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1992
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One objection that has been raised to the claim that knowledge is
merely true belief is that it seems to leave us without any preanalytic
sense of what knowledge is. That is, it seems to be a question
whether the proffered analysis could possibly be an analysis of
knowledge at all.2 This objection seems to arise because there is a
very widely held intuition that belief and truth could not possibly be
sufficient for knowledge. Then the question of whether the analysis
embodies a theory of knowledge seems to come down to a clash of
intuitions about what notion it is which is being analyzed. For this
reason, I want to offer a way of picking out the notion to be defined.
Here is my proposal: knowledge is our epistemic goal in the generation of particular propositional beliefs. It will be convenient to
have a term to refer to procedures that have as their goal the genera* I would like to thank Jeffrey Tlumak, who commented elaborately on an
earlier version of this paper.
1 "Knowledge
Quarterly,
xxviii, 2 (April 1991): 157-65. That essay merely lays the groundwork for a
defense of the position; roughly, I try to show there that the claim that knowledge
is merely true belief cannot be refuted by the flick of a counterexample. I refer
those who think it can be so refuted to the earlier paper. I intended in that essay
merely to reply to the claim that our ordinaryuse of the term 'knowledge'committed us to a distinction between knowledge and mere true belief. This appeared
to me to be the only explicit argument in the literature to the effect that at least
some third condition was required, and thus I hoped, by attackingthat argument,
to suspend the question of burden of proof.
2
This objection was brought to my attention by Tim McGrew.
0022-362X/92/8904/167-80
167
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tively) a procedure for generating beliefs which was literally impossible (descriptively) to apply. Thus, the normative project might be
thought of as giving guidelines for the correct or optimal application of the procedures we do use to generate beliefs. I shall be
concerned here with normative epistemology.
II. DEONTOLOGICAL AND TELEOLOGICAL CONCEPTIONS
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WHY KNOWLEDGE
IS MERELYTRUEBELIEF
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It is widely held that our epistemic goal is achieving true beliefs and
avoiding false ones about propositions with which we are epistemically concerned. (We have seen that Alston, for one, endorses that
view.) That is, it is widely admitted that, on any good account of
justification, there must be reason to think that the beliefs justified
on the account are likely to be true. Indeed, proponents of all the
major conceptions of justification hold this position. For example,
the foundationalist Paul Moser8 writes:
[E]pistemicjustificationis essentiallyrelated to the so-calledcognitive
goal of truth, insofar as an individualbelief is epistemicallyjustified
only if it is appropriatelydirectedtowardthe goal of truth.Morespecif8
Empirical Justification
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173
ically, on the present conception, one is epistemically justified in believing a proposition only if one has good reason to believe it is true (ibid.,
p. 4).
The reliabilist Alvin Goldman claims, similarly, that
an account of justification is that beliefs justified on
likely to be true; he says that a plausible conception
will be "truth-linked" (op. cit., pp. 116-21). And
Laurence BonJour9 puts it even more strongly:
a condition on
the account be
of justification
the coherentist
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scale. They are adaptive. I am not sure how plausible this is, but the
point is that, if we are to hold that justification is a component of
knowledge, we need to take Lycan's general approach. That is, we
must describe justification as conducing to some goal other than
truth, or else lay down justification as a deontological desideratum.
We cannot, as we have seen, coherently maintain that knowledge is
the telos of inquiry, that justification is logically required for knowledge, and that accounts ofjustification must in turn be metajustified
by their conduciveness to truth. And Lycan manages to avoid also
the dangers of a deontological epistemology; he does not in fact
regard simplicity or power as sheer desiderata, but as useful adaptations. Nor does his view assume doxastic voluntarism.
Nevertheless, the view has severe drawbacks. To begin with, it
makes the distinction between epistemic and other values obscure.
In fact, it absorbs epistemic value into sheer utility, and it is not at all
clear that this is a plausible line. It is true, as Lycan admits, that
there is no a priori reason to think that a simple hypothesis is more
likely to be true than an extremely complex one. But a simple hypothesis has less cognitive cost; it is efficient as an explanation. That
may make it seem that it is better in the long run to believe simple
hypotheses. But it is not clear that it is in fact, better, epistemically
speaking, to believe simple hypotheses.
