FLOOD RISK and RESILIENCE:

PIERMONT

THE HUDSON RIVER

A COASTAL, TIDAL
RIVER
The Hudson River is an
arm of the Atlantic Ocean
The river tidal to the
federal dam in Troy
All of the Hudsons
shorelines are subject to
coastal hazards

COASTAL HAZARDS
TIDES & WAVES
STORM SURGES
EROSION
FRESHWATER
TRIBUTARY FLOODING

COASTAL HAZARD:
Coastal Inundation

2012: HURRICANE SANDY

7+ ft Storm Surge
140+ structures impacted
$20M+ in damages

11.5 ft. Storm Tide

9.5 ft. Storm Surge 2 ft. Normal High Tide
Mean Sea Level

COASTAL HAZARD:
Coastal Inundation

COASTAL HAZARD:
Freshwater Tributary Flooding

1% Zone

FLOOD RISK MAPPING

FLOOD RISK MAPPING

A RISING RIVER
Hudson River is over 12
higher than a century ago
21st Century SLR is much
more rapid and seems to
be accelera=ng

1856-2010: 1.7mm/yr
1996-2013: 3.7mm/yr
rolling 5 year average
2000 - 2011: 6.76mm/yr

SEA-LEVEL RISE & STORM SURGE

SEA-LEVEL RISE & STORM SURGE

CLIMATE CHANGE
SEA LEVEL RISE PROJECTIONS FOR HUDSON
RIVER
Low Estimate
Middle Range
High Estimate
(10th percentile) (25-75th percentile) (90th percentile)
2020s

4-8

10

2050s

11-21

30

2080s

13

18-39

58

2100s

15

22-50

75

( In Inches vs Baseline of 2000-2004)

source: Climate Central

2100

SEA-LEVEL RISE & STORM SURGE

FUTURE FLOOD RISKS

Current

2020s

Clockwise from top left: Modeled

risk areas for current conditions,
2020s, 2050s, and 2100.
Inundated zones represent areas
that would be expected to be
underwater during daily high
tides.

Risk Areas
2100

2050s

Inundated
Extreme Risk
High Risk
Medium Risk

The assessment illustrated that due to Piermonts topography, its associated risk areas are not expected to expand dramatically in size as
sea level rises. Rather, we can anticipate the existing risk areas within the low-lying waterfront to gradually but dramatically shift into higher
hazard categories in other words become riskier over time. For example, while the wide base of the pier has been elevated during its
most recent redevelopment, a pattern of water pinching in from both north and south of the pier will develop in the coming century, which
unless mitigated will cause regular inundation for core business district assets (commercial and residential) at the base of the pier.

FUTURE FLOOD RISKS

24

Village of Piermont
Planning for Resilience: With significant challenges ahead, communities have an opportunity to begin planning
and implementing long-range solutions that will increase resilience and maintain the vitality of Hudson River
waterfronts. A range of innovative approaches to planning, architecture, infrastructure, and natural resource
conservation are available to create locally-appropriate solutions that reduce risk to people, property and nature
while opening up new possibilities for taking advantage of our region's greatest asset - the Hudson River.

Village of Piermont

HOUSEHOLDS
Households
at Risk

at risk from daily tidal inundation

Inundation Level

At risk of flooding

People
at Risk
PEOPLE

At risk of inundation

Land atLAND
risk (acres)
(acres)

Amount
of Sea Level
Inundation
Level Rise

at risk from flooding

Inundation Level

Adaptation
Options:
that protect critical infrastructure and ensure the viability of important
Above: Estimates of the number of
Expanding Hazards We must find solutions

natural
resources. The best plans will provideHouseholds,
locally specific
that balance options for coastal defense, strategic
Peopletactics
and Land
Over the course of the century, as sea level rise
accommodation
and
managed
potentially exposed to flooding and/
changes the reach
of daily
high tidesrelocation.
and flood
or daily high tide inundation given
elevations,
risks to people
and property
Coastal defense:
Solutions
that will
Strategic
accommodation:
increasing
increments of seaSolutions
level
shift. A sea
level risecritical
of 72 inches
the sea
protect
existing
infrastructhat
permit
flooding
including
rise. Derived from US Census data
level
rise
projections
adopted
by
the
Task
ture - including sea walls, rip rap,
raised
adaptive
andinfrastructure,
Scenic Hudson sea
level risedesign
Force
forand
the 2100
planningshorelines
timeframe would strategies and compatible land uses
levies
hardened
data. Available through the Scenic
make the areas along Piermonts waterfront and
Hudson Sea Level Rise Mapper
its low-lying neighborhoods increasingly
(www.scenichudson.org/slr)
subject to tides or flooding.

