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Economic and financial valuation report of: Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery and Parnaba Gs Natural S.A.
Dear Sirs,
Under the terms of our proposal, dated April 9, 2015, for professional services and subsequent understandings, KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. (KPMG) has
performed the economic and financial valuation of Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery (Eneva Participaes JR) and Parnaba Gs Natural S.A.
(PGN), at the base date of December 31st, 2014.
It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is a free translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of discrepancies between
the report in Portuguese sent on April 13, 2015 and the free translation report, the former shall prevail in all matters.
Yours Sincerely,
Augusto Sales
Partner
Important Notes
For the benefit of this report, Eneva S.A. in Judicial Recovery (Eneva JR or
Client), Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery (Eneva
Participaes JR) and Parnaba Gs Natural S.A. (PGN), altogether will be
referred to as Companies.
On February 12th, 2015, Eneva and Eneva Participaes filed a Plan for
Judicial Recovery (JRP), in accordance with Article 53 of the Brazilian
Judicial Recovery Law. Within this context, Eneva JR seeks to initiate a
capital increase. Such potential capital increase envisages a change in Eneva
JRs shareholding structure, and, in case the JRP obtains full approval for
execution, such mutations in shareholding structure are planned to be made
through the following contributions: (i) cash; (ii) credit capitalization; (iii) and
asset subscription.
This report has been elaborated by KPMG, as per Eneva JRs Board of
Directors requisition, as a support for the Transaction. The report, according
to the JRP, will be presented to Eneva JRs Creditor Committee. In case of
approval, the report will be presented to the Extraordinary General
Shareholders meeting.
This report may not be circulated, copied, published or, by any matters,
utilized, nor may it be archived, partly or integrally, without KPMGs previous
consent. As this report will be used in the analysis of a potential capital
increase transaction (Transaction) involving Eneva JR, which is a Brazilian
company listed with the So Paulo Stock Exchange (Bovespa), as well as
subject to the reporting requirements of the Brazilian Stock Exchange
Commission (CVM), the Client may give access to the report to CVM only to
the extent required by law and shall remain fully responsible for any damage
or injury resulting or arising from such access, which may be experienced by
Eneva, KPMG, including representatives of KPMG, or any third party.
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Important Notes
The preparation of this report was based on our reliance, with the express
approval of the Client, on the accuracy, content, veracity, completeness,
sufficiency and integrity of the data provided to or discussed with KPMG. Thus,
KPMG has not inspected any asset, or prepared or obtained an independent
valuation of the Clients assets, liabilities, or its solvency. Therefore, the Client,
including its Management, takes responsibility for all information provided to or
discussed with KPMG.
It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is a free
translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of discrepancies
between the report in Portuguese sent on April 13, 2015 and the free
translation report, the former shall prevail in all matters.
All estimates and projections herein presented have been provided by the
Information Providers; when necessary, such estimates and projections have
been adjusted by KPMG, according to its own judgment on their reasonability,
and are assumed to be underpinned by the Information Providers
managements best evaluation of the Companies and respective markets
best perspectives.
KPMG based its work on the information provided by the Information Providers
and/or other representatives of such Information Providers. Therefore, the
Client, including its Management, takes responsibility for all information
provided to or discussed with KPMG.
KPMG has not verified independently the information provided by the Client,
so, it cannot confirm the precision, accuracy and sufficiency of such
information and, therefore, the Client assumes all responsibility for the
information provided to KPMG.
Any changes in the information provided by the Client and E.ON to KPMG may
impact the results of this report. KPMG assumes no responsibility for updating,
reviewing or amending this report, as a result of the disclosure of any
information subsequent to the date of the issuance of this report.
During the course of our work, we carried out analysis procedures whenever
necessary. However, we emphasize that our work did not constitute an audit of
the financial statements or of any other information provided by the Client or
E.ON and should not be interpreted as such. Our work took into consideration
the relevance of each item, therefore, less relevant assets and liabilities were
not analyzed in detail.
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Important Notes
The sum of the individual values herein presented may diverge from the
sums presented in this report, due to rounding issues.
Our valuation was made on the basis of events which can be reasonably
expected, and therefore does not take into account extraordinary and
unforeseeable events (new industry regulations, changes in tax laws, natural
catastrophes, major social and political events, nationalization etc.), which
may cause adverse effects on the Companies.
This report is not to be used as a sole basis for the evaluation of the
Companies, for the report does not contain all necessary information for such
use. Therefore, this report is not to be interpreted as a proposal, solicitation,
suggestion, nor recommendation by KPMG for the Transaction. Any decision
taken by the Companies shareholders shall be assumed integrally by the
same shareholders. KPMG will not take any responsibility as to the
Companies shareholders decisions.
We emphasize that a valuation establishes a theoretical estimate within an
interaction involving a buyer and a seller, where both are intended to close a
deal, with the necessary access to all relevant information, and assuming that
neither parties have the immediate necessity to buy or sell. An effective
negotiation does not necessarily reflect such conditions, and may include
other elements; consequently, the estimated value need not be used in the
effective transaction.
This report does not envisage the satisfaction of any personal nor specific
interests. Thus, results from other evaluations, elaborated by third parties, may
diverge from our results. Notwithstanding, such divergence should not be
regarded as an inherent deficiency of the realized work.
The scope of our engagement did not include the detection of fraud in the
Companies operations, processes, records or documents.
The services performed herein may have been based on legal and
administrative rules. In this regard, we note that our legislation is complex and
often the same provision can be interpreted in multiple ways. KPMG always
seeks to be up-to-date on the various interpretative tendencies, in order to
permit a broad assessment of the alternatives and risks involved. Even so,
there may be some interpretations of the law that differ from ours. Under these
circumstances, neither KPMG, nor any other firm, can provide total assurance
that the Company will not be questioned by third parties or government
authorities.
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Contents
ACL
ACR
ANEEL
ANP
BACEN or BCB
BCM
BMI
BM&F
BOVESPA
CAGR
CAPM
CCEAL
CCEAR
CCEE
COFINS
CoGS
CRP
CVM
CVU
D&A
DCF
EBIT
EBITDA
EBT
EIA
EIU
EMBI
EPE
ERP
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Contents
E&P
GDP
GVB
GVR
GW
Giga Watt
IBGE
IFRS
INEA
IPCA
IRPJ
ITS
JRP
KPMG
LNG
MBA
MMBtu
MW
Mega Watt
MWh
M&A
NOPAT
NPV
ONS
Opex
Operational Expenses
O&M
PE
Private Equity
PIS
PLD
PPA
PPP
Public-Private Partnership
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Contents
RGR
R$
Brazilian Real
R&D
RF
Risk Free
SE
Shareholders Equity
SELIC
SG&A
SPE
SUDENE
TPP or UTE
TCF
WACC
WC
Working Capital
BNDESPAR
BPMB
BTG
Cambuhy
Cambuhy Investimentos
Eneva JR
Eneva Participaes JR
E.ON
E.ON S.E.
PGN
OGX
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
I. Executive Summary
Introduction
On February 12th, 2015, Eneva and Eneva Participaes filed a Plan for
Judicial Recovery (JRP), in accordance with Article 53 of the Brazilian
Judicial Recovery Law. Within this context, Eneva JR seeks to initiate a
capital increase transaction. Such transaction envisages a change in
Eneva JRs shareholder structure, and, should the JRP obtain full approval
for execution, such mutations in shareholder structure are planned to be
made through the following contributions: (i) cash; (ii) credits capitalization;
(iii) and assets subscription.
Given the above mentioned context and background, the objective of our
work, in accordance with the Clients request was to perform a valuation of
PGN and Eneva Participaes, in order to underpin the possible asset
subscription.
Basis of information
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10
Our work was based on the equity position and information obtained
prior to the date of issuance of this report.
It is important to point out that KPMG will not update this report after
the date of issuance.
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
11
I. Executive Summary
Summary of Results
Based on the scope of our report, and subject to the assumptions, restrictions, and limitations described herein, we have estimated the fair value of Eneva
Participaes JR and PGN as at December 31, 2014, as presented below.
