HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Study #11530b--page 1
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

1724 Connecticut Avenue, NW

Washington, DC 20009
(202) 234-5570

Interviews: 800 adults, including

240 who only have a cell phone
Dates: June 19-22, 2015

FINAL
47 Male
53 Female
[109]

Study #11530b
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey
June 2015
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 800 interviews is 3.5%

1a.

For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF RESPONDENT REFUSES,
ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to?
18-24 ................................................
25-29 ................................................
30-34 ................................................
35-39 ................................................
40-44 ................................................
45-49 ................................................
50-54 ................................................
55-59 ................................................
60-64 ................................................
65-69 ................................................
70-74 ................................................
75 and over ......................................
Not sure/refused .............................

1bc.

12
8
10
7
9
8
8
12
11
4
4
7
-

[148-149]

And to ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a
Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS NO, NOT HISPANIC OR NOT
SURE, ASK:) And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your racewhite, black or African American,
Asian, or something else?
White ................................................
Black or African American ................
Hispanic ............................................
Asian.................................................
Other.................................................
Not sure/refused .............................

69
11
11
3
5
1

[150/151]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

2a.

Study #11530b--page 2
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or poor?

Excellent ....................
Good ..........................
Only fair......................
Poor ...........................
Not sure ...................

6/15
2
22
44
30
2

3/15
2
25
42
29
2

1112/14
2
24
44
28
2

9/14
2
16
45
34
3

6/14
1
17
48
33
1

3/14
1
16
43
38
2

12/13
1
14
42
41
2

9/13
1
14
40
44
1

6/13
1
15
42
40
2

3/13
1
13
41
44
1

11/12
1
13
41
44
1

9/12
1
9
36
53
1

5/12
1
9
40
49
1

3/12
1
10
35
53
1

11/11
1
7
30
61
1

6/11
1
6
37
55
1

3/11
8
37
54
1

12/10
1
6
39
53
1

10/10
1
7
30
62
-

12/09
1
6
33
60
-

12/08
4
25
70
1

9/18,
20-21/08+
7
28
65
-

9/1012/08
1
10
32
56
1

6/08
1
6
29
63
1

2/08
2
14
39
44
1

12/07
4
22
39
33
2

10/051
5
27
46
22
-

3/051
4
37
41
18
1

8/041
4
33
42
21
1

3/041
4
32
38
26
-

1/031
1
18
44
36
1

1/021
1
26
48
24
-

[152]

Comparative data prior to 12/07 comes from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry,
Mermin Associates.
+ Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.

2b.

And over the course of the next year, do you think the state of the economy will get better, stay about the
same, or get worse?

Will get better.............................

Will stay about the same ...........
Will get worse ............................
Not sure ...................................

6/15
24
44
26
6

+ Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.

3/15
28
41
25
6

1112/14
27
39
28
6

9/14
23
42
28
7

6/14
28
40
28
4

3/14
29
37
30
4

12/13
26
40
30
4

9/13
28
33
35
4

6/13
34
35
27
4

3/13
32
31
33
4

11/12
37
23
35
5

9/12
35
23
25
17

5/12
33
37
21
9

3/12
36
31
27
6

11/11
27
43
26
4

6/11
30
36
30
4

3/11
29
30
37
4

12/10
37
37
21
5

10/10
37
35
26
2

12/09
43
29
25
3

12/08
39
30
27
4

9/18,
20-21/08+
42
28
23
7

9/1012/08
28
35
26
11

6/08
21
27
43
9

2/08
24
34
34
8

[153]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Study #11530b--page 3
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Q.2a and Q.2b COMBINED: CURRENT AND FUTURE VIEW OF THE ECONOMY

Optimistic now/optimistic for the future .........

Optimistic now/pessimistic for the future ......
Pessimistic now/optimistic for the future .......
Pessimistic now/pessimistic for the future ....
Not sure for now or the future .....................

