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INTRODUCTION
As of 8 January 2015, the UK government had been militarily committed in Iraq for one hundred days.
During this time, it has carried out air strikes in areas primarily in the north and west of the Iraq
against Islamic State (IS) positions, compounds and military equipment. However, with the war against
IS increasingly looking likely to be a multi-year effort, more needs to be done.
25
20
14
15
8
10
5
1
0
September
October
November
December
January
Maps taken from the Institute for the Study of War, available at: http://www.understandingwar.org/iraq-blog
OCTOBER 1 2014
14.5
15
5
1
1
2
11.5
13
JANUARY 7 2015
17.5
14
6
1
1
2
9.5
12
CHANGE
+3
-1
+1
0
0
0
-2
-1
CHANGE
IS to contested
Unclear to IS
Unclear to contested
Contested to ISF
Contested to ISF
Contested to ISF
IS to Peshmerga
All data extracted from the Institute for the Study of War, available at: http://www.understandingwar.org/iraq-blog
Therefore, there has been a slight increase in ISF controlled areas; a small increase in Peshmerga
controlled areas; and an equally small decrease in the scale of IS overall territorial control
SIGNIFICANCE
A member of IS military council and their Anbar governor1
A key advisor to al-Baghdadi2
Aide to al-Baghdadi3
IS leader in Mosul4
Al-Baghdadis right hand man5
IS military emir6
A key deputy to al-Baghdadi7
POLITICAL CHANGES
In mid-August, under intense American and Iranian lobbying, Nouri al-Maliki resigned as Prime
Minister. He was replaced by Haider al-Abadi, who has overseen some important changes.
DATE
September onwards
EVENT
SIGNIFICANCE
Fate of Islamic State chief unclear following U.S. airstrikes on groups leadership in Iraq, Washington Post, 9 November
2014, available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/fate-of-islamic-state-chief-unclear-following-us-strikes-on-groupsleadership-in-iraq/2014/11/09/b5f6d262-8f61-4e1e-8703-2462eed53750_story.html
Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's close aide killed in US air strike, The Telegraph, 9 November 2014, available at
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/islamic-state/11219630/Islamic-State-leader-Abu-Bakr-al-Baghdadis-close-aidekilled-in-US-air-strike.html
Aide to Islamic State's Baghdadi killed near Falluja: Iraqi TV, Reuters, 10 November 2014, available at
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/11/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-idUSKCN0IU0V720141111
Islamic State: Senior IS leader Radwan Taleb al-Hamdoun reportedly killed in air strike in Mosul, ABC, 20 November
2014, available at http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-11-21/senior-islamic-state-figure-killed-in-mosul-sources/5908008
Abu Muslim al-Turkmani: From Iraqi officer to slain ISIS deputy, Al-Arabiya, 19 December 2014, available at
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/perspective/profiles/2014/12/19/Abu-Muslim-al-Turkmani-From-Iraqi-officer-to-slain-ISISdeputy.html
Three top Islamic State leaders killed in air strikes - U.S. officials, Reuters, 18 December 2014, available at
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/12/18/uk-mideast-crisis-usa-leaders-idUKKBN0JW29A20141218
Ibid.
Iraqs Prime Minister Reshuffles the Security Commanders, Institute for the Study of War, 13 November 2014, available at:
http://iswiraq.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/iraqs-prime-minister-reshuffles.html
Iraqi PM retires 24 interior ministry officers, Al-Arabiya, 1 December 2014, available at
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2014/12/01/Iraqi-PM-sacks-24-Interior-Ministry-officials.html
Abadi shakes up military leadership after Anbar massacre, Iraq Oil Report, 24 September 2014, available at
http://www.iraqoilreport.com/news/abadi-shakes-military-leadership-anbar-massacre-13413/
Iraqs Prime Minister Reshuffles the Security Commanders, Institute for the Study of War, 13 November 2014, available at:
http://iswiraq.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/iraqs-prime-minister-reshuffles.html
Iraqi PM retires 24 interior ministry officers, Al Arabiya, 1 December 2014, available at
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2014/12/01/Iraqi-PM-sacks-24-Interior-Ministry-officials.html
Abadi shakes up military leadership after Anbar massacre, Iraq Oil Report, 24 September 2014, available at:
http://www.iraqoilreport.com/news/abadi-shakes-military-leadership-anbar-massacre-13413/
1
7
8
10
11
12
13
Al-Abadi dismantles the Office of the Maliki had previously used this office to monopolise
Commander in Chief.15 The security Iraqs national security apparatus.
