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The purpose of this study is to investigate the determinants of Turkish banks' capital adequacy ratio
and its effects on financial positions of banks covered by the study. Data are obtained from banks'
annual reports for the period 2006 - 2010. Panel data methodology is used in this study and analyzes
relationships between independent variables; bank size (SIZE), deposits (DEP), loans (LOA), loan loss
reserve (LLR), liquidity (LIQ), profitability (ROA and ROE), net interest margin (NIM) and leverage (LEV)
and a dependent variable which is capital adequacy ratio (CAR). The results of the paper indicate that
LOA, return on equity and LEV have a negative effect on CAR, while LLR and return on assets positively
influence CAR. On the other hand, SIZE, DEP, LIQ and NIM do not appear to have any significant effect
on CAR.
Key words: Capital adequacy ratio, Turkish banks, panel data analysis.
INTRODUCTION
Financial markets have changed shape as the providers
of financial services have extended their scope of
activities. However, in recent decades financial entities
commonly go bankrupt with disastrous consequences for
individuals and society since a bankrupt limited liability
company is not responsible for losses exceeding its
financial resources (Jong and Madan, 2011). In recent
years, banking crises have become increasingly common
and increasingly expensive to deal with. Prudential
regulation of banks is supposed to prevent or at least to
reduce the frequency of such crises. The group of issues
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minimum capital requirements have followed an international harmonization guided by the Basel Committee,
starting from 1988, date in which the first agreement was
issued (Brogi, 2010).In order to prevent bank failures and
protect the interest of the depositors, it is necessary to
require banks to maintain a significant level of capital
adequacy. Because of its importance, the western
banking system has established internationallyrecognized capital regulations, which are formulated by
the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. The Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision is a committee of
banking supervisory authorities that was established by
the central bank governors of the Group of Ten countries
in 1975. It sets out the details of the agreed framework
for measuring capital adequacy and the minimum
standard. The basic idea of the 1988 Basel Capital
Accord has two parts. First, it established the definition of
capital and distinguished between its core elements (Tier
1) and supplementary elements (Tier 2). The 1988 Basle
Accord explicitly considered only credit risk. It required
internationally active banks to hold a minimum capital
equal to 8% of risk adjusted assets, with capital
consisting of Tier I capital (equity capital and disclosed
reserves) and Tier II capital (long term debt, undisclosed
reserves and hybrid instruments). In 1988, the Basel
Committee introduced capital adequacy regulation that
has been adopted by more than 100 countries (Jacobson
at al., 2002 and Chami and Cosimano, 2003). In Basel II
to revise the 1988 Accord has been to develop a
framework that would further strengthen the soundness
and stability. Insufficient risk dependence and the
possibilities of arbitrage in the present regulations are
important reasons behind the Basel Committees revision
of the capital adequacy rules. Its revision can also be
seen as a natural consequence of the rapid
developments in recent years in credit risk management
and credit risk measurement and the banks greater
readiness and ability to quantify credit risk (Jacobson at
al., 2002). The Committee is also retaining key elements
of the 1988 capital adequacy framework, including the
general requirement for banks to hold total capital
equivalent to at least 8% of their risk-weighted assets; the
basic structure of the 1996 Market Risk Amendment
regarding the treatment of market risk and the definition
of eligible capital. Basel II is more risk sensitive than the
1988 Accord higher than allowed for in this framework
(elik and Kzl, 2008; Thampy, 2004). Basel Capital
Accord covers not only the calculation of capital
adequacy ratio but also other supporting issues like
sound supervisory processes and market discipline.
The aim of this paper is to investigate empirically
determinants of capital adequacy ratio in Turkish banks.
Capital adequacy ratio is analyzed based on annually
data from 2006 to 2010 by nine bank specific variables.
