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1. Introduction
Incorporation of Malaysian Government Linked Companies (GLCs) started in the year
2004. The performance of Malaysian GLCs have attracted attention of various
interested parties because they are directly or indirectly owned by government (through
the Ministry of Finance Incorporated) or through the Government Linked Investment
Company (GLIC) (Mohd-Saleh, Kundari & Alwi 2011). GLCs companies have played a
vital role in Malaysias economy growth as they accounted for one-third of the FTSE
KLCI Composite Index. Lau and Tong (2008) report that as owner of GLCs, the
government has the capacity to make major decision on matters like appointment of the
board of directors and top management, corporate strategy, financing, acquisition and
investment. In his study, Wiwattanakantang (1999) finds that GLCs are highly leveraged
because they can easily get access to secured loans.
Capital structure decision of GLCs is crucial to the financial well-being of the company.
Similar to other domestic companies, GLCs need to seek an ideal capital structure that
could reduce the cost of capital and reach the optimal level of debt. Eriotis, Vasiliou and
Ventoura-Neokosmidi (2007) state that an inappropriate debt policy decision can trigger
financial distress and lead to bankruptcy. What are the determinants of such an optimal
capital structure? These are the common questions asked when making financial
decision relating to capital structure.
1
Associate Professor Dr Noryati Ahmad, Arshad Ayub Graduate Business School, Universiti Teknologi
MARA, Malaysia, Email: noryatia@salam.uitm.edu.my
2
Dr Fahmi Abdul Rahim, Faculty of Business Management, Universiti Teknologi, Melaka Branch
Campus, Malaysia, Email: fahmi029@melaka.uitm.edu.my
2. Literature Review
Evolution of capital structure theories starts off with Modigliani and Millers (1958) study
on capital structure. Also known as capital structure irrelevance theory, it argues that
the capital structure of a company has no impact on its value but rather the type of
investment decision made does. This theory was heavily criticized as it fails to account
for other factors like the advantage of tax shield, bankruptcy costs and agency costs.
The work of Modigliani and Miller prompts the development of other theories of capital
structure specifically static trade-off, pecking order, and agency cost theories.
Static trade-off theory explains that debt policy decision of a company is identified after
the company weights the benefits and costs of using debt to finance. Optimal capital
structure is achieved through the net advantage of using debt financing. It further
argues that this advantage compensates the financial distress and bankruptcy costs
associated with debt financing (Altman 1984; Sabir & Malik 2012). A company with a
low level of debt will be able to increase the firm value if more debt financing is used.
However when the firm value is already maximized then using more debt will not
benefit the firm but rather incur additional costs. Hence highly profitable companies will
resort to high debt financing since it can reduce agency costs, taxes and bankruptcy
costs.
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3. Methodology
Data
The sample population of this study is Malaysia GLCs listed in Bursa Malaysia. Data is
collected from the annual financial report and the period of analysis is from 2001 to
2010. Initially 44 government linked companies are identified but due to lack of
information and some companies being dissolved, merged and or acquired by others
companies as well as unavailability of complete data, only 38 companies are included
in our sample. This study also excluded GLCs in the banking, insurance and
investment sectors as their nature of business may not be comparable to the capital
structure of those non-financial GLCs. The proxies use for the dependent variables and
explanatory variables are based on the previous literature and are displayed in Table 1.
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Proxies
Debt Ratio
Independent Variables
Liquidity (LIQi,t)
Tangibility (TANGi,t)
Profitability (PRFi,t)
Firm Size (SIZEi,t)
Firm Growth Opportunities
(GRWi,t)
Non-debt Tax Shield
(NDTSi,t)
Interest Coverage Ratio
(INCOV)
Dummy Debt Ratio (D40)
Proxies
Current Assets/Liabilities
Fixed assets/Total assets
Return on equity ratio
Logarithm of Total Sales
Annual percentage change in
total assets
Annual depreciation/Total
assets
Net Income before tax/Interest
Payment
Debt ratio > 40% = 1 and Debt
ratio < 40% = 0
Pooled ordinary least square (OLS) analysis is utilized to achieve the objectives of the
study. This method is preferred as it gives more precise estimators and test statistics
with more power as well as able to control for individual heterogeneity and reduce
collinearity. In addition, pooled OLS regression models allow testing on all crosssection units through time which is better off than just testing all cross-section units at
one point of time or one cross-section at a given point of time (Podest 2002).
