Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ON
ARBITRAGE TRADE
ANALYSIS
OF STOCK TRADING IN NSE
AND BSE
CONDUCTED
AT
SUBMITTED TO
SUBMITTED TO:
SUBMITTED BY:
ANIL
POONAM JAIN
KOTHARI
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
POONAM JAIN
TABLES OF CONTENT
1.INTRODUCTION
1.1 SHAREKHAN (COMPANY PROFILE)
1.2 ARBITRAGE
2. COMPANY PROFILE
2.1
BSE
2.2
NSE
3. METHODOLOGY
4. DATA ANALYSIS
4.1 RETURN, VARIANCE, STANDARD
DEVIATION
OF BSE SENSEX
4.2 RETURN, VARIANCE, STANDARD
DEVIATION
OF NSE
4.3 CO -RRELATION OF RETURNS BETWEEN
BSE
3
& NSE
5. CONCLUSION
INTRODUCTION
Arbitrage Pricing Theory:
Definition
An alternative asset pricing model to the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Unlike the
Capital Asset Pricing Model, which specifies returns as a linear function of only
systematic risk, Arbitrage Pricing Theory may specify returns as a linear function
of more than a single factor.
Fundamental Analysis
This investment strategy involves evaluating a stock by examining the
company, especially its operations and its financial condition. Here we look at
several valuation methods, factoring in price/earnings ratio, PEG, dividend
yields, book value, price/sales ratio, and return on equity.
Stock Strategies
Learn about various strategies for investing in stocks, including the buy and
hold approach, analyzing market timing, and estimating a companys potential
for growth
The APT is a substitute for the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) in that both
assert a linear relation between assets expected returns and their covariance
with other random variables. (In the CAPM, the covariance is with the market
portfolios return.) The covariance is interpreted as a measure of risk that
investors cannot avoid by diversification. The slope coefficient in the linear
relation between the expected returns and the covariance is interpreted as a
risk premium. Such a relation is closely tied to mean-variance efficiency, which
is reviewed in Section 5. Section 5 also points out that an empirical test of the
APT entails a procedure to identify at least some features of the underlying
factor structure. Merely stating that some collection of portfolios (or even a
single portfolio) is mean-variance efficient relative to the mean-variance frontier
spanned by the existing assets does not constitute a test of the APT, because
one can always find a mean-variance efficient portfolio.
Consequently, as a test of the APT it is not sufficient to merely show that a
setoff factor portfolio satisfies the linear relation between the expected return
and its covariance with the factors portfolios.
A sketch of the empirical approaches to the APT is offered in Section 6, while
Section 7 describes various procedures to identify the underlying factors. The
large number of factors proposed in the literature and the variety of statistical
or ad hoc procedures to find them indicates that a definitive insight on the topic
is still missing.
Finally, Section 8 surveys the applications of the APT, the most prominent being
the evaluation of the performance of money managers who actively change
their portfolios. 1 Unfortunately, the APT does not necessarily preclude arbitrage
opportunities over dynamic portfolios of the existing assets. Therefore, the
applications of the APT in the evaluation of managed portfolios contradict at
least the spirit of the APT, which obtains price restrictions by assuming the
absence of arbitrage.
Arbitrage is an often-used term in share markets. The arbitrager is an important
intermediary that helps in price discovery mechanism in all markets be it equity,
money, forex or derivatives. There are three important participants that are
important in a cash market, the speculator, arbitrager and an investor. In futures
market the investor is replaced by a hedger. Arbitrager and Speculator are often
confused and both are termed as Speculators. In this article I wish to explain the
5
difference between the two and show how arbitrage works in the market and its
influence on market volatility.
Arbitraging in India has been going on for several years. Initially arbitrage
activity was between Stock Exchange Mumbai and all other regional exchanges.
Mr. Babulal Bagri the founder of BLB Securities and Mr. Manubhai Maneklal were
legendary arbitragers of that era. They traded between Mumbai, Delhi and
Calcutta markets. Arbitraging in those days was done manually and not on any
online system. The way the fingers of these brokers flew on telex machines
giving trade instructions was an experience by itself. Then it shifted to cashing
on price difference between NSE and BSE limited. Today large amount of
arbitrage happens between cash and derivative markets. Arbitrage is also
possible between the current month and near or far month contracts. In case of
Commodity exchanges also there is an arbitrage opportunity between the local
cash markets or mandis and the future markets which are popularly known as
National Commodity Exchanges.
