You are on page 1of 76

CORPORATE FINANCE

Eneva S.A. in Judicial Recovery


Economic and Financial Valuation Report of
Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery and
Parnaba Gs Natural S.A.

April 13, 2015


2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda., a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of
independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. Printed in Brazil.

ABCD

KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda.


Av. Almirante Barroso, 52 4th
20031-000 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ - Brazil
P.O. Box 2888
20001-970 - Rio de Janeiro, RJ Brazil

Phone
Fax
Internet

55 (21) 3515-9400
55 (21) 3515-9000
www.kpmg.com.br

To the Board of Directors of


Eneva S.A. in Judicial Recovery
Rio de Janeiro - RJ

April 13, 2015

Economic and financial valuation report of: Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery and Parnaba Gs Natural S.A.
Dear Sirs,
Under the terms of our proposal, dated April 9, 2015, for professional services and subsequent understandings, KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. (KPMG) has
performed the economic and financial valuation of Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery (Eneva Participaes JR) and Parnaba Gs Natural S.A.
(PGN), at the base date of December 31st, 2014.
It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is a free translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of discrepancies between
the report in Portuguese sent on April 13, 2015 and the free translation report, the former shall prevail in all matters.

Yours Sincerely,

Augusto Sales
Partner

Paulo Gulherme Coimbra


Partner

Important Notes

For the benefit of this report, Eneva S.A. in Judicial Recovery (Eneva JR or
Client), Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery (Eneva
Participaes JR) and Parnaba Gs Natural S.A. (PGN), altogether will be
referred to as Companies.

On February 12th, 2015, Eneva and Eneva Participaes filed a Plan for
Judicial Recovery (JRP), in accordance with Article 53 of the Brazilian
Judicial Recovery Law. Within this context, Eneva JR seeks to initiate a
capital increase. Such potential capital increase envisages a change in Eneva
JRs shareholding structure, and, in case the JRP obtains full approval for
execution, such mutations in shareholding structure are planned to be made
through the following contributions: (i) cash; (ii) credit capitalization; (iii) and
asset subscription.

Within such context, E.ON SE (E.ON), through its subsidiary DD BRAZIL


Holdings S..R.L (the main shareholder of Eneva JR and of Eneva
Participaes JR), is interested in subscribing assets in the intended
transaction (item iii of the capital increase in the JRP).
In effect, E.ON is
willing to contribute its 50% stake in Eneva Participaes JR and 9.09% stake
in PGN (Transaction).

The economic and financial valuation of Eneva Participaes JR was based on


(i) Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) for Parnaba III Gerao de Energia S.A.,
Parnaba IV Gerao de Energia S.A. and PGN, and on (ii) Adjusted Book
Value methodology for the other companies presented on page 71, and
performed by KPMG, on the base date of December 31st, 2014.

The Client and E.ON, through its designated professionals, provided


information regarding the Companies and their respective markets, which has
been used for this report. The Companies will be referred to in this report
altogether as Information Providers.

The services rendered by KPMG were based on the following information


provided by Eneva JR:

This report has been elaborated by KPMG, as per Eneva JRs Board of
Directors requisition, as a support for the Transaction. The report, according
to the JRP, will be presented to Eneva JRs Creditor Committee. In case of
approval, the report will be presented to the Extraordinary General
Shareholders meeting.

This report may not be circulated, copied, published or, by any matters,
utilized, nor may it be archived, partly or integrally, without KPMGs previous
consent. As this report will be used in the analysis of a potential capital
increase transaction (Transaction) involving Eneva JR, which is a Brazilian
company listed with the So Paulo Stock Exchange (Bovespa), as well as
subject to the reporting requirements of the Brazilian Stock Exchange
Commission (CVM), the Client may give access to the report to CVM only to
the extent required by law and shall remain fully responsible for any damage
or injury resulting or arising from such access, which may be experienced by
Eneva, KPMG, including representatives of KPMG, or any third party.

BAL ENEVA PARTIC_DEZ_2014.xls, Bdados_dez 2014.xlsx, MPX EON


Consolidado MPX Dez-14 (EQ).xlsx, unaudited financial data related to Eneva
Participaes JR and its subsidiaries as of 31/12/2014, based on cost approach;
20.1.7 ENEVAValuationComplete_v306_KPMG.xlsx, related to downstream
business and Eneva Participaes JRs valuation;
Availability MTP v5_completo.xlsx, Despacho_v6.xlsx, related to the estimated
dispatch projections of the thermal power plants involved in the downstream
business;
Fixed O&M breakdown.xlsx, related to the fixed O&M costs of UTE Parnaba III e
IV;
Hour dispatching Overhaul.xlsx, related to the overhauling costs of UTE Parnaba
III and IV;
APLICE DE RISCOS OPERACIONAIS.msg, related to the insurance costs of
UTE Parnaba III and IV;
mutuos_Dez14.pdf, related to the intercompany loans within Eneva Participaes
JR; and
WK breakdown.xlsx, related to the working capital breakdown for UTE Parnaba III
and IV.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Important Notes

The preparation of this report was based on our reliance, with the express
approval of the Client, on the accuracy, content, veracity, completeness,
sufficiency and integrity of the data provided to or discussed with KPMG. Thus,
KPMG has not inspected any asset, or prepared or obtained an independent
valuation of the Clients assets, liabilities, or its solvency. Therefore, the Client,
including its Management, takes responsibility for all information provided to or
discussed with KPMG.

It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is a free
translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of discrepancies
between the report in Portuguese sent on April 13, 2015 and the free
translation report, the former shall prevail in all matters.

All estimates and projections herein presented have been provided by the
Information Providers; when necessary, such estimates and projections have
been adjusted by KPMG, according to its own judgment on their reasonability,
and are assumed to be underpinned by the Information Providers
managements best evaluation of the Companies and respective markets
best perspectives.

KPMG based its work on the information provided by the Information Providers
and/or other representatives of such Information Providers. Therefore, the
Client, including its Management, takes responsibility for all information
provided to or discussed with KPMG.

Except when otherwise stated, in footnotes or specific references, all data,


historic or market information, estimates, projections and assumptions,
included, considered, used or presented in this report were provided by the
Client to KPMG.

The information herein presented, related to the Companies financial and


accounting conditions, and related to the Companies respective markets, is
based on the available data as at December 31, 2014. Any changes in the
information provided by the Information Providers may impact the results of
this report. KPMG assumes no responsibility for updating, reviewing or
amending this report, as a result of the disclosure of any information
subsequent to December 31, 2014, or any other subsequent event

The shareholder structure and participation percentages of related/controlled


companies presented in this report have been provided to KPMG by the
Information Providers, and have not been subject to KPMGs independent
verification.

EON proposal dispatch 2015.03.18.xlsx capex and opex projection, related to


upstream business;
Overview of E&P assumptions 2015.03.13.pdf summary of E.ONs view on PGN
production modeling;
EON proposal dispatch 2015.03.18.xlsx Other pertinent information;
1. Untitled_23032015_112117.pdf Apresentao ANEEL, PGNs business
presentation;
FS_Eneva_2014_eng.pdf, Enevas Historical financial statement data of
31/12/2014, which is unaudited;
Final Report Pecm II_extract for KPMG.pdf, MPX_FS YE 2012_page 81.pdf, to
support the PPA renewal assumption for UTE Parnaba III and IV; and
PGN profile EON vs BTG 20150318.pptx analysis comparing main assumptions
between EON and BTG regarding the information related to the Gas Reserves under
the Parnaba Basin, Capex projection, Opex projection for PGN and BPMB

KPMG has not verified independently the information provided by the Client,
so, it cannot confirm the precision, accuracy and sufficiency of such
information and, therefore, the Client assumes all responsibility for the
information provided to KPMG.

The services rendered by KPMG were based on the following information


provided by E.ON:

Any changes in the information provided by the Client and E.ON to KPMG may
impact the results of this report. KPMG assumes no responsibility for updating,
reviewing or amending this report, as a result of the disclosure of any
information subsequent to the date of the issuance of this report.

During the course of our work, we carried out analysis procedures whenever
necessary. However, we emphasize that our work did not constitute an audit of
the financial statements or of any other information provided by the Client or
E.ON and should not be interpreted as such. Our work took into consideration
the relevance of each item, therefore, less relevant assets and liabilities were
not analyzed in detail.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Important Notes

We emphasize that the determination of the economic value of possible


contingencies, and other adjustments to the financial statements (if
applicable) were not part of the scope of this report. Thus, with respect to
such items, our work was based on information and analysis made available
by the Client and/or their auditors, lawyers and/or other advisors.
This report has been elaborated according to the economic and market
conditions, among others, available as at the elaboration time period. The
conclusions herein presented, therefore, are subject to exogenous variations
of which KPMG does not have any control.

The sum of the individual values herein presented may diverge from the
sums presented in this report, due to rounding issues.

Although the work on which this report is based was performed


independently by KPMG under technical supervision, the analyses of the
different factors that characterize the valuation report is subjective in nature.
Therefore, when performed by other professionals, such analyses may
express points of view different from those presented by KPMG.

Our valuation was made on the basis of events which can be reasonably
expected, and therefore does not take into account extraordinary and
unforeseeable events (new industry regulations, changes in tax laws, natural
catastrophes, major social and political events, nationalization etc.), which
may cause adverse effects on the Companies.

This report is not to be used as a sole basis for the evaluation of the
Companies, for the report does not contain all necessary information for such
use. Therefore, this report is not to be interpreted as a proposal, solicitation,
suggestion, nor recommendation by KPMG for the Transaction. Any decision
taken by the Companies shareholders shall be assumed integrally by the
same shareholders. KPMG will not take any responsibility as to the
Companies shareholders decisions.
We emphasize that a valuation establishes a theoretical estimate within an
interaction involving a buyer and a seller, where both are intended to close a
deal, with the necessary access to all relevant information, and assuming that
neither parties have the immediate necessity to buy or sell. An effective
negotiation does not necessarily reflect such conditions, and may include

other elements; consequently, the estimated value need not be used in the
effective transaction.

This report does not envisage the satisfaction of any personal nor specific
interests. Thus, results from other evaluations, elaborated by third parties, may
diverge from our results. Notwithstanding, such divergence should not be
regarded as an inherent deficiency of the realized work.

The Companies shareholders have to perform their own analyses regarding


the Transaction, through the consultation of their own financial, tax and legal
advisors, in order to define their own opinion as to the Transaction. This report
is to be read and interpreted with full consciousness of our already mentioned
restrictions. In addition, the reader must be aware of the restrictions and
characteristics of inherent to the Information Providers.

This report is to be solely used within the Transaction context, as herein


described. We cannot guarantee that this report may be used in other contexts.
Furthermore, we emphasize that KPMG will not perform additional services,
and will not adapt this report for other objectives.

The scope of our engagement did not include the detection of fraud in the
Companies operations, processes, records or documents.

Valuations, in general, present significant degrees of subjectivity. Thus, there


are no guarantees that any assumptions, estimates, projections, results, or the
preliminary results presented in the work document will be effectively noted
and/or verified, in their entirety, or partially. Hence, KPMG is not responsible,
and cannot be held responsible for any differences between the valuation
results, and the results noted a posteriori.

The services performed herein may have been based on legal and
administrative rules. In this regard, we note that our legislation is complex and
often the same provision can be interpreted in multiple ways. KPMG always
seeks to be up-to-date on the various interpretative tendencies, in order to
permit a broad assessment of the alternatives and risks involved. Even so,
there may be some interpretations of the law that differ from ours. Under these
circumstances, neither KPMG, nor any other firm, can provide total assurance
that the Company will not be questioned by third parties or government
authorities.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Contents
ACL

Energy Free Market

ACR

Energy Regulated Market

ANEEL

Brazilian Electricity Regulator

ANP

Brazilian Petroleum National Agency

BACEN or BCB

Central Bank of Brazil

BCM

Billion Cubic Meters

BMI

Business Monitor International

BM&F

Commodities and Futures Stock Exchange

BOVESPA

Brazilian Stock Exchange

CAGR

Compounded Annual Growth Rate

CAPM

Capital Asset Pricing Model

CCEAL

Energy Trading Contracts in the Free Market

CCEAR

Energy Sales in the regulated market

CCEE

Energy Commercialization Chamber of Commerce

COFINS

Contribution for Social Security Financing (Federal Tax Over Revenues)

CoGS

Cost of Goods Sold

CRP

Country Risk Premium

CVM

Securities and Exchange Commission

CVU

Unitary Variable Cost

D&A

Depreciation and Amortization

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow

EBIT

Earning Before Interest and Tax

EBITDA

Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization

EBT

Earning Before Tax

EIA

Energy Information Administration

EIU

Economist Intelligence Unit

EMBI

Emerging Market Bond Index

EPE

Brazilian Energy Research Entity

ERP

Equity Risk Premium

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Contents
E&P

Exploration & Production

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

GVB

Gavio Branco Gasfield

GVR

Gavio Real Gasfield

GW

Giga Watt

IBGE

Brazilian institute of Geography and Statistics

IFRS

International Financial Reporting Standards

INEA

Enviroment State Institute

IPCA

Brazilian Consumer Price Index

IRPJ

Brazilian Corporate Income Tax

ITS

Quarterly Financial Statement

JRP

Judicial Recovery Plan

KPMG

KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda.

