Peter A.

Brown, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 535-6203
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: MAY 6, 2015

WALKER IN FRONT OF PACK IN IOWA GOP CAUCUS,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
AT 5%, BUSH IS A DISTANT SEVENTH
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is the top dog with a big early lead in the Iowa Republican
Caucus, with a four-way scramble for second place and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in seventh
place with 5 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Walker is at 21 percent of likely GOP caucus participants, compared to 25 percent in a
February 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In the scramble for second place are U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen.
Marco Rubio of Florida with 13 percent each, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 12 percent and
former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee with 11 percent. Physician Ben Carson has 7 percent,
with 5 percent for Bush. No other candidate is above 3 percent and 6 percent are undecided.
Bush tops the list at 25 percent, followed by New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie with
20 percent, when likely Republican Caucus participants are asked if there is any candidate they
would definitely not support. Paul is next on this negative list with 10 percent.
The first few months of the Iowa Republican caucus race show Wisconsin Gov. Scott
Walker as the early leader. U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, on the strength of an impressive
candidacy roll out, has moved from the bottom of the pack into a tie for second, said Peter
Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who has yet to
formalize his candidacy while he amasses what most expect to be a massive fund-raising lead,
runs seventh with just 5 percent of the vote.
Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants have a 69 9 percent favorable opinion of
Rubio, the best score in the GOP field. The Florida senators positions on the issues are about
right, 65 percent say, also the best in the field.
-more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/May 6, 2015 page 2

Walker gets a 59 11 percent favorability rating, with 62 percent of caucus participants
saying his positions on issues are about right. Scores for other leading Republican candidates
are:

Negative 39 45 percent favorability rating for Bush, and 36 percent saying hes about
right on issues, while 45 percent say hes not conservative enough;
53 9 percent favorable for Carson, and 56 percent saying hes about right on the issues;
Negative 32 56 percent favorable for Christie, and 52 percent saying hes not
conservative enough on issues;
59 19 percent favorable for Cruz, and 58 percent saying hes about right;
64 27 percent favorable for Huckabee, and 59 percent about right on the issues;
59 23 percent favorable for Paul, and 51 percent saying hes about right.
Looking at Walker, likely Republican Caucus participants say 69 11 percent that he is

honest and trustworthy; 72 10 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 72 11
percent that he cares about their needs and problems.
Paul scores 77 13 percent for being honest and trustworthy, 70 19 percent for having
strong leadership qualities and 75 15 percent for caring for voter needs and problems.
Rubio is honest and trustworthy, voters say 72 13 percent; with 70 14 percent for
strong leadership qualities and 72 15 percent for caring for voter needs and problems.
Walker scores very highly on a variety of matrixes honesty, leadership, caring about
the needs of average folks and his favorability among caucus-goers, Brown said.
More of those surveyed view Bush unfavorably than favorably, compared to Walkers
5-1 positive ratio. And 45 percent say Bush is not conservative enough. Its among the GOP
conservative base that Bush finds himself trailing Sen. Ted Cruz, former Gov. Mike Huckabee
and Sen. Rand Paul.
For national unknowns like Walker and Rubio, a fast start in Iowa may be critical to
their chances of overall success, while supporters of national names like Bush note that fewer
than half of Iowa winners wind up inhabiting the Oval Office.
From April 25 May 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 667 likely Iowa Republican
Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call
land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and
Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you
support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul,
Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
DK/NA

5%
7
3
12
2
11
1
2
13
3
13
2
21
6

1%
8
4
26
1
10
1
11
2
7
26
2

4%
6
2
16
2
17
3
1
11
2
11
2
18
4

2%
7
1
21
1
12
3
1
10
2
10
1
24
4

5%
12
2
9
2
8
3
11
2
14
3
27
3

10%
1
6
3
4
11
1
2
18
3
17
1
12
10

5%
6
2
10
3
11
1
2
16
3
11
1
24
5

6%
7
4
15
2
10
3
1
8
2
16
2
17
7

TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and
Scott Walker, who would you support If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you
support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul,
Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
DK/NA

5
7
3
12
2
11
1
2
13
3
13
2
21
6

10
11
4
5
na
na
11
2
13
3
4
4
25
9

1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Who is your second choice: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz,
Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
DK/NA