Speculator is one who gives liquidity to the markets. The buyers and sellers may
not often decide at the same time to buy or sell a security. There is a time gap
as well as a difference in price and quantity at which the buyer and seller intend
to do a transaction. The speculator fills this time gap and gives quotes to buyers
as well as sellers on a continuous basis. This imparts liquidity to the market
since each order has a counter offer from a speculator even if there is no
counter party to match the order.
The arbitrager is one who plays the role of balancing the price differences
across the markets. The markets may be two exchanges trading in the same
product or two segments such as cash and derivatives or across international
markets and local markets. The arbitrager continuously tracks prices across the
chosen segment. Are momentary price differences in two markets due to
difference in level of information as well as demand supply situation in the
market. These price differences are an Opportunity for the Arbitrager
The arbitrager has money power at his disposal. He takes deliveries in a
particular market segment and is able to give deliveries in another market
segment. There is a time gap between giving and taking deliveries. He holds the
stock for this time and earns an interest on the funds invested which comes by
way of price differential between buy and sell rates. The arbitrager has a
particular interest return as his target. He does not have any open positions and
all his purchases or sells in a particular market segment have a counter position
in another market segment. At the net level his position is always zero. This is
how the arbitrager earns a risk free return.
The arbitrager does not always wait for the expiry of the contract or the
settlement of the transaction. They may reverse the position before the actual
settlement date even if they have to compromise on some percentage of the
price difference earned by them. Lesser return is acceptable if it is earned with
smaller or no investment. All decisions are taken with reference to a benchmarktargeted return.
Arbitrage activity thus adds to liquidity in the markets and also helps in
balancing the prices of same shares across various markets. Prices continuously
balance out once the differences are cash upon. Arbitrage Helps in reducing
volatility in markets since continuous flow of orders reduces impact cost and
more depth means less volatility.
A small investor may not always be able to capture small differences in prices.
They are not constantly in front of the trading screen nor do they have
sophisticated trading systems to execute the orders. They are often linked to
Internet or a network connection that is not direct feed into the stock exchange
system i.e. BOLT or NEAT. Streaming quotes on online trading is closest that is
available for such trading. Best strategy is to look for difference in shares prices
of stocks that you already have, hence delivery is not a problem. Otherwise it is
a volume game, small returns over thousands of transactions is the name of the
game. It is advisable to study the opportunities. You may not act on all of them,
but it prepares you to invest your money wisely when you are a Billionaire.
Mutual Fund Feature
There have been many successful arbitrage schemes launched in the Indian
Mutual Fund Industry, but JM Financial Mutual Fund is the pioneer in this
segment. It launched its first arbitrage scheme - JM Equity & Derivative Fund and introduced the concept across the country in 2005. After an overwhelming
7
response to this scheme, where the Company collected around Rs 823 crores, it
has now come up with a new fund offering called Arbitrage Advantage Fund.
The objective of this Scheme is to generate income through arbitrage
opportunities emerging out of mis-pricing between the cash and the derivatives
markets and through deployment of surplus cash in fixed-income instruments.
Arbitrage Advantage Fund is an extended version of the JM Equity & Derivatives
Fund, which
According to the new guidelines by SEBI can hedge the entire position of its
equity stock, opposed to earlier when a mutual fund scheme could buy/sell
futures for only up to 50% of the corpus. Therefore in this new scheme, there is
a mandate to deploy up to 80% of the corpus into equity shares and hedge
equivalent futures by allocating the balance 20% towards margins. This will
enhance the returns of an arbitrage scheme phenomenally, just as the Company
delivered 7% per annum returns in the past; and with the new Scheme, the
returns to investors would be higher, at 8.5-9% a year.