6/15
21
2
15
55
7

3/15
23
2
15
53
7

1112/14
23
2
15
53
7

9/14
15
2
16
59
8

6/14
16
2
18
59
5

3/14
15
1
19
60
5

12/13
14
1
16
63
6

9/13
12
2
20
61
5

6/13
15
1
24
55
5

3/13
13
1
22
59
5

11/12
13
26
56
5

9/12
8
1
28
45
18

5/12
9
27
55
9

3/12
10
1
28
54
7

11/11
6
1
23
65
5

6/11
6
1
25
63
5

3/11
7
1
25
63
4

12/10
7
32
56
5

10/10
7
1
31
59
2

12/09
5
1
39
52
3

12/08
4
1
37
54
4

9/18,
20-21/08*
6
64
23
7

9/1012/08
8
2
23
55
12

6/08
5
1
18
66
10

2/08
13
2
18
58
9

* Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters.

3ab.

Are you currently employed? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "NO, NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are
you a student, a homemaker, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES,
CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
Professional/manager ......................
White-collar worker...........................
Blue-collar worker.............................
Farmer/rancher.................................
Student .............................................
Homemaker ......................................
Retired..............................................
Unemployed, looking for work ..........
Volunteer (VOL) .............................
Disabled (VOL) ...............................
Not sure/refused .............................

24
14
16
6
6
21
6
4
3

[154/155]
CONTINUE

Skip to Q.5a

[152/153]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Study #11530b--page 4
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.3a)

4a.
Over the next twelve months, do you expect that your wages will increase, decrease, or stay about the
same? [166]
(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.4a)
4b.
If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to increase over the
next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [167-169]
(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.4a)
4c.
If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to decrease over the
next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [170-172]
EMPLOYED ADULTS

Decrease ...........................................
Stay the same....................................
Total increase .....................................
Increase1% to 3% ........................
Increase4% to 10% ......................
Increase11% or more...................
Increasenot sure how much .........
Mean ....................................................
Median .................................................

6/15
3
59
38
14
15
8
1
4.5
-0.2

Decrease ...........................................
Stay the same....................................
Total increase .....................................
Increase1% to 3% ........................
Increase4% to 10% ......................
Increase11% or more...................
Increasenot sure how much .........
Mean ....................................................
Median .................................................

Decrease ...........................................
Stay the same....................................
Total increase .....................................
Increase1% to 3% ........................
Increase4% to 10% ......................
Increase11% or more...................
Increasenot sure how much .........
Mean ....................................................
Median .................................................
1

8/101
10
63
26
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

3/15
4
58
38
11
15
10
2
4.4
-0.2

1112/14
4
56
40
14
15
9
2
5.3
-0.7

9/14
4
62
34
10
13
8
3
2.9
-0.6

6/14
6
56
38
15
14
7
2
3.5
-0.2

3/14
6
61
33
10
13
8
2
2.2
-0.6

12/13
7
56
37
11
15
7
4
3.3
-0.3

9/13
9
57
34
11
12
9
2
3.1
-0.3

6/13
7
52
41
13
15
11
2
3.9
-0.2

3/13
10
58
32
11
13
6
2
2.3
-0.3

11/12
6
61
33
8
13
9
3
4.3
-0.3

9/12
8
62
30
11
11
6
2
2.3
-1.0

5/12
5
65
30
10
11
7
2
2.1
-0.6

3/12
8
60
32
10
12
7
3
2.3
-0.3

11/11
7
62
31
9
13
7
2
2.1
-1.0

6/11
9
62
29
10
10
7
2
1.5
-0.7

3/11
9
64
27
11
8
6
2
2.0
-1.1

12/10
7
62
31
9
11
9
2
2.1
-0.3

10/10
9
66
25
7
12
5
1
1.4
-0.4

12/09
11
61
28
8
10
8
2
1.3
-0.7

12/08
7
52
41
11
18
9
3
3.1
-0.6

9/08
4
53
43
14
19
8
2
4.0
-0.3

6/08
6
56
38
11
17
7
3
2.1
-0.5

2/08
4
47
49
13
22
11
3
5.4
-0.1

12/07
2
42
56
18
25
9
4
5.3
1.6

10/07
4
43
53
15
26
11
1
6.1
1.2

6/07
2
48
50
12
25
10
3
5.7
0

3/07
4
41
55
15
21
16
3
7.3
1.6

Comparative data for August 2010 comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

5a.

