Professional Documents
Culture Documents
State
County
Iowa
Wright
Iowa
Sioux
Iowa
Sioux
Iowa
Wright
Iowa
Sioux
Iowa
Sioux
Iowa
Osceola
Iowa
Wright
Minnesota
Nicollet
Iowa
Madison
Iowa
Sioux
Iowa
Kossuth
Iowa
Clay
Iowa
Buena Vista
Iowa
Buena Vista
Minnesota
Stearns
Iowa
Sioux
Iowa
Osceola
Iowa
O'Brien
Iowa
O'Brien
Iowa
Sioux
Wisconsin
Jefferson
Minnesota
Clay
Iowa
Osceola
Wisconsin
Jefferson
California
Kings
Washington
Okanogan
Source: USDA/APHIS
Page 2
Flyway
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi
Pacific
Pacific
Flock Type
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Commercial
Backyard
Species
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
Chickens
AI Subtype
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA/AM-H5N2
EA-H5N8
EA/AM-H5N2
Conf. Date
8-May-15
8-May-15
8-May-15
7-May-15
7-May-15
7-May-15
7-May-15
5-May-15
5-May-15
4-May-15
1-May-15
1-May-15
1-May-15
1-May-15
30-Apr-15
29-Apr-15
28-Apr-15
28-Apr-15
28-Apr-15
28-Apr-15
27-Apr-15
24-Apr-15
23-Apr-15
20-Apr-15
11-Apr-15
12-Feb-15
3-Feb-15
Total:
Flock Size
pending
581,300
100,000
2,800,000
pending
1,000,000
100,000
1,031,200
pending
1,795,900
165,200
18,800
93,000
5,700,000
40,800
202,500
3,660,000
258,000
98,000
240,000
1,700,000
1,031,000
175,000
3,800,000
200,000
112,900
40
24,903,640
As the table indicates, just short of 25 million chickens almost all table egg laying hens have been
lost in this outbreak in just the past month alone in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. There are multiple
pending cases, most likely situations in which the mortality rate is elevated and AI is suspected but
additional testing is still needed, which could easily push that total to more than 30 million by midweek.
Coupled with the losses experienced in the turkey sector between 5.5 and 6.0 million birds based on
recent counts its now safe to say that the current AI outbreak has moved into unprecedented territory.
The last time anything similar happened in the US was 1983 when a total of 17 million birds,
predominantly in the Northeast, of all species were lost. Arguably the 2003-04 outbreak would still be
considered more significant than the present one from a global perspective as the animal death loss
totaled in excess of 100 million while the effects on human health were also devastating.
That 2003-04 outbreak that rocked Southeast Asia was difficult to contain given the lack of modernity
in production systems there. Whats making the current spread of H5N2 through the Midwest so
troublesome and confounding to many health officials working to contain and eradicate it is that the
US poultry and egg sector is supposedly the world leader in housing technology and biosecurity
measures. The advanced housing systems in place here in the US are supposed to limit the flocks
exposure to outside elements and specifically other animals that transmit infectious diseases such as
rodents or migratory birds while making containment easier should contamination occur. In the
Midwest, containment has been an elusive concept, which suggests the possibility of widespread lapses
in biosecurity measures but may also indicate just how potent the H5N2 subtype is and how remarkably
capable it is in moving from place to place. This naturally leads into a question of just how many more
birds may be at risk given the difficulty containing AI up to this point.
Page 3
Below is a snapshot of key Midwest states and breakdown of how many table egg layers can be found
in each and what that means in terms of share of total inventories on the national stage. Iowa is
suffering the biggest losses, and its the state with the most layers in the US by a fairly wide margin.
Reiterating the point from above about current pending cases, the number of table egg layers lost to
H5N2 in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin is likely to exceed 30 million by midweek. According to
USDA/NASS, there were slightly more than 70 million layers on hand, on average, in those three states
in 2014. You can add an additional 40-45 million hens possibly at risk in Illinois, Indiana, and
Michigan, which is only notable as a backyard poultry flock in Indiana is likely to test positive for the
H5N8 subtype of AI very soon following a weekend discovery. This subtype has been present in other
areas as part of this broader outbreak, although it hasnt been moving with anywhere near the intensity
and ferocity of the H5N2 subtype. As health officials continue to warn, however, adaptations and
mutations can and do happen, meaning complacency is not an option regardless of the subtype. One
other consideration if AI spears to be heading east is the fact that theres another 50+ million table egg
laying hens in Ohio and Pennsylvania combined.
Page 4
It has come up a few times in this report that health officials seem almost baffled as to why current
containment efforts appear to be falling short, and Informa mentioned at the outset that AI has long had
a reputation of being sporadic and unpredictable. With that in mind, hazarding a guess as to the
ultimate damage to US egg industry could very well be an exercise in futility at this point. Informa will
simply do its best based on the current understanding, limited as it is, of this AI outbreak and what has
been generally observed in past ones, taking geographic, seasonal, and biosecurity factors into
consideration. Death losses should soon exceed 30 million table egg layers. The speed at which the
outbreak is moving makes a hard stop to its spread seem highly unlikely. There are at least another 3040 million hens under at least a moderate threat level with another 40-50 million hens that carry a
limited risk of getting infected near-term. Health and veterinary officials have had some time now to
assess the situation and should be able to use their recent lack of success as a way of developing a better
plan of action. On top of that, the approach of summer and arrival of hotter, dryer weather is supposed
to make it more difficult for AI to survive even over shorter journeys. There should still be a few more
cases pop up in the coming weeks, but Informa expects the losses to start tapering off soon. An
additional 10-15 million hens are expected to be lost on top of whats already confirmed and pending
additional testing. That would put total layer inventory losses at around 40-45 million. The graphic
below illustrates death loss trends with the current and projected impact from AI and indicates what the
effect on overall layer inventories will be going forward.
Exceptional profitability throughout the US egg industry last year was fueling an aggressive
expansionary push by many producers, even with uncertainty around the implementation of Proposition
2 in California. Breeding hen inventories reached an all-time high earlier this year, and the replacement
stock from those layers was expected to push the overall table egg laying flock to at least 310-315
million during the second half of 2015. Mounting death losses due to AI will derail that surge in layer
inventories, pushing the flock back down into the 260-270 million range by late summer. Assuming the
virus just fades naturally and/or US egg industry gets much better equipped at handling it, layer
Page 5
inventories will be poised for a V-shaped recovery later this year and should keep growing rapidly
through next year. Given the extensive damage done to inventories in the coming months, it will still
take a year or more in a rebuilding effort to get table egg layer numbers back above the 300-million
mark. All these missing layers represent lost egg production as well, which will put a squeeze on shell
egg and egg product supplies for a while to come.
Unlike the US broiler and turkey sectors, the US egg industry has maintained a healthy export program
during this unfolding AI mess. Shipments of US broiler meat were down 11% from year prior levels
during the January-March time period while turkey meat shipments were down 5.8% from year-ago
during that same time period. As the chart above reflects, total US table egg exports during the first
three months of 2015 registered at 1.19 billion eggs (shell egg equivalent), which represented a 20%
increase from year-ago. Export gains during that time period were led by Canada (+16%) and Mexico
(+84%), with the latter a particularly aggressive buyer of US eggs, importing 455 million during the
January-March time period. Mexico is the top consumer of eggs in the world on a per capita basis, and
they have stepped up purchases of US eggs considerably the past 2-3 years due to persistent production
shortfalls related to an outbreak of the H7N3 subtype of AI. Export business has been booming lately,
but Informa sees shipments declining sharply relative to year-ago levels through the balance of 2015, if
for no other reason than a drastic reduction in production capabilities will leave significantly fewer eggs
available to export. Sharp price increases in the near-term will also make eggs cost-prohibitive for some
foreign buyers. A slowdown on the export side will help to some degree with domestic availability,
although it pales in comparison the squeeze that will result from lost production. The recent growth
trajectory of the US egg industry was about to put per capita availability of table eggs in the US at a
three-decade high, but catastrophic losses from AI should easily prevent that from happening.
Copyright 2015 by Informa Economics, Inc.