Scheme Feature Asset Allocation
Instruments Risk Profile Min-Max
Equity & Equity-linked instruments Medium-High 65-80%
Derivatives, including stock futures and stock options# Medium-High 65-80%
Debt Securities, Money Market Instruments Medium-High 20-35%
JM Arbitrage Advantage Fund
14th June 2006 A market-neutral strategy
Arbitrage Strategies
Arbitrage is a strategy involving a simultaneous purchase and sale of identical
or equivalent instruments across two or more markets in order to benefit from a
discrepancy in their price relationship. It is a risk-free transaction, as the long
and short legs of the transaction offset each other exactly. Thus, arbitrage
engages in a strategy in order to reduce risk of loss caused by price fluctuations
of securities held in the portfolio. It involves buying and selling of equal
quantities of a security in two different markets, with the expectations that a
future change in price will offset by an opposite change in the other.
Daily turnover in the derivatives segment is around 3.5 times the cash market
volumes and is to the tune of Rs 30,000 crores. Arbitrage activity is largely
concentrated in single stock futures, while index arbitrage is not very popular,
although it contributes about 25-30% of the total stock futures volumes. In
India, stock borrowing in the cash market is cumbersome, making the Sell
Stock buy Futures strategy difficult; hence, almost the entire arbitrage activity
is concentrated in Buy Stock-Sell Futures.4
8
Conclusion
The Arbitrage Fund, in such uncertain times, can prove to be one of the good
choices by investors, other than putting the money in fixed deposits. The Fund
House is claiming a return of around 9-9.9%, which is much better than that of
many other savings instruments. However, finding an arbitrage opportunity in a
bear phase is very
11
in
You dont know how long it will take for the intrinsic value to be reflected
the marketplace.
12
INDUSTRY DETAIL
Securities market has essentially three categories of participants
namely the issuer of securities, investors in securities and the
intermediaries and two categories of products, the services of the
intermediaries the securities including derivatives.
The securities market has two interdependent and inseparable
segments the new issue (primary market) and the stock (secondary
market). The primary market provides the channel for sale of new
securities while the secondary market deals in securities previously
issued
13
COMPANY PROFILE:
Sharekhan is one of the top retail brokerage houses in India with a strong online
trading platform. The company provides equity based products (research,
equities, derivatives, depository, margin funding, etc.). It has one of the largest
networks in the country with 1200+ share shops in 400 cities and Indias
premier online trading portal www.sharekhan.com. With their research
expertise, customer commitment and superior technology, they provide
investors with end-to-end solutions in investments. They provide trade
execution services through multiple channels - an Internet platform, telephone
and retail outlets.
Sharekhan was established by Morakhia family in 1999-2000 and Morakhia
family, continues to remain the largest shareholder. It is the retail broking arm of
the Mumbai-based SSKI [SHRIPAL SHEWANTILAL KANTILAL ISWARNATH LIMITED]
Group. SSKI which is established in 1930 is the parent company of Sharekhan
ltd. With a legacy of more than 80 years in the stock markets, the SSKI group
ventured into institutional broking and corporate finance over a decade ago.
Presently SSKI is one of the leading players in institutional broking and
corporate finance activities. Sharekhan offers its customers a wide range of
equity related services including trade execution on BSE, NSE, and Derivatives.
Depository services, online trading, Investment advice, Commodities, etc.
Sharekhan Ltd. is a brokerage firm which is established on 8th February 2000
and now it is having all the rights of SSKI. The company was awarded the 2005
Most Preferred Stock Broking Brand by Awaaz Consumer Vote. It is first
brokerage Company to go online. The Company's online trading and investment
site - www.Sharekhan.com - was also launched on Feb 8, 2000. This site gives
access to superior content and transaction facility to retail customers across the
country. Known for its jargon-free, investor friendly language and high quality
research, the content-rich and research oriented portal has stood out among its
contemporaries because of its steadfast dedication to offering customers bestof-breed technology and superior market information.
Sharekhan has one of the best states of art web portal providing fundamental
and statistical information across equity, mutual funds and IPOs. One can surf
across 5,500 companies for in-depth information, details about more than 1,500
mutual fund schemes and IPO data. One can also access other market related
details such as board meetings, result announcements, FII transactions,
buying/selling by mutual funds and much more.
Sharekhan's management team is one of the strongest in the sector and has
positioned Sharekhan to take advantage of the growing consumer demand for
financial services products in India through investments in research, pan-Indian
branch network and an outstanding technology platform. Further, Sharekhan's
14
15
Mission:
To educate and empower the individual investor to make better
investment decisions through quality advice and superior service.