7%
9
5
10
4
6
4
1
8
4
15
4
13
9

3%
16
1
15
5
7
4
7
4
13
3
17
4

9%
11
5
11
2
7
3
1
4
4
15
6
12
8

4%
13
4
13
2
8
6
1
7
3
13
4
14
8

9%
4
2
9
8
5
2
1
5
5
23
3
16
8

11%
9
8
5
3
4
4
10
6
12
6
8
12

7%
8
4
12
3
5
5
1
7
5
16
4
14
9

8%
11
5
7
5
7
4
8
3
15
5
12
9

TREND: (If candidate chosen) Who is your second choice Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz,
Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
DK/NA

7
9
5
10
4
6
4
1
8
4
15
4
13
9

11
8
7
7
na
na
8
3
2
9
9
6
6
13
11

1B. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and
Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you
support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul,
Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Q1 & Q1A COMBINED...................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
DK/NA

12%
15
7
22
6
16
5
2
20
7
27
6
33
15

4%
24
5
41
6
17
4
1
17
6
20
3
43
7

13%
17
6
26
4
24
6
2
15
6
26
8
30
12

6%
19
5
34
4
20
9
1
17
5
22
5
37
12

13%
16
4
17
10
12
2
4
16
8
36
6
43
11

20%
9
14
8
7
15
4
2
27
8
28
7
19
21

11%
14
6
22
6
1
16
5
3
23
7
26
5
37
14

13%
17
9
22
7
17
6
1
16
6
30
7
28
15

TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsay Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and
Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you
support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul,
Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
DK/NA

12
15
7
22
6
16
5
2
20
7
27
6
33
15

20
19
11
11
na
na
18
5
2
21
11
9
10
37
18

2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican
nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
were allowed)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
No/No one
DK/NA

25%
4
20
7
5
8
9
3
4
10
7
5
8
3
35
10

43%
2
27
1
4
9
9
1
3
6
4
4
2
1
26
6

28%
4
20
6
5
9
4
2
4
11
8
7
6
3
33
13

35%
4
25
3
5
10
6
3
5
9
5
4
5
3
29
11

22%
2
19
9
2
8
10
1
1
11
4
7
8
1
35
8

13%
6
15
13
6
6
13
4
4
10
9
5
9
6
44
11

26%
2
19
8
3
8
9
2
2
7
6
5
9
2
34
9

23%
7
22
6
7
9
10
4
6
13
7
6
7
6
36
12

TREND: Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the
Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple
responses were allowed)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Walker
No/No one
DK/NA

