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Exhibit 1

Energy Coal Resources, Inc.


Conclusion of Value - Minority Basis
As of December 31, 2008
US Dollars

Indicated Value

Non-Operating

of Invested Capital +

Assets

Interest Bearing
-

Debt

Preferred
-

Series A

Indicated Value
=

of Equity

Weighted
Weighting

Value

Income Approach
Discounted Cash Flow Method [See Exhibit 8] (1)

Err:522

1,376,579

110,046,624

20,409,527

1,376,579

110,046,624

20,409,527

Err:522

50.0%

Err:522

Market Approach
Guideline Company Method [See Exhibit 9]

372,417,055

243,337,483

50.0%

Fair Value of Equity - Marketable Minority Interest Level


Less: Discount for lack of marketability [See Exhibit 14]
Fair Value of Equity - Nonmarketable Minority Interest Level
Number of shares outstanding (actual)

(2)

Fair Value of Equity - Nonmarketable Minority Interest Level - Per Share Basis
Notes:
(1) See the Crowe Report on the Fair Value of Series A Preferred
(2) from Consolidated Statements of Operations, unaudited Financial Statement for 2008.

121,668,742

Err:522
Err:522

Err:522
Err:522
30,312,749
Err:522

Exhibit 2A
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Balance Sheets
As of December 31, 2008
US Dollars
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
December31
2006
2007
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
Restricted cashcurrent
Accounts receivable
Accounts receivableaffiliate
Inventories
Advance royaltiescurrent
Deferred tax assetcurrent
Assets held for sale, net
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
Total current assets
Property, plant, and equipment, at cost, including mineral
reserves, mine development, and contract costs
Less accumulated depreciation, depletion, and amortization

359,691,258
35,863,385

375,841,677
70,350,598

Total property, plant, and equipment, net


Notes receivable
Assets of discontinued operation

323,827,873
473,813
101,282,852

305,491,079
2,267,779

Debt issuance costs / Financial costs, net


Goodwill
Restricted cash, long-term
Debt service reserve account
Accounts receivable, long-term
Advanced royalties, long-term
Other noncurrent assets

8,750,574
148,877,770
22,568,900
8,004,472
4,738,834
4,610,251
6,011

7,553,822
138,822,353
26,573,452
9,172,660
108,478
4,465,197
6,011

Total assets

Sources:
(1) Form S-1, SEC Filing and 2008 audited Financial Statements.

4,613,112 $
2,001,118
44,235,892
1,106,408
8,092,656
1,950,727
9,352,396
8,868,829
10,242,300
90,463,438

713,604,788

7,809,159
100,263
23,321,241
4,291
6,707,405
1,381,150
17,993,489
2,723,835
6,145,529
66,186,362

560,647,193

Exhibit 2B
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
As of December 31, 2008
(in thousands, except per ton and per share data)
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
December31
2006
2007
Liabilities and stockholders'equity
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable

Accounts payableaffiliate
Current portion of long-term debt
Current portion of unfavorable coal sales contracts
Current portion of asset retirement obligation
Income taxes payable
Accrued payroll, bonus, and vacation
Accrued expenses
Total current liabilities
Noncurrent liabilities, less current portion:
Long-term debt
Asset retirement obligation
Long-term portion capital leases
Long-term portion of unfavorable coal sales contracts
Postretirement medical benefit liability
Deferred income taxes
Liabilities of discontinued operations
Other noncurrent liabilities
Total noncurrent liabilities
Total liabilities
Equity of Minority Interest
Stockholders' equity:
Common stock,
Preferred stock
Paid-in capital
Other comprehensive loss
Retained earnings (deficit)
Total stockholders'equity
Total liabilities and stockholders'equity

Sources:
(1) Form S-1, SEC Filing and 2008 audited Financial Statements.

49,200,612 $

26,840,421

11,064,093
42,657,717
71,532,060
2,538,171

9,151,225

490,500
25,969,989
35,220,985
1,364,234
1041747
12,129,826

11,381,686
197,525,564

13,028,206
116,085,908

90,973,532
29,470,580

140,649,321

62,435,599
30,568,092

94,664,053
816,300

9,352,396
65,535,680

24,898,621

1,853,425
337,834,934
535,360,498

464,032
213,846,697
329,932,605

303,127

303,127

211,375,573

211,375,573

-33,434,410
178,244,290

-488,964
19,524,852
230,714,588

713,604,788

560,647,193

June30
2008

2,738,553 $
193
16,578,635
558
20,291,043
2,297,601
15,294,809
1,487,001
10,153,514
68,841,907

