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Strong Motion Attenuation

Relationship for PSHMs in Japan

Hongjun SI
Kozo Keikaku Eng. Inc/ERI, Univ. of Tokyo
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Outline
Tectonics surrounding Japan
Strong motion observation network
GMPE for PSHMs in Japan
Applicability to worldwide data
About the 2011 Mw9.1 Tohoku earthquake
Summary

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Tectonics for Japan

Taira (2001)
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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Seismicity along tectonic


boundaries

By Bird (2003)
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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Main earthquakes

The 2011 Tohoku earthquake

http://www. jishin.go.jp/
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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

The types of earthquakes that occur in the


Japanese archipelago and the surrounding area

http://www.hp1039.jishin.go.jp/eqchreng/f2-18.htm
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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Strong motion
observation
networks in
Japan

After Midorikawa(2005)

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Si and Midorikawa (1999) for PGV


Attenuation relation in Japan by Si and Midorikawa (1999)
log PGV = 0.58M w + 0.0038 D + d log( X + 0.0028 100.5 M w ) 0.002 X 1.29
where X, Mw show fault distance, and moment magnitude, respectively. D is focal
depth represented by the depth of the center of a fault plane. d shows is defined as bellow:

d=
0.0 for crustal
-0.02 for inter-plate
0.12 for intra-plate
Si and Midorikawa (1999) is
defined on stiff ground with
Vs30=600m/s

http://www.hp1039.jishin.go.jp/eqchreng/f2-18.htm

2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Effects of earthquake type


Attenuation relation in Japan by Si and Midorikawa (1999)
103

102

Inter plate

102

Crustal

PGV cm/s
cm/s
.

2 2
cm/s

PGA cm/s

Intra plate
Intra
plate

Crustal

101
Inter plate

ACC.
M w = 7.0
Depth = 20 km

101

10

VEL.
M w = 7.0
Depth = 20 km
2

10

100

101

102

Fault
distance km
km

Evaluating the effects on strong motion by the earthquakes


with different tectonic setting, applicable to near source area
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Effects of focus depth


Attenuation relation in Japan by Si and Midorikawa (1999)
103
Depth = 30 km

Depth = 100 km

PGV cm/s

cm/s

2
2

PGA cm/scm/s

Depth = 30 km

102

ACC.
Mw = 7.0

Depth = 100 km

101

100

Intra-subduction-plate

VEL.
Mw = 7.0

Intra-subduction-plate

10 1
10

102

103

101

102

Fault
distance km
km

Evaluating the effects of focus depth and site effects on


strong ground motion
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103

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Main Application of Si and Midorikawa(1999)


National wide hazard map

Earthquake Early Warning

After NIED

After JMA

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Applicability of the GMPE in Japan


to the earthquakes in the world 1
Crustal event: The 1994 Mw6.7 Northridge , California earthquake

102

P.G.V cm/s

P.G.A cm/s2

103

102

101

100

100

M w = 6.69
Crustal
Si and M idorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.27

101

101

102

103

M w = 6.69
Crustal
Si and M idorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.23

100

101

102

Fault distance km

Fault distance km
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103

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Applicability of the GMPE in Japan


to the earthquakes in the world 2
Crustal event: The 2008 Mw7.9 Great Wenchuan, Sichuan, China
WCW

P.G.A ( cm/s2 )

MZQ

102

SFB

P.G.V ( cm/s )

103

102

Soil
Bed Rock
101

100

101

102

WCW

SFB

101

Soil
Bed Rock
100

Mw = 7.9
Si and Midorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.27

MZQ

Mw = 7.9
Si and Midorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.23
100

Fault distance ( k m )

101

102

Fault distance ( k m )

2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Applicability of the GMPE in Japan


to the earthquakes in the world 3
Crustal event:
The 2010 Mw7.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

102

P.G.V cm/s

P.G.A cm/s2

103

102

101

100

Crustal event:
The 1999 Mw7.62 Chi-Chi earthquake

M w = 7.2
Crustal
Si and M idorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.27

101

101

100

102

Mw = 7.62, aveFDepth=13 km
Crustal
Si and Midorikawa(1999)
+/-=0.23

103

100

101
Fault distance km

Fault distance k m
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102

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Applicability of the GMPE in Japan to the


earthquakes in the world: NGA-PGA

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Applicability of the GMPE in Japan to the


earthquakes in the world: NGA-PGV

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Strong motion recorded during the 2011


Mw9.1 Tohoku earthquake

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

PGA&PGV for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake

P.G.A. ( cm/s2 )

103

102

K-NET
KiK-net
101

M w = 9.1
Si and Midorikawa (1999)
Standard Deviation=0.27
100

101

102

Fault Distance ( km )

Koketsu et al. (2011)

Si, H., Kuyuk, H. S., Koketsu, K. & Miyake, M. Attenuation characteristics of peak ground motion
during the 2011 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, Seismol. Res. Lett. 82, 460 (2011)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Comments by Boore (2011)


http://www.daveboore.com/daves_notes/co
mparisons_of_ground_motions_from_the_
m_9_tohoku_earthquake_with_gmpes_v1.
4.pdf

Figure 2. Observed and predicted


ground motions (see text for
definitions of the GMPE
abbreviations). The yellow band
corresponds to minus and plus one
standard deviation in predicted
values for the Zea06 GMPEs for S
30 V of 345 m/s (because Zea06 uses
discrete site classes, the motions are
the same as for S 30 V of 586 m/s,
because their site class 2 ranges
from 300 to 600 m/s).
Figure 4. Similar to Figure 2, adding
LL08, Aea10, MP10 GMPEs, and
BCHydro10, and showing soil sites only
for GMPEs (except for Aea10 and
MP10, which are only for rock).

