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To cite this article: Manoj K. Jha & Ashim Das Gupta (2003): Application of Mike Basin for Water Management Strategies in a
Watershed, Water International, 28:1, 27-35
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02508060308691662
Manoj K. Jha, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, USA, and Ashim Das Gupta, Fellow
IWRA, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathumthani, Bangkok, Thailand
Abstract: Modeling at the basin scale provides essential information to policy makers in their
decisions on allocation of water resources in the basin. This paper describes the application of a basin
scale simulation model, Mike Basin, to the Mun river basin located in northeastern Thailand. Monthly
simulation was carried out based on the water availability and utilization using hydrological data from
1965 through 1997. Climatic analysis found high seasonal variation: wet season water availability is
more than six times dry season availability. Event-based reliability calculations of irrigation and water
supply systems of the basin indicated that the existing level of demand has reasonable wet season water
availability, but limited dry season availability. Moreover, sensitivity analysis found 80 percent reliable
cropping intensity in wet season and only 12 percent in dry season. A proper management approach
developed from this analysis may provide a basis for a decision for policy makers in relation to the
optimal allocation of water resources.
Keywords: Water resources management, basin-scale simulation model, Mike Basin, tropical basin,
event-based reliability, water allocation.
Introduction
Water is a basic necessity for sustaining life and developing society. The increasing pressure of competing
usage, degradation of scarce resources, and growing population pose a serious and growing threat to the sustainable
development of water resources and therefore requires
proper management for its development. The allocation of
water resources in the river basin is one of the critical
issues. For definite estimates of water allocation policies,
and hence the potential of improving system performance,
an integrated analysis at basin-scale is important, where
individual water related sectors, such as agriculture, municipal, and industrial water supply are brought together in
a framework for an integrated analysis. In this regard,
mathematical models provide the opportunity for the wellstructured basin-wide analyses of water availability and
water demands and offer a framework for a coordinated
planning and management.
Basin-scale models have been widely used to assess
the performance of water resources systems. They use
hydrologic input data and simulate the behavior of various
hydrologic, water quality, economic, or other variables under a fixed set of water allocation policies. A distinguishing
feature of these simulation models is the ability to assess
water resources system responses to extremes, non-equilibrium conditions, and thereby to identify the system components more prone to failure. There are a large number
27
of basin-scale simulation models that have been developed for a wide range of purposes (Wurbs, 1995; Loucks
et al., 1995; DHI, 1995 and 1997; Jamieson and Fedra,
1996a; Arnold et al., 1998).
The Mun river basin, approximately 70,000 km2 in area
and located in Northeast Thailand (Figure 1), is known to
have high seasonal and spatial climatic variations (Binnie
and Partners, 1995). These conditions cause major problems in the efficient use of water. The objectives of this
study were to analyze the water resources system of the
Mun river basin and to establish key management strategies that will help water managers achieve optimal allocation of water resources in the basin. For this purpose, a
basin-scale simulation model Mike Basin (DHI, 1997) that
basically performs water quantity mass balance approach
was found suitable. The model was applied using hydrological data of 33 years (1965 to 1997) based on the availability and utilization of the water resources in the basin.
The outcome of analyses will provide a decision basis for
policy makers in relation to the optimal allocation of water
resources in the Mun rive basin.
28
N
N
200
km.
Middle Mun
Lower Mun
Upper Mun
100
km.
are gravity irrigation schemes (developed by Royal Irrigation Department) and pumped irrigation schemes (developed by Department of Energy Development and
Promotion). The majority of the irrigation area (more than
90 percent) is cultivated with paddy rice crops. Most of
the irrigation water used in the basin is from the surface
storage reservoirs. There are seven large irrigation
schemes (irrigation area more than 12,800 ha) and all are
associated with reservoirs and large water diversion
schemes. The detailed list of irrigation areas and the corresponding sources of water withdrawal can be found in
Jha (1999). Use of groundwater resources for irrigation
was limited due to poor yield and quality. More than about
29
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Jan Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug Sep
tiple-reservoir systems. The purpose of individual reservoirs is to simulate the performance for specified operation policies using associated rule curves. Operation rules
are defined to include storage target levels and various
storage allocation zones. A conveyance loss factor can be
specified for each reservoir user. Multiple-reservoir systems allow for specifying water extraction from several
reservoirs to a specific demand scheme in order of priority.