LNG

Liquified Natural Gas

MBA

Masters in Business Administration

MMBtu

One Million British Thermal Unit

MW

Mega Watt

MWh

Mega Watt Hour

M&A

Mergers & Aquisitions

NOPAT

Net Operating Profit After Tax

NPV

Net Present Value

ONS

Brazilian Interconnected Grid Operator

Opex

Operational Expenses

O&M

Operation & Maintenance

PE

Private Equity

PIS

Brazilian Social Integration Program

PLD

Energy Spot Price

PPA

Power Purchase Agreement

PPP

Public-Private Partnership

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Contents
RGR

Eletrobras R&D Fund

R$

Brazilian Real

R&D

Research and Development

RF

Risk Free

SE

Shareholders Equity

SELIC

Brazilian Interest Rate

SG&A

Sales, General and Administrative Expenses

SPE

Special Purpose Vehicle

SUDENE

Superintendency for the Development of the Brazilian Northeastern Region

TPP or UTE

Thermal Power Plant

TCF

Trillion Cubic Feet

WACC

Weighted Average Cost of Capital

WC

Working Capital

BNDESPAR

Brazilian National Bank of Social and Economic Development Investment Vehicle

BPMB

BPMB Parnaba S.A.

BTG

Banco BTG Pactual S.A.

Cambuhy

Cambuhy Investimentos

Eneva JR

Eneva S.A. in Judicial Recovery

Eneva Participaes JR

Eneva Participaes S.A. - in Judicial Recovery

E.ON

E.ON S.E.

PGN

Parnaba Gs Natural S.A.

OGX

An Oil & Gas Company from the EBX Group

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

I. Executive Summary
Introduction

Eneva JR is a publicly-listed company and Eneva Participaes JR is a


joint venture owned by Eneva JR (50%) and E.ON (50%).

On February 12th, 2015, Eneva and Eneva Participaes filed a Plan for
Judicial Recovery (JRP), in accordance with Article 53 of the Brazilian
Judicial Recovery Law. Within this context, Eneva JR seeks to initiate a
capital increase transaction. Such transaction envisages a change in
Eneva JRs shareholder structure, and, should the JRP obtain full approval
for execution, such mutations in shareholder structure are planned to be
made through the following contributions: (i) cash; (ii) credits capitalization;
(iii) and assets subscription.

Given the above mentioned context and background, the objective of our
work, in accordance with the Clients request was to perform a valuation of
PGN and Eneva Participaes, in order to underpin the possible asset
subscription.

Basis of information

The main basis of information used from Eneva RJ is listed below:

BAL ENEVA PARTIC_DEZ_2014.xls, Bdados_dez 2014.xlsx, MPX EON


Consolidado MPX Dez-14 (EQ).xlsx, unaudited financial data related to Eneva
Participaes JR and its subsidiaries as of 31/12/2014, based on cost approach;
20.1.7 ENEVAValuationComplete_v306_KPMG.xlsx, related to downstream
business and Eneva Participaes JRs valuation;
Availability MTP v5_completo.xlsx, Despacho_v6.xlsx, related to the
estimated dispatch projections of the thermal power plants involved in the
downstream business;

The main basis of information used from E.ON is listed below:

Within such context, E.ON, as main shareholder of Eneva JR and Eneva


Participaes JR, is interested in subscribing assets in the intended
transaction (item iii of the capital increase in the JRP). In effect, E.ON is
willing to contribute with its 50% stake in Eneva Participaes
(downstream) and a 9.09% stake PGN (upstream).

Fixed O&M breakdown.xlsx, related to the fixed O&M costs of UTE


Parnaba III e IV;
Hour dispatching Overhaul.xlsx, related to the overhauling costs of
UTE Parnaba III and IV;
APLICE DE RISCOS OPERACIONAIS.msg, related to the insurance
costs of UTE Parnaba III and IV;
mutuos_Dez14.pdf, related to the intercompany loans within Eneva
Participaes JR; and
WK breakdown.xlsx, related to the working capital breakdown for UTE
Parnaba III and IV.

EON proposal dispatch 2015.03.18.xlsx capex and opex projection,


related to upstream business;
Overview of E&P assumptions 2015.03.13.pdf summary of E.ONs view
on PGN production modeling;
EON proposal dispatch 2015.03.18.xlsx Other pertinent information;
1. Untitled_23032015_112117.pdf Apresentao ANEEL, PGNs
business presentation;
FS_Eneva_2014_eng.pdf, Enevas Historical financial statement data of
31/12/2014, which is unaudited;
Final Report Pecm II_extract for KPMG.pdf, MPX_FS YE 2012_page
81.pdf, to support the PPA renewal assumption for UTE Parnaba III and
IV; and
PGN profile EON vs BTG 20150318.pptx analysis comparing main
assumptions between EON and BTG regarding the information related to
the Gas Reserves under the Parnaba Basin, Capex projection, Opex
projection for PGN and BPMB.

The valuation was based substantially on information and


assumptions provided by the Clients Management and E.ON, which
were discussed with and analyzed by KPMG.

It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is


a free translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of
discrepancies between the report in Portuguese sent on April 13,
2015 and the free translation report, the former shall prevail in all
matters.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

10

I. Executive Summary (cont.)


Subsequent events

Our work was based on the equity position and information obtained
prior to the date of issuance of this report.

We emphasize that any relevant facts that may have occurred


between December, 2014 and the date of issuance of this report, and
that were not brought to KPMGs knowledge could affect the analysis
of the Company.

It is important to point out that KPMG will not update this report after
the date of issuance.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

11

I. Executive Summary

Summary of Results

Based on the scope of our report, and subject to the assumptions, restrictions, and limitations described herein, we have estimated the fair value of Eneva
Participaes JR and PGN as at December 31, 2014, as presented below.
Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery
Equity Value
per share
(R$)

1.13

Equity Value
100%
(R$ MM)

302.15

E.ONs stake
(50.0%)
(R$MM)

151.07
-

PGN

1.25

Equity Value
per share
(R$)

1.46

317.26

332.36

Equity Value
100%
(R$ MM)

984.96

158.63

166.18
+

E.ONs stake
(9.09%)
(R$MM)

1.19

89.53
-

1.53

1.60

1,034.08

1,083.20

94.00

98.46
+

* Range considered in accordance with CVM


instruction n 436.

Eneva Participaes in Judicial Recovery valuation, as at December


31, 2014, ranges from R$ 302.1 million to R$ 332.4 million. The valuation
of E.ONs stake in Eneva Participaes in JR (50,0%) ranges from R$
151.1 million to R$ 166.2 million.
The valuation methodology applied for the operational subsidiaries was
the discounted cash flow approach (presented on pages 51 to 57). As
for the non-operational and pre-operational subsidiaries, the applied
methodology has been the cost approach, which considers the book value
of shareholders equity (presented on page 71).

PGNs valuation, as at December 31, 2014, ranges from R$ 985.0 million


to R$ 1,083.2 million. The valuation of E.ONs stake in PGN (9,09%)
ranges from R$ 89.5 million to R$ 98.5 million.
The valuation methodology applied, in order to determined the value of
PGN, was the discounted cash flow method (presented on pages 58 to
60) .

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

12

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

13

II. Information about the appraiser


The KPMG Network

Internal process of approval of the report

KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is part of a global network of independent

The economic and financial valuation of the Companies was performed by

firms that provide Audit, Tax and Advisory services. KPMG International
provides no services. However, its member firms perform Audit, Tax and
Advisory practices (through the Audit departments, Tax and Advisory,
respectively). Together, KPMG International's member firms have more than
155 thousand employees across the world, and is present in 155 countries.

a team of qualified consultants, monitored and reviewed by the


engagement partner. In addition, the team was also composed of a partnerreviewer, a senior manager and a manager.

KPMG brand was created in 1987 from the merge of Peat Marwick

International (PMI) and Klynveld Main Goerdeler (KMG).


KPMG

Internationals member firms in Brazil, through its various


autonomous offices, account for 156 partners and more than 3,282
employees in 22 cities: So Paulo (headquarters), Belo Horizonte, Belm,
Braslia , Campinas, Curitiba, Cuiab, Florianpolis, Fortaleza, Goinia,
Joinville, Londrina, Manaus, Osasco, Porto Alegre, Recife, Ribeiro Preto,
Rio de Janeiro, Salvador, So Carlos, So Jos dos Campos and
Uberlndia.

The approval of the report occurred only after it was reviewed by the

engagement partner and the partner-reviewer.


Identification and qualification of the involved professionals
Augusto Sales, Paulo Guilherme Coimbra (project leader), Cludio Ramos,

Rben Palminha and Fabiano Delgado coordinated and participated in the


development of the assessment presented in this report. For more
information, please refer to Appendix I.
Appraiser declarations
KPMG Corporate Finance declares, in March 15th, 2015, that:

It does not entitle any shares of PGN, Eneva JR or Eneva


Participaes JR, nor do its partners, directors, officers, directors,
controllers or persons related to them;

KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda., a Brazilian company incorporated in the

1990s, leads and manages negotiations within corporate transactions,


including mergers and acquisitions, dispositions, structured finance, project
finance, debt advisory, privatization and economic and financial appraisals
services.

There are no commercial and credit relations that could impact the
Report;

There is no conflict of interest that impairs the necessary


independence required for the performance of this work..

The Corporate Finance segment of KPMG International member firms sum

up to approximately 2,100 professionals, in more than 100 offices across 82


countries.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

14

II. Information about the appraiser (cont.)


Presented below are some of KPMGs experiences in the energy & natural resources:sector:

Petra Energia and


Parnaba Gs Natural

Enel

State Grid

Mitsui & Co

TAESA (Cemig Group)

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

Sell-side financial advisor in


Vicels sale to Soenergy

Acted as financial advisor for


LNG tariff review

Valuation advisory related to the


acquisition of several wind power
projects from Sowitec

Valuation related to the


acquisition of 5 electricity
transmission companies

Valuation related to a 20% stake


acquisition of Jirau HPP (3,750
MW)

Valuation related to the


acquisition of Unisa

2014

2014
2014

2014

2014

Dresser Rend

Equatorial Energia

TAESA (Cemig Group)

Iberdrola

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

Valuation related to the


acquisition of CELPA
(distribution)

Valuation related to the


acquisition of TBE Group
(transmission)

2013

2013

Vicel

KPMG Structured Finance


S.A.

2014

2014

SN Power

Brasympe

KPMG Corporate Finance

KPMG Corporate Finance

Valuation related to the


acquisition of Desenvix

2013

Valuation of Brasympe for


company restructuring purposes

2013

KPMG Corporate Finance


Valuation related to the
acquisition of Grupo Guascor

KPMG Structured Finance


S.A.

2013

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Valuation related to the


acquisition of Elektro

2013

15

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

16

III. Information about the companies

Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery


A Brief History of Eneva JR and Eneva Participaes JR
Eneva and OGX start the
drilling of 1-0GX-16MA
well, located in the PN-T68 bloc in the Parnaba
Basin, State of Maranho,
and identify hydrocarbons.

Eneva enters the Market


with the energy sale from
UTE Itaqui and Energia
Pecm on the A-5 auction
promoted by ANEEL, with
supply contract for 15
years.

2007

2008
Lauching of the fundamental
stone marks the inicial phase
of construction and mounting
of one of the leading projects
of Eneva's portfolio.

2010

Announcement of increased shareholding


agreement between E.ON and Eneva. From
that moment, E.ON holds 37.9% of the
company's capital, and Eike Batista 23.9%.
Parnaba I reaches total installed capacity in
commercial operation, with 676 MW.

2012

2013

Eneva and E.ON form strategic


partnership to invest in the energy
markets of Brazil and Chile.

2014

2015

The Parnaba Natural Gas capital increase is


completed. The control shall be exercised by
Cambuhy, Eneva and E.ON. Eneva announces
capital increase of up to R$ 1.5 billion and debt
restructuring in their holding.

Operational Information
Eneva JR has a portfolio of gas fueled power plants, and has an array of

possible greenfield coal and wind power projects.


Eneva JR has long term PPAs, which are indexed by inflation rates.
Integrated assets of gas exploration and production meet the demands of

the plants owned by Eneva JR.

Eneva initiates its judicial recovery process on December 9th, 2014. The judicial recovery
process is a consequence, among other factors, of (i) not renewing the agreement to
suspend the amortization and payment of interest of financial transactions contracted by
Eneva and certain subsidiaries with its financial creditors, expired on November 21st, 2014;
and (ii) not having reached an agreement with the financial institutions involved in the
implementation of Enevas stabilization plan aimed at strengthening the capital structure
and measures for the re-profiling of Enevas financial debt.

Eneva and Eneva Participaes, on February 12th,


2015, filed a Plan for Judicial Recovery (JRP), in
accordance with Article 53 of the Brazilian Judicial
Recovery Law. Within this context, Eneva seeks to
initiate a capital increase (among other things) after
the complete judicial approval.

