Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SR NO
PARTICULARS
PG NO
INTRODUCTION
12
EQUITY
16
24
CONCLUSION
27
WEBLOGRAPHY
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1. INTRODUCTION
The main index of BSE is called BSE SENSEX or simply SENSEX. It is composed of 30 financially sound
company stocks, which are liable to be reviewed and modified from time-to-time.
Index calculation methodology
SENSEX, first compiled in 1986 was calculated on a "Market Capitalization-Weighted" methodology of 30
component stocks representing a sample of large, well established and financially sound companies. The base
year of SENSEX is 1978-79. From September 2003, the SENSEX is calculated on a free-float market
capitalization methodology. The "free-float Market Capitalization-Weighted" methodology is a widely followed
index construction methodology on which majority of global equity benchmarks are based.
Launch of Other BSE Indices
1. The launch of SENSEX in 1986 was later followed up in January 1989 by introduction of BSE National
Index (Base: 1983-84 = 100).
2. The BSE National Index was renamed as BSE-100 Index from October 14, 1996 and since then it is
calculated taking into consideration only the prices of stocks listed at BSE.
3. The Exchange launched dollar-linked version of BSE-100 index i.e. Dollex-100 on May 22, 2006.
4. The Exchange constructed and launched on 27th May, 1994, two new index series viz., the 'BSE-200'
and the 'DOLLEX-200' indices.
5. The launch of BSE-200 Index in 1994 was followed by the launch of BSE-500 Index and 5 sectoral
indices in 1999.
In 2001, BSE launched the BSE-PSU Index, DOLLEX-30 and the country's first free-float based index - the BSE
TECk Index. The Exchange shifted all its indices to a free-float methodology (except BSE PSU index) in a
pahsed manner.
NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE (NSE)
National Stock Exchange (NSE) founded although late than BSE, is currently the leading stock exchange in India
in terms of total volume traded. It is also based in Mumbai but has its presence in over 1500 towns and cities. In
terms of market capitalization, NSE is the second largest bourse in South Asia. National Stock Exchange got its
recognition as a stock exchange in July 1993 under Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956.
The products that can be traded in NSE are: Equity or Share
Futures (both index and stock)
Options (Call and Put)
Wholesale Debt Market
Retail Debt Market
NSE's leading index is Nifty 50 or popularly Nifty and is composed of 50 diversified benchmark Indian company
stocks. Nifty is constructed on the basis of weighted average market capitalization method.
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Its huge trading volume representing the largest asset class in the world leading to high liquidity.
Its geographical dispersion.
Its continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e., trading from 22:00 GMT on Sunday
(Sydney) until 22:00 GMT Friday (New York).
The variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
The low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income.
The use of leverage to enhance profit and loss margins and with respect to account size.
As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal of perfect competition, notwithstanding currency
intervention by central banks.
According to the Bank for International Settlements, the preliminary global results from the 2013 Triennial
Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and OTC Derivatives Markets Activity show that trading in foreign
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exchange markets averaged $5.3 trillion per day in April 2013. This is up from $4.0 trillion in April 2010 and $3.3
trillion in April 2007. Foreign exchange swaps were the most actively traded instruments in April 2013, at $2.2
trillion per day, followed by spot trading at $2.0 trillion.
According to the Bank for International Settlements, as of April 2010, average daily turnover in global foreign
exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion, a growth of approximately 20% over the $3.21 trillion daily
volume as of April 2007. Some firms specializing on foreign exchange market had put the average daily turnover
in excess of US$4 trillion.
2. Credit Function
The foreign exchange market also provides credit to both national and international, to promote foreign trade. It is
necessary as sometimes, the international payments get delayed for 60 days or 90 days. Obviously, when foreign
bills of exchange are used in international payments, a credit for about 3 months, till their maturity, is required.
For eg. Mr. A can get his bill discounted with a foreign exchange bank in New York and this bank will transfer the
bill to its correspondent in India for collection of money from Mr. B after the stipulated time.