Page 6
Per capita availability of table eggs in the US is charted below on an annual basis since the early 1990s
and includes Informas outlook for both 2015 and 2016 as well. Egg supplies are broken down into the
shell egg and further-processed components. Egg product supplies were record large on a per capita
basis in 2014 and were poised to increase an additional 4%-5%, at least, this year before AI struck.
Based on the geography of farms that have been impacted by the virus and how prices across the entire
egg segment are responding, it appears that the most of the negative impact has been on operations that
supply eggs for the processing segment of the industry as opposed to the shell egg side of the business.
Regardless, both sectors are poised to incur massive supply losses this year, and per capita availability
of all table eggs is projected at 240.5 (shell egg equivalent) overall in 2015. That would represent the
smallest per capita supply total since 1998. Informa sees a decent 3%-4% recovery in per capita
supplies next year, but the industry needs to get to a point where it seems theyre putting AI behind
them before we can feel very confident about that outlook.
Supply losses are going to be deep and painful, notably for buyers and ultimately consumers that will be
forced to pay higher prices for eggs, shell or processed. It will also be very painful and costly for the
suppliers of these shell and processed eggs that have lost so many millions of birds. Egg producers
unaffected by the outbreak will enjoy surging sales at exceptional price points, creating one of the
biggest windfalls of all-time. This all assumes that demand largely holds together, which is hardly a
guarantee when dealing with an animal health issue that is at least tangentially related to human health
and may wind up being more directly related going forward. As the chart below (next page) indicates,
shell egg demand went through a relative soft patch through much of 2010 and early 2011, and this is
often attributed to a salmonella outbreak when nearly 2,000 human illnesses were reported.
Page 7
Demand has held together relatively well this time around despite heightened coverage of the AI
outbreak in mainstream press. Informa doesnt see that changing much so long as the virus behavior
remains fairly consistent in terms of being lethal only for birds. If that leap into the human population is
made and illness and even death becomes widespread, demand could wind up unraveling just as fast
as the supply side has as losses have mounted. Assuming demand holds together reasonably well,
however, spot prices across the entire complex are poised to be incredibly strong for at least the next
few months until some supply relief is finally made available. Buyers should be prepared for a volatile,
unpredictable, and likely uncomfortable ride over the next several months. Informa has shifted its price
outlook for all key markets sharply higher in lieu of recent developments, and there is likely
considerable upside risk beyond what the outlook suggests.
Due to the pressing and explosive nature of the AI situation, Informa believed it necessary to devote as
much commentary as possible to the topic. Attached to the end of this report is the regular set of tables
and charts that provide updates on the extended set of supply variables and prices that are typically
discussed in greater detail. Due to the constantly evolving nature of this AI outbreak, Informa
encourages readers to reach out to Mark Jordan, Director of Poultry Egg Services, directly at (901) 2024412 to stay abreast of developments.
MWJ
This copyrighted material is intended for the use of clients of Informa Economics, Inc., only and may not be reproduced or electronically
transmitted to other companies or individuals, whole or in part, without the prior written permission of Informa Economics, Inc. The information
contained herein is believed to be reliable and the views expressed within this document reflect judgments at this time and are subject to change
without notice. Informa Economics, Inc., does not guarantee that the information contained herein is accurate or complete and it should not be
relied upon as such.
Copyright 2015 by Informa Economics, Inc.
Page 8
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
6,912
6,361
6,934
6,690
6,852
6,622
6,832
7,160
6,437
7,198
6,954
7,124
6,878
7,085
7,321
6,579
7,354
7,160
7,336
7,091
7,404
7,428
6,612
7,417
6,983
6,842
6,361
6,430
6,193
6,931
6,753
6,972
6,801
7,104
6,844
2.2%
2.2%
2.2%
3.0%
3.0%
3.1%
4.5%
1.5%
0.5%
0.9% -2.5% -6.7% -10.3% -13.2%
-7.9% -6.3% -6.6% -3.3%
1.9%
6.9% 10.5%
7,321 13,900 21,254 28,414 35,750 42,841 50,245
7,428 14,040 21,457 28,440 35,282 41,643 48,073
6,844 13,037 19,968 26,721 33,693 40,494 47,598
2.2%
2.2%
2.2%
2.4%
2.5%
2.6%
2.9%
1.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.1% -1.3% -2.8% -4.3%
-7.9% -7.1% -6.9% -6.0% -4.5% -2.8% -1.0%
JAN
290.1
298.6
304.3
308.2
281.7
1.9%
1.3%
-8.6%
FEB
289.1
298.8
302.3
304.6
281.0
1.2%
0.8%
-7.7%
MAR
290.3
300.6
303.0
304.7
283.0
0.8%
0.6%
-7.1%
APR
291.1
300.2
304.4
303.1
285.1
1.4%
-0.4%
-5.9%
MAY