Study #11530b--page 5
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Over the next twelve months, do you expect that the cost of livingthat is, what you pay for everyday goods
and serviceswill increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [173]

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.5a)

5b.
If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you think the price of everyday goods and
services will increase in the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals.
[174-176]
(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.5a)
5c.
If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you think the price of everyday goods and
services will decrease in the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals.
[177-179]

Decrease .......................................
Stay the same................................
Total increase.................................
Increase1% to 3% ....................
Increase4% to 5% ....................
Increase6% to 10% ..................
Increase11% or more ...............
Increasenot sure how much .....
Mean................................................
Median ............................................

Decrease .......................................
Stay the same................................
Total increase.................................
Increase1% to 3% ....................
Increase4% to 5% ....................
Increase6% to 10% ..................
Increase11% or more ...............
Increasenot sure how much .....
Mean................................................
Median ............................................

6/15
1
22
77
27
17
13
15
5
7.2
2.8

1112/14
3
34
63
21
15
12
10
5
5.0
2.0

3/14
1
23
76
21
18
18
14
5
6.5
3.6

12/13
2
29
69
18
18
16
11
6
5.5
2.8

9/13
1
22
77
23
18
15
15
6
7.3
3.3

6/13
1
18
81
19
19
18
18
7
8.2
4.3

3/13
1
19
80
23
19
14
17
7
8.0
3.8

11/12
2
27
71
19
18
16
11
7
6.2
2.8

9/12
2
21
77
15
18
20
17
7
8.5
4.4

5/12
2
22
76
19
21
14
14
8
7.0
4.0

3/12
2
16
82
12
19
21
21
9
9.7
4.8

11/11
2
27
71
19
19
13
12
8
6.0
2.8

6/11
2
18
80
16
18
20
19
7
9.0
4.5

3/11
1
12
87
12
18
23
28
6
12.1
6.6

10/10
3
32
65
13
16
15
16
5
7.9
3.0

12/09
2
27
71
15
18
17
15
6
6.9
3.9

12/08
6
36
58
9
14
13
14
8
5.8
2.2

9/08
5
22
73
13
18
17
18
7
7.3
4.2

6/08
1
8
91
9
21
23
27
11
11.4
7.5

2/08
2
18
80
17
21
18
17
7
8.2
4.3

12/07
2
18
80
19
21
19
12
9
6.4
4.1

10/07
1
20
79
20
22
16
12
9
6.9
3.7

6/07
1
19
80
22
23
17
10
8
7.1
3.7

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

6a.

Study #11530b--page 6
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Do you expect the value of your home to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve
months? If you do not own your home, please just say so. [180]

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.6a)

6b.
If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to increase
over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [208-210]
(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.6a)
6c.
If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to decrease
over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [211-213]
HOMEOWNERS

Own Their Home

Decrease ..........................................
Stay the same ..................................
Total increase ....................................
Increase1% to 4%.......................
Increase5% to 9%.......................
Increase10% or more .................
Increasenot sure how much ........
Mean .....................................................
Median..................................................

