Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Edward R Murray
Managing Director
Public Finance
610.684.5402
emurray@boenninginc.com
Market Trends
Bond Buyer 20 Bond Index
past 6 years
6.50
Current: 3.36%
5 Year:
High: 6.01%
Low: 3.27%
Average: 4.35%
6.01
6.00
5.85
5.50
5.41
5.11
5.15
4.52
5.03
4.86
4.83
4.86
4.80
4.50
5.06
5.13
5.00
4.91
4.65
4.51
4.45
4.54
4.48
4.44
4.00
4.74
4.63
4.17
4.15
4.08
3.95
3.94
3.82
4.09
3.79
3.83
3.60
3.50
4.00
3.87
3.61
3.61
3.65
3.29
3.27
3.00
Market Trends
By analyzing the Bond Buyer 20 Index, which is a
national collection of high grade municipal bonds,
historical interest rate trends can be identified.
As can be seen from the table to the right, the BBI 20
is now at one of its lowest points since 1994.
In fact, since that time, this index has been lower than
the present 0.274% of the time and has never been
lower by more than 0.25% within the last twenty
years.
This would indicate that the present time is a
historically attractive borrowing environment.
by
by
by
by
2.00%
1.75%
1.50%
1.25%
24.292%
36.256%
49.498%
59.817%
Higher
Higher
Higher
Higher
by
by
by
by
1.00%
0.75%
0.50%
0.25%
76.438%
88.219%
93.425%
98.265%
99.635%
0.091%
0.274%
Lower
Lower
Lower
Lower
by
by
by
by
0.25%
0.50%
0.75%
1.00%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
Lower
Lower
Lower
Lower
by
by
by
by
1.25%
1.50%
1.75%
2.00%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
Market Trends
Bond Buyer 20 Index: 1979-2015
14.00
All-Time High:
13.44% 1/14/1982
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
47-Year Low:
3.27% 12/06/2012
2.00
79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Current BBI 20 (3.36%)
Market Trends
Bond Buyer 20 Bond Index
5.25
Past 12 Months
Current:3.36%
52 Week:
High: 4.51%
Low: 3.29%
Avg: 4.12%
5.00
4.75
Interest Rate
4.50
4.25
4.00
3.75
3.50
3.25
3.00
Executive Summary
Current Market and Refunding Candidates
Boenning & Scattergood constantly monitors the tax-exempt interest rate markets and the Borough of Lansdales
debt for opportunities to lower the Boroughs interest costs. Our firm has identified a refunding candidate which
may potentially offer significant interest cost savings to the Borough.
The bond issue which presents this potential refunding opportunity is the currently outstanding General Obligation
Bonds, Series of 2010. The 2010 Series will be callable (or pre-payable) on October 1, 2015.
We have prepared two refunding options for the Borough to consider. The first option would be to currently refund
the entire Series of 2010 when it becomes currently callable, by scheduling a bond sale in June, and a closing
sometime after July 1st (or less than 90 days from the call date of the Series of 2010).
The second option would be to advance refund a portion of the Series of 2010. Approximately 80% of the Series
of 2010 can be advance refunded in March, as per federal tax law. The remaining portion of the Series of 2010
would be refunded in June when it could be defined as a current refunding similar to the option 1 analysis.
In todays market, the Boroughs estimated potential debt service savings for option one is projected to be
$814,000 in net present valued savings, after paying all costs of issuance (real cash savings).
The Boroughs estimated potential debt service savings for option two is projected to be $633,000 for step one
and approximately $79,000 for step two. The combined estimated savings for option two is projected to be
approximately $712,000 in net present valued savings, after paying all costs of issuance (real cash savings).
The benefit of option 1 is higher total savings and the fact that the Borough would only be required to undertake
one refunding action.
The benefit of option two is the Boroughs ability to undertake the refunding as early as late March taking the risk
of higher interest rates off the table. The estimated savings is $85,000 less than option one but the Borough will
have to wait until June to undertake the refunding on a current basis.