December 31
2008

6,494,777

25,165,943
9,028
9,273,966
5,432,347
11,174,115
1,498,571
6,044,249
65,092,996

392,470,106
83,359,844

440,887,069
104,378,615

309,110,262
2,245,036

336,508,454
1,376,579

6,909,608
138,822,353
27,129,598
6,282,713
307,659
4,606,416
6,011

6,065,928
138,822,353
28,539,268
2,307,755
427,716
4,501,527
6,011

564,261,563 $

583,648,587

June30
2008

December 31
2008

50,612,961 $

51,565,887

102,000
81,844,472
33,288,859
1,676,209
639247
10,549,925

34,000
67,318,273
25,921,440
3,430,842
522000
10,785,995

25,434,170
204,147,843

16,945,694
176,524,131

25,703,569
28,995,931

91,070,521
1,028,327

39,641,310
28,195,467

26,024,596

22,037,122

233,706
173,056,650
377,204,493

385,104
183,875,698
360,399,829

303,127

303,127

211,375,573

211,375,573

-488,964
-24,132,666
187,057,070

(488,964)
12,059,022
223,248,758

564,261,563 $

583,648,587

92,376,342
1,240,353

Exhibit 3
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Income Statements
As of December 31, 2008
US Dollars
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
December31
2006
Revenues
Coal sales (including amounts to related parties)
Synfuel revenues
Other revenues

Six months ended

2007

$ 336,119,014
17,229,134
858,550

$ 281,267,359
974658
-1,399,971

Commissions
Total revenues
Costs and expenses
Cost of coal production
Cost of synfuel production

-2,518,980
351,687,718

-941,655
279,900,391

330,661,951
15,197,546

246,040,318

Loss on asset impairment


Cost of operations
Depreciation, depletion, and amortization

13,957,655
359,817,152
39,704,113

194,649
246,234,967
44,311,498

Sales contract (accretion)

-59,246,287

-75,433,329

Selling, general, and administrative

26,483,982

39,795,082

Total costs and expenses


(Loss) income from operations

366,758,960
-15,071,242

254,908,218
24,992,173

Other (expense) income


Interest expense
Interest income
Gain (loss) on sale of assets

-18,644,285
1,327,821
1,062,919

-24,371,512
1,646,410
1,214,138

-2,839,312

-3,768,148

Total other expense


(Loss) earnings from continuing operations before taxes
Income tax provision

-19,092,857
-34,164,099
-2,666,730

-25,279,112
-286,939
573,996

(Loss) earnings from continuing operations


Earnings (loss) from discontinued operations

-31,497,369
4,000,095

-860,935
377,764

53,442,433

Other, net

Gain on sale of discontinued operations, net of taxes


Net (loss) earnings

$ -27,497,274

Sources:
(1) Form S-1, SEC Filing and 2008 audited Financial Statements.

52,959,262

June30, 2008
$

Resources, Inc.
Six months ended December31
June30, 2008

2008

117,510,374

-558,869

$ 412,581,416
17,229,134
-1,250,531

-622,120
116,329,385

-1,092,083
427,467,936

126,068,538

341,058,469

191,523
126,260,061
16,423,212

272916
341,331,385
37,676,744

-5,525,659

-11,587,256

15,247,567

42,889,433

152,405,181
-36,075,796

410,310,306
17,157,630

-4,444,134
752,289
-98,019

-14,659,223
1,300,957
-468,375

32,797

10,453,535

-3,757,067

-3,373,106

-39,832,863
3,824,655

13,784,524
4,021,220

-43,657,518

9,763,304

-43,657,518

9,763,304

Exhibit 4A
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Comparable Financial Ratios
As of December 31, 2008
In Millions of USD, Except for Ratios
2008
Energy
Coal
Resources,
Inc.

LTM 12 months Sep-30-2008

Arch Coal
Inc.

Foundatio
n Coal
Holdings
Inc.

ANR

ACI

FCL

Alpha
Median of
Natural
GPCS
Resources

ECR
Profitability
Return on Assets %
Return on Equity %

1.71%
4.30%

5.90%
0.85%

10.17%
30.72%

7.47%
23.39%

0.82%
(6.65%)

20.15%
13.29%

21.12%
16.92%

20.14%
16.92%

26.38%
25.15%

21.12%
15.33%

EBIT Margin %

4.16%

9.57%

9.57%

15.31%

1.57%

Net Income Margin %

2.37%

0.28%

7.12%

12.88%

(1.29%)

Margin Analysis
Gross Margin %
EBITDA Margin %

Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover

0.7x
1.3x

0.8x
1.4x

1.7x
3.9x

0.8x
1.1x

0.8x
4.1x

Accounts Receivable Turnover

17.0x

11.3x

11.3x

12.7x

13.7x

Inventory Turnover

51.6x

19.8x

24.5x

13.4x

29.8x

0.4x

1.6x

3.5x

1.0x

1.1x

0.2x
21.5

1.1x
32.3

2.9x
32.3

0.4x
28.9

0.7x
26.7

7.1

18.5

14.9

27.4

12.3

Total Debt/Equity

47.91%

80.22%

70.51%

76.70%

207.27%

LT Debt/Equity

17.76%

78.82%

70.48%

54.66%

204.38%

Total Liabilities/Total Assets

61.75%

61.18%

57.18%

55.61%

84.75%

Short Term Liquidity


Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Avg. Days Sales Out.
Avg. Days Inventory Out.
Long Term Solvency

EBIT / Interest Exp.