VISION:
To be the best retail brokering Brand in the retail business of stock market.
ACHIEVEMENTS OF SHAREKHAN:
A wired company along with Reliance, Hll, Infosys, etc by Business Today,
January 2004 edition.
It was awarded Top Domestic Brokerage House four times by Euro and
Asia money.
It was Winner of Best Financial Website award.
Indias most preferred brokers within 5 years. CNBC Awaaz customers
Award 2005.
16
17
ORGANISATION
PROFILE
18
19
20
Trading
NSE introduced for the first time in India, fully automated screen based trading.
It uses a modern, fully computerized trading system designed to offer investors
across the length and breadth of the country a safe and easy way to invest.
The NSE trading system called 'National Exchange for Automated Trading'
(NEAT) is a fully automated screen based trading system, which adopts the
principle of an order driven market.
Risk Management
A sound risk management system is integral to an efficient clearing and
settlement system. NSE introduced for the first time in India, risk containment
measures that were common internationally but were absent from the Indian
securities markets.
NSCCL has put in place a comprehensive risk management system, which is
constantly upgraded to pre-empt market failures. The Clearing Corporation
ensures that trading member obligations are commensurate with their net
worth.
22
COMPANY PROFILE
ICICI
24
HDFC BANK
25
26
27
28
RANBAXY
29
30
BHARTI AIRTEL
31
PARTNERS
The company has a strategic alliance with SingTel. The investment
made by SingTel is one of the largest investments made in the world
outside Singapore, in the company.
The companys mobile network equipment partners include Ericsson
and Nokia. In the case of the broadband and telephone services and
enterprise services (carriers), equipment suppliers include Siemens,
Nortel, Corning, among others. The Company also has an
information technology alliance with IBM for its group-wide
information technology requirements and with Nortel for call center
technology requirements. The call center operations for the mobile
services have been outsourced to IBM Daksh, Hinduja TMT, and
Teletech & Mphasis.
32
DATA ANALYSIS
33
METHODOLOGY
Arithmetic average or mean:
The arithmetic average measures the central tendency. The purpose of
computing an average value for a set of observations is to obtain a single value,
which is representative of all the items. The main objective of averaging is to
arrive at a single value which is a representative of the characteristics of the
entire mass of data and arithmetic average or mean of a series (usually denoted
by x) is the value obtained by dividing the sum of the values of various items in
a series (sigma x) divided by the number of items (N) constituting the series.
Thus, if X1, X2..Xn are the given N observations. Then
X= X1+X2+.Xn
N
RETURN
STANDARD DEVIATION:
34
The concept of standard deviation was first suggested by Karl Pearson in 1983.it
may be defined as the positive square root of the arithmetic mean of the
squares of deviations of the given observations from their arithmetic mean. In
short S.D may be defined as Root Mean Square Deviation from Mean
=1/N sigma(X-X) 2
Root-mean-square deviation from meantime.
VARIANCE:
The square of standard deviation is known as Variance.
Variance is the square root of the standard deviation:
Variance = (S.D) 2
Where, (S.D) is standard deviation
CORRELATION
35
xy/N
SD of X, Y
= XY
N
36
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JULY14 (ICICI)
S.No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
Date
1-Jul-14
2-Jul-14
3-Jul-14
4-Jul-14
5-Jul-14
6-Jul-14
7-Jul-14
8-Jul-14
9-Jul-14
10-Jul-14
11-Jul-14
12-Jul-14
13-Jul-14
14-Jul-14
15-Jul-14
16-Jul-14
17-Jul-14
18-Jul-14
19-Jul-14
20-Jul-14
21-Jul-14
31-Jul-14
Close Price
BSE
1,437.70
1,452.25
1,451.70
1,462.45
1,450.95
1,412.50
1,403.20
1,390.85
1,355.60
1,344.30
1,393.55
1,459.05
1,448.70
1,477.20
1,482.60
1,483.20
1,505.80
1,505.25
1,475.90
1,451.50
1,489.55
1,473.00
Close Price
NSE
1438.05
1452
1454.05
1462.85
1451.35
1411.2
1403.05
1389
1356.6
1344.25
1394.6
1460.85
1450.6
1480.45
1482.6
1483.25
1506
1506.4
1475.65
1451
1488.45
1471.25
Difference
-0.35
0.25
-2.35
-0.4
-0.4
1.3
0.15
1.85
-1
0.05
-1.05
-1.8
-1.9
-3.25
0
-0.05
-0.2
-1.14
0.25
.50
1.1
1.75
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
-0.212
MAX
1.85
MIN.
