Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(I)
(II)
(III)
(IV)
(V)
(VI)
(VIII)
(I)
Introduction
While the assumption that the public sector is responsible for the delivery of basic
services remains deeply entrenched in many countries, the methods by which these
services are created, procured and delivered are changing. This reflects a greater need and
desire for the public sector to work with and harness the benefits of the private sector.
There is a broad range of options for involving the private sector in the financing,
physical development, and operation of transport and environment projects traditionally
the domain of the public sector. As depicted in Figure 1, Public-Private Partnership (PPP)
approaches are arrayed across a spectrum. At one end, the public sector retains all
responsibility for financing, constructing, operating and maintaining assets, together with
the responsibility for assuming all associated risks. At the other end, the private sector
assumes all of these responsibilities. The vast majority of PPP approaches fall in the
middle of spectrum, with risks and responsibilities shared between the public sector and
its private partners according to their strengths and weaknesses.
Figure 1: PPP Options
Public Responsibility
Traditional Public
Sector Structure
Public Owner/
Operator/
Financier
Private Responsibility
Publicly Sponsored
BOT
Public Owner/
Financier
Operator
Contractor
Public Owner
Operator
Public Owner/
Financier
Contractor
Engineer
Operator
Engineer
Engineer
Public Sector
Divesture
Private
Concessionaire
Contractor
Engineer
Concessions
Operator
Contractor
Private Sector
The aim of this section is to provide an overview of the variety of financing and
operational PPP structures that are currently used and which could be matched to the
needs of the Government and the use of Government funding to leverage additional
sources of capital that would not otherwise be available. This all-important phenomenon
allows projects to be built with smaller levels of support from both grant financing
programmes and public resources in recipient nations.
By moving beyond pure grant financing and supporting projects that limit private
participation to simple outsourcing agreements, the potential of PPPs can be demonstrated
in markets that have limited experience with partnerships. By limiting the need for public
investment, PPPs can also help Governments to implement much needed projects sooner
by avoiding the need to wait for future government budget cycles for funding.
(2)
Why PPP?
(a)
Recent years have seen a marked increase in cooperation between the public and
private sectors for the development and operation of infrastructure facilities.
While initial projects have often been in the road sector, with the construction of
toll roads (representing clearly defined financial returns); there is a growing
acceptance that PPP arrangements can be used to meet infrastructure and service
needs in a wide variety of sectors.
(b)
Success of PPP projects, the increasing availability of private sector funds able to
adopt a higher risk profile; and a generalized global trend to privatise utilities has
resulted in attempts to introduce the PPP concept to a wider infrastructure base.
This is due to:
(c)
(i)
(ii)
(ii)
Faster implementation
The allocation of design and construction responsibility to the private
sector, combined with payments linked to the availability of a service,
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
(viii)
Investment in infrastructure
Economic growth is highly dependent on the development and
enhancement of infrastructure, particularly in utilities (such as power,
water and telecommunications) and transport systems. Further, in many
countries there is an urgent need for new social infrastructure such as
hospitals and healthcare equipment, prisons, education facilities and
housing. For many governments this is seen as the most pressing area for
private sector involvement.
(ii)
(iii)
(3)
PPP Structures
The PPP process is extremely dynamic and that the particulars of most arrangements are
tailored to the specific circumstances involved. At the same time, many of the individual
components used to design and structure specific partnerships (i.e. contract terms, in-kind
contributions, financing facilities, or grants) can be used with a number of different PPP
approaches. There can therefore be no one generic or best model of PPP structure
A PPP is a partnership between the public sector and the private sector for the purpose of
delivering a project or a service traditionally provided by the public sector. PPPs
recognise that both parties have certain advantages relative to the other in the
performance of specific tasks. By allowing each sector to do what it does best, public
services and infrastructure can be provided in the most economically efficient manner.
The overall aim of PPPs is therefore to structure the relationship between the parties, so
that risks are borne by those best able to control them and increased value is achieved
through the exploitation of private sector skills and competencies.
In order to work successfully with the private sector, public bodies need to be clear about
the fundamental principles and objectives behind PPP. Under PPP arrangements, private
sector contractors become long term providers of services rather than simply upfront asset
builders, combining the responsibilities of designing, building, operating and possibly
financing assets in order to deliver the services needed by the public sector. As a result,
central and local government agencies become increasingly involved as regulators and
focus resources on service planning, performance monitoring and contract management
rather than on the direct management and delivery of services. The result is that the public
mission is delivered through the private sector.
Designed appropriately, PPPs can generate substantial benefits for consumers and
taxpayers. The scope of potential benefit will, however, depend on the type of project
being undertaken and the exact terms of the contract governing the PPP. It is important to
note that public bodies have a critical role to play in the management and regulation of
PPP during their design, construction and operation. PPPs also require effective contract
monitoring procedures to ensure that contractual obligations continue to be met in terms
of both quality and timing.
It is also essential to recognize that the nomenclature used to describe the partnership
process has not been standardized. There are several terms often used interchangeably
turnkey and build, operate- transfer (BOT), for example. There are also single terms that
are used loosely and can be applied to situations that are fundamentally different. For
example, BOT can be used to describe procurements that involves private financing, as
well as those that do not. As such, it is necessary for PPP practitioners to delve beyond
the terms and concepts and become familiar with the way in which the partnership
process itself works. Indeed the terminology debate surrounding the definition of PPP
categories itself mirrors the evolution of PPP approaches and the evolving regulatory
environment defining PPP in various States.
At present, Law does not have a specific definition of PPP. Each type of arrangement is
defined by individual Legislation governing operational structures and procurement.
However interpretation of Concessions suggests that the principal criteria for
distinguishing concessions from other PPP type structures is the extent of risk transfer to
the private party. This criteria will then also allow each type of PPP to be defined and
related to the relevant legislation and methods for selecting private parties. While the
choice of PPP structures is limitless in terms of financial and legal forms, it is viewed that
all PPPs can be defined in relation to the rules governing the choice of private partners
and the selection and application of public procurement procedures.
While it is not possible at this stage to define all possible types of PPPs according to the
application of public procurement of concession rules, it is extremely important for PPP
sponsors to develop a detailed understanding of the perspective and to correctly
categorise their choice of PPP structure before entering into contractual arrangements.
(a)
Traditional Public
Sector Procurement
with Outsourcing
Public Owner/
Operator/
Financier
Operator
Engineer
Leasee
Contractor/
Operator
Contractor
Public Sector
Private Sector
(i)
Service Contracts
Public agencies can enter into service contracts with private sector
companies for the completion of specific tasks. Service contracts are
well suited to operational requirements and may often focus on the
procurement, operation and maintenance of new equipment. These tasks
could include areas such as toll collection, the installation, maintenance
and reading of meters in the water sector, waste collection or the
provision and maintenance of vehicles or other technical systems.
Service contracts are generally awarded on a competitive basis and
extend for short periods of time of a few months up to a few years. They
allow public agencies to benefit from the particular technical expertise of
the private sector, manage staffing issues, and achieve potential cost
savings. Nonetheless, with service contracts management and
investment responsibilities remain strictly with the public sector. While
they afford certain benefits, service contracts cannot address underlying
management or cost issues affecting poorly run organizations.
(ii)
(iii)
Leasing
Leases provide a means for private firms to purchase the income streams
generated by publicly owned assets in exchange for a fixed lease
payment and the obligation to operate and maintain the assets. Lease
transactions are different from operations and management contracts in
that the transfer commercial risk to the private sector partner, as the
lessors ability to derive a profit is linked with its ability to reduce
operating costs, while still meeting designated service levels.