EBITDA / Interest Exp.

n.m.
4.1x

4.7x
7.4x

5.4x
9.6x

5.7x
9.3x

0.5x
5.0x

Total Debt/EBITDA

2.0x

2.4x

1.3x

1.8x

2.4x

Total Asset
SG&A / Total Revenues
Working Capital
WC/Sales
Working Capital, Debt Free

584
0.10x
(111)

1,898 $
0.04x
95

1,725

3,942

1,898

0.03x
699

0.04x
(19)

0.05x
23
1.42%

-26.07%

9.11%

28.37%

-0.67%

(21.26)

40.24

138.76

325.10

7.41

Notes:
[1] n.m. = Non-meaningful.
[2] Comparable companies' LTM 12 months information as of Sep. 30 2008 was based on Capital IQ.
[3] The 2008 information for Energy Coal Resources, Inc. was based on ECR's unaudited financial statements.

p-30-2008
Massey
Internationa
Energy
l Coal Group Company
ICO

MEE

(0.35%)
(19.63%)

5.90%
0.85%

11.29%
7.98%

23.66%
20.80%

(0.77%)

11.39%

(11.03%)

0.28%

0.7x
1.0x

0.8x
1.4x

10.6x

11.3x

19.8x

11.0x

1.6x

2.1x

1.1x
34.5

1.6x
32.4

18.5

33.4

80.22%

139.81%

78.82%

139.63%

61.18%

72.67%

NM
2.2x

4.1x
7.4x

5.1x

2.6x

505

3,886

0.06x
95

0.03x
797

9.11%

28.56%

40.24

(101.66)

cial statements.

Exhibit 4B
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Comparable Financial Ratios
As of December 31, 2008
In Millions of USD, Except for Ratios
6 months June-30-2008
Energy
Coal
Alpha
Resources, Median of
Natural
Inc.
GPCS
Resources
ECR

Arch Coal
Inc.

Foundatio
n Coal
Holdings
Inc.

ACI

FCL

ANR

Profitability
Return on Assets %
Return on Equity %

(14.70%)
(39.59%)

0.29%
1.01%

n.a.
n.a.

9.96%
23.25%

0.18%
1.02%

Gross Margin %
EBITDA Margin %

(3.46%)
(12.13%)

23.50%
23.06%

n.a.
n.a.

27.05%
28.99%

21.78%
17.14%

EBIT Margin %

(24.18%)

8.02%

n.a.

19.23%

3.60%

Net Income Margin %

(31.45%)

0.35%

n.a.

13.08%

0.21%

Margin Analysis

Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover

0.5x
0.9x

0.9x
1.3x

n.a.
n.a.

0.8x
1.1x

1.2x
2.4x

Accounts Receivable Turnover

12.7x

12.4x

n.a.

11.4x

36.8x

Inventory Turnover

20.2x

16.7x

n.a.

12.2x

29.9x

0.3x

1.3x

1.5x

0.9x

1.3x

Quick Ratio
Avg. Days Sales Out.

0.1x
28.7

0.9x
29.7

1.2x
n.a.

0.3x
32.1

0.9x
9.9

Avg. Days Inventory Out.

18.1

23.6

n.a.

29.9

12.2

Total Debt/Equity

57.49%

81.83%

81.83%

77.24%

171.28%

LT Debt/Equity

13.74%

55.47%

37.38%

55.47%

171.28%

Total Liabilities/Total Assets

66.85%

61.40%

60.29%

56.24%

81.94%

Short Term Liquidity


Current Ratio

Long Term Solvency

EBIT / Interest Exp.


EBITDA / Interest Exp.

n.m.
n.m.

5.4x
10.3x

n.a.
n.a.

7.4x
11.2x

2.5x
12.0x

Total Debt/EBITDA

n.m.

2.0x

n.a.

1.6x

2.1x

Others
Total Asset
SG&A / Total Revenues
Working Capital
WC/Sales
Working Capital, Debt Free

564 $
0.12x
(135)
-102.92%
(56.20)

1,939 $
0.04x
63

1,679

3,949

1,939

n.a.
312

0.04x
(45)

0.05x
63

4.04%

13.82%

-1.67%

4.04%

29.43

201.72

329.64

(9.12)

Notes:
[1] n.m. = Non-meaningful.
[2] Source from Capital IQ

08
Internation
al Coal
Group

Massey
Energy
Company

ICO

MEE

0.39%
1.00%

(3.41%)
(13.39%)

11.72%
8.20%

25.21%
45.51%

(0.60%)

12.45%

0.49%

(3.57%)

0.8x
1.1x

1.0x
1.5x

9.8x

13.4x

21.2x

11.6x

0.7x

1.5x

0.5x
37.1

0.9x
27.2

17.2

31.5

80.00%

146.91%

35.69%

146.65%

61.40%

76.26%

n.m.
5.0x

5.4x
9.3x

4.8x

1.8x

1,347

3,166

0.04x
(133)

0.04x
307

-14.10%

11.67%

29.43

(70.80)

Exhibite 4C
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Comparable Financial Ratios
As of December 31, 2008
In Millions of USD, Except for Ratios
12 months Dec-31-2007
Energy Coal
Resources,
Inc.

Alpha
Median of
Natural
GPCS
Resources

ECR

Arch Coal
Inc.