-3.25
MAX PRICE
1506.4
MIN.PRICE
1344.25
37
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of ICICI BANK
stock trading in BSE and NSE. Here arbitrage price difference of ICICI BANK stock
can be got by subtracting NSE from BSE. In the month of July 2014 ICICI BANK
stock consists minimum value is -3.25and maximum value +1.85 and Mean0.212 is. The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as
profit exists below five percent.
38
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF
AUG.-14(ICICI)
S.No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Date
1/8/2014
4/8/2014
5/8/2014
6/8/2014
7/8/2014
8/8/2014
11/8/2014
12/8/2014
13/08/2014
14/08/2014
18/08/2014
19/08/2014
20/08/2014
21/08/2014
22/08/2014
25/08/2014
26/08/2014
27/08/2014
28/08/2014
Close Price
NSE
1,475.65
1,491.40
1,486.55
1,447.10
1,444.85
1,437.15
1,440.90
1,463.30
1,452.20
1,479.65
1,530.70
1,542.90
1,542.75
1,544.95
1,539.55
1,514.30
1,508.05
1,540.30
1,556.80
Close Price
BSE
1,476.40
1,491.35
1,485.50
1,446.85
1,445.20
1,437.35
1,440.00
1,463.80
1,452.00
1,477.60
1,529.85
1,543.05
1,542.50
1,544.30
1,537.70
1,514.35
1,510.05
1,540.95
1,556.55
DIFF.
-0.75
0.05
1.05
0.25
-0.35
-0.2
0.9
-0.5
0.2
2.05
0.85
-0.3
0.25
0.65
1.85
-0.05
-2
-0.65
0.25
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.092
MAX.
2.05
MIN.
-0.75
MAX. PRICE
1556.80
MIN. PRICE
1437.15
39
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of ICICI BANK
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of ICICI BANK stock
can be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of NOV-2007 ICICI BANK
stock consists minimum value is -0.75 and maximum value +2.05 and Mean is
+0.092 The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as
profit exists below five percent.
40
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JULY14(HDFC)
SR NO.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Date
1-Jul-14
2-Jul-14
3-Jul-14
4-Jul-14
7-Jul-14
8-Jul-14
9-Jul-14
10-Jul-14
11-Jul-14
14-Jul-14
15-Jul-14
16-Jul-14
17-Jul-14
18-Jul-14
21-Jul-14
22-Jul-14
23-Jul-14
24-Jul-14
25-Jul-14
28-Jul-14
30-Jul-14
Difference
0.2
0.6
-0.4
0.3
0.4
-0.9
-0.05
-1.6
-.35
1
0.05
0.15
0.35
0
-0.6
-0.05
0.4
0.05
0
-0.2
0.05
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
-0.11
MAX.
MIN.
-0.9
MAX PRICE
842.25
MIN. PRICE
811.8
41
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of HDFC BANK
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of HDFC BANK
stock can be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of JULY 2014 HDFC
BANK stock consists minimum value is -0.9 and maximum value 1 and Mean is
-0.11. The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as
profit exists below five percent.
42
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF
AUG.-14(HDFC)
SR NO.
DATE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
1-Aug-14
4-Aug-14
5-Aug-14
6-Aug-14
7-Aug-14
8-Aug-14
11-Aug-14
12-Aug-14
13-Aug-14
14-Aug-14
18-Aug-14
19-Aug-14
20-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
22-Aug-14
25-Aug-14
26-Aug-14
27-Aug-14
28-Aug-14
Close Price
NSE
815.45
813
820.2
810
811.5
796.15
792.95
807.2
812.4
826.7
832.35
823.85
820.55
832.5
846.75
843.45
842.5
836.6
843.55
Close PRICE
BSE
815.25
813.15
819.95
809.55
811.8
796.3
793.6
807.15
812.35
825.75
832.25
824.1
820.55
831.65
846.6
843.4
842.5
836.6
842.95
DIFFERENCE
0.2
-0.15
0.25
0.45
-0.3
-0.17
-0.65
0.05
0.05
0.95
0.1
-0.25
0
0.85
0.15
0.35
0
0
0.6
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.13
MAX.