Incom e statem ent -*Eneva Participaes JR *


R$ MM
Net revenues
Cost of goods sold
Gross profit
SG&A
EBIT
Financial expenses
EBT
Deferred tax
Lucro
lquido/prejuzo
Net incom
e/losses
* non-audited

31/12/2014
499.14
(553.21)
(54.07)
(10.31)
(64.38)
(19.28)
(83.66)
21.24
(62.42)
(146.07)

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

17

III. Information about the companies (cont.)


Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery

ENEVA
PARTICIPAES
S.A.

50%

50%

4
Seival
Participaes
S.A.

6
Au II Gerao
de Energia S.A.

7
UTE Porto
do Au
Energia S.A.

50%

50%

50%

8
MPX Chile
Holding
Ltda.

9
Parnaba
Participaes
S.A.

100%

100%

50%

10
Sul Gerao de
Energia Ltda..

11

ENEVA
Comerc. de
Combustveis
Ltda.

100%

12
ENEVA Solar
Empreendimentos Ltda.

13
Au III Gerao
de Energia
Ltda.

100%
Seival
Gerao de
Energia
Ltda.

70%

70%

70%

Parnaba III
Gerao de
Energia S.A.

Parnaba IV
Gerao de
Energia S.A.

Parnaba
Gerao e
Comerc. de
Energia S.A.

100%

14

Tau Gerao
De Energia
Ltda.

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

100%

100%

15
ENEVA
Comerc. de
Energia Ltda..

16
SPEs Ventos*

* Central Elica Algaroba Ltda.


Central Elica Asa Branca Ltda.
Central Elica Boa Vista I Ltda.
Central Elica Boa Vista II Ltda.
Central Elica Boa Vista III Ltda.
Central Elica Bonsucesso Ltda.
Central Elica Bonsucesso II Ltda.
Central Elica Milagres Ltda.
Central Elica Morada Nova Ltda.
Central Elica Ouro Negro Ltda.
Central Elica Pau Branco Ltda.
Central Elica Pau DArco
Central Elica Pedra Branca Ltda.
Central Elica Pedra Rosada Ltda.
Central Elica Pedra Vermelha I Ltda.
Central Elica Pedra Vermelha II Ltda.
Central Elica Santa Benvinda I Ltda.
Central Elica Santa Benvinda II Ltda.
Central Elica Santa Luzia Ltda.
Central Elica Santo Expedito Ltda.
Central Elica So Francisco Ltda.
Central Elica Ubaeira I Ltda.
Central Elica Ubaeira II Ltda.

18

III. Information about the companies (cont.)


Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery

Parnaba Participaes S.A.


Parnaba III & IV 1

Parnaba Gerao e Comercializadora de Energia 3

Originally denominated as UTE MC2 Nova Vencia, UTE Parnaba III


was owned by the Bertin Group. The project took off after the 2008 A-5
energy auction, with a 15 year concession agreement due in 2027, and
was supposed to be constructed in the Esprito Santo state, Brazil.
In 2011, ANEEL authorized the transfer of ownership and contractual
modifications including location change - that led to the creation of UTE
Parnaba III.

Parnaba Gerao e Comercializadora de Energia is an energy


trading company, whose provider of electricity is Parnaba IV. In
effect, the CCEAL agreement between the TPP and the trading
company stipulates that the latter agrees to acquire 5% of the
formers gross energy.

Parnaba
Comercializadora

Kinross Mining

Parnaba IV obtained an authorization in 2013 to operate and sell its


energy within the ACL, and its concession agreement is due in 2028.

95%

5%

Overview of Parnaba III & Parnaba IV


Operational highlights

Parnaba III

Parnaba IV

Concession agreement

CCEAR N
7179/08

N/A ( 1)

176

56

101.8

52

98

49

Full installed capacity (MW)


Physical guarantee (MW)
Net physical guarantee (MW)

2028 (1)
(1) - Parnaba IV is a "Free Market" power plant, which operates under an
authorization agreement. It obtained a license/authorization to operate and sell
energy in bilateral agreements.

Concession/authorization expiry

2027

CCEAL
Agreements
100%

Parnaba IVs

generated energy
Parnaba Comercializadora is a break-even company, therefore does
not generate material profits nor losses.

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

19

III. Information about the companies (cont.)


Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery

Overview of the non-operational and pre-operational companies


It is worth noting that even though some of the below mentioned companies have ambitious projects, their book value is, for the time being, not material.
Company

Description

Equity Value at
100% (R$ MM)

Company

Holding company, which detains the control of Seival


Participaes Gerao Ltda.

5
Seival Gerao de Energia Ltda.

6
Au II Gerao de Energia S.A.

7
UTE Porto do Au Energia S.A.

8
MPX Chile Holding Ltda.

10
Sul Gerao de Energia Ltda.

ENEVA Comercializadora de
Combustveis Ltda.

ENEVA Solar Empreendimentos


Ltda.

Equity Value at
100% (R$ MM)

13

4
Seival Participaes S.A.

Description

39.49

Special Purpose Vehicle that was incorporated in order


to detain information and technology softwares.

Au III Gerao de Energia S.A.

2.52

14

Located in Candiota, Rio Grande do Sul, the company


envisages a possible development of a coal-fueled
thermal power plant (600MW installed capacity). The
project, for the time being does not have any PPA, nor
concession agreement or source of financing.

Tau Gerao de Energia Ltda.

Located in the northeastern region of the Rio de


Janeiro state, the company was set up in order to
install a gas fueled power plant in the Au Complex.
However, the project is currently in standby.

4.67

ENEVA Comercializadora de
Energia S.A.

Located in the northeastern region of the Rio de


Janeiro state, the company was set up in order to
install a coal fueled power plant in the Au Complex.
However, the project is currently in standby.

44.00

SPE Ventos

Holding company which controlled the Companies


business in Chile that were sold in December, 2014.

0.22

Located in Candiota, Rio Grande do Sul, the company


envisages a possible development of a coal-fueled
thermal power plant (727MW installed capacity). The
project does not presently have any PPA, nor
concession agreement.

13.15

It is a non-operational fuel trading company.

(0.04)

Is a holding company, which detains control of Tau


Gerao de Energia Ltda.

8.42

Located in Tau, Cear, the company operates a


1MW solar powerplant.

It is an electricity trading company, located in Rio de


Janeiro. Its level of activity is not relevant.

19.54

15

16 Agglutinates 23 special purpose vehicles, which detain


preliminar licenses for the development of wind power
plants. None of them, however, have PPAs, nor
concession agreements.

1.47

11

12

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

20

III. Information about the companies (cont.)

PGN

Consortiums information
The upstream consortium in the Parnaba Basin (Consortium) currently

operates 3 gas fields and 7 exploration blocks with a total approximate area
of 21 thousand square kilometers in the Maranho State.
Below is presented a simplified diagram of the Consortiums current

operation.

PGN owns a 70% stake in the Consortium that holds the concessions of 7
blocks in the Parnaba Basin (21,000 km).
Current production from GVR field: c. 5.6 million m3/day.
The Consortium estimates reserves of more than 1 TCF (around 32.3

BCM only considering 7 fields nearby GVR and GVB infrastructure


hub). When considering a longer projection period, the recuperable gas
may reach over 70 BCM, though currently, no certified third party study
has been developed.
The company plans to commercially launch 4 fields during 2015. Third

party geological studies were hired and results are expected for the 2nd
half of 2015.
The blocks operated by Parnaba Gs Natural (former OGX Maranho)

were acquired by the PE fund Cambuhy Investimentos and E.ON.

E.ON

Eneva JR

Cambuhy
Investimentos

BTG Patcual

18%
9%

73%

BPMB

PGN
Integrated project concept Gas to wire

Long term contracts with thermal plants (UTEs) controlled by Eneva JR


and Eneva Participaes JR;

TPPs have long term PPA contracts (15-20 years);

Close to 1GW total capacity already in operation;

UTE I (675MW), UTE III (178 MW) and UTE IV (56MW) are already in
operation. UTE II (517 MW) will be concluded in 2018; however, the PPA
will start only in 2016 because of the waiver granted by ANEEL.

Source: E.ON

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

100%

70%

30%
Consortium

21

III. Information about the companies (cont.)

PGN
In 2015, the company will conduct an onshore drilling campaign in Brazil.

Discovered wells and new production wells will be drilled, which could allow
PGN to increase production capacity by 70%, by July, 2016, to 8.4 million
cubic meters per day.

Incom e Statem ent


R$ MM
Sales net revenue
Costs
Gross profit
Operational expenses
Exploration expenses
SG&A
Other operational revenues/expenses
Operational expenses
EBIT
Financial results
Financial revenues
Financial expenses
Exchange rate net variation
Financial result
EBT
Income tax and social contribution
Deferred taxes
Net profit

31/12/2013
323.71
(118.84)
204.88

31/12/2014
581.98
(274.49)
307.49

(76.06)
(25.57)
(0.56)
(102.19)
102.69

(43.77)
(30.88)
(8.35)
(83.01)
224.48

24.83
(73.11)
(33.65)
(81.93)
20.76
(7.65)
(0.48)
12.64

55.73
(92.15)
(9.99)
(46.41)
178.07
(23.97)
(32.36)
121.74

Source: PGNs annual report 2014


2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

22

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

23

IV. Information about the Market

Brazilian Macroeconomic trends

Macroeconomic trends

Exchange Rate (USD/BRL) annual variation (%)

GDP expanded meagerly in 2014 and more recent data suggest that

prospects have worsened.


In 2014, consumers suffered with the government's failed attempt to curb

inflation and foster GDP growth. In March 2013 annual interest rate was
7.25%, the lowest in Brazil's history. From then on, there have been nine
consecutive hikes, and annual interest rate has reached 12.75%.

2,71

2,76

2,79

2,86

2,96

3,06

2,36
1,76

According to the Brazilian Central Bank, the forecasted GDP variation for

1,94

2,14

1,67

2015 and 2016 are 0.5% and 1.8% respectively.

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Projected

Source: BCB (31/12/2014)

IPCA annual variation(%)


6,56

6,50
5,91

Henry Hub (USD$/MMBtu)

6,38

4,21
5,84 5,80

4,13

3,66

5,70

4,50

4,70

4,79

2018

2019

2020

3,10

5,50 5,50 5,50 5,50

2,50

2,50

2,50

2,55

2010

2011

2012

2013

Projected

Projected

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BCB (31/12/2014)

Source: Bloomberg (31/12/2014)

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

2014

2015

2016

2017

24

IV. Information about the Market

Brazilian Energy sector overview: Electricity

Main agents within the electricity sector

Sources of energy
77% of the electricity in Brazil comes from hydraulic plants, which are

responsible for 76.9% of energy installed capacity. Behind hydro plants,


thermal energy is responsible for 12.8% of the installed capacity.
Given the importance of hydraulic resources to the Brazilian electricity

sector, the level of reservoirs are of great relevance to the optimization of


energy generation, as they represent a form of energy storage.
The illustration below depicts the sources of Brazilian electricity

responsible for energy distribution services to


distributor consumers, with determined tariffs fixed by ANEEL. Such
agents are strictly regulated, and all energy distribution conditions
and requirements are under high scrutiny by regulators.

Traders: these agents are allowed to acquire energy through

bilateral contracts in the ACL environment, which will then be sold to


free consumers, or to distribution companies in tendering process.
Consumers:

Others
Nuclear6%
2%
Biomass
7%
Natural gas
8%

Distributors:

Electricity
generation
matrix
Hydraulic
77%

a)

Free: consumers that fit the necessary legislative requirements


and that have the right to choose the energy producer through
free bilateral negotiations. (i.e. an industrial player with energy
demand above 3 MWh).

b)

Distributor consumers: consumers who are not allowed to


choose their energy source and are strictly obligated to acquire
energy from their local energy distribution company (i.e.
residential consumers).

c)

Energy importers: agents who possess specific permissions


to import energy from a foreign country, in order to supply
electricity within the domestic market.

d)

Energy exporters: agents who possess specific permission to


export electricity to neighboring countries.

Source: EPE

Main agents within the electricity sector


Producers: responsible for the energy generation that is negotiated in the

ACR, ACL market or spot market.


Transmission: responsible for the operation of transmission grids, which are

available for all producers, as long as the grids are interconnected and as
long as the producers pay transmission fees.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

25

IV. Information about the Market

Brazilian Energy sector overview: Oil and Gas

Production

Reserves

In the next years, oil production in Brazil was expected to grow, thanks to

Brazilian proven oil reserves, as reported by EIA, are 13.15 billion

the massive deposit of offshore oil, underneath a thick layer of salt,


discovered in 2007. Petrobras, a Brazilian major oil company, projected
that oil output may hit 5 million barrels per day by 2020. However,
according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), this production
projection is not precise due to an array of factors, such as significant
engineering and financing challenges for example, such as the recent
reduction of the brent oil price in late 2014 that can reduce the estimate
to 4 million barrels per day by 2020 at best (or less, depending on
Petrobrasbusiness plan).

barrels, while gas reserves are estimated at 396 billion cubic


meters. Additionally, due to new discoveries, oil reserves are
projected to reach 19.2 billion barrels and gas reserves to reach 461
billion cubic meters by 2023.
Proven Oil Reserves

Million barrels per day

4.5
4,5
4.0
4,0
3.5
3,5
3.0
3,0
2.5
2,5
2.0
2,0
1.5
1,5
1.0
1,0
0.5
0,5
0.0
0,0
2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

4
3
2

years, reaching 35.9 billion cubic meters by 2023. Production is expected


to come mainly from the offshore Campos and Santos basins.
Dry Natural Gas Production
15
12
9
6
3
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected

Natural Gas Proven Reserves

Gas production, similarly, is expected to grow vigorously in the next

Million cubic meters


per day

0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected

2012

Source: EIA, BMI

Projected

Million cubic meters per day

MM Barrels per day

Crude oil and Other liquids production

180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Projected

26

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

27

V. Valuation Methodology

DCF
Discounted Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow to Firm

This methodology estimates the economic value (or the market value) of a
company by calculating the present value of projected cash flows, i.e. the
income and expenses (including investments needed for maintaining and
expanding the companys activities) that are predictable from the perspective
of perpetuity of the entity. These projections should take into consideration
the business plan established by the companys management, the prospects
of the sector in which the company operates and macroeconomic aspects.

