Professional Documents
Culture Documents
_________________________
Investor Presentation
March, 2009
Investor Presentation
March, 2009
_____________________________
Contact:
Steve Tschiegg, Director - Capital
Markets & Investor Relations
PH: (330) 471-7446
E-mail: steve.tschiegg@timken.com
Construction
Truck
Automotive
Distribution
Established in 1899
2008 sales: $5.7 billion
25,000 associates in 26 countries
Global network of 12 technology centers
Our Vision
We are dedicated
to improving our customers performance
by applying our knowledge
of friction management and power transmission
to deliver unparalleled value and innovation
all around the world.
Our Values
Ethics & Integrity
Quality
Innovation
Independence
Our Financial Aspiration
Top Quartile Shareholder Returns
Industrial markets
Geographies
Leverage technology
to create value
Channels
Capture lifetime
of opportunity
Structure portfolio
for value creation
Improve efficiency
Lower cost structure
Increase agility
Deliver greater
profitability and
build on brand
promise
Process
Industries
Mobile
Industries
Portfolio transformation /
value-based pricing
Steel Group
Enhancing market leadership position where
performance demands are high
Note: Segmentation based on 2008 sales. Steel Group sales exclude inter-segment sales of $158 million.
End Markets
2002
2008
Sales: $2.6B
Sales: $5.7B
Other
Light
Truck
Mining
Agriculture
Passenger
Car
Metals
Rail
Auto
Aftermarket
Construction
Industrial
Machinery
Aerospace
& Defense
Industrial
Markets
Light Truck,
Passenger Car,
Auto. Aftermarket
Energy
Heavy /
Medium
Truck
Automotive Light
Vehicle: 40%
Automotive Light
Vehicle: 27%
Shifting into Industrial Markets
2008
$5.7 Billion
Asia
5%
Asia
8%
United States
74%
United
States
64%
Europe
13%
Rest of World
8%
Sales Outside
United States: 26%
Europe
20%
Rest
of World
8%
Sales Outside
United States: 36%
Note: 2002 sales include discontinued operations.
- Turbo Engines
- Purdy
- Boring Specialties (BSI)
- EXTEX
Segment Profitability
2002-2008
2002
Sales
EBIT
Margin
Automotive Bearings
Industrial Bearings
Steel
$753
$972
$981
$11
$73
$33
1.5%
7.5%
3.3%
Consolidated Company
$2,550
$115
4.5%
2008
Sales
EBIT
Margin
Mobile Industries
Process Industries
Aerospace & Defense
Steel Group
Unallocated Corporate Expense
$2,264
$1,278
$431
$1,852
$17
$247
$50
$264
($68)
0.7%
19.3%
11.7%
14.3%
Consolidated Company
$5,664
$505
8.9%
Transform
Grow
Grow
Differentiate
Note: 2002 includes Latrobe Steel Company sales and EBIT, which was subsequently sold in December 2006 and reported in discontinued
operations. EBIT excludes special items. Steel sales include inter-segment sales of $156 million and $158 million in 2002 and 2008
respectively.
