Data Simultan

* 2-Stage Least Squares.
TSET MXNEWVAR=1.
2SLS Dt WITH popt PDGT Dt1 It
/INSTRUMENTS PDVT luaslahan IMGT PWGTT pdgt1 It popt NTt Dt1
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Two-stage Least Squares Analysis

Notes
Output Created
29-May-2015 14:25:35
Comments
Input
Data
E:\simultandata.sav
Active Dataset
DataSet1
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
N of Rows in Working
Data File
Date
Missing Value Handling
<none>
Definition of Missing
User-defined missing values are

treated as missing.
Cases Used
Statistics are based on all cases

with valid data for all variables
across all equations.
Syntax
Resources
22
2SLS Dt WITH popt PDGT Dt1 It

/INSTRUMENTS PDVT luaslahan
IMGT PWGTT pdgt1 It popt NTt Dt1
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Processor Time
00:00:00.047
Elapsed Time
Time Series Settings
(TSET)
PRINT = DEFAULT
Saving New Variables
NEWVAR = CURRENT
Treatment of UserMissing Values

Equations Include
Variables Created or
Modified
00:00:00.047
Amount of Output
FIT_1
MISSING = EXCLUDE
CONSTANT
Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1
Page 1
[DataSet1] E:\simultandata.sav
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1
Dt
dependent
popt
predictor & instrumental
PDGT
predictor
Dt1
It
PDVT
instrumental
luaslahan
instrumental
IMGT
instrumental
PWGTT
instrumental
pdgt1
instrumental
NTt
instrumental
MOD_1
Model Summary
Equation 1
Multiple R
.772
R Square
.596
Adjusted R Square
.495
Std. Error of the Estimate
416756.901
ANOVA
Sum of Squares
Equation 1
df
Mean Square
Regression
4.105E12
1.026E12
Residual
2.779E12
16
1.737E11
Total
6.884E12
20
Sig.
5.908
.004
Coefficients
Unstandardized Coefficients
B
Equation 1
(Constant)
popt
PDGT
Dt1
It
Std. Error
Beta
Sig.
-8.421E6
3364547.168
-2.503
.024
84.278
27.483
3.021
3.067
.007
-1080.190
375.225
-2.803
-2.879
.011
.247
.188
.292
1.317
.206
-9.143
4.358
-.608
-2.098
.052
Page 2
Coefficient Correlations
popt
Equation 1
Correlations
PDGT
popt
1.000
-.979
PDGT
-.979
Dt1
-.394
It
-.751
Dt1
It
-.394
-.751
1.000
.289
.789
.289
1.000
.033
.789
.033
1.000

TSET MXNEWVAR=1.
2SLS PRODGT WITH PDGT luaslahan PDVT
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.

Notes
Output Created
29-May-2015 14:27:27
Comments
Input
Data
E:\simultandata.sav
Active Dataset
DataSet1
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
Data File
Date
<none>

treated as missing.
Cases Used

Syntax
Resources
22
2SLS PRODGT WITH PDGT

luaslahan PDVT
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Processor Time
00:00:00.110
Page 3
Notes
Resources
Elapsed Time

(TSET)
Amount of Output
PRINT = DEFAULT
NEWVAR = CURRENT
00:00:00.063

Equations Include
Modified
MISSING = EXCLUDE
CONSTANT
FIT_1
Fit for PRODGT, MOD_2 Equation 1
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1
PRODGT
dependent
PDGT
predictor
luaslahan
PDVT
IMGT
instrumental
PWGTT
instrumental
pdgt1
instrumental
It
instrumental
popt
instrumental
NTt
instrumental
Dt1
instrumental
MOD_2
Model Summary
Equation 1
Multiple R
.750
R Square
.563
Adjusted R Square
.486
198569.855
ANOVA
Sum of Squares
Equation 1
df
Mean Square
Regression
8.644E11
2.881E11
Residual
6.703E11
17
3.943E10
Total
1.535E12
20
Sig.
7.307
.002
Page 4
Coefficients
Equation 1
(Constant)
Std. Error
406557.564
492125.581
163.303
350.726
.850
-.078
.135
295235.375
75623.974
PDGT
luaslahan
PDVT
Beta
Sig.
.826
.420
.466
.647
-1.046
-.579
.570
.682
3.904
.001
PDGT
Equation 1
Correlations
luaslahan
PDVT
PDGT
1.000
-.996
luaslahan
-.996
1.000
-.259
.286
-.259
1.000
PDVT
.286

TSET MXNEWVAR=1.
2SLS PDGT WITH PWGTT NTt IMGT pdgt1
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.