The Discounted Cash Flow Methodology can be used to value any type of
company provided it has a business plan that is consistent and feasible. This
methodology is recommended for companies that have reasonable prospects
for significant expansion of their activities and whose business plan may be
considered appropriate for achieving this growth, since the methodology is
based on future cash flows.

This methodology reflects the value of the intangible assets, such as brand
name, client portfolio, product portfolio, among others, as all these assets
have an effect on the companys capacity to generate results.

This is the commonly used methodology in estimating the market value of


companies that are considered going concerns, except when the resulting
value is less than the liquidating value of the company (adjusted net worth).

The Free Cash Flow to the Firm aims to evaluate the company as a
whole, that includes, beyond the stockholding, the participation of others
holders of rights in the company (holders of bonds, shareholders, etc).
The Free Cash Flow to the Firm can be represented by the following
formula:

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Free Cash Flow to the Firm


=
Net Profit
+
Depreciation and Amortization
+/Working Capital
Investments (Capex)

28

V. Valuation Methodology

DCF and Book value


Discounted Cash Flows Method (DCF)

Historical Balance Sheet

Historical
Income Statement

Assumptions

Projections by Business Units

Book value approach


The cost approach estimates the value of an asset based on its current
cost. This approach reflects the idea that the fair value of an asset should
not exceed the cost to obtain a replacement with comparable features and
functionality. Within this context, book values, with the applicable
adjustments, are a consistent manner to estimate the current cost of
replacement of an asset.

Current Balance Sheet

Projected Balance Sheet

Projected Income Statement


Shareholders equity

Projected Capex, R&D, Working


Capital

Adjustments

Free Cash Flow To Firm


Book value
Discount Rate
Discounted Free Cash Flow

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

29

V. Valuation Methodology

Discount rate

Establishing the discount rate is a fundamental stage of the economic valuation. This single factor reflects aspects of a subjective nature, varying from one
investor to another, such as opportunity cost and individual perception of investment risk.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)

The cost of capital for the Companies was calculated using the WACC
methodology. WACC takes into consideration various financing components,
including debt, cost of equity and hybrid bonds used by companies to finance
its cash needs. It is calculated according to the following formula:

CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)

The cost of equity for the Companies was calculated using the CAPM
methodology. Using the CAPM methodology, the cost of equity is
calculated according to the following formula:
Rf (1+Ia) x (1+Ibr)
+

D/(D+E)

* (E[Rm] - Rf)

Kd * (1-t)

CRP

E/(D+E)

Rs
+

D
E
t
Kd
Ke

=
=
=
=
=

Ke

=
E/(D+E)*Ke+(D/(D+E)*Kd = WACC
Weighted Average Cost of Capital

Total debt
Total equity
Tax rate
Cost of debt
Cost of equity

[(1+Rf)/(1+Ia)*(1+Ibr)-1] +(*Rm)+CRP+Rs+ = Ke
Cost of Equity
Rf

E[Rm]
E[Rm] - Rf
CRP
Rs

Ia
Ibr

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=

Average risk-free return


Beta - specific risk coefficient
Average long-term return obtained on the stock market
Market premium
Country risk
Size premium
Alpha factor
Long-term inflation in the United States
Long-term inflation in Brazil

30

V. Valuation Methodology

Discount rate (cont.)


Risk free rate

The risk-free rate is derived with reference to the 2 year average bond yield
on the United States 30 year treasury bond (T-Bond) rate between January
1st, 2013 and December 31st, 2014 or approximately 3.4%. (Source:
Bloomberg, historical data)

Country risk premium (CRP)

The build up of the cost of equity to this point has been based on
the United States equity and bond markets. As such a CRP is
considered a necessary component in the cost of equity to
incorporate additional risk associated with investing in the country,
which is typically not reflected in the cash flows.

We have assumed a CRP of 2.18% for Brazil in our calculation, this


is based on the historical 2 year average (between January 1st,
2013 and December 31st, 2014) of the EMBI+. (Source: JP
Morgan).

Equity risk premium (ERP)

To estimate the long term stock market risk premium (E[Rm] Rf), we relied
upon the average return above the Treasury Bond rate provided by investing
in the U.S. stock market, which was 4.6% (source: Aswath Damodaran
website).

Beta

Beta is a statistical measure of how closely the value of a stock correlates


with the overall stock market. Beta is a measure of non diversifiable risk and
is reflective of the variability of a particular share relative to the market. The
average beta of a company is therefore calculated as the average correlation
of the daily return of the share relative to the market.
To calculate a meaningful beta for an unlisted entity, the beta of a listed
company with comparable business and operational risk is unlevered to
remove the effects of the capital structure (i.e. remove the financial risk). The
unlevered Beta is then relevered using the capital structure of the company or
asset being valued to reintroduce the effects of their own financial risk.

To calculate the industry average Beta we have considered for the


downstream, an unlevered Beta of 0.57 and for the upstream, an
unlevered beta of 0.98. To calculate the average Betas of the
sectors we considered the comparable companies.

Size premium

The size premium (Rs) represents the additional return required


by investors to incur a higher level of risk to be investing in
companies with different levels of size.

To account for PGN and Enevas size, we have added 1.98% to the
cost of equity, this is the risk associated with Low Capitalization
companies, through studies done by Duff & Phelps (2014).

Alpha factor

The alpha factor () represents the additional risk associated with


a more uncertain cash flows (only applied to Parnaba III and
Parnaba IV, as referred on page 73).

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

31

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

32

Assumptions
Introduction

Overview of Parnaba Complex

Overview of the Parnaba Complex

The Parnaba Complex is an energy park that, given the proximity between
the gas fields (upstream) and TPPs (downstream), is founded on an
integrated model.

Downstream

MA

The Parnaba Thermal Electric Complex is formed by four TPPs (Parnaba I,


Parnaba II, Parnaba III and Parnaba IV) that are expected to reach a full
installed capacity of 1.425MW. It is located in the state of Maranho, Brazil.

Upstream

According to Enevas management, the upstream segment is expected to


deliver 32.3 BCM of gas throughout current projection assumptions.

Currently, the Parnaba Complex operates 3 gas fields and 7 exploration


blocks with a total approximate area of 21 thousand square kilometers.

Overview of Downstream

Parnaba Com plex - Dow nstream com position


TPP

Installed capacity (MW)

Parnaba I

675

Parnaba II

517

Parnaba III

178

Parnaba IV

56

Total

1426

Source: Eneva JRs website


2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

33

Assumptions
Introduction (cont.)

Integration Downstream and Upstream

In order to fulfill electricity generation obligations, the TPPs must have a


trustworthy source of fuel.

The initial source of gas, which is contractually guaranteed until 2027 for
Parnaba III, and 2028 for Parnaba IV, will be provided by the Consortium.

The proximity between the gas fields, gas treatment units, and thermal power
plants integrate the Downstream and Upstream businesses, as presented
bellow:

The rationale behind such assumption, according to Eneva JRs


management, is that the TPPs are not restricted to the Consortiums gas
supply. In fact, should the Consortium not be able to deliver further gas,
the TPPs may contract other gas suppliers.

In addition, Eneva JRs management assumption is based on markets


perspectives, and on the Managements perception of latest MMEs
(Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy) reports; therefore, the
Management understands that the same approach used in other
appraisal reports for similar projects would be valid for Parnaba III and
IV.

For valuation purposes, it was considered an Alpha factor on the


discount rate applied to the cash flows after the PPA/Concession
renewal.

Source: Eneva JR

Extention of Downstreams projection period

Albeit the fact that the gas supply agreements for Parnaba III and IV are
bound to expire in 2027 and 2028 respectively, Eneva JRs management
strongly supports the assumption that the TPPs will be able to extend the
concession period until 2042 and 2043 respectively.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

34

Assumptions
Introduction (cont.)

Proven and estimated reserves


80

37.7

70

The present proven reserves add up to 8.4 BCM. It consists


on current wells from the gas fields GVR, GVB and GVA.
The gas fields, however, can encompass additional wells.

The consortium has already conducted extensive research


on other wells located in GVR, GVB, SE Bom Jesus,
Fazenda Isabel, Fazenda Chicote, Fazenda Alencar,
Fazenda So Raimundo, Fazenda Sossgo and Fazenda
Santa Vitria.

The company plans to launch 4 fields (Fazenda Santa


Isabel, SE Bom Jesus, Santa Vitria and Chicote) as
commercial during 2015. Third party geological studies
were hired and results are expected for the 2nd half of 2015.

These estimates point towards an additional 23.9 BCM,


totalling 32.3 BCM of natural gas reserves.

As it was mentioned before, PGN operates in 7 blocks,


which also present other gas fields with a potential upside
to be considered. The Clients Management has made
studies on these gas fields: albeit they are in more distant
blocks, they represent a potential additional reserve of
nearly 37.7 BCM.

Since the current third parties studies related to the


certification of internal research are at preliminary stages,
the production considered in this report comes from the first
contracts cycle reserves, which is 32.3 BCM.

70.0

Morada Nova

BCM

Tianguar

60
Esperantinpolis
Baslios

50

Havana
Axixa

40
23.9

32.3

Angical

GVR

30

GVB
SE BJ
Isabel

20

Chicote
Alencar
Raimundo

10

6.1

1.9

0.4

8.4

Sossgo
Vitria

Source: E.ON
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

35

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III

Revenues

Fixed revenues (CCEAR Contract): Revenues from the energy generation capacity availability, as agreed in the CCEAR contracts signed in the 2008 A-5
Auction. The volumes were estimated based on the 98 Average MW capacity, as per the CCEAR contract, and the total number of hours of each year. The price
was projected based on the agreed prices in the A-5 Auction, and have been annually adjusted by the Brazilian Inflation-index IPCA.
It is important to point out that current CCEAR contracts are bound to expire in 2027, and that from 2028 onwards the applied assumption assumes a PPA
renewal under the same conditions as the one currently in place, with the rationale presented in page 34. In order to contemplate the risk associated to such
renovation, an alpha factor was included in the discount rate from 2027 onwards, as in page 73).

Variable revenues (CCEAR CVU): O&M reimbursements were calculated based on the expected net energy dispatch, provided by Eneva JRs management,
and the O&M agreed payment per dispatched megawatt-hour, which is specified in the CCEAR contract.

Please find below the revenue projection that has been used for Parnaba III

Volume and revenue projection


1.400

1,322 1,323

900

CCEAR Renewal

800

1.200

700
600
802

800

500

600

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

504

R$MM

GW/h

1.000

400

454

300
400
200
200

100

0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042

Source: Eneva JR

CCEAR Revenues

CCEAR CVU

Net energy dispatch

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

36

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Deductions

Deduction taxes: Deductions on gross revenues comprise PIS and Cofins at rates of 1.65% and 7.60% respectively. Given that the TPP uses production factors
in order to deliver energy, the TPP has the right to claim PIS and Cofins credits.

Fixed costs

O&M fixed costs: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, and have been annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

ANEEL fees: Contractually agreed, within the CCEAR agreement, and is a fixed fee on the total installed capacity of the TPP, and was annually adjusted by
Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

TUST: Contractually agreed, within the CCEAR agreement, and is a fixed tariff on the total installed capacity of the TPP, net of transmission losses, and was
annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

CCEE contribution: Fixed contribution on the total installed capacity of the TPP. It was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

RGR over fixed revenues: As per regulation requirements, Parnaba III contributes 1.0% of its fixed revenues, net of deductions, to Eletrobras R&D fund, RGR.

Fixed-lease payment: The TPP has an agreement with the Consortium to pay a fixed-lease, which is contractually determined by the parties.

Overhauling: Projected according to the TPPs contract with its service provider, which was calculated according to the amount of energy dispatch throughout
the projection.

Insurance: Parnaba III is entirely insured on its fixed and variable revenues. The insurance premium payment was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index
IPCA.
Fixed costs breakdown
350

306

300
250

R$ MM

203

200

156

150

122

100
47

57

54

57

62

66

69

73

77

86

86

90

96

101

112

119

125

132

139

154

155

164

173

182

50
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042

Source: Eneva JR

Free market expense

O&M

ANEEL fee

TUST

CCEE contribution

RGR - over fixed revenue

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Fuel costs - fixed payments

Overhauling

Insurance

37

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III

Variable costs

Variable O&M costs: Projected according to the expected gross energy dispatch. A unit O&M cost (R$/MWh) annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index
IPCA was then applied on the dispatched energy.