Foundatio
n Coal
Holdings
Inc.

ACI

FCL

ANR

Profitability
Return on Assets %
Return on Equity %

8.31%
25.90%

3.63%
10.28%

3.93%
7.65%

3.78%
12.08%

2.73%
10.28%

12.03%
24.83%

20.52%
17.54%

15.57%
12.81%

21.63%
18.68%

24.62%
19.73%

9.00%

5.67%

3.95%

8.66%

5.67%

18.92%

2.20%

1.48%

7.25%

2.20%

Margin Analysis
Gross Margin %
EBITDA Margin %
EBIT Margin %
Net Income Margin %
Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
Accounts Receivable Turnover

0.4x
0.9x

0.8x
1.3x

1.6x
2.9x

0.7x
1.0x

0.8x
2.3x

8.2x

10.9x

10.4x

10.9x

13.2x

33.2x

19.6x

21.5x

12.3x

27.7x

0.6x

1.7x

1.7x

0.9x

1.2x

Quick Ratio
Avg. Days Sales Out.

0.3x
44.5

1.1x
33.4

1.1x
35.1

0.5x
33.4

0.7x
27.7

Avg. Days Inventory Out.

11.0

18.6

17.0

29.7

13.2

Total Debt/Equity

38%

117%

117%

85%

178%

LT Debt/Equity

27%

112%

112%

71%

178%

Total Liabilities/Total Assets

59%

69%

69%

57%

82%

Inventory Turnover
Short Term Liquidity
Current Ratio

Long Term Solvency

EBIT / Interest Exp.


EBITDA / Interest Exp.

1.0x
n.m.

2.0x
5.7x

1.8x
6.0x

2.8x
6.0x

1.6x
5.5x

Total Debt/EBITDA

n.m.

2.6x

1.9x

2.9x

2.0x

Others
Total Asset
SG&A / Total Revenues
Working Capital
WC/Sales
Working Capital, Debt Free

561
0.14x
(50)
-17.83%
(36.04)

1,908 $
0.03x
118

1,211
0.03x
157

0.03x
(35)

0.05x
39

8.33%

8.33%

-1.47%

2.66%

124.24

124.24

3,595

177.16

1,908

(10.57)

Notes:
[1] n.m. = Non-meaningful.
[2] Source from Capital IQ

7
Massey
Internationa
Energy
l Coal Group Company
ICO

MEE

(3.17%)
(25.08%)

3.63%
12.70%

6.29%
2.36%

20.52%
17.54%

(7.82%)

6.79%

(17.32%)

3.93%

0.6x
0.9x

0.9x
1.3x

10.3x

13.2x

19.6x

10.2x

1.8x

2.4x

1.4x
35.3

1.5x
27.7

18.6

35.9

80%

141%

79%

141%

61%

73%

NM
0.6x

2.2x
5.7x

20.5x

2.6x

1,304

2,861

0.04x
118

0.03x
520

13.89%

21.68%

15.03

156.19

Exhibite 4D
###
Comparable Financial Ratios
As of December 31, 2008
In Millions of USD, Except for Ratios
12 months Dec-31-2006
Energy Coal
Resources,
Inc.

Arch Coal
Inc.

Foundatio
n Coal
Holdings
Inc.

ANR

ACI

FCL

3.03%
9.86%

7.99%
46.04%

5.59%
20.47%

3.03%
9.86%

Alpha
Median of
Natural
GPCS
Resources

ECR
Profitability
Return on Assets %
Return on Equity %

NA
NA

Margin Analysis
Gross Margin %
EBITDA Margin %

1.66%
10.97%

18.15%
14.85%

18.15%
14.85%

21.94%
19.73%

25.27%
20.78%

EBIT Margin %

(0.32%)

6.53%

7.23%

11.40%

6.53%

Net Income Margin %

(7.82%)

2.14%

6.71%

10.44%

2.14%

Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover

NA
NA

0.8x
1.2x

1.8x
3.1x

0.8x
1.2x

0.7x
2.4x

Accounts Receivable Turnover

NA

12.5x

11.8x

12.8x

12.5x

Inventory Turnover

NA

16.4x

20.4x

15.0x

16.4x

Current Ratio

0.5x

1.2x

1.5x

1.1x

1.2x

Quick Ratio
Avg. Days Sales Out.

0.3x
NA

0.8x
29.1

0.9x
31.0

0.6x
28.6

0.8x
29.1

22.2

17.9

24.4

22.2

Short Term Liquidity

Avg. Days Inventory Out.

NA

Long Term Solvency


Total Debt/Equity

75%

136%

136%

86%

210%

LT Debt/Equity

51%

122%

122%

82%

210%

Total Liabilities/Total Assets

75%

70%

70%

59%

85%

EBIT / Interest Exp.


EBITDA / Interest Exp.

NM
n.m.

2.4x
4.7x

3.3x
6.8x

4.4x
7.7x

1.5x
4.7x

Total Debt/EBITDA

n.m.