10
Mobile Industries
Market Sector Profile
A group of diverse
market sectors with
similar buying behaviors
OE and aftermarket
bearings for engine
valve trains,
transmissions,
and wheel-ends
Heavy/Med
Truck
15%
Light Truck
25%
Off-Highway
23%
Passenger
Car
17%
11
Mobile Industries
Strategic Focus
Achievements:
Improved pricing and cost reductions
Improved material cost recovery
Managed dramatic reduction in demand
Exited some unprofitable business
Reduced S&A expenses
12
Process Industries
Market Sector Profile
Diverse markets
Diverse customer base
1,400+ original
equipment
manufacturers
2,000 distributors
100,000+ end users
Approximately
65% aftermarket;
providing more stable
profitable business
Industrial
Machinery
35%
Energy
12%
Infrastructure
18%
Metals
21%
13
Process Industries
Strategic Focus
Achievements:
Profitable growth in key market areas of focus:
- cement, metals, wind
Asian growth initiative progress
Improved profit margin
Installation and ramp-up of capacity
- Xiangtan JV, Wuxi, Chennai
14
Defense
Aerospace
42%
Positioning
Control
14%
Health positioning
and controls
General
Aviation
13%
Commercial
Aerospace
26%
15
16
Steel Group
Market Sector Profile
High quality air-melted
alloy steel bars, tubes,
precision components
and value-added
services
Distribution
24%
High-end applications
where demands on
performance are
significant
Contributor of steel
technology to Timken
Bearings & Power
Transmission Group
Energy
19%
Industrial
20%
Bearing
20%
17
Steel Group
Strategic Focus
Achievements:
Record sales, profitability, strong cash generation
Managed raw-material input cost volatility
Grow / Differentiate
- acquired BSI: oil and gas industry focused
- expansion of thermal treatment capabilities: strengthening
competitive position
- opened new small-bar rolling mill: highly specialized power
transmission applications
18
Our Priorities
Execution
Balance manufacturing output to demand
Focus on cash flow generation
- S&A cost reductions, reduce employment levels
- lower CapEx
- better working capital management
Implement lean operating model, leveraging Project O.N.E. investment
Maintain financial strength; strong balance sheet & ample liquidity
Manage legacy pension & post-retirement benefit liabilities
Strengthen leadership capability
Focused Growth
Fix or exit underperforming businesses
- pricing and contract terms
Continue growth in targeted industrial markets & geographies
- aerospace, energy, industrial aftermarket, heavy industries, Asia
Positioned for Improved Performance
19
Financial Overview
20
Note: EPS excludes the impact of impairment and restructuring, manufacturing rationalization/integration/ reorganization and
special charges and credits. ROIC is defined as NOPAT / average Invested Capital. Free cash flow is defined as net
cash provided by operating activities (includes pension contributions) minus capital expenditures and dividends. See
Appendix for GAAP Reconciliations.
21
Liquidity as of 12/31/2008
(in Millions)
Amount Available
Cash
$ 116
$ 458
$ 115
Foreign Facilities
- $426 million primarily on-demand
$ 335
$ 908
$ 1,024
Debt Maturity:
12/31/08
Total Debt
2009
2010
2011 - 2013
$624
$108
$302
$0
$214
22
Sales
Continuing Operations
2011 Target
Approaching 2008 Level
including organic & inorganic growth
CAGR 1991-2001: 4%
23
Note: Excludes special items, such as restructuring and reorganization expenses, CDO payments and goodwill amortization.
EPS assumes dilution. 2003 includes Torrington acquisition as acquired February 2003.
24
2009 Outlook:
Lower earnings
02-08 Avg: $38M
Higher pension
contributions
Lower CapEx
Reduced working
capital
Strong cash flow
generation in 2009;
second best year
Note: Free cash flow defined as net cash provided by operating activities (includes pension contributions) minus capital
expenditures and dividends.
25
Net Debt
Note: 2003 includes Torrington acquisition as acquired February 2003. Net Debt / Capital (leverage) defined as
Net Debt / (Net Debt + Equity).
26
Target Range
10 12%
Cost of Capital ~ 9%
Note: The company uses NOPAT/Average Invested Capital as a type of ratio that indicates return on capital (ROIC).
A reconciliation to GAAP and description of this measure can be found in the Appendix.
27
Capital Allocation
28
Incentive Compensation
Short-Term
Intermediate
Long-Term
(Cash)
(Cash)
(Equity)
Intermediate Incentive
Plan (IIP)
Short-term operational
business priorities
Long-term shareholder
value creation
Time Horizon
1 Year
3 Years
Metrics
Program
Objective
Participants
Restricted
Shares
4 Years
Non Qualified
Stock Options
10 Years
Share price
29
Industrial markets
Geographies
Leverage technology
to create value
Channels
Capture lifetime
of opportunity
Structure portfolio
for value creation
Improve efficiency
Lower cost structure
Increase agility
Deliver greater
profitability and
build on brand
promise
30
Appendix
32
Note: Steel Group net sales include inter-segment sales of $158 million in 2008, $147 million in 2007 and $144 million in 2006.
