Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Europe 2014
An extract on emerging markets
Playing catch-up
Attractiveness extract
EYsattractivenesssurvey
Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
Contents
02 03
Executive summary
06 19
A mixed picture
20 25
Emerging investors
Emerging investors
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
Foreword
Rajiv Memani,
Partner, Global
Chairman of the
Lead
Global Emerging
Attractiveness and
Markets Committee,
Competitiveness, EY
EY
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
Executive
summary
BRICs
CEE (EU)
Russia
Ukraine
Turkey
China
BRICs
BRICs
India
BRICs
Brazil
Note: CEE (EU) includes Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia,
Slovenia.
200408
200913
WE*
12,164
14,299
CEE
4,774
4,208
FDI job
creation**
200408
Change
+17.6%
-11.9%
200913
Change
WE
449.0
401.7
-10.5%
CEE
526.1
364.8
-30.7%
* Western Europe
**in thousands. Source: EY's European Investment Monitor (EIM) 2014.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
200408
200913
Difference
Russia
596
743
Poland
802
622
Turkey
180
418
321
191
Romania
612
311
301
Hungary
597
308
289
Serbia
164
284
Slovakia
305
201
104
Bulgaria
287
148
139
31%
+147
180
11%
Romania
Hungary
6 pts
4 pts
+2 pts
+3 pts
Ukraine
Turkey
6%
Latvia
Slovakia
+4 pts
+1 pt
1 pt
+238
Change from
2013*
7%
+120
Change from
2013*
Czech
Republic
+2 pts
9%
3%
8%
2%
* pts = % points.
Source: EYs 2014 European attractiveness survey (total respondents: 808).
China
153 projects
India
103 projects
Russia
44 projects
Brazil
13 projects
Source: EYs EIM 2014.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
A mixed
picture
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
Emerging
markets
pulled in
54%
of inflows in
2013.
2012
2013
Developing Asia
31%
29%
Europe
16%
17%
20%
15%
17%
North America
Africa
4%
4%
Transition economies
6%
7%
Others
9%
6%
Source: UNCTAD.
2010
2014
Western Europe
68%
38%
45%
CEE
52%
24%
29%
31%
North America
48%
22%
India
18%
22%
17%
China
41%
39%
44%
Brazil
5%
12%
13%
Russia
5%
14%
19%
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
There are two reasons for this decline. First, the crisis exposed
the weaknesses in the economic fundamentals of CEE, which
was heavily dependent on consumption and its banking system.
CEE countries were characterized by a higher level of consumer
credit, and the stock of consumer loans was growing at double
the pace of the stock of savings. Second, between 2004 and
2008, approximately 75% of the FDI projects in the CEE region
originated from Europe itself. As a result, when the crisis hit, FDI
200408
200913
12,164
14,299
4,774
4,208
CEE
FDI job
creation*
200408
Change
+17.6%
-11.9%
200913
Change
WE
449.0
401.7
-10.5%
CEE
526.1
364.8
-30.7%
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
200408
United Kingdom 3,206
200913
Difference
3,524
+318
+1525
Germany
1,326
2,851
France
2,656
2,499
Spain
947
1,111
Belgium
817
808
Russia
596
743
+147
+237
157
+164
9
Netherlands
472
709
Poland
802
622
Ireland
405
535
+130
180
Turkey
180
418
+238
Italy
321
395
+74
Switzerland
522
394
128
Sweden
471
323
148
Czech Republic
512
321
191
301
Romania
612
311
Hungary
597
308
Serbia
164
284
289
+120
Denmark
297
225
72
Slovakia
305
201
104
Bulgaria
287
148
139
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
A mixed picture
2013
Share
(2013)
Change
United Kingdom
697
799
20%
15%
Germany
624
701
18%
12%
France
471
514
13%
9%
Spain
274
221
6%
-19%
Belgium
169
175
4%
4%
Netherlands
161
161
4%
0%
Russia
128
114
3%
-11%
Ireland
123
111
3%
-10%
Finland
75
108
3%
44%
Poland
148
107
3%
-28%
Turkey
95
98
2%
3%
Switzerland
61
76
2%
25%
Serbia
78
63
2%
-19%
Czech Republic
64
60
2%
-6%
Denmark
Others
Total
Source: EY's EIM 2014.
10
57
58
1%
2%
572
589
15%
3%
3,797
3,955
100%
4%
CEE vs. WE
2012
FDI projects
CEE
WE
2013
835
796
2,962
3,159
2012
2013
CEE
85,634
82,181
WE
84,800
84,162
Russia received 114 FDI projects, down 11% from the previous
year. Still, it managed to regain its position as the top emerging
destination in the CEE region, after falling behind Poland in 2012,
which saw an even steeper decline this year. Although the total
number of projects fell, Russia attracted several key investment
projects in the automotive and heavy industry sectors, such as
chemicals and large transport equipment. In terms of its clients,
Russia saw a 17% decline in investments originating in the US.
Japanese companies, by contrast, invested in 14 projects during
2013, up from just 9 in 2012.