Four pooled ordinary least square (OLS) regression models are estimated to analyze
GLCs capital structure determinants. Model 1, 2 and 3 use debt ratio (DR), long term
debt ratio (LTR) and short term debt ratio (STR) as dependent variables respectively.
Model 4 includes a dichotomous variable equal to unity if GLCs have a debt ratio
greater than 40% and zero otherwise. The inclusion of the dichotomous variable is to
determine whether GLCs that have debt ratio of more than 40% make significant
contribution in explaining GLCs debt ratio. These models are specified as follows:
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Where
and
are proxies for debt ratio, long term debt ratio and short
term debt ratio of
at time t respectively. Liquidity ratio (
, interest coverage
ratio
, size
, growth rate
, tangibility of assets
,
profitability a
and non-debt tax shield
are independent variables of
at time t.
represents the error term.
is the dichotomous variable as
explained in Table 1.
Levin, Lin and James Chu (2002) (LLC) group and individual unit root tests,
multicollinearity test, serial correlation test and heteroskedasticity test are run before
four models are estimated.
4. Results
4.1 Descriptive Statistics
Table 2 describes the statistics of both the dependent and independent variables in the
sample of this study. On average the debt ratio of GLCs is 44% while the long-term
debt ratio is 22% and short-term debt is 25% respectively. This indicates that the GLCs
are almost equally financed by debt and equity. In terms of liquidity, GLCs have on
average liquidity ratio of 1.7 times and interest coverage ratio of 0.8 times. The mean
value of GLCs size is 8.22. The minimum value of profitability is -1.17 to a maximum
value of 0.23. In relation to tangibility, fixed assets represent 50% of the total assets of
GLCs. GLCs experience on average a growth rate of 18% during the period studied.
Table 2: Descriptive statistics of the variables
Variables
DR
LTR
STR
LIQ
INCOV
SIZE
GRW
TANG
PROFIT
NDTS
Mean
0.444684
0.221270
0.254584
1.771779
0.858262
8.224979
0.176741
0.508906
0.036432
0.019159
Median
0.019159
0.179331
0.226881
1.385213
1.062101
8.885489
0.033747
0.535839
0.041752
0.013601
SD
0.277137
0.210163
0.211215
1.762410
0.512221
2.580289
0.771734
0.245764
0.094659
0.023023
Minimum
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
-0.964903
0.000000
-1.166284
0.000000
Maximum
2.676300
1.063000
2.356967
12.37959
2.407551
10.53205
7.311859
0.945988
0.225036
0.148717
Newbold and Granger (1974) argue that if the series contain unit root then the
estimated regression can provide spurious results. Hence it is essential to conduct unit
root test to avoid having spurious estimation. Levin, Lin & James Chu (2002) propose
to use Levin-Lin-Chu (LLC) unit root test if it is found that the pooled data (N) is larger
than the time section studied (T). Result of LLC unit root test indicates all the series
have no unit root (Table 3).
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Statistic
-40.6696
t-Stat
-10.899
-7.1491
-11.012
-19.432
-11.693
-9.7903
-6.1692
-15.306
-11.138
-9.3708
P-value
0.0000***
P-value
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
0.0000***
INCOV
LIQ
NDTS
PRF
SIZE
TANG
INCOV 0.1209
1
(0.0183)** -LIQ
0.0457
(0.3737)
0.2014
1
(0.0001)*** --
NDTS
0.0721
(0.1606)
0.0923
(0.0722)*
PRF
0.0916
0.5117
0.0674
(0.0744*) (0.0000)*** (0.1896)
SIZE
0.0393
(0.4440)
TANG 0.0320
(0.5335)
-0.0305
(0.5521)
1
--0.0056
(0.9123)
1
--
0.4910
0.2151
0.2887
0.1436
1
(0.0000)*** (0.0000)*** (0.0000)*** (0.0050)*** -0.3145
0.0898
(0.0000)*** (0.0804)*
0.1877
0.1073
0.5928
1
(0.0002)*** (0.0364)** (0.0000)*** -***.** and * denotes significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels. ( ) indicates p-value.
