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Volatility Score Indicator

Michael Burke
Vice-President Client Education
TSLabs@TradeStation.com

Features

Focus: Opportunity Scanning

Markets: Stock, Futures, and Forex

Time Perspective: All

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Summary
Finding Hidden Trading Opportunities
Active traders often measure opportunity in terms of market volatility. More volatility means more trading opportunities,
but in the last few months market volatility in the major indices as measured by the VIX volatility index ($VIX.X) and
other volatility indicators like Average True Range has fallen to low levels. However, there are always trading
opportunities somewhere in the market: symbols that are on the move or in play because of news and other factors. The
question is, how do you uncover these hidden opportunities?
Opportunity in Volatility
As active traders know, there is opportunity in volatility. Volatility can be measured in a number of ways, and
TradeStation incorporates several volatility indicators for this very purpose. TradeStation lets you use these indicators to
scan the universe of symbols for stocks with the highest volatility, and you can tailor this scanning to match your trading
style and objectives.
Volatility as a Measure of Trading Potential
One way active traders can measure volatility is to look at the average daily high-to-low trading range for a symbol. The
TradeStation indicator Average True Range can calculate this daily price movement potential, and can be used to scan
for those symbols with the highest daily trading range volatility. Average True Range is a standard TradeStation
indicator that measures volatility by averaging the true range of a bar over a look-back period. Higher values mean higher
volatility.
Volatility Score
Even in quiet markets, there are always plenty of high-volatility stocks to trade if you have the right tools to find them.
However, traders are not just looking for high volatility, but are instead looking for stocks that have the highest volatility
relative to their price. In other words, if two stocks have the same daily average true range value, but one stock is $20 a
share and the other is $40 a share, the $20 stock offers a potentially better trading value, with more volatility for each
dollar invested.
Calculations based on asset type:
Stocks:

Volatility Score = (Average True Range / Close) x 2000


Futures:

Volatility Score = ((Average True Range / BigPointValue) / Margin ) x 100


Forex:

Volatility Score = (Average True Range / Margin in U.S. Dollars ) x 100


TrueRange =

Greater of (Current Bar High or Previous Bar Close) minus


Lesser of (Current Bar Low or Previous Bar Close)

A 21-bar average of TrueRange is used expressed in PIPS for Futures and Forex.
Futures Margins are derived from the TradeStation website. Forex margins are based on a 20 to 1 basis.
3
2000 is a normalization factor for stocks, 100 is a normalization for Futures and Forex.
2

Volatility Score Indicator:


This custom indicator plots the volatility score calculation on any symbol at any bar interval. It can be used in Charting,
RadarScreen, and Scanner. Note: Cannot be used in Scanner on Futures symbols.
Plot1:

Volatility Score

Inputs:
ATRLength (8) - Bars to lookback for the ATR average.
FirstRSRow(2) - Species the first symbol row in RadarScreen that will be used.

Charting the Volatility Score Indicator


In the daily charts below, we can see SPY (S&P 500) and MSFT (Microsoft) side by side with the standard Average True
Range indicator that comes with TradeStation. Generally, a $100+ stock like SPY is going to have a higher Average True
Range value than a $30 stock like MSFT. But when looking to trade symbols with the greatest movement potential, what
we want to compare is the higher relative volatility, weighted by cost or margin, using this Volatility Score idea.

In the charts above is the custom Volatility Score indicator, which calculates average true range and divides it by a
comparable price value of the symbol. You can see that MSFT has a higher Volatility Score relative to SPY, giving MSFT the
higher volatility movement potential based on an equal amount invested.
Of course, the Volatility Score indicator does not give you a market direction or bias; but what you now have is a tool to
measure the price-weighted volatility potential for any stock or other symbol relative to other symbols of the same type
(stocks to stocks). Do not try to compare scores across asset types (e.g., stocks to futures); stocks, futures, and forex all
use different calculations for the comparative price (see the previous page). With this indicator, you can scan and rank a
universe of symbols to find those symbols with the highest Volatility Score/Value potential.
The time frame/interval of the chart determines the Volatility Score/Value potential for that time frame, and should be
based on the time horizon of your trading. Short-term traders can use 1- to 15-minute charts, swing traders can use 15minute to daily intervals and long-term traders can use weekly or monthly intervals. The score comparisons can be very
different based on the time frame.

Volatility Score Indicator in RadarScreen

Sort on the indicator column heading in order to sort and rank the symbols by the volatility score.

Note: These tools were created in TradeStation 9.1 (12880)(U29), and are compatible with TradeStation 9.5.

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