289.3
296.0
304.3
289.7
285.6
2.8%
-4.8%
-1.4%
JAN
23.9
24.0
24.1
24.2
24.3
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
FEB
22.0
21.5
21.7
21.7
22.0
1.2%
-0.2%
1.2%
MAR
23.9
24.0
24.2
24.4
24.4
1.0%
0.7%
0.0%
APR
23.1
23.3
23.5
23.6
23.7
0.9%
0.2%
0.4%
MAY
23.7
24.0
24.2
24.2
24.3
0.6%
0.2%
0.5%
JUN
23.0
23.2
23.4
23.4
23.5
1.0%
0.1%
0.5%
JUL
23.8
23.8
24.3
24.2
24.3
2.1%
-0.6%
0.5%
JAN
41.3
43.8
44.5
44.2
46.9
1.4%
-0.6%
6.1%
44.5
44.2
46.9
1.4%
-0.6%
6.1%
FEB
40.5
42.2
41.0
43.1
44.7
-3.0%
5.1%
3.7%
85.4
87.3
91.6
-0.7%
2.1%
4.9%
MAR
43.1
43.6
44.2
50.4
49.2
1.5%
14.0%
-2.4%
129.7
137.7
140.7
0.0%
6.2%
2.2%
APR
43.2
46.0
45.7
50.0
49.8
-0.7%
9.4%
-0.3%
175.4
187.7
190.6
-0.2%
7.0%
1.5%
MAY
44.6
50.2
49.1
50.6
51.9
-2.0%
3.0%
2.5%
224.5
238.3
242.4
-0.6%
6.1%
1.8%
JUN
38.8
42.3
44.0
44.8
45.6
4.2%
1.7%
1.9%
268.5
283.0
288.1
0.2%
5.4%
1.8%
JUL
36.0
39.9
42.3
42.2
43.1
5.9%
-0.1%
2.1%
310.8
325.3
331.2
0.9%
4.7%
1.8%
JAN
4.6
7.0
20.8
22.1
39.4
10.2
FEB
(5.1)
4.7
36.9
37.1
31.5
10.3
MAR
2.4
11.2
36.8
70.8
41.2
14.0
APR
(3.1)
(0.3)
46.4
29.6
26.2
10.1
MAY
(16.1)
7.5
28.0
37.9
24.6
(0.4)
JUN
(6.1)
(4.5)
27.8
40.6
23.8
(0.1)
JUL
(1.9)
10.3
37.5
46.9
30.9
7.2
DEC
301.7
306.1
310.1
280.9
310.2
1.3%
-9.4%
10.4%
AVG
291.5
299.6
304.8
284.7
291.9
1.7%
-6.6%
2.5%
DEC
TOTAL
24.2
281.6
24.3
283.3
24.7
285.8
24.6
286.2
24.8
287.6
1.5%
0.9%
-0.2%
0.1%
0.5%
0.5%
DEC
TOTAL
41.0
483.4
41.1
514.5
43.0
518.3
44.2
543.4
43.7
553.1
4.5%
0.8%
2.8%
4.8%
-1.1%
1.8%
518.3
543.4
553.1
0.8%
4.8%
1.8%
AUG
6,922
7,186
7,394
6,476
7,216
2.9%
-12.4%
11.4%
57,639
54,549
54,814
2.9%
-5.4%
0.5%
AUG
12.8
18.6
32.9
54.0
35.5
16.4
DEC
15.4
48.4
84.7
75.5
64.3
39.3
AVG
3.8
15.4
39.4
48.5
36.4
13.9
Page 9
Informa Economics
EGG & EGG PRODUCT PRICE FORECASTS
low end of reported range
2013
JFM
Eggs (cents/dozen)
Table Eggs, Midwest, Large, A
UB NE Shell Eggs, Large, White
UB MW Shell Eggs, Large, White
UB National Breaking Stock
2013
AMJ
2013
JAS
2013
OND
2014
JFM
2014
AMJ
2014
JAS
2014
OND
2015
JFM
2015
AMJ
2015
JAS
2016
OND
CURRENT
PRICE
119
133
131
66
103
116
113
65
112
125
123
78
136
149
147
90
133
149
147
85
132
141
140
102
122
135
134
82
158
167
170
99
149
153
150
76
129
137
134
93
145
160
158
106
159
172
172
108
134
144
142
80
114
123
121
84
122
136
134
90
142
153
154
99
5/11/2015
117
139
139
104
56
51
87
60
66
76
73
77
76
76
88
66
71
91
59
93
121
65
76
124
65
82
101
67
63
62
76
78
73
93
85
86
84
91
85
83
67
65
72
72
70
78
76
78
77
81
76
78
91
75
94
273
482
242
277
604
201
311
728
195
323
816
173
308
901
152
396
1309
153
393
1424
151
383
1199
159
330
840
187
378
801
236
399
846
254
401
725
252
338
600
217
346
642
210
367
703
222
374
648
226
375
745
235
UB Frozen
UB Frozen
UB Frozen
UB Frozen
73
68
108
105
78
84
94
91
91
94
93
90
95
107
87
84
90
113
80
77
118
140
83
80
110
144
83
80
104
125
85
82
79
83
92
89
98
95
116
113
117
113
111
108
119
107
103
100
89
84
94
91
95
87
98
95
105
96
99
95
105
93
97
94
105
89
110
107
Whole Eggs
Whites
Sugar Yolk
Salted Yolk
TABLE EGG TYPE LAYERS, PULLETS ADDED, AND LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED (million birds)
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JFM
AMJ
JAS
OND
2010
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
285.2 282.8 284.1 285.7 282.0 282.4 283.6 282.2 284.9 280.9 280.9 285.8 284.0 283.4 283.6 282.5
20.7 23.0 24.0 21.9 23.2 24.1 22.7 20.6 23.2 22.6 23.3 24.0 67.7 69.2 66.5 69.9
23.1 21.7 22.3 25.7 22.8 22.9 24.0 17.9 27.2 22.6 18.4 23.0 67.1 71.4 69.2 64.0
8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 8.1% 8.1% 8.5% 6.3% 9.6% 8.0% 6.6% 8.1% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.5%
2011
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
286.8 283.2 282.2 284.7 281.5 278.6 281.6 281.6 284.6 285.0 287.9 290.4 284.1 281.6 282.6 287.8
22.0 22.3 26.2 21.8 23.8 23.1 22.2 22.1 23.8 22.4 21.1 24.4 70.5 68.8 68.1 67.8
25.6 23.3 23.7 25.0 26.8 20.1 22.3 19.1 23.4 19.5 18.7 24.6 72.7 71.8 64.7 62.7
8.9% 8.2% 8.4% 8.8% 9.5% 7.2% 7.9% 6.8% 8.2% 6.8% 6.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 7.6% 7.3%
2012
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
290.1 289.1 290.3 291.1 289.3 289.1 287.5 287.8 290.6 292.9 297.8 301.7 289.9 289.8 288.7 297.5
22.9 23.9 24.3 22.3 26.5 24.9 20.3 26.5 23.0 23.3 24.0 21.9 71.1 73.7 69.8 69.2
23.9 22.7 23.6 24.1 26.8 26.4 20.0 23.7 20.8 18.4 20.0 25.1 70.1 77.3 64.5 63.5
8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 7.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.3% 6.7% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 7.4% 7.1%
2013
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
298.6 298.8 300.6 300.2 296.0 297.2 296.7 298.0 300.9 299.3 303.0 306.1 299.3 297.8 298.5 302.8
25.0 23.5 25.2 23.0 25.6 23.3 23.9 21.8 24.2 26.4 23.9 23.7 73.7 71.8 69.8 74.0
24.8 21.7 25.5 27.2 24.5 23.7 22.6 18.9 25.8 22.7 20.8 25.5 72.0 75.3 67.3 68.9
8.3% 7.3% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 8.0% 7.6% 6.3% 8.6% 7.6% 6.9% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 7.5% 7.6%
2014
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
304.3 302.3 303.0 304.4 304.3 302.9 303.1 305.2 305.6 306.4 306.2 310.1 303.2 303.9 304.6 307.6
