40th

Ward: OConnor Safe

Contact: Tom Swiss
(773) 485-9477

February 2, 2015

Long-time Alderman to cruise to easy victory

CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll for Aldertrack on Sunday, February 1, 2015 for
40th Ward Alderman with 525 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.

Patrick OConnor

234

44.6%

Dianne Daleiden

120

22.9%

Undecided

171

32.6%

Margin of Error +/- 4.36% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
Despite reports of strong efforts by Daleiden to reach out to voters, long-time Alderman and Emanuels
City Council floor leader, Patrick OConnor holds a strong lead. Running against incumbents in Chicago
has always been extremely difficult and this race is no exception.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race, but the final order wont change.

METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 1


CROSSTABS

Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

247
278

47.0%
53.0%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 - 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

53
168
191
113

10.1%
32.0%
36.4%
21.5%

Respondents by Zipcode
60625 Count
60626 Count
60640 Count
60659 Count
60660 Count

228
15
76
110
95

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161 Page 2