6/15

3/15

1112/14

9/14

6/14

3/14

12/13

9/13

6/13

8
52
40
13
13
12
2
2.2
-0.2

8
60
32
10
9
10
3
2.4
-0.3

6
60
34
10
10
11
3
2.8
-0.6

9
63
28
7
9
10
2
1.7
-0.7

9
55
36
10
11
11
4
2.2
-0.3

10
59
31
10
8
10
3
2.0
-0.3

10
56
34
6
14
11
3
2.2
-0.6

14
54
32
10
9
9
4
0.8
-0.3

14
48
38
9
11
15
3
3.1
-0.3

3/13

11/12

9/12

5/12

3/12

11/11

6/11

3/11

13
54
33
10
10
10
3
1.6
-0.3

13
63
24
9
5
6
4
0.1
-0.4

19
54
27
7
7
10
3
0.5
-0.4

16
62
22
6
6
7
3
0.4
-0.9

20
58
22
6
5
9
2
-0.1
-0.5

20
65
15
4
3
5
3
-0.5
-0.5

30
55
15
4
3
6
2
-1.6
-0.6

24
58
18
5
5
6
2
-1.2
-0.5

10/10

12/09

12/08

9/08

6/08

2/08

12/07

10/07

3/07

21
60
19
6
4
6
3
-0.6
-0.5

20
59
20
4
6
8
3
-0.3
-0.5

22
61
17
4
5
5
3
-1.6
-0.5

20
56
24
6
7
9
2
-0.3
-0.5

23
54
23
5
6
9
3
-0.2
-1.0

20
54
26
5
8
9
4
-0.3
-0.5

16
50
34
6
9
13
6
2.2
0

11
49
40
8
9
17
6
3.9
0

9
43
48
12
13
19
4
4.0
0

Own Their Home

Decrease ..........................................
Stay the same ..................................
Total increase ....................................
Increase1% to 4%.......................
Increase5% to 9%.......................
Increase10% or more .................
Increasenot sure how much ........
Mean .....................................................
Median..................................................

Own Their Home

Decrease ..........................................
Stay the same ..................................
Total increase ....................................
Increase1% to 4%.......................
Increase5% to 9%.......................
Increase10% or more .................
Increasenot sure how much ........
Mean .....................................................
Median..................................................
1

Results shown among respondents who own their home, consisting of 74% in 6/15, 71% in 3/15, 83% in 11-12/14, 72% in 9/14, 80% in 6/14, 77% in
3/14, 76% in 12/13,78% in 9/13, 77% in 6/13, 74% in 3/13, 74% in 11/12, 77% in 9/12, 76% in 5/12, 77% in 3/12, 77% in 11/11, 75% in 6/11, 78% in
3/11, 80% in 12/10, 83% in 10/10, 84% in 12/09, 77% in 12/08, 85% in 9/08, 86% in 6/08, 81% in 2/08, 82% in 12/07, 82% in 10/07, and 84% in 3/07.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

7ab.

Study #11530b--page 7
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Do you have money invested in the stock market and mutual funds, including IRAs and 401(K)s? (IF
RESPONDENT SAYS YES, ASK:) And is the value of these investments above or below fifty thousand
dollars?

Yes, Have Money invested

Above $50,000 ................................
Below $50,000 ................................
Not sure ..........................................
No, no money invested .....................
Not sure/refused .............................

6/15
47
26
15
6
49
4

3/15
49
26
17
6
49
2

1112/14
51
24
18
9
47
2

9/14
49
25
18
6
49
2

6/14
49
28
16
5
49
2

3/14
52
29
18
5
47
1

12/13
53
28
20
5
46
1

9/13
51
28
17
6
47
2

6/13
48
26
16
6
50
2

3/13
55
29
20
6
43
2

11/12
51
25
21
5
47
2

9/12
52
28
19
5
46
2

5/12
52
26
21
5
46
2

3/12
49
24
19
6
49
2

11/11
51
27
19
5
47
2

6/11
52
29
19
4
46
2

3/11
46
25
21
NA
47
7

12/10
47
27
20
NA
45
8

Less than $10,000 ...................................................

At least $10,000 but less than $50,000 ...................
At least $50,000 but less than $100,000 .................
At least $100,000 but less than $200,000 ...............
At least $200,000 but less than $300,000 ...............
At least $300,000 but less than $500,000 ...............
At least $500,000 but less than $1,000,000 ............
$1,000,000 or more .................................................
No, no money invested in the stock market .............
Not sure/refused ....................................................

10/10
7
13
11
7
3
2
1
1
44
11

12/09
8
13
8
8
2
2
3
2
42
12

12/08
8
14
9
9
4
4
1
1
42
8

[214/215]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

8ab.

Study #11530b--page 8
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

In your opinion, would you say this is a good time or a bad time to be investing in the stock market? (IF
RESPONDENT SAYS "GOOD TIME OR BAD TIME," ASK:) Would you say it is a very (good time/bad
time) or just a somewhat (good time/bad time)?

