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By initialing below, I confirm that I have read the above instructions and
understand them. All questions I have about these instructions have been
asked and have been answered to my satisfaction.
Initial here __________
lmm
Page 1 of 6
02/08/10
ENTC320 Exam 1
1. (20 points) Identify the most likely distribution of the data for each of
these situations. Use the following symbols as answers.
B
BT
N
P
t
O
Binomial distribution
Bernoulli trial
Normal distribution
Poisson distribution
t-distribution
Some other distribution
__P__
__N__
__B__
__BT_
__t__
__P__
__P__
__B__
__N__
__BT_
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02/08/10
ENTC320 Exam 1
2. (20 points) What is the cumulative probability for each of the following
Z-values?
Z = + 2.576
Z = 2.120
Z = + 1.645
Z = 3.090
Z = + 1.282
t = __3.579_______
= 0.050 and n = 80
= 0.100 and n = 29
t = __1.313_______
= 0.400 and n = 40
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02/08/10
ENTC320 Exam 1
3. (20 points) A manufacturer wants to know if the mean tensile strength of
a cloth fiber is greater than 125 psi. Previous experience indicates that
the standard deviation of tensile strength is 2 psi. A random sample of 8
fiber specimens has an average tensile strength of 127 psi.
Technical problem: Does the mean tensile strength of this fiber exceed
125 psi? Use = 0.05.
Statistical problem:
Test H0: = 125 vs. H1: > 125.
Statistical solution:
Since the population standard deviation is known, use the Normal
distribution to model these data.
What is the value of Z?
From the Standard Normal Table, Z = Z0.05 = 1.645
What is the value of Z0?
Z0 =
x 0 127 125
=
= 2.828
2 8
n
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Page 4 of 6
02/08/10
ENTC320 Exam 1
4. (20 points) You are preparing to build a bookshelf for your room and
need to purchase lumber suitable for this task. Your analysis of the
maximum load requirement tells you that any board you select should
have a mean strength greater than 2 lb/in2. Since the local hardware
store doesnt have any specs on the strength of its wood types, you
choose S4S aspen and test a random sample of ten specimens. This
sample has an average strength of 2.31 lb/in2 and a standard deviation
of 0.75 lb/in2. Since you have good medical insurance and good
reflexes (in case the shelf breaks when you are near it), you choose =
0.10 for your acceptable risk.
Technical problem: Is the mean strength of the chosen aspen greater
than 2 lb/in2?
Statistical problem:
Test H0: = 2.0 vs. H1: > 2.0
Statistical solution:
Since we do not know the population standard deviation and the sample
size is 10, we must use the t-distribution to model these data.
t, n1 = t0.10, 101 = 1.383
t0 =
x
S/ n
2.31 2.0
0.75 / 10
= 1.307
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Page 5 of 6
02/08/10
ENTC320 Exam 1
5. (10 points) These questions apply to problem 3.
A. What is the p-value for Z0?
p = 1 0.99766 = 0.00234
(0.99760, 0.99767)
B. What is a 95% confidence interval about the mean value of fiber tensile
strength?
x Z / 2
x + Z / 2
(0.25, 0.10)
x t / 2
s
s
x + t / 2
n
n
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02/08/10