Leases are similar to operations and management contracts in that the
responsibility for capital improvements and network expansion remains
with the public sector owner. However, in certain cases the lessor may
be responsible for specified types of repairs and rehabilitation. Under the
design,
private
several
names,
knowing how much funding will be available to them from year to year. In such
cases they are often forced to spend what money the do have on the most
pressing maintenance needs rather than adopting a more rational and cost
effective preventive approach.
Figure 3: Publicly Sponsored BOT
The public sector awards public
sponsored BOT contracts by
competitive
bid
following
a
transparent tender process. Tenderers
respond to the specifications
provided in the tender documents and
are usually required to provide a
single price for the design,
construction and maintenance of the
facility for whatever period of time is
specified.
Tenderers are also required to submit
documentation
on
their
qualifications, thereby allowing
evaluators to compare the costs of
the different offers as well as ability
of the Tenderers to meet their
specified needs.
Publicly Sponsored
BOT
Public Owner/
Financier
Contractor
Operator
Engineer
Public Sector
Private Sector
10
However, PPP arrangements can also involve private sector financing for
projects that would otherwise be fully financed by the state.
These types of PPP arrangements are particularly attractive as they afford all the
implementation and operational efficiencies described early, together with new
sources of capital. Access to additional sources of capital allows owners to
implement important projects sooner by avoiding the need to wait for future
government budget cycles for funding.
Figure 4: Private Participation Options Project Development and Investment
Opportunities
Maintenance Concession
BOOT Concession
BOT
Design Build
Finance Operate
(DBFO) Concession
Divesture
Public Owner
Private
Concessionaire
Private
Concessionaire
Contractor
Contractor
Operator
Operator
Engineer
Engineer
Public Sector
Private Sector
(i)
Concessions
The primary vehicle for PPP opportunities involving direct private sector
investment is the BOT concession agreement. These agreements enable
a private investment partner to finance, construct, and operate a revenue
generating infrastructure improvement in exchange for the right to
collect the associated revenues for a specified period of time.
Concessions can be awarded for the construction of a new asset or for
the modernization, upgrade, or expansion of an existing facility.
11
Private Divestiture
Private divestiture involves the sale of assets or shares of a state-owned
entity to the private sector. Divestitures can be approached in many
different ways, and can be either partial or complete. Divestiture is also
often an integral part of the transformation of state-owned enterprises
and can be used as a vehicle to transfer the ownership of assets from the
central government to local governments and / or to private utility
companies. The following discussion on divesture addresses the sale of
assets to private investors only.
(1)
12
(4)
13
below. The selection of a suitable PPP arrangement is a complex task and must be based
on individual project characteristics and needs
(a)
14
PPP Type
Contacting
Main Features
Contact with the Private Sector
to design and build Public
Facility
Facility is financed and owned
by Public Sector
Key Driver Transfer of Design
and Construction Risk
Application
Suited to capital projects with
small operating requirement
Suited to capital projects where
the Public Sector wishes to
retain operating responsibility
Strengths
Transfer of Design and
Construction Risk
Potential to accelerate
construction program
Publicly
Financed
BOT
Weaknesses
Possible conflict between
planning and environmental
considerations
May increase operational risk
Commissioning stage is critical
Limited incentive for whole life
costing approach to design
Does not attract private finance
Possible conflict between
planning and environmental
considerations.
Contracts are more complex and
tendering process can take
longer
Contract management and
performance monitoring
systems required.
Cost of re-entering the business
if operator proves
unsatisfactory.
Does not attract private finance
and commits public sector to
providing long term finance.
15
Concessions
16
(b)
(c)
17
user charges (in accordance with the Polluter Pays principle) and accept the risk
associated with waste volumes.
Table 2 summarizes the ability of the PPP structures to meet a range of desirable
performance indicators. The various PPP structures are arrayed in increasing
order of private participation from top to bottom on the table. It can be seen that
as private sector participation increases, so too does the potential for achieving a
wide variety of infrastructure goals. However, it also needs to be recognized that
greater private sector participation in infrastructure development also brings with
it increased implementation constraints, particularly when private investment is
involved.
Table 2: The Effectiveness of Alternative PPP structures
Service
Contracts
Management
Contracts
Leasing
Publicly
Sponsored
BOT
Concessions
Improved
Service
Enhanced
Operating
Efficiency
Enhanced
Risk
Sharing
Life
Cycle
Costing
Accelerated
Implementa
tion
Leveraging
Public
Funds
Possible
Yes
No
No
No
No
Implement
ation
Constraint
s
Low
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
Moderate
Possible
Yes
Yes
Yes
Some
Some
Possible
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
Moderate
High
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Very High
18
19
equity contributions to be made by the private sector. Lenders will also need proof of the
technical ability of the private operator, as well as the beneficiary governments ability to
oversee the implementation and operation of the project. In addition, lenders will require
that clear regulatory and legal structures be in place to govern investment partnerships,
and they will also be interested in the general stability of the political environment in the
beneficiary nation. It should be recognized that as regular participants in PPP
infrastructure partnerships, multilateral institutions and commercial banks are well versed
in the potential pitfalls and in turn have developed comprehensive financial modeling and
due diligence practices that will have to be satisfied before their participation can be
assured.
Examples of the different requirements of the parties in various PPP arrangements are set
out in table 3.
(6)
20
planning and feasibility studies, conceptual design work, and in many cases establish
financial demand model.
Special purpose authorities can assume responsibility for liaison with all parties, as well
other government departments. Often these agencies also negotiate with development
banks and other potential funders. Once individual projects have been identified, the
authority procures them on behalf of the government and then oversees their construction
and operation. While the presence of a development authority can never guarantee
success, it does streamline and organize government involvement, helps develop
government expertise, and encourage consistent policy.
Successful concessions rely on a series of checks and balances. A well-crafted agreement
uses checks and balances to create co-dependence and transparency, while enabling all
the parties involved achieving their goals. Without the participation of any one of these
actors it would not be possible to develop these projects on a partnership basis. This
reality forces all of the participants to be receptive to the needs of its fellow partners and
to work together towards a joint solution and work through new issues as they arise. This
dynamic may be further reinforced when Multilateral Agencies are involved.
Partnership is achieved by providing credibility for the private partner risking its money
and legitimacy for the government sponsoring the project. Legitimacy is achieved by
ensuring that partnership projects meet the needs of the paying public, produce desired
additionalities, and reinforce wider financing goals. It is also achieved by rewarding for
the successful negotiation of risk and providing the private partner with a reasonable
return on its investment. However, if the rewards are too high then that legitimacy is
undermined. Legitimacy is also undermined when investors are more interested in the
profits derived from lucrative construction contracts rather than the successful operation
of a concession itself once it is built.
Achieving partnership also requires strong political support. Traditionally when there has
consensus that an infrastructure project should be built, governments have allocated the
necessary resources to procure it themselves. When governments look to the private
sector for funding this may be a signal of lackluster support. However, because of the
risks involved, the un-conventionality of the approach and the need to maintain
legitimacy, partnership projects are likely to require stronger political and government
support.
Moreover, as risks and challenges increase, so to must the governments support and
commitment. In addition to providing financial resources, it is important to maintain
critical government support for PPP projects.
21
Service
Contracts
Required
-
Management
Contracts
Required
-
Yes
Important
Yes
Yes
-
Leases
Concessions
Required
Desirable
Required
Desirable
Desirable
-
Publicly
Funded BOT
Required
Required
Required
Desirable
Desirable
Required
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Desirable
Partial
Divesture
Required
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Desirable
Full
Divesture
Required
Automatic
Required
Desirable
Required
Desirable
Yes
Important
Yes
Yes
-
Yes
Important
Desirable
Yes
Yes
-
Yes
Yes
Important
Important
Desirable
Important
Important
Required
Required
Important
Important
Yes
Yes
Important
Desirable
Important
Important
Required
Required
Important
Important
Yes
Yes
Important
Desirable
Important
Important
Required
Required
Important
Important
Yes
Yes
Important
Desirable
Important
Important
Required
Required
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Required
Desirable
Required
Required
Desirable
22
(II)
Introduction
It is important to note that there is not one method to analyze PPPs, rather this section will
present a logical progression based on the project cycle with suggested methodologies to
structure thought and analysis for decision making.