3/15
9
30
25
9
27
39
34

1112/14
12
29
22
8
29
41
30

9/14
7
24
29
11
29
31
40

6/14
9
27
26
13
25
36
39

3/14
10
29
25
14
22
39
39

12/13
9
29
27
12
23
38
39

9/13
8
30
26
13
23
38
39

Total Good Time

Total Bad Time

6/13
10
26
23
15
26
36
38

3/13
9
31
26
13
21
40
39

11/12
7
24
30
17
22
31
47

9/12
7
23
30
18
22
30
48

5/12
4
26
33
19
18
30
52

3/12
7
24
33
16
20
31
49

11/11
7
22
31
22
18
29
53

Total Good Time

Total Bad Time

6/11
7
24
33
17
19
31
50

3/11
8
27
31
15
19
35
46

12/10
7
28
31
15
19
35
46

10/10
6
31
31
20
12
37
51

12/09
12
29
24
24
11
41
48

12/08
15
23
22
30
10
38
52

10/07
13
36
18
9
24
49
27

Very good time ...............................

Just a somewhat good time ...........
Just a somewhat bad time .............
Very bad time.................................
Not sure .......................................
Total Good Time
Total Bad Time

9.

6/15
8
31
25
9
27
39
34

Which one or two of the following do you think are the best investments right now?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Real estate ..............................................................

Stocks ......................................................................
Gold .........................................................................
Savings accounts and other cash instruments ........
U.S. Treasury government bonds ............................
Corporate bonds ......................................................
Other (VOL) ...........................................................
Not sure .................................................................
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

6/15*
34
23
20
12
7
6
3
16

6/14
29
27
21
12
5
5
4
16

3/13
27
21
35
12
8
6
3
10

3/12
24
19
37
14
8
7
4
10

[218]
>

[216/217]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

10.

Study #11530b--page 9
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Nationally, gas prices are lower now than they were a year ago. Are you doing any of the following things
specifically because gas prices are lower?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Paying down more debt .............................................................................

Driving more ...............................................................................................
Spending more on other things ..................................................................
Putting more money into savings ...............................................................
You are not doing any of these things as a result of lower gas prices ......
Not sure ....................................................................................................

6/15
19
13
13
12
49
4

3/151
25
11
17
15
42
2

1112/142
12
10
8
13
61
4

[219]
>

In March 2015 the question was phrased, Nationally, gas prices are lower now than they were six months ago.
In November-December 2014 the question was phrased, Nationally, gas prices have decreased recently.

11ab.

If you added together the TOTAL income of all the members of your family who live at home, would you say
the people in your household are making more money this year than last year, making less money this year
than last year, or making about the same amount of money this year as last year? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS
MORE THAN THIS TIME LAST YEAR, ASK:) If you had to give your best estimate, what is the
percentage increase in your household income compared with last year? Please use only whole numbers,
without any decimals.
Total Making More Than Last Year
4% or less .......................................
5% to 9% ........................................
10% to 14% ....................................
15% to 19% ....................................
20% or more ...................................
Not sure ..........................................
Making less than last year ................
About the same as last year ............
Not sure .........................................
Mean Among Those Earning More
Than Last Year
Median Among Those Earning
More Than Last Year

28
8
6
4
2
6
2
17
52
3

[220-223]

CONTINUE

Skip to Q.12

14.2
6.1

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "MORE THAN THIS TIME LAST YEAR" IN Q.11a)
11c.
And which of the following is the MAIN way in which you are using the additional money that members of
your household are earning this year?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Paying down debt ...........................................................

Saving .............................................................................
Paying for essentials such as food and housing .............
Paying for items or services that you want, not including
food and housing ............................................................
Other .............................................................................
Not sure ........................................................................
Making less/Same as last year/Not sure (Q.11ab) ..........

All
Adults
9
7
6

Adults In HHs
Earning More
(Q.11ab)
31
25
24

4
1
1
72

14
3
3
NA

[224]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Study #11530b--page 10
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

On a different topic...
12.

Which ONE of the following economic policies do you think is MOST important right now? (IF
RESPONDENT SAYS "ALL" OR MULTIPLE RESPONSES GIVEN, ASK:) Well, if you had to choose just
ONE of these, which do you think is MOST important?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Reducing the cost of healthcare .............................................

Reducing the federal deficit ....................................................
Dealing with the minimum wage.............................................
Dealing with taxes paid by corporations .................................
Dealing with government regulation of business ....................
Dealing with taxes paid by individuals ....................................
Protecting America's interests on trade issues.......................
None/other ...........................................................................
Not sure ...............................................................................