3. Hedging Function
A third function of foreign exchange market is to hedge foreign exchange risks. By hedging, we mean covering of
a foreign exchange risk arising out of the changes in exchange rates. Under this function the foreign exchange
market tries to protect the interest of the persons dealing in the market from any unforeseen changes in exchange
rate. The exchange rates under free market can go up and down; this can either bring gains or losses to concerned
parties. Hedging guards the interest of both exporters as well as importers, against any changes in exchange rate.
Hedging can be done either by means of a spot exchange market or a forward exchange market involving a
forward contract.
2. Commercial Banks
Commercial banks carry out buy and sell orders from their retail clients and of their own account. They deal with
other commercial banks and also through foreign exchange brokers.
4. Central Banks
Under floating exchange rate central bank does not interfere in exchange market. Since 1973, most of the central
banks intervened to buy and sell their currencies to influence the rate at which currencies are traded.
From the above sources demand and supply generate which in turn helps to determine the foreign exchange rate.
7
Here dealings take place between RBI and Authorised dealers (ADs) (mainly commercial banks).
Here dealings take place between ADs
Here ADs deal with their corporate customers.
with a certain forex transaction type over another. By trying to understand the top 5 transactions made on the
forex market, you may better understand what you may want to do with your own investment.
Forward Transaction
A forward transaction is a transaction that is made for the future; this means that the money does not actually
come into play until a future date. The buyer and seller agree on a specific, stuck exchange rate for that certain
date in the future. Because of the fixed date, the rate is stuck to the choice on that day. The actual market numbers
on the day of the transaction do not matter, as the fixed rate cannot be changed. There is no limit on the extent of
a future forward transaction, as it is dependent on the buyer and seller alone.
Spot Transaction
The spot transaction is the quickest and fastest way to actually exchange your currency. There is an exchange of
two currencies over a two day period on the forex exchange, meaning that no contracts are signed. This allows the
transaction to happen at a faster pace.
Future Transactions
These transactions are also forward transactions, and deal with contracts much like the normal forward
transactions. The contracts usually deal with a certain amount by a certain date, rather than on a certain date. The
contract lasts for the time specified, and are major on the forex market.
Swap Transactions
Swap transactions are easily the most normal and common of the multiple ways to do transactions on the forex
market. Swap transactions are also forward transactions, but they do not happen as a trade through the forex
market itself. A swap transaction can be confusing at first, two investors agree to change currencies for a certain
amount of time. A later date is set for the two investors to change currencies back.
Option Transactions
Option transactions in the forex market common. The foreign exchange options give an investor the right (or
option) to exchange money on the forex market. This option has a fixed exchange rate and a specific date. The
option transaction is the most prominent in the forex market because of the high traffic and amount of money that
is sunk into the currency forex market daily.
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1947 to1977: During 1947 to 1971, India exchange rate system followed the par value system. RBI fixed rupees
external par value at 4.15 grains of fine gold. 15.432grains of gold is equivalent to 1 gram of gold. RBI allowed
the par value to fluctuate within the permitted margin of 1 percent. With the breakdown of the Bretton Woods
System in 1971 and the floatation of major currencies, the rupee was linked with Pound-Sterling. Since PoundSterling was fixed in terms of US dollar under the Smithsonian Agreement of 1971, the rupee also remained
stable against dollar.
1978-1992: During this period, exchange rate of the rupee was officially determined in terms of a weighted basket
of currencies of Indias major trading partners. During this period, RBI set the rate by daily announcing the
buying and selling rates to authorized dealers. In other words, RBI instructed authorized dealers to buy and sell
foreign currency at the rate given by the RBI on daily basis. Hence exchange rate fluctuated but within a certain
range. RBI managed the exchange rate in such a manner so that it primarily facilitates imports to India. As
mentioned in Section 5.1, the FERA Act was part of the exchange rate regulation practices followed by RBI.
Indias perennial trade deficit widened during this period. By the beginning of 1991, Indian foreign exchange
reserve had dwindled down to such a level that it could barely be sufficient for three-weeks worth of imports.
During June 1991, India airlifted 67 tonnes of gold, pledged these with Union Bank of Switzerland and Bank of
England, and raised US$ 605 millions to shore up its precarious forex reserve. At the height of the crisis, between
2nd and 4th June 1991, rupee was officially devalued by 19.5% from 20.5 to 24.5 to 1 US$. This crisis paved the
path to the famed liberalization program of government of India to make rules and regulations pertaining to
foreign trade, investment, public finance and exchange rate encompassing a broad gamut of economic activities
more market oriented.