(2)
Practical Considerations
The development of a successful PPP requires attention to a large variety of issues. As
PPP is a developing concept, the first stage must be to create a supporting institutional
structure able to develop, guide and manage PPPs on behalf of the public sector. This will
entail the development of supporting national and local legislation and regulations
enabling PPPs, the development of institutional capabilities and importantly the creation
of effective management and oversight structures.
Practical issues associated with PPP development include the following:
(a)
Selection of the most suitable PPP structure for the local setting and project
characteristics
(b)
Developing systems and structures that reduce complexity and wherever possible
standardize the approach
(c)
Ensuring that the structures are manageable both in terms of size and complexity.
(d)
(e)
The public sector should be realistic about the skills and experience it has to
develop and implement PPP- integrate private sector expertise if required
(f)
PPPs must demonstrate value for money over and above traditional procurement
programs and must be designed to maximize the benefits of all factions involved
according to their objectives.
(g)
(h)
The public who would be paying for the services should be integrated into the
monitoring/ oversight function.
(i)
23
The following framework can be envisaged for the development of an effective enabling
framework for PPP implementation.
WHAT IS TO BE
PROVIDED
CAN PPP BE
IMPLEMENTED
What are the Objectives
What infrastructure
services are needed
Project
Identification
Project
Appraisal
Design &
Agreement
Evaluation
Stages
Suitability
Assessment
Procurement
Implementation
Monitoring
PPP Design
Preparation of
National & local
legislative &
Regulatory
structures
Timeline
Preliminary
Stage
Suitability
Assessment
Procurement
Process
Define PPP
Structure
Agreement of
National
Authorities &
Lenders
Construction
Tender
Operation
Evaluation
Monitoring
Negotiation
Contract
Management
Contracting
Requirements
Needs Assessment
Legal Contract
Institutional
Capacity
National Policy
Desired Gains
Risk Allocation
Obstacles &
Constraints
PPP Components
Budgeting
Expectations of a
PPP
Integration of PPP
into Design
Procurement
Procedure
Open &
transparent
Process
Lenders
Requirement
Detailed
recordings
Effective
Implementation
Structures
Effective working
Relationship
24
(3)
Preliminary Stage
The broad policy framework needs to be established
before steps are taken to introduce private sector
participation. The basic structure to this decisionmaking process is straightforward. The government:
(i)
Establishing PPP
Policy
Define Policy
Objectives
Identify Options
Appraise Options
(1)
(2)
(b)
25
(3)
(4)
26
(ii)
Extent of Legislative
Authority
Taxation
Framework
Reporting
Accounting
Framework
&
Financial Issues
Technical
Organizational
Issues
Comment
&
Ability to integrate
different forms of
funding
27
(b)
Identification of who is responsible for PPP and who has the authority
and responsibility for ultimate decision-making.
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
The objective of this phase is to assess whether a PPP approach is suitable for a
particular project. The responsibility for this assessment and final decision should
lie with the National Authority as project beneficiary and project sponsor (for
convenience in this Part the term National Authority is assumed to imply the
relevant national body responsible for identifying, developing and implementing
PPPs whether this be on a national or local level). However the private sector
will need to be considered in that a basis for viable PPP relationships is that the
private sector finds an interest in the project. Additionally the government as a
promoter of the PPP approach has a valuable role to play in encouraging this
assessment, which is still often neglected in most cases.
The potential for applying PPPs will reflect local authority policy, expectations
and openness to cooperating with the private sector. This in turn will determine
the criteria to be applied and to their respective weightings. This first stage will
assess the desirability and suitability of procuring a project as a PPP. Essential
questions that must be asked are:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(c)
28
play in adding to the value of a project. Generally the private sector will give
priority to projects, which demonstrate:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
Sufficient demand
Revenue generating and development potential
Meet internal development criteria
Strong Viability
Strong Political Commitment
(ii)
The factors determining value for money will change between projects. A
number of common methods for PPPs to generate better value for money exist
including:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
29
(e)
Needs Assessment
The main focus in a needs assessment is to define the service needs and
to determine the objectives to be achieved through the PPP. These
objectives must be quantifiable, measurable and specific in order to
assist in analysis and the future preparation of the procurement process.
For this purpose and for future monitoring after the completion of the
project, it is extremely important that the national authoritys needs and
objectives are clearly stated.
(ii)
Risk Allocation
The degree of risk transfer will be reflected in the form of the program.
This should be based on analysis of the desirable and feasible level of
risk transfer. The forms of PPP range from, at one extreme, service
contracts, through, at the other extreme, the sale of assets. The main
options are:
(1)
Service contracts
Private companies are employed for certain narrowly defined
and specified tasks (e.g., billing services). The responsibility of
the private company is limited to the specified service. The
service contract is paid for in a fixed fee by the public authority.
The degree of risk transferred to the private sector is limited to
the service task.
(2)
Management contracts
Management contracts extend a service contract to include the
management of the company as a whole, so that management
risk is transferred to the private sector. Payment is usually a
fixed fee, though a portion of the total value may be covered by
a bonus.
30
(3)
Leases
The private sector operates the system for a given period, but
assets remain state-owned. The public sector generally remains
responsible for financing new investment, and the private
company for working capital and maintenance. The private
sector is also responsible for collecting revenue that it uses to
fund its operations, while more risk is allocated to the private
sector.
(4)
Concessions
The private sector both operates the system and is responsible
for new investment for a period of time defined in the
concession agreement. At the end of the contract, the
concessionaire hands over the system and is paid the residual
value of the existing assets. Depending on the existence of
government guarantees, the operational, financial and
investment risk transferred to the private sector may be
commensurate with an asset sale.
(5)
Once a decision has been made to go ahead with PPP, and there
is a clear view of the objectives that can realistically be
31
(b)
(c)
(iv)
(2)
(3)
32
(5)
(6)
(c)
33
(vi)
(vii)
Governments are likely to have transitional, as well as longterm, objectives. They may need to complete a transaction
34
(f)
(2)
(3)
(4)
35
Each form of PPP is a means to an end and not the end itself. Therefore,
the answer to each of the questions depends on two main factors:
(1)
(2)
(ii)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
sharing
provisions
performance
bond
36
Asset Sale
Local Constraints
Impact of Incentives
N
Must the Govt Own the Asset?
Concession
Concession
Y
N
Concession
Start
N
Will the Govt Maintain
The Asset
N
Must Government Retain
Management Responsibility?
Lease
Y
Management
Contract
Service Contract
(III)
(2)
(b)
38
(iii)
Actual Bid
This involves developing an actual bid for the PPP project and
comparing it to the estimated cost of traditional public sector
procurement costs.
(3)
(b)
39
(4)
Monetary Comparison
Monetary comparison is the comparison of the cost of the preferred PPP
tender, with the cost of traditional public sector procurement, expressed in
terms of discounted cash flows over the life of the PPP contract (the Financial
Comparator). Under certain circumstances other quantifiable measures may
be used as the basis for a Financial Comparator
(i)
Financial Comparator
Involving comparison of the cost of the preferred PPP tender
with the cost of delivering the project ( to the standards set
out in the initial output specification) through traditional
public sector procurement.
(2)
Best-Available Alternative
For projects where the cost of traditional public sector
procurement is difficult to determine, the cost of the
preferred PPP tender should be compared with the best
available alternative costing.