The bank specific variables used in this study are bank
size, deposits, loans, loan loss reserve, liquidity,
profitability, net interest margin and leverage. In the
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Number of banks
State Deposit Banks
Private Deposit Banks
Banks within the structure of SDIF
Global Capital Deposit Banks
Development and Investment Banks
Participation Banks
Number of Branches
Deposit Banks
Development and Investment Banks
Participation Banks
Number of Personnel
Deposit Banks
Development and Investment Banks
Participation Banks
2006
50
3
14
1
15
13
4
7.302
6.904
42
356
150.966
138.599
5.255
7.112
2007
50
3
12
1
17
13
4
8.122
7.658
42
422
167.760
153.212
5.361
9.187
2008
49
3
11
1
17
13
4
9.304
8.724
44
536
182.665
166.326
5.307
11.032
2009
49
3
11
1
17
13
4
9.581
8.968
44
569
184.205
167.063
5.340
11.802
2010
49
3
11
1
17
13
4
9.935
9.296
42
597
189.783
171.974
5.395
12.414
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bank. Bensaid et al. (1995) consider the capital requirement in the context of both adverse selection and moral
hazard. Adverse selection arises as the quality of the
banks assets is private information to the banks owners,
and moral hazard arises as the banks profit depend on
the unobservable effort chosen by the banker. Song
(1998) examined Korean banks responses to the Basel
risk weighted capital adequacy requirements implemented in 1993. The author concluded that the higher
capital requirements were generally effective because
Korean banks generally did not much utilize cosmetic
adjustments to increase their capital ratios.
Reynolds et al. (2000) studied financial structure and
bank performance from 1987 to 1997. Financial performance ratios which were used as dependent variables
(capital adequacy, liquidity, profitability, and loan
preference) were regressed to structural variables (bank
assets, net income, administrative expenses and time).
They have examined the financial structure and
performance of banks in eight East and Southeast Asian
Countries. They found that profitability and loan
preferences increases with size, but capital adequacy
decreases with size, so large banks have smaller capital
adequacy ratios, and profit is directly related to capital
adequacy. And as management (given by administrative
expenses) increased from a small size, the capital
adequacy ratio fill to a minimum, then increased as
management became larger and larger. Yu (2000)
documented bank size, liquidity and profitability are the
main determinants of bank capital ratio in Taiwan. The
author summarized that large banks in Taiwan have
much lower capital ratios than the small banks which is
consistent with the previous study where the large banks
feel that they are too big to fail. The author also
suggested that the banks mainly use internal source of
capital, this contributes that more profitable banks tend to
have higher capital ratios. The remarkable finding of this
paper is the relationship between the equity-to-asset ratio
and the liquidity ratio is significantly positive for small
banks, but significantly negative for medium size banks.
Aggarwal and Jacques (2001) reported that US banks
increased their capital ratio without increases in credit
risk. They concluded that the prompt corrective action
positively and significantly affected capital ratio in both
high capital and low capital banks with a faster speed of
adjustment in undercapitalized banks. Rime (2001)
examined the Swiss banks capital and risk behavior. The
author adopts a simultaneous equations approach to
examine whether Swiss banks which close to the
minimum regulatory standards tend to increase their
capital ratio. He suggests regulatory pressure has a
positive and significant impact on capital ratio. However,
there is no evidence of capital requirement has significant
impact on the banks risk taking behavior. Saunders and
Wilson (2001) suggested that the relationship between
charter value and capital structure decisions is
procyclical. Their regression results showed that during
CAR =
11203
Shareholders' Equity
Amount Subject to Credit Risk + Amoun Subject to Market Risk + Amount Subject to Operational Risk
(1)
11204
Deposits (DEP)
Share of deposit is a ratio of total deposits to total assets. Deposits
are generally considered cheaper sources of funds compared to
borrowing and similar financing instruments (such as financing by
bond or syndication and securitization loans) for banks (Kleff and
Weber, 2003). When deposits increase, banks should be more
regulated and controlled to guarantee the depositors rights, and to
protect a bank from insolvency. If depositors cannot assess
financial soundness of their banks, banks will maintain lower than
optimal capital ratios. Optimal capital ratios are those that banks
would have observed if depositors could have assessed their
financial positions properly. But if depositors can assess a bank's
capital strength, a bank will maintain a relatively strong capital
positions because greater capital induces depositors to accept
lower interest rates on their deposits. Asarkaya and zcan (2007)
found a negative sign between share of deposit and capital
adequacy ratio.
H2: Share of deposit has no statistically significant impact on banks
capital adequacy ratio.