EBIT margin excludes the impact of impairment and restructuring, manufacturing rationalization / integration and special
charges and credits and unallocated corporate expense.
33
Reconciliation to GAAP
(continued next page)
(Unaudited)
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME
AS REPORTED
ADJUSTED (1)
5,663,660
4,417,961
4,230
1,241,469
723,463
1,524
(8)
64,383
452,107
(16,867)
29,319
464,559
(38,963)
425,596
157,926
267,670
267,670
5,236,020
4,150,911
31,275
1,053,834
692,037
3,246
528
40,378
317,645
(12,988)
13,239
317,896
(35,639)
282,257
62,868
219,389
665
220,054
5,663,660
4,417,961
1,245,699
723,463
522,236
(16,867)
505,369
(38,963)
466,406
152,982
313,424
313,424
5,236,020
4,150,911
1,085,109
692,037
393,072
(12,988)
380,084
(35,639)
344,445
114,528
229,917
229,917
34
Reconciliation to GAAP
(Unaudited)
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME
AS REPORTED
ADJUSTED (1)
2.80
2.80
2.32
0.01
2.33
3.28
3.28
2.78
2.78
2.29
0.01
2.30
3.26
3.26
95,650,104
96,272,763
94,639,065
95,612,235
95,650,104
96,272,763
2.43
2.43
2.40
2.40
94,639,065
95,612,235
(1) "Adjusted" statements exclude the impact of impairment and restructuring, manufacturing rationalization/reorganization and special charges and credits for all
periods shown.
(2) EBIT is defined as operating income plus other income (expense). EBIT Margin is EBIT as a percentage of net sales. EBIT and EBIT margin on a segment basis
exclude certain special items set forth above. EBIT and EBIT Margin are important financial measures used in the management of the business, including decisions
concerning the allocation of resources and assessment of performance. Management believes that reporting EBIT and EBIT Margin best reflect the performance of
the company's business segments and EBIT disclosures are responsive to investors.
(3) Discontinued Operations reflects the Dec. 8, 2006 sale of Timken Latrobe Steel. Steel Group Net sales and Adjusted EBIT have been changed to exclude
Timken Latrobe Steel for all periods. Income From Discontinued Operations Net of Income Taxes, Special Items includes the gain on sale.
(4) Intergroup eliminations represent intergroup profit or loss between the Steel Group and the Bearings and Power Transmission Group.
35
Reconciliation to GAAP
Reconciliation of Total Debt to Net Debt and the Ratio of Net Debt to Capital:
(Dollars in thousands) (Unaudited)
Dec. 31, 2008
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Total Debt
Less: Cash and cash equivalents
Net Debt
Shareholders' equity
108,590 $
515,250
623,840
(116,306)
507,534 $
1,640,297
27.6%
23.6%
142,568
580,587
723,155
(30,144)
693,011
1,960,669
26.9%
26.1%
This reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about Timken's financial position.
Capital is defined as total debt plus shareholder's equity.
Management believes Net Debt is more indicative of Timken's financial position,
due to the amount of cash and cash equivalents.
36
Reconciliation to GAAP
Reconciliation of GAAP income from continuing operations and EPS - diluted.
This reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about the company's performance. Management believes adjusted income from continuing operations and adjusted earnings
per share are more representative of the company's performance and therefore useful to investors. Management also believes that it is appropriate to compare GAAP income from continuing
operations to adjusted income from continuing operations in light of special items related to impairment and restructuring and manufacturing rationalization/reorganization costs, Continued
Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act (CDSOA) receipts, and gain/loss on the sale of non-strategic assets.