22.8 24.5 24.2 24.2 24.6 23.2 25.6 25.0 23.3 24.9 23.6 23.7 71.6 72.0 74.0 72.2
24.8 23.9 22.8 24.4 25.9 23.1 23.5 24.7 22.5 25.1 19.8 25.6 71.5 73.3 70.6 70.4
8.1% 7.9% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.4% 8.2% 6.5% 8.2% 7.9% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6%
2015
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
308.2 304.6 304.7 303.1 289.7 275.8 267.3 264.3 269.8 271.9 276.4 280.9 305.8 289.5 267.1 276.4
23.9 23.3 25.1 21.9 26.7 25.0 24.7 26.6 26.1 26.2 25.2 25.7 72.3 73.6 77.4 77.1
27.4 23.2 26.8 35.3 40.6 33.5 27.7 21.1 24.1 21.7 20.7 24.9 77.4 109.4 72.8 67.3
8.9% 7.6% 8.8% 11.7% 14.0% 12.1% 10.4% 8.0% 8.9% 8.0% 7.5% 8.9% 8.4% 12.6% 9.1% 8.1%
2016
TABLE EGG LAYERS, 1st OF MONTH
PULLETS ADDED DURING MONTH
LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
% OF LAYERS CULLED / REMOVED
281.7 281.0 283.0 285.1 285.6 287.7 290.2 293.9 298.3 300.5 305.1 310.2 281.9 286.1 294.2 305.3
25.4 25.6 27.3 24.7 27.8 26.1 25.5 26.6 26.3 26.9 25.7 26.1 78.3 78.6 78.4 78.8
26.1 23.7 25.1 24.2 25.7 23.6 21.8 22.3 24.2 22.3 20.7 22.9 74.9 73.5 68.2 65.9
9.3% 8.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.0% 8.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 7.4% 6.8% 7.4% 8.9% 8.6% 7.7% 7.2%
Page 10
Page 11
JUN
JUL
AUG
2,144
2,202
2,351
2,208
2,414
6.8%
-6.1%
9.3%
13,150
12,802
13,307
2,069
2,256
2,382
2,180
2,157
5.6%
-8.5%
-1.1%
15,532
14,981
15,463
2,348
2,232
2,375
2,031
2,439
6.4%
-14.5%
20.1%
17,907
17,012
17,902
25,372
25,609
27,146
25,332
26,866
6.0%
-6.7%
6.1%
138.5
146.7
143.2
132.6
145.7
-2.4%
-7.4%
9.8%
813.0
801.0
815.7
135.6
150.5
143.9
147.2
137.3
145.3
141.7
147.6
141.2
143.6
130.9
138.3
141.4
149.0
149.4
155.3
145.6
143.0
130.0
125.0
135.7
131.1
120.4
132.0
128.2
150.2
146.9
135.8
139.7
138.8
-0.2%
0.9%
5.8%
8.1% 11.2%
3.4%
-8.1% -16.1%
-9.2% -15.6% -17.3%
-7.7%
-1.4% 20.1%
8.3%
3.6% 16.1%
5.2%
954.4 1,103.4 1,252.7 1,408.1 1,553.6 1,696.6
931.0 1,056.1 1,191.8 1,322.8 1,443.2 1,575.2
943.9 1,094.1 1,241.0 1,376.8 1,516.6 1,655.4
1,663.1
1,663.1
1,696.6
1,575.2
1,655.4
2.0%
-7.2%
5.1%
62.5
61.0
72.9
70.2
75.1
19.5%
-3.7%
6.9%
406.9
387.9
406.7
56.1
65.1
73.6
66.8
65.3
13.1%
-9.2%
-2.4%
480.5
454.8
472.0
67.4
61.5
71.4
60.5
72.2
16.1%
-15.3%
19.4%
551.9
515.2
544.2
59.3
62.0
72.4
66.4
70.8
16.7%
-8.3%
6.6%
624.3
581.7
615.0
58.5
68.4
69.8
61.0
63.1
2.1%
-12.6%
3.5%
694.1
642.6
678.1
52.3
61.6
61.2
57.3
65.6
-0.6%
-6.4%
14.5%
755.3
699.9
743.7
57.6
57.4
66.4
62.3
63.6
15.8%
-6.3%
2.1%
821.7
762.2
807.2
711.6
730.1
821.7
762.2
807.2
12.6%
-7.2%
5.9%
31.7
31.0
36.3
35.5
39.4
17.1%
-2.3%
11.0%
201.7
195.1
215.7
28.5
32.9
37.3
34.3
34.6
13.2%
-8.0%
0.7%
239.0
229.4
250.3
33.4
30.1
35.2
31.2
38.1
16.8%
-11.2%
22.0%
274.1
260.7
288.3
30.6
30.0
35.1
34.5
37.6
17.2%
-1.9%
9.0%
309.3
295.1
325.9
31.4
34.1
33.5
32.6
34.2
-2.0%
-2.4%
4.9%
342.7
327.8
360.2
26.5
30.7
29.8
30.2
35.4
-2.8%
1.4%
16.9%
372.6
358.0
395.5
28.6
27.6
33.1
32.5
34.0
19.6%
-1.7%
4.5%
405.6
390.5
429.5
363.7
366.4
405.6
390.5
429.5
10.7%
-3.7%
10.0%
232.8
220.2
251.3
233.7
237.2
216.1
231.5
238.8
239.8
239.2
233.2
246.1
223.2
223.3
252.4
252.3
255.6
256.9
258.5
236.6
242.5
238.3
231.1
216.7
236.6
224.7
207.9
226.7
260.2
228.0
260.5
255.3
233.2
240.7
236.3
5.7%
5.2%
6.8% 10.2%
5.0%
6.0%
8.6%
-5.6%
-8.4% -15.2%
-7.9% -13.1% -12.1%
-6.5%
9.2%
-1.4% 20.2%
7.9%
3.8% 15.8%
4.3%
1,421.5 1,673.8 1,929.4 2,186.3 2,444.8 2,681.5 2,924.0
1,384.1 1,615.2 1,832.0 2,068.5 2,293.2 2,501.2 2,727.9
1,438.1 1,666.1 1,926.6 2,181.9 2,415.1 2,655.8 2,892.1
2,738.5
2,759.6
2,924.0
2,727.9
2,892.1
6.0%
-6.7%
6.0%
13.1
15.0
14.3
14.6
14.2
-4.6%
1.7%
-2.4%
89.1
87.3
91.4
15.0
13.6
14.6
13.1
14.3
6.9%
-10.3%
9.7%
103.6
100.3
105.8
11.3
12.5
13.9
12.9
13.0
11.4%
-7.6%
1.2%
117.5
113.2
118.8
2,199
2,264
2,423
2,094
2,167
7.0%
-13.6%
3.5%
22,694
21,301
22,439
12.2
12.2
11.7
11.5
11.5
-4.7%
-1.4%
-0.4%
129.2
124.7
130.2
2,008
2,066
2,191
1,928
2,233
6.1%
-12.0%
15.8%
24,885
23,230
24,671
TOTAL
2,147
2,068
2,261
2,102
2,195
9.3%
-7.0%
4.4%
27,146
25,332
26,866
14.3
12.3
14.3
14.3
14.6
16.5%
-0.4%
2.5%
74.7
72.7
77.2
2,162
2,175
2,364
2,196
2,369
8.7%
-7.1%
7.9%
20,271
19,208
20,271
DEC
11.2
9.2
8.2
9.8
10.4
-10.7%
19.4%
5.6%
137.4
134.5
140.6
11.3
10.1
11.0
11.5
11.3
9.6%
4.1%
-1.7%
148.4
146.0
151.9
151.2
145.5
148.4
146.0
151.9
2.0%
-1.6%
4.0%
Page 12
M AY
JUN
JUL
AUG
DEC
3.5
1.8
2.4
3.7
-49%
36%
58%
3.0
2.5
2.8
4.4
-17%
11%
57%
3.3
4.5
3.4
5.3
34%
-24%
55%
4.5
6.0
3.9
6.1
34%
-35%
56%
4.8
5.9
3.9
6.0
23%
-34%
55%
3.6
5.8
3.5
5.3
59%
-40%
53%
2.2
4.7
2.8
4.3
112%
-40%
51%
2.5
3.6
2.8
4.2
43%
-23%
50%
3.2
1.7
4.5
4.6
-46%
161%
3%
2.9
1.9
3.8
4.7
-35%
99%
25%
3.0
2.7
4.2
5.2
-9%
58%
22%
3.2
3.9
4.7
5.8
20%
23%
23%
3.2
4.5
4.9
6.0
40%
9%
23%
3.0
4.7
4.8
5.9
56%
2%
23%
2.8
5.1
4.6
5.8
82%
-8%
25%
2.4
5.3
4.6
5.7
116%
-13%
24%
5.4
7.8
2.3
2.9
43%
-71%
28%
6.0
7.7
2.6
3.3
28%
-67%
27%
6.8
7.6
2.7
3.4
11%
-65%
28%
6.8
6.3
2.4
3.0
-8%
-62%
27%
8.3
5.4
2.3
2.8
-35%
-58%
24%
9.0
4.9
2.0
2.7
-45%
-59%
30%
8.7
4.1
2.0
2.6
-53%
-50%
28%
7.9
3.7
2.0
2.5
-54%
-45%
25%
M AY
JUN
JUL
AUG
DEC
28.9
28.3
33.9
36.3
-2%
20%
7%
30.6
30.1
36.4
40.1
-1%
21%