2.4x

1.7x

2.4x

2.1x

Others
Total Asset
SG&A / Total Revenues
Working Capital

714
0.08x
(107)

1,950 $
0.04x
46

1,146
0.04x
116

0.03x
46

0.04x
37

6.12%

1.86%

2.52%

95.13

3.33

WC/Sales

-30.44%

3.66%

Working Capital, Debt Free

(406.85)

95.13

131.22

3,321

1,950

Notes:
[1] n.m. = Non-meaningful.
[2] Source from Capital IQ

s Dec-31-2006

International
Coal Group

Massey
Energy
Company

ICO

MEE

(0.55%)
(1.41%)

1.41%
5.41%

10.89%
6.99%

16.34%
14.04%

(1.18%)

2.97%

(1.05%)

1.89%

0.7x
1.2x

0.8x
1.2x

12.5x

12.2x

25.7x

6.8x

1.2x

2.3x

0.8x
29.1

1.2x
30.0

14.2

53.9

30%

158%

27%

158%

50%

75%

NM
3.4x

0.7x
3.5x

3.2x

3.6x

1,317

2,741

0.04x
32

0.02x
445

3.66%

20.48%

35.23

208.53

Exhibit 5
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital - Size Risk Premium Analysis
As of December 31, 2008
All dollar amounts in millions (except otherwise noted)
Book Value of Equity

Total Assets

Smoothed Premium = 8.766% - 1.870% * Log(Book Value)

Smoothed Premium = 8.970% - 1.648% * Log(Total Assets)

Constant:
Std Err of Y Est:
R Squared
No. of Observations
Degrees of Freedom

8.77%
79.99%

Constant:
Std Err of Y Est:

68%

R Squared

25
23

No. of Observations
Degrees of Freedom

8.97%
0.95%
58%
25
23

X Coefficient(s)

-1.87%

X Coefficient(s)

-1.65%

Std Err of Coef.


t-Statistic

26.50%
-7.07

Std Err of Coef.


t-Statistic

0.29%
-5.62

Book Value

$223

Total Assets

$584

Output

4.4%

Output

4.4%

Sales

Number of Employees

Smoothed Premium = 8.438% - 1.446% * Log(Sales)

Smoothed Premium = 10.438% - 1.776% * Log(Employee)

CoConstant:
Std Err of Y Est:

8.44%

10.44%

0.95%

Std Err of Y Est:

0.97%

R Squared
No. of Observations

51%
25

R Squared
No. of Observations

63%
25

Degrees of Freedom

23

Degrees of Freedom

23

X Coefficient(s)
Std Err of Coef.
t-Statistic
Sales

-1.45%
0.30%

X Coefficient(s)
Std Err of Coef.

-4.9

t-Statistic

$427

Employees

Output

4.6%

Output

Book Value of Equity

4.4%

Total Assets

4.4%

Sales

4.6%

"1" Include and "0" Not Include

-1.78%
0.29%
-6.21

Exhibit 5
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital - Size Risk Premium Analysis
As of December 31, 2008
All dollar amounts in millions (except otherwise noted)
Average

4.5%

Exhibit 6
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Cost of Equity: CAPM Approach
As of December 31, 2008

Guideline
Companies
Risk-free rate (20-year government bonds)

(1)

3.05%

Equity risk premium - stocks over bonds

(2)

6.20%

Industry median beta

(3)

Err:522

Levered
Beta (6)

Unlevered
Beta

Relevered
Beta

ANR

1.47

1.14

Err:522

ACI
FCL
ICO
MEE

1.85
1.63
1.61
1.79

1.22
1.03
0.99
0.86

Err:522
Err:522
Err:522
Err:522

1.63

1.03

Err:522

Err:522
Equity size premium

(4)

4.47%

Median

Premium for specific company risk

(5)

9.00%

Cost of Capital Yearbook September 2008 Data (Medians)


SIC 122
1.74
1.36

Cost of equity discount rate

Err:522

Notes:
(1) The 20-Year Treasury Yield from http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/data/Business_day/H15_TCMNOM_Y20.txt
(2) Long-horizon expected equity risk premium,Supply side, from Morningstar's SBBI 2008 Valuation Yearbook.
(3) We considered the medians of Relevered Beta of comparable companies , relevered using the Company's capital structure.
(4) Duff & Phelps size risk premium analysis. Please see Exhibit 5
(5) Based on forecast risk and uncertainties related to future economy.
(6) Company specific data are from Capital IQ.

Exhibit 7
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Weighted-Average Cost of Capital
As of December 31, 2008
US Dollars, Except for Ratios
MV Capital Structure ($ values in millions)

Assumptions:
Cost of debt

MV Equity
1,436.708

Total
$ 1,957.618

Debt
/Invested
Capital
26.6%

1,342.056

2,312.952

3,655.008

36.7%

63.3%

100%

599.785
425.796

646.508
393.981

1,246.293
819.777

48.1%
51.9%

51.9%
48.1%

100%
100%

1,484.907

1,263.403

2,748.310

54.0%

46.0%

100%

48.1%

52.0%

Cost of Capital 2008 Yearbook, page 1-3, industry SIC 12

23.3%

76.7%

Cost of Capital 2008 Yearbook, page 1-4, industry Sic 122

23.3%

76.7%

15.75% (1)

