The

Peoples
Poll Poll
The Peoples
Na#onal Survey of Republican Voters

Report on Immigra.on and Healthcare

Supervised by: Caddell Associates, Inc.
Conducted by: EMC Research
January 5, 2015

Methodology
!

Na.onal Survey of 602 voters who are

Republican or voted for a Republican in the
2014 midterm elec.on

Interviews conducted using both landline and

cell phones December 26-30, 2014

Margin of Error 4.0 percentage points

Please note that due to rounding, percentages

may not add up to exactly 100%
Na#onal Telephone Survey
Of Republican Voters | 2

Key Findings
!

Over 80% of Republican voters broadly and intensely oppose Obamas recent execu?ve order
on immigra?on.

Obamacare remains exceedingly unpopular with Republican voters

More than 70% of Republican voters want Congress to pass a law preven.ng any use of taxpayer
money to implement President Obamas execu.ve order.
Republican voters by an astonishing 10 to one margin say they are less likely to vote for a member
of Congress who voted to allow to use taxpayer money to be used to implement the Presidents
Execu?ve Order. Indeed, almost unprecedented two-thirds of Republican voters are much less
likely to vote.
Nearly 90% of Republican voters agree that the President has exceeded his Cons.tu.onal authority by
ac.ng without Congressional approval. Indeed three-quarters of Republicans say the President
Obama is consistently ac.ng in a lawless way.

Almost 90% of Republican voters oppose the Aordable Care Act and almost three-quarters strongly
oppose it.
Seventy percent believe that Obamacare should be repealed outright or repealed and replaced.

On the issues of immigra?on and Obamacare, self-iden?ed Independents who lean

Republican and voted Republican in November are even more intense in their opposi?on to
both than are self-iden?ed Republicans who classify themselves as not strong Republicans.
Thus, those voters most responsible for the Republican landslide in November and who
cons?tute one-third of Republican voters seem to be more animated on these issues than
are many self-iden?ed Republicans. On these issues they seem to be forming a coali?on
with outright Republican Tea Party supporters.
Na#onal Telephone Survey
Of Republican Voters | 3

Immigra.on

Immigra.on Reform Support

Republican voters overwhelmingly and strongly oppose President Obamas recent
execu#ve ac#on on immigra#on. Tea Party voters (57%) are in 90% opposi#on, while
opponents to the Tea Party and Others (43%) are 70% opposed
Would you say you support or oppose President Obamas recent execu#ve ac#on on
immigra#on, which would stop certain deporta#ons and allow some illegal immigrants to
remain in the US?
Strongly
support

Somewhat
support

Overall 4% 10% 4% 15%

Somewhat
oppose
66%

Strong Rep.
3% 6% 4% 14%
(46%)
Weak Rep. (22%) 5% 13% 7%

(Don't
know)

73%
21%

Lean Rep. (32%) 4% 15% 3% 13%

55%
65%

Strongly Total
oppose Sup.

Total
Opp.

14%

82%

10%

87%

17%

76%

19%

78%

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 5

Preven.ng Amnesty Support

More than seven in ten Republican voters agree Congress should stop President Obamas
gran#ng of amnesty to illegal immigrants.
Opponents of President Obamas immigra#on plan argue that he has unilaterally granted amnesty to ve
million illegal immigrants in the United States, without congressional approval. Under his program, illegal
immigrants would be granted driver's licenses, work permits, and other government benets.
Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with this statement:
Congress should stop Obamas gran#ng of amnesty to illegal immigrants by passing a law that prevents
the administra#on from using taxpayer money to implement the execu#ve order.

Strongly
agree
Overall

Strong Rep.
(46%)

Somewhat
agree
59%

65%

Weak Rep. (22%)

55%

Lean Rep. (32%)

55%

(Don't
know)

Somewhat
disagree

Strongly
disagree

Total
Agr.

Total
Dis.