10%
26.1
31.5
36.2
39.2
20%
15%
8%
30.1
29.8
35.7
38.4
-1%
20%
7%
33.6
31.1
36.6
39.0
-7%
17%
7%
33.8
32.0
36.7
39.2
-6%
15%
7%
29.8
30.3
33.7
36.4
2%
11%
8%
30.4
30.7
35.4
37.9
1%
15%
7%
15.4
13.4
16.7
18.8
-13%
25%
13%
15.9
14.4
18.7
20.6
-9%
29%
10%
12.6
15.2
17.4
19.3
20%
14%
11%
13.3
13.9
16.6
18.4
4%
20%
11%
14.9
14.8
16.7
18.6
0%
13%
11%
14.8
15.8
16.5
18.3
6%
5%
11%
12.2
14.2
15.6
17.1
16%
10%
10%
13.2
15.5
17.0
18.4
18%
10%
8%
8.1
10.2
11.5
11.6
26%
13%
1%
7.8
10.6
11.7
12.2
36%
10%
4%
8.3
10.6
12.8
13.2
28%
21%
4%
11.5
10.6
13.1
13.4
-8%
24%
3%
11.8
10.4
13.4
13.5
-12%
29%
0%
12.5
10.2
13.8
14.0
-19%
36%
2%
11.6
10.7
12.4
13.1
-8%
16%
6%
11.7
10.1
12.9
13.5
-13%
27%
5%
3.1
3.5
4.2
3.6
13%
22%
-15%
4.1
3.6
4.3
4.6
-13%
20%
7%
3.5
3.9
4.0
4.1
12%
3%
2%
3.7
3.6
4.3
4.5
-2%
18%
5%
5.1
4.1
4.7
4.9
-19%
14%
5%
4.9
4.5
4.7
4.9
-9%
4%
5%
4.1
4.0
3.9
4.2
-2%
-2%
7%
3.5
3.6
3.4
3.7
3%
-5%
9%
2.4
1.3
1.5
2.3
-45%
14%
53%
2.8
1.5
1.7
2.6
-47%
15%
54%
1.7
1.8
2.1
2.5
3%
17%
21%
1.6
1.8
1.8
2.1
7%
1%
19%
1.7
1.8
1.7
2.0
4%
-3%
16%
1.6
1.5
1.7
2.0
-4%
14%
14%
1.8
1.5
1.9
2.1
-20%
27%
12%
2.0
1.5
2.1
2.3
-25%
43%
10%
Page 13
AUG
DEC
TOTAL
287
417
398
360
359
-4%
-10%
0%
2,852
2,904
2,638
404
341
406
380
380
19%
-6%
0%
3,259
3,284
3,019
400
377
453
390
387
20%
-14%
-1%
3,711
3,674
3,406
290
470
426
348
359
-9%
-18%
3%
4,137
4,022
3,764
308
445
607
392
399
36%
-35%
2%
4,744
4,415
4,164
3,619
4,459
4,744
4,415
4,164
6.4%
-7.0%
-5.7%
140
247
248
230
223
0%
-7%
-3%
1,614
1,825
1,555
241
233
242
256
247
4%
6%
-3%
1,856
2,081
1,802
217
240
301
260
251
25%
-13%
-4%
2,157
2,342
2,052
148
225
291
227
220
29%
-22%
-3%
2,447
2,569
2,273
196
218
428
273
266
97%
-36%
-2%
2,876
2,842
2,539
1,860
2,527
2,876
2,842
2,539
13.8%
-1.2%
-10.7%
147
170
150
130
136
-12%
-14%
5%
1,238
1,079
1,084
163
108
165
124
133
53%
-25%
7%
1,403
1,203
1,217
183
138
152
129
136
10%
-15%
5%
1,555
1,332
1,353
141
245
135
121
138
-45%
-10%
14%
1,690
1,453
1,492
112
227
179
119
133
-21%
-33%
11%
1,869
1,573
1,625
1,759
1,933
1,869
1,573
1,625
-3.3%
-15.8%
3.3%
19
20
41
52
47
111%
26%
-10%
231
343
330
16
16
47
45
40
197%
-5%
-11%
278
388
370
12
19
48
40
37
148%
-16%
-9%
326
429
407
12
15
39
39
36
161%
0%
-8%
365
468
443
13
14
29
39
34
110%
37%
-14%
394
507
477
221
203
394
507
477
94.4%
28.7%
-6.0%
2
2
13
13
12
472%
6%
-12%
87
119
103
3
3
16
12
12
521%
-23%
-2%
104
132
116
1
3
13
10
9
311%
-20%
-11%
116
142
125
3
3
11
13
12
285%
19%
-3%
127
154
137
3
2
12
14
12
584%
20%
-15%
139
168
149
39
33
139
168
149
319.3%
21.4%
-11.6%
17
17
29
39
36
65%
35%
-9%
143
224
226
13
13
31
33
28
133%
5%
-14%
174
257
254
11
16
35
30
28
117%
-14%
-8%
209
287
282
9
12
29
27
24
133%
-8%
-10%
238
313
306
10
12
17
25
22
43%
48%
-13%
255
339
328
182
170
255
339
328
50.5%
32.7%
-3.2%
Page 14
DEC
TOTAL
6,996
7,016
7,076
6,571
7,315
1%
-7%
11%
82,660
77,312
80,464
79,180
80,927
82,660
77,312
80,464
2.1%
-6.5%
4.1%
4,923
5,138
4,955
4,573
5,234
-4%
-8%
14%
57,301
53,139
55,062
54,990
56,842
57,301
53,139
55,062
0.8%
-7.3%
3.6%
2,073
1,878
2,121
1,998
2,081
13%
-6%
4%
25,359
24,174
25,402
24,190
24,086
25,359
24,174
25,402
5.3%
-4.7%
5.1%
22.2
22.1
22.1
20.4
22.5
0%
-8%
11%
259
240
248
251.8
255.4
259.0
240.5
248.4
1.4%
-7.1%
3.3%
15.6
16.2
15.5
14.2
16.1
-4%
-8%
14%
180
165
170
174.8
179.4
179.5
165.3
170.0
0.1%
-7.9%
2.8%
6.6
5.9
6.6
6.2
6.4
12%
-6%
3%
79
75
78
76.9
76.0
79.4
75.2
78.4
4.5%
-5.4%
4.3%
Page 15
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
111.8
97.0 104.1 102.8
82.1
98.0
118.4 118.3 119.6 103.4 111.0
95.3
118.6 141.5 139.4 152.3 121.7 121.3
116.7 139.0 192.1 133.7 122.0 130.2
135.8 123.4 143.2 121.9 108.8 110.1
0%
-2%
16%
20%
-2%
-11%
17%
38%
-25%
47%
-12%
-9%
10%
0%
-11%
27%
7%
-15%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
111.0 136.8 125.0 119.1 129.6 129.5
110.2 112.3 112.0 112.0 139.8 155.7
127.7 121.5 117.4 122.6 149.8 200.4
141.7 148.8 143.9 144.6 152.4 180.0
120.5 124.7 120.5 121.4 138.5 165.3
16%
11%
-15%
8%
22%
-16%
5%
23%
-16%
9%
18%
-16%
7%
2%
-9%
29%
-10%
-8%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
113.9 108.4 121.6 107.4
98.0 111.0
134.4 123.4 139.9 110.8 128.5 108.4
134.3 155.1 157.3 156.7 136.0 129.9
131.7 151.3 175.5 127.4 139.9 143.9
149.3 134.1 148.4 123.2 124.8 121.8
0%
-2%
13%
26%
-2%
-11%
13%
12%
-15%
41%
-19%
-3%
6%
3%
-11%
20%
11%
-15%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
131.1 141.5 141.2 127.2 140.9 137.4
121.0 127.6 126.4 127.8 156.1 162.0
143.0 133.8 129.2 134.0 173.2 194.6
158.8 163.2 159.1 159.0 172.8 184.9
135.6 137.1 134.1 134.2 157.1 168.2
18%
11%
-15%
5%
22%
-16%
2%
23%
-16%
5%
19%
-16%
11%
0%
-9%
20%
-5%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
113.9 107.3 120.2 106.4
96.0 109.0
133.8 122.0 136.0 106.8 125.7 106.2
130.8 155.2 154.6 156.0 135.7 127.9
129.5 149.1 171.1 122.4 137.8 141.4
147.3 132.9 145.0 120.2 123.0 119.6
-2%
-1%
14%
27%
-4%
-11%
14%
11%
-15%
46%
-22%
-2%
8%
2%
-11%
20%
11%
-15%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
130.0 141.7 141.5 127.4 141.8 137.4
121.0 125.5 121.7 124.2 156.5 161.4
143.5 129.4 128.0 134.0 173.9 200.8
158.4 160.3 156.6 157.4 173.0 187.0
135.3 134.4 131.8 132.7 157.4 170.3