0.95
MIN.
-0.65
MAX PRICE
846.75
MIN. PRICE
792.95
43
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of HDFC BANK
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of HDFC BANK
stock can be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of AUG-2014 HDFC
BANK stock consists minimum value is -.65 and maximum value 0.95 and Mean
is 0.13. The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as
profit exists below five percent.
44
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JULY14(TCS)
SR NO.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Date
1-Jul-14
2-Jul-14
3-Jul-14
4-Jul-14
7-Jul-14
8-Jul-14
9-Jul-14
10-Jul-14
11-Jul-14
14-Jul-14
15-Jul-14
16-Jul-14
17-Jul-14
18-Jul-14
21-Jul-14
22-Jul-14
23-Jul-14
24-Jul-14
25-Jul-14
28-Jul-14
30-Jul-14
Close Price
NSE
2,390.75
2,401.60
2,417.90
2,410.50
2,488.55
2,449.45
2,398.15
2,351.80
2,394.45
2,426.25
2,399.30
2,401.85
2,381.95
2,441.20
2,463.75
2,532.40
2,586.15
2,595.20
2,605.75
2,589.30
2,595.05
Close P rice
BSE
2,390.40
2,397.05
2,417.75
2,409.80
2,483.50
2,449.70
2,397.30
2,347.90
2,398.00
2,424.70
2,400.20
2,401.35
2,381.10
2,442.65
2,464.30
2,531.05
2,586.90
2,594.55
2,604.95
2,588.70
2,593.45
DIFFERENCE
0.35
4.55
0.15
0.7
5.05
-0.25
0.85
3.9
-3.55
1.55
-0.9
0.5
0.85
-1.45
-0.55
1.35
-0.75
0.65
0.8
0.6
1.6
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.76
MAX.
5.05
MIN.
-3.55
MAX PRICE
2605.75
MIN. PRICE
2390.40
45
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of TCS stock
trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of TCS stock can be got
by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of JULY-2014 TCS stock consists
minimum value is -3.55 and maximum value +5.05 and Mean is +0.76. The
above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as profit exists
below five percent.
46
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF
AUG.-14(TCS)
SR NO.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Date
1-Aug-14
4-Aug-14
5-Aug-14
6-Aug-14
7-Aug-14
8-Aug-14
11-Aug-14
12-Aug-14
13-Aug-14
14-Aug-14
18-Aug-14
19-Aug-14
20-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
22-Aug-14
25-Aug-14
26-Aug-14
27Aug-14
28-Aug-14
Close Price
NSE
2,516.40
2,526.05
2,523.70
2,506.65
2,469.80
2,478.70
2,468.40
2,471.75
2,500.05
2,499.75
2,487.60
2,438.50
2,436.20
2,432.45
2,464.20
2,522.05
2,533.80
2,549.95
2,522.35
Close Price
BSE
2,516.45
2,526.95
2,522.55
2,509.40
2,470.20
2,476.00
2,468.75
2,473.70
2,494.90
2,496.55
2,486.45
2,438.35
2,436.45
2,431.95
2,461.65
2,521.15
2,533.45
2,545.35
2,524.60
Difference
-0.05
-0.9
1.15
-2.75
-0.4
2.7
-0.35
-1.95
5.15
3.2
1.15
0.15
-0.25
0.5
2.55
0.9
0.35
4.6
-2.25
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.71
MAX.
5.15
MIN.
-2.25
MAX. PRICE
2526.95
MIN. PRICE
2431.95
47
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of TCS stock
trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of TCS stock can be got
by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of AUG.-2014 TCS stock consists
minimum value is -2.25 and maximum value +5.15 and Mean is -0.71. The
above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as profit exists
below five percent.