portfolio is now divided up between
Khaled Al-Obeidi, a Sunni, instated as
Defence Minister and Mohammed alGhabban, a Shiite, as Interior Minister.16
November
The formation of National Guard units is While this is welcome, there are concerns over the
proposed, who are to be recruited and length of time it will take for the National Guard to be
trained to fight locally on a province-by- fully operational and combat effective.
province basis, focusing on protecting their
native populace.17
December
The salary of Ministers has been reduced A symbolic show of willingness from the Iraqi political
by 50% due to the Iraqi financial crisis.18
class.
Baghdads Oil Deal With Kurdistan Quells Concerns of Iraqi Split, Foreign Policy, 2 December 2014, available at:
http://foreignpolicy.com/2014/12/02/baghdads-oil-deal-with-kurdistan-quells-concerns-of-iraqi-split/
Iraq PM dismisses 24 interior ministry commanders, Daily Star, 1 December 2014, available at
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2014/Dec-01/279529-iraq-pm-dismisses-24-interior-ministry-commanders.ashx
Iraq crisis: MPs complete anti-IS government, BBC News, 18 October 2014, available at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/worldmiddle-east-29674440
Pentagon aims to train leaner, meaner Iraqi army, Washington Post, 28 November 2014, accessible at:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-seeks-to-build-lean-iraqi-force-to-fight-the-islamicstate/2014/11/27/f9539046-757b-11e4-bd1b-03009bd3e984_story.html
Iraqi Ministers Take 50 Percent Pay Cut as Oil Slumps, Bloomberg, 2 December 2014, available at:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-02/iraqi-ministers-take-50-percent-pay-cut-amid-financial-crisis.html
No UK troops for Iraq: Government delays plans to send soldiers to fight Islamic State amid fears of casualties in an election
year, Daily Mail, 7 January 2015, available at http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2899834/No-UK-troops-IraqGovernment-drops-plans-send-soldiers-fight-Islamic-State-amid-fears-casualties-election-year.html
14
15
16
17
18
19
may be able to make up this shortfall, the US cannot be expected to do all the heavy lifting and should
expect UK assistance.
Support Haider al-Abadi but keep pushing for further political reform
The new Iraqi Prime Minister has made important steps towards political reconciliation, yet requires
consistent military and political support from the West. It is especially important that al-Abadi reduces
state-led sectarianism. If the war against IS is to succeed, that Sunni tribes that rise up against IS cannot
have reason to think that there will be a wave of Shia sectarianism emerging from Baghdad awaiting
them at the end of the conflict.
Be mindful of Iran
Al-Abadi is vulnerable to external pressure from other influential actors in the Iraqi political system:
especially Iran, a country engaged militarily in Iraq which has made an important military contribution
in terms of airstrikes, ammunition, weaponry and military advice.22
The Iraqi government remains dependent on this support, yet Irans assistance is conditional upon the
sway this allows it over Baghdad. Iran wants a sectarian, weak and divided government in Baghdad that
is vulnerable to their pressure. These aims clearly should not match those of the West.
Iran has also played a role in supporting various Shiite militias, contributing to IS defeats in areas such
as Baiji, Amerli and Jurf al- Sakhar.23 However, there have been reports of graphic abuses by these
Hannah Stuart, The Legal Case for British Military Action Against Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, Henry Jackson Society:
Centre for the Response to Radicalisation and Terrorism, September 2014, available at http://henryjacksonsociety.org/wpcontent/uploads/2014/10/Legal-Case-for-British-Military-Action-in-Iraq-and-Syria.pdf
Ibid.
For example, see How much has Iran helped Iraq against the Islamic State? The answer is political, Christian Science
Monitor, 13 January 2015, available at http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2015/0113/How-much-has-Iran-helpedIraq-against-Islamic-State-The-answer-is-political
Iraqi forces, Iranian-supported militias report success in Baiji, The Long War Journal, 14 November 2014, available at:
http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/11/iraqi_forces_shiite.php
20
21
22
23
Shiite militias on purported IS fighters and civilians presumed complicit with Sunni terrorists.24 Such
brutality will exacerbate sectarian tensions and undermine the narrative of inclusivity which is
fundamental to long-term success in Iraq.