Notes
Output Created
29-May-2015 14:29:05
Comments
Input
Data
E:\simultandata.sav
Active Dataset
DataSet1
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
Data File
Date
22
<none>
treated as missing.
Page 5
Notes
Cases Used

Syntax
2SLS PDGT WITH PWGTT NTt IMGT

pdgt1
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources
Processor Time
00:00:00.031
Elapsed Time
(TSET)
00:00:00.017
Amount of Output
PRINT = DEFAULT
NEWVAR = CURRENT

Equations Include
Modified
MISSING = EXCLUDE
CONSTANT
FIT_1
Fit for PDGT, MOD_3 Equation 1
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1
PDGT
dependent
PWGTT
NTt
IMGT
pdgt1
PDVT
instrumental
luaslahan
instrumental
It
instrumental
popt
instrumental
Dt1
instrumental
MOD_3
Model Summary
Equation 1
Multiple R
.989
R Square
.977
Adjusted R Square
.972
242.446
Page 6
ANOVA
Sum of Squares
Equation 1
Regression
Residual
Total
Mean Square
40604217.234
df
4
10151054.309
172.696
Sig.
940479.718
16
58779.982
41544696.952
20
.000
Coefficients
B
Equation 1
(Constant)
Std. Error
-361.370
136.438
.691
.179
PWGTT
NTt
Beta
Sig.
-2.649
.018
.346
3.871
.001
.054
.049
.132
1.104
.286
IMGT
-9.259E-5
.000
-.040
-.607
.552
pdgt1
.667
.110
.577
6.087
.000
PWGTT
Equation 1
Correlations
NTt
IMGT
pdgt1
PWGTT
1.000
-.414
-.103
-.295
NTt
-.414
1.000
-.465
-.578
IMGT
-.103
-.465
1.000
.126
pdgt1
-.295
-.578
.126
1.000
FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=predected_1 predected_2 predected_3 PRODGT PDGT Dt st

/STATISTICS=MEAN
/ORDER=ANALYSIS.
Frequencies
Notes
Output Created
29-May-2015 14:32:16
Comments
Input
Data
E:\simultandata.sav
Active Dataset
DataSet1
Filter
<none>
Weight
<none>
Split File
<none>
Page 7
Notes
Input
Data File
22
treated as missing.
Cases Used

with valid data.
Syntax
FREQUENCIES
VARIABLES=predected_1
predected_2 predected_3 PRODGT
PDGT Dt st
/STATISTICS=MEAN
/ORDER=ANALYSIS.
Resources
Processor Time
00:00:00.015
Elapsed Time
00:00:00.016
Statistics
Fit for
PRODGT,
MOD_2
Equation 1
Fit for Dt,

MOD_1
Equation 1
N
Valid
PRODGT
PDGT
Dt
st
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
3.4143640E6
2.0041987E6
2.0549524E3
2.0042E6
2.0550E3
3.4144E6
3.6129E6
Missing
Mean
Fit for PDGT,