48
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JULY14(AIRTEL)
SR NO.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Date
1-Jul-14
2-Jul-14
3-Jul-14
4-Jul-14
7-Jul-14
8-Jul-14
9-Jul-14
10-Jul-14
11-Jul-14
14-Jul-14
15-Jul-14
16-Jul-14
17-Jul-14
18-Jul-14
21-Jul-14
22-Jul-14
23-Jul-14
24-Jul-14
25-Jul-14
28-Jul-14
30-Jul-14
Close Price
NSE
335.50
338.15
336.95
339.25
344.45
340.55
341.50
334.05
335.50
332.10
334.55
336.20
336.60
336.25
337.20
354.15
354.35
354.60
354.80
353.95
373.15
Close Price
BSE
335.40
338.50
337.35
338.50
344.60
339.65
340.05
334.65
335.40
332.05
334.10
336.25
336.50
336.20
337.05
353.25
354.25
354.50
354.65
354.35
373.00
Difference
0.1
-0.35
-0.4
0.75
-0.15
0.9
1.45
-0.6
0.1
0.05
0.45
-0.05
0.1
0.05
0.15
0.9
0.1
0.1
0.15
-0.4
0.15
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.20
MAX.
1.45
MIN.
-0.35
MAX. PRICE
373.15
MIN.PRICE
332.05
49
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of AIRTEL
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of AIRTEL stock can
be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of JULY-2014 AIRTEL stock
consists minimum value is -.35 and maximum value +1.45 and Mean is 0.20.
The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as profit
exists below five percent.
50
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF
AUG.-14(AIRTEL)
SR NO.
Date
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
1-Aug-14
4-Aug-14
5-Aug-14
6-Aug-14
7-Aug-14
8-Aug-14
11-Aug-14
12-Aug-14
13-Aug-14
14-Aug-14
18-Aug-14
19-Aug-14
20-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
22-Aug-14
25-Aug-14
26-Aug-14
27-Aug-14
28-Aug-14
Close Price
NSE
380.05
376.9
374.75
367.65
365.8
374
376.45
369.95
368.6
365.2
376.3
377.15
374.55
371.1
365.1
369.1
369.6
369
369.8
Close Price
BSE
379.55
376.85
374.50
367.45
366.05
373.70
376.20
369.90
368.30
365.55
376.35
376.90
374.05
371.10
365.20
369.10
368.00
369.00
369.70
Difference
0.5
0.05
0.25
0.2
-0.25
0.3
0.25
0.05
0.3
-0.35
-0.05
0.25
0.5
0
-0.1
0
0.5
0
0.1
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.11
MAX.
0.25
MIN.
-0.25
MAX PRICE
380.05
MIN. PRICE
365.2
51
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of AIRTEL
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of AIRTEL stock can
be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of AUG.2014 AIRTEL stock
consists minimum value is -0.25 and maximum value +0.25 and Mean is +0.11.
The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as profit
exists below five percent.
52
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF JULY14(RANBAXY)
SR NO.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Date
1-Jul-14
2-Jul-14
3-Jul-14
4-Jul-14
7-Jul-14
8-Jul-14
9-Jul-14
10-Jul-14
11-Jul-14
14-Jul-14
15-Jul-14
16-Jul-14
17-Jul-14
18-Jul-14
21-Jul-14
22-Jul-14
23-Jul-14
24-Jul-14
25-Jul-14
28-Jul-14
30-Jul-14
Close Price
NSE
511.65
523.2
534.1
533.35
541.85
545.6
543.3
543.2
556.15
553.7
556.25
557.6
555.6
552.85
562.5
563.25
561.15
562.4
583.1
590.25
586.05
Close Price
BSE
510.35
521.80
533.30
534.00
543.15
545.55
543.20
543.05
555.50
551.75
554.20
557.55
555.55
553.10
561.70
562.55
560.60
561.30
582.8
590
586.5
Difference
1.3
1.4
0.8
-0.65
-1.3
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.65
1.95
2.05
0.05
1.05
-0.25
0.8
0.7
.55
1.1
0.3
.25
-0.45
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.45
MAX.
2.05
MIN.
-0.65
MAX PRICE
590.25
MIN. PRICE
510.35
53
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of RANBAXY
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of RANBAXY stock
can be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of JULY-2014 RANBAXY
stock consists minimum value is -0.65 and maximum value +2.05 and Mean is
+.0.45. The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as
profit exists below five percent.
