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MAP 2015
76
Commercial
112
Industrial
285MW
Residential
10.3
35.9
249.6
5.7
1.0
285MW
3.6
Sector
7.3
2.2
10.2
6.1
1.0
Sector
15.1
2.3
0.7
3.5
1.1
1.8
Sector
2.4
7.5
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
3.9
10.3
17.5
1.9
UTTARAKHAND
CHANDIGARH
2.1
3.1
4.8
HIMACHAL PRADESH
PUNJAB
2.7
9.7
4.5
3.9
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
HARYANA
7.2
2.1
1.0
Sector
8.5
12.9
DELHI
MNRE
Subsidy
4.5
Sector
3.1
MNRE
Subsidy
4.8
6.4
3.9
RAJASTHAN
5.2
0.3
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
UTTAR PRADESH
BIHAR
MADHYA PRADESH
1.5
0.3
0.5
0.7
Sector
0.1
MNRE
Subsidy
1.1
4.2
Sector
3.1
MNRE
Subsidy
2.1
0.4
0.6
Sector
3.7
JHARKHAND
2.4
0.6
0.7
Sector
36.9
3.2
WEST BENGAL
15.1
1.7
0.9
0.6
Sector
9.8
12
9.8
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
0.6
9.6
MNRE
Subsidy
5.2
CHATTISGARH
GUJARAT
2.6
ODISHA
2.4
3.0
0.6
1.1
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
Sector
4.7
13.5
0.8
1.8
0.9
MNRE
Subsidy
7.4
MAHARASHTRA
0.7
3.7
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
3.2
TELANGANA
16.3
0.9
0.6
12.4
1.7
Sector
3.6
5.7
2.2
3.7
6.9
1.5
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
ANDHRA PRADESH
KARNATAKA
6.6
1.9
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
50.3
13.3
3.0
18.2
6.6
KERALA
3.7
11.0
Sector
TAMIL NADU
20.9
4.4
Sector
MNRE
Subsidy
All figures in MW
Note
In case your company feels that any number/information
is imprecise, please contact us at
market.intelligence@bridgetoindia.com
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Assumptions
Cost of solar power has been calculated by using following assumptions:
System size
50 kWp
Escalation in cost
4% per annum
of solar power (w.r.t.
tariff in 1st year)
EIRR expectation
15%
EPC cost
M70/Wp
O&M cost
M100,000 p.a.
O&M escalation
6% p.a.
Annual degradation
0.80%
Effective tariff = Base tariff + 40 paise (additional charges/taxes)
Assumptions
Cost of solar power is calculated using BTI nancial model using following assumptions
System size
100 kWp
Escalation in cost
4% per annum
of solar power (w.r.t.
tariff in 1st year)
EIRR
15%
EPC cost
M68/Wp
O&M cost
M1 lakh p.a.
O&M escalation
6% p.a.
Annual degradation
0.80%
Effective tariff = Base tariff + 40 paise (additional charges/taxes)
Assumptions
Residential grid tariff are dened telescopically. We have taken weighted average
calculated for 400 kWh consumption per month
Cost of solar power is calculated using BTI nancial model using following assumptions
System size
4kWp
Escalation in cost
4% per annum
of solar power (w.r.t.
tariff in 1st year)
EIRR
15%
EPC cost
M85/Wp
O&M cost
M80,000 p.a.
O&M escalation
6% p.a.
Annual degradation
0.80%
Effective tariff = Base tariff + 30 paise (additional charges/taxes)
Chhattisgarh
Uttarakhand
Assam
Bihar
Uttar Pradesh
Odisha
Gujarat
Tamil Nadu
Rajasthan
Madhya Pradesh
Himachal Pradesh
Delhi
Haryana
Telangana
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Maharashtra
Uttarakhand
Chhattisgarh
Assam
Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh
Kerala
Himachal Pradesh
Haryana
Jharkhand
Tamil Nadu
Rajasthan
Bihar
Telangana
Andhra Pradesh
Uttar Pradesh
Punjab
Karnataka
West Bengal
Delhi
Odisha
Maharashtra
Chhattisgarh
Uttarakhand
Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh
Jharkhand
Assam
Himachal Pradesh
Haryana
Bihar
Uttar Pradesh
Kerala
Punjab
Rajasthan
West Bengal
Telangana
Andhra Pradesh
Odisha
Tamil Nadu
Delhi
Karnataka
Maharashtra
Jharkhand
Kerala
West Bengal
Punjab
12
450
Commercial
(CAGR 99%)
Residential
(CAGR 82%)
400
281
279
223
Uttarakhand
Commercial
Himachal Pradesh
For residential consumers, economic viability will not be the key driver in the initial years. Instead, growth will be driven by the need for power
(especially in medium and small cities) and other non-economic motives.
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Jharkhand
Odisha
Kerala
Methodology
For industrial and commercial consumers, the main driving factor to go solar is economic attractiveness. As grid power costs rise and solar costs fall,
the adoption of rooftop solar increases. Calculations have been at the state level and then aggregated for the national total. No government incentives
have been considered in these projections. However, we assume that net-metering will be widely available.
Haryana
Delhi
2018
Madhya Pradesh
2017
476
50
Gujarat
2016
502
491
200
Karnataka
2015
150
Rajasthan
2014
598
600
100
Industrial
(CAGR 133%)
677
669
200
West Bengal
100
800
250
Punjab
200
300
Commercial
Uttar Pradesh
300
Industrial
Tamil Nadu
400
350
Andhra Pradesh
500
Residential
Maharashtra
Capacity (MW)
600
Capacity (MW)
700
400
Capacity (MW)
800
Industrial
Residential
Methodology
The key differentiators in the scenarios are (1) the successful implementation of net-metering policies and (2) the development of grid power prices.
In the conservative scenario, net-metering is available only in a few states and grid power prices rise more slowly than in the last years. In the
aggressive case, we assume that most Indian states will have net-metering by 2016 and tariffs will rise more rapidly than in the last years.
Conservative
Base
Aggressive
Sponsored taxonomy
INVERTER SUPPLIERS
EPC companies
IndiaSolarHomes
INDIA SOLAR
Premium sponsor
ROOFTOP
MAP 2015
Kirloskar Integrated
Technologies Ltd.
13/A, Karve Road, Kothrud,
Pune 411 038, India
Contact Person:
Dr. Devendra Goyal
Mr. Rahul Desale
E: kitl.solar@kirloskar.com
devendra.goyal@kirloskar.com
rahul.desale@kirloskar.com
P: +91 9552515301
+91 8605000745
www.kitlgreen.com
www.kirloskarsolar.com
Commissioned
285MW
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