Twelve Months
2008
(Dollars in thousands, except per share data) (Unaudited)
Income from continuing operations
2007
EPS (1)
$267,670
EPS (1)
$2.78
$219,389
$2.29
0.33
4,230
0.04
31,275
1,524
0.02
3,246
0.03
528
0.01
40,378
0.42
(8)
64,383
0.67
(29,319)
(0.30)
(13,239)
(0.14)
4,944
0.05
(51,660)
(0.54)
$3.26
$229,917
$2.40
$313,424
37
Reconciliation to GAAP
Non GAAP Disclosure Reconciliations
US$ Million
GAAP Operating Income
Reorganization Expense in COGS
Goodwill Amortization Expense
Reorganization Expense in SG&A
Loss on Divestiture
Impairment and Restructuring Charges
Less: Operating Income from discontinued ops (a)
Adjusted Operating Income
GAAP EPS* -assuming dilution
Less: Income from discontinued ops (net of tax)
Earnings Per Share - Continuing Operations
Reorganization Expense in COGS
Goodwill Amortization Expense
Reorganization Expense in SG&A
Loss on Divestiture
Restructuring Expense
Other Exp (Inc) including CDSOA Payments
Tax effect of special items
Adjusted EPS
1991
(9)
3
41
(5)
39.6
1992
42
3
(7)
51.4
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
14
132
203
247
280
225
133
106
15
4
3
3
3
4
5
5
6
6
6
7
48
28
(3)
4
9
15
17
11
(0)
(2)
68.0 131.5 196.9 236.7 267.6 240.3 138.8 153.1
2001
2002
(18)
86
8
9
6
5
10
55
32
(1)
0
56.2 136.0
2003
102
3
31
19
0
154.9
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
235
327
219
318
452
5
15
18
31
4
23
3
6
3
2
64
1
(0)
14
26
45
40
64
0
0
0
0
275.5 370.3 352.9 393.1 522.2
(0.60)
(0.05)
(0.55)
0.07
(0.07)
0.14
(0.29)
(0.05)
(0.25)
1.10
0.03
1.07
1.78
0.08
1.70
2.19
0.12
2.06
2.69
0.16
2.52
1.82
0.10
1.72
1.01
(0.00)
1.01
0.76
(0.03)
0.78
(0.69)
(0.01)
(0.68)
0.62
(0.27)
0.89
0.44
(0.03)
0.47
1.49
0.02
1.47
2.81
0.29
2.52
2.36
0.49
1.87
2.30
0.01
2.29
2.78
2.78
0.03
0.59
0.07
0.03
0.17
0.03
0.67
0.45
0.03
1.10
0.04
1.74
0.05
2.11
0.05
2.57
0.17
0.05
0.06
2.00
0.07
1.09
0.04
0.07
0.07
0.36
1.33
0.20
0.07
0.13
0.61
(0.31)
0.02
0.08
0.10
0.37
(0.51)
0.93
0.02
0.22
0.16
(0.18)
0.70
0.05
0.25
0.15
(0.47)
(0.12)
1.33
0.16
0.03
0.28
(0.92)
0.17
2.24
0.20
0.06
0.68
0.48
(1.00)
(0.15)
2.13
0.33
0.03
0.01
0.42
(0.14)
(0.54)
2.40
0.04
0.02
0.67
(0.30)
0.05
3.26
514
11
503
497
33
464
461
82
379
735
29
706
779
51
728
721
65
656
598
101
497
723
30
693
624
116
508
273
2
271
321
8
313
277
5
271
280
12
267
211
7
204
303
5
297
359
10
350
469
0
469
450
8
442
1,019
985
685
733
821
922 1,032 1,056 1,046 1,005
782
609
21.1% 24.5% 28.7% 27.6% 20.5% 24.7% 25.8% 30.8% 30.1% 33.8% 38.9% 43.1%
21.0% 24.1% 28.4% 26.7% 19.9% 24.4% 25.3% 30.8% 29.7% 33.4% 37.2% 38.4%
1,090
40.3%
39.3%
(a) Reflects estimated income from discontinued operations (Latrobe Steel) for 1991 to 2001. Reported GAAP Operating Income for 2002 to 2006 excludes income from discontinued operations.