1992 onwards: 1992 marked a watershed in Indias economic condition. During this period, it was felt that India
needs to have an integrated policy combining various aspects of trade, industry, foreign investment, exchange
rate, public finance and the financial sector to create a market-oriented environment. Many policy changes were
brought in covering different aspects of import-export, FDI, Foreign Portfolio Investment etc.
One important policy changes pertinent to Indias forex exchange system was brought in -- rupees was made
convertible in current account. This paved to the path of foreign exchange payments/receipts to be converted at
market-determined exchange rate. However, it is worthwhile to mention here that changes brought in by
government of India to make the exchange rate market oriented have not happened in one big bang. This process
has been gradual. Convertibility in current account means that individuals and companies have the freedom to
buy or sell foreign currency on specific activities like foreign travel, medical expenses, college fees, as well as for
payment/receipt related to export-import, interest payment/receipt, investment in foreign securities, business
expenses etc. An related concept to this is the convertibility in capital account. Convertibility in capital
account indicates that Indian people and business houses can freely convert rupee to any other currency to any
extent and can invest in foreign assets like shares, real estate in foreign countries. Most importantly Indian banks
can accept deposit in any currency. Even though the exchange rate has been market determined, from time to time
RBI intervenes in spot and forward market, if it feels exchange rate has deviated too much.
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Main Features
Activities such as payments made to any person outside India or receipts from them, along with the deals
in foreign exchange and foreign security is restricted. It is FEMA that gives the central government the
power to impose the restrictions.
Restrictions are imposed on residents of India who carry out transactions in foreign exchange, foreign
security or who own or hold immovable property abroad.
Without general or specific permission of the MA restricts the transactions involving foreign exchange or
foreign security and payments from outside the country to India the transactions should be made only
through an authorised person.
Deals in foreign exchange under the current account by an authorised person can be restricted by the
Central Government, based on public interest.
Although selling or drawing of foreign exchange is done through an authorised person, the RBI is
empowered by this Act to subject the capital account transactions to a number of restrictions.
Residents of India will be permitted to carry out transactions in foreign exchange, foreign security or to
own or hold immovable property abroad if the currency, security or property was owned or acquired when
he/she was living outside India, or when it was inherited by him/her from someone living outside India.
Exporters are needed to furnish their export details to RBI. To ensure that the transactions are carried out
properly, RBI may ask the exporters to comply to its necessary requirements.
Similarities
The similarities between FERA and FEMA are as follows:
The Reserve Bank of India and central government would continue to be the regulatory bodies.
Presumption of extra territorial jurisdiction as envisaged in section (1) of FERA has been retained.
The Directorate of Enforcement continues to be the agency for enforcement of the provisions of the law
such as conducting search and seizure
Sr.
No
1
2
DIFFERENCES
FERA
FEMA
PROVISIONS
FERA consisted of 81 sections, and was FEMA is much simple, and consist of
more complex
only 49 sections.
FEATURES
Presumption
of
negative
intention These presumptions of MensRea and
(Mens Rea ) and joining hands in offence abatement have been excluded in
(abatement)
existed
in
FEMA FEMA
13
MEANING
OF There was a big difference in the definition
"RESIDENT" AS of "Resident", under FERA, and Income
COMPARED
Tax
Act
WITH
INCOME
TAX ACT.
PUNISHMENT
6
QUANTUM
PENALTY.
APPEAL
Any offence under FERA, was a criminal Here, the offence is considered to be a
offence , punishable with imprisonment as civil offence only punishable with
per code of criminal procedure, 1973
some amount of money as a penalty.
Imprisonment is prescribed only when
one fails to pay the penalty.
OF The
monetary
penalty
payable Under FEMA the quantum of penalty
underFERA, was nearly the five times the has been considerably decreased to
amount involved.
three times the amount involved.
An appeal against the order of
"Adjudicating office", before " Foreign
Exchange Regulation Appellate Board
went before High Court
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RIGHT
OF FERA did not contain any express
ASSISTANCE
provision
on
the
right
of
DURING LEGAL onimpleaded person to take legal assistance
PROCEEDINGS.