Eneva Participaes S.A. in Judicial Recovery
Equity Value
per share
(R$)
1.13
Equity Value
100%
(R$ MM)
302.15
E.ONs stake
(50.0%)
(R$MM)
151.07
-
PGN
1.25
Equity Value
per share
(R$)
1.46
317.26
332.36
Equity Value
100%
(R$ MM)
984.96
158.63
166.18
+
E.ONs stake
(9.09%)
(R$MM)
1.19
89.53
-
1.53
1.60
1,034.08
1,083.20
94.00
98.46
+
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
12
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
13
firms that provide Audit, Tax and Advisory services. KPMG International
provides no services. However, its member firms perform Audit, Tax and
Advisory practices (through the Audit departments, Tax and Advisory,
respectively). Together, KPMG International's member firms have more than
155 thousand employees across the world, and is present in 155 countries.
KPMG brand was created in 1987 from the merge of Peat Marwick
The approval of the report occurred only after it was reviewed by the
There are no commercial and credit relations that could impact the
Report;
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
14
Enel
State Grid
Mitsui & Co
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
Dresser Rend
Equatorial Energia
Iberdrola
2013
2013
Vicel
2014
2014
SN Power
Brasympe
2013
2013
2013
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
2013
15
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
16
2007
2008
Lauching of the fundamental
stone marks the inicial phase
of construction and mounting
of one of the leading projects
of Eneva's portfolio.
2010
2012
2013
2014
2015
Operational Information
Eneva JR has a portfolio of gas fueled power plants, and has an array of
Eneva initiates its judicial recovery process on December 9th, 2014. The judicial recovery
process is a consequence, among other factors, of (i) not renewing the agreement to
suspend the amortization and payment of interest of financial transactions contracted by
Eneva and certain subsidiaries with its financial creditors, expired on November 21st, 2014;
and (ii) not having reached an agreement with the financial institutions involved in the
implementation of Enevas stabilization plan aimed at strengthening the capital structure
and measures for the re-profiling of Enevas financial debt.
31/12/2014
499.14
(553.21)
(54.07)
(10.31)
(64.38)
(19.28)
(83.66)
21.24
(62.42)
(146.07)
Source: Eneva JR
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17
ENEVA
PARTICIPAES
S.A.
50%
50%
4
Seival
Participaes
S.A.
6
Au II Gerao
de Energia S.A.
7
UTE Porto
do Au
Energia S.A.
50%
50%
50%
8
MPX Chile
Holding
Ltda.
9
Parnaba
Participaes
S.A.
100%
100%
50%
10
Sul Gerao de
Energia Ltda..
11
ENEVA
Comerc. de
Combustveis
Ltda.
100%
12
ENEVA Solar
Empreendimentos Ltda.
13
Au III Gerao
de Energia
Ltda.
100%
Seival
Gerao de
Energia
Ltda.
70%
70%
70%
Parnaba III
Gerao de
Energia S.A.
Parnaba IV
Gerao de
Energia S.A.
Parnaba
Gerao e
Comerc. de
Energia S.A.
100%
14
Tau Gerao
De Energia
Ltda.
Source: Eneva JR
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100%
100%
15
ENEVA
Comerc. de
Energia Ltda..
16
SPEs Ventos*
18
Parnaba
Comercializadora
Kinross Mining
95%
5%
Parnaba III
Parnaba IV
Concession agreement
CCEAR N
7179/08
N/A ( 1)
176
56
101.8
52
98
49
2028 (1)
(1) - Parnaba IV is a "Free Market" power plant, which operates under an
authorization agreement. It obtained a license/authorization to operate and sell
energy in bilateral agreements.
Concession/authorization expiry
2027
CCEAL
Agreements
100%
Parnaba IVs
generated energy
Parnaba Comercializadora is a break-even company, therefore does
not generate material profits nor losses.
Source: Eneva JR
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19
Description
Equity Value at
100% (R$ MM)
Company
5
Seival Gerao de Energia Ltda.
6
Au II Gerao de Energia S.A.
7
UTE Porto do Au Energia S.A.
8
MPX Chile Holding Ltda.
10
Sul Gerao de Energia Ltda.
ENEVA Comercializadora de
Combustveis Ltda.
Equity Value at
100% (R$ MM)
13
4
Seival Participaes S.A.
Description
39.49
2.52
14
4.67
ENEVA Comercializadora de
Energia S.A.
44.00
SPE Ventos
0.22
13.15
(0.04)
8.42
19.54
15
1.47
11
12
Source: Eneva JR
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20
PGN
Consortiums information
The upstream consortium in the Parnaba Basin (Consortium) currently
operates 3 gas fields and 7 exploration blocks with a total approximate area
of 21 thousand square kilometers in the Maranho State.
Below is presented a simplified diagram of the Consortiums current
operation.
PGN owns a 70% stake in the Consortium that holds the concessions of 7
blocks in the Parnaba Basin (21,000 km).
Current production from GVR field: c. 5.6 million m3/day.
The Consortium estimates reserves of more than 1 TCF (around 32.3
party geological studies were hired and results are expected for the 2nd
half of 2015.
The blocks operated by Parnaba Gs Natural (former OGX Maranho)
E.ON
Eneva JR
Cambuhy
Investimentos
BTG Patcual
18%
9%
73%
BPMB
PGN
Integrated project concept Gas to wire
UTE I (675MW), UTE III (178 MW) and UTE IV (56MW) are already in
operation. UTE II (517 MW) will be concluded in 2018; however, the PPA
will start only in 2016 because of the waiver granted by ANEEL.
Source: E.ON
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
100%
70%
30%
Consortium
21
PGN
In 2015, the company will conduct an onshore drilling campaign in Brazil.
Discovered wells and new production wells will be drilled, which could allow
PGN to increase production capacity by 70%, by July, 2016, to 8.4 million
cubic meters per day.
31/12/2013
323.71
(118.84)
204.88
31/12/2014
581.98
(274.49)
307.49
(76.06)
(25.57)
(0.56)
(102.19)
102.69
(43.77)
(30.88)
(8.35)
(83.01)
224.48
24.83
(73.11)
(33.65)
(81.93)
20.76
(7.65)
(0.48)
12.64
55.73
(92.15)
(9.99)
(46.41)
178.07
(23.97)
(32.36)
121.74
22
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
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23
Macroeconomic trends
GDP expanded meagerly in 2014 and more recent data suggest that
inflation and foster GDP growth. In March 2013 annual interest rate was
7.25%, the lowest in Brazil's history. From then on, there have been nine
consecutive hikes, and annual interest rate has reached 12.75%.
2,71
2,76
2,79
2,86
2,96
3,06
2,36
1,76
According to the Brazilian Central Bank, the forecasted GDP variation for
1,94
2,14
1,67
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Projected
6,50
5,91
6,38
4,21
5,84 5,80
4,13
3,66
5,70
4,50
4,70
4,79
2018
2019
2020
3,10
2,50
2,50
2,50
2,55
2010
2011
2012
2013
Projected
Projected
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BCB (31/12/2014)
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2014
2015
2016
2017
24
Sources of energy
77% of the electricity in Brazil comes from hydraulic plants, which are
Others
Nuclear6%
2%
Biomass
7%
Natural gas
8%
Distributors:
Electricity
generation
matrix
Hydraulic
77%
a)
b)
c)
d)
Source: EPE
available for all producers, as long as the grids are interconnected and as
long as the producers pay transmission fees.
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25
Production
Reserves
In the next years, oil production in Brazil was expected to grow, thanks to
4.5
4,5
4.0
4,0
3.5
3,5
3.0
3,0
2.5
2,5
2.0
2,0
1.5
1,5
1.0
1,0
0.5
0,5
0.0
0,0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
4
3
2
Projected
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Projected
2012
Projected
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
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Projected
26
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
27
V. Valuation Methodology
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow
This methodology estimates the economic value (or the market value) of a
company by calculating the present value of projected cash flows, i.e. the
income and expenses (including investments needed for maintaining and
expanding the companys activities) that are predictable from the perspective
of perpetuity of the entity. These projections should take into consideration
the business plan established by the companys management, the prospects
of the sector in which the company operates and macroeconomic aspects.