Figure 4 shows a schematic of the modeling concept.
The major inputs are the hydrological data and water demand data. The model output includes the magnitude and
frequency of any water shortages as well as simulated
time-series of flows at all nodes, providing information on
the performance of each reservoir and water supply
schemes. Mike Basin has been coupled with ArcView interface enabling the model to be user-friendly and powerful in handling spatial data. The special features of the
model include watershed delineation, priority-based allocation principles, water supply and irrigation allocation, low
flow controls, river routing, and many more. However, there
are certain limitations such as it lacks optimization procedures for reservoir operation, and it is incapable of simulation of erosion/sediment transport. Moreover, the model is
not well documented for the equations and methods it uses
in flow and water quality modeling. It comes as a commercial package.
Upper Mun
Middle Mun
Network
configuration
Lower Mun
Reservoir
submodel
400
350
Rainfall, mm
Meteorological
timeseries
Hydrological
timeseries
300
Irrigation
submodel
250
200
150
100
50
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
30
R po int
in which,
F=
needed
= F *R gauging station
* Apo int
needed
(1)
(2)
needed
Irrigation efficiency is the product of conveyance, distribution, and application efficiency. It was taken as 45
percent for the Mun river basin (Rosegrant and Shetty,
1994).
The domestic and municipal water supply demand and
industrial water supply demand were lumped to get one
unit of water supply demand. The industrial water demand
was directly taken from the previous study report by Royal
Irrigation Department (Binnie and Partners, 1995). The
domestic and municipal water demands were calculated
from the demographic observations. A per capita withdrawal for domestic and municipal usage was taken as 31
m3 /year (i.e., approximately 96 liters per capita per day)
for the entire basin (UNDP, 1994).
Modeling Approach
The natural river system of the Mun river basin was
schematized and represented with a node-branch structure. A total of 68 nodes and corresponding 67 branches
were established based on the river network configuration (Figure 5). Branches represent the main river and its
main tributaries, and nodes represent major river
confluences, reservoirs, and control points for offtake.
Offtake points were selected on the main river and/or tributaries to release water to cover downstream irrigation and
water supply demands. In the simulation, only two major
water demand sectors were considered: irrigation and
water supply for domestic, municipal, and industrial usage. Total irrigation areas (exiting and proposed) within
the basin were lumped into 33 irrigation schemes. These
schemes do not differ due to their irrigation systems, but
their differing points of water withdrawals from the river
or reservoirs. The major irrigation system in the basin is
gravity flow (normally from reservoirs). Similarly, 24
lumped water supply schemes were established based on
different water withdrawal points. The schemes were then
allocated to the nearby nodes for their water withdrawals,
and return flows from established schemes were directed
to the immediate downstream nodes. Monthly simulation
was carried out using hydrological data of 33 years (1965
to 1997) considering the downstream requirements for
water supply and irrigation as the first and second priorities respectively. The model performs a basic water quantity mass balance approach at every node. The simulation
criteria were as follows:
Simulation period: 1965 to 1997 (33 years)
Time step: monthly
Cropping intensity = 120 percent (wet season 100
percent; dry season 20 percent)
Irrigation efficiency = 45 percent
Irrigation return flow = 20 percent
Water supply return flow = 50 percent
Priority for water withdrawal: first is water supply, and
second is irrigation
The outputs from the model describe the response of
the basin-system and give a clear picture of the water
resources status of the basin. The performance of each
reservoir and demand scheme was then analyzed using
the concept of event-based reliability (Hashimoto et al.,
1982) a hydrologic performance indicator. Event-based
reliability of each irrigation and water supply scheme was
calculated as the probability of non-failure events:
Event based reliabilit y =
(4)
31
irrigation schemes, a failure month indicates a water demand deficit exceeding 20 percent. Similarly a limit of 10
percent was assumed for water supply schemes. The calculated reliability value for individual schemes (from Equation 4) indicates that the demand was satisfied for a certain
portion of the simulated time. For example, 50 percent
reliability indicates that the water demand was satisfied
half of the time (within simulated period). Then, overall
performance of the entire water demand sector (irrigation
and water supply) was calculated using Equation 5.