19%
10%
-15%
3%
24%
-16%
5%
22%
-16%
8%
17%
-16%
11%
-1%
-9%
24%
-7%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
119.3 112.9 127.4 110.1
99.9 114.4
141.8 128.6 142.8 112.0 132.2 111.8
139.2 164.2 162.0 164.4 142.5 135.9
138.0 159.1 181.5 132.6 143.4 148.0
154.8 140.7 152.8 127.5 128.6 125.8
-2%
-1%
12%
28%
-3%
-12%
13%
12%
-16%
47%
-19%
-4%
8%
1%
-10%
22%
9%
-15%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
136.4 148.6 148.3 135.5 148.8 144.4
128.8 132.3 129.6 132.2 164.9 169.9
152.0 137.7 137.0 143.0 184.9 211.6
166.1 167.8 164.5 165.9 182.0 196.0
142.6 141.4 139.5 140.7 166.0 178.8
18%
9%
-14%
4%
22%
-16%
6%
20%
-15%
8%
16%
-15%
12%
-2%
-9%
25%
-7%
-9%
USDA CENTRAL STATES BREAKING STOCK, >48 LBS, NEST RUN, CENTS/DOZEN
YEAR
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
% change 14/13
% change 15/14
% change 16/15
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
50.7
48.1
57.3
50.1
47.5
51.5
70.0
62.6
70.8
59.6
68.9
63.8
64.0
81.4 103.1 109.3 105.1
93.1
55.6
77.1 110.3
90.0
98.3 112.7
81.0
71.8
93.3
84.0
87.7
89.1
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
62.7
78.8
89.3
81.0
88.0
74.5
71.5
80.3
80.1
85.9
98.7
91.9
78.5
79.7
87.3
97.2 101.5 101.6
103.1 103.7 110.1 114.1 111.5 104.0
84.7
89.3
95.2
99.6 103.7
97.5
-9%
-13%
46%
10%
31%
-18%
30%
-5%
-7%
46%
7%
-15%
83%
-18%
-7%
53%
-6%
-11%
46%
21%
-21%
-1%
30%
-14%
9%
26%
-14%
13%
17%
-13%
3%
10%
-7%
11%
2%
-6%
16%
1%
-11%
16%
7%
-12%
ANN
123.3
130.5
148.1
155.6
139.0
12%
3%
-6%
28%
-2%
-12%
13%
3%
-11%
13%
5%
-11%
ANN
122.7
128.4
147.5
153.7
137.5
12%
2%
-5%
21%
-3%
-10%
10%
18%
-16%
ANN
112.2
117.3
136.2
145.4
127.8
15%
2%
-11%
15%
4%
-11%
ANN
128.8
135.6
156.2
162.1
144.9
13%
3%
-6%
24%
-4%
-10%
8%
18%
-15%
16%
1%
-11%
15%
4%
-11%
ANN
65.0
75.3
91.8
99.2
89.7
22%
-2%
1%
24%
-4%
-10%
9%
19%
-16%
60%
-2%
-13%
9%
17%
-15%
6%
29%
-15%
9%
10%
-9%
22%
8%
-10%
Page 16
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
39.6
40.0
52.4
48.1
43.5
45.3
52.4
52.1
63.8
56.6
60.0
64.0
61.8
68.9
83.5
98.2
95.0
87.0
53.3
61.9
74.7
59.2
89.8
83.7
62.6
67.6
70.3
66.6
76.9
73.7
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
55.0
67.3
79.9
76.7
79.2
65.6
65.2
76.1
77.5
77.0
77.0
72.5
77.1
75.8
75.3
77.0
79.3
88.6
78.6
87.2
90.5
90.9
91.9
88.7
70.6
77.3
80.3
80.4
81.7
80.3
18%
-14%
17%
18%
2%
-10%
32%
-10%
9%
31%
-11%
-6%
73%
-40%
12%
58%
-5%
-14%
36%
-4%
-12%
0%
15%
-11%
-3%
20%
-11%
0%
18%
-12%
3%
16%
-11%
22%
0%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
45.6
46.0
58.4
54.1
49.5
51.3
58.4
58.1
69.8
62.6
66.0
70.0
65.8
72.9
87.5 102.2
99.0
91.0
57.3
65.9
78.7
63.2
94.0
87.9
66.8
71.8
74.4
70.8
81.2
77.9
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
61.0
73.3
85.9
82.7
85.2
71.6
71.2
82.1
82.7
81.7
81.0
76.5
81.1
79.8
79.3
81.0
83.3
92.6
83.2
91.5
94.4
94.6
95.3
92.5
74.9
81.4
84.0
83.9
84.9
83.8
13%
-13%
17%
14%
3%
-10%
25%
-10%
9%
25%
-10%
-5%
63%
-38%
12%
50%
-5%
-14%
30%
-3%
-11%
-3%
15%
-11%
-4%
19%
-11%
-1%
17%
-11%
3%
14%
-11%
21%
0%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
43.5
42.7
45.8
43.9
41.1
41.0
44.0
49.1
59.6
63.0
67.0
69.0
79.5
92.0 100.5 115.6 121.1 125.6
65.6
60.3
60.1
51.8
79.6
86.2
69.7
66.2
60.4
60.7
72.2
75.8
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
44.6
48.5
48.0
48.0
50.9
47.0
70.5
78.1
82.4
87.2
92.7
83.2
126.0 125.4 122.0 112.8 100.2
91.1
83.2
87.2
88.0
87.7
87.3
79.9
75.6
79.1
79.5
78.6
77.5
70.6
81%
-17%
6%
79%
-34%
-9%
87%
-34%
10%
69%
-40%
0%
83%
-55%
17%
81%
-34%
-9%
82%
-31%
-12%
61%
-30%
-9%
48%
-28%
-10%
29%
-22%
-10%
8%
-13%
-11%
9%
-12%
-12%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
48.5
47.7
50.8
48.9
46.1
46.0
49.0
54.1
64.6
68.0
72.0
74.0
84.5
97.0 105.5 120.6 126.1 130.6
70.6
65.3
65.3
57.8
85.6
92.2
74.6
71.1
65.3
66.0
77.6
81.3
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
49.6
53.5
53.0
53.0
55.9
52.0
75.5
83.1
87.4
92.2
97.7
88.2
131.0 130.4 127.0 117.8 105.2
96.1
89.2
93.1
94.0
92.6
92.0
84.7
81.1
84.5
84.9
83.5
82.4
75.4
72%
-16%
6%
74%
-32%
-9%
79%
-33%
9%
63%
-38%
0%
77%
-52%
14%
75%
-32%
-9%
76%
-29%
-12%
57%
-29%
-9%
45%
-26%
-10%
28%
-21%
-10%
8%
-13%
-10%
9%
-12%
-11%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
65.3
65.1
69.6
68.0
66.0
66.0
95.0
84.9
80.0
76.7
75.9
76.5
61.0
57.9
56.8
64.7
65.0
65.0
72.0
73.7
83.2
87.0
99.0
94.1
72.4
70.0
72.7
76.1
80.4
78.7
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
76.0
99.7 120.8 131.2 128.4 107.7
76.0
76.0
76.0
70.9
63.3
63.0
64.6
65.0
65.0
65.0
65.3
71.5
85.7
81.3
85.1
85.4
82.5
80.9
76.1
76.5
79.7
79.7
77.0
76.8
-36%
18%
1%
-15%
33%
-11%
-32%
27%
-5%
-29%
46%
-13%
-16%
34%
-13%
-14%
52%
-19%
-15%
45%
-16%
-14%
25%
-6%
-14%
31%
-6%
-8%
31%
-7%
3%
26%
-7%
13%
13%
-5%
8%
11%
-11%
22%
-2%
-7%
ANN
63.7
71.7
84.6
83.2
78.0
21%
-11%
5%
55%
-17%
-7%
7%
10%
-11%
18%
-2%
-6%
ANN
45.4
70.5
109.3
76.4
72.1
78%
-32%
6%
47%
-16%
-6%
4%
12%
-11%
ANN
57.7
66.2
80.6
79.2
74.0
16%
-16%
-11%
55%
-30%
-6%
ANN
50.4
75.5
114.3
81.9
77.3
71%
-30%
5%
82%
-40%
-4%
2%
12%
-11%
15%
-16%
-10%
51%
-28%
-6%
ANN
88.7
76.2
63.9
84.2
76.3
-32%
30%
-6%
76%
-38%
-5%
62%
-31%
-9%
-15%
44%
-16%
58%
-29%
-9%
-15%
30%
-8%
2%
23%
-6%
-16%
32%
-9%