10
POWER
SEARCH
SEIZE
OF FERA conferred wide powers on a police The scope and power of search and
AND officer not below the rank of a Deputy seizure has been curtailed to a great
Superintendent of Police to make a search extent
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4. EQUITY
The Definition of Equity
Plain and simple, equity is a share in the ownership of a company. Equity represents a claim on the company's
assets and earnings. As you acquire more equity, your ownership stake in the company becomes greater. Whether
you say shares, equity, it all means the same thing.
Being an Owner
Holding a company's equity means that you are one of the many owners (shareholders) of a company and, as
such, you have a claim (albeit usually very small) to everything the company owns. Yes, this means that
technically you own a tiny sliver of every piece of furniture, every trademark, and every contract of the company.
As an owner, you are entitled to your share of the company's earnings as well as any voting rights attached to the
equity.
A stock is represented by a stock certificate. This is a piece of paper that is proof of your ownership. Today its in
dematerialized form i.e. in electronic form shares have been kept safe. This is done to make the shares easier to
trade. In the past, when a person wanted to sell his or her shares, that person physically took the certificates down
to the brokerage. Now, trading with a click of the mouse or a phone call makes life easier for everybody.
Being a shareholder of a public company does not mean you have a say in the day-to-day running of the business.
Instead, one vote per share to elect the board of directors at annual meetings is the extent to which you have a say
in the company. For instance, being a Reliance shareholder doesn't mean you can call up Mukesh Ambani and tell
him how you think the company should be run.
The management of the company is supposed to increase the value of the firm for shareholders. If this doesn't
happen, the shareholders can vote to have the management removed, at least in theory. In reality, individual
investors like you and I don't own enough shares to have a material influence on the company.
Debt vs. Equity
Why does a company issue stock? Why would the founders share the profits with thousands of people when they
could keep profits to themselves? The reason is that at some point every company needs to raise money. To do
this, companies can either borrow it from somebody or raise it by selling part of the company, which is known as
issuing stock. A company can borrow by taking a loan from a bank or by issuing bonds. Both methods fit under
the umbrella of debt financing. On the other hand, issuing stock is called equity financing. Issuing stock is
advantageous for the company because it does not require the company to pay back the money or make interest
payments along the way. All that the shareholders get in return for their money is the hope that the shares will
someday be worth more than what they paid for them. The first sale of a stock, which is issued by the private
company itself, is called the initial public offering (IPO).
It is important that you understand the distinction between a company financing through debt and financing
through equity. When you buy a debt investment such as a bond, you are guaranteed the return of your money (the
principal) along with promised interest payments. This isn't the case with an equity investment. By becoming an
owner, you assume the risk of the company not being successful - just as a small business owner isn't guaranteed
a return, neither is a shareholder. As an owner, your claim on assets is less than that of creditors. This means that
if a company goes bankrupt and liquidates, you, as a shareholder, don't get any money until the banks and
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bondholders have been paid out; we call this absolute priority. Shareholders earn a lot if a company is successful,
but they also stand to lose their entire investment if the company isn't successful.
Risk
It must be emphasized that there are no guarantees when it comes to individual stocks. Some companies pay out
dividends, but many others do not. And there is no obligation to pay out dividends even for those firms that have
traditionally given them. Without dividends, an investor can make money on a stock only through its appreciation
in the open market. On the downside, any stock may go bankrupt, in which case your investment is worth
nothing.
Although risk might sound all negative, there is also a bright side. Taking on greater risk demands a greater return
on your investment. This is the reason why stocks have historically outperformed other investments such as bonds
or savings accounts. Over the long term, an investment in stocks has historically had an average return of around
10-12%.
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The important things to grasp about this subject are the following:
1. At the most fundamental level, supply and demand in the market determines stock price.
2. Price times the number of shares outstanding (market capitalization) is the value of a company.
Comparing just the share price of two companies is meaningless.
3. Theoretically, earnings are what affect investors' valuation of a company, but there are other
indicators that investors use to predict stock price. Remember, it is investors' sentiments, attitudes and
expectations that ultimately affect stock prices.