System reliability =
Middle Mun
Lower Mun
Jun
Aug
10
8
6
4
2
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jul
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
32
Irrigation
Domestic and Municipal
Industrial
Total
Upper Mun
Middle Mun
Lower Mun
1,876
89
8
1,973
1,289
156
13
1,458
722
36
1
759
Percentage
Demand
%
Total Demand
(106 m3 /year)
3,887
281
22
4,190
93
6.5
0.5
100
Total
1,973
1,602
371
19
1,735
0.085
0.088
Wet
Season
1,175
936
239
20
7,860
0.216
0.040
Middle Mun
Dry
Season
798
666
132
17
7,077
0.551
0.059
Lower Mun
Total
Wet
Season
Dry
Season
Total
Wet
Season
1,458
1,021
437
30
854
768
86
10
604
253
351
58
759
678
81
11
408
404
4
1
Dry
Season
351
274
77
22
33
100
Reliability, %
80
60
40
20
0
Ib
Ic
Id
Ie
I5
I7
I12
I13
I15
I18
I19
I21
I24
I27
I30
I31
I33
I34
I36
I39
I41
I42
I44
I45
I47
I49
I52
I53
I55
I58
I59
If
Irrigation schemes
(Notation ex.: 'Ia' has 'I' as irrigation scheme and 'a' as the corresponding node no. as
shown in Figure 5)
100
Reliability, %
Ia
80
60
40
20
0
Wa
W3
W5
W7
W12
W15
W18
W19
Wf
Number of
Schemes
Irrigation
33
Water Supply
24
Period
Wet Season
Dry Season
Yearly
Number of
Reliable
Schemes
22
11
9
System
Reliability
(%)
67
33
38
One of the major factors in improving water use efficiency is irrigation efficiency. All the findings above are
based on 45 percent irrigation efficiency. The system performance was analyzed by changing the irrigation efficiencies to 35 percent and 55 percent. Figure 9 shows the
effect of different irrigation efficiencies on reliabilities of
the irrigation schemes, and the effect was found to be
insignificant. This is due to the state of the system. It can
be inferred from this result that wet season water availability must be very high in order to accommodate a significant increase in demand, whereas dry season water
Table 4. Reliable Irrigation Cropping Intensities across the Basin
Basin
Upper Mun
Middle Mun
Lower Mun
Mun Basin
82
68
95
80
17
0.05 (infeasible)
12
12
34
55% Efficiency
45% Efficiency
35% Efficiency
100
90
80
Reliability, %
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Ia
Ib
Ic
Id
Ie
I5
I7
I12
I13
I15
I18
I19
I21
I24
I27
I30
I31 I33
I34
I36 I39
I41
I42
I44
I45
I47
I49
I52
I53
I55 I58
I59
If
Irrigation Schemes
Conclusion
Basin-scale mathematical models can be used as decision support systems for the assessment of a basins
water resources and establish the basis for planning and
management. This paper describes the application of a
basin-scale simulation model Mike Basin and shows its
usefulness in analyzing the basin performance and thus
establishing the best management approaches for the efficient use and allocation of water resources. The model
was applied in the Mun River Basin of Northeast Thailand. The analysis shows inadequacy of dry season water
availability to satisfy even domestic and municipal uses,
which constitute less than 10 percent of total demand. It
also indicates insignificant dry season irrigation. On the
other hand, the wet season has high water availability. This
imbalance of high water availability in wet season and very
little or no water availability in the dry season limits the
cropping potential of the basin. Based on the findings, some
suggestions are forwarded on the proper management
approach of water resources. Tapping of surface water
Acknowledgements
This research was carried out as a partial fulfillment
of the requirements for the degree of master of engineering at Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand.
The authors wish to express sincere thanks to Asian Institute of Technology for the support in carrying out this research. The cooperation and assistance of many officials
of the Royal Irrigation Department and the Meteorological Department of Thailand during data collection are gratefully acknowledged.
35
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