The Discounted Cash Flow Methodology can be used to value any type of
company provided it has a business plan that is consistent and feasible. This
methodology is recommended for companies that have reasonable prospects
for significant expansion of their activities and whose business plan may be
considered appropriate for achieving this growth, since the methodology is
based on future cash flows.
This methodology reflects the value of the intangible assets, such as brand
name, client portfolio, product portfolio, among others, as all these assets
have an effect on the companys capacity to generate results.
The Free Cash Flow to the Firm aims to evaluate the company as a
whole, that includes, beyond the stockholding, the participation of others
holders of rights in the company (holders of bonds, shareholders, etc).
The Free Cash Flow to the Firm can be represented by the following
formula:
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V. Valuation Methodology
Historical
Income Statement
Assumptions
Adjustments
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V. Valuation Methodology
Discount rate
Establishing the discount rate is a fundamental stage of the economic valuation. This single factor reflects aspects of a subjective nature, varying from one
investor to another, such as opportunity cost and individual perception of investment risk.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)
The cost of capital for the Companies was calculated using the WACC
methodology. WACC takes into consideration various financing components,
including debt, cost of equity and hybrid bonds used by companies to finance
its cash needs. It is calculated according to the following formula:
The cost of equity for the Companies was calculated using the CAPM
methodology. Using the CAPM methodology, the cost of equity is
calculated according to the following formula:
Rf (1+Ia) x (1+Ibr)
+
D/(D+E)
* (E[Rm] - Rf)
Kd * (1-t)
CRP
E/(D+E)
Rs
+
D
E
t
Kd
Ke
=
=
=
=
=
Ke
=
E/(D+E)*Ke+(D/(D+E)*Kd = WACC
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Total debt
Total equity
Tax rate
Cost of debt
Cost of equity
[(1+Rf)/(1+Ia)*(1+Ibr)-1] +(*Rm)+CRP+Rs+ = Ke
Cost of Equity
Rf
E[Rm]
E[Rm] - Rf
CRP
Rs
Ia
Ibr
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=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
30
V. Valuation Methodology
The risk-free rate is derived with reference to the 2 year average bond yield
on the United States 30 year treasury bond (T-Bond) rate between January
1st, 2013 and December 31st, 2014 or approximately 3.4%. (Source:
Bloomberg, historical data)
The build up of the cost of equity to this point has been based on
the United States equity and bond markets. As such a CRP is
considered a necessary component in the cost of equity to
incorporate additional risk associated with investing in the country,
which is typically not reflected in the cash flows.
To estimate the long term stock market risk premium (E[Rm] Rf), we relied
upon the average return above the Treasury Bond rate provided by investing
in the U.S. stock market, which was 4.6% (source: Aswath Damodaran
website).
Beta
Size premium
To account for PGN and Enevas size, we have added 1.98% to the
cost of equity, this is the risk associated with Low Capitalization
companies, through studies done by Duff & Phelps (2014).
Alpha factor
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31
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
32
Assumptions
Introduction
The Parnaba Complex is an energy park that, given the proximity between
the gas fields (upstream) and TPPs (downstream), is founded on an
integrated model.
Downstream
MA
Upstream
Overview of Downstream
Parnaba I
675
Parnaba II
517
Parnaba III
178
Parnaba IV
56
Total
1426
33
Assumptions
Introduction (cont.)
The initial source of gas, which is contractually guaranteed until 2027 for
Parnaba III, and 2028 for Parnaba IV, will be provided by the Consortium.
The proximity between the gas fields, gas treatment units, and thermal power
plants integrate the Downstream and Upstream businesses, as presented
bellow:
Source: Eneva JR
Albeit the fact that the gas supply agreements for Parnaba III and IV are
bound to expire in 2027 and 2028 respectively, Eneva JRs management
strongly supports the assumption that the TPPs will be able to extend the
concession period until 2042 and 2043 respectively.
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34
Assumptions
Introduction (cont.)
37.7
70
70.0
Morada Nova
BCM
Tianguar
60
Esperantinpolis
Baslios
50
Havana
Axixa
40
23.9
32.3
Angical
GVR
30
GVB
SE BJ
Isabel
20
Chicote
Alencar
Raimundo
10
6.1
1.9
0.4
8.4
Sossgo
Vitria
Source: E.ON
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35
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Revenues
Fixed revenues (CCEAR Contract): Revenues from the energy generation capacity availability, as agreed in the CCEAR contracts signed in the 2008 A-5
Auction. The volumes were estimated based on the 98 Average MW capacity, as per the CCEAR contract, and the total number of hours of each year. The price
was projected based on the agreed prices in the A-5 Auction, and have been annually adjusted by the Brazilian Inflation-index IPCA.
It is important to point out that current CCEAR contracts are bound to expire in 2027, and that from 2028 onwards the applied assumption assumes a PPA
renewal under the same conditions as the one currently in place, with the rationale presented in page 34. In order to contemplate the risk associated to such
renovation, an alpha factor was included in the discount rate from 2027 onwards, as in page 73).
Variable revenues (CCEAR CVU): O&M reimbursements were calculated based on the expected net energy dispatch, provided by Eneva JRs management,
and the O&M agreed payment per dispatched megawatt-hour, which is specified in the CCEAR contract.
Please find below the revenue projection that has been used for Parnaba III
1,322 1,323
900
CCEAR Renewal
800
1.200
700
600
802
800
500
600
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
504
R$MM
GW/h
1.000
400
454
300
400
200
200
100
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042
Source: Eneva JR
CCEAR Revenues
CCEAR CVU
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36
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Deductions
Deduction taxes: Deductions on gross revenues comprise PIS and Cofins at rates of 1.65% and 7.60% respectively. Given that the TPP uses production factors
in order to deliver energy, the TPP has the right to claim PIS and Cofins credits.
Fixed costs
O&M fixed costs: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, and have been annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
ANEEL fees: Contractually agreed, within the CCEAR agreement, and is a fixed fee on the total installed capacity of the TPP, and was annually adjusted by
Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
TUST: Contractually agreed, within the CCEAR agreement, and is a fixed tariff on the total installed capacity of the TPP, net of transmission losses, and was
annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
CCEE contribution: Fixed contribution on the total installed capacity of the TPP. It was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
RGR over fixed revenues: As per regulation requirements, Parnaba III contributes 1.0% of its fixed revenues, net of deductions, to Eletrobras R&D fund, RGR.
Fixed-lease payment: The TPP has an agreement with the Consortium to pay a fixed-lease, which is contractually determined by the parties.
Overhauling: Projected according to the TPPs contract with its service provider, which was calculated according to the amount of energy dispatch throughout
the projection.
Insurance: Parnaba III is entirely insured on its fixed and variable revenues. The insurance premium payment was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index
IPCA.
Fixed costs breakdown
350
306
300
250
R$ MM
203
200
156
150
122
100
47
57
54
57
62
66
69
73
77
86
86
90
96
101
112
119
125
132
139
154
155
164
173
182
50
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042
Source: Eneva JR
O&M
ANEEL fee
TUST
CCEE contribution
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Overhauling
Insurance
37
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Variable costs
Variable O&M costs: Projected according to the expected gross energy dispatch. A unit O&M cost (R$/MWh) annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index
IPCA was then applied on the dispatched energy.
RGR over variable revenues: As per regulation requirements, Parnaba III contributes 1.0% of its variable revenues, net of deductions, to Eletrobras R&D fund,
RGR.
Fuel purchase: Variable fuel purchase has been projected according to expected gross energy dispatch. Fuel price is contractually determined by Parnaba III
and the gas producers, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
Variable-lease agreement: Calculated as the difference between: (i) total revenues and; (ii) fixed TPPs revenues; (iii) variable TPPs costs; and (iv) taxes,
regulatory fees and insurance.