13a.

[236]

25
18
15
11
8
8
6
1
8

And when it comes to each one of these issues, which party do you think would do a better jobthe
Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or both about the same? If you think that neither would do a good
job, please just say so.
JUNE 2015 ONLY
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY DEMOCRATIC PARTY ADVANTAGE

Dealing with the minimum wage * ...............................

Reducing the cost of healthcare ** ..............................
Dealing with taxes paid by corporations ** ..................
Dealing with taxes paid by individuals * ......................
Dealing with the economy ...........................................
Dealing with government regulation of business ** .....
Reducing the federal deficit * ......................................
Protecting Americas interests on trade issues * .........

Party
Advantage
D-25
D-15
D-11
D-4
R-5
R-13
R-15

Democratic
Party
45
36
33
31
25
25
21
21

Republican
Party
20
21
22
27
25
30
34
36

Both About
The Same
13
13
14
17
21
14
15
16

Neither
Good
16
22
20
19
24
21
23
18

Not
Sure
6
8
11
6
5
10
7
9

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

JUNE 2015 AND TREND

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY DEMOCRATIC PARTY ADVANTAGE

Party
Advantage

Democratic
Party

Republican
Party

Both About
The Same

Neither
Good

Not
Sure

Dealing with the minimum wage

[240]

June 2015 * ..................................

Reducing the cost of healthcare

D-25

45

20

13

16

June 2015 ** .................................

Dealing with taxes paid by
corporations

D-15

36

21

13

22

June 2015 ** .................................

Dealing with taxes paid by
individuals

D-11

33

22

14

20

11

June 2015 * ..................................

D-4

[244]

[242]

[238]

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

31

27

17

19

[240]
[244]
[242]
[238]
[237]
[243]
[241]
[239]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Q.13a (contd)

Party
Advantage

Democratic
Party

Republican
Party

Study #11530b--page 11
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Both About
The Same

Neither
Good

Not
Sure

Dealing with the economy

June 2015.....................................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
September 2014+ .........................
December 2013 ............................
September 2013 ...........................
February 2013 ..............................
June 2012.....................................
December 2011 ............................
April 2011 .....................................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
August 5-9, 2010+ ........................
March 2010 ..................................
July 2009 ......................................
July 2008+ ....................................
January 2008................................
July 2007 ......................................
October 13-16, 2006+ ..................
September 2006+ .........................
March 2006 ..................................
November 2005 ............................
December 2004 ............................
July 2004+ ....................................
January 2004+..............................
December 13, 2003 ......................
October 2002+..............................
June 2002.....................................
June 2001.....................................
December 1999 ............................
March 1999 ..................................
September 1998 .............................
September 1997 .............................
October 1996 ..................................
May 1996+ ...................................
December 1995 ............................
June 1995.....................................
October 1994................................
July 1994 ......................................
June 1994.....................................
October 1993................................
March 1993 ..................................
July 1992+ ....................................
May 1992......................................
January 1992+..............................
October 1991+..............................

[237]
R-9
R-10
R-10
R-4
D-2
R-6
R-3
R-1
R-2
D-6
D-16
D-18
D-12
D-13
D-12
D-12
D-14
D-9
D-8
R-2
R-1
D-6
D-1
D-6
D-3
D-6
R-9
D-4
R-4
R-8
R-12
R-8
R-11
R-5
R-5
D-16
D-8
D-6
D-5
R-1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

25
30
26
26
29
32
31
28
29
35
32
31
35
41
43
41
43
40
39
39
39
40
36
37
36
32
37
34
35
31
25
36
26
22
17
22
18
21
22
34
26
29
28
27

25
39
36
36
33
30
37
31
29
36
34
31
29
25
25
26
30
28
27
25
30
32
38
38
30
31
31
31
29
31
34
32
30
30
29
30
29
26
27
18
18
23
23
28

21
15
17
17
19
16
13
18
20
14
16
18
19
14
21
17
17
17
20
17
20
19
15
14
21
24
20
24
26
29
26
15
27
27
29
28
32
39
20
34
35
26
33
26