256,896 $
50,248 $
19,496,164 $
Series of
2014*
188,298
371,495
371,395
371,295
371,195
371,095
370,995
370,845
370,695
370,545
370,395
370,245
1,045,095
1,044,695
1,042,995
1,039,595
1,044,805
1,048,240
1,042,840
1,041,490
2,039,000
2,043,600
Total
1,861,723
2,185,170
2,371,768
2,373,586
2,369,274
2,370,229
2,368,869
2,367,794
2,369,235
2,369,598
2,366,336
2,369,496
2,369,856
2,041,928
2,041,528
2,039,328
2,038,668
2,040,955
2,042,840
2,040,140
2,040,590
2,039,000
2,043,600
Savings
12/31/2015
12/31/2016
12/31/2017
12/31/2018
12/31/2019
12/31/2020
12/31/2021
12/31/2022
12/31/2023
12/31/2024
12/31/2025
12/31/2026
1,173,441.56
1,423,816.26
1,422,573.76
1,421,173.76
1,422,373.76
1,424,898.76
1,421,198.76
1,422,098.76
1,426,268.76
1,422,918.76
1,422,400.00
1,424,800.00
1,250,919.38
1,501,688.76
1,500,688.76
1,498,738.76
1,499,793.76
1,498,633.76
1,497,858.76
1,500,081.26
1,501,331.26
1,499,063.76
1,498,813.76
1,500,993.76
77,477.82
77,872.50
78,115.00
77,565.00
77,420.00
73,735.00
76,660.00
77,982.50
75,062.50
76,145.00
76,413.76
76,193.76
Total
$16,827,962.90
$17,748,605.74
$920,642.84
809,201.69
809,201.69
4,974.03
$814,175.72
(79,442.43)
5.644%
5.600%
Sensitivity
Interval
Total $
Savings
Total %
Savings
-0.900%
-0.800%
-0.700%
-0.600%
-0.500%
-0.400%
-0.300%
-0.200%
-0.100%
0.100%
0.200%
0.300%
0.400%
0.500%
0.600%
0.700%
0.800%
0.900%
1.000%
1,599,155.53
1,509,041.98
1,419,657.72
1,330,995.82
1,243,049.39
1,155,811.66
1,069,275.90
983,435.44
898,283.71
814,175.62
734,047.96
654,586.94
575,786.26
497,639.68
420,141.02
343,284.17
267,063.08
191,471.77
116,504.32
42,154.86
11.086%
10.461%
9.842%
9.227%
8.617%
8.013%
7.413%
6.818%
6.227%
5.644%
5.089%
4.538%
3.992%
3.450%
2.913%
2.380%
1.851%
1.327%
0.808%
0.292%
10
Savings
10/01/2015
10/01/2016
10/01/2017
10/01/2018
10/01/2019
10/01/2020
10/01/2021
10/01/2022
10/01/2023
10/01/2024
10/01/2025
10/01/2026
669,584.52
874,480.00
875,385.00
867,885.00
1,070,445.00
1,062,995.00
1,066,295.00
1,439,195.00
1,438,050.00
1,439,475.00
1,438,600.00
1,440,400.00
729,371.88
937,843.76
938,968.76
926,868.76
1,129,043.76
1,123,603.76
1,125,078.76
1,500,081.26
1,501,331.26
1,499,063.76
1,498,813.76
1,500,993.76
59,787.36
63,363.76
63,583.76
58,983.76
58,598.76
60,608.76
58,783.76
60,886.26
63,281.26
59,588.76
60,213.76
60,593.76
Total
$13,682,789.52
$14,411,063.24
$728,273.72
632,794.17
632,794.17
965.17
$633,759.34
(100,684.65)
6.500%
6.497%
Sensitivity
Interval
Total $
Savings
Total %
Savings
-0.900%
-0.800%
-0.700%
-0.600%
-0.500%
-0.400%
-0.300%
-0.200%
-0.100%
0.100%
0.200%
0.300%
0.400%
0.500%
0.600%
0.700%
0.800%
0.900%
1.000%
1,327,833.71
1,247,764.56
1,168,399.77
1,089,732.35
1,011,755.35
934,461.92
857,845.28
781,898.72
706,615.60
633,759.24
564,218.71
495,317.96
427,050.62
359,410.44
292,391.19
225,986.73
160,190.99
94,997.95
30,401.67
(33,603.73)
13.619%
12.798%
11.984%
11.177%
10.377%
9.584%
8.798%
8.019%
7.247%
6.500%
5.787%
5.080%
4.380%
3.686%
2.999%
2.318%
1.643%
0.974%
0.312%
-0.345%
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Savings
10/01/2015
10/01/2016
10/01/2017
10/01/2018
10/01/2019
10/01/2020
10/01/2021
10/01/2022
10/01/2023
10/01/2024
265,821.25
307,137.50
305,680.00
308,030.00
304,790.00
305,740.00
300,240.00
309,740.00
303,650.00
307,125.00
273,371.25
314,842.50
313,967.50
316,767.50
314,017.50
315,857.50
311,582.50
316,997.50
312,022.50
316,437.50
7,550.00
7,705.00
8,287.50
8,737.50
9,227.50
10,117.50
11,342.50
7,257.50
8,372.50
9,312.50
Total
$3,017,953.75
$3,105,863.75