ANR

Debt
$ 520.910

Cost of equity

Err:522 (2)

ACI

Tax rate
% Debt

38.90% (3)
Err:522 (4)

FCL
ICO

% Equity

Err:522 (4)

MEE

Debt

Cost
1 - tax rate
15.75% x
61.10%

Estimated

Equity
WACC discount rate

Cost
9.62%
Err:522

Weighted

Proportion
Err:522 =

Cost
Err:522

Err:522 =

Err:522

Median

Err:522

Notes:
(1) on the Yields of bonds issued by the comparable companies plus 1% credit spread + 1.5% illiquidity premium. Data for ratings and yields of comparable companies is Bloomberg.
(2) Exhibit 6.
(3) Estimated combined Federal and State effective tax rates obtained from www.taxfoundation.org.
(4) Based upon the Enery Coal's own capital structure, calculated as interest bearing debt (from Ex 1)/ (interest bearing debt +shareholders equity (Ex 2))

Equity/
Invested
Capital
73.4%

Total
100%

Exhibit 8
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Valuation Date: December 31, 2008
USD dollars
For the years ended:
2006
Revenue (1)

351,687,718

Growth
Cost of Sales (1)
Cost of Sales Margin
Gross profit (1)

$359,817,152
102.31%
($8,129,434)
-2.31%
$26,483,982

Gross Margin
SG&A Expenses (1)
SG&A %

7.53%

EBITDA

($34,613,416)
EBITDA Margin

2007
279,900,391
-20.41%

EBIT
EBIT Margin

2009

427,467,936
52.72%

486,744,835
13.87%

2010
$

539,130,675
10.76%

2011
$

547,944,511
1.63%

2012
$

563,740,511
2.88%

$246,234,967
87.97%

341,331,385
79.85%

324,559,314
66.68%

339,807,536
63.03%

341,289,892
62.29%

342,553,572
60.76%

$33,665,424
12.03%
$39,795,082

$86,136,551
20.15%
$42,889,433

$162,185,521
33.32%
$40,172,166

$199,323,139
36.97%
$47,545,101

$206,654,619
37.71%
$49,016,478

$221,186,939
39.24%
$47,816,478

14.22%
($6,129,658)

-9.84%

Less Depreciation (1)

2008

-2.19%

$39,704,113

$44,311,498

($74,317,529)
-21.13%

($50,441,156)
-18.02%

10.03%
$43,247,118
10.12%
$37,676,744
$5,570,374
1.30%

Net Operating Loss Carryforward (2)

8.25%
$122,013,355
25.07%

8.82%
$151,778,038
28.15%

8.95%

8.48%

$157,638,141

$173,370,461

28.77%

30.75%

$48,105,904

$48,055,665

$52,898,229

$52,898,229

$73,907,451
15.18%

$103,722,374
19.24%

$104,739,912
19.12%

$120,472,232
21.37%

Terminal Value
$

583,471,429
3.50%
354,542,947
60.76%

$228,928,482
39.24%
$49,490,055
8.48%
$179,438,427
30.75%
$44,858,752
$134,579,675
23.07%

$4,887,148

Less taxes

38.90%

$26,848,898

$40,348,003

$40,743,826

$46,863,698

$52,351,494

Net Operating Profit After-Tax


(NOPAT)

$47,058,553

$63,374,370

$63,996,086

$73,608,534

$82,228,181

Plus: Depreciation
Less: Change in working capital
Less: Capital Expenditures (3)

$48,105,904
40,015,602
$34,741,576

$48,055,665
2,019,069
$41,796,789

$52,898,229
339,705
$43,341,789

$52,898,229
608,814
$43,341,789

$44,858,752
760,474
$44,858,752

$20,407,279

$67,614,177

$73,212,820

$82,556,160

$81,467,707

Debt-free, Net Cash Flow


Sustainable growth rate (4)
WACC rate [Exhibit 6]
Period
PV Factor
Present Value

3.50%
Err:522
0.5
Err:522
Err:522
Present value of interim cash flows

Err:522

Terminal value

Err:522

Indicated value of invested capital - control

1.5
Err:522
Err:522

2.5
Err:522
Err:522

3.5
Err:522
Err:522

Residual Cash Flow

Err:522

$81,467,707

Divided by: Cap Rate


Equal: Residual Value

Err:522
Err:522

Times: PV Factor

Err:522

PV of Terminal Value
Working capital analysis:
Revenue
Existing debt-free woking capital (5)
Required debt-free working capital
Change in working capital

2009
$486,744,835
(21,255,357)
18,760,245
40,015,602

Selected rate of working capital debt-free as % Sales


3.85%
Notes:
(1) The historical numbers are from the S1 document and Financial Statements; the projected numbers are based on Energy Coal forecasts.
(2) Amortized in the first year.
(3) The values for 2009-2012 are based on Energy Coal's projections; For the Terminal Value CapEx equals the Depreciation.
(4) sustainable growth rate = expected long term inflation plus half of the expected GDP growth, based on Livingston Survery, December 2008 .
(5) The value for 2009 is calculated as ECR's end of 2008 debt-free working capital.