24
16
18
19
17
20
16
20
20
14
17
18
14
14
8
12
7
10
11
14
7
7
8
7
9
9
6
7
6
6
9
10
14
17
23
16
17
12
28
11
18
17
12
14

5
3
2
2
2
3
3
2
1
2
2
3
6
3
4
3
5
3
5
4
2
2
5
4
4
6
4
4
3
6
7
3
4
2
4
4
2
3
3
3
5
4
5

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Q.13a (contd)

Study #11530b--page 12
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Party
Advantage

Democratic
Party

Republican
Party

Both About
The Same

Neither
Good

Not
Sure

R-5

25

30

14

21

10

R-13
June 2015 * ..................................
R-18
September 2014+ .........................
R-13
September 2013 ...........................
R-6
February 2013 ..............................
R-12
June 2012.....................................
R-11
December 2011 ............................
R-12
April 2011 .....................................
R-6
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
R-9
August 5-9, 2010+ ........................
R-6
March 2010 ..................................
R-6
July 2009 ......................................
D-22
January 2008 ...............................
D-25
July 2007 ......................................
D-19
November 2005 ............................
D-11
January 2004................................
D-13
December 13, 2003 ......................
R-8
September 1997 .............................
R-3
October 1996 ..................................
R-21
June 1995 .......................................
D-4
October 1993 ..................................
D-23
March 1993 .....................................
D-1
April 1992+......................................
R-5
October 1991+ ................................
October 1990+ ........................................... R-2
Protecting Americas interests
on trade issues
R-15
June 2015 * ..................................
D-10
November 2005 .............................
R-11
January 2004..................................
R-5
December 13, 2003 ........................
R-7
December 1995 ................................
R-15
October 1994 ....................................
R-13
July 1994...........................................
R-19
October 1993 ....................................
R-9
July 1992+ ........................................
R-8
May 1992 ..........................................
R-1
January 1992+ ..................................
R-14
October 1991+ ..................................
R-13
October 1990+ ..................................

21
21
22
25
25
23
21
28
24
24
25
42
43
38
37
38
23
29
16
27
39
20
24
25

34
39
35
31
37
34
33
34
33
30
31
20
18
19
26
25
31
32
37
23
16
19
29
27

15
13
18
16
13
18
19
13
15
18
18
17
14
15
18
12
22
11
17
27
23
18
16
19

23
22
22
26
23
22
25
21
25
25
22
15
21
22
15
16
18
19
26
18
18
37
24
23

7
5
3
2
2
3
2
4
3
3
4
6
4
6
4
10
6
9
4
5
4
6
7
6

21
31
25
29
24
22
22
20
23
24
25
22
22

36
21
36
33
31
37
35
39
32
32
26
36
35

16
23
23
19
22
21
25
13
24
21
31
21
24

18
14
10
8
12
11
11
20
15
12
9
10
9

9
11
6
11
11
9
7
8
6
11
9
11
10

Dealing with government

regulation of business
June 2015 ** .................................
Reducing the federal deficit

[243]

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

[241]

[239]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

13b.

Study #11530b--page 13
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Now I'm going to read you two statements about trade agreements with other countries. Please tell me
which one comes closer to your point of view. **
(STATEMENT A:) Trade agreements with other countries have more drawbacks than benefits to the
economy, because they mean that workers in the United States are being replaced by workers in other
countries.
(STATEMENT B:) Trade agreements with other countries have more benefits than drawbacks to the
economy, because they mean that products can be made and sold at lower costs to consumers and U.S.
jobs are being created by American companies that can sell more of their products overseas.
Statement A/more drawbacks than benefits ...........
Statement B/more benefits than drawbacks ...........
Not sure .................................................................

50
42
8

[245]

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

14.

Roughly how much money do you plan to spend on taking a vacation this summerthat is, now through
Labor Day? If you do not plan on taking a vacation this summer, please just say so.

Not taking a vacation/spending nothing ........

Less than $1,000 ..........................................
$1,000 to $1,999 ...........................................
$2,000 to $2,999 ...........................................
$3,000 or more .............................................
Not sure/refused .........................................
Mean
Mean Adults who will take a vacation
Median Adults who will take a vacation

15.

