Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1.
The compact discs from a certain supplier are analyzed for scratch and
shock resistance. The results from 100 discs tested are summarized as
follows:
Scratch
Resistance
Hig
Low
h
30
10
22
8
High
Shock
Mediu
Resistanc
m
e
Low
25
5
Let A denote the event that a disc has high shock resistance, and B
denote the event that a disc has high scratch resistance. If sample is
selected at random, determine the following probabilities:
i. P(A)
ii. P(B)
iii. P(B)
iv. (AUB) v.
P(A B)
vi. P(AUB) vii. P ( A B )
viii. P ( B A)
Solution:
i. 0.4
ii. 0.77
iii. 0.23
iv. 0.87
v. 0.3
vi. 0.53
vii. 0.39
viii. 0.75
2.
A box contains 3 black and 4 while balls. Two balls are drawn at
random one at a time
without replacement.
i.
What is the probability that a second ball drawn is black?
ii.
What is the conditional probability that first ball drawn is black if
the second ball is known to be black?
Solution: (Use tree diagram)
i.
3/7
ii.
1/3
3. In a group of 22 players of Harimau Muda team, only 7 of them are
totally fit for the Asian game tournament and every person of the
remaining 15 players has either knee injury or flue fever or both.
However 8 of the players have knee injuries and 10 have flu fever. Let
A be the event of knee injuries and B be the event of flu fever. If one of
them selected randomly from this group, what is the probability that he
has
i.
both, knee injury and high flu fever?
ii.
knee injury only?
iii.
flu fever only?
iv.
not either knee injury or flu fever?
Solution: (Use Venn diagram)
i.
3/22
ii.
5/22
iii.
7/22
iv.
7/22
4.
5.
6.
Suppose that a test for Influenza A, H1N1 disease has a very high
success rate: if a tested patient has the disease, the test accurately
reports this, a positive, 99% of the time, and if a tested patient does
not have the disease, the test accurately reports that, a negative,
95% of the time. Suppose also, however, that only 0.1% of the
population have that disease.
i.
What is the probability that the test returns a positive result?
ii.
If the patient has a positive, what is the probability that he has
the disease?
iii.
What is the probability of a false positive?
Solution: (Use tree diagram)
Let D be the event that the patient has the disease, and E is the event
that the test returns a positive result.
i.
ii.
iii.
P(E) = 0.05094
P(D given E) = 0.019
P( False positive) = 1 P(D given E) = 0.981
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