2010
$539,130,675
18,760,245
20,779,314
2,019,069

2011
$547,944,511
20,779,314
21,119,019
339,705

Err:522
2012
$563,740,511
21,119,019
21,727,832
608,814

Terminal Value
$583,471,429
21,727,832
22,488,307
760,474

Exhibit 9
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company Method - Summary
As of December 31, 2008
US Dollars

Market
Multiple

Projected
Company
Amount (1)

Indicated
Equity Value

Weighting

Weighted
Value Indicator

Equity Multiples
Price to EBITDA

5.1x

Price to Sales

0.7x

82,630,237
457,106,385

420,773,811

50%

311,070,745

50%

Indicated value of invested capital - minority, before adding cash

155,535,372

Plus: Cash
Indicated value of equity - minority

365,922,278
6,494,777

Notes:
(1) Average of the 2008 and projected 2009 values. The 2008 values are from Exhibit 3 and the projected 2009 values are from Exhibit 8.
(2) The Market multiple is based on the mean multiple of the comparable companies in Exhibit 10.

210,386,906

372,417,055

Exhibit 10
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company Method - Detailed
As of December 31, 2008
All dollar amounts in millions (excep otherwise noted)
Stock

Outstanding

Equity

Total

Cash &

Enterprise

Total

Ticker

Price

Shares

Value

Debt

ST Inv.

Value (2)

Assets

1 Alpha Natural Resources

ANR

$ 16.2

70.5

$ 1,141.3

$ 539.1

$ 676.2

$ 1,004.3

$ 1,728.3

2 Arch Coal Inc,

ACI

16.2

144.4

2,337.4

1,312.4

70.6

3,579.1

3,979.0

3 Foundation Coal Holdings Inc.


4 International Coal Group

FCL
ICO

14.0
2.3

45.5
153.3

635.6
352.6

599.8
455.0

42.3
63.9

1,193.1
743.6

1,968.1
1,349.7

5 Massey Energy Company

MEE

13.7

84.6

1,159.4

1,465.6

607.0

2,018.0

3,675.8

Company

(1)

Latest Statistics
EBITDA
$

EBITDA

Sales

416.6

$ 2,462.5

2.4x

0.4x

728.8

2,898.3

4.9x

1.2x

245.0
83.3

1,597.9
1,044.0

4.9x
8.9x

0.7x
0.7x

580.4

2,790.7

3.5x

0.7x

4.9x

0.7x

Median - Historical
Dec. 09
EBITDA
1 Alpha Natural Resources
2 Arch Coal Inc,

3 Foundation Coal Holdings Inc.


4 International Coal Group
5 Massey Energy Company

EBITDA

Sales

380.3
665.4

$ 2,250.0
2,890.0

2.6x
5.4x

0.4x
1.2x

223.6

1,850.0

5.3x

0.6x

76.1

1,340.0

9.8x

0.6x

529.9

3,140.0

3.8x

0.6x

5.3x

0.6x

Average of Historical
and Forward
EBITDA
Sales

2 Arch Coal Inc,


3 Foundation Coal Holdings Inc.
4 International Coal Group
5 Massey Energy Company
Median - Average of Historical and Forward (4)
Notes:
(1) Based on latest available financial statements and stock market information as of December 31, 2008, Capital IQ.
(2) Enterprise value = market value of equity + total debt + preferred securities - cash.
(3) Projected values based on analysts expectations, data from Yahoo.Finance
(4) Calculated multiples using the average of historical and forward data.

Price to

Sales

Median - Forward (3)

1 Alpha Natural Resources

Price to

Sales

Price to
EBITDA

Sales

398.4

$ 2,356.3

2.5x

0.4x

697.1
234.3

2,894.2
1,723.9

5.1x
5.1x

1.2x
0.7x

79.7

1,192.0

9.3x

0.6x

555.1

2,965.4

3.6x

0.7x

5.1x

0.7x

Exhibit 11
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
As of December 31, 2008
Indication of Discount for Lack of Marketability - I
Analysis of Published Benchmark Studies
Years Covered

Avenge

Studies of Private Transactions

Years Covered

Median

In Study

Discount

Prior to an Initial Public Offering

In Study

Discount

SEC Institutional Investor Study (Overall Average)

1966-1969

25.80%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1980-1981

66.00%

SEC Institutional Investor Study (Nonreporting OTC Companies)

1966-1969

32.60%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1985-1986

43.00%

Gelman Study

1968-1970

33.00%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

198 7-1989

45.00%

Trout Study

1968-1972

33.45%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1989-1990

40.00%

n/a

35.60%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1990-1992

40.00%

Maher Study

1969-1973

35.43%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1992-1993

44.00%

Standard Research Consultants

1978-1982

45.00%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1994-199 5

45.00%

Willamette Management Associates

1981-1984

31.20%

Robert W. Baird & Co.

1995-1997

42.00%

Silber Study

1981-19 88

33.75%

Willamette Management Associates

1975-1978

52.50%

Management Planning, Inc.

1980-1996

27.10%

Willaniette Management Associates

1979

62.70%

FMV Opinions, Inc.