Total costs
Please find below the cost projection that has been used for Parnaba III:
Total costs projection
700,0
641
296
600,0
500
R$ MM
500,0
410
400,0
300,0
342
273
47
200,0
100,0
226
308
295
54
224
204
241
50
143
153
53
118
171
59
90
106
112
180
62
118
190
201
212
66
69
73
125
131
139
228
82
146
236
81
154
249
86
163
263
91
172
277
151
107
325
112
343
119
362
125
382
146
181
202
213
225
237
147
155
192
474
173
164
132
96
191
425
449
250
264
278
294
556
310
327
345
364
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042
Source: Eneva JR
Variable costs
Fixed costs
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38
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Depreciation
Total fiscal depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 10 years (at a 10% p.y. rate).
Total accounting depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 25 years (at a 4% p.y. rate).
Capex
Major capital expenditures were done during the construction period (2011-2015). Throughout the projection period, with exceptions to 2015, maintenance Capex
is included within the O&M costs (Overhauling).
Income taxes
The TPP is taxed within the real regime, with income taxes and social contribution rates at 25% and 9% respectively. It is worth mentioning, however, that
Parnaba III owns the following fiscal benefits:
Lucro da Explorao Exploration Profit, granted by SUDENE, from 2014 to 2023; and
Accelerated depreciation which allows the TPP to depreciate its items with a 10% annual depreciation rate.
Working capital
The projection considers an average of 45 days for account receivables on revenues and 50 days for accounts payable on costs and expenses.
Source: Eneva JR
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39
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Revenues
ACL revenues: Calculated based on the expected net energy dispatch, estimated by Eneva JRs management, and the agreed payment per dispatched
megawatt-hour, which is specified in the PPA agreement with Kinross Mining and Parnaba Comercializadora S.A..
It is worth mentioning that, albeit the current ACL expires in 2019, the projection assumes that such contract will be renovated until 2028.
Please find below the revenue projection that has been used for Parnaba IV.
350
430
430
PPA Renewal
300
380
250
350,0
306
250,0
200
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
221
R$MM
GW/h
300,0
150
200,0
150,0
100
100,0
50
50,0
-
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043
CCEAL Revenues
Other revenues
Source: Eneva JR
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40
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Deductions
Deduction taxes: Deductions on gross revenues comprise PIS and Cofins at rates of 1.65% and 7.60% respectively. Given that the TPP uses production factors
in order to deliver energy, the TPP has the right to claim PIS and Cofins credits.
Fixed costs
O&M fixed costs: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, and have been annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
ANEEL fees: Contractually agreed; it is a fixed fee on the total installed capacity of the TPP, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
TUST: Contractually agreed; it is a fixed tariff on the total installed capacity of the TPP, net of transmission losses, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian
inflation-index IPCA.
CCEE contribution: Fixed contribution on the total installed capacity of the TPP. It was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
Overhauling: Projected according to the TPPs contract with its service provider, which was calculated according to the amount of energy dispatch throughout
the projection.
Insurance: Parnaba IV is entirely insured on its revenues. The insurance premium payment was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
R$ MM
50
47
40
30
20
17
17
15
14
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
25
26
27
29
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
10
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043
Source: Eneva JR
O&M
ANEEL fee
TUST
CCEE contribution
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Overhauling
Insurance
41
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Variable costs
Variable O&M costs: Projected according to the expected gross energy dispatch. A unit O&M cost (R$/MWh) annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index
IPCA was then applied on the dispatched energy.
RGR over variable revenues: As per regulation requirements, Parnaba IV contributes 1.0% of its variable revenues, net of deductions, to Eletrobras R&D fund,
RGR.
Fuel purchase: Variable fuel purchase has been projected according to expected gross energy dispatch. Fuel price is contractually determined by Parnaba IV
and the gas producers, and was annually adjusted by Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
Total costs
Please find below the cost projection that has been used for Parnaba III:
180
161
153
R$ MM
160
145
137
140
130
120
100
80
49
48
48
50
53
55
47
40
17
15
14
14
15
16
17
33
34
35
39
30
32
37
20
60
59
17
42
65
69
62
20
18
19
44
46
49
73
21
51
77
22
54
81
23
57
85
25
60
90
26
64
95
100
27
67
29
71
105
30
75
111
32
79
117
34
83
123
47
165
47
44
44
42
40
38
36
88
92
98
103
109
115
121
128
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043
Source: Eneva JR
Variable costs
Fixed costs
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42
Assumptions
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Depreciation
Total fiscal depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 10 years (at a 10% p.y. rate).
Total accounting depreciation of property, plant & equipment is done in 25 years (at a 4% p.y. rate).
Capex
Major capital expenditures were done during the construction period (2011-2014). Throughout the projection period, maintenance Capex is included within the
O&M costs (overhauling).
Income taxes
The TPP is taxed within the real regime, with income taxes and social contribution rates at 25% and 9% respectively. It is worth mentioning, however, that
Parnaba IV owns the following fiscal benefits:
Lucro da Explorao Exploration Profit, granted by SUDENE, from 2014 to 2023; and
Accelerated depreciation which allows the TPP to depreciate its items with a 10% annual depreciation rate.
Working capital
The projection considers an average of 45 days for account receivables on revenues and 50 days for accounts payable on costs and expenses.
Source: Eneva JR
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43
Assumptions
PGN
Revenues
The results presented below represent 70% of the total revenues that the Consortium generates.
Gas contracts revenues: Based on the gas demand from the 4 TPPs, these revenues match the fuel purchase costs of the downstream business.
Fixed revenues: The TPP has an agreement with the gas producers to pay a fixed-lease, which is contractually determined by the parties.
Variable revenues: The variable-lease revenues, which derive exclusively from Parnaba I and III, were calculated based on the difference between: (i) total
revenues and; (ii) fixed revenues; (iii) variable costs; and (iv) taxes, regulatory fees and insurance.
Condensate gas: It is a low-density liquid present in gas fields. This revenue line was projected by multiplying volume in million Boe (barrel of oil equivalent) and
the condensate price in million reais. It represents an average of 0.5% of the total revenue up until the end of the contracts with the TPPs.
R$ MM
1200,0
1000,0
738
800,0
609
600,0
400,0
200,0
178
4
140
150
3
149
437
287
791
703
173
4
158
457
629
111
4
167
348
133
4
176
391
743
141
4
186
412
784
149
5
196
435
828
157
5
207
459
873
165
5
218
485
921
175
5
230
512
1.026
972
184
6
243
540
194
6
256
570
1.129
1.078
984
205
2
270
601
1.014
157
6
165
2
243
256
579
591
1.070
174
2
270
623
184
2
285
658
194
2
301
694
313
0
2
330
0
2
346
0
310
328
346
122
0
122
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Source: E.ON
Gas contract
Fixed rental
Condensate
Variable rental
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44
Assumptions
PGN
Deductions
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums deductions.
Deduction taxes: Deductions on gross revenues comprise PIS and Cofins at rates of 1.65% and 7.60% respectively, and ICMS (which is exclusively on gas
sales) at a 4.6% rate. Additionally, it was considered PIS and Cofins credit of 1.65% + 7.60% on 50% over Opex, abandonment costs, exploration expenses and
depreciation.
Special participations: A progressive tax applied on the gas production exceeding 450 thousand cubic meters of BOE from each well.
ANEEL fees: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, annually adjusted by the Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
Royalties: It was projected as 10.0% of the total gross revenues throughout the entire projection period.
Costs
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums Opex and other costs
Opex: Based on the 2015 budget and production projection, adjusted by the Brazilian inflation-index IPCA. It is worth noticing the depletion of the wells from 2032
up to 2036.
Landowner share: According to Brazilian law, the landowner must receive 1.0% of the total revenue.
Easement Agreement: Pipelines have several kilometers of length, and pass over farms and lands owned by third parties. In this contract, the owners of such
lands grant a right of access and easement to the construction, maintenance and removal of the pipeline. In exchange for such services, the Consortium must pay
an insurance and an indexed amount, which is paid periodically.
Abandonment costs: As per regulation requirements, once the gas well is depleted, the company must remove the equipment, plug the well and remediate the
surface so as to prevent the leakage of hydrocarbons and any damage to the environment in the surrounding area. E.ONs management considered an
assumption of R$ 1.5 million per well. The abandonment costs were more substantial in 2040, given that the wells will be closed at the same year.