Page 17
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
68.3
68.1
72.6
71.0
69.0
69.0
98.0
87.9
83.0
79.7
78.9
79.5
64.0
60.9
59.8
67.7
68.0
68.0
75.0
76.7
86.2
90.0 102.0
97.2
75.4
73.0
75.7
79.1
83.4
81.7
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
79.0 102.7 123.8 134.2 131.4 110.7
79.0
79.0
79.0
73.9
66.3
66.0
67.6
68.0
68.0
68.0
68.3
74.5
88.6
84.3
88.1
88.4
85.5
83.9
79.0
79.5
82.7
82.7
80.0
79.8
-35%
17%
1%
-14%
31%
-11%
-31%
26%
-5%
-28%
44%
-12%
-15%
33%
-12%
-14%
50%
-18%
-14%
43%
-16%
-14%
24%
-6%
-14%
30%
-6%
-8%
30%
-6%
3%
25%
-6%
13%
13%
-5%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
65.5
64.0
72.3
74.2
70.1
70.3
70.8
70.0
77.1
74.4
77.8
83.0
82.3
87.3 100.0 117.3 118.3 117.5
71.3
77.9
89.0
74.0 109.5 111.3
93.1
86.5
86.7
85.8
99.1 100.8
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
75.2
86.9 100.7 101.6 100.5
85.7
83.8
93.7
96.0
96.0
96.0
92.0
111.0 110.8 106.9 104.3 103.0 103.5
110.6 118.7 122.1 121.5 120.5 114.1
99.5 106.1 108.4 107.6 106.7 101.8
16%
-13%
31%
32%
0%
-10%
25%
-11%
11%
30%
-11%
-3%
58%
-37%
16%
52%
-7%
-9%
42%
-5%
-9%
18%
7%
-11%
11%
14%
-11%
9%
17%
-11%
7%
17%
-11%
13%
10%
-11%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
69.3
68.0
68.0
66.3
64.1
64.0
64.0
67.2
74.2
79.6
84.0
88.0
107.5 112.8 119.7 134.6 139.7 144.9
87.2
82.9
77.8
69.1 106.5 109.7
93.9
84.0
75.1
76.1
90.4
93.3
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
64.8
67.0
67.0
67.0
68.7
67.7
89.7
94.8
96.0 102.0 110.0 109.0
145.0 144.4 143.0 137.4 125.5 113.1
111.0 113.5 113.5 114.0 108.9
99.3
94.2
96.3
96.2
96.5
94.2
88.0
68%
-19%
8%
62%
-23%
-15%
68%
-27%
1%
61%
-35%
-3%
69%
-49%
10%
66%
-24%
-15%
65%
-24%
-15%
52%
-21%
-15%
49%
-21%
-15%
35%
-17%
-15%
14%
-13%
-14%
4%
-12%
-11%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
86.2
86.0
86.8
87.4
87.0
87.0
114.4 105.9 102.3
94.9
93.4
93.0
82.7
79.7
77.8
82.7
83.0
83.0
88.0
89.5
99.0 103.0 118.2 128.1
96.4
94.3
91.6
93.4
98.9 102.6
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
93.0 118.5 138.1 147.5 146.3 128.4
93.0
93.0
93.0
90.5
85.0
84.0
83.0
83.0
83.0
83.0
83.2
87.6
119.4 110.1 103.9 104.9 102.9 100.7
99.8
98.5
97.9
98.5
96.7
95.6
-28%
6%
10%
-11%
44%
-16%
-25%
12%
5%
-24%
27%
-7%
-13%
25%
-9%
-11%
42%
-16%
-11%
54%
-20%
-11%
33%
-11%
-11%
25%
-6%
-8%
26%
-6%
-2%
24%
-6%
4%
15%
-5%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
83.2
83.0
83.8
84.4
84.0
84.0
111.4 102.9
99.3
91.9
90.4
90.0
79.7
76.7
74.8
79.7
80.0
80.0
85.0
86.5
96.0 100.0 115.0 124.9
93.2
91.1
88.4
90.2
95.6
99.3
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
90.0 115.5 135.1 144.5 143.3 125.4
90.0
90.0
90.0
87.5
82.0
81.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
80.2
84.6
116.2 106.8 100.7 101.6
99.6
97.4
96.5
95.2
94.5
95.2
93.3
92.3
-28%
7%
10%
-11%
45%
-17%
-25%
13%
5%
-25%
28%
-8%
-13%
25%
-10%
-12%
44%
-17%
-11%
56%
-20%
-11%
34%
-11%
-11%
26%
-6%
-9%
27%
-6%
-2%
24%
-6%
4%
15%
-5%
2%
22%
-6%
-16%
30%
-9%
ANN
80.6
84.2
105.2
103.4
98.5
24%
-12%
12%
-14%
42%
-16%
9%
15%
-11%
25%
-2%
-5%
ANN
66.8
88.2
130.6
99.5
89.8
66%
-27%
2%
50%
-17%
-3%
-14%
28%
-8%
ANN
91.7
79.2
66.9
87.2
79.3
17%
-14%
-14%
48%
-24%
-10%
ANN
107.7
95.2
82.6
105.6
97.0
-26%
15%
2%
67%
-32%
-9%
20%
7%
-11%
-2%
22%
-6%
-13%
28%
-8%
ANN
104.7
92.2
79.6
102.5
93.7
-26%
16%
2%
-12%
40%
-16%
54%
-22%
-15%
-12%
42%
-16%
-11%
34%
-11%
-11%
35%
-12%
-2%
22%
-6%
-14%
29%
-9%
Page 18
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
233.6 230.0 243.5 251.2 245.0 245.0
278.5 269.0 271.5 269.3 277.8 285.0
288.9 298.3 336.4 390.0 397.0 400.0
339.3 325.0 325.0 310.7 410.1 413.9
360.2 344.8 307.6 317.6 358.0 361.9
4%
17%
6%
11%
9%
6%
24%
-3%
-5%
45%
-20%
2%
43%
3%
-13%
40%
3%
-13%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
258.2 299.6 335.9 360.0 360.0 324.0
287.0 317.0 330.0 330.0 325.3 313.1
400.0 392.9 385.0 385.0 385.0 380.3
398.4 396.2 402.5 408.9 406.9 387.6
358.2 367.4 374.9 380.3 378.4 362.7
39%
0%
-10%
24%
1%
-7%
17%
5%
-7%
17%
6%
-7%
18%
6%
-7%
21%
2%
-6%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
202.1 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 204.3
232.8 232.0 232.0 232.0 238.0 240.0
255.0 255.0 261.0 294.3 298.5 300.0
300.0 300.0 300.0 291.4 336.9 334.6
313.5 293.0 274.9 281.8 301.8 302.4
10%
18%
5%
10%
18%
-2%
13%
15%
-8%
27%
-1%
-3%
25%
13%
-10%
25%
12%
-10%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
211.7 237.2 265.1 280.0 280.0 258.6
240.0 259.8 270.0 269.6 265.0 263.1
300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0 300.0
342.3 343.7 336.8 340.7 338.7 331.0
306.3 314.8 318.2 321.6 319.7 313.6
25%
14%
-11%
15%
15%
-8%
11%
12%
-6%
11%
14%
-6%
13%
13%
-6%
14%
10%
-5%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
449.3 445.0 447.3 450.0 446.5 445.0 455.0 488.5 505.0 510.0 510.0 492.5
469.1 465.5 511.0 550.7 608.0 652.5 689.5 731.8 761.8 792.6 828.4 827.9
830.5 883.5 990.0 1162.4 1321.4 1444.0 1465.0 1436.0 1371.7 1292.0 1198.1 1106.0
932.6 808.3 780.5 744.3 804.7 853.1 859.0 848.9 829.8 775.3 715.2 683.2
633.3 600.1 567.0 590.4 645.6 688.9 702.6 707.4 699.1 675.6 648.3 621.0
77%
12%
-32%
90%
-9%
-26%
94%
-21%
-27%
111%
-36%
-21%