4. There are many theories that try to explain the way stock prices move the way they do. Unfortunately,
there is no one theory that can explain everything.
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Stock Symbol - This is the unique alphabetic name which identifies the stock. If you watch financial TV, you
have seen the ticker tape move across the screen, quoting the latest prices alongside this symbol. If you are
looking for stock quotes online, you always search for a company by the ticker symbol. In above stock quote its
Relcapital
52-Week High and Low - These are the highest and lowest prices at which a stock has traded over the previous
52 weeks (one year). This typically does not include the previous day's trading.
Security Name & Type of Stock - This column lists the name of the company. If there are no special symbols
or letters following the name, it is common stock. Different symbols imply different classes of shares.
For example, "eq" means the shares are equity.
Total Traded Quantity - This figure shows the total number of shares traded for the day. It is the volume for the
day.
Day High and Low - This indicates the price range at which the stock has traded at throughout the day. In
other words, these are the maximum and the minimum prices that people have paid for the stock.
Close - The close is the last trading price recorded when the market closed on the day. Keep in mind, you are not
guaranteed to get this price if you buy the stock the next day because the price is constantly changing (even after
the exchange is closed for the day) . The close is merely an indicator of past performance and except in extreme
circumstances serves as a ballpark of what you should expect to pay.
Net Change - This is the rupee value change in the stock price from the previous day's closing price. When
you hear about a stock being "up for the day," it means the net change was positive.
Order Book On the right hand side you see Buy Qty, Buy Price. This shows the top 5 bid and asks
figures at which the security is trading. This basically shows the demands and supply of a particular stock. It
actually shows the market breadth which will give you the number of buyers and sellers.
BULLS & BEARS
The Bulls
A bull market is when everything in the economy is great, people are finding jobs, gross domestic product (GDP)
is growing, and stocks are rising. Picking stocks during a bull market is easier because everything is going up.
Bull markets cannot last forever though, and sometimes they can lead to dangerous situations if stocks become
overvalued. If a person is optimistic and believes that stocks will go up, he or she is called a "bull" and is said to
have a "bullish outlook".
The Bears
A bear market is when the economy is bad, recession is looming and stock prices are falling. Bear markets make
it tough for investors to pick profitable stocks. One solution to this is to make money when stocks are falling
using a technique called short selling. Another strategy is to wait on the sidelines until you feel that the bear
market is nearing its end, only starting to buy in anticipation of a bull market. If a person is pessimistic,
believing that stocks are going to drop, he or she is called a "bear" and said to have a "bearish outlook".
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After knowing about the stock basics. Lets discuss now about the company research analysis which can help you
in deciding which particular stocks to choose.
TYPES OF RESEARCH
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of investing. In fact, some would say that you aren't really investing if
you aren't performing fundamental analysis. Because the subject is so broad, however, it's tough to know where
to start. There are an endless number of investment strategies that are very different from each other, yet almost
all use the fundamentals.
The biggest part of fundamental analysis involves delving into the financial statements. Also known as
quantitative analysis, this involves looking at revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities and all the other financial
aspects of a company. Fundamental analysts look at this information to gain insight on a company's future
performance. A good part of this tutorial will be spent learning about the balance sheet, income statement, cash
flow statement and how they all fit together.
Basics
When talking about stocks, fundamental analysis is a technique that attempts to determine a securitys value by
focusing on underlying factors that affect a company's actual business and its future prospects. On a broader
scope, you can perform fundamental analysis on industries or the economy as a whole. The term simply refers to
the analysis of the economic well-being of a financial entity as opposed to only its price movements.
Fundamental analysis serves to answer questions, such as:
Note: The term fundamental analysis is used most often in the context of stocks, but you can perform
fundamental analysis on any security, from a bond to a derivative. As long as you look at the economic
fundamentals, you are doing fundamental analysis. For the purpose of this tutorial, fundamental analysis always
is referred to in the context of stocks.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Quantitative and Qualitative
You could define fundamental analysis as researching the fundamentals, but that doesnt tell you a whole lot
unless you know what fundamentals are. As we mentioned in the introduction, the big problem with defining
fundamentals is that it can include anything related to the economic well-being of a company. Obvious items
include things like revenue and profit, but fundamentals also include everything from a companys market share
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Technical analysis really just studies supply and demand in a market in an attempt to determine what direction, or
trend, will continue in the future. In other words, technical analysis attempts to understand the emotions in the
market by studying the market itself, as opposed to its components. If you understand the benefits and limitations
of technical analysis, it can give you a new set of tools or skills that will enable you to be a better trader or
investor.