1980-1997

22.30%

Willaniette Management Associates

1980-1982

56.50%

Bruce Johnson Study

1991-1995

20.00%

Willamette Management Associates

1983

60.70%

Columbia Financial Advisors

1996-1997

21.00%

Willamette Management Associates

1984

73.10%

Willamette Management Associates

1985

42.60%

Willamette Management Associates

1986

47.40%

Studies Based on Restricted Stock (From Pratt) (1)

Moroney Study

Average

30.48%

Willamette Management Associates

1987

43.80%

Median

32.60%

Willamette Management Associates

1988

51.80%

Low

20.00%

Willaniette Management Associates

1989

50.30%

High

45.00%

Willamette Management Associates

1990

48.50%

Willaniette Management Associates

1991

31.80%

Willamette Management Associates

1992

51.70%

Willamette Management Associates

1993

53.30%

Willamette Management Associates

1994

42.00%

Willamette Management Associates

1995

58.70%

Indicated Ranges of Discount for

Average

49.68%

Lack of Ready Marketability

Median

47.95%

Low

31.80%

High

73.10%

Median

33.0% to 48.0%

Low

20.0% to 32.0%

Note:
(1) Shannon P. Pratt, Robert F. Reilly & Robert P. Schweihs, Valuing Small Businesses & Professional Practices , Fourth Edition, (New York: McGraw Hill, 2000), p. 404.

Exhibit 12
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
As of December 31, 2008
Indication of Discount for Lack of Marketability - II
FMV Opinions - FMV Restricted Stock Study Database
Quintile

Data Input Area enter data in


thousands

Freely
Traded Value
(pre-DLOM
Subject Company
discount)
Energy Coal

Trans
Number

Discount
Transaction
Month

Percent Shares
Place/Total
Shares
Outstanding
Quintile 1 Bottom

Err:522

Market Value
$

2,020

Revenues
$

427,468

Revenues
$

Market
Value/Book
Value
Err:522

Assets
$

Market
Value/Book
Value

583,649

16,572
26,820

173
1,014

0.80
1.86

2,727
5,652

Quintile 2 Median

40,438

2,796

3.18

8,865

Quintile 2 Top

57,517

4,751

4.73

Quintile 3 Median
Quintile 3 Top

82,747
106,082

9,377
14,421

Quintile 4 Median

140,643

Quintile 4 Top

206,986

Quintile 5 Top

Market
Value/Book
Value

Assets

Err:522

Err:522

Database Transactions

Subject Company

Quintile

Quintile

Revenues

Market
Value/Book
Value

Assets

Market
Value

Revenues

Market
Value/Book
Value

Discount Determination

Assets

Match Status

Applicable
Discount

Quintile 1 Median
Quintile 1 Top

Quintile 5 Median

Revenues

Market
Value

Assets

$ (16,858.41) $

Market
Value

Count

Quintile 1 Bottom
Quintile 1 Median

Err:522
Err:522

12,517

Quintile 1 Top

Err:522

6.37
8.65

18,123
27,564

Quintile 2 Median
Quintile 2 Top

Err:522
Err:522

26,269

11.72

43,222

Quintile 3 Median

49,014

19.05

71,233

Quintile 3 Top

Err:522

Quintile 4 Median

Err:522

Quintile 4 Top

Err:522

Quintile 5 Median

Err:522

Quintile 5 Top

Err:522

404,505

124,377

37.86

213,640

5,726,135

1,791,446

800.14

12,471,370

Guide for using this spreadsheet:


The only input required is in the blue-shaded box below
This spreadsheet serves to analyze the subject company with the specific transactions located in the FMV
Restricted Stock Database ("database"). This analysis focuses on four of the key financial indicators for the
transactions in the database. The transactions shown here represent stock placements less than 20% of
the total stock outstanding. The only input that is required in this analysis is in the blue-shaded book
below. The rest of the analysis is driven by formulas. The conclusion to this analysis is the median
"Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount" applicable for the subject company. The discount is calculated in
the far right shadow-box shaded blue.

Err:522

Exhibit 13
Energy Coal Resources, Inc.
Indication of Discount for Lack of Marketability: Summary
As of December 31, 2008

Method
Analysis of Published Benchmark Studies
Indicated Range based Median Discounts [Exhibit 11] (1)
Indicated Range based on Low Discounts

Indicated Discount
33% to 48%
20.0% to 32%

Quantitative Discount for Lack of Ready Marketability Study


FMV Opinions - FMV Restricted Stock Study Database [Exhibit 12] (2)

Err:522

Incremental Private Equity Discount

17.10%

Qualitative Discount Adjustment


Discount for Lack of Marketability

1.50%
Err:522

Notes:
(1) Shannon P. Pratt, Robert F. Reilly & Robert P. Schweihs, Valuing Small Businesses & Professional Practices , Third Edition, (New York: McGraw Hill, 1998), p. 457.
(2) Business Valuation Resources, "The FMV Restricted Study Advanced Search Results," Business Valuation Resources Web site <http://www.bvmarketdata.com>, accessed March 2007.

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