40
(3)
Price Benchmarks
Involving the comparison of the preferred PPP tender with
reliable, comparable and independent price benchmarks or
unit costs (e.g. standard cost per volume)
(4)
(ii)
Financial Comparator
The Financial Comparator is a technique employed to assess the
value for money provided by a preferred PPP option and selected
tenderer. It is developed based on the preferred PPP option to provide
a fully costed estimate of delivering the project (to the standards set
out in the initial output specification) through traditional public
sector procurement, presented in terms of a discounted cashflow
analysis. In practice, if the preferred PPP option results in the transfer
to the private sector of all services included in the preferred option
arising from the Project Appraisal, then the differences between the
Financial Comparator and the preferred option will be limited.
The Comparator is based on a hypothetical project contract in which
the public sector undertakes all functions (design, build operate etc)
based on actual costs incurred on similar projects. It should include
all risks and the value of any assets to made available to the project.
Care needs to be taken to avoid double accounting particularly with
respect to public sector costs that would not be part of a PPP
contract.
The costs expressed in the assessment should be presented in real
terms in a discounted cashflow analysis and over a range of
applicable discount rates. The Net Present Value (NPV) of the public
sector project is compared with the NPV of the PPP option. If the
difference in NPVs is positive then the PPP alternative is considered
attractive. A further refinement entails making the cash flow
calculations stochastic through the use of ranges instead of mean
values and the application of Monte Carlo analysis. The result is a
probability distribution of the NPV of the PPP option as compared to
the public procurement option. This distribution would also indicate
the possible spread in the output and again a positive value means the
41
N+1
Risk Analysis
Political Risk
Design Risk
Revenue Risk
Etc.
Net Cost After Risk
NPV of Total Costs
Equivalent Asset Cost
It should be noted that developing a financial comparator is often a
time consuming and expensive task and the results are only as good
as the baseline information provided. While it is undoubtedly a
useful tool a careful assessment needs to be made as to its need given
project scale, available information, cost and the usefulness of
alternative methods.
(iii)
(b)
Non-Monetary Comparison
Comparison of all the factors that are difficult to quantify in monetary terms,
but their value to government and the wider public is significant. Examples
include speed of project delivery, quality of service, and security of supply.
The monetary comparison will not take into considerations all of the factors
that contribute to value for money. Many factors will be difficult to quantify
in monetary terms, but their value to government and the wider public is
significant. Examples include speed of project delivery, quality of service,
security of supply and equity issues such as the accessibility of services.
Consequently, the monetary comparison should not be approached as a pass
fail test, and should be complemented with a value for money assessment of
the costs and benefits of the preferred tender in non-monetary terms.
The costs and benefits of the preferred tender may be usefully compared with
the costs and benefits of traditional procurement in non-monetary terms
through the use of impact statements or a weighting and scoring matrix.
(5)
43
Contractor will deliver improved value for money compared with traditional
procurement, or indeed other Tenderers. The value for money assessment is therefore
the fundamental tool in deciding whether or not to proceed with a PPP contract.
(6)
(b)
Assessing the level of required grant financing is complex and must give
regard to the objectives of and impact on each of the parties in a PPP, not
simply the project itself. A basic principle should be to provide grants only
up to that amount which allows the project to be realised and operated in a
sustainable manner. This assumes that a range of financing options are
considered for realisation and that the project is considered over its useful
financial life.
(c)
(d)
(e)
Both approaches are well known. However both represent a certain number of
difficulties not least of which is the definition of an acceptable IRR and the
level of affordability to sustain required user charges and tariffs.
44
(f)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
45
Op.
Profit
Effect of ReNegotiation
Increase
With
Grant
Financing
4
2
Y
5
Impact of
Associating
Private Expertise
/ Capital
Without
Grant
Financing
A
Pure Public
Sector Project
B
Increase with
Private Sector
Participation
C
Project Realisation
and Grant Financing
ReNegotiation
E Social Benefit
(VFM to the
Collectivity )
Y X:
Increase in private sector operating profit with grant financing and increased
efficiency of an operative asset (resulting from grant financing)
Reduction from X towards Y = the redistribution of pure operating profit
(resulting from grant financing) to enhanced social benefit and fair private
sector profit margins as a result of re-negotiation
46
A B:
B C:
C D or E:
Point 1:
Point 2:
Point 3:
Points 4 & 5:
(7)
47
often the case with social infrastructure that does not usually provide sufficient
financial viability for commercial financing. This argument is valid provided that the
investment costs together with operational and maintenance costs are included and
therefore that the investment is sustainable over its useful (financial) life and provides
a real social benefit.
The use of grants is, arguably, most valuable in co-financing applications where its
objective is to increase the financial viability of a project to a level allowing the
application of commercial financing. This leveraging function entails the use of grants
to reduce the overall cost of the project or to enhance the value of the revenue stream.
It is in this field that grants can be applied most intelligently to derive the maximum
benefit and different methods of doing so are presented later.
The presence of grants, and by association a public or international body, often also
assists in reducing certain types of project risks and therefore project cost. Grants can
be used directly to finance risk coverage or used as a guarantee mechanism. However
the presence of the grant giving body and the willingness to commit public funds,
additionally provides the private sector with a certain assurance regarding the
seriousness of the project and sponsors.
The above two strengths are associated with the leveraging effect of grants meaning
that the availability of grants is usually conditional upon or enhances the availability
of co-financing or is a facilitator to identifying other sources of funding. In this case
grants have an important and complimentary role to play in PPPs as both tools aim to
increase the value and volume of financing.
As stated above, conditionalities are usually attached to grants that are often wider
than financial conditions. This can have the advantage of accounting for or realising
socio-economic externalities particularly if these impinge on project viability and
grants pay for them. However grant financing also has a number of weaknesses that
must be recognised if they are to be successfully integrated into PPPs. Most
importantly grants, in themselves, provide little incentive to efficiency enhancements
usually associated with the pressures of commercial financing. Additionally the
availability of free funds can cause a degree of dependency and crowding out of
alternative sources.
A common complaint has also been the difficulty and cost of implementing grants that
are usually subject to more lengthy and bureaucratic procedures. This has made their
integration into commercial financing packages difficult. However it must be
remembered that grants are usually public funds and therefore imply stringent public
accountability requirements.
48
(8)
(b)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
49
(viii)
In all cases it is crucial to assess the real need for grants and to optimise the grant
amount relative to this. While grants have many positive contributions, the negative
impacts of grants on a project and public financing should not be forgotten.
(9)
(b)
(i)
(ii)
(c)
50
(d)
51
(IV)
Introduction
Infrastructure projects involve a number of complex relationships between the
concerned Government, concessionaires and investors (equity and debt) that often
vary over time. Packaging a project from idea to operation is not a simple task.
Successful analysis, allocation and mitigation of risks by the concerned participants at
each stage of the process are the vital features of infrastructure financing, development
and administration. In this context, risks do not disappear, but are borne by the
parties best able to manage (and most interested, given incentives), in managing them.
Final risk allocation and mitigation agreements reflect negotiation and agreements,
generally contractual, between the relevant parties.
The best way to manage or reduce uncertainties and risks associated with a project is
to put in place an appropriate policy. A complementary need is to agree on mutually
acceptable mechanisms, including neutral arbitration procedures for enhancement of
contractual obligations. It is necessary to reduce both, the perception and the reality of
risk, to unbundle the various risks. This is necessary so as to determine which
participant is best placed to manage which risk at the lowest cost and how the cost of
risk mitigation can be shared equitably.
Infrastructure projects are exposed to a wide variety of risks at the various stages of
project evolution. The main risks facing toll road projects include pre-construction,
construction, demand and revenue, currency, force majeure, political and financial
risks. These risks have to be adequately addressed, both at the project development
and implementation stages, through appropriate mechanisms and by allocating risks to
the parties who are capable of managing the same. These risks must be addressed in
the manner satisfactory to the debt and the equity investor before they commit to
project funding.
