marine Laboratory, U.K. This is happening now. The team of researchers responsible for the
study said that the loss of species isnt a slow moving phenomenon, either. Were accelerating the
problem even as we talk about fixing it. And its not an issue of food for humans at all, just in case youre

thinking that no fish only means no more tuna tatar. Everything in the ocean plays a vital role think of
it like the greatest balancing act ever, and everything involved depends on everything else to stay in
sync. Human beings are the proverbial brick in the washing machine, if you will. Species in the ocean
play a vital role in our own survival; among their accidental benefits to human life is filtering toxins from
the ocean and controlling algae blooms, which if left uncontrolled by nature, can have disastrous effects.
A large and increasing proportion of our population lives close to the coast, said Worm. The loss of
services such as flood control and waste detoxification can have disastrous consequences. The
creatures that walk on land, we need the ocean pretty damn badly. But, if biodiversity continues to
decline, says Beaumont, the marine environment will not be able to sustain our way of life. Indeed, it
may not be able to sustain our lives at all.