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Comparison of Peak motions for the 2011 Mw9.1 Tohoku


and the 2003 Mw8.3 Tokachi-oki earthquake
102

P.G.V. ( cm/s )

P.G.A. ( cm/s2 )

103

10

This earthqukae
2003 Off Tokachi

101

This earthquake
2003 Off Tokachi

100

10

Si and Midorikawa (1999) Mw = 9.1


Si and Midorikawa (1999) Mw = 8.2

100

101

Si and Midorikawa (1999) Mw = 9.1


Si and Midorikawa (1999) Mw = 8.2

102

Fault Distance ( km )

100

Koketsu et al. (2004)

101

102

Fault Distance ( km )

Si, H., Kuyuk, H. S., Koketsu, K. & Miyake, M. Attenuation characteristics of peak ground motion
during the 2011 Tohoku, Japan, earthquake, Seismol. Res. Lett. 82, 460 (2011)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

2010 Chile and 2001 Peru earthqauke


2 0 1 0 0 2 2 7 0 6 3 4 A NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL CH

0 6 2 3 0 1 E NEAR COAST OF PERU

Date: 2010/ 2/27 Centroid Time: 6:35:14.5 GMT

Date: 2001/ 6/23 Centroid Time: 20:34:23.3 GMT

Lat= -35.98 Lon= -73.15

Lat= -17.28 Lon= -72.71

Depth= 23.2 Half duration=60.0

Depth= 29.6 Half duration=43.2

Centroid time minus hypocenter time: 58.9

Centroid time minus hypocenter time: 69.2

Moment Tensor: Expo=29 1.040 -0.039 -1.000 0.304 -1.520 -0.119

Moment Tensor: Expo=28 2.245 -0.547 -1.698 1.339 -3.728 1.444

Mw = 8.8

Mw = 8.4

mb = 0.0

Ms = 8.3 Scalar Moment = 1.86e+29

Fault plane: strike=19

dip=18 slip=116

Fault plane: strike=172

dip=74 slip=82

Global CMT

mb = 6.7

Ms = 8.2 Scalar Moment = 4.67e+28

Fault plane: strike=310

dip=18 slip=63

Fault plane: strike=159

dip=74 slip=98

Poiata et al. 2010


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Boroschek et al. (2010)

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Application of GMPE for Mw9 Mega-thrust


log A = b -log ( X+c ) - k X
earthquakes

Coefficient

5
4
3

PGV

2
6

7
8
9
10
Moment magnitude

Si, H., Koketsu, K. & Miyake, M, Midorikawa S. Attenuation Characteristics of Peak Ground Motions from
Giant Earthquakes - The 2011 Tohoku Earthquake and Other Giant Earthquakes -, Fall meeting of SSJ (2011)
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Strong motion for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake


(when using Equivalent Hypo. Distance)
102

P.G.V. ( cm/s )

P.G.A. ( cm/s2)

10

10

K-NET
KiK-net

101

101

K-NET
KiK-net

100

ERI, Univ. of Tokyo

ERI, Univ. of Tokyo

Si and Midorikawa (1999) Mw = 9.1


101

102

103

Equivalent Hypo. Distance ( km )

Si and Midorikawa (1999) Mw = 9.1


102
103
101
Equivalent Hypo. Distance ( km )

Using the slip model by Koketsu et al. (2011)


2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Si and Midorikawa (1999) for PGV using Ehd


Attenuation relation in Japan by Si and Midorikawa (1999)
log PGV = 0.58M w + 0.0031D + d log X eq 0.002 X 1.25
where X, Mw show EHD, and moment magnitude, respectively. D is focal depth
represented by the depth of the center of a fault plane. d shows is defined as bellow:

d=
0.0 for crustal
0.06 for inter-plate
0.16 for intra-plate
Si and Midorikawa (1999) is
defined on stiff ground with
Vs30=600m/s

http://www.hp1039.jishin.go.jp/eqchreng/f2-18.htm

2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Calculation of Ehd
Slip model by Koketsu et al.(2011)

Definition of Ehd

X eq =

2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

M
M
X

2
i
2
i
2
i

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

Summary
Attenuation model for PSHMs in Japan also can

be applied to the strong motion data world wide


When using closest distance to the fault plane,
additional saturation for M should me considered
in an attenuation model. Fortunately, this
saturation has been considered in the hazard
map in Japan.
the attenuation model using equivalent hypo.
distance seems can be applied to a Mw9 megathrust earthquake.
2011 KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.

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The 1st Annual Meeting of the Strategic Chinese-Korean-Japanese Cooperative Program: Seismic Hazard
Assessment for the Next Generation Map, November 25~30, 2011, Harbin, China

FIN
Thank you !

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