Identifying the categories of risks, and the range of specific risks within each category,
is a necessary task that precedes selection of risk mitigation strategies or options. Each
potential participant in a project (sponsor, concessionaire, concerned government etc)
will take this exercise, using analytical techniques and sometimes intuition.
(2)
52
The direct relationship between risk and financial impact lies also in the fact that the
degree of risk transfer to the private sector will influence the overall cost of the project
to the public sector as all risk will be associated with a price premium. Therefore the
objective must be to achieve cost effective risk transfer not simply risk allocation for
its own sake.
The objectives of risk transfer include:
(a)
To reduce long term cost of a project by allocating risk to the party best able to
manage it in a most cost effective manner.
To provide incentives to the contractor to deliver projects on time, to required
standard and within the budget.
To improve the quality of service and increase revenue through more efficient
operation.
To provide a more consistent and predictable profile of expenditure.
Revenue Risk
Revenue risk is the most fundamental of all unknown factors involved in PPP
projects. Revenues flows are generally determined by two factors: utilization
levels, and tariffs. The availability of reliable historic information
documenting demand and price elasticity levels varies among different
sectors. In the water sector, for instance, a great deal of information is
available. However, the cost of providing water may well have been
subsidized in the past, making it more difficult to determine how consumers
would behave in the face of unsubsidized pricing.
In the case of road projects, even with extensive investigation of past traffic
trends, forecasts of future growth potential, and surveys of peoples
willingness to pay tolls, there is always a significant residual risk on the
traffic levels that projects will actually attract. This risk is only reduced after a
number of years of operation. In order to arrange project financing, certain
assumptions regarding usage and revenue levels must be made. While these
calculations are usually intended to be conservative, overstatements are not
uncommon. Moreover, unforeseen future events can also have dramatic
impacts, such as the oil shocks of the 1970s, which were a major factor in the
failure of the three private concessions in France.
(b)
53
Construction Risk
The capital construction cost of any project is one of the fundamental factors
upon which financing is based, and when cost overruns are incurred; the
financial feasibility of a concession can be jeopardized. Poor project
definition, unknown geological conditions, or loosely defined safety
specifications can have dramatic affects on capital construction costs.
However, these potential problems can be mitigated with the completion of
careful engineering studies before a concession contract is actually signed.
Construction delays also have detrimental effects on capital costs. While
some delays can be minimized through careful construction management,
they still have the potential to arise. Other external factors, such as timely
delivery of right-of way, for example, are more difficult to manage. External
forces such as inflation, economic policy, embargoes, and political conflicts
also have the potential to have dramatic affects on capital costs. Construction
risk is nearly always assigned to the private party, which in turn is likely to
include strong incentives for on-time completion of works in its construction
contract.
(d)
54
(e)
(f)
Political Risk
Assessments of the inherent strength and stability of local political institutions
are common in the investment field and are reflected in bond ratings prepared
by recognized rating agencies. As political risk increases, so does the cost of
obtaining financing. The long duration of most concession agreements and
the common aversion to user fee increases, make PPP projects especially
susceptible to political risk. This is exacerbated when new governments
oversee unpopular projects instigated by previous administrations. Host
governments often assume political risks, but such an assignment can prove
less than optimal in the face of lackluster political support for an
infrastructure partnership. Multilateral organizations can use their influence to
help to counter political risk. Bilateral agencies such as export-import banks
have also been known to provide political risk guarantees to private
concessionaires from aligned countries.
(g)
(h)
55
(j)
Hidden Protectionism
Infrastructure provision is generally perceived to be within the domain of the
public sector, and the public can be skeptical when private actors are
involved. Such skepticism can be exacerbated when investors are from an
outside and more affluent country and have the potential to make a profit on
their investment. When such a reaction occurs among the populace, it can also
have repercussions in the political arena, making it more difficult for foreign
investors and their host governments to resolve conflicts. Foreign investors
would be negligent if they ignored this issue, and should investigate the
experiences of other outside investors in the countries where they are
considering doing business. This risk is borne by the concessionaire and it is
best countered by consistent government support. It is however ironic to note
the often inconsistent approach of public bodies to foreign participation.
Particularly there is often less objection to arrangements developed through
direct agreements than when public procurement is involved. It is through the
latter that nationality and foreign participation most often becomes an issue.
56
(3)
Project Development
Risk Event
Allocation
Consequences
Mitigation
Non Availability of
Land, Right of Way &
Access to the Project
Site
Concerned
Government
SPV
Non-performance by the
Independent
Engineer
(IE) and/or Independent
Auditor (IA)
Concerned
Government
Concerned
government & the
project SPV
57
Auditor (IA)
Non-availability
Construction Power
of
Abandonment of Project
by the EPC Contractor
Concerned
Government
EPC Contractor
Concerned
government
to
provide
connections to the site from two
sources/grids
SPV
to
demand
security
against
abandonment from the EPC contractor
58
(b)
Construction
Risk event
Allocation
Design Risk
EPC Contractors
Consequences
Inadequate performance
Additional
repair
modification cost
Performance
Construction/
Procurement/
Installation
of
EPC Contractors
EPC Contractors
Mitigation
and
Additional Operations
Maintenance Costs
&
Inadequate performance of
the project road on account
of inadequate design /
construction quality
Time overrun
Cost overrun
Additional
repair
modification cost
59
Delays in completion
due to non performance
by the EPC Contractors
Delay
defects
in
rectifying
Non
availability
of
material, labour and
plant and machinery
Delay in completion
and/or Construction Cost
overrun
EPC Contractors
Concerned
Government
SPV
to
monitor
compliance
with
construction plan and activate early warning
mechanisms
EPC
Contractor/O&M
Contractor
EPC contractor
Contractor
60
(c)
Risk event
Allocation
Non
adherence
to
Performance Standards
and
Technical
Specifications
O&M contractors
Restriction
collection
Concerned
Government
on
toll
O&M Contractor
Concerned
Government
Consequences
Low-quality services
Force Majeure
Project road
unviable
The
Government
termination
discharged
obligations
rendered
concerned
on
has
not
their
Mitigation
61
Concessionaire unable
to transfer the project
road
SPV
SPV
O&M Contractor/
EPC Contractors
O&M Contractor
Buyout or unilateral
termination by the Govt.
Extraordinary
circumstances affecting
financial viability
Concerned
Government
Revision
of
toll
rates
based
on
recommendations of Toll Review Committee
62
(d)
Revenue
Risk event
Revenue
Risks
and
Allocation
Traffic
SPV
Consequences
Inefficient Collection
Revenue loss due to
leakage
SPV
O&M Contractor
Mitigation
Revenue loss
Revenue loss
Draw down from performance security for noncompliance of obligations by the O&M
Contractor
63
(e)
Financing
Risk Event
Interest Rate Fluctuation
Allocation
Consequences
Mitigation
SPV
A) Construction related
inflation
EPC Contractor
Increase in Construction
Cost
B) Operation
inflation
Consumer/O&M
Contractor
Inflation
related
64
(f)
Force Majeure
Risk Event
Calamities
including
strikes, lock outs etc
Allocation
Insurance
Agencies
Consequences
Impedance
in
project
implementation/ operation
Problems
for
inhabitants/local people
Increase in project cost
Other events
Change in Legislation
Concerned
Government
Concerned
Government
Mitigation
65
(g)
Premature Termination
Risk event
Allocation
SPV Shareholders
Concerned
Government
Consequences
Mitigation
66
(V)
(2)
(b)
(c)
(b)
For instance, existing legislation in most transport sectors remain nearly silent
on several important aspects such as Universal Service Obligation (USO),
quality of services, safety etc. Even good practices in one sectoral regulatory
legislation do not find place in others. Appointment and removal of regulators
is practically left with the executive for their discretion, and these
independent bodies are not empowered to even determine the nature and
number of their staff or to appoint consultant without approval of ministry
concerned.