6/15
62
9
9
6
11
3
$953.03
$2,651.32
$1,714.02

6/14
47
15
11
10
11
6
$959.54
$1,926.72
$1,212.09

6/08
51
13
8
7
7
14
$683.85
$1,722.96
$986.81

6/07
48
15
11
9
10
7
$904.70
$1,886.20
$1,116.85

[246-250]

How many vacation DAYS do you plan on taking this summer?

Not taking a vacation/zero days .................
1-7 days .....................................................
8-14 days ...................................................
15 days or more .........................................
Not sure ...................................................
Mean

50
27
14
8
1
5.7

[251-253]

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY THEY WILL SPEND SOME AMOUNT OR WHO SAY DON'T KNOW
IN Q.14)
16a.
For your main vacation this summer, how do you plan to travel to your destination?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

Drive ............................................................
Fly ................................................................
Cruise ship ...................................................
Take a train ..................................................
Some other way .........................................
Will not travel/will stay home (VOL) ...........
Not sure .....................................................
Not taking vacation/spending zero (Q.14)....

June 2015
Adults
All
Taking
Adults
Vacation
21
56
12
32
1
3
1
2
1
2
1
3
1
2
62
NA

CONTINUE

Skip to
FACTUALS

June 2014
Adults
All
Taking
Adults
Vacation
33
61
14
26
1
2
1
1
1
3
6
1
3
47
NA

[254]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

Study #11530b--page 14
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

(ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO GIVE A RESPONSE IN Q.16a)

16b.
And which one or two of the following reasons best describe why you will be using that type of
transportation?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

It's the most convenient option ...............................................

It's the most affordable option ................................................
It's the fastest way to get to where you're going .....................
It's the only option for getting to where you're going ...............
It's the safest option................................................................
Not sure ................................................................................
1
2

6/15
39
24
23
16
3
4

6/14
41
30
20
16
5
2

[255]
>

Results among 282 respondents.

Results among 388 respondents.

FACTUALS: Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

F1.

Are you currently registered to vote? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, REGISTERED," ASK:) A lot of
people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the 2012 election for
president? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, VOTED," ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt
Romney, or someone else?
VotedBarack Obama .......................
VotedMitt Romney...........................
VotedSomeone else ........................
VotedNot sure .................................
No, did not vote .................................
Not registered....................................
Not sure ..........................................

F2.

33
22
8
8
14
14
1

[256-258]

What is the last grade that you completed in school?

Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ...............................................
Some college, no degree .........................................
Vocational training/2-year college............................
4-year college/bachelor's degree .............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree.......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree .........
Doctoral/law degree.................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................

1
6
25
16
12
23
3
11
2
1

[259-260]

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES / PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

June 2015

F3.

Study #11530b--page 15
CNBC AAES Second Quarter Survey

Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a
strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS
"INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the
Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS
"SOMETHING ELSE," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the
Democratic Party, do you think of yourself as strictly independent, or do you think of yourself as something
else?
Strong Democrat ......................................................................
Not very strong Democrat .........................................................
Independent/something else/closer to Democratic Party ..........
Strictly independent ..................................................................
Independent/something else/closer to Republican Party ..........
Not very strong Republican ......................................................
Strong Republican ....................................................................
Something else .........................................................................
Not sure ..................................................................................
Total Democratic
Total Republican

F4.

[261-265]

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider
yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?
Very liberal ........................................
Somewhat liberal...............................
Moderate ...........................................
Somewhat conservative ....................
Very conservative..............................
Not sure ..........................................
Total Liberal
Total Conservative

F5.

17
13
8
20
9
10
12
7
4
38
31

[276/277]

9
14
34
23
13
7
23
36

If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
what would the total be? I'm going to read some income ranges, and please stop me when I reach the range
for your familyless than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars,
between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty
thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars
and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, between one hundred thousand dollars and two hundred thousand dollars, or more than two
hundred thousand dollars?
Less than $10,000 .......................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ....................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ....................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ....................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ....................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ....................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 ..................
Between $100,000 and $200,000 ................
More than $200,000 .....................................
Not sure/refused ........................................

9
8
9
12
8
11
10
15
4
14

[278]