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing the statistics generated by market activity,
such as past prices and volume. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but
instead use charts and other tools to identify patterns that can suggest future activity.
Just as there are many investment styles on the fundamental side, there are also many different types of
technical traders. Some rely on chart patterns, others use technical indicators and oscillators, and most use some
combination of the two. In any case, technical analysts' exclusive use of historical price and volume data is what
separates them from their fundamental counterparts. Unlike fundamental analysts, technical analysts don't care
whether a stock is undervalued - the only thing that matters is a security's past trading data and what
information this data can provide about where the security might move in the future.
The field of technical analysis is based on three assumptions:
1. The market discounts everything.
2. Price moves in trends.
3. History tends to repeat itself.
1. The Market Discounts Everything
A major criticism of technical analysis is that it only considers price movement, ignoring the fundamental factors
of the company. However, technical analysis assumes that, at any given time, a stock's price reflects everything
that has or could affect the company - including fundamental factors. Technical analysts believe that the
company's fundamentals, along with broader economic factors and market psychology, are all priced into the
stock, removing the need to actually consider these factors separately. This only leaves the analysis of price
movement, which technical theory views as a product of the supply and demand for a particular stock in the
market.
2. Price Moves in Trends
In technical analysis, price movements are believed to follow trends. This means that after a trend has been
established, the future price movement is more likely to be in the same direction as the trend than to be against it.
Most technical trading strategies are based on this assumption.
3. History Tends To Repeat Itself
Another important idea in technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself, mainly in terms of price
movement. The repetitive nature of price movements is attributed to market psychology; in other words, market
participants tend to provide a consistent reaction to similar market stimuli over time. Technical analysis uses
chart patterns to analyze market movements and understand trends. Although many of these charts have been
used for more than 100 years, they are still believed to be relevant because they illustrate patterns in price
movements that often repeat themselves.
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In an increasingly complex scenario of the financial world, it is of paramount importance for the
researchers,practitioners, market players and policy makers to understand the working the analysis of dynamic
and strategic Interactions between stock and foreign exchange market came to the forefront because these two
markets are the most sensitive segments of the financial system and are considered as the barometers of the
economic growth through which the country's exposure towards the outer world is most readily felt. The present
study is an endeavor in this direction. Before going to discuss further about the linkages between the stock and
foreign exchange market, it is better to highlight the evolutions and perspectives that are associated with both the
markets since liberalization in the Indian context. There are two explanations for which variable cause the other.
The flow oriented model approach as described in Dornbusch and Fischer (1980) research show that currency
movements directly affect international competitiveness. In turn, currency has an effect on the balance of trade
within the country. As a result, it affects the future cash flows or the stock prices of firms. The counter argument
suggests that taking a portfolio-balance approach (Dornbusch, 1976), where portfolio holders should diversify to
eliminate firm specific risk, requires effective investments allocation including currencies. As with other financial
instruments, currencies therefore are under the rules of supply and demand for assets. In order for investors to
purchase new assets they must sell off other less attractive asset in their portfolio. In other words buying and
selling of domestic or foreign investments if less attractive. As countries assets become more valuable, interest
rates begin to increase creating an appreciation of domestic currency. Although two valid explanations, no
consensus has been made between the two. So, this study attempts to examine whether or not a causal
relationship exists between exchange rates and stock market by using the Granger Causality and co-relation,
relationships were determined for data between 2004 and 2012 in India.