(b) Total Debt is the sum of Commercial Paper, Short-Term Debt, Current Portion of long-term debt and Long-term debt
38
Reconciliation to GAAP
Non GAAP Disclosure Reconciliations
US$ Million
1990
(1)
266
1,075
1,341
(4)
1991
(9)
(8)
(17)
(17)
-
2003
98
10
108
108
-
2004
237
12
249
249
-
2005
327
68
395
395
-
2006
219
80
299
299
-
2007
318
0
318
318
-
2008
452
12
465
465
-
(6)
15
3
51
73
93
102
80
45
35
2
46
43
37.6% 37.6% 37.6% 37.6% 36.9% 38.3% 35.7% 38.2% 36.8% 35.0% 39.8% 39.8% 40.0%
(10)
25
5
84
125
149
184
129
78
64
3
69
65
80
32.1%
169
129
32.6%
266
91
30.6%
208
71
22.3%
247
172
37.1%
292
273
1,019
1,292
1,317
779
1,270
2,049
1,937
721
1,497
2,218
2,134
598
1,476
2,074
2,146
723
1,961
2,684
2,379
624
1,623
2,246
2,465
10.4%
11.9%
-0.8%
1992
42
(2)
41
41
-
321
985
1,306
1,299
1.9%
1993
14
(6)
8
8
-
277
685
962
1,134
0.4%
1994
132
2
135
135
-
280
733
1,012
987
1995
203
(5)
198
198
-
211
821
1,032
1,022
1996
247
(5)
242
242
-
303
922
1,225
1,129
1997
280
7
287
287
-
359
1,032
1,392
1,308
1998
225
(16)
209
209
-
469
1,056
1,526
1,459
8.9%
1999
133
(10)
123
123
-
450
1,046
1,496
1,511
5.2%
2000
106
(7)
99
99
(0.00)
514
1,005
1,519
1,507
4.3%
2001
(18)
22
4
4
-
497
782
1,279
1,399
0.2%
2002
79
37
115
115
-
461
609
1,070
1,175
5.9%
735
1,090
1,824
1,447
4.5%
8.7%
12.5%
9.7%
(1)
GAAP Operating Income for years after 2004 exclude discontinued operations, reflecting the December 8, 2006 sale of Latrobe Steel.
EBIT is defined as operating income plus other income (expense) - net.
(3)
NOPAT is defined as EBIT less an estimated provision for income taxes. This tax provision excludes the tax effect of pre-tax special items on the company's effective tax rate, as well as the
the impact of discrete tax items recorded during the year.
(4)
The company uses NOPAT/Average Invested Capital as a type of ratio that indicates return on capital (ROIC). Average Invested Capital is the sum of Total Debt and Shareholders' Equity
taken at the beginning and ending of each year and then averaged. Total Debt is the sum of Commercial Paper, Short-Term Debt, Current Portion of long-term debt and Long-term debt.
(2)
39
Reconciliation to GAAP
Non GAAP Disclosure Reconciliations
US$ Million
GAAP Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
GAAP Capital expenditures
GAAP Cash dividends paid to shareholders
Free Cash Flow(1)
1991
140
(140)
(23)
1992
116
(136)
(22)
1993
154
(89)
(25)
(23)
(43)
39
2001
178
(91)
(40)
2002
206
(85)
(32)
2003
204
(119)
(42)
2004
121
(155)
(47)
2005
319
(221)
(55)
2006
337
(296)
(58)
2007
337
(314)
(63)
2008
569
(272)
(67)
47
89
43
(81)
43
(17)
(40)
230
1994
147
(114)
(26)
6
1995
224
(129)
(28)
67
1996
186
(151)
(30)
5
1997
312
(233)
(39)
40
1998
292
(238)
(45)
9
1999
277
(165)
(45)
2000
157
(159)
(44)
68
(46)
(1) Free cash flow defined as net cash provided by operating activities (incld. pension contributions) minus capital
expenditures and dividends.
40