67
(3)
(b)
(c)
It appears, separating the policy-making function with that of serviceproviding is one of the major objective that the government wishes to achieve
by establishing an independent regulatory regime, so that equal opportunities
exist for all competing service providers to invest and earn reasonable returns.
Nevertheless, actually doing that would require empowering the regulator
through far more clear legislation and unambiguous policy objectives.
(d)
(e)
(f)
68
(h)
Regulatory powers with regard to dispute resolution are another gray area. It
has been observed that at times market players take the avoidable route of
litigation for seeking judiciary intervention, which costs the sector hugely in
terms of delays. To the extent possible, the regulatory framework should aim
at minimising the chances for judicial intervention. This can effectively be
done by following a rigorous consultation process to reach upon equitable
decisions; and by setting up a specialised appellate body. Anyhow, it needs to
be explicitly examined whether sector specific appellate bodies are required,
or an omnibus Regulatory Appellate Tribunal.
(i)
Further, conflicts between the regulator and the new competition authority are
envisaged due to both immaturity and legislative handicaps. These need to be
sorted out by examining the sector-specific laws, and through a concurrence
party decide on the forum where such cases will fetch the best solution. A
competition authority has an economy-wide remit, while the sectoral
regulator has a subject-wide remit, thus one cannot oust the competition
agencys jurisdiction over competition abuses in any particular sector.
(j)
(k)
69
Hence, any regulator must set the priorities for it to work upon. Instead of
exercising its powers on each and every aspect of the market, the regulator
should deal with those areas up front which are intrinsic to promote
competitiveness in the sector. For instance, interconnection should be the
primary priority for telecom regulator, rather than engaging in issues like
numbering patterns to be followed by service providers.
(4)
(5)
Capacity Building
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Given the fact that meeting the Universal Service Obligations (USOs) has to
be a major policy objective for any government, it should unambiguously
spell out the regulatory mandate, which often is not the case right now. It is
desirable to incorporate the policy objectives, such as access to services,
providing these services to poor at concessionary rates, and so on, within the
legislation.
70
(6)
(7)
(b)
(c)
Once such limits for cross subsidies are put in place at the highest level, it is
the regulators job to establish transparent and objective-driven procedures so
that public and private utilities both can get indiscriminate allocations to
deliver social obligations, in a transparent manner.
(b)
Regulatory efficacy should be measured against the policy objectives that are
spelt out in the regulatory mandate. To the possible extent, parameters for
judging regulatory efficacy should be defined in quantitative terms in a
transparent manner. Such evaluation criterion should be communicated to the
regulators in advance so that the quality of regulatory decisions is broadly
guided by the evaluation criteria.
(c)
71
(8)
(b)
(c)
In those sectors where the regulatory bodies are not mandated to take up
individual grievances, it is the responsibility of the regulator to ensure that
some functional and effective mechanism to address such individual
complaints is in place.
This can only be addressed through enabling and coordinated legislation for
regulatory bodies. Overlapping mandates of regulatory and competition
authority and that of appellate bodies and/or judiciary can only be avoided if
government ensures that every new regulatory legislation follows certain
essential norms in this regard. Perhaps the Ministry of Law can be entrusted
to ensure such coherence and uniformity across the sectoral regulatory
legislation.
(b)
It is not desirable to have separate regulatory bodies for each sector or subsector. Rather, an attempt should be made to restrict the number of sectoral
regulatory bodies without compromising the quality of regulation. For
instance, there is a strong case for having a regulatory body for the entire
energy sector; rather one each for electricity, coal, gas and petroleum.
Similarly, it is advisable to have one overarching regulatory body for the
entire transportation sector, instead of having separate bodies for different
modes of transport such as road, rail, aviation or marine. Similar logic applies
for the financial sector too.
(c)
72
(VI)
Introduction
Public and private parties in concessions come to the negotiating table with differing
concerns and objectives. Private operators and their financiers seek to reap adequate
returns in sufficiently stable environments. In the infrastructure sector, they are likely
to be concerned about the large and immobile nature of required investments and
about the length of payback periodsonce in the market, they might be at the mercy
of political authorities. In addition, infrastructure tariffs tend to be subject to political
pressures, and risks of nonpayment, especially by public users, can be substantial. In
some sectors revenues are raised exclusively in local currency, thereby also raising
concerns over convertibility and the transfer of revenues.
Public parties, on the other side, will want to limit possible abuses of monopoly power
by the private operator. They will seek to maximize productive efficiency (production
at lowest possible costs) as well as allocative efficiency (the producer will supply an
extra unit of a good or service to all users willing to pay the costs of producing that
extra unit). They will also want to ensure that appropriate quality, environmental, and
health standards are maintained. Finally, they are likely to impose certain conditions
(related to tariffs, coverage, and so on) in the pursuit of social objectives.
Some trade-offs will have to be made among these various objectives. Compromises
are necessary, for example, between creating incentives for productive efficiency
(which increases the risks borne by the concessionaire) and providing sufficient
comfort to investors to ensure that desirable projects are undertaken. Efforts to
promote allocative efficiency might have to be reconciled with the requirement that
some users receive subsidized services. Assuaging, to the greatest extent, the concerns
of the parties involved and striking an appropriate balance between the different
objectives pursued are the ultimate goals of concession design.
(2)
73
when they are used to regulate natural monopoliesthat is, services that can be
provided more cheaply by a single firm than by two or more.
(a)
Natural Monopoly
When markets can be served efficiently by several firmswhen they are
naturally competitiveordinary competition usually works well. But when
they are naturally monopolistic ordinary, head-to-head competition does not
operate. Competitively auctioned concessions in these industries allow some
of the benefits of competition to be brought to bear in the absence of direct
competition between firms. That is, they substitute competition for the market
for competition in the market.
(b)
(3)
(ii)
74
(iii)
Does the identified conceding authority have the legal power to grant
the concession, enter into the project documents, and perform its
obligations?
(iv)
(2)
(b)
(c)
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
Can the operator unilaterally expand the service area during the
lifetime of the concession?
(v)
What are the rights and obligations of the concessionaire with respect
to other utilities or community groups engaged in the production of
their own services?
75
(e)
(4)
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
Price Setting
Provisions determining the price at which services can be sold are, central to
concessions. Some of the main issues related to the price structure include:
(a)
Are the rules for establishing the tariff level and structure clear?
76
(b)
Does the concessionaire have the freedom to vary the tariff structure and cost
allocation across the customers within certain limits?
(c)
(d)
(e)
Should some users benefit from preferential tariffs? If such tariffs create a
shortfall in revenue, how should that shortfall be compensated?
More generally, does the tariff provide incentives to the operator to ensure proper
maintenance or expansion of the system? And does the tariff enable users to take into
account the economic value of the service, while making consumption decisions?
(5)
Price Adjustment
Concession contracts must allow prices to be adjusted over time, without prior
knowledge of what those adjustments should be or what will trigger them. Broadly,
the objective of is to ensure that the concessionaire will continue to face pressure to
seek efficiencies, but will also be able to earn a reasonable rate of return. In order to
arrive at a rule for attaining this objective, factors affecting a concessionaire's costs
and profitability should be taken into account in adjusting the price level.
(6)
(7)
77
(8)
(9)
Scheduled termination
Concession Agreements generally have a term, after which they terminate.
Usually there is no compensation payable at the end of scheduled termination
(b)
Early termination
Concession contracts can often be terminated before their scheduled end if:
(c)
(i)
(ii)
The concessionaire has failed to meet its obligations and has not
remedied the problem after notification by the government.