25
4
20
7
5
8
9
3
4
10
7
5
8
3
35
10

26
3
26
8
na
na
10
4
3
7
7
5
8
3
29
14

5. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

39%
45
15
1

20%
66
14
-

37%
46
16
1

28%
61
10
-

45%
38
15
1

50%
29
20
1

36%
49
14
1

43%
41
16
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

39
45
15
1

41
40
17
1

6. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

53%
9
38
-

70%
7
22
-

58%
7
35
1

70%
7
23
-

52%
8
40
1

32%
11
57
-

53%
9
38
1

54%
8
37
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

53
9
38
-

51
5
43
-

7. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

32%
56
11
1

26%
68
6
-

29%
58
11
2

25%
66
8
1

31%
57
11
-

42%
39
17
1

33%
57
9
1

29%
55
14
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

32
56
11
1

30
54
15
1

8. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59%
19
21
1

78%
6
16
-

63%
16
20
1

72%
11
16
1

59%
22
17
1

41%
29
29
1

64%
20
15
1

53%
19
28
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59
19
21
1

46
19
34
1

9. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

26%
8
66
-

33%
8
59
1

23%
6
71
-

30%
9
61
-

28%
5
66
1

19%
7
73
1

26%
9
64
1

26%
6
68
-

10. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

15%
37
47
1

10%
53
36
-

14%
35
50
1

13%
46
41
-

19%
39
41
2

15%
24
60
-

15%
42
42
1

14%
31
54
-

11. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

64%
27
7
1

67%
25
6
2

77%
15
7
1

72%
22
5
2

69%
25
5
2

51%
36
12
-

62%
29
8
1

68%
25
6
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

64
27
7
1

63
24
12
1

12. Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

45%
9
44
1

55%
8
37
-

47%
9
43
1

58%
8
34
1

43%
5
50
2

30%
15
55
-

49%
10
40
1

41%
8
50
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

45
9
44
1

41
9
50
1

13. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

20%
8
72
-

27%
10
63
-

19%
7
74
-

25%
8
67
-

19%
7
73
1

14%
8
79
-

20%
9
70
-

19%
6
75
-

TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

20
8
72
-

17
6
77
-

10

14. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59%
23
16
1

67%
17
14
2

58%
25
15
2

61%
23
15
2

60%
26
12
2

56%
22
22
-

63%
22
14
1

52%
26
20
2

TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59
23
16
1

58
22
18
1

15. Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

51%
30
18
2

60%
22
17
1

54%
26
18
2

60%
19
20
2

56%
31
11
2

33%
43
22
2

52%
30
15
2

48%
29
21
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

51
30
18
2

56
22
21
1

11

16. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

69%
9
21
1

67%
14
18
-

66%
10
23
1

70%
9
20
-

75%
8
16
1

63%
10
26
2

69%
11
19
2

68%
7
24
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

69
9
21
1

48
15
34
2

17. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

56%
28
16
1

66%
20
14
1

66%
20
14
1

69%
18
12
-

57%
30
11
1

37%
37
26
-

54%
32
13
1

58%
22
20
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

56
28
16
1

54
23
22
1

12

18. Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59%
11
29
1

70%
5
24
-

58%
9
31
1

69%
9
22
1

67%
6
26
1

39%
18
42
1

63%
11
25
1

54%
11
35
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

59
11
29
1

57
7
36
-

19. In general, do you think - Jeb Bush's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

6%
45
36
13

1%
73
16
10

5%
51
30
14

1%
68
21
10

3%
43
42
11

13%
15
53
19

5%
50
34
11

6%
40
38
16

20. In general, do you think - Ben Carson's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

5%
6
56
32

3%
8
71
17

4%
6
58
32

3%
8
68
21

5%
4
56
36

10%
6
37
47

5%
6
57
32

6%
7
54
33

13

21. In general, do you think - Chris Christie's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

4%
52
29
15

2%
69
19
9

2%
58
23
17

2%
68
20
10

5%
54
27
14

8%
27
43
21

4%
54
30
13

6%
49
27
18

22. In general, do you think - Ted Cruz's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

19%
5
58
19

7%
6
77
10

12%
7
61
21

6%
7
74
13

25%
1
54
19

30%
6
38
26

20%
5
62
13

16%
6
52
26

23. In general, do you think - Carly Fiorina's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

2%
7
34
57

12
41
48

1%
9
29
60

8
38
53

1%
7
31
61

6%
6
28
61

2%
7
37
54

2%
7
29
62

24. In general, do you think - Lindsey Graham's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

9%
29
23
40

3%
53
16
27

6%
31
20
43

2%
46
19
33

11%
25
24
40

17%
8
27
49

7%
36
24
33

11%
19
21
49

14

25. In general, do you think - Mike Huckabee's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

22%
11
59
8

11%
22
60
7

10%
10
74
6

7%
16
71
5

27%
7
58
9

38%
5
45
12

21%
10
62
7

23%
12
56
10

26. In general, do you think - Bobby Jindal's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

4%
5
53
37

2%
11
63
25

2%
7
54
37

1%
7
63
28

3%
2
53
42

8%
6
41
46

5%
7
55
33

3%
4
51
42

27. In general, do you think - John Kasich's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

3%
8
28
60

18
30
52

1%
8
26
65

12
31
56

3%
3
30
65

7%
8
23
62

4%
9
32
55

2%
7
23
68

28. In general, do you think - Rand Paul's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

15%
20
51
14

4%
29
58
9

16%
21
50
14

6%
31
53
10

18%
16
48
18

27%
9
50
15

15%
17
58
10

15%
26
40
19

15

29. In general, do you think - Rick Perry's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

13%
9
61
16

4%
16
67
12

9%
10
65
17

3%
12
69
16

14%
6
67
12

27%
9
45
20

14%
9
65
12

12%
10
55
23

30. In general, do you think - Marco Rubio's positions on the issues are too conservative,
not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