The estimated equations are also tested for the presence of serial correlation and
heteroskedasticity. Durbin-Watson statistics based on the initial estimation indicate that
all three models have serial correlation problem. To overcome this problem,
autoregressive error lag one (AR(1)) was included in all the models.The problem of
heteroskedasticity can occur in a cross sectional data. In dealing with
heteroskedasticity, we run the pooled OLS regression models using cross-section
weights to allow for different variances for each company.
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Model 2
LDR
Model 3
SDR
Coefficient
t-Statistic
p-value
-0.0471
-5.2531
0.0000***
0.0315
1.1017
0.2706
0.0478
5.6867
0.0000***
0.0250
2.4100
0.0160**
0.1426
1.3860
0.1658
-0.2238
-1.5616
0.1184
0.9789
0.9292
0.3528
Coefficient
t-Statistic
p-value
0.0016
0.2864
0.7745
0.0444
2.3281
0.0199**
0.0177
2.1566
0.0310**
0.0007
0.1860
0.8524
0.3592
6.3989
0.0000***
-0.2553
-2.3637
0.0181**
-0.1343
-0.2801
0.7793
Coefficient
t-Statistic
p-value
-0.0474
-5.0303
0.0000***
-0.0299
-1.3524
0.1763
0.05061
9.6852
0.0000***
0.0238
2.8240
0.0047***
-0.2669
-3.1488
0.0016***
0.1319
1.6076
0.1079
0.7005
0.8952
0.3707
na
na
na
R-squared
0.0287
0.6102
0.5417
0.5439
4.4790
0.0000
0.5068
-0.1237
-2.0478
0.0406
0.7208
13.082
0.0000
0.6793
0.0644
2.7911
0.0053
0.5103
2.5232
0.0116
0.4790
Model 4
DR with
Dummy
Coefficient
t-Statistic
p-value
-0.0166
-2.5162
0.0119**
0.0132
0.6560
0.5118
0.0269
5.0586
0.0000***
0.0013
0.1972
0.8436
0.0595
0.8973
0.3696
-0.1979
-1.8520
0.0640*
1.0898
1.3845
0.1662
0.3029
13.569
0.0000***
0.0166
0.8583
0.3907
0.3630
2.6433
0.0082***
0.6373
Adjusted R-squared
0.5065
0.6791
0.4787
0.6370
F-statistic
1668.53
3438.61
1492.81
2535.83
Prob(F-statistic)
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Durbin-Watson stat
2.2846
1.9955
2.2725
2.2057
Explanatory Variables
LIQ
INCOV
SIZE
GRW
TANG
PRF
NDTS
DUMMY
AR(1)
Size
The results indicate that size is a significant determinant of GLCs capital structure
for all the three models and are positively related. This implies that banks readily
provide short term or long term loans to GLCs since they have more collateral than
small companies. The finding appears to support the static trade off theory that
suggest larger companies are less likely to face bankruptcy (Dawood et al., 2011)
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5. Conclusion
The objective of this study is to empirically investigate the determinants of capital
structure of 38 Malaysian Government Linked Companies over a 10-year period
starting from 2001 to 2010. Overall results from this study indicate that several
determinants affect capital structure of GLCs. Liquidity and profitability are negatively
related to debt ratio while size and growth opportunities are positively related. This
suggests that being large companies and have potential to grow, GLCs has the
capacity to source for debt financing.
The most important finding in this study is that the debt policy decision of GLCs
becomes more apparent when GLCs capital structure policy is decomposed into long
term debt ratio and short term debt ratio. Tangibility, size and interest coverage ratio
are positively significant for long term debt ratio model. This suggests GLCs tend to
seek long term financing if they have higher tangible assets and higher interest
coverage ratio. In addition, investors are willing to invest in GLCs since they have more
collateral than small firms. The relationship between profitability and long term debt
ratio is inversely related.
On the other hand, short term debt ratio has significantly negative relationship with
liquidity and tangibility variables. This shows that an increase in liquidity reduces the
short term borrowing of GLCs as the companies can use its current assets to pay its
obligations. GLCs will also resort to short term financing rather than long term
financing if they have lower tangible assets. Significantly positive relationship between
growth opportunities and short term debt implies that GLCs make use of short-term
financing to finance its investments.
Non debt tax shield is statistically insignificant in all of the models estimated. This
confirms that tax shield is not an important motivation for GLCs to use debt financing.
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