RGR over variable revenues: As per regulation requirements, Parnaba III contributes 1.0% of its variable revenues, net of deductions, to Eletrobras R&D fund,
RGR.

Fuel purchase: Variable fuel purchase has been projected according to expected gross energy dispatch. Fuel price is contractually determined by Parnaba III
and the gas producers, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

Variable-lease agreement: Calculated as the difference between: (i) total revenues and; (ii) fixed TPPs revenues; (iii) variable TPPs costs; and (iv) taxes,
regulatory fees and insurance.

Total costs
Please find below the cost projection that has been used for Parnaba III:
Total costs projection
700,0
641
296

600,0
500

R$ MM

500,0
410

400,0
300,0

342
273
47

200,0
100,0

226

308

295
54

224

204
241
50

143

153

53

118

171
59

90

106

112

180
62
118

190

201

212

66

69

73

125

131

139

228
82
146

236
81
154

249
86
163

263
91
172

277

151
107

325
112

343
119

362
125

382
146

181

202

213

225

237

147

155

192

474
173
164

132

96
191

425

449

250

264

278

294

556

310

327

345

364

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042
Source: Eneva JR
Variable costs
Fixed costs
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

38

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III

Depreciation

Total fiscal depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 10 years (at a 10% p.y. rate).

Total accounting depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 25 years (at a 4% p.y. rate).

Capex

Major capital expenditures were done during the construction period (2011-2015). Throughout the projection period, with exceptions to 2015, maintenance Capex
is included within the O&M costs (Overhauling).

Income taxes

The TPP is taxed within the real regime, with income taxes and social contribution rates at 25% and 9% respectively. It is worth mentioning, however, that
Parnaba III owns the following fiscal benefits:

Lucro da Explorao Exploration Profit, granted by SUDENE, from 2014 to 2023; and

Accelerated depreciation which allows the TPP to depreciate its items with a 10% annual depreciation rate.

Working capital

The projection considers an average of 45 days for account receivables on revenues and 50 days for accounts payable on costs and expenses.

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

39

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV

Revenues

ACL revenues: Calculated based on the expected net energy dispatch, estimated by Eneva JRs management, and the agreed payment per dispatched
megawatt-hour, which is specified in the PPA agreement with Kinross Mining and Parnaba Comercializadora S.A..

It is worth mentioning that, albeit the current ACL expires in 2019, the projection assumes that such contract will be renovated until 2028.

Please find below the revenue projection that has been used for Parnaba IV.

Volume and revenue projection


500,0
450,0
400,0

350
430

430

PPA Renewal

300

380

250

350,0
306

250,0

200
221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

221

R$MM

GW/h

300,0

150

200,0
150,0

100

100,0
50
50,0
-

0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043

CCEAL Revenues

Other revenues

Net energy dispatch

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

40

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV

Deductions

Deduction taxes: Deductions on gross revenues comprise PIS and Cofins at rates of 1.65% and 7.60% respectively. Given that the TPP uses production factors
in order to deliver energy, the TPP has the right to claim PIS and Cofins credits.

Fixed costs

O&M fixed costs: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, and have been annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

ANEEL fees: Contractually agreed; it is a fixed fee on the total installed capacity of the TPP, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

TUST: Contractually agreed; it is a fixed tariff on the total installed capacity of the TPP, net of transmission losses, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian
inflation-index IPCA.

CCEE contribution: Fixed contribution on the total installed capacity of the TPP. It was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

Overhauling: Projected according to the TPPs contract with its service provider, which was calculated according to the amount of energy dispatch throughout
the projection.

Insurance: Parnaba IV is entirely insured on its revenues. The insurance premium payment was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

Fixed costs breakdown


60
52
49

R$ MM

50

47

40
30
20

17

17

15

14

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

25

26

27

29

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

10
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043

Source: Eneva JR

O&M

ANEEL fee

TUST

CCEE contribution

RGR - over fixed revenue

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

Overhauling

Insurance

41

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV

Variable costs

Variable O&M costs: Projected according to the expected gross energy dispatch. A unit O&M cost (R$/MWh) annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index
IPCA was then applied on the dispatched energy.

RGR over variable revenues: As per regulation requirements, Parnaba IV contributes 1.0% of its variable revenues, net of deductions, to Eletrobras R&D fund,
RGR.

Fuel purchase: Variable fuel purchase has been projected according to expected gross energy dispatch. Fuel price is contractually determined by Parnaba IV
and the gas producers, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

Total costs

Please find below the cost projection that has been used for Parnaba III:

Total costs projection


200
174

180
161
153

R$ MM

160

145
137

140

130

120
100
80
49

48

48

50

53

55

47

40

17

15

14

14

15

16

17

33

34

35

39

30

32

37

20

60

59
17
42

65

69

62

20

18

19

44

46

49

73
21
51

77
22
54

81
23
57

85
25
60

90
26

64

95

100

27

67

29

71

105
30

75

111
32

79

117
34

83

123

47

165
47
44

44
42

40
38

36

88

92

98

103

109

115

121

128

0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043

Source: Eneva JR

Variable costs

Fixed costs

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

42

Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV

Depreciation

Total fiscal depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 10 years (at a 10% p.y. rate).

Total accounting depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 25 years (at a 4% p.y. rate).

Capex

Major capital expenditures were done during the construction period (2011-2014). Throughout the projection period, maintenance Capex is included within the
O&M costs (overhauling).

Income taxes

The TPP is taxed within the real regime, with income taxes and social contribution rates at 25% and 9% respectively. It is worth mentioning, however, that
Parnaba IV owns the following fiscal benefits:

Lucro da Explorao Exploration Profit, granted by SUDENE, from 2014 to 2023; and

Accelerated depreciation which allows the TPP to depreciate its items with a 10% annual depreciation rate.

Working capital

The projection considers an average of 45 days for account receivables on revenues and 50 days for accounts payable on costs and expenses.

Source: Eneva JR
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

43

Assumptions
PGN

Revenues
The results presented below represent 70% of the total revenues that the Consortium generates.

Gas contracts revenues: Based on the gas demand from the 4 TPPs, these revenues match the fuel purchase costs of the downstream business.

Fixed revenues: The TPP has an agreement with the gas producers to pay a fixed-lease, which is contractually determined by the parties.

Variable revenues: The variable-lease revenues, which derive exclusively from Parnaba I and III, were calculated based on the difference between: (i) total
revenues and; (ii) fixed revenues; (iii) variable costs; and (iv) taxes, regulatory fees and insurance.

Condensate gas: It is a low-density liquid present in gas fields. This revenue line was projected by multiplying volume in million Boe (barrel of oil equivalent) and
the condensate price in million reais. It represents an average of 0.5% of the total revenue up until the end of the contracts with the TPPs.

PGN Gross revenue projection


1400,0
1.191

R$ MM

1200,0
1000,0
738

800,0
609

600,0
400,0
200,0

178
4
140

150
3
149

437
287

791
703
173
4
158

457

629
111
4
167

348

133
4
176

391

743
141
4
186

412

784
149
5
196

435

828
157
5
207

459

873
165
5
218

485

921
175
5
230

512

1.026

972
184
6
243

540

194
6
256

570

1.129

1.078
984
205
2
270

601

1.014

157
6

165
2

243

256

579

591

1.070
174
2
270

623

184
2
285

658

194
2
301

694

313
0
2

330
0
2

346
0

310

328

346

122
0
122

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

Source: E.ON

Gas contract

Fixed rental

Condensate

Variable rental

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

44

Assumptions
PGN

Deductions
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums deductions.

Deduction taxes: Deductions on gross revenues comprise PIS and Cofins at rates of 1.65% and 7.60% respectively, and ICMS (which is exclusively on gas
sales) at a 4.6% rate. Additionally, it was considered PIS and Cofins credit of 1.65% + 7.60% on 50% over Opex, abandonment costs, exploration expenses and
depreciation.

Special participations: A progressive tax applied on the gas production exceeding 450 thousand cubic meters of BOE from each well.

ANEEL fees: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, annually adjusted by the Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

Royalties: It was projected as 10.0% of the total gross revenues throughout the entire projection period.

Costs
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums Opex and other costs

Opex: Based on the 2015 budget and production projection, adjusted by the Brazilian inflation-index IPCA. It is worth noticing the depletion of the wells from 2032
up to 2036.

Landowner share: According to Brazilian law, the landowner must receive 1.0% of the total revenue.

Easement Agreement: Pipelines have several kilometers of length, and pass over farms and lands owned by third parties. In this contract, the owners of such
lands grant a right of access and easement to the construction, maintenance and removal of the pipeline. In exchange for such services, the Consortium must pay
an insurance and an indexed amount, which is paid periodically.

Abandonment costs: As per regulation requirements, once the gas well is depleted, the company must remove the equipment, plug the well and remediate the
surface so as to prevent the leakage of hydrocarbons and any damage to the environment in the surrounding area. E.ONs management considered an
assumption of R$ 1.5 million per well. The abandonment costs were more substantial in 2040, given that the wells will be closed at the same year.

R$ MM

PGN Costs projection


180
150
120
90
60
30
0

158

82
46

56

73

86

101

93

89

98

104

115

120

127

134

140

70

67

71
26

2015

Source: E.ON

52

76

120

2016

2017

2018

2019
Opex

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Landowner share

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Easement agreement

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

Total abandonment cost

45

Assumptions
PGN

Expenses
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums expenses.

Rental to ANP: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, adjusted by the Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.

R&D: Calculated as 1% of the net revenues.

SG&A: Composed by three factors: production, development & infrastructure and exploration. It is important to mention that, in 2019, the end of exploration of
new gas fields causes a reduction in SG&A.

Exploration expenses: Projected as a combination of expenses from exploration, drilling and other finding expenditures (Seismic, injection wells, among others).
PGN Expenses projection
100
91
89

90

R$ MM

80
70

44

37

60

67

18

50

52
45
-

40

34
-

30

47
44

49

52

32
-

30
-

26

24

32
-

33
-

35
-

40

20

29

26

27

29

37
-

30

39
-

32

41
-

36
25
-

34

10
-

5
0

5
0-

0-

5
0

5
0

6
0

6
0

6
0

27
-

36
25

3
0

26
-

7
0

7
0

7
0

26

20
-

27
20

7
0

0-

0-

0-

0-

0-

17
-

14
-

13
-

16

14

13

0-

0-

0-

0
0-

0
0-

0
0-

0
0-

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

Source: E.ON

Rental to ANP

R&D

SG&A

Exploration expenses

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

46

Assumptions
PGN

Depreciation
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums depreciation

Total depreciation of the infrastructure was projected at 20 years (at a 5% p.a. rate).

The depreciation rate of property, plant and equipment was projected based on the yearly production and proved developed reserves.

Capex
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums Capex

Major capital expenditures has been projected as investments in development, and in the infrastructure that is built in order to connect the pipeline.
PGN Capex projection
500
450

474

13

R$ MM

400
350

225

333

300
250

195

221

200
150

148

186

100

118

101

42

97
32

50
50

187

41

41

69

60

92

87

90

87

90

42

32

32

32

32

50
-

55

58

55

58

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040

Source: E.ON

Drilling

Development

Infrastructure

Other development capex

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

47

Assumptions
PGN

Income taxes

PGN is taxed with income taxes and social contribution rates at 25% and 9% respectively. It is worth mentioning, however, that PGN has the following fiscal
benefit:

Lucro da Explorao Exploration Profit, granted by SUDENE, from 2014 to 2023.

Working capital

The table presents the average of days and drivers for each account.
PGN
Current assets
Accounts receivable
Taxes receivable
Inventory
Other receivables

Days
67
20
55
10

Driver
Days of revenues
Days of revenues
Days of revenues
Days of costs and capex

Current liabilities
Suppliers
Tax payables
Accounts payable
Short term debts
Other accounts payable

Days
51
27
17
0
7

Driver
Days of costs and capex
Days of revenues
Days of costs
Days of costs
Days of costs

Source: E.ON
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

48

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

49

V. Valuation Methodology

Valuation method
Company

Valuation criteria

The valuation criteria is ultimately a sum of the parts, as presented below.


The assets that are considered to have future cash flows and expected
growth have been evaluated by the DCF methodology. The other assets,
which are non-operational, pre-operational, or materially irrelevant, have been
evaluated by book value practice.

Company

Valuation method
Sum of the parts

Eneva Participaes S.A.

Parnaba Participaes S.A.


Parnaba III Gerao de
Energia S.A.

Parnaba IV Gerao de
Energia S.A.

2
3

Parnaba Gerao e Comerc.


de Energia S.A.

Seival Participaes S.A.

Seival Gerao de
Energia Ltda.

Au II Gerao de
Energia S.A.

Sum of the parts

DCF

DCF

Valuation method

UTE Porto do Au S.A.

(A)
MPX Chile Holding Ltda.
Sul Gerao de Energia
Ltda.