117%
-39%
-20%
121%
-41%
-19%
112%
-41%
-18%
96%
-41%
-17%
80%
-40%
-16%
63%
-40%
-13%
45%
-40%
-9%
34%
-38%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
170.2 170.0 171.0 173.0 173.0 173.0
260.2 238.6 225.8 210.4 196.8 195.0
159.5 148.5 148.2 152.6 153.0 153.0
178.2 180.5 203.0 210.0 233.8 263.2
234.4 216.0 201.4 202.7 208.6 218.9
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
186.6 244.0 299.1 320.0 324.8 298.3
195.0 195.0 195.0 187.5 167.7 165.0
153.0 150.3 150.0 150.8 154.6 170.9
256.6 254.1 251.8 254.2 250.4 250.9
217.8 221.3 225.6 227.3 223.7 227.7
-39%
12%
32%
-22%
68%
-15%
-38%
22%
20%
-34%
37%
-1%
-27%
38%
-3%
-22%
53%
-11%
-22%
72%
-17%
-23%
69%
-13%
-23%
68%
-10%
-20%
69%
-11%
-8%
62%
-11%
4%
47%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
63.5
62.0
70.3
72.2
68.1
68.3
68.8
68.0
75.1
72.4
75.1
80.0
79.3
84.3
96.4 113.3 114.3 113.5
68.3
74.9
86.0
71.0 115.2 111.9
80.5
83.9
84.0
82.9
99.3
99.0
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
73.2
84.9
98.7
99.6
98.5
83.7
80.8
90.7
93.0
93.0
93.0
89.0
107.0 106.8 102.9 101.0 100.0 100.5
106.2 114.2 117.6 117.5 116.5 110.2
95.9 102.5 104.8 104.3 103.6
98.7
15%
-14%
18%
32%
-1%
-10%
24%
-11%
12%
28%
-11%
-2%
56%
-37%
17%
52%
1%
-14%
42%
-1%
-12%
18%
7%
-10%
11%
14%
-11%
9%
16%
-11%
8%
17%
-11%
13%
10%
-10%
19%
5%
-7%
25%
2%
-6%
ANN
228.3
247.9
288.7
324.7
305.1
11%
17%
-2%
43%
-4%
-9%
13%
12%
-6%
16%
12%
-6%
ANN
470.3
657.4
1208.4
802.9
648.3
87%
-7%
-29%
26%
8%
-8%
26%
2%
-8%
ANN
282.2
296.1
369.9
377.0
356.0
47%
-40%
-11%
84%
-34%
-19%
ANN
225.3
202.7
153.7
232.2
218.8
-37%
23%
16%
117%
-39%
-20%
17%
14%
-8%
-8%
59%
-10%
-24%
51%
-6%
ANN
78.6
81.6
101.6
100.8
95.0
23%
-12%
8%
-24%
54%
-11%
96%
-41%
-17%
50%
-13%
-6%
-23%
68%
-13%
20%
7%
-10%
10%
14%
-11%
25%
-1%
-6%
Page 19
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
84.2
84.0
84.8
85.4
85.0
85.0
111.4 102.9
99.3
91.9
90.4
90.0
79.7
76.1
73.8
78.7
79.0
79.0
84.0
85.5
95.0
99.0 115.0 109.9
88.4
86.0
88.2
90.0
95.9
93.9
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
90.8 115.5 135.1 144.5 143.3 125.4
90.0
90.0
90.0
87.5
82.0
81.0
79.0
79.0
79.0
79.0
79.2
83.6
101.2
96.7 100.5 101.5
99.6
97.4
91.1
91.5
94.6
95.3
93.5
92.4
-28%
5%
5%
-12%
28%
-10%
-26%
12%
1%
-26%
29%
-7%
-14%
26%
-9%
-13%
46%
-17%
-12%
39%
-15%
-12%
22%
-5%
-12%
27%
-6%
-10%
28%
-6%
-3%
26%
-6%
3%
16%
-5%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
81.2
81.0
81.8
82.4
82.0
82.0
108.4
99.9
96.3
88.9
87.4
87.0
76.7
73.1
70.8
75.7
76.0
76.0
81.0
82.5
92.0
96.0 111.6 106.5
85.5
83.2
85.4
87.2
92.9
90.9
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
87.8 112.5 132.1 141.5 140.3 122.4
87.0
87.0
87.0
84.5
79.0
78.0
76.0
76.0
76.0
76.0
76.2
80.6
97.7
93.2
97.0
98.0
96.1
93.9
88.0
88.4
91.5
92.2
90.4
89.4
-29%
6%
6%
-13%
29%
-10%
-27%
13%
1%
-26%
30%
-7%
-15%
27%
-9%
-13%
47%
-17%
-13%
40%
-15%
-13%
23%
-5%
-13%
28%
-6%
-10%
29%
-6%
-4%
26%
-6%
3%
17%
-5%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
50.0
48.0
57.1
50.8
48.0
51.6
63.1
63.6
70.8
59.4
70.9
65.6
64.4
84.4 105.5 109.4 105.5
92.2
56.1
78.2
93.6
66.9
99.1 112.7
79.6
73.3
87.7
75.4
88.6
89.3
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
64.3
79.0
89.3
81.1
88.0
72.9
73.0
80.7
80.3
82.9
99.3
89.0
78.3
80.5
88.0
97.4 100.5
98.5
103.8 104.1 109.6 112.9 111.4 101.2
85.4
89.8
95.2
98.5 103.4
94.8
2%
-13%
42%
7%
33%
-18%
33%
-7%
-6%
49%
-11%
-6%
84%
-39%
13%
49%
-6%
-11%
41%
22%
-21%
0%
29%
-14%
10%
25%
-13%
17%
16%
-13%
1%
11%
-7%
11%
3%
-6%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
95.7
87.4
98.1
91.8
82.3
82.9
110.8
99.9 111.7
96.3 109.5
93.7
119.8 127.3 136.8 137.0 125.0 115.2
118.0 134.0 135.3
96.5 123.3 123.3
134.0 113.7 120.3 102.4 110.6 104.7
8%
-2%
14%
27%
5%
-15%
22%
-1%
-11%
42%
-30%
6%
14%
-1%
-10%
23%
7%
-15%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
99.7 101.5 120.3 107.8 120.3 115.4
92.6 106.8 101.8 110.0 120.6 126.6
106.1 102.8 106.5 122.0 132.6 142.2
123.2 128.5 133.5 141.0 136.6 141.5
103.8 108.0 111.9 119.1 124.0 129.1
15%
16%
-16%
-4%
25%
-16%
5%
25%
-16%
11%
16%
-16%
10%
3%
-9%
12%
0%
-9%
JAN
FEB MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
110.2 101.2 113.5 107.8
98.4
98.0
120.1 108.6 121.8 105.3 119.1 103.3
131.8 141.0 152.0 151.4 139.0 128.5
131.7 145.4 147.7 111.5 139.1 137.9
146.2 125.2 133.2 115.8 124.4 117.7
10%
0%
11%
30%
3%
-14%
25%
-3%
-10%
44%
-26%
4%
17%
0%
-11%
24%
7%
-15%
JUL
AUG
SEP OCT
NOV DEC
113.8 115.5 133.6 121.4 133.4 127.2
100.7 114.2 111.7 119.4 128.8 132.7
117.4 114.0 117.0 132.0 142.3 153.3
136.0 140.7 146.0 153.6 148.6 153.4
115.1 118.9 123.0 130.2 134.5 139.4
17%
16%
-15%
0%
23%
-16%
5%
25%
-16%
11%
16%
-15%
10%
4%
-9%
16%
0%
-9%
-3%
23%
-6%
-15%
25%
-7%
ANN
102.3
89.2
75.8
95.5
88.7
-28%
16%
-1%
-13%
37%
-14%
-4%
24%
-6%
-15%
26%
-7%
ANN
65.0
74.9
92.1
95.8
88.4
29%
-10%
6%
-14%
38%
-14%
-12%
26%
-7%
ANN
105.3
92.2
78.8
98.8
91.7
9%
10%
-9%
23%
4%
-8%
ANN
100.3
106.7
122.8
127.9
115.1
19%
1%
-5%
57%
-9%
-9%
-13%
26%
-7%
11%
6%
-11%
15%
4%
-10%
ANN
114.5
115.5
135.0
141.0
127.0
21%
0%
-5%
26%
-9%
-7%
5%
29%
-15%
28%
-7%
-8%
5%
22%
-16%
7%
21%
-16%
12%
7%
-11%
17%
4%
-10%
Page 20
Page 21