MOD_3
Equation 1
Frequency Table
Valid
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
2259532.31484174
4.5
4.8
4.8
2689977.97714138
4.5
4.8
9.5
3056079.70267255
4.5
4.8
14.3
3088892.38666676
4.5
4.8
19.0
3124741.19257109
4.5
4.8
23.8
3263347.18030114
4.5
4.8
28.6
3263451.58258532
4.5
4.8
33.3
3271742.96858683
4.5
4.8
38.1
3276313.43471442
4.5
4.8
42.9
Page 8
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
3430336.67076662
4.5
4.8
47.6
3435490.45546865
4.5
4.8
52.4
3463384.4286549
4.5
4.8
57.1
3513202.18947002
4.5
4.8
61.9
3531105.42252436
4.5
4.8
66.7
3559490.59527705
4.5
4.8
71.4
3594625.05139319
4.5
4.8
76.2
3676517.6076507
4.5
4.8
81.0
3688662.1331929
4.5
4.8
85.7
4012947.0176138
4.5
4.8
90.5
4162084.99998751
4.5
4.8
95.2
4339717.68791911
4.5
4.8
100.0
21
95.5
100.0
4.5
22
100.0
Total
Missing
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
System
Total
Valid
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
1590184.34368327
4.5
4.8
4.8
1671442.08707003
4.5
4.8
9.5
1794592.73240978
4.5
4.8
14.3
1798608.12306104
4.5
4.8
19.0
1800199.83297572
4.5
4.8
23.8
1831205.42233111
4.5
4.8
28.6
1833229.19165452
4.5
4.8
33.3
1880392.74002417
4.5
4.8
38.1
2007764.84308855
4.5
4.8
42.9
2043854.54242675
4.5
4.8
47.6
2061199.72498855
4.5
4.8
52.4
2070532.70602301
4.5
4.8
57.1
2076495.43833097
4.5
4.8
61.9
2097490.87363677
4.5
4.8
66.7
2129874.67765151
4.5
4.8
71.4
2160834.87956405
4.5
4.8
76.2
2194453.78588509
4.5
4.8
81.0
2194533.53886187
4.5
4.8
85.7
2205021.72814676
4.5
4.8
90.5
2279457.20984043
4.5
4.8
95.2
Page 9