8
10

ENEVA Comercializadora 11

= (A)1 + (C) 1
(C) =

de Combustveis Ltda.
ENEVA Solar
Empreendimentos Ltda.

12

Au III Gerao de
Energia Ltda.

13

Tau Gerao de Energia


Ltda.

14

ENEVA Comercializadora
de Energia Ltda.

15

(B) 2

(B)
(B)

Parnaba
Comercializadoras
income
statement and cash flow projections have
been incorporated into Parnaba IV.
(B)
Book value

(A)

Book value

(A)

Book value

(A)

Book value

SPE Ventos

Parnaba Gs Natural
S.A.

1 Adjusted
2 Adjusted
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

16

Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value

Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value

(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)

DCF

according to Eneva Participaes JR stake


according to Parnaba Participaes stake
50

Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Income statement

We present, below, Parnaba IIIs projected income statement:


Parnaba III - Incom e Statem ent
R$ MM
Gross Revenues
Deductions
Net revenues

2015
334.42
(6.65)
327.77

2016
401.27
(11.07)
390.20

2017
274.86
(7.55)
267.32

2018
218.14
(7.70)
210.45

2019
241.13
(2.39)
238.74

2020
254.40
(8.43)
245.97

2021
268.39
(8.89)
259.49

2022
283.15
(9.38)
273.77

2023
298.72
(9.90)
288.82

2024
315.15
(10.45)
304.71

2025
332.49
(10.60)
321.89

2026
350.77
(11.63)
339.14

2027
370.07
(12.28)
357.78

2028
390.42
(13.33)
377.09

(273.4)

(298.83)

(207.42)

(147.33)

(228.28)

(174.21)

(183.78)

(193.88)

(204.54)

(215.78)

(232.21)

(240.15)

(253.22)

(267.57)

EBITDA

54.33

91.37

59.90

63.11

10.46

71.76

75.71

79.88

84.28

88.93

89.68

99.00

104.57

109.52

EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e

0.17
(8.03)
46.30
(2.57)
-0.06
43.73

0.23
(8.44)
82.93
(6.33)
-0.08
76.60

0.22
(8.44)
51.45
(3.49)
-0.07
47.97

0.30
(8.44)
54.67
(3.81)
-0.07
50.86

0.04
(8.44)
2.02
0.00
2.02

0.29
(8.44)
63.32
(4.32)
-0.07
58.99

0.29
(8.44)
67.27
(4.87)
-0.07
62.40

0.29
(8.44)
71.44
(5.31)
-0.07
66.13

0.29
(8.44)
75.84
(5.80)
-0.08
70.04

0.29
(8.44)
80.48
(27.16)
-0.34
53.33

0.28
(8.44)
81.24
(27.42)
-0.34
53.82

0.29
(8.44)
90.55
(30.79)
-0.34
59.77

0.29
(8.44)
96.13
(32.68)
-0.34
63.44

0.29
(8.44)
101.08
(34.37)
-0.34
66.71

2029
411.89
(14.47)
397.42

2030
434.55
(11.10)
423.45

2031
458.45
(16.95)
441.50

2032
483.66
(18.29)
465.37

2033
510.26
(19.71)
490.56

2034
538.33
(21.20)
517.13

2035
567.93
(22.77)
545.16

2036
599.17
(23.83)
575.34

2037
632.13
(26.19)
605.94

2038
666.89
(28.04)
638.86

2039
703.57
(29.99)
673.58

2040
742.27
(32.04)
710.22

2041
783.09
(23.71)
759.38

2042
826.16
(36.50)
789.66

(282.30)

(347.35)

(314.25)

(331.55)

(349.80)

(369.06)

(389.38)

(417.39)

(433.45)

(457.31)

(482.49)

(509.06)

(650.68)

(566.66)

EBITDA

115.12

76.10

127.25

133.82

140.75

148.06

155.78

157.96

172.49

181.55

191.09

201.17

108.70

223.00

EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e

0.29
(8.44)
106.67
(36.27)
-0.34
70.41

0.18
(8.03)
68.07
(23.15)
-0.34
44.93

0.29
(8.03)
119.22
(40.54)
-0.34
78.69

0.29
(8.03)
125.79
(42.77)
-0.34
83.02

0.29
(8.03)
132.73
(45.13)
-0.34
87.60

0.29
(8.03)
140.04
(47.61)
-0.34
92.42

0.29
(8.03)
147.75
(50.23)
-0.34
97.51

0.27
(8.03)
149.93
(50.98)
-0.34
98.95

0.28
(8.03)
164.47
(55.92)
-0.34
108.55

0.28
(8.03)
173.52
(59.00)
-0.34
114.52

0.28
191.09
(64.97)
-0.34
126.12

0.28
201.17
(68.40)
-0.34
132.77

0.14
108.70
(36.96)
-0.34
71.75

0.28
223.00
(75.82)
-0.34
147.18

Total costs

Parnaba III - Incom e Statem ent


R$ MM
Gross Revenues
Deductions
Net revenues
Total costs

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

51

Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Cash flow

We present, below, Parnaba IIIs projected cash flow:


Parnaba III - Free Cash Flow to Firm
R$ MM
Net incom e
Depreciation
Capex
Changes in WC
Free Cash Flow to Firm
Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow

2015
43.73
8.03
(5.81)
13.72
59.66

2016
76.60
8.44
(0.40)
(4.22)
80.42

2017
47.97
8.44
(0.00)
2.63
59.04

2018
50.86
8.44
(1.22)
58.09

2019
2.02
8.44
7.60
18.06

2020
58.99
8.44
(8.30)
59.14

2021
62.40
8.44
(0.36)
70.48

2022
66.13
8.44
(0.38)
74.20

2023
70.04
8.44
(0.40)
78.08

2024
53.33
8.44
(0.42)
61.35

2025
53.82
8.44
0.13
62.39

2026
59.77
8.44
(1.04)
67.17

2027
63.44
8.44
(0.51)
71.38

2028
66.71
8.44
(0.41)
74.74

13.83%
0.50
55.92

13.83%
1.50
66.22

13.83%
2.50
42.70

13.83%
3.50
36.91

13.83%
4.50
10.08

13.83%
5.50
29.00

13.83%
6.50
30.36

13.83%
7.50
28.08

13.83%
8.50
25.96

12.48%
9.50
20.08

12.48%
10.50
18.15

12.48%
11.50
17.37

12.48%
12.50
16.41

13.60%
13.50
13.36

Parnaba III - Free Cash Flow to Firm


R$ MM
Net incom e
Depreciation
Capex
Changes in WC
Free Cash Flow to Firm

2029
70.41
8.44
(0.49)
78.36

2030
44.93
8.03
5.70
58.66

2031
78.69
8.03
(6.76)
79.96

2032
83.02
8.03
(0.57)
90.48

2033
87.60
8.03
(0.60)
95.02

2034
92.42
8.03
(0.64)
99.81

2035
97.51
8.03
(0.67)
104.87

2036
98.95
8.03
0.11
107.10

2037
108.55
8.03
(1.57)
115.00

2038
114.52
8.03
(0.79)
121.76

2039
126.12
(0.83)
125.29

2040
132.77
(0.88)
131.89

2041
71.75
13.34
85.08

2042
147.18
(15.24)
131.94

Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow

0.14
14.50
12.33

0.14
15.50
8.13

0.14
16.50
9.75

0.14
17.50
9.71

0.14
18.50
8.98

0.14
19.50
8.30

0.14
20.50
7.68

0.14
21.50
6.90

0.14
22.50
6.52

0.14
23.50
6.08

0.14
24.50
5.51

0.14
25.50
5.10

0.14
26.50
2.90

0.14
27.50
3.96

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

52

Valuation
Eneva Participaes: Parnaba III
Valuation

We present, below, Parnaba IIIs Valuation:


Parnaba III - Equity Value
R$ MM
Sum of discounted cash flow
Balance sheet adjustm ents
Cash and equivalents
Inventory
Intercompany loan to Parnaba
Debt and financing
Energy acquisition
Intercompany debt
Fiscal contingency
Equity Value
Equity Value @70%

512.43
(78.82)
14.10
3.85
68.15
(120.00)
(6.92)
(34.75)
(3.25)
433.62
303.53

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

53

Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Income statement

We present, below, Parnaba IVs projected income statement:


Parnaba IV - Incom e Statem ent
R$ MM
Gross Revenues
Deductions
Net revenues

2015
63.56
(2.37)
61.19

2016
67.73
(2.58)
65.15

2017
75.35
(3.71)
71.64

2018
79.50
(4.66)
74.84

2019
83.87
(5.56)
78.31

2020
88.49
(5.87)
82.62

2021
93.35
(6.19)
87.17

2022
98.49
(6.52)
91.96

2023
103.90
(6.88)
97.02

2024
109.62
(7.26)
102.36

2025
115.65
(7.65)
107.99

2026
122.01
(8.07)
113.94

2027
128.72
(8.51)
120.21

2028
135.80
(9.00)
126.80

2029
143.27
(9.49)
133.78

(46.84)

(49.12)

(48.36)

(47.98)

(49.75)

(52.51)

(55.43)

(58.50)

(61.75)

(65.18)

(68.77)

(72.59)

(76.62)

(80.59)

(85.10)

EBITDA

14.35

16.03

23.29

26.86

28.56

30.11

31.74

33.46

35.27

37.19

39.22

41.35

43.59

46.20

48.67

EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e

0.23
(6.45)
7.90
0.00
7.90

0.25
(6.61)
9.42
0.00
9.42

0.33
(6.61)
16.68
(0.60)
-0.04
16.08

0.36
(6.61)
20.25
(0.95)
-0.05
19.30

0.36
(6.61)
21.95
(1.10)
-0.05
20.85

0.36
(6.61)
23.50
(1.24)
-0.05
22.26

0.36
(6.61)
25.13
(1.39)
-0.06
23.75

0.36
(6.61)
26.85
(1.54)
-0.06
25.31

0.36
(6.61)
28.66
(1.70)
-0.06
26.96

0.36
(6.61)
30.58
(4.84)
-0.16
25.74

0.36
(6.61)
32.61
(11.01)
-0.34
21.60

0.36
(6.61)
34.74
(11.81)
-0.34
22.93

0.36
(6.61)
36.98
(12.57)
-0.34
24.40

0.36
(6.61)
39.59
(13.46)
-0.34
26.13

0.36
(6.61)
42.06
(14.30)
-0.34
27.76

2030
151.15
(10.01)
141.14

2031
159.46
(10.56)
148.90

2032
168.23
(11.14)
157.09

2033
177.48
(11.75)
165.73

2034
187.25
(12.44)
174.80

2035
197.54
(13.12)
184.42

2036
208.41
(13.84)
194.57

2037
219.87
(14.60)
205.27

2038
231.96
(15.41)
216.56

2039
244.72
(16.25)
228.47

2040
258.18
(17.14)
241.04

2041
272.38
(18.08)
254.30

2042
287.36
(19.07)
268.29

2043
303.17
(20.12)
283.05

(89.80)

(94.74)

(99.97)

(105.49)

(110.82)

(116.94)

(123.39)

(130.20)

(137.36)

(144.94)

(152.93)

(161.37)

(170.27)

(179.66)

51.34

54.16

57.12

60.25

63.98

67.48

71.18

75.07

79.20

83.53

88.11

92.93

98.02

103.39

0.36
(6.45)
44.89
(15.21)
-0.34
29.68

0.36
(6.45)
47.71
(16.17)
-0.34
31.54

0.36
(6.45)
50.67
(17.17)
-0.34
33.50

0.36
(6.45)
53.80
(18.24)
-0.34
35.56

0.37
(6.45)
57.53
(19.51)
-0.34
38.03

0.37
(6.45)
61.03
(20.70)
-0.34
40.34

0.37
(6.45)
64.73
(21.95)
-0.34
42.77

0.37
(6.45)
68.62
(23.28)
-0.34
45.34

0.37
(6.45)
72.75
(24.68)
-0.34
48.07

0.37
(6.45)
77.09
(26.15)
-0.34
50.93

0.37
88.11
(27.71)
-0.31
60.40

0.37
92.93
(29.35)
-0.32
63.58

0.37
98.02
(31.08)
-0.32
66.94

0.37
103.39
(32.90)
-0.32
70.48

Total costs

Parnaba IV - Incom e Statem ent


R$ MM
Gross Revenues
Deductions
Net revenues
Total costs
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

54

Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Cash flow

We present, below, Parnaba IVs projected cash flow:


Parnaba IV - Free Cash Flow to Firm
R$ MM
Net incom e
Depreciation
Capex
Changes in WC
Free Cash Flow to Firm

