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Annual
growth
2013-2040
(percent)
2012
2013
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Key indicators
Households (millions)
Single-family .......................................................
Multifamily ...........................................................
Mobile homes .....................................................
Total .................................................................
79.3
28.2
6.4
113.9
79.7
28.4
6.3
114.3
84.5
30.4
5.5
120.5
88.4
32.1
5.3
125.8
92.1
33.9
5.1
131.1
95.4
35.7
4.9
136.0
98.6
37.5
4.8
141.0
0.8%
1.0%
-1.0%
0.8%
1,670
1,678
1,733
1,768
1,800
1,829
1,855
0.4%
90.2
174.3
99.0
184.6
88.2
169.1
83.5
161.0
80.6
156.2
77.6
151.9
75.0
148.3
-1.0%
-0.8%
54.0
104.3
59.0
110.0
50.9
97.6
47.3
91.1
44.8
86.8
42.5
83.1
40.4
79.9
-1.4%
-1.2%
0.29
0.83
0.44
0.37
0.11
0.20
0.08
0.64
0.03
0.10
0.33
0.12
0.09
1.06
4.69
0.40
0.66
0.44
0.36
0.11
0.20
0.08
0.59
0.03
0.09
0.33
0.12
0.13
1.19
4.75
0.35
0.79
0.46
0.34
0.11
0.21
0.07
0.43
0.02
0.10
0.32
0.10
0.11
1.44
4.86
0.34
0.82
0.47
0.33
0.12
0.22
0.07
0.38
0.02
0.10
0.32
0.08
0.11
1.53
4.92
0.33
0.88
0.48
0.33
0.13
0.23
0.07
0.34
0.02
0.11
0.34
0.07
0.10
1.65
5.08
0.32
0.94
0.48
0.35
0.14
0.24
0.06
0.29
0.02
0.12
0.36
0.06
0.10
1.77
5.23
0.31
1.00
0.48
0.36
0.14
0.25
0.06
0.27
0.02
0.12
0.37
0.05
0.09
1.89
5.42
-1.0%
1.5%
0.2%
0.0%
1.1%
0.7%
-0.7%
-2.9%
-2.0%
1.0%
0.5%
-3.1%
-1.3%
1.7%
0.5%
Natural gas
Space heating .....................................................
Space cooling .....................................................
Water heating .....................................................
Cooking ..............................................................
Clothes dryers.....................................................
Other uses5 .........................................................
Delivered energy .............................................
2.52
0.02
1.20
0.21
0.05
0.25
4.25
3.32
0.02
1.20
0.21
0.05
0.25
5.05
2.90
0.02
1.21
0.21
0.05
0.24
4.63
2.80
0.02
1.22
0.21
0.05
0.23
4.54
2.76
0.02
1.24
0.22
0.05
0.23
4.52
2.69
0.02
1.23
0.22
0.06
0.22
4.43
2.61
0.02
1.19
0.22
0.06
0.21
4.31
-0.9%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.3%
0.5%
-0.6%
-0.6%
0.43
0.05
0.01
0.49
0.44
0.05
0.01
0.50
0.36
0.03
0.01
0.40
0.32
0.03
0.01
0.35
0.28
0.02
0.01
0.31
0.25
0.02
0.01
0.27
0.22
0.01
0.01
0.24
-2.5%
-4.7%
-0.5%
-2.7%
Propane
Space heating .....................................................
Water heating .....................................................
Cooking ..............................................................
Other uses6 .........................................................
Delivered energy .............................................
0.26
0.07
0.03
0.04
0.40
0.30
0.06
0.03
0.04
0.43
0.20
0.05
0.03
0.05
0.32
0.18
0.04
0.03
0.05
0.30
0.17
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.28
0.15
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.26
0.14
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.25
-2.8%
-3.0%
-0.9%
1.5%
-2.0%
0.44
0.01
0.58
0.01
0.41
0.01
0.39
0.01
0.38
0.01
0.36
0.00
0.35
0.00
-1.8%
-3.0%
Energy intensity
(million Btu per household)
Delivered energy consumption ...........................
Total energy consumption ..................................
(thousand Btu per square foot)
Delivered energy consumption ...........................
Total energy consumption ..................................
A-9
Reference case
Annual
growth
2013-2040
(percent)
2012
2013
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
3.95
0.86
1.76
0.37
0.35
0.25
0.08
0.64
0.03
0.10
0.33
0.12
0.09
1.36
10.28
5.05
0.68
1.76
0.36
0.34
0.25
0.08
0.59
0.03
0.09
0.33
0.12
0.13
1.49
11.32
4.23
0.81
1.75
0.34
0.35
0.26
0.07
0.43
0.02
0.10
0.32
0.10
0.11
1.73
10.63
4.04
0.84
1.76
0.33
0.36
0.27
0.07
0.38
0.02
0.10
0.32
0.08
0.11
1.82
10.51
3.92
0.90
1.78
0.33
0.37
0.28
0.07
0.34
0.02
0.11
0.34
0.07
0.10
1.94
10.57
3.78
0.96
1.75
0.35
0.38
0.29
0.06
0.29
0.02
0.12
0.36
0.06
0.10
2.05
10.56
3.63
1.02
1.71
0.36
0.39
0.30
0.06
0.27
0.02
0.12
0.37
0.05
0.09
2.17
10.57
-1.2%
1.5%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.4%
0.7%
-0.7%
-2.9%
-2.0%
1.0%
0.5%
-3.1%
-1.3%
1.4%
-0.3%
9.57
9.79
9.75
9.74
9.91
10.10
10.33
0.2%
4.53
2.56
2.66
1.12
0.56
0.66
0.24
1.94
0.09
0.29
1.01
0.38
0.28
3.52
19.85
5.88
2.05
2.68
1.12
0.56
0.67
0.24
1.80
0.09
0.29
1.01
0.37
0.40
3.95
21.10
4.93
2.38
2.69
1.02
0.58
0.69
0.22
1.29
0.07
0.29
0.97
0.29
0.34
4.62
20.38
4.71
2.47
2.70
0.99
0.60
0.70
0.20
1.13
0.05
0.30
0.96
0.24
0.33
4.86
20.25
4.56
2.62
2.72
0.99
0.62
0.73
0.19
1.00
0.05
0.32
1.00
0.20
0.31
5.17
20.48
4.39
2.79
2.68
1.01
0.64
0.75
0.19
0.85
0.05
0.34
1.05
0.18
0.28
5.46
20.66
4.21
2.93
2.62
1.06
0.66
0.78
0.19
0.77
0.05
0.36
1.09
0.15
0.27
5.78
20.91
-1.2%
1.3%
-0.1%
-0.2%
0.6%
0.5%
-0.9%
-3.1%
-2.2%
0.8%
0.3%
-3.3%
-1.5%
1.4%
0.0%
Nonmarketed renewables9
Geothermal heat pumps .....................................
Solar hot water heating .......................................
Solar photovoltaic ...............................................
Wind ...................................................................
Total .................................................................
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.00
0.04
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.00
0.06
0.02
0.01
0.09
0.01
0.13
0.02
0.01
0.13
0.01
0.17
0.03
0.01
0.18
0.01
0.23
0.03
0.01
0.24
0.01
0.28
0.03
0.01
0.29
0.01
0.35
4.1%
1.8%
8.0%
6.9%
7.0%
3,772
1,494
4,469
1,307
4,119
1,467
4,042
1,517
3,966
1,568
3,893
1,618
3,820
1,670
-0.6%
0.9%
A-10