54
ARBITRAGE PRICE DIFFERENCE BITWEEN BSE AND NSE FOR THE MONTH OF
AUG.-14(RANBAXY)
SR NO.
Date
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
1-Aug-14
4-Aug-14
5-Aug-14
6-Aug-14
7-Aug-14
8-Aug-14
11-Aug-14
12-Aug-14
13-Aug-14
14-Aug-14
18-Aug-14
19-Aug-14
20-Aug-14
21-Aug-14
22-Aug-14
25-Aug-14
26-Aug-14
27-Aug-14
28-Aug-14
Close Price
NSE
565.95
558.9
571.6
561.9
561.9
560.7
563.25
576.4
583.1
602.75
605
601.7
629.35
641.15
646.5
641
653.05
648.6
640.7
Close Price
BSE
564.95
558.50
570.75
561.30
561.70
560.35
562.80
575.75
583.25
601.60
604.30
601.85
629.55
641.10
645.00
640.90
653.55
648.75
640.6
Difference
1
0.4
0.85
0.6
0.2
0.35
0.45
0.65
-0.15
1.15
0.7
-0.15
-0.2
0.05
1.5
0.1
-0.5
-0.15
0.1
SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
MEAN
0.36
MAX.
1.15
MIN.
-0.5
MAX PRICE
653.55
MIN. PRICE
558.50
55
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
The above table and graph represents arbitrage pricing analysis of RANBAXY
stock trading in BSE and NSE.Here arbitrage price difference of RANBAXY stock
can be got by subtracting NSE from BSE.In the month of AUG.-2014 RANBAXY
stock consists minimum value is -0.05 and maximum value +1.15 and Mean is
+0.36. The above differences can shows that there is no scope for arbitrage as
profit exists below five percent.
56
CONCLUSIONS
The study shows that none of the studied Five scripts give any scope for
arbitration. The reason is explained below. The scripts are studied for arbitration
for a period of two months JULY-14 AND AUG-14
ICICI stock prices in july-14 are in the range of rs 1344.25 and rs 1506.4, the
difference in prices are rs -3.25 and rs 1.85.The maximum difference is less than
1 percent, so not beneficial for arbitration purposes.
ICICI prices in AUG-14 are in the range of rs 1437.15 and rs 1556.80, the
difference in prices are 2.05 and -0.75.The difference is less than 3 percent, so
not beneficial for arbitration purposes.
HDFC stock prices in JULY-14are in the range of rs 811.8 and rs 842.25, the
difference in prices are rs- 0.9 and rs 1.and in AUG-14 are in the range of
rs792.95 and rs 846.75, the difference in prices are 0.95 and -0.65.The
difference is less than 1 percent, so not beneficial for arbitration purposes.
TCS stock prices in JULY-14 are in the range of rs 2390.40 and rs 2605.75, the
difference in prices are rs 5.05 and rs -3.55.and in AUG-14 are in the range of rs
2431.95 and rs 2526.95, the difference in prices are 5.15 and -2.25.The
difference is more than 5 percent, so beneficial for arbitration purposes.
AIRTEL prices in JULY-14 are in the range of rs 332.05 and rs 373.15, the
difference in prices are 1.45 and -0.35.The difference is less than 2 percent, so
not beneficial for arbitration purposes
AIRTEL prices in AUG-14 are in the range of rs 365.2 and rs 380.05, the
difference in prices are 0.25 and 0.25.The difference is less than 1 percent, so
not beneficial for arbitration purposes
RANBAXY stock prices in JULY-14 are in the range of rs 510.35 and rs 590.25, the
difference in prices are rs 2.05 and rs -0.65.The maximum difference is less than
3 percent, so not beneficial for arbitration purposes.
RANBAXY prices in AUG-14 are in the range of rs 558.50 and rs 635.55, the
difference in prices are 1.15 and -0.5.The difference is less than 1 percent, so
not beneficial for arbitration purposes.
.
57
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BOOKS:
Security Analysis & Portfolio Management - Fishers & Jordon
Financial Management M.Y. Khan
Financial Management Prasanna Chandra
News Paper:
Times of India
Website:
SEBI.com
Moneycontrol.com
NSE & BSE
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