Managed relocation: Solutions that allow

for inundation and flooding while promoting the migration of tidal wetlands
and other important natural resources

FUTURE FLOOD RISKS

Modeling by Scenic Hudson estimates that the

 COAST Model for Piermont

Modeled Water Levels and Vulnerability Assessment Results
For the 100 Year Storm with Sea Level Rise in the
Years
2025, 2055 and 2100
Expected Damage Values to Buildings and Improvements
(in $ Millions)

Model
COAST Model
of
Cumulative from
Predicted
ExpectedNumber
Damageof
to Tax
the
Model
From COAST
a Single
Storm
Permanently
SeaProjected sea level
Year of Level
SLR
and All Storms
Elevation
Value
of
Cumulative
Expected
Value
of
COAST
Model
rise
Parcels Affected
In This Year
Inundated by SLR
100 Year
Model
All Buildings &
All Buildings and
Cumulative Expected
Up ToDamage
This Year
Rise
Storm Flood Above Total Flood
Improvements
Improvements Located on
to the Value of
2025from MHHW Elevation
10" for
26.7
2.6
18.9
Height
From24
Properties
Permanently
All Buildings & Improvements
FEMA ABFE, in 2013
Each
This Single Storm
Sea Level Rise if
From
2055
29"
87Incident Inundated by
35.7
17.9
70.8
2013
in the
No Action is Taken, by this
Sea Level Rise and All Storms, 2013 to
Selected Scenario
NAVD88
2100
72"
178
56.7
60.4
NAVD 88
Scenario Year
Year
Scenario Year192.2
by
1
(ft.)
($ Million)4
($ Million)3
($ Million) 3
(ft.)
Scenic
Type to enter text
A
V Hudson A
V
Total
Total
2

Year
Zone Zone
Zone
Zone A estimates
Zone V Zone
Village
The COAST
Vulnerability
Assessment
that with
no A Zone
(ft)

COAST Model
V Zone Results
Villageof the
A Zone
V Zone Vulnerability
Total Village

adaptation actions:
2025 10.0 12.0

0.83

10.83 12.83

17.8

8.9

26.7

2.1

By the year 2100, if sea level increases by 6 feet over

todays,
to buildings
2055
10.0 cumulative
12.0 2.42damages
12.42 14.42
30.2 over
5.5time in
35.7
8.9
Piermont, from all storms, is estimated to total $192.2 million
2100
10.0 12.0 6.00
16.00 18.00 54.7
2.0
56.7
42.7
(in undiscounted
dollars).

0.5
9.0

assessment, assuming no adaptation actions are

undertaken.
Results
(undiscounted
2.6
11.4 in $Million,
7.5
18.9
dollars).
17.9

47.2

23.6

70.8

See chapter on Long-Term Planning and

Materials 36.1
for full report192.2
from the
17.7 Supplemental
60.4
156.1
1
COAST model work, including Benefit-Cost ratios
Tidal state is included in FEMA FIS predicted flood elevations for the 10 year and 100 year storms.

FUTURE FLOOD RISKS

www.scenichudson.org/slr

H u ds o n R i v e r S e a L e v e l R i s e
Vi l l a g e o f P i e r m on t

Hudson River Sea Level Rise

Village of Piermont

Village of Grandview-on-Hudson

Village of Tarrytown

Planning for Resilience: With significant challenges ahead, communities have an opportunity to begin planning
and implementing long-range solutions that will increase resilience and maintain the vitality of Hudson River
waterfronts. A range of innovative approaches to planning, architecture, infrastructure, and natural resource
conservation are available to create locally-appropriate solutions that reduce risk to people, property and nature
while opening up new possibilities for taking advantage of our region's greatest asset - the Hudson River.
Village of Piermont
Households at Risk

At risk of flooding

People at Risk

At risk of inundation

Land at risk (acres)

Village of Piermont
Town of Orangetown

Village of Irvington

Inundation Level

Inundation Level

Inundation Level

Adaptation Options: We must find solutions that protect critical infrastructure and ensure the viability of important

natural resources. The best plans will provide locally specific tactics that balance options for coastal defense, strategic
accommodation and managed relocation.

Town of Orangetown

Coastal defense: Solutions that

protect existing critical infrastructure - including sea walls, rip rap,
levies and hardened shorelines

Feet
2,900

Managed relocation: Solutions that allow

for inundation and flooding while promoting the migration of tidal wetlands
and other important natural resources

72" 66" 60" 54" 48" 42" 36" 30" 24" 18" 12" 6"

Inundation Level:
Library

Treatment Plant

Tidal wetlands and

sub-aquatic vegetation
School

Brownfields & HazMat Sites

Hard Shoreline

100 year floodplains

and low lying areas

Natural Shoreline

Current River

1,450

Strategic accommodation: Solutions

that permit flooding - including
raised infrastructure, adaptive design
strategies and compatible land uses

Inundation Modeling

The Hudson Is Rising

How Will It Impact Your Community?

Summary of Village of Piermont

Albany

Sea Level Rise Time Frame

Adaptation:
Defense

Adaptation:
Accommodate

Adaptation:
Relocate

Poughkeepsie

Acknowledgements: Grant funding provided by the DeCoizart Foundation, the Whitney Foundation, Sean Eldridge and

Hudson River Sea Level Rise Projections (in.)

FOR MORE INFORMATION, VISIT WWW.SCENICHUDSON.ORG/SLR

New York

the Wildlife Conservation Society. Project data or technical assistance provided by the NYS Department of Environmental
Conservation Hudson River Estuary Program, Dr. Roger Flood of Stony Brook University and the NOAA Coastal Services Center.

FOR MORE INFORMATION, VISIT WWW.SCENICHUDSON.ORG/SLR

FUTURE FLOOD RISKS