4%
13
65
18

1%
23
61
15

2%
15
63
20

1%
18
63
17

4%
14
66
15

7%
6
66
21

3%
13
67
17

5%
12
62
21

31. In general, do you think - Rick Santorum's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

23%
8
54
15

13%
10
65
12

17%
8
63
12

9%
10
68
12

26%
6
53
14

41%
5
36
18

24%
9
54
14

22%
6
55
16

32. In general, do you think - Scott Walker's positions on the issues are too
conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Too conservative
Not con enough
About right
DK/NA

8%
6
62
23

1%
8
74
17

6%
6
61
26

3%
8
69
20

5%
5
71
19

19%
5
44
32

9%
6
67
19

8%
7
56
29

16

33. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

58%
30
11

45%
45
9

57%
30
13

53%
35
12

65%
24
11

62%
28
10

56%
34
10

61%
25
14

34. Would you say that - Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

69%
11
19

79%
5
16

67%
10
23

75%
6
19

78%
9
13

55%
20
24

73%
14
13

64%
8
28

35. Would you say that - Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

77%
13
10

83%
10
7

76%
11
13

79%
11
9

79%
11
10

73%
15
11

78%
14
8

75%
11
14

36. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

72%
13
15

69%
16
15

71%
13
16

71%
13
16

77%
10
12

70%
14
16

73%
15
12

72%
9
19

37. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

65%
24
11

54%
37
9

65%
23
12

60%
29
11

72%
18
10

68%
21
11

60%
29
11

72%
17
11

17

38. Would you say that - Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

72%
10
18

78%
8
13

70%
8
22

77%
5
19

79%
6
15

61%
19
20

78%
10
12

65%
9
26

39. Would you say that - Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

70%
19
11

74%
19
8

70%
18
12

70%
18
12

71%
20
10

69%
21
10

71%
19
10

67%
20
13

40. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

70%
14
16

68%
17
15

72%
14
15

70%
14
16

73%
12
15

69%
15
16

71%
16
13

69%
11
20

41. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

52%
37
10

39%
55
6

50%
39
10

46%
44
10

56%
34
10

58%
32
11

48%
42
10

58%
31
11

42. Would you say that - Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

72%
11
17

79%
7
15

72%
10
18

80%
4
16

76%
8
16

57%
22
21

76%
12
12

67%
9
25

18

43. Would you say that - Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

75%
15
10

81%
13
7

73%
16
10

74%
15
11

80%
12
8

71%
18
11

79%
14
8

69%
17
14

44. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

72%
15
13

69%
18
13

71%
15
14

72%
13
15

75%
14
11

68%
19
13

72%
16
12

71%
14
15

45. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

6%
93
1
-

3%
96
1
-

2%
96
1
-

1%
98
1
-

2%
95
3
1

16%
83
1

6%
93
1
1

6%
93
1
-

46. Is your opinion of Ron Paul, presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012, favorable,
unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

47%
37
14
1

51%
38
10
1

44%
41
14
1

47%
38
13
1

44%
42
13
1

48%
33
17
2

51%
36
11
2

42%
39
19
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Ron Paul, presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012, favorable,
unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

47
37
14
1

45
31
22
2

19

47. Is your opinion of George W. Bush, president from 2001 - 2009, favorable, unfavorable
or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

81%
16
1
2

80%
17
1
2

80%
16
1
2

81%
16
3

88%
10
1
1

76%
21
2
2

75%
21
1
3

89%
9
1
1

TREND: Is your opinion of George W. Bush, president from 2001-2009, favorable, unfavorable
or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

81
16
1
2

80
15
3
2

48. Is your opinion of George H. W. Bush, president from 1989 - 1993, favorable,
unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

80%
13
7
1

75%
18
6
-

79%
13
8
1

79%
15
4
1

84%
10
5
1

75%
13
11
-

76%
16
7
1

84%
9
6
-

TREND: Is your opinion of George H. W. Bush, president from 1989-1993, favorable,

unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

80
13
7
1

79
11
9
1

20