R$ MM
158
82
46
56
73
86
101
93
89
98
104
115
120
127
134
140
70
67
71
26
2015
Source: E.ON
52
76
120
2016
2017
2018
2019
Opex
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Landowner share
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Easement agreement
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2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
45
Assumptions
PGN
Expenses
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums expenses.
Rental to ANP: Calculated according to current contract assumptions, adjusted by the Brazilian inflation-index IPCA.
SG&A: Composed by three factors: production, development & infrastructure and exploration. It is important to mention that, in 2019, the end of exploration of
new gas fields causes a reduction in SG&A.
Exploration expenses: Projected as a combination of expenses from exploration, drilling and other finding expenditures (Seismic, injection wells, among others).
PGN Expenses projection
100
91
89
90
R$ MM
80
70
44
37
60
67
18
50
52
45
-
40
34
-
30
47
44
49
52
32
-
30
-
26
24
32
-
33
-
35
-
40
20
29
26
27
29
37
-
30
39
-
32
41
-
36
25
-
34
10
-
5
0
5
0-
0-
5
0
5
0
6
0
6
0
6
0
27
-
36
25
3
0
26
-
7
0
7
0
7
0
26
20
-
27
20
7
0
0-
0-
0-
0-
0-
17
-
14
-
13
-
16
14
13
0-
0-
0-
0
0-
0
0-
0
0-
0
0-
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Source: E.ON
Rental to ANP
R&D
SG&A
Exploration expenses
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46
Assumptions
PGN
Depreciation
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums depreciation
Total depreciation of the infrastructure was projected at 20 years (at a 5% p.a. rate).
The depreciation rate of property, plant and equipment was projected based on the yearly production and proved developed reserves.
Capex
The results presented below represent 70% of the Consortiums Capex
Major capital expenditures has been projected as investments in development, and in the infrastructure that is built in order to connect the pipeline.
PGN Capex projection
500
450
474
13
R$ MM
400
350
225
333
300
250
195
221
200
150
148
186
100
118
101
42
97
32
50
50
187
41
41
69
60
92
87
90
87
90
42
32
32
32
32
50
-
55
58
55
58
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Source: E.ON
Drilling
Development
Infrastructure
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47
Assumptions
PGN
Income taxes
PGN is taxed with income taxes and social contribution rates at 25% and 9% respectively. It is worth mentioning, however, that PGN has the following fiscal
benefit:
Working capital
The table presents the average of days and drivers for each account.
PGN
Current assets
Accounts receivable
Taxes receivable
Inventory
Other receivables
Days
67
20
55
10
Driver
Days of revenues
Days of revenues
Days of revenues
Days of costs and capex
Current liabilities
Suppliers
Tax payables
Accounts payable
Short term debts
Other accounts payable
Days
51
27
17
0
7
Driver
Days of costs and capex
Days of revenues
Days of costs
Days of costs
Days of costs
Source: E.ON
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48
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
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49
V. Valuation Methodology
Valuation method
Company
Valuation criteria
Company
Valuation method
Sum of the parts
Parnaba IV Gerao de
Energia S.A.
2
3
Seival Gerao de
Energia Ltda.
Au II Gerao de
Energia S.A.
DCF
DCF
Valuation method
(A)
MPX Chile Holding Ltda.
Sul Gerao de Energia
Ltda.
8
10
ENEVA Comercializadora 11
= (A)1 + (C) 1
(C) =
de Combustveis Ltda.
ENEVA Solar
Empreendimentos Ltda.
12
Au III Gerao de
Energia Ltda.
13
14
ENEVA Comercializadora
de Energia Ltda.
15
(B) 2
(B)
(B)
Parnaba
Comercializadoras
income
statement and cash flow projections have
been incorporated into Parnaba IV.
(B)
Book value
(A)
Book value
(A)
Book value
(A)
Book value
SPE Ventos
Parnaba Gs Natural
S.A.
1 Adjusted
2 Adjusted
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
16
Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value
Book value
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
(A)
DCF
Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Income statement
2015
334.42
(6.65)
327.77
2016
401.27
(11.07)
390.20
2017
274.86
(7.55)
267.32
2018
218.14
(7.70)
210.45
2019
241.13
(2.39)
238.74
2020
254.40
(8.43)
245.97
2021
268.39
(8.89)
259.49
2022
283.15
(9.38)
273.77
2023
298.72
(9.90)
288.82
2024
315.15
(10.45)
304.71
2025
332.49
(10.60)
321.89
2026
350.77
(11.63)
339.14
2027
370.07
(12.28)
357.78
2028
390.42
(13.33)
377.09
(273.4)
(298.83)
(207.42)
(147.33)
(228.28)
(174.21)
(183.78)
(193.88)
(204.54)
(215.78)
(232.21)
(240.15)
(253.22)
(267.57)
EBITDA
54.33
91.37
59.90
63.11
10.46
71.76
75.71
79.88
84.28
88.93
89.68
99.00
104.57
109.52
EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e
0.17
(8.03)
46.30
(2.57)
-0.06
43.73
0.23
(8.44)
82.93
(6.33)
-0.08
76.60
0.22
(8.44)
51.45
(3.49)
-0.07
47.97
0.30
(8.44)
54.67
(3.81)
-0.07
50.86
0.04
(8.44)
2.02
0.00
2.02
0.29
(8.44)
63.32
(4.32)
-0.07
58.99
0.29
(8.44)
67.27
(4.87)
-0.07
62.40
0.29
(8.44)
71.44
(5.31)
-0.07
66.13
0.29
(8.44)
75.84
(5.80)
-0.08
70.04
0.29
(8.44)
80.48
(27.16)
-0.34
53.33
0.28
(8.44)
81.24
(27.42)
-0.34
53.82
0.29
(8.44)
90.55
(30.79)
-0.34
59.77
0.29
(8.44)
96.13
(32.68)
-0.34
63.44
0.29
(8.44)
101.08
(34.37)
-0.34
66.71
2029
411.89
(14.47)
397.42
2030
434.55
(11.10)
423.45
2031
458.45
(16.95)
441.50
2032
483.66
(18.29)
465.37
2033
510.26
(19.71)
490.56
2034
538.33
(21.20)
517.13
2035
567.93
(22.77)
545.16
2036
599.17
(23.83)
575.34
2037
632.13
(26.19)
605.94
2038
666.89
(28.04)
638.86
2039
703.57
(29.99)
673.58
2040
742.27
(32.04)
710.22
2041
783.09
(23.71)
759.38
2042
826.16
(36.50)
789.66
(282.30)
(347.35)
(314.25)
(331.55)