Leverage (LEV)
The final bank specific variable is the bank leverage factors which
proxy by the total equity to total liabilities ratio. Shareholder will find
high leveraged banks are more risky compared to other banks,
11205
Predicted sign
+/+
+
+/+
+ and +
+/+
Variable
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
Jarque-Bera
Probability
Observation
CAR
0.200
0.170
0.713
0.118
0.091
2.832
12.721
632.874
0.000*
120
SIZE
22.973
23.160
25.742
19.692
1.676
-0.107
1.832
7.055
0.029**
120
DEP
0.616
0.625
0.879
0.123
0.138
-0.973
4.840
35.858
0.000*
120
LOA
0.523
0.564
0.762
0.036
0.160
-0.933
3.337
17.993
0.000*
120
LLR
0.042
0.037
0.193
0.000
0.031
1.737
7.977
184.210
0.000*
120
LIQ
0.578
0.536
1.359
0.140
0.232
0.616
3.385
8.330
0.016**
120
ROA
0.016
0.016
0.055
-0.027
0.013
0.151
4.882
18.167
0.000*
120
ROE
0.129
0.136
0.344
-0.247
0.098
-0.486
4.409
14.656
0.001*
120
NIM
0.039
0.038
0.073
-0.085
0.018
-3.215
22.015
2014.607
0.000*
120
LEV
0..168
0.141
0.969
0.071
0.116
4.703
29.628
3987.645
0.000*
120
Note: Asterisks (*) and (**) denote the null of normality was rejected at 1% and 5% significance levels respectively.
CAR = f SIZE, DEP, LOA, LLR, LIQ, ROA, ROE, NIM, LEV (2)
In order to see whether the above identified bank specific variables
could explain CAR, the multivariate panel regression model is
formed:
Econometric model
This study examined the effects of bank specific variables on
CARit = 0 + 1 SIZEit + 2 DEPit + 3 LOAit + 4 LLRit + 5 LIQit + 6 ROAit + 7 ROEit + 8 NIM it + 9 LEVit + it
In the above equation
variables while
it
is constant and
is coefficient of
(3)
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
Various descriptive statistics are calculated of the variables under study in order to describe the basic characteristics of these variables. Table 3 shows the descriptive
statistics of the data containing sample means, medians,
maximums, minimums, standard deviations, skewness,
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Table 4. The pairwise correlation matrix for dependent (CAR) and explanatory variables.
CAR
SIZE
DEP
LOA
LLR
LIQ
ROA
ROE
NIM
LEV
CAR
1
-0.363*
-0.373*
-0.773*
-0.234**
0.665*
0.275*
-0.039
-0.611*
0.503*
SIZE
DEP
LOA
LLR
LIQ
ROA
ROE
NIM
LEV
1
0.362*
0.122
0.131
-0.322*
0.362*
0.648*
0.183**
-0.425*
1
0.266*
0.181**
-0.354*
-0.121
0.171
0.165
-0.542*
1
0.046
-0.698*
-0.274*
-0.120
0.506*
-0.309*
1
-0.089
-0.087
-0.034
0.196**
-0.135
1
0.162
-0.150
-0.401*
0.501*
1
0.824*
-0.121
0.326*
1
0.096
-0.173
1
-0.264*
11207
Explanatory variable
CONSTANT
SIZE
DEP
LOA
LLR
LIQ
ROA
ROE
NIM
LEV
N x T = 24 x 5
2
R
Adj. R2
F-Stat.
Durbin-Watson Stat.
Model I:
{Cross-Section (Fixed Effects)}
0.5094(0.3658)
-0.0093(0.0151)
0.0269(0.0724)
-0.1829***(0.0925)
0.3485***(0.1957)
0.0317(0.0438)
4.0319**(1.6017)
-0.4419***(0.2429)
-0.5284(0.3613)
-0.2228**(0.0916)
Model II:
{Cross-Section (Random Effects)}
0.6542***(0.0789)
-0.0107*(0.0033)
0.0001(0.0332)
-0.3254*(0.0386)
-0.3448*(0.1278)
0.0054(0.0263)
3.1358*(1.0266)
-0.3096**(0.1402)
-0.9060*(0.2574)
-0.0254(0.0629)
120 (balanced)
0.8644
0.8146
17.3348*
1.8606
120 (balanced)
0.7699
0.7512
40.9177*
1.3546
Values in parentheses are the standard errors. *, ** and *** denote significant level at 1, 5 and 10%, respectively.
Chi-Sq. Statistic
37.941159
Chi-Sq. d.f.
9
Probability
0.0000
H0: i are uncorrelated with Xit; H1; i are correlated with Xit.
11208
Variable
SIZE
DEP
LOA
LLR
LIQ
ROA
ROE
NIM
LEV
Sign
+
+
+
+
-
the other hand, SIZE, DEP, LIQ and NIM do not appear
to have any significant effect on CAR.
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Significance level
0.10
0.10
0.05
0.10
0.05
11209