(iii)
(iv)
78
(b)
(11)
Dispute Settlement
Few concessions operate in the long run without disagreements arising at some point
between parties to the agreement or with other players. Thus the parties will want to
think in advance about dispute settlement. Concession agreements can include a
number of techniques to help resolve conflicts, including judicial, quasi-judicial,
administrative, arbitral, and non-binding alternative dispute resolution techniques.
(12)
Framework
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
79
(iv)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(ii)
(iii)
Hiring advisors
(iv)
(ii)
Granting permission for the project to go ahead (for example, for the
opening of the bidding process)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(ii)
Allocating responsibilities
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
80
(e)
(13)
(vi)
Designing adaptation
circumstances
mechanisms
to
new
or
(vii)
unforeseen
Concession award
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
Negotiations
(vii)
(viii)
(ix)
(x)
(b)
(c)
81
(d)
(e)
When the government does not effectively coordinate all relevant actors, it
risks sending mixed signals to private investors and causing delays, either of
which can deter investors or increase development costs substantially. When
several large transactions are envisaged, governments should consider
establishing an explicit sequencing plan to help in marketing the projects and
to avoid over-burdening local financial markets.
82
(VII)
Introduction
A study of cash flows rather than conventional profitability is often more suited to the
financial analysis of infrastructure project. The principal objective of the Cash Flow
analysis is to determine whether the project is worth more than it costs.
The broad essential steps in cash flow analysis are as follows:
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Capital Cost
The EPC cost needs to be estimated very accurately. This is ideally achieved
through entering into a Fixed Price Time Certain Lumpsum Turnkey
(LSTK) contract with a contractor of repute.
(b)
Construction Period
Given the usually significant construction period for such projects, the
Interest to be paid During the Construction period (IDC) becomes a
significant part of the total capital cost. Any increase in the construction
period shall necessarily add to the IDC leading to a cost overrun.
83
(c)
Demand
The projected Chargeable demand on the project over the concession
period needs to be accurately estimated through a comprehensive Demand
Study.
(d)
User Fee
User fee can be either scheduled by the concerned government or can be
determined for the project road by determining User savings as well as their
Willingness to Pay. This exercise is undertaken as part of the demand
study. The user fee should provide for the recovery of costs as well as a
reasonable return on investment
(e)
(f)
Applicable Depreciation
(i)
Book Depreciation
As the project at the end of the concession period is transferred free
of cost and there is no realisable residual value to the asset. It is
therefore increasingly becoming common practice to write off the
entire landed project cost on a straight line basis.
(ii)
Tax Depreciation
Unless otherwise specifically provided for in the Income Tax Act; it
is general practice to apply Tax Depreciation applicable to Plant &
Machinery.
(g)
(h)
Debt Reserves
A debt service reserve may need to be created by the SPV in order to provide
comfort to the lenders. Such a reserve, at any given time, should be
84
maintained at a level equal to the debt servicing requirement for the following
period of a stipulated length. The initial corpus of the reserve is generally
provided by long-term funds as part of the project cost. In case the project
cash flows appear robust such a fund may be built up during operations from
revenues.
(i)
Other Assumptions
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(3)
(4)
Essential Concepts
(i)
The cash flow should comprise actual cash and not earnings.
(ii)
85
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
The cash flow should be measured on after tax basis (Take home
pay)
(vi)
Tax
The following key parameters determine the tax liabilities of a
project company:
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(b)
Revenues
Expenses
Depreciation and
Timing
(ii)
Cash expenditures
Changes in net working capital
Net cash flow from the sale of old equipment
Investment Tax Credits
(iii)
86
(iv)
(c)
Sale of assets
Cleanup and removal expenses
Release of Net Working Capital
(d)
87
NP =
C1
(1+rd)
C2
(1+rd)2
C3
(1+rd)3
+ .. +
Cn .
(1+rd)n
where NP represents the net proceeds from the debt issue (i.e., gross
proceeds minus flotation expenses, such as underwriting fees, legal
fees, and so on), and Ci represents the pretax cash debt service
requirement payable in period i (i.e., interest plus principal).
Typically, project debt must be repaid in instalments. When this is
so, Ci includes the portion of principal that must be repaid in period i.
The aftertax cost of debt can be calculated in either two ways. The
aftertax payment obligations, rather than the pretax amounts, can be
used in the above equation. This procedure requires adjusting interest
payments for taxes because interest is a tax deductible expense as
well as allowing for the amortisation of new issue expenses. The
amortisation of new issue expenses is treated in the same manner as
the depreciation of capital assets.
Alternatively the aftertax cost of debt can be approximated as:
Aftertax cost of debt = (1 T)rd
The above equation will usually produce a very close approximation
to the true aftertax cost of debt. Differences occur when a project
entity cannot utilise the interest tax deductions on a current basis
for example, when a project entity is organised as a corporation and
construction extends over several periods during which there is no
income to offset the interest deductions for income tax purposes.
(ii)
88
CF1 +
(1 + r)
CF2
+ . +
(1 + r)2
CFn
(1 + r)n
The decision rule to follow when applying NPV is: Undertake the capital
investment project if the NPV is positive.
We estimate the value of a project by using discounted cash flow (DCF)
analysis and computing the present value of all the cashflows connected with
ownership. This procedure is similar to discounting the interest payments on a
bond or dividends on a stock, and it is the essence of the net present value
method.
If the NPV of a project is positive then the project should be accepted, but if it
is negative then the project probably should be rejected. Projects with a
positive NPV are expected to increase the value of the firm. Thus, the NPV
decision rule specifies that all independent projects with a positive NPV
should be accepted. When choosing among mutually exclusive projects, the
project with the largest (positive) NPV should be selected.
(f)
89
0=
n
t=0
CFt
(1 + IRR)t
CF0 +
n
t=1
CFt
(1 + IRR)t
All independent projects with an IRR greater than Weighted Average Cost of
Capital (WACC) should be accepted. When choosing among mutually
exclusive projects, the project with the highest IRR should be selected (as
long as the IRR is greater than the WACC).
(i)
Whereas IRR assumes the cash flows from the project are reinvested at the
IRR, Modified IRR assumes that all cash flows are reinvested at the firm's
cost of capital. Thus, MIRR reflects the profitability of a project more
realistically.
(ii)
Dividend IRR
Returns to the equity investors is essentially by way of dividend
payouts, the equity investors are last in the cashflow waterfall and
therefore face the greatest risk and expect the highest return.
The Dividend IRR is the measure of the discount rate at which the
present value of dividend payouts equal the present value of equity
investments.
(5)
90
NPV Profile
60
50
40
NPV
30
20
10
0
-10 0
10
15
20
25
-20
-30
Cost of Capital (r)
(6)
Size Difference
When comparing two projects of different sizes the recommendations of
these two analysis might very as the NPV analysis will recommend
investment in the project with the higher NPV even though it might have a
lower IRR.
(b)
Reinvestment Rate
The IRR method assumes that the future cash inflows will earn the IRR
whereas the NPV method assumes that they will earn the cost of capital.
The problem of cashflow timing can arise because of reinvestment rate
assumptions. The question is: what will the cash inflows from the project earn
when they are subsequently reinvested in other projects? The IRR method
assumes that the future cash inflows will earn the IRR. The NPV method
assumes they will earn the cost of capital.
The following example illustrates the reinvestment rate assumption conflict
that results from a difference in cash flow timing. Suppose a company can
invest in only one of two projects, A and B. The cost of capital is 10% and the
projects have expected future cashflows shown in the Table below. Which is
the better project?