(349.80)
(369.06)
(389.38)
(417.39)
(433.45)
(457.31)
(482.49)
(509.06)
(650.68)
(566.66)
EBITDA
115.12
76.10
127.25
133.82
140.75
148.06
155.78
157.96
172.49
181.55
191.09
201.17
108.70
223.00
EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e
0.29
(8.44)
106.67
(36.27)
-0.34
70.41
0.18
(8.03)
68.07
(23.15)
-0.34
44.93
0.29
(8.03)
119.22
(40.54)
-0.34
78.69
0.29
(8.03)
125.79
(42.77)
-0.34
83.02
0.29
(8.03)
132.73
(45.13)
-0.34
87.60
0.29
(8.03)
140.04
(47.61)
-0.34
92.42
0.29
(8.03)
147.75
(50.23)
-0.34
97.51
0.27
(8.03)
149.93
(50.98)
-0.34
98.95
0.28
(8.03)
164.47
(55.92)
-0.34
108.55
0.28
(8.03)
173.52
(59.00)
-0.34
114.52
0.28
191.09
(64.97)
-0.34
126.12
0.28
201.17
(68.40)
-0.34
132.77
0.14
108.70
(36.96)
-0.34
71.75
0.28
223.00
(75.82)
-0.34
147.18
Total costs
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
51
Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba III
Cash flow
2015
43.73
8.03
(5.81)
13.72
59.66
2016
76.60
8.44
(0.40)
(4.22)
80.42
2017
47.97
8.44
(0.00)
2.63
59.04
2018
50.86
8.44
(1.22)
58.09
2019
2.02
8.44
7.60
18.06
2020
58.99
8.44
(8.30)
59.14
2021
62.40
8.44
(0.36)
70.48
2022
66.13
8.44
(0.38)
74.20
2023
70.04
8.44
(0.40)
78.08
2024
53.33
8.44
(0.42)
61.35
2025
53.82
8.44
0.13
62.39
2026
59.77
8.44
(1.04)
67.17
2027
63.44
8.44
(0.51)
71.38
2028
66.71
8.44
(0.41)
74.74
13.83%
0.50
55.92
13.83%
1.50
66.22
13.83%
2.50
42.70
13.83%
3.50
36.91
13.83%
4.50
10.08
13.83%
5.50
29.00
13.83%
6.50
30.36
13.83%
7.50
28.08
13.83%
8.50
25.96
12.48%
9.50
20.08
12.48%
10.50
18.15
12.48%
11.50
17.37
12.48%
12.50
16.41
13.60%
13.50
13.36
2029
70.41
8.44
(0.49)
78.36
2030
44.93
8.03
5.70
58.66
2031
78.69
8.03
(6.76)
79.96
2032
83.02
8.03
(0.57)
90.48
2033
87.60
8.03
(0.60)
95.02
2034
92.42
8.03
(0.64)
99.81
2035
97.51
8.03
(0.67)
104.87
2036
98.95
8.03
0.11
107.10
2037
108.55
8.03
(1.57)
115.00
2038
114.52
8.03
(0.79)
121.76
2039
126.12
(0.83)
125.29
2040
132.77
(0.88)
131.89
2041
71.75
13.34
85.08
2042
147.18
(15.24)
131.94
Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow
0.14
14.50
12.33
0.14
15.50
8.13
0.14
16.50
9.75
0.14
17.50
9.71
0.14
18.50
8.98
0.14
19.50
8.30
0.14
20.50
7.68
0.14
21.50
6.90
0.14
22.50
6.52
0.14
23.50
6.08
0.14
24.50
5.51
0.14
25.50
5.10
0.14
26.50
2.90
0.14
27.50
3.96
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
52
Valuation
Eneva Participaes: Parnaba III
Valuation
512.43
(78.82)
14.10
3.85
68.15
(120.00)
(6.92)
(34.75)
(3.25)
433.62
303.53
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
53
Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Income statement
2015
63.56
(2.37)
61.19
2016
67.73
(2.58)
65.15
2017
75.35
(3.71)
71.64
2018
79.50
(4.66)
74.84
2019
83.87
(5.56)
78.31
2020
88.49
(5.87)
82.62
2021
93.35
(6.19)
87.17
2022
98.49
(6.52)
91.96
2023
103.90
(6.88)
97.02
2024
109.62
(7.26)
102.36
2025
115.65
(7.65)
107.99
2026
122.01
(8.07)
113.94
2027
128.72
(8.51)
120.21
2028
135.80
(9.00)
126.80
2029
143.27
(9.49)
133.78
(46.84)
(49.12)
(48.36)
(47.98)
(49.75)
(52.51)
(55.43)
(58.50)
(61.75)
(65.18)
(68.77)
(72.59)
(76.62)
(80.59)
(85.10)
EBITDA
14.35
16.03
23.29
26.86
28.56
30.11
31.74
33.46
35.27
37.19
39.22
41.35
43.59
46.20
48.67
EBITDA Margin
Depreciation/Amortization
EBT
IR & CS
EBT %
Net Incom e
0.23
(6.45)
7.90
0.00
7.90
0.25
(6.61)
9.42
0.00
9.42
0.33
(6.61)
16.68
(0.60)
-0.04
16.08
0.36
(6.61)
20.25
(0.95)
-0.05
19.30
0.36
(6.61)
21.95
(1.10)
-0.05
20.85
0.36
(6.61)
23.50
(1.24)
-0.05
22.26
0.36
(6.61)
25.13
(1.39)
-0.06
23.75
0.36
(6.61)
26.85
(1.54)
-0.06
25.31
0.36
(6.61)
28.66
(1.70)
-0.06
26.96
0.36
(6.61)
30.58
(4.84)
-0.16
25.74
0.36
(6.61)
32.61
(11.01)
-0.34
21.60
0.36
(6.61)
34.74
(11.81)
-0.34
22.93
0.36
(6.61)
36.98
(12.57)
-0.34
24.40
0.36
(6.61)
39.59
(13.46)
-0.34
26.13
0.36
(6.61)
42.06
(14.30)
-0.34
27.76
2030
151.15
(10.01)
141.14
2031
159.46
(10.56)
148.90
2032
168.23
(11.14)
157.09
2033
177.48
(11.75)
165.73
2034
187.25
(12.44)
174.80
2035
197.54
(13.12)
184.42
2036
208.41
(13.84)
194.57
2037
219.87
(14.60)
205.27
2038
231.96
(15.41)
216.56
2039
244.72
(16.25)
228.47
2040
258.18
(17.14)
241.04
2041
272.38
(18.08)
254.30
2042
287.36
(19.07)
268.29
2043
303.17
(20.12)
283.05
(89.80)
(94.74)
(99.97)
(105.49)
(110.82)
(116.94)
(123.39)
(130.20)
(137.36)
(144.94)
(152.93)
(161.37)
(170.27)
(179.66)
51.34
54.16
57.12
60.25
63.98
67.48
71.18
75.07
79.20
83.53
88.11
92.93
98.02
103.39
0.36
(6.45)
44.89
(15.21)
-0.34
29.68
0.36
(6.45)
47.71
(16.17)
-0.34
31.54
0.36
(6.45)
50.67
(17.17)
-0.34
33.50
0.36
(6.45)
53.80
(18.24)
-0.34
35.56
0.37
(6.45)
57.53
(19.51)
-0.34
38.03
0.37
(6.45)
61.03
(20.70)
-0.34
40.34
0.37
(6.45)
64.73
(21.95)
-0.34
42.77
0.37
(6.45)
68.62
(23.28)
-0.34
45.34
0.37
(6.45)
72.75
(24.68)
-0.34
48.07
0.37
(6.45)
77.09
(26.15)
-0.34
50.93
0.37
88.11
(27.71)
-0.31
60.40
0.37
92.93
(29.35)
-0.32
63.58
0.37
98.02
(31.08)
-0.32
66.94
0.37
103.39
(32.90)
-0.32
70.48
Total costs
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
54
Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Cash flow
2015
7.90
6.45
(2.25)
6.21
18.32
2016
9.42
6.61
(0.00)
(0.18)
15.86
2017
16.08
6.61
(0.00)
(0.90)
21.78
2018
19.30
6.61
(0.45)
25.47
Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow
13.83%
0.50
17.17
13.83%
1.50
13.05
13.83%
2.50
15.75
13.83%
3.50
16.18
2019
20.85
6.61
(0.19)
27.28
2020
22.26
6.61
(0.15)
28.72
2021
23.75
6.61
(0.16)
30.19
2022
25.31
6.61
(0.17)
31.75
2023
26.96
6.61
(0.18)
33.39
2024
25.74
6.61
(0.19)
32.16
2025
21.60
6.61
(0.20)
28.01
2026
22.93
6.61
(0.21)
29.33
2027
24.40
6.61
(0.22)
30.79
2028
26.13
6.61
(0.27)
32.47
2029
27.76
6.61
(0.24)
34.13
13.83% 13.83%
4.50
5.50
15.23
14.08
13.83%
6.50
13.01
13.83%
7.50
12.01
13.83%
8.50
11.10
12.48%
9.50
10.52
12.48%
10.50
8.15
12.48%
11.50
7.59