However, the geopolitical tensions arising from the situation in
Ukraine will affect Russias attractiveness. The exact outcome of
these events and their impact are yet to be seen.
The top two Central European destinations for FDI are Poland
and the Czech Republic. Poland attracted 107 projects in 2013,
making for a year-on-year decline of 28%. FDI job creation,
however, increased by 6%. More than a half of the projects were
manufacturing operations, with automotive and plastics and rubber
as leading sectors. Poland was also the number one destination
in the CEE region in terms of R&D projects, driven essentially
by international software companies. In the Czech Republic, FDI
projects were down 6% from 2012, while job creation remained
stable (2%). Driven by geographic proximity, German companies
were the largest investor in the Czech Republic, accounting for
over a third of investment projects. With 23 projects altogether,
automotive and other transport equipment industries remain key
drivers of FDI.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
Over the last decade, oil prices have risen dramatically. This
has reversed some of the earlier reductions in transport costs.
Companies now are also more cautious. They are paying
more attention to factors such as market proximity, quality
control and supply-chain management. And as governments
increasingly recognize the value of having a strong
manufacturing base, the policy environment in the West has
become more favorable to industry.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
11
2014
CEE
Change from
2013*
Poland
31%
6 pts
Czech Republic
11%
4 pts
9%
+2 pts
Hungary
8%
+3 pts
Ukraine
7%
+2 pts
Turkey
6%
+4 pts
Latvia
3%
+1 pt
Slovakia
2%
1 pt
Romania
* pts = % points.
Source: EYs 2014 European attractiveness survey (total respondents: 808).
12
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
Case study
Poland technology
and telecom
Poland has become an important European
technology and IT hub. The IT industry
in Poland has grown quickly, thanks
to the countrys robust supply of wellqualified professionals particularly IT
engineers and its competitiveness on
costs.2 Between 2009 and 2013, 50 FDI
projects were initiated in Polands software
and telecommunications sector. Companies
from the US and the UK were the main
investors.
Poland has also increasingly been attracting
investments in the R&D sector. Some of
the worlds leading organizations have
established R&D centers in the country,
leveraging its scientific and engineering
workforce.3
On the ground
InOctober 2013, South Koreas Samsung
Electronics announced the opening of
its fourth Polish R&D center in Krakow.
The other three are located in Warsaw,
Lodz and Poznan. The work at this new
R&D center will focus on developing
software and technology for mobile
operators across Europe, with the aim
of strengthening Samsungs European
telecommunication networks business.4
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
13
A mixed picture
14
Between 20092013:
While job creation in countries such as Poland, Romania and
the Czech Republic fell by more than 50%, it increased in Turkey
and Serbia by 143% and 157% respectively.
FDI projects in the business services sector more than doubled
in Russia, and increased by more than three times in Turkey,
albeit from a low base.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
Case study
Turkey automotive
Thanks, in part, to its proximity to the
EU, Turkey has become a prominent
manufacturing hub for global automakers.
And rising per capita income and a low car
density both promise prospective growth
for automotive companies in Turkey itself.
Companies are drawn by the availability
of a skilled workforce, low labor costs
and a highly developed technological
infrastructure, including technology parks
and organized industrial zones.8
Between 2009 and 2013, Turkey attracted
41 automotive FDI projects. Automotive
companies have established manufacturing
facilities and assembly plants in Turkey
in order to serve both the domestic and
export markets (in 2013, over 70% of total
automotive production in the country was
exported). And the Governments special
incentive schemes, which offer tax and
duties exemptions for investments in R&D,
have helped establish Turkey as a promising
location for new R&D centers.9
On the ground
Ford Otosan, a joint venture between Ford
Motor Company of the US and Turkeybased Ko Holding A.., is one of the
largest players in the countrys automotive
market.10 In July 2013, the company
established an auto engineering research
center in Istanbul. Built with an initial
investment of US$28m (20m), the new
center will employ 1,300 engineers.
In the last five years, Ford Otosan has
invested close to US$1.3b (0.9b) in R&D
spending in Turkey. In 2014, the company
also opened a new US$511m (375m)
facility in Yenikoy, Turkey, which has
the capacity to build 110,000 vehicles
peryear.11
10. Ernst & Youngs 2013 Turkey attractiveness survey: the shift,
the growth and the promise, May2013.
11. Currency converter, Oanda website, www.oanda.com,
accessed 12 September 2014, exchange rate used US$1 =
0.7348 and TRY1 = US$0.4636 as per average for 2014YTD
(January 2014 September 2014); Ernst & Youngs 2013 Turkey
attractiveness survey: the shift, the growth and the promise, May
2013; Turkey's chances of auto expansion, The Economist
Intelligence Unit website, www.eiu.com, accessed 11 September
2014; Ford Otosan opens new $511 million facility in Yenikoy,
Turkey, MarketLine (a Datamonitor Company), 26 May 2014, via
Dow Jones Factiva, 2014 MarketLine an Informa plc business;
Ford Otosan Breaks Ground On New Engineering Centre, Ford
Online website, www.at.ford.com, accessed 12 September 2014.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
15
EY viewpoint
16
Andrey Tomyshev
Head of the Automotive Group in the CIS
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
17
Next Google
Which three cities in the world offer the best chance of producing
the next Google?
