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CE21

ENGINEERING STATISTICS
Course Syllabus

Second Semester, AY 2014-2015

COURSE DESCRIPTION
Frequency distribution, averages, measures of variation, simple probability theory, theory of large and small sampling.
Correlation and applications in engineering.


PREREQUISITE
Course Credit

:
:

Math 53
3.0 units


COURSE GOALS
After completing this course, a student must be able to
(1) use the concepts of probability to guide in making statistical inferences
(2) apply several common probability distributions to relevant scientific and engineering problems
(3) use statistical tools such as estimation, regression and hypothesis testing to as decision tools

REFERENCES
(1) Principles of statistics for engineers and scientists by WC Navidi (Main Reference)
(2) Probability and Statistics for Scientists and Engineers by Walpole et al
(3) Probability Concepts in Engineering (Emphasis on Applications to Civil and Environmental Engineering)

LECTURER

Resurreccion, Augustus C. PhD


Environment and Energy Engineering Group
Construction Engineering and Management Group

Consultation Time/Place:

WF 9:00-11:00AM and F 1:00-5:00 PM


ERDT Office MH 203 Melchor Hall
Email: augustusresurreccion@gmail.com
Phone: 09285526442

GENERAL CLASS POLICIES


Attendance
Attendance is required. A student is considered late if he/she arrives in between 9:15 and 10:00 AM. He/She is
considered absent if he/she arrives after 10:00 AM. Three instances of tardiness will be counted as one absence. A
student who incurs 6 unexcused absences will be given a grade of 5.0 if he/she does not drop before April 27, 2015.

Course Requirements
Students will be evaluated on the basis of class participation, long exams and group project/case study.

Class Participation (CP). Students are expected to actively participate in class discussions. Class participation
includes attendance, recitation, homework, problem sets and quizzes (or even a small activity outside the
classroom).
Long Exam (LE). There will be FOUR long exams. Students are required to submit answer sheets on the first day
of the class. Note: Complaints will be entertained for a period of one week after the exam result has been
returned.
Final Exam (FE). Final exam covering all topics discussed will be given at the end of the semester.

Exemption from taking the final exam:
a. All long exams are passing (i.e., at least 60% score in all long exams), and
b. The average of the four long exam scores is at least 76%.

Note on Intellectual Dishonesty
Any form of intellectual dishonesty (i.e cheating, plagiarism) will be penalized with a grade of 5.0 and will be dealt will
full force of the law

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Grading System
The students final grade will be computed using:

If the student is exempted from taking the final exam, the class standing is computed as:
Class Standing = Average of four long exam scores

If the student takes the final exam, the class standing is computed as:
Class Standing = 0.10 CP + 0.60 LE + 0.30 FE


Final exam shall be subsitituted for a missed exam, only those with a valid reason. Only one long exam can be
substituted. The student must inform the instructor in writing and submit the letter to the instructor together with
supporting documents (e.g., certification from a medical doctor).

Equivalent Grading Scale

Final Grade Equivalent Grade
Final Grade
Equivalent Grade

92-100
1.00
72-below 76
2.25

88-below 92
1.25
68-below 72
2.50





COURSE OUTLINE

84-below 88
80-below 84
76-below 80

1.50
1.75
2.00

64-below 68
60-below 64
Below 60

2.75
3.00
5.00


Overview and Descriptive Statistics Lecture Date: January 26, 2015
Populations, Samples and Processes
Pictorial and Tabular Methods in Descriptive Statistics
Measures of Location
Measures of Variability
Probability Lecture Date: February 2 and 9, 2015
Sample Spaces and Events
Axioms, Interpretations, and Properties of Probability
Counting Techniques
Conditional Probability
Bayes Theorem; Independence
FIRST LONG EXAM (February 14, 2015 Saturday 9-11 am)
Random Variables and Probability Distributions Lecture Date: February 16 and 23, 2015
Concept of a Random Variable
Discrete and Continuous Random Variables
Probability Distributions
Independence
Mean, Variance, Covariance and Correlation
Linear Combinations of Random Variable
Chebyshevs Theorem
Joint Probability Distributions
Marginal Distributions
Conditional Probability Distribution
Discrete Probability Distribution Lecture Date: March 2 and 9 2015
The Binomial Probability Distribution
Hypergeometric, Geometric and Negative Binomial Distributions
The Poisson Probability Distribution
Continuous Probability Distribution Lecture Date: March 16 and 23, 2015
Normal Distribution
Lognormal Distribution
The Exponential and Gamma Distributions
Other Continuous Distributions
Probability Plots
Central Limit Theorem
SECOND LONG EXAM (March 28, 2015 Saturday 9-11 am)
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Point and Interval Estimation for a Single Sample Lecture Date: March 30 and April 6, 2015
Point Estimation
Large-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean
Confidence Intervals for Proportions
Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean
Prediction Intervals and Tolerance Intervals
Hypothesis Tests for a Single Sample Lecture Date: April 13 and 20, 2015
Large-Sample Tests for a Population Mean
Drawing Conclusions from the Results of Hypothesis Tests
Tests for a Population Proportion; Small-Sample Tests for a Population Mean
The Chi-Square Test
Fixed-Level Testing
Power
Multiple Tests
THIRD LONG EXAM (April 25, 2015 Saturday 9-11 am)
Inferences for Two Samples Lecture Date: April 27 and May 4, 2015
Large-Sample Inferences on the Difference Between Two Population Means
Inferences on the Difference Between Two Proportions
Small-Sample Inferences on the Difference Between Two Means
Inferences Using Paired Data

F Test for Equality of Variance
Regression and Correlation Lecture Date: May 11 and 18, 2015
The Simple Linear Regression Model
Estimating Model Parameters
Correlation
FOURTH LONG EXAM (May 20, 2015 Wednesday 5-7 pm)
FINAL EXAM (Tentative: May 27, 2015 Wednesday 4-7 pm)

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