12.48%
12.50
7.08
12.48%
13.50
6.64
13.60%
14.50
5.37
2030
29.68
6.45
(0.26)
35.87
2031
31.54
6.45
(0.28)
37.71
2032
33.50
6.45
(0.29)
39.65
2033
35.56
6.45
(0.31)
41.70
2034
38.03
6.45
(0.39)
44.09
2035
40.34
6.45
(0.35)
46.44
2036
42.77
6.45
(0.37)
48.86
2037
45.34
6.45
(0.39)
51.41
2038
48.07
6.45
(0.41)
54.11
2039
50.93
6.45
(0.43)
56.95
2040
60.40
(0.45)
59.94
2041
63.58
(0.48)
63.10
2042
66.94
(0.51)
66.43
2043
70.48
(0.53)
69.95
Discount Factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow
13.60%
15.50
4.97
13.60%
16.50
4.60
13.60%
17.50
4.26
13.60%
18.50
3.94
13.60%
19.50
3.67
13.60%
20.50
3.40
13.60%
21.50
3.15
13.60%
22.50
2.92
13.60%
23.50
2.70
13.60%
24.50
2.50
13.60%
25.50
2.32
13.60%
26.50
2.15
13.60%
27.50
1.99
13.60%
28.50
1.85
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
55
Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba IV
Valuation
217.34
(166.60)
0.33
0.22
18.88
(173.30)
4.58
10.43
5.61
(6.05)
(27.32)
50.73
35.51
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
56
Valuation
Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery: Parnaba Participaes
Parnaba Participaes sum of the parts
303.53
35.51
37.29
0.25
Taxes recoverable
1.51
Intercompany loan
29.85
Afac
Taxes payable
Account payable
Equity Value
Equity Value @ 50%
7.20
(1.35)
(0.17)
376.34
188.17
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
57
Valuation
PGN
Income Statement
2015
609.22
(97.46)
511.76
(46.38)
465.39
(92.01)
373.38
72.96%
(150.20)
223.18
(56.70)
-25.41%
166.48
2016
738.25
(136.92)
601.34
(52.44)
548.90
(88.56)
460.34
76.55%
(144.21)
316.13
(73.18)
-23.15%
242.94
2017
791.07
(140.21)
650.87
(55.79)
595.08
(66.83)
528.25
81.16%
(135.20)
393.05
(92.04)
-23.42%
301.01
2018
629.02
(107.27)
521.75
(81.79)
439.97
(51.96)
388.01
74.37%
(113.39)
274.63
(65.58)
-23.88%
209.04
2019
703.28
(122.28)
581.00
(72.85)
508.15
(44.66)
463.49
79.77%
(108.38)
355.11
(84.61)
-23.83%
270.50
2020
743.19
(131.08)
612.11
(76.40)
535.71
(33.54)
502.18
82.04%
(104.57)
397.61
(94.78)
-23.84%
302.82
2021
784.24
(139.18)
645.05
(86.12)
558.93
(31.55)
527.39
81.76%
(95.91)
431.48
(102.85)
-23.84%
328.63
2022
827.56
(163.73)
663.84
(100.51)
563.32
(30.02)
533.30
80.34%
(96.00)
437.31
(104.23)
-23.83%
333.08
2023
873.23
(181.18)
692.05
(88.71)
603.34
(31.67)
571.67
82.61%
(96.08)
475.59
(113.34)
-23.83%
362.25
2024
921.42
(194.19)
727.22
(93.46)
633.77
(33.41)
600.35
82.55%
(96.15)
504.20
(171.43)
-34.00%
332.77
2025
972.25
(204.78)
767.46
(98.47)
668.99
(35.25)
633.75
82.58%
(105.92)
527.83
(179.46)
-34.00%
348.37
2028
984.04
(198.51)
785.53
(114.54)
670.99
(40.71)
630.28
80.24%
(92.62)
537.66
(182.81)
-34.00%
354.86
2029
1,014.24
(200.85)
813.39
(120.33)
693.06
(35.60)
657.46
80.83%
(82.10)
575.36
(195.62)
-34.00%
379.73
2030
1,069.94
(212.13)
857.81
(126.83)
730.98
(24.68)
706.31
82.34%
(82.12)
624.19
(212.22)
-34.00%
411.96
2031
1,128.91
(224.04)
904.88
(133.68)
771.19
(26.03)
745.17
82.35%
(82.13)
663.03
(225.43)
-34.00%
437.60
2032
1,191.22
(236.62)
954.60
(140.49)
814.11
(27.46)
786.65
82.41%
(82.16)
704.49
(239.53)
-34.00%
464.97
2033
312.82
(97.78)
215.03
(69.72)
145.32
(20.48)
124.84
58.05%
(35.86)
88.97
(30.25)
-34.00%
58.72
2034
330.27
(103.73)
226.54
(67.30)
159.23
(16.51)
142.72
63.00%
(33.05)
109.67
(37.29)
-34.00%
72.38
2035
345.87
(109.38)
236.49
(70.92)
165.57
(14.36)
151.21
63.94%
(31.27)
119.93
(40.78)
-34.00%
79.16
2036
121.70
(55.53)
66.17
(26.13)
40.04
(13.32)
26.72
40.38%
(10.43)
16.29
(5.54)
-34.00%
10.75
2037
N.a.
N.a.
-
2038
N.a.
N.a.
-
2026
1,025.65
(214.06)
811.59
(103.75)
707.83
(37.18)
670.65
82.63%
(102.90)
567.75
(193.04)
-34.00%
374.72
2027
1,078.12
(216.71)
861.42
(119.99)
741.43
(39.23)
702.20
81.52%
(100.01)
602.19
(204.74)
-34.00%
397.44
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
2039
2040
7.32
7.32
(158.17)
(150.85)
(150.85)
N.a. -2062.16%
(150.85)
N.a.
0.00%
(150.85)
58
Valuation
PGN
Cash Flow
2015
166.48
150.20
(8.77)
(473.74)
(165.83)
2016
242.94
144.21
(18.81)
(333.06)
35.29
2017
301.01
135.20
(20.65)
(220.83)
194.73
2018
209.04
113.39
40.22
(186.79)
175.86
2019
270.50
108.38
(24.41)
(101.44)
253.03
2020
302.82
104.57
(11.55)
(92.16)
303.69
2021
328.63
95.91
(11.65)
412.89
2022
333.08
96.00
(7.79)
421.29
2023
362.25
96.08
(13.14)
445.19
2024
332.77
96.15
(10.29)
418.64
2025
348.37
105.92
(7.69)
(87.11)
359.48
2026
374.72
102.90
(11.29)
(90.15)
376.18
2027
397.44
100.01
(9.00)
(86.70)
401.75
Discount factor
Discount rate
Discount period
Discounted cash flow
0.15
0.50
(154.54)
0.15
1.50
28.56
0.15
2.50
136.88
0.15
3.50
107.35
0.15
4.50
134.15
0.15
5.50
139.83
0.15
6.50
165.11
0.15
7.50
146.31
0.15
8.50
134.28
0.15
9.50
114.84
0.15
10.50
86.06
0.15
11.50
78.60
0.15
12.50
73.25
2028
354.86
92.62
22.01
(89.72)
379.77
2029
379.73
82.10
(10.41)
451.43
2030
411.96
82.12
(14.37)
479.71
2031
437.60
82.13
(12.54)
507.20
2032
464.97
82.16
(13.34)
533.79
2033
58.72
35.86
196.01
290.59
2034
72.38
33.05
(5.54)
99.89
2035
79.16
31.27
(3.46)
106.97
2036
10.75
10.43
44.62
65.80
2037
21.20
21.20
0.15
13.50
60.43
0.15
14.50
62.69
0.15
15.50
58.14
0.15
16.50
53.65
0.15
17.50
49.27
0.15
18.50
23.41
0.15
19.50
7.02
0.15
20.50
6.56
0.15
21.50
3.52
0.15
22.50
0.99
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
2038
-
0.15
23.50
-
2039
-
0.15
24.50
-
2040
(150.85)
32.87
(117.98)
0.15
25.50
(3.66)
59
Valuation
PGN
Valuation
1,512.70
(478.63)
130.53
9.83
(721.85)
18.15
84.71
1,034.08
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
60
Valuation
Conclusion
Summary of Results
Based on the scope of our report, and subject to the assumptions, restrictions, and limitations described herein, we have estimated the fair value of Eneva
Participaes and PGN as of December, 2014 as presented below.