$87,910.00
78,641.20
78,641.20
879.99
$79,521.19
3.029%
2.886%
Sensitivity
Interval
Total $
Savings
Total %
Savings
-0.500%
-0.450%
-0.400%
-0.350%
-0.300%
-0.250%
-0.200%
-0.150%
-0.100%
-0.050%
0.050%
0.100%
0.150%
0.200%
0.250%
0.300%
0.350%
0.400%
0.450%
0.500%
142,283.25
135,897.37
129,533.14
123,190.47
116,869.28
110,569.49
104,290.99
98,033.72
91,797.59
85,582.50
79,521.19
73,681.39
67,862.26
62,063.72
56,285.69
50,528.08
44,790.82
39,073.81
33,376.99
27,700.27
22,043.56
5.420%
5.177%
4.935%
4.693%
4.452%
4.212%
3.973%
3.735%
3.497%
3.260%
3.029%
2.807%
2.585%
2.364%
2.144%
1.925%
1.706%
1.489%
1.272%
1.055%
0.840%
$1,694,975.58
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Important Disclosure
Boenning & Scattergood, Inc. (Boenning) is providing the information contained in this presentation for discussion purposes
only in anticipation of serving as underwriter, not as a financial advisor, including a Municipal Advisor (as such term is defined in
Section 975(e) of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act). The primary role of the underwriter will be
to purchase the bonds as principal, in a commercial arms length transaction. If selected as your underwriter, Boenning &
Scattergood will be acting as a principal and not as your agent or your fiduciary. We may have financial and other interests that
differ from those of the Issuer. Additionally, in connection with the proposed transaction, Boenning may provide incidental advice
with respect to the structure, timing, terms and other matters concerning the issuance of securities. However, Boenning does not
assume any financial advisory or fiduciary responsibilities and any such services provided by Boenning as they relate to our role
as underwriter or placement agent should not be construed as those of a Municipal Advisor.
This presentation was prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the Boenning & Scattergood client to whom it is
directly addressed and delivered in order to assist the client in evaluating, on a preliminary basis, the feasibility of a possible
transaction or transactions and does not carry any right of publication or disclosure, in whole or in part, to any other party. This
presentation is for discussion purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction
with, the oral briefing provided by Boenning & Scattergood . Neither this presentation nor any of its contents may be disclosed or
used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of Boenning & Scattergood .
Boenning & Scattergood s opinions and estimates constitute Boenning & Scattergood s judgment and should be regarded as
indicative, preliminary and for illustrative purposes only. In preparing this presentation, we have relied upon and assumed,
without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources or which was
provided to us by or on behalf of the client or which was otherwise reviewed by us. Boenning & Scattergood makes no
representations as to the actual value which may be received in connection with a transaction nor the legal, tax or accounting
effects of consummating a transaction. Prior to entering into any transaction, you should determine, without reliance upon
Boenning, the economic risks and merits, as well as the legal, tax and accounting characterizations and consequences of the
transaction. The ultimate decision to proceed with any transaction rest solely with the client.
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