Exam 1 Version A

Name
Recitation Day&Time

STAT 1450 Exam 1 Autumn 2013 - Version A

Circle your recitation TAs name from the list of names below:
Andrew Bean
Matt Brems

Thomas Kilbane
Angus McKay

Mark Risser
Andrew Olsen

Hui Yang

Your percentage score will be based upon 50 points.

**Multiple Choice** (2 points each) Circle the best answer.
Use the following information for Questions 1-4:

A new flu vaccine was administered in a small community in early fall. Some received one shot,
some two, and others declined the vaccine. The 1,000 participants physicians were contacted the
following spring and asked if their patients had contracted the flu over the 6-month period. The
results have been summarized in the following table.
Contraction of Flu
Yes
No
Number of Vaccines
Total
None
24
289
313
One
9
100
109
Two
13
565
578
Total
46
954
1000
1) What percent of all participants neither contracted the flu nor had a vaccine?
a) 52.2%
b) 28.9%
c) 7.7%
d) 2.4%
2) What percent of people who declined the vaccine, eventually contracted the flu?
a) 52.2%
b) 28.9%
c) 7.7%
d) 2.4%
3) Approximately, what percent of recipients of two vaccines contracted the flu?
a) More than 50%
b) About 25%
c) About 10%
d) About 2%
4)

Which is most appropriate in determining if there is an association between the variable presented in
this two-way table?
a) Marginal distributions of contraction of flu.
b) Marginal distributions of number of vaccines.
c) Conditional distributions of participants who did not contract the flu.
d) Conditional distributions for each of the numbers of vaccines administered.
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5) Stemplots are used for which creating graphical displays of these types of variables?
a) Quantitative.
b) Semi-modal.
c) Qualitative.
d) Categorical.

6) Chicago is now rivaling Detroit for having the largest number of homicides in the United States. It
turns out that the month with the largest murder rate in 2012 (July 2012) was underreported. How will
recording the correct value impact the mean and standard deviation?
a) The mean will increase, the standard deviation will increase.
b) The mean will decrease, the standard deviation will decrease.
c) The mean will increase, the standard deviation will decrease.
d) The mean will decrease, the standard deviation will increase.

7) Referring to the exercise from above, which of the following options would best
estimate the z-score from July 2012?
a) 0.00
b) -2.00.
c) +2.00.
d) 18.6 per 1000 residents

8) The time it takes a randomly selected new employee to perform a certain task is normally distributed
with a mean value of 120 seconds and a standard deviation of 20 seconds. Which of the following
intervals contains approximately 95% of times (in seconds)?
a) (60, 180)
b) (80, 160)
c) (100, 140)
d) (80, 180)

9) In regression, which of the following must be true about a data value that has a positive residual?
a) The mean is larger than the median.
b) The observed value of the response is larger than the value predicted by the regression line.
c) The value predicted by the regression line is larger than the observed value of the response.
d) The value is an influential observation.

10) Consider the following potential survey question: Given his large fan base, international acclaim,
and swagger, would you consider attending an upcoming Drake concert at the Schottenstein Center?

This question is:

a) biased toward respondents saying no.
b) biased toward respondents saying yes.
c) unbiased.
d) symmetric

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***For Questions 11-14, you cannot get full credit unless you show your work. Partial credit will be
granted based on worked shown. Make sure to show formulas and calculator inputs where
appropriate. Explanations should include relevant computations and appropriate statistical
reasoning.
6 pts. total

11)

The following histogram, boxplot, and summary statistics are for the numbers of homicides for
a Detroit neighborhood.

Count

# of Homicides

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

100.0%
99.5%
97.5%
90.0%
75.0%
50.0%
25.0%
10.0%
2.5%
0.5%
0.0%

maximum

quartile
median
quartile

minimum

37
37
37
34.9
26
17.5
13.25
9
9
9
9

Mean
Std Dev
Std Err Mean

19.416667
8.575423
2.4755114

Upper 95% Mean

24.86523

Lower 95% Mean

13.968103

5 pts.

a) A member of the Mayors staff would like you to describe the data. Be sure that your
description references at least 3 of the features commonly associated with data; and that each
feature cited has at least 1 supporting numerical measurement.

1 pt.

b) Compute the interquartile range.

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6 pts. total

12)

A flu vaccination study was referenced earlier in this exam. As a STAT 1450 student, you have
been invited to be a member of the research team. In this study, 100 subjects are randomly
assigned this fall. They will receive either the new vaccine or a placebo from a set of physicians.
Flu incidence rates will be compared in the spring.
2 pts.

a) The research team would like to know more about double-blind experiments.
Explain what a double-blind experiment is in the context of this study.

4 pts.

b) You now believe that a lurking variable might confound the results.
Answers may vary, but identify a potential lurking variable here ->

_________

Create a diagram of the experiment.

Be sure to include the subjects, blocks, treatments, and the response that is to be measured.

5 pts. total

13)

Earlier in the exam it was mentioned that the time it takes a randomly selected new employee to
perform a certain task is normally distributed with a mean value of 120 seconds and a standard
deviation of 20 seconds.
3 pts.

a)

2pts.

What proportion of new employees

need longer than 149 seconds to
perform the task?

b) Employees who complete the task

in the bottom 4% are candidates for
a bonus. What time qualifies
someone for a bonus?

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13 pts. total

Square footage is one of several variables that impacts condominium prices.

The data from 10 households has been analyzed below. Relevant JMP output is included.
12
11
11
10

Price

14)

10
95
90
85
1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

Square Footage

Summary of Fit
RSquare
RSquare Adj
Root Mean Square Error
Mean of Response
Observations (or Sum Wgts)

0.965434
0.961113
1659.804
99800
10

Parameter Estimates
Term
Intercept
Square Footage

Estimate
50,013.373
27.750196

Std Error
3371.793
1.856468

t Ratio
14.83
14.95

Prob>|t|
<.0001*
<.0001*

3 pts.

a) Comment on the strength, direction, and form of the association between price & square footage.

2 pts.

b) What is the correlation between

price and square footage?

2 pts.

c) Interpret the correlation in context.

2 pts.

c) Based upon the JMP output,

what is the equation of the
regression line?

2pts.

d) Your friend Susan has a 2000 sq. t.

condominium, use the regression line
to predict the price of her
condominium.

2 pts.

e) Interpret r2.

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An optional exercise.
3pts.

A new professional on the golf tour, Tiger Nicklaus, plays best on short holes.
When facing a Par-3 hole his distribution is:
# of strokes
2
3
4
5
probability
.12
.80
.06
.02
a) What are the two elements that makes
this a probability model?

b) How likely is it that he

does not hit the ball
into the hole in three strokes?

Select Formulas

Sample Variance:
s2
=

1 n
( xi x ) 2

n 1 i =1

Slope of a Regression Line:

b=r

sy
sx

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