11% 2% 7%

20%

71%

27%

7% 2% 6%

20%

72%

26%

74%

23%

67%

30%

20%

3% 9%

12% 3% 7%

14%
23%

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 6

Immigra.on and Special Interests

Nearly half of Republican voters believe Republican leaders actually support immigra#on
amnesty. Weak Republicans and Leaners are two to one in agreement with this ques#on
(54% at yes, 27% no)
Some people believe that despite what they say, Republican leaders in Congress really
support immigra#on amnesty because they are beholden to corporate special interests and
big campaign donors. Do you think this is true?
Yes
Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

(Don't know)
49%

42%

Weak Rep. (22%)

54%

Leaners (32%)

54%

No

18%

18%

33%

40%
17%
20%

29%
26%

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 7

Obama Exceeding Authority

Nearly nine in ten Republican voters agree that President Obama has exceeded his
authority under the Cons#tu#on.
Even some people who say they agree with the substance of President Obamas Execu#ve Order
on immigra#on, believe that he has exceeded his Cons#tu#onal authority by ac#ng alone without
Congressional approval. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly
disagree that President Obama exceeded his authority under the Cons#tu#on?
Strongly
agree
Overall

Somewhat
agree
75%

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)
Lean Rep. (32%)

(Don't
know)

Somewhat
disagree

74%

Total Total
Agr. Dis.

14% 2%
5% 5%

89%

10%

1%
11% 2%
5%

92%

7%

2% 5%
6%

87%

11%

11% 2% 8% 5%

85%

13%

81%
63%

Strongly
disagree

24%

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 8

Obama Exceeding Authority

Nearly three-fourths of Republican voters feel President Obama is consistently ac#ng in a
lawless way as do over 84% of Tea Party supporters.

President Obama may have stretched the literal authority

of his oce but so do most Presidents and his ac.ons on
immigra.on and other issues do not violate the
Cons.tu.onal separa.on of powers

18%

President Obama is consistently ac.ng in a lawless way

on many issues and is in eect seriously undermining the
Cons.tu.onal separa.on of powers.

(Dont know)

74%

8%

Q47. Which of the following statements comes closer to your opinion. Please choose one
even if its hard to decide. (RANDOMIZE 1-2 with OR)

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 9

Immigra.on and Congressional Reelec.on

More than eight in ten would be less likely to support their Representa#ves re-elec#on if
they allowed taxpayer money to be spent implemen#ng the Presidents amnesty plan;
almost two-thirds would be much less likely. Interes#ngly, Independents who lean
Republican well exceed weak Republicans in saying they would be much less likely.
If your Member of Congress voted to allow taxpayer money to be used to implement the
presidents amnesty, would you be more or less likely to support his or her re-elec#on? (If
MORE/LESS LIKELY: Is that much more /less likely or somewhat more/less likely?)
Much
more likely
Overall 4% 5% 8%

Strong Rep. 2%
3% 5%
(46%)

Somewhat
more likely
20%

4%
Lean Rep. (32%) 4% 10%

19%

Somewhat
less likely
63%

19%

Weak Rep. (22%) 4% 11% 11%

(Don't
know)

70%
25%

49%
63%

Much less Total Total

likely
More Less
8%

84%

5%

89%

15%

74%

8%

82%

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 10

Aordable Care Act/

Obamacare

Aordable Care Act

The Aordable Care Act is overwhelmingly opposed by Republican voters.

Strongly
support

Somewhat
support

7%
Overall 3% 4% 15%

Somewhat
oppose
72%

3%
Strong Rep. (46%) 2%
12%
3%
Weak Rep. (22%) 2% 14% 4%

(Don't
know)

79%
23%

Lean Rep (32%) 6% 7% 5% 13%

Q41. Would you say you support or oppose the Aordable Care Act, also known as
Obamacare? (If support/oppose: do you strongly or somewhat support/oppose it?)

58%
70%

Strongly Total Total

oppose
Sup. Opp.
10%

87%

5%

92%

15%

81%

12%

83%

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 12

Aordable Care Act

Seven in ten Republican voters believe we should repeal the Aordable Care Act. Four in
ve Tea Party supporters (57%) support repeal, while outright opponents of the Tea Party
(23%) actually slightly favor xing rather than repealing Obamacare.
Obamacare should be repealed outright.

36%

70%
We should repeal Obamacare and replace it with
market based healthcare reform

We should x the problems in the law instead of

throwing out the whole thing.

34%

23%

Obamacare is working pregy well and we only

4%
need minor xes.

(Dont know) 3%

Q42. Thinking of Obamacare, which of the following statements comes closer to your
opinion? Please choose one even if its hard to decide. (RANDOMIZE)

Na#onal Telephone Survey

Of Republican Voters | 13