After victory in key Iraqi tow, time for revenge, Reuters, 26 October 2014, available at:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/26/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-executions-idUSKBN0IF0W120141026
24
APPENDIX
MILITARY ACTION IN THE FIRST 100 DAYS25
DATE
CARRIER
EQUIPMENT USED
AREAS STRUCK
PURPOSE
30 September26
Tornado x 2
Unspecified area in
northwest Iraq
1 October27
5 October
Unidentified aircraft
x 2 (likely Tornado
GR4)
Ramadi, Anbar
province, west of
Baghdad
7 October
Tornado GR4 x 2
8 October
Tornado (number
unspecified)
Tornado x 2
Unspecified
Ramadi, Anbar
province, west of
Baghdad
Unspecified
Attack an IS stronghold
from which terrorists were
firing on Iraqi troops
To assist the Iraqi
government against IS
Destroy an IS battle tank
19 October
Tornado (number
unspecified)
Brimstone missiles x 2
24 October
Tornado GR4 x 2
1 + 2 November
4 November
Tornado GR4 x 2
Brimstone missile x 1
10 November
Unspecified date
w/c 13 October
Brimstone missile x 1
Near Ramadi,
Anbar province,
west of Baghdad
Ramadi, Anbar
province, west of
Baghdad
Jar Silah, west of
Kirkuk, northern
Iraq
(a) al-Qaim, western
Iraq; (b)
unspecified
Bayji, north of
Baghdad
(a) Bayji, north of
Baghdad; (b)
al-Anbar, west of
Baghdad
26
27
28
12 November
13 November
Reaper RPAS x 1
Reaper RPAS x 2
Hellfire missiles
Hellfire missiles
15 November
(a) Multiple
Tornado GR4; (b)
Multiple Tornado
GR4
(a) Tornado GR4;
(b) Reaper RPAS x
1;
20 November
(a) Multiple
Tornado GR4
Paveway IV bombs
26 November
Reaper RPAS x 1
Hellfire missile x 1
27 November
Multiple Tornado
GR4; Reaper RPAS
x1
Northern Iraq
1 December
2 December
5 December
Multiple Tornado
GR4
6 December
Multiple Tornado
GR4
Brimstone missile x 1
7 December
Tornado GR4 x 2
Brimstone missile x 1
8 December
Multiple Tornado
GR4
(a) Multiple
Tornado GR4; (b)
Reaper RPAS
Brimstone missiles
Multiple Tornado
GR4s
(a) Reaper RPAS x
18 November
9 December
10 December
12 December
Attack an IS compound.
19 December
Reaper RPAS x 1
Hellfire missile x 1
Unspecified
23 December
Multiple Tornado
GR4s
(a)
Multiple
Tornado GR4s; (b)
Reaper RPAS x 1
Brimstone
missiles
and
Paveway IV bombs
(a) Brimstone missile x 1; (b)
Hellfire missile x 1
Al-Qaim, western
Iraq
(a) Unspecified; (b)
unspecified
24 December
25 December
28 December
Reaper RPAS x 1
2 January
(a) Tornado GR4s; (a) Brimstone missile x 1; (b) (a) East of Al-Qaim,
(b) Tornado GR4 x Paveway IV bombs x 2
western Iraq; (b)
1
northwest
of
Ramadi,
Anbar
province
(a) Reaper RPAS x (a) Hellfire missile x 1; (b) (a) Unspecified; (b)
1; (b) Reaper RPAS Hellfire missile x 1
unspecified
x1
(a) Tornado GR4s; (a) Brimstone missile x 1; (b) (a) Al-Qaim,
(b) Reaper x 1
Hellfire missiles x 3
western Iraq; (b)
unspecified
4 January
5 January
8 January
Reaper RPAS x 1
Hellfire x 2
Hellfire missile
Northern Iraq
Anbar province
Note
a)
b)
Only missions with a known combat perspective i.e. not reconnaissance missions are included.
The quantity of missiles fired or aircraft deployed is unknown unless specified.