2015
7.90
6.45
(2.25)
6.21
18.32

2016
9.42
6.61
(0.00)
(0.18)
15.86

2017
16.08
6.61
(0.00)
(0.90)
21.78

2018
19.30
6.61
(0.45)
25.47

Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow

13.83%
0.50
17.17

13.83%
1.50
13.05

13.83%
2.50
15.75

13.83%
3.50
16.18

2019
20.85
6.61
(0.19)
27.28

2020
22.26
6.61
(0.15)
28.72

2021
23.75
6.61
(0.16)
30.19

2022
25.31
6.61
(0.17)
31.75

2023
26.96
6.61
(0.18)
33.39

2024
25.74
6.61
(0.19)
32.16

2025
21.60
6.61
(0.20)
28.01

2026
22.93
6.61
(0.21)
29.33

2027
24.40
6.61
(0.22)
30.79

2028
26.13
6.61
(0.27)
32.47

2029
27.76
6.61
(0.24)
34.13

13.83% 13.83%
4.50
5.50
15.23
14.08

13.83%
6.50
13.01

13.83%
7.50
12.01

13.83%
8.50
11.10

12.48%
9.50
10.52

12.48%
10.50
8.15

12.48%
11.50
7.59

12.48%
12.50
7.08

12.48%
13.50
6.64

13.60%
14.50
5.37

Parnaba IV - Free Cash Flow to Firm


R$ MM
Net incom e
Depreciation
Capex
Changes in WC
Free Cash Flow to Firm

2030
29.68
6.45
(0.26)
35.87

2031
31.54
6.45
(0.28)
37.71

2032
33.50
6.45
(0.29)
39.65

2033
35.56
6.45
(0.31)
41.70

2034
38.03
6.45
(0.39)
44.09

2035
40.34
6.45
(0.35)
46.44

2036
42.77
6.45
(0.37)
48.86

2037
45.34
6.45
(0.39)
51.41

2038
48.07
6.45
(0.41)
54.11

2039
50.93
6.45
(0.43)
56.95

2040
60.40
(0.45)
59.94

2041
63.58
(0.48)
63.10

2042
66.94
(0.51)
66.43

2043
70.48
(0.53)
69.95

Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow

13.60%
15.50
4.97

13.60%
16.50
4.60

13.60%
17.50
4.26

13.60%
18.50
3.94

13.60%
19.50
3.67

13.60%
20.50
3.40

13.60%
21.50
3.15

13.60%
22.50
2.92

13.60%
23.50
2.70

13.60%
24.50
2.50

13.60%
25.50
2.32

13.60%
26.50
2.15

13.60%
27.50
1.99

13.60%
28.50
1.85

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

55

Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Valuation

We present, below, Parnaba IVs Valuation:


Parnaba IV ( 1) - Equity Value
R$ MM
Sum of discounted cash flow s
Balance sheet adjustm ents
Cash and equivalents
Inventory
Intercompany loan
Intercompany debt
Tradings cash and equivalents
Tradings account receivables
Tradings taxes recoverable
Tradings energy acquisition
Tradings Intercompany debt
Equity Value
Equity Value @70%

217.34
(166.60)
0.33
0.22
18.88
(173.30)
4.58
10.43
5.61
(6.05)
(27.32)
50.73
35.51

( 1) The valuation considers Parnaba


Comercializadora w ithin its projection

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

56

Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba Participaes
Parnaba Participaes sum of the parts

We present, below, Parnaba Participaes sum of the parts:


Parnaba Participaes - Equity Value
R$ MM
Parnaba III Equity Value @70%
Parnaba IV and Trading Equity Value @70%
Parnaba Holding Adjustm ents

303.53
35.51
37.29

Cash and equivalents

0.25

Taxes recoverable

1.51

Intercompany loan

29.85

Afac
Taxes payable
Account payable
Equity Value
Equity Value @ 50%

7.20
(1.35)
(0.17)
376.34
188.17

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

57

Valuation
PGN
Income Statement

We present, below, PGNs projected income statement:


PGN - Incom e Statem ent
R$ MM
Gross revenues
Deductions
Net revenues
Costs
Gross profit
Expenses
EBITDA
EBITDA margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
Income tax and social contribution
% EBT
Net incom e

2015
609.22
(97.46)
511.76
(46.38)
465.39
(92.01)
373.38
72.96%
(150.20)
223.18
(56.70)
-25.41%
166.48

2016
738.25
(136.92)
601.34
(52.44)
548.90
(88.56)
460.34
76.55%
(144.21)
316.13
(73.18)
-23.15%
242.94

2017
791.07
(140.21)
650.87
(55.79)
595.08
(66.83)
528.25
81.16%
(135.20)
393.05
(92.04)
-23.42%
301.01

2018
629.02
(107.27)
521.75
(81.79)
439.97
(51.96)
388.01
74.37%
(113.39)
274.63
(65.58)
-23.88%
209.04

2019
703.28
(122.28)
581.00
(72.85)
508.15
(44.66)
463.49
79.77%
(108.38)
355.11
(84.61)
-23.83%
270.50

2020
743.19
(131.08)
612.11
(76.40)
535.71
(33.54)
502.18
82.04%
(104.57)
397.61
(94.78)
-23.84%
302.82

2021
784.24
(139.18)
645.05
(86.12)
558.93
(31.55)
527.39
81.76%
(95.91)
431.48
(102.85)
-23.84%
328.63

2022
827.56
(163.73)
663.84
(100.51)
563.32
(30.02)
533.30
80.34%
(96.00)
437.31
(104.23)
-23.83%
333.08

2023
873.23
(181.18)
692.05
(88.71)
603.34
(31.67)
571.67
82.61%
(96.08)
475.59
(113.34)
-23.83%
362.25

2024
921.42
(194.19)
727.22
(93.46)
633.77
(33.41)
600.35
82.55%
(96.15)
504.20
(171.43)
-34.00%
332.77

2025
972.25
(204.78)
767.46
(98.47)
668.99
(35.25)
633.75
82.58%
(105.92)
527.83
(179.46)
-34.00%
348.37

2028
984.04
(198.51)
785.53
(114.54)
670.99
(40.71)
630.28
80.24%
(92.62)
537.66
(182.81)
-34.00%
354.86

2029
1,014.24
(200.85)
813.39
(120.33)
693.06
(35.60)
657.46
80.83%
(82.10)
575.36
(195.62)
-34.00%
379.73

2030
1,069.94
(212.13)
857.81
(126.83)
730.98
(24.68)
706.31
82.34%
(82.12)
624.19
(212.22)
-34.00%
411.96

2031
1,128.91
(224.04)
904.88
(133.68)
771.19
(26.03)
745.17
82.35%
(82.13)
663.03
(225.43)
-34.00%
437.60

2032
1,191.22
(236.62)
954.60
(140.49)
814.11
(27.46)
786.65
82.41%
(82.16)
704.49
(239.53)
-34.00%
464.97

2033
312.82
(97.78)
215.03
(69.72)
145.32
(20.48)
124.84
58.05%
(35.86)
88.97
(30.25)
-34.00%
58.72

2034
330.27
(103.73)
226.54
(67.30)
159.23
(16.51)
142.72
63.00%
(33.05)
109.67
(37.29)
-34.00%
72.38

2035
345.87
(109.38)
236.49
(70.92)
165.57
(14.36)
151.21
63.94%
(31.27)
119.93
(40.78)
-34.00%
79.16

2036
121.70
(55.53)
66.17
(26.13)
40.04
(13.32)
26.72
40.38%
(10.43)
16.29
(5.54)
-34.00%
10.75

2037
N.a.
N.a.
-

2038
N.a.
N.a.
-

2026
1,025.65
(214.06)
811.59
(103.75)
707.83
(37.18)
670.65
82.63%
(102.90)
567.75
(193.04)
-34.00%
374.72

2027
1,078.12
(216.71)
861.42
(119.99)
741.43
(39.23)
702.20
81.52%
(100.01)
602.19
(204.74)
-34.00%
397.44

PGN - Incom e Statem ent


R$ MM
Gross revenues
Deductions
Net revenues
Costs
Gross profit
Expenses
EBITDA
EBITDA margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
Income tax and social contribution
% EBT
Net incom e

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

2039
2040
7.32
7.32
(158.17)
(150.85)
(150.85)
N.a. -2062.16%
(150.85)
N.a.
0.00%
(150.85)

58

Valuation
PGN
Cash Flow

We present, below, PGNs projected cash flow:


PGN - Cash flow
R$ MM
Net income
Depreciation/Amortization
Changes in WC
Capex
Free cash flow to firm

2015
166.48
150.20
(8.77)
(473.74)
(165.83)

2016
242.94
144.21
(18.81)
(333.06)
35.29

2017
301.01
135.20
(20.65)
(220.83)
194.73

2018
209.04
113.39
40.22
(186.79)
175.86

2019
270.50
108.38
(24.41)
(101.44)
253.03

2020
302.82
104.57
(11.55)
(92.16)
303.69

2021
328.63
95.91
(11.65)
412.89

2022
333.08
96.00
(7.79)
421.29

2023
362.25
96.08
(13.14)
445.19

2024
332.77
96.15
(10.29)
418.64

2025
348.37
105.92
(7.69)
(87.11)
359.48

2026
374.72
102.90
(11.29)
(90.15)
376.18

2027
397.44
100.01
(9.00)
(86.70)
401.75

Discount factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow

0.15
0.50
(154.54)

0.15
1.50
28.56

0.15
2.50
136.88

0.15
3.50
107.35

0.15
4.50
134.15

0.15
5.50
139.83

0.15
6.50
165.11

0.15
7.50
146.31

0.15
8.50
134.28

0.15
9.50
114.84

0.15
10.50
86.06

0.15
11.50
78.60

0.15
12.50
73.25

2028
354.86
92.62
22.01
(89.72)
379.77

2029
379.73
82.10
(10.41)
451.43

2030
411.96
82.12
(14.37)
479.71

2031
437.60
82.13
(12.54)
507.20

2032
464.97
82.16
(13.34)
533.79

2033
58.72
35.86
196.01
290.59

2034
72.38
33.05
(5.54)
99.89

2035
79.16
31.27
(3.46)
106.97

2036
10.75
10.43
44.62
65.80

2037
21.20
21.20

0.15
13.50
60.43

0.15
14.50
62.69

0.15
15.50
58.14

0.15
16.50
53.65

0.15
17.50
49.27

0.15
18.50
23.41

0.15
19.50
7.02

0.15
20.50
6.56

0.15
21.50
3.52

0.15
22.50
0.99

PGN - Cash flow


R$ MM
Net income
Depreciation/Amortization
Changes in WC
Capex
Free cash flow to firm
Discount factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

2038
-

0.15
23.50
-

2039
-

0.15
24.50
-

2040
(150.85)
32.87
(117.98)

0.15
25.50
(3.66)

59

Valuation
PGN
Valuation

We present, below, PGNs Valuation:


PGN - Equity value
R$ MM
Sum of discounted cash flow s
Adjustm ents
Cash and cash equivalent
Restricted cash
Loans
Partners accounts receivable
Deferred taxes
Equity value

1,512.70
(478.63)
130.53
9.83
(721.85)
18.15
84.71
1,034.08

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

60

Valuation
Conclusion

Summary of Results

Based on the scope of our report, and subject to the assumptions, restrictions, and limitations described herein, we have estimated the fair value of Eneva
Participaes and PGN as of December, 2014 as presented below.

Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery

PGN

17.76

1,512.70
317.26

82.68

18.65

(478,63)

1,034.08

R$ MM

R$ mm

46.41

188.17
151.77
Parnaba III Parnaba IV

* Detailed on appendix III

Parnaba
Eneva
Parnaba
Sum of the
Eneva
ParticipaesParticipaes Book Values ParticipaesParticipaes
adjsutments
Holding
in Judicial
Adjustments Recovery

Eneva Participaes in Judicial Recovey| Valuation interval

Equity Value

Bottom
(-5%)

Central

Up p er
(-5%)

302.15

317.26

332.36

Eneva Participaes in Judicial Recovery valuation, as at December


31, 2014, ranges from R$ 302.1 million to R$ 332.4 million. The valuation
of E.ONs stake in Eneva Participaes in JR (50,0%) ranges from R$
151.1 million to R$ 166.2 million.
The valuation methodology applied for the operational subsidiaries was
the discounted cash flow approach (presented on pages 51 to 57). As
for the non-operational and pre-operational subsidiaries, the applied
methodology has been the cost approach, which considers the book value
of shareholders equity (presented on page 71).

PGN
Enterprise
value

Adjustments

PGN Equity
value

PGN | Valuation interval

Equity Value

Bottom
(-5%)

Central

Up p er
(-5%)

984.96

1,034.08

1,083.20

PGNs valuation, as at December 31, 2014, ranges from R$ 985.0 million


to R$ 1,083.2 million. The valuation of E.ONs stake in PGN (9,09%)
ranges from R$ 89.5 million to R$ 98.5 million.
The valuation methodology applied, in order to determined the value of
PGN, was the discounted cash flow method (presented on pages 58 to
60) .

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

61

Valuation
Conclusion (cont.)

In providing its services, KPMG relied on information provided by Eneva RJs and E.ONs Management and discussions with your employees or other
representatives, and KPMG is not responsible for independently verifying any information publicly available or supplied to it in the preparation of this report.
KPMG does not express an opinion on the reliability of the information presented above, and determines that any errors, changes or modifications of such
information could significantly affect the findings of KPMG. Based on the terms of our proposal, data processing and information does not imply acceptance or
certification of these as true by KPMG.