Cashflow Streams for Two Projects
91
Year
Project
A
B
-250
-250
100
50
100
50
75
75
75
100
50
100
22.08
20.01
76.29
94.08
Project A has an IRR of 22.08%, and Project B has an IRR of 20.01%. But
Project A has an NPV of Rs. 76.29, and Project B has an NPV of Rs. 94.08.
The IRR method tells us to choose Project A, but the NPV method says to
chose Project B.
A look at the figure below indicates that the Project A will have a higher NPV
than Project B whenever the cost of capital will be higher than 15.40%, the
cross-over point. Both projects would have an NPV of Rs. 37.86 if the cost of
capital were 15.40%. Project B has a steeper NPV profile than Project A
because the present value of cashflows further in the future are more sensitive
to the discount rate. A similar profile occurs for bond market values; the
market value of a long term bond changes more than that of a short term bond
in response to a given interest rate change.
IRR vs. NPV
300
250
NPV
200
150
100
50
0
-50 0
10
20
Cost of Capital(r)
(c)
30
Project A
Project B
Conclusion
Projects require substantial investments in long lived assets, so an analysis of
the profitability of a proposed project before committing funds to it is very
essential
92
The cost of the capital depends on the risk of the investment and not on the
firm that undertakes it.
It is often tempting to make judgemental corrections in the process of
financial analysis this should be avoided in all circumstances
93
Introduction
(a)
(b)
The financing plan also accounts for a number of factors that amongst others
include expected cash flows, acceptable gearing, availability of financing,
terms of such financing and related risk appetite.
(c)
(2)
Approach to Structuring
(a)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
94
(b)
(v)
(vi)
(ii)
(c)
Determining Leverage
(i)
Cost of debt is generally lower than the implicit cost of capital even
though it may be in the form of budgetary support. This is especially
true in a developing country where the opportunity cost of
government funds is extremely high. Internationally, it is accepted
practice to leverage infrastructure projects with a large debt
component, which often exceeds what is otherwise considered
"prudent" for industrial projects. This is primarily due to the
considerably lower post construction risk profile of an infrastructure
project. International investors have tended to view returns from
infrastructure projects as steady and relatively risk free. A gearing in
excess of 5:1 is quite acceptable in international markets. There are a
95
(iii)
(iv)
(2)
96
Cumulative DSCR
The Cumulative DSCR is defined as the ratio of the
cumulative Cash Flow from Operations till the current year
and cash balances in the previous years debt service
account, to the debt servicing cumulated till the current year
plus the appropriations Debt Service Reserve Cumulated till
the current year. Debt servicing includes payment of
interest, redemption premium, principal and any other
changes payable to the lenders
(3)
Equity
(a)
SPV Structure
To avoid recourse by lenders to the promoters/investors in case of insufficient
project cashflows the project is domiciled in a project specific company
often termed the Special Purpose Vehicle. In this case the liabilities of the
promoter/investors is limited to their equity investment in the project
company.
(b)
Return
Income to equity investors in a project is essentially by way of
dividends. The return on equity is a function of the difference
between the returns to the project and the weighted cost of borrowed
capital. Therefore, the greater the leverage, the higher the returns.
Since the payments to the equity holders would be from residual cash
flows after meeting all other obligations of the SPV, the unmitigated
residual project risk would essentially be borne by them. An equity
investor will not accept leveraging that will bring his expected return
below the cost of capital.
97
(ii)
Dividend Policy
The dividend payout policy of the project company is largely
determined by the legal and regulatory provisions. Dividend payout
are also determined by covenants stipulated by the lenders. These
may include conditions such as no payment of dividend during debt
repayment moratorium or before requirement for contribution to the
Debt Service Reserve are met etc.
(4)
Government
(a)
(b)
98
(c)
High
Equity
Guarantee
Debt Repayment
Guarantee
Exchange rate
Guarantee
Grant
Subordinated Loan
Minimum traffic or
revenue guarantee
Shadow Tolls
Impact
on
ability to raise
financing
Low
Revenue
Enhancement
Concession
Extension
Government financial
exposure/support
High
99
Government Guarantees
Counterindemnity
Government
Guarante
e
Political
risk/currency
convertibility
assurances
State-owned
entity
ECAs /
multilateral
Assurance
s
Guarantee
Lenders
Funding
banks /
institutions
Loan
agreement
Off take
agreement
Project
Company
Loan
agreements
100
(5)
Consensus
A workable concession among the various stakeholders is an essential prerequisite to
successful project financing.
Financing Plan - Building a Consensus
Modify Key
Input
Parameters
Structuring
Assessment of key
performance parameters
Project
Company
Lender
IRR, NPV
Debt Coverage
Ratio
Acceptable
Acceptable
Government
Acceptable
Consensus
Transaction
(6)
Security Arrangement
(a)
(b)
The Concession Agreement should provide step in rights to the lenders in the
event of Concessionaire defaulting in discharging its obligations to repay the
amount payable to lender or in the event of Concessionaire event of default.
In such an event the representative of the lenders will step in as
101
Concessionaire and assume its obligations for the exclusive and limited
purpose of curing the event of default. In the light of the relatively small cash
flow stream envisaged this will be of little comfort to the lenders
(7)
(c)
The Lenders will also have a right to appoint a Substitute Entity to replace the
Concessionaire in the event of the concerned Government issuing notice for
intention of terminating the Agreement. On appointment of such Substitute
Entity, the Concession Agreement will be novated in its favour
(d)
Till such time that the obligation of the Concessionaire under the financing
agreement remain outstanding, it will not have any right to cancel or
terminate the EPC contract or an O&M contract or cancel or have any
material modification in that without obtaining prior approval from the
lenders
(e)
(f)
Sources of Finance
Considering the substantial investment required and in light of the budgetary
constraints of the Government in developing countries - a substantial part of the
funding needs to be sourced from domestic and international capital markets.
Though for infrastructure projects it is not easy to source equity during the initial
project construction stage, it is possible to successfully tap the market in the post
commissioning phase once the construction risk is over and cash flow streams have
been established.
However, access to capital markets, whether domestic or international, given existing
investor perception of the infrastructure sector in developing countries, requires
creation of an appropriate format, which offers the prospect of a fair return on
investment. Moreover, with the involvement of the Government as one of the project
sponsors with an equity stake, it could be possible to raise commercial funds at finer
rates.
102
(a)
Speciality Funds
Speciality Funds are specifically meant for making equity and equity related
investments primarily in companies and projects focused on infrastructure
projects and related industries. American International Group (AIG), Asian
Infrastructure Development Corporation (AIDC) etc. are examples of funds
primarily meant for investment in infrastructure related companies and
projects.
(b)
Debt Finance
(a)
(b)
103
Commercial Banks
The Commercial Banks are traditional sources of working
capital finance for projects. The Commercial Banks have
also started offering long-term funds for infrastructure
projects either singly or as a consortium. However, most of
the Commercial Banks in developing countries do not have
in-house capabilities for carrying out appraisal of
infrastructure projects and base their decisions on the
appraisal done by DFIs and/or multilateral agencies lending
to the project
Considering the cash flow profile of the project, working
capital facility can be accessed from banks to fund the short
term deficit in the project cash flow and possibility of short
term credit facility can also be explored to meet the short
term funding requirements that may arise at the project
development and construction stage and in the initial years
of operations.
Development Financial Institutions and Commercial Banks
generally provide a range of value added products for the
development of infrastructure sector:
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(g)
(h)
(c)
Credit enhancement
Financial guarantees
Direct lending
Take out financing
Underwriting
Construction period financing
Standby line of credits
Risk sharing arrangement
104
Multilateral Institutions
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
105
(g)
(h)
(i)
State
Guarantee
Public
Sector
Multilateral
Agency
Agent
Project Security (exempt
from negative pledge)
Securit
y
Trustee
Commercial
Banks
106
(2)
(b)
107