2014
San Francisco and Silicon Valley
26%
Shanghai
22%
New York
18%
Beijing
16%
London
12%
Mumbai
7%
Los Angeles
7%
Tokyo
6%
New Delhi
6%
Singapore
6%
Berlin
5%
Bangalore
5%
Hong Kong
5%
Moscow
4%
Paris
4%
18
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
Case study
On the ground
US-based global e-commerce player
Digital River was among the major
investors in Russias business services
sector in 2013. The company has been
serving the Russian software market
since 1998. It opened a new sales and
marketing office in Moscow in 2013.14 By
increasing its presence in Russia and its
local client support, Digital River aims to
improve online sales and risk management
support for its multinational clients. The
company expects its new office to support
the growth of the Russian e-commerce
industry, which is expected to triple
by2015. 15
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
19
Emerging
investors
20
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
218
114
217
257
266
China is a clear leader among BRIC investors, with 153 FDI projects
(49%) creating 7,135 jobs. In 2013, FDI projects from China
increased by 25%, while job creation was up by 55%. India ranked
second, with 103 projects (33%) creating nearly 7,000 jobs. FDI
projects from India increased by 39% and job creation by 8%.
313
245
China
153 projects
India
156
103 projects
2004
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Job creation
5,106
2004
6,885
2007
9,124
2008
8,672
2009
44 projects
16,900
13 projects
12,309
12,232
2010
2012
Brazil
9,385
2011
Russia
2013
2013
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
21
EY viewpoint
Investment incentive:
how Europe can capitalize
on change in China
22
Loletta Chow
Global Leader, China Overseas Investment Network
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
23
Emerging investors
Case study
On the ground
The Tata group is by far the largest Indian
investor in Europe. Its first investment
in Europe dates back to 1907, when
it established Tata Limited in the UK.
Since then, the group has expanded
across sectors. It currently operates
through more than 19 companies, and
employs around 60,000 people across
Europe.17 In 2013 alone, it invested in
12 projects in the UK, Germany, France
and the Netherlands, mostly through its
subsidiaries Jaguar Land Rover and Tata
Consultancy Services (TCS).
Jaguar Land Rover is creating a stateof-the-art engine manufacturing center
in Wolverhampton in the UK, which is
expected to be fully operational by 2015.
The center will manufacture advanced
low-emission diesel and petrol engines, for
exclusive use in the companys future
24
vehicles.18 The center will use cuttingedge heating and lighting systems to
minimize energy requirements. The site
is being built with a total investment
of more than US$836m (500m).19
When it reaches full capacity, the
center is expected to employ around
1,400people.20
Tatas IT services subsidiary TCS
opened a delivery center in Liverpool in
2013. This center will provide services
to the Home Office in support of the
UKs Disclosure and Barring Service
(DBS), which allows employers to check
the suitability of applicants for work
with children or vulnerable adults.
Through this new facility, TCS will help
to transform the DBS by introducing
electronic applications and online
services. This new facility will create
more than 300jobs.21
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
www.ey.com/attractiveness
22. Chinese investors surged into EU at height of debt crisis, The Financial Times website, www.
ft.com, accessed 14 October 2014.
23. Chinas Bright Food Buys Majority Stake in Italian Olive Oil Maker Salov, The Wall Street Journal
website, www.online.wsj.com, accessed 14 October 2014; China Haidian Acquires UK Watch
Company Dreyfuss, ACN newswire website, www.en.acnnewswire.com/press-release, 14 April 2014.
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
25
Publications
2014 European attractiveness survey
EYs European attractiveness survey,
published in May 2014, shows that
Europe is still the top global foreign
direct investment location. Despite
tough economic conditions, the
continents appeal has increased.
Europe set an FDI record in 2013.
Foreign investment decisions reached
an all-time high of 3,955 projects, up
4% from the previous year and 17%
from the pre-economic crisis average.
Furthermore, business leaders are
more optimistic than last year. At the same time, they are realistic.
The majority believe it will take between three and five years for
Europe to overcome the crisis completely. Investors understand
that recovery is not an invitation to be complacent. They stress
that competitiveness remains the key to sustainable growth and a
more attractive investment climate for Europe.
26
EYs attractiveness survey Europe 2014 An extract on emerging markets Playing catch-up
Contacts
Marc Lhermitte
Partner, EY Advisory
+ 33 1 46 93 72 76
marc.lhermitte@fr.ey.com
Ilse Blank
Global Economic Programs Leader
+ 27 11 772 5063
ilse.blank@za.ey.com
Raffaella Santarsiere
Global Press Relations
+ 39 027 221 2944
raffaella.santarsiere@it.ey.com
ey.com