Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Stock Valuation
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P1
D1
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P2
D2
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P3
D3
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P4
D4
D1
D2
D3
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P4
D4
D5
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D7
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D8
Dt+1 = Dt (1+g)
P4 = D5 / (R - g)
= D4 (1 + g) / (R - g)
$5
D2
D3
D4
D5
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P6
D6 $8.86 D8
D
Example: What is the current price of a share of stock that will pay
a $1 dividend in one year, followed by a $2 dividend in two years,
followed by a $2.50 dividend in three years, which dividend will
then grow at 5% a year? The required return on the stock is 10%.
The dividends are as follows
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P0
D0
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$1
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P2
$2
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
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$5
$5
$5 10.985 10.985
2
x1.3 x1.3 x1.33 x1.1 x1.12
6.50 8.45 10.985 12.0835
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The expected return on the stock for one period has two
components
1) Expected Dividend Yield: expected next cash dividend
paid at the end of 1 period divided by current price
2) Expected Capital Gains Yield: expected percentage growth
in price of stock during next period (price after next dividend
is paid encompasses all dividends paid after the next one)
we showed that expected percentage growth in price of
stock equals expected percentage growth in dividends,
if growth rate is constant
Example: A stock selling for $20 has an expected dividend of $1
in one year. Dividends on the stock have been growing at 13% for
the last ten years and dividends are expected to grow at 10% per
year into the future. What expected return does this stock offer
you?
1/20 + .1 = .15 = 15% which can be verified as below:
Price in one year will be based on dividend as of end of
second year, which is expected to be 10% higher than the $1
dividend expected in one year: (1 1.1) / (.15 - .1) = $22
Expected return over one year on $20 = $1 Dividend + ($22 $20) one years price appreciation:
$3 / $20 = 15%
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X) Preferred Stock
1) Preferred stockholders must be paid a predetermined stated
liquidation value before common stockholders get paid in the
event firm is liquidated
2) Preferred stockholders are paid a pre-specified dividend
preferred dividend is a fixed amount stated in dollars per
share or as a percent of liquidation value, and generally does
not increase as the firm becomes more profitable
current preferred dividends must be paid before common
stockholder's can be paid current dividends
but common stock dividend this year is paid before
preferred dividend for next year
Cumulative preferred stock requires the payment of any
unpaid preferred dividends from previous periods, along
with the payment of the current preferred dividend, before
common shareholders can be paid current dividend.
Non cumulative preferred stock requires only current
preferred dividend to be paid before common shareholders
get current dividend.
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Firms not paying dividends are not in default and will not
have to enter bankruptcy
dividend payment and amount is based on decision of
board of directors
Common stockholders are residual claimants in that they
get dividends only after current interest is paid to creditors
and after preferred shareholders get current dividends plus
dividends in arrears (if preferred stock is cumulative)
but common stockholders are entitled to everything
remaining after other claims have been satisfied, and
common dividends can grow significantly over time
Note: current common stock dividend payment may affect
future interest payments and future preferred dividend
payments
extreme example, liquidate entire company, pay current
interest and current preferred dividend and then pay
entire remaining proceeds as a common dividend to
current common stockholders, leaving nothing for
following years interest or preferred dividend
bond covenants and courts limit this behavior
Dividends are taxable to individuals receiving them, but are
not tax deductible to the firm paying them
leads to double taxation, although the U.S. tax rate on
dividends for individuals is currently a reduced rate
All rights reserved Kurt Wojdat
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3) Proxy voting
A Proxy allows a shareholder to grant to another party
the right to vote the shareholder's shares of stock
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5) Preemptive Right
gives each share holder the right to buy a proportion of
any new stock issue equal to the percentage of all
outstanding stock that stockholder owns
limits managers ability to use stock issuances to dilute
control of firm exercised by an individual or group
Example: If Ed owns 200 shares of Alpha Corp. and
there are 1,000 shares of Alpha Corp. outstanding, then
Ed must be given the opportunity to buy 20% of any
new stock issue, if there is a preemptive right. If
management decides to issue an additional 1,000
shares, Ed must have the opportunity to buy 200,
assuming there is a preemptive right.
Ed can keep his ownership stake at 20% (400 /2,000) if
he can afford to purchase the additional 200 shares.
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D) NYSE
The NYSE was owned by its members, those with seats on
the exchange
Merger between NYSE and Archipelago Exchange, a large
electronic exchange involved members swapping seats for
shares in the new company, NYSE Group Inc
owners of Archipelago also received shares of stock
Merged with Euronext (Amsterdam based exchange with
subsidiaries in Belgium, France, U.K. and Portugal) to form
NYSE Euronext, which then merged with the American Stock
Exchange
Acquired by Intercontinental Exchange; which plans to spin
off Euronext
NYSE members (those with seats) had the right to participate
directly in the trades occurring within the exchange
buy and sell securities on the exchange floor without
paying commissions
In new corporate structure, ownership of the exchange is
imbedded in shares of the exchanges own stock, but trading
licenses sell separately from ownership interests
license is an annual fee
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Sell Orders
Shares
Price
100
$51.64
500
$51.64
400
$51.65
400
$51.96
500
$51.96
For NASDAQ issues, can view bid and ask prices and recent
transactions on Web (See Investopedia.com Electronic
Trading: Level I, II and III Access)
bid and ask prices openly available for NASDAQ issues
represent the inside quotes (highest bid, lowest ask)
access to level II quotes, which may cost a fee, makes
available all the bid and ask quotes, which gives some
sense on what large size purchase may actually cost
All rights reserved Kurt Wojdat
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NYSE DMMs also post bid and ask prices, but these have
not been disclosed to the public, and access has been costly
may change as NYSE integrates with electronic trading
NASDAQ purchased Swedish Finnish Financial Company
that controlled seven Baltic and Nordic Exchanges (OMX)
F) Stock Market Reporting (text version differs)
52-Week
YLD
VOL
NET
HI LO STOCK (DIV) % PE 100s CLOSE CHG
55.93 44.40 HarleyDav .84f 1.5 16 24726 54.25 +1.18
A
A
B (C)
D E
F
G
H
A) highest and lowest price in last 52 weeks
B) identifies the stock
C) annual dividend most recent dividend annualized (times 4
if dividend is quarterly as most are)
f means dividend was just increased
D) annual dividend (C) / closing price (G)
E) PE is a measure of how much is paid for the annual
earnings associated with one share of stock
closing price of one share of stock divided by earnings
per share (EPS) from most recent 4 quarters
EPS is firms total net income divided by the
number of shares outstanding
F) how many shares traded during the day (in hundreds)
G) last price at which trades occurred during the day
H) change in closing price from the previous day
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