To get clear on the point, let us suppose (as seems likely, though
Lycan is reticent here) that Lycan holds justification in his sense to
be a necessary condition of knowledge, and that he holds truth also
to be a necessary condition.'3 Then knowledge turns out to be (at
least) true belief that is generated by adaptive explanatory techniques. But this seems odd; now that we recognize two primitive
epistemic values, they may well conflict. For example, is it good to
believe, in some circumstances, highly explanatory falsehoods? The
account surely leaves some such cases strictly undecidable, since it
describes both elegance and truth as intrinsic values. But is this
plausible? Surely, we might want to say, though it can be useful to
believe all sorts of falsehoods, it is always epistemically good to believe the truth. It may be useful, for example, for me to have a
cognitive technique that causes me to believe that I have all sorts of
positive qualities to an extremely high degree; I may be happier and
more efficient if I believe myself to be extraordinarily intelligent,
good-looking, humble, and so forth. But it is not a good thing epi1 It is only on this assumption that Lycan's position constitutes an alternative
to the views described in the previous section. So I shall talk as though this is
Lycan'sposition, though, again, he does not explicitly endorse it.
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stemically to believe such things if they are false. (Fortunately, however, in my case they are all true.) In short, we seem to have a notion
of epistemic value that is radically divorced from utility.
This raises the fundamental difficulty with Lycan's strategy; it
makes prudential justification a component of knowledge. But if, as
I say, we have a notion of epistemic justification in distinction from
prudential justification, and if knowledge is essentially an epistemic
matter, then Lycan's account leaves us confused. Either we ought to
believe what is produced by procedures that are adaptive or else we
ought to believe what is produced by procedures that are likely to
yield true beliefs. But we cannot coherently demand that we follow
both of these as ultimate aims, because they may and in fact will
conflict. Then we are left with an internally incoherent concept of
knowledge. Of course, we can subsume one to the other; we can
assert that the truth is adaptive and that is why it should be believed,
or that we should believe what works on explanatory grounds because it is likely to be true. But then, first of all, we need an account
of why this should be so. And, second, we should now characterize
knowledge univocally as belief in what is true, or belief in what is
adaptive. If we take the second road, then I assert that we are going
to hold all sorts of falsehoods to be known, and that is prima facie
implausible.
In fact, Lycan keeps coming back to the suggestion that explanatory virtues are truth-conducive, although he often enough admits
that there is no reason why this should be the case. This is because, I
think, he shares the deep-seated intuition that knowledge and truth
are bound up, that knowledge is a distinctively epistemic notion. He
writes:
Nor, please note, do I understand "rational"here as "likelyto yield
truth," for this would be ... to introduce "true" at the beginning of
our epistemologicalquest rather than see it fall out at the end. ...
[I]ntroducing"true" at this point would both threaten circularityor
regressagain and invite questionsof the form "But what reasons have
you to think that U leads to truth?" where U is a posited ultimate
principle of theory choice.
. .
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believe will happen to be true. But this is odd if, as Lycan admits,
there is no reason to think that a simple explanation is more likely to
be true than a very complex one. Now, as a matter of fact, the
notion of truth itself here may well be disintegrating; Lycan's pragmatist tendencies might be extending toward taking truth to be
warranted assertibility. The view would then face familiar and, I
think, devastating problems, but I shall not address those here.'4
But there is a further argument that Lycan gives for his position.
He argues that we cannot be enjoined from doing what we cannot
but do, and that we cannot fail to use explanatory criteria in generating beliefs:
I suspect that it is biologicallynecessaryto a sentient organism'ssurvival that the organism organize its experience in the simplest, most
coherent and expedient, and yet most powerful and comprehensive
way that it can. . . . It thus comes to be lawlikethat a viable organism
operates, epistemically, according to the elegance principles ... or
something like them. . . . If the suspicion I have expressed is wellfounded, the point is this: A normal human being cannot keep from
formingbeliefs in waysthat have survivalvalue, or from makinguse of
the elegance principlesin doing so-at least up to a point. And if that
is so, then no one is obligated in any way to refrain from following
those primitiveprocedures (op. cit., pp. 126-7).
I would like to make several remarks about this passage. First of all,
there is no reason whatever to believe that it is true that we are
under adaptive necessity of adopting the most elegant explanation
we can come up with, which is exactly what Lycan implies. In fact,
that is a bizarre assertion; it claims quite generally that people never,
or at any rate very rarely, adopt a less elegant hypothesis when a
more elegant one is available, which is obviously false. Aside from
the questions about the nature of simplicity (which Lycan leaves
more or less completely obscure, and which I suspect cannot be
clarified), I can surely resolve to adopt whatever hypothesis seems
most likely to be true, however inelegant it may seem to be. It might
be very elegant indeed, for example, to believe that the extinction of
the dinosaurs resulted from a nuclear test on this planet by aliens,
but a nice messy hypothesis involving climactic changes and disease
might seem more likely to be true.
14 All that would be necessary to refute this view is the description of a single
case in which some agent is warrantedin assertingp and p is false. Such cases are
not hard to devise.
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Vanderbilt University
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