Frequency
Valid
2366804.57834603
Total
Missing
4.5
4.8
95.5
100.0
4.5
22
100.0
Cumulative
Percent
Valid Percent
21
System
Total
Percent
100.0
Fit for PDGT, MOD_3 Equation 1
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
435.137215725574
4.5
4.8
524.397329452915
4.5
4.8
9.5
558.047074494983
4.5
4.8
14.3
638.084324344494
4.5
4.8
19.0
784.477396265633
4.5
4.8
23.8
1002.02161769471
4.5
4.8
28.6
1161.08916734127
4.5
4.8
33.3
1279.18829297002
4.5
4.8
38.1
1378.38641625221
4.5
4.8
42.9
1423.32121625506
4.5
4.8
47.6
1505.84924644387
4.5
4.8
52.4
1591.98504927004
4.5
4.8
57.1
1759.65675010128
4.5
4.8
61.9
2387.74418788543
4.5
4.8
66.7
2523.67748976058
4.5
4.8
71.4
3253.02277034666
4.5
4.8
76.2
3676.24204115882
4.5
4.8
81.0
3868.88011322525
4.5
4.8
85.7
3942.63413829387
4.5
4.8
90.5
4379.67565112754
4.5
4.8
95.2
100.0
5080.48251158978
Total
Missing
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
4.5
4.8
21
95.5
100.0
System
Total
4.5
22
100.0
4.8
PRODGT
Valid
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
1488269
4.5
4.8
1493933
4.5
4.8
9.5
1631918
4.5
4.8
14.3
1690004
4.5
4.8
19.0
4.8
Page 10
PRODGT
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
1725467
4.5
4.8
23.8
1755354
4.5
4.8
28.6
1898809
4.5
4.8
33.3
2004051
4.5
4.8
38.1
2014574
4.5
4.8
42.9
2051645
4.5
4.8
47.6
2059576
4.5
4.8
52.4
2094195
4.5
4.8
57.1
2108348
4.5
4.8
61.9
2119585
4.5
4.8
66.7
2175874
4.5
4.8
71.4
2191986
4.5
4.8
76.2
2241742
4.5
4.8
81.0
2252667
4.5
4.8
85.7
2306484
4.5
4.8
90.5
2329811
4.5
4.8
95.2
100.0
2453881
Total
Missing
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
System
Total
4.5
4.8
21
95.5
100.0
4.5
22
100.0
PDGT
Valid
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
592
4.5
4.8
615
4.5
4.8
9.5
653
4.5
4.8
14.3
729
4.5
4.8
19.0
890
4.5
4.8
23.8
1041
4.5
4.8
28.6
1125
4.5
4.8
33.3
1215
4.5
4.8
38.1
1256
4.5
4.8
42.9
1260
4.5
4.8
47.6
1430
4.5
4.8
52.4
1461
4.5
4.8
57.1
1525
4.5
4.8
61.9
2572
4.5
4.8
66.7
2640
4.5
4.8
71.4
4.8
Page 11
PDGT
Valid
Missing
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
2989
4.5
4.8
76.2
3619
4.5
4.8
81.0
3745
4.5
4.8
85.7
4110
4.5
4.8
90.5
4212
4.5
4.8
95.2
5475
4.5
4.8
100.0
Total
21
95.5
100.0
4.5
22
100.0
System
Total
Dt
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
1910968
4.5
4.8
4.8
2769278
4.5
4.8
9.5
2940631
4.5
4.8
14.3
2943923
4.5
4.8
19.0
3160562
4.5
4.8
23.8
3187530
4.5
4.8
28.6
3190974
4.5
4.8
33.3
3284303
4.5
4.8
38.1
3328465
4.5
4.8
42.9
3366006
4.5
4.8
47.6
3368570
4.5
4.8
52.4
3374606
4.5
4.8
57.1
3392090
4.5
4.8
61.9
3489930
4.5
4.8
66.7
3514290
4.5
4.8
71.4
3922160
4.5
4.8
76.2
3964030
4.5
4.8
81.0
3977884
4.5
4.8
85.7
4073471
4.5
4.8
90.5
4102519
4.5
4.8
95.2
4439453
4.5
4.8
100.0
21
95.5
100.0
4.5
22
100.0
Total
Missing
Total
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
System
Page 12
st
Valid
Percent
Valid Percent
2469000
4.5
4.8
4.8
2666000
4.5
4.8
9.5
2701000
4.5
4.8
14.3
2727000
4.5
4.8
19.0
2807000
4.5
4.8
23.8
2831000
4.5
4.8
28.6
2959000
4.5
4.8
33.3
3032000
4.5
4.8
38.1
3089000
4.5
4.8
42.9
3165000
4.5
4.8
47.6
3374000
4.5
4.8
52.4
3659000
4.5
4.8
57.1
3670000
4.5
4.8
61.9
3714000
4.5
4.8
66.7
4547000
4.5
4.8
71.4
4570000
4.5
4.8
76.2
4670000
4.5
4.8
81.0
4721000
4.5
4.8
85.7
4740000
9.1
9.5
95.2
5020000
4.5
4.8
100.0
21
95.5
100.0
4.5
22
100.0
Total
Missing
Total
Cumulative
Percent
Frequency
System
Page 13

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* 2-Stage Least Squares.

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis

User-defined missing values are

Statistics are based on all cases

2SLS Dt WITH popt PDGT Dt1 It

Saving New Variables

Treatment of UserMissing Values

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

Std. Error of the Estimate

* 2-Stage Least Squares.

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis

User-defined missing values are

Statistics are based on all cases

2SLS PRODGT WITH PDGT

Time Series Settings

Saving New Variables

Treatment of UserMissing Values

Fit for PRODGT, MOD_2 Equation 1

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

Std. Error of the Estimate

* 2-Stage Least Squares.

Two-stage Least Squares Analysis

Statistics are based on all cases

2SLS PDGT WITH PWGTT NTt IMGT

Saving New Variables

Treatment of UserMissing Values

Fit for PDGT, MOD_3 Equation 1

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

predictor & instrumental

Std. Error of the Estimate

FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=predected_1 predected_2 predected_3 PRODGT PDGT Dt st

Statistics are based on all cases

Fit for Dt,

Fit for PDGT,

Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1

Fit for PRODGT, MOD_2 Equation 1

Fit for PRODGT, MOD_2 Equation 1

Fit for PDGT, MOD_3 Equation 1

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