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Hongjun SI
Kozo Keikaku Eng. Inc/ERI, Univ. of Tokyo
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Outline
Tectonics surrounding Japan
Strong motion observation network
GMPE for PSHMs in Japan
Applicability to worldwide data
About the 2011 Mw9.1 Tohoku earthquake
Summary
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Taira (2001)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
By Bird (2003)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Main earthquakes
http://www. jishin.go.jp/
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
http://www.hp1039.jishin.go.jp/eqchreng/f2-18.htm
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Strong motion
observation
networks in
Japan
After Midorikawa(2005)
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
d=
0.0 for crustal
-0.02 for inter-plate
0.12 for intra-plate
Si and Midorikawa (1999) is
defined on stiff ground with
Vs30=600m/s
http://www.hp1039.jishin.go.jp/eqchreng/f2-18.htm
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
102
Inter plate
102
Crustal
PGV cm/s
cm/s
.
2 2
cm/s
PGA cm/s
Intra plate
Intra
plate
Crustal
101
Inter plate
ACC.
M w = 7.0
Depth = 20 km
101
10
VEL.
M w = 7.0
Depth = 20 km
2
10
100
101
102
Fault
distance km
km
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Depth = 100 km
PGV cm/s
cm/s
2
2
PGA cm/scm/s
Depth = 30 km
102
ACC.
Mw = 7.0
Depth = 100 km
101
100
Intra-subduction-plate
VEL.
Mw = 7.0
Intra-subduction-plate
10 1
10
102
103
101
102
Fault
distance km
km
103
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
After NIED
After JMA
10
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
102
P.G.V cm/s
P.G.A cm/s2
103
102
101
100
100
M w = 6.69
Crustal
Si and M idorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.27
101
101
102
103
M w = 6.69
Crustal
Si and M idorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.23
100
101
102
Fault distance km
Fault distance km
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
103
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
P.G.A ( cm/s2 )
MZQ
102
SFB
P.G.V ( cm/s )
103
102
Soil
Bed Rock
101
100
101
102
WCW
SFB
101
Soil
Bed Rock
100
Mw = 7.9
Si and Midorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.27
MZQ
Mw = 7.9
Si and Midorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.23
100
Fault distance ( k m )
101
102
Fault distance ( k m )
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
102
P.G.V cm/s
P.G.A cm/s2
103
102
101
100
Crustal event:
The 1999 Mw7.62 Chi-Chi earthquake
M w = 7.2
Crustal
Si and M idorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.27
101
101
100
102
Mw = 7.62, aveFDepth=13 km
Crustal
Si and Midorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.23
103
100
101
Fault distance km
Fault distance k m
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
102
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
14
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
15
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
16
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
P.G.A. ( cm/s2 )
103
102
K-NET
KiK-net
101
M w = 9.1
Si and Midorikawa (1999)
Standard Deviation=0.27
100
101
102
Fault Distance ( km )
Si, H., Kuyuk, H. S., Koketsu, K. & Miyake, M. Attenuation characteristics of peak ground motion
during the 2011 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, Seismol. Res. Lett. 82, 460 (2011)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
18
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
P.G.V. ( cm/s )
P.G.A. ( cm/s2 )
103
10
This earthqukae
2003 Off Tokachi
101
This earthquake
2003 Off Tokachi
100
10
100
101
102
Fault Distance ( km )
100
101
102
Fault Distance ( km )
Si, H., Kuyuk, H. S., Koketsu, K. & Miyake, M. Attenuation characteristics of peak ground motion
during the 2011 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, Seismol. Res. Lett. 82, 460 (2011)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Mw = 8.8
Mw = 8.4
mb = 0.0
dip=18 slip=116
dip=74 slip=82
Global CMT
mb = 6.7
dip=18 slip=63
dip=74 slip=98
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Coefficient
5
4
3
PGV
2
6
7
8
9
10
Moment magnitude
Si, H., Koketsu, K. & Miyake, M, Midorikawa S. Attenuation Characteristics of Peak Ground Motions from
Giant Earthquakes - The 2011 Tohoku Earthquake and Other Giant Earthquakes -, Fall meeting of SSJ (2011)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
P.G.V. ( cm/s )
P.G.A. ( cm/s2)
10
10
K-NET
KiK-net
101
101
K-NET
KiK-net
100
102
103
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
d=
0.0 for crustal
0.06 for inter-plate
0.16 for intra-plate
Si and Midorikawa (1999) is
defined on stiff ground with
Vs30=600m/s
http://www.hp1039.jishin.go.jp/eqchreng/f2-18.htm
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Calculation of Ehd
Slip model by Koketsu et al.(2011)
Definition of Ehd
X eq =
M
M
X
2
i
2
i
2
i
24
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
Summary
Attenuation model for PSHMs in Japan also can
25
The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China
FIN
Thank you !