For determining the relationship between stock exchange market and foreign exchange market various studies
were undertaken by the researchers. Researchers used models like granger causality, GARCH (1, 1), vector
autoregressive (VAR), Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), regression, multiregression for finding out
relationship between stock market and foreign exchange market. An early attempt to examine the exchange rate
and stock price dynamics was by Franck and Young (1972) who showed that there is no significant interaction
between the variables. Soenen and Hennigar (1988) studied the same market but considered a different time
period and contrast with prior studies by showing a significant negative relationship between stock prices and
exchange rates. Solnik (1987) made a slightly different study and tried to detect the impact of several economic
variables including the exchange rates on stock prices. He concluded that changes in exchange rates do not have
any significant impact over stock prices. Nieh and Lee (2001) supported the findings of Bahmani-Oskooee and
Sohrabian (1992) and reported no long-run significant relationship between stock prices and exchange rates in
the G-7 countries. Roll (1992) also studied the US stock prices and exchange rates and found a positive
relationship between the two markets. Chow etal. (1997) examined the same markets but found no relationship
between stock returns and real exchange rate returns. They repeated the exercise with a longer time horizons and
found a positive relationship between the two variables. Abdalla and Murinde (1997) employed co-integration
test to examine the relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for four Asian countries named as India,
Pakistan, South Korea and Philippines for a period of 1985 to 1994. They detected unidirectional causality from
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exchange rates to stock prices for India, South Korea and Pakistan and found causality runs from the opposite
direction for Philippines. Yamini Karmarkar and G Kawadia tried to investigate the relationship between RS/$
exchange rate and Indian stock markets. Five composite indices and five spectral indices were studied over the
period of one year: 2000. The results indicated that exchangerate has high correlation with the movement of
stock market. Wu (2000) did a similar study using stock prices and exchange rates of Singapore and portrayed a
unidirectional causality from exchange rates to stock prices. Apte (2001) investigated the relationship between
the volatility of the stock market and the nominal exchange rate of India by using the EGARCH specifications on
the daily closing USD/INR exchange rate, BSE 30 (Sensex) and NIFTY-50 over the period 1991 to 2000. The
study suggests that there appears to be a spillover from the foreign exchange market to the stock market but not
the reverse. In a recent study. Bhattacharya and Mukherjee (2003) investigated Indian markets using the data on
stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in the foreign sector including exchange rate concluded that there in
no significant relationship between stock prices and exchange rates.
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6. CONCLUSION
Stock market is an important part of the economy of a country. The stock market plays a play a key role in the
growth of the industry and commerce of the country that eventually affects the economy of the country to a great
extent. That is reason that the government, industry and even the central banks of the country keep a close watch
on the happenings of the stock market. Whenever a company wants to raise funds for further expansion or settling
up a new business venture, they have to either take a loan from a financial organization or they have to issue
shares through the stock market. In fact the stock market is the primary source for any company to raise funds for
business expansions. If a company wants to raise some capital for the business it can issue shares of the company
that is basically part ownership of the company. To issue shares for the investors to invest in the stocks a company
needs to get listed to a stocks exchange and through the primary market of the stock exchange they can issue the
shares and get the funds for business requirements.
Forex market or foreign exchange market is being considered as one of the largest trading market as well as the
most liquid market also all over the world. Forex market is open for 24 hours. Many people globally take this
market and trading as one of the best business and money making procedure to venture. Regular people get an
effective chance to trade with foreign currencies. To be more specific, the trading concept is all about buying and
selling of foreign currencies to bank. There are numbers of advantages and benefits for Forex trading. The trading
might be beneficial over the trading vehicles. The trading vehicles are commodities, stocks and bonds. While you
are operational on the largest trading market, it is important to take some special or extra care for financial issues.
The following conclusions have been derived from our correlation analysis:In the above images we can see two things :
Graph of last 5 year usd/inr exchange rate.
Graph of last 5 year bse 30 sensex.
In all 4 years there has been no correlation between the equity market and forex market as we can see in
both the images. But in 2013-2014 there has been a little bit correlation between the forex market and
equity market . With this kind of correlation we cannot say that both the market i.e. equity and forex
market are both interdependent on each other. But they have a little bit of correlation.
There is very less degree of positive correlation between stock indices and foreign exchange rates.
Hence, we cannot reject the hypothesis that there is no relationship between the exchange rate and stock
indices and the two are affected by various factors in spite of the increasing integration between the two
market.
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7. WEBLOGRAPHY
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/
http://www.bseindia.com/
http://www.investopedia.com/
http://www.forex.com/
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