During the course of our work, KPMG performed testing procedures as needed. However, we emphasize that our evaluation work did not constitute an audit of
financial statements or other information submitted to us by the Eneva RJs and E.ONs Management and should not be treated as such.

Neither KPMG nor the Eneva RJs or E.ONs Management can ensure that future results will meet projected results, due to unforeseen external or internal
factors.

We emphasize that a full understanding of this report and its conclusion is only possible through its complete reading. Thus, one should not draw conclusions by
reading just part of it.

It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is a free translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of discrepancies between
the report in Portuguese sent on April 13, 2015 and the free translation report, the former shall prevail in all matters.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

62

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

63

Appendix I
Curricula vitae
Name
Position

Claudio Roberto de Leoni Ramos

Sector of expertise

Partner, Advisory - Corporate Finance


BS degree in Mechanical Engineering from the School of Technology at the University of Braslia, Brazil.
MBA degree in Finance, Economics and International Business from New York Universitys Leonard N. Stern School of Business
and Universit Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Milan.
Claudio has been a professor for Corporate Finance classes in the Executive MBA of FAAP University in So Paulo.
Passed CFA Level 1 exam in 2009.
Claudio is a board member of Enactus Brazil (http://enactus.org/country/brazil/).
Head of Transactions & Restructuring (T&R) for KPMG Brazil and South America and the leader for High Growth Markets for the
KPMG Global T&R Leadership Team. Cludio has worked in corporate finance/investment banking since 1993. His experience
encompasses equity research, cross-border private placements, company valuations and merger and acquisitions advisory work.
He has been advising clients on mergers and acquisitions and valuations since 1994. His industry experience encompasses
industrial companies, financial institutions, food and beverage, mining and automotive. He is the representative for Latin America in
KPMGs Global Valuations Committee and one of the seven members of the Global Valuations Leadership Team. Hes the lead
partner of the Valuations Group in KPMG Brazil.
Financial institutions, mining, services, insurance, foods and beverages

Name

Paulo Guilherme de Menezes Coimbra

Position

Partner, Corporate Finance (M&A), Rio de Janeiro Brazil.

Qualifications

Graduated in Production Engineering in Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro - UFRJ (1996)


Specialization in Corporate Finance in the Brazilian Institute of Capital Markets (IBMEC - 1997)
Executive Program on Business Management Fundao Dom Cabral, Rio de Janeiro 2012

Experience

Throughout 15 years of experience, he has participated in a wide range of activities, including: financial advisory to clients in
mergers and acquisitions, privatizations and offerings.
Before joining KPMG Brazil he worked at Acar Guarani (one of the largest Sugar and Ethanol Company in Brazil) and was the
CFO at Cimentos Liz (one the largest cement group in Brazil).

Sector of experience

Electricity, Oil and Gas, Sugar and Alcohol. Agriculture, Financial Sevices and Consumer Goods

Qualifications

Experience

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

64

Appendix I (cont.)
Curricula vitae
Name
Position

Augusto Sales

Sector of expertise

Partner, Advisory Global Strategy Group


Brazil CPA
MBA, IBMEC Business School, Rio de Janeiro
BA, Accounting, Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF), Rio de Janeiro
Augusto is responsible for leading the KPMGs Strategy Group in Brazil. He has over 20 years of experience in strategy and
financial advisory to clients in strategy and business development exercises, mergers and acquisitions, privatizations and offerings.
On the transaction space, he has provided strategy advice, market entry, target identification, strategic, financial and business due
diligence on numerous cross-border transactions for both domestic/international and financial/strategic buyers in large and complex
deals.
Before joining the Transaction Services group in Brazil he worked in New York advising companies going public in the US market
(NYSE) and served the Brazilian Desk advising clients with interest in Brazil.
Power Generation, Transmission and Distribution, Mining and Metals, Oil & Gas spaces.

Name

Rben Palminha

Position

Senior Manager, KPMG Corporate Finance, Rio de Janeiro Brazil.

Qualifications

Postgraduate degree in Finance, with specialization in Corporate Finance INDEG-IUL, (Lisbon, Portugal)
Specialization in Finance INDEG-IUL (Lisbon, Portugal)
Graduate in Finance ISCTE-IUL (Lisbon, Portugal)

Experience

He joined KPMG Corporate Finance in 2006. Since then, Rben has participated in Energy and Infrastructure projects in various
countries, assisting Public and Private entities, accumulating skills in Project Finance, PPP Projects, M&A and Valuations.

Qualifications

Experience

Since December 2014, Rben is based in the Rio de Janeiro office.

Sector of experience

Energy and Infrastructure

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

65

Appendix I (cont.)
Curricula vitae

Name

Fabiano Goulart Delgado

Position

Manager, Corporate Finance, KPMG Curitiba - Brazil

Qualifications

Specialization in Controllership at UFPR-PR


Graduated in Economics at UFMS-MS

Experience

Has more than 7 years of experience in KPMG, ample experience in M&A services, and preparation of business plans and
valuations. In addition, Fabiano has developed several financial models and evaluated various intangible assets within Purchase
Price Allocation exercises.

Sector of experience

Banking, real estate, power, agribusiness, foods and beverages, retail and logistic.

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

66

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

67

Appendix II
Balance Sheet | PGN

Balance Sheet - PGN


R$ MM
Assets
Current
Cash and cash equivalents
Account receivables
Restricted Deposits
Tax and contribuition receivables
Loans and financing from related parties
Related parties account receivables
Other credits and prepaid expenses
Non Current
Supplies and consumables
Restricted Deposits
Tax and contribuition receivables
Deferred tax and contribuition
Fixed Assets
Intangible
Total assets

Balance Sheet - PGN


31/12/2013 31/12/2014

5.01
112.49
14.39
102.57
5.00

130.53
108.55
6.03
63.36
42.21
18.15
15.85

39.79
7.15
117.07
942.32
12.81
1,358.59

32.47
3.80
84.71
978.31
19.06
1,503.03

R$ MM
Liabilities
Current
Suppliers
Income tax
Payroll
Loans and financing
Account payables w ith related parties
Other account payables
Non Current
Loans and financing
Provisions for retirement obligations
Shareholders Equity
Social Capital
Retained investments
Retained earnings
Total liabilities and shareholder equity

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

31/12/2013 31/12/2014

292.77
17.94
4.04
628.59
183.92
7.06
68.57
368.59
(212.89)
1,358.59

80.32
43.28
17.02
33.46
7.01
6.53
730.60
57.37
618.59
8.88
(100.03)
1,503.03

68

Appendix II
Balance Sheet | Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery

Balance Sheet - Eneva Participaes RJ *

Balance Sheet - Eneva Participaes RJ *


R$ MM
Assets
Current
Cash
Diverse Credits
Inventory
Restricted Deposits
Prepaid Expenses
Non Current
Long term asset
AFAC
Investments
Fixed assets
Intagible
Total assets
* Non audited

31/12/2014

11.27
95.55
24.37
0.00
0.00
107.19
1.00
137.28
19.01
25.83
421.50

R$ MM
Passivo
Current
Suppliers
Payroll
Tax, rates and contribuitions
Others
Non-current
Long term liabilities
Shareholders' equity
Social Capital
Capital reserve
Patrimonial adjustment reserve
AFCI
Retained earnings or loss
Year profit
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
* Non audited

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

31/12/2014

55.31
1.40
10.65
5.42
126.76
266.76
62.00
1.00
25.75
(62.42)
(71.14)
421.50

69

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

70

Appendix III
Book value

Book value of the non-operational and pre-operational companies


Equity Value at 100%
Company
(R$ MM)
4
Seival Participaes S.A
39.49
Seival Gerao de Energia Ltda. (1)
Au II Gerao de Energia S.A.
UTE Porto do Au S.A.
MPX Chile Holding Ltda.
Sul Gerao de Energia Ltda.
Eneva Comercializadora de Comb. Ltda.
Eneva Solar Empreendimentos Ltda.
Au III Gerao de Energia Ltda.
Tau Gerao de Energia Ltda. (2)
Eneva Comercializadora de Energia S.A.
SPE Ventos

5
6
7
8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

Eneva Participaes
Stake (%)

Adjusted Equity Value


(R$ MM)

50%

19.75

50%

4.67

50%

2.34

44.00

50%

22.00

0.22

50%

0.11

13.15

50%

6.57

(0.04)

100%

(0.04)

8.42

100%

8.42

2.52

100%

2.52

100%

19.54

100%

19.54

1.47

100%

1.47

(1) - Equity value is included within consolidation of Seival Participaes S.A.


(2) - Equity value is included within consolidation of Eneva Solar Empreendimentos Ltda.
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

71

Contents

Glossary

I. Executive Summary

II. Information about the appraiser

13

III. Information about the companies

16

IV. Market information overview

23

V. Valuation Methodology

27

VI. Assumptions

32

IX. Valuation

49

Appendix I Curricula vitae

63

Appendix II Balance Sheet

67

Appendix III Book Value

70

Appendix IV Discount Rates

72

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

72

Appendix IV
Discount rate

Parnaba III and Parnaba IV

Discount rate

Source:
During Sudene

After Sudene

After PPA renew al

(a)

3.4%

3.4%

3.4%

American inflation ("CPI")

(b)

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

Long Term Brazilian inflation ("IPCA")

(c)

5.5%

5.5%

5.5%

(c) Long term Brazilian inflation Central Bank of Brazil

(d) = [1 + a] / [1 + b] * [1 + c] -1

6.9%

6.9%

6.9%

Equity risk premium (ERP)

(e)

4.6%

4.6%

4.6%

Unleverage beta - setorial

(f)

0.57

0.57

0.57

D/E

(g)

78.0%

78.0%

78.0%

(g) Debt to Equity (sector) Bloomberg

Effective tax rate

(h)

15.3%

34.0%

34.0%

0.95

0.86

0.86

(h) Effective tax rate Tax effective rate applicable to the


company

RF - T-Bond 30 years - 2 years

RF Adjusted

Releverage beta

(i) = f * [1 + [g * [1 - h]]]

(a) Risk free rate Bloomberg


(b) USA CPI Economist Intelligence Unit

(e) Equity risk premium Damodaran

(f) Unleverage beta (sector) Bloomberg

Country risk premium - EMBI+ (CRP) - 2 y

(j)

2.18%

2.18%

2.18%

Size premium

(k)

1.98%

1.98%

1.98%

(j) Country risk premium J.P Morgan


(k) Size premium Ibbotson research

Alpha factor

(L)

0.00%

0.00%

2.00%

Re= d + [e * i] + j + k

15.4%

15.06%

17.06%

(m)

56.2%

56.2%

56.2%

(Re)

15.4%

15.1%

17.1%

(m) % Equity (sector) Bloomberg

(n)

43.8%

43.8%

43.8%

(n) % Debt (sector) Bloomberg

Effective tax rate

(h)

15.3%

34.0%

34.0%

(p) Cost of Debt CDI x 120%

Cost of debt after tax

(p)

11.8%

9.2%

9.2%

13.83%

12.48%

13.60%

CAPM nom inal R$


% Equity
CAPM nominal R$
% Debt

WACC nom inal R$

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

(L) Alpha factor Risk associated to PPA renewal

73

Appendix IV
Discount rate

PGN

Discount rate

Source:
(a) Risk free rate Bloomberg

During Sudene

After Sudene

(a)

3.4%

3.4%

(b) USA CPI Economist Intelligence Unit

American inflation ("CPI")

(b)

2.0%

2.0%

Long Term Brazilian inflation ("IPCA")

(c)

5.5%

5.5%

(c) Long term Brazilian inflation Central Bank of Brazil

(d) = (1 + a) / (1 + b) * (1 + c) -1

6.9%

6.9%

Equity risk premium (ERP)

(e)

4.6%

4.6%

(f) Unleverage beta (sector) Bloomberg

Unleverage beta - setorial

(f)

0.98

0.98

(g) Debt to Equity (sector) Bloomberg

D/E

(g)

42.9%

42.9%

Effective tax rate

(h)

23.9%

34.0%

(i) = f * {1 + [g * (1 - h)]}

1.31

1.26

(j) Country risk premium J.P Morgan

RF - T-Bond 30 years - 2 years

RF Adjusted

Releverage beta

(e) Equity risk premium Damodaran

(h) Effective tax rate Tax effective rate applicable to the


company

Country risk premium - EMBI+ (CRP) - 2 y

(j)

2.18%

2.18%

(k) Size premium Ibbotson research

Size premium

(k)

1.98%

1.98%

(L) % Equity (sector) Bloomberg

Re = d + (e * i) + j + k

17.1%

16.9%

% Equity

(L)

70.0%

70.0%

(m) % Debt (sector) Bloomberg

% Debt

(m)

30.0%

30.0%

CAPM nom inal R$

Cost of debt before tax


Tax rate
Cost of debt after tax
WACC nom inal R$

(n)

13.9%

13.9%

(h)

23.9%

34.0%

(o) = n * (1 - h)

10.6%

9.2%

= Re * L + o * m

15.14%

14.58%

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.

(n) Cost of Debt CDI x 120%

74

2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda., a Brazilian limited liability company


operating in Brazil and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent
member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG
International"), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Brazil.
The KPMG name, logo and cutting through complexity are registered
trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG
International).

You might also like