PGN
17.76
1,512.70
317.26
82.68
18.65
(478,63)
1,034.08
R$ MM
R$ mm
46.41
188.17
151.77
Parnaba III Parnaba IV
Parnaba
Eneva
Parnaba
Sum of the
Eneva
ParticipaesParticipaes Book Values ParticipaesParticipaes
adjsutments
Holding
in Judicial
Adjustments Recovery
Equity Value
Bottom
(-5%)
Central
Up p er
(-5%)
302.15
317.26
332.36
PGN
Enterprise
value
Adjustments
PGN Equity
value
Equity Value
Bottom
(-5%)
Central
Up p er
(-5%)
984.96
1,034.08
1,083.20
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
61
Valuation
Conclusion (cont.)
In providing its services, KPMG relied on information provided by Eneva RJs and E.ONs Management and discussions with your employees or other
representatives, and KPMG is not responsible for independently verifying any information publicly available or supplied to it in the preparation of this report.
KPMG does not express an opinion on the reliability of the information presented above, and determines that any errors, changes or modifications of such
information could significantly affect the findings of KPMG. Based on the terms of our proposal, data processing and information does not imply acceptance or
certification of these as true by KPMG.
During the course of our work, KPMG performed testing procedures as needed. However, we emphasize that our evaluation work did not constitute an audit of
financial statements or other information submitted to us by the Eneva RJs and E.ONs Management and should not be treated as such.
Neither KPMG nor the Eneva RJs or E.ONs Management can ensure that future results will meet projected results, due to unforeseen external or internal
factors.
We emphasize that a full understanding of this report and its conclusion is only possible through its complete reading. Thus, one should not draw conclusions by
reading just part of it.
It is imperative to point out that this version of the valuation report is a free translation from Portuguese to English; therefore, in case of discrepancies between
the report in Portuguese sent on April 13, 2015 and the free translation report, the former shall prevail in all matters.
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
62
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
63
Appendix I
Curricula vitae
Name
Position
Sector of expertise
Name
Position
Qualifications
Experience
Throughout 15 years of experience, he has participated in a wide range of activities, including: financial advisory to clients in
mergers and acquisitions, privatizations and offerings.
Before joining KPMG Brazil he worked at Acar Guarani (one of the largest Sugar and Ethanol Company in Brazil) and was the
CFO at Cimentos Liz (one the largest cement group in Brazil).
Sector of experience
Electricity, Oil and Gas, Sugar and Alcohol. Agriculture, Financial Sevices and Consumer Goods
Qualifications
Experience
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
64
Appendix I (cont.)
Curricula vitae
Name
Position
Augusto Sales
Sector of expertise
Name
Rben Palminha
Position
Qualifications
Postgraduate degree in Finance, with specialization in Corporate Finance INDEG-IUL, (Lisbon, Portugal)
Specialization in Finance INDEG-IUL (Lisbon, Portugal)
Graduate in Finance ISCTE-IUL (Lisbon, Portugal)
Experience
He joined KPMG Corporate Finance in 2006. Since then, Rben has participated in Energy and Infrastructure projects in various
countries, assisting Public and Private entities, accumulating skills in Project Finance, PPP Projects, M&A and Valuations.
Qualifications
Experience
Sector of experience
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
65
Appendix I (cont.)
Curricula vitae
Name
Position
Qualifications
Experience
Has more than 7 years of experience in KPMG, ample experience in M&A services, and preparation of business plans and
valuations. In addition, Fabiano has developed several financial models and evaluated various intangible assets within Purchase
Price Allocation exercises.
Sector of experience
Banking, real estate, power, agribusiness, foods and beverages, retail and logistic.
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
66
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
67
Appendix II
Balance Sheet | PGN
5.01
112.49
14.39
102.57
5.00
130.53
108.55
6.03
63.36
42.21
18.15
15.85
39.79
7.15
117.07
942.32
12.81
1,358.59
32.47
3.80
84.71
978.31
19.06
1,503.03
R$ MM
Liabilities
Current
Suppliers
Income tax
Payroll
Loans and financing
Account payables w ith related parties
Other account payables
Non Current
Loans and financing
Provisions for retirement obligations
Shareholders Equity
Social Capital
Retained investments
Retained earnings
Total liabilities and shareholder equity
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
31/12/2013 31/12/2014
292.77
17.94
4.04
628.59
183.92
7.06
68.57
368.59
(212.89)
1,358.59
80.32
43.28
17.02
33.46
7.01
6.53
730.60
57.37
618.59
8.88
(100.03)
1,503.03
68
Appendix II
Balance Sheet | Eneva Participaes Judicial Recovery
31/12/2014
11.27
95.55
24.37
0.00
0.00
107.19
1.00
137.28
19.01
25.83
421.50
R$ MM
Passivo
Current
Suppliers
Payroll
Tax, rates and contribuitions
Others
Non-current
Long term liabilities
Shareholders' equity
Social Capital
Capital reserve
Patrimonial adjustment reserve
AFCI
Retained earnings or loss
Year profit
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
* Non audited
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
31/12/2014
55.31
1.40
10.65
5.42
126.76
266.76
62.00
1.00
25.75
(62.42)
(71.14)
421.50
69
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
70
Appendix III
Book value
5
6
7
8
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Eneva Participaes
Stake (%)
50%
19.75
50%
4.67
50%
2.34
44.00
50%
22.00
0.22
50%
0.11
13.15
50%
6.57
(0.04)
100%
(0.04)
8.42
100%
8.42
2.52
100%
2.52
100%
19.54
100%
19.54
1.47
100%
1.47
71
Contents
Glossary
I. Executive Summary
13
16
23
V. Valuation Methodology
27
VI. Assumptions
32
IX. Valuation
49
63
67
70
72
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
72
Appendix IV
Discount rate
Discount rate
Source:
During Sudene
After Sudene
(a)
3.4%
3.4%
3.4%
(b)
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
(c)
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
(d) = [1 + a] / [1 + b] * [1 + c] -1
6.9%
6.9%
6.9%
(e)
4.6%
4.6%
4.6%
(f)
0.57
0.57
0.57
D/E
(g)
78.0%
78.0%
78.0%
(h)
15.3%
34.0%
34.0%
0.95
0.86
0.86
RF Adjusted
Releverage beta
(i) = f * [1 + [g * [1 - h]]]
(j)
2.18%
2.18%
2.18%
Size premium
(k)
1.98%
1.98%
1.98%
Alpha factor
(L)
0.00%
0.00%
2.00%
Re= d + [e * i] + j + k
15.4%
15.06%
17.06%
(m)
56.2%
56.2%
56.2%
(Re)
15.4%
15.1%
17.1%
(n)
43.8%
43.8%
43.8%
(h)
15.3%
34.0%
34.0%
(p)
11.8%
9.2%
9.2%
13.83%
12.48%
13.60%
2015 KPMG Corporate Finance Ltda. is a Brazilian limited liability company and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG
International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
73
Appendix IV
Discount rate
PGN
Discount rate
Source:
(a) Risk free rate Bloomberg
During Sudene
After Sudene
(a)
3.4%
3.4%
(b)
2.0%
2.0%
(c)
5.5%
5.5%
(d) = (1 + a) / (1 + b) * (1 + c) -1
6.9%
6.9%
(e)
4.6%
4.6%
(f)
0.98
0.98
D/E
(g)
42.9%
42.9%
(h)
23.9%
34.0%
(i) = f * {1 + [g * (1 - h)]}
1.31
1.26
RF Adjusted
Releverage beta
(j)
2.18%
2.18%
Size premium
(k)
1.98%
1.98%
Re = d + (e * i) + j + k
17.1%
16.9%
% Equity
(L)
70.0%
70.0%
% Debt
(m)
30.0%
30.0%
(n)
13.9%
13.9%
(h)
23.9%
34.0%
(o) = n * (1 - h)
10.6%
9.2%
= Re * L + o * m
15.14%
14.58%
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International, a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
74