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The main principle of the time

value of money (TVM)

Financial Management [MJJV.10.055]


Valuation concepts:
Time Value of Money. Valuation of securities.

The value of money today is worth more


than the value of money tomorrow.

Kaia Kask, PhD


Researcher in Finance
University of Tartu
tel: 7 376 336, room: A307
e-mail: kaia.kask@ut.ee

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Relevant terms:
Price the amount asked, offered, or paid for
the property; price is a fact.

1000 invested at 7% interest for 100


years will become 1 000 000,
at which time it will be worth absolutely
nothing to you!

Value expresses an economic concept and is


not a fact, but a subjective opinion of
the worth of an asset.
Cost the amount required to acquire or
create an asset; cost is more a fact than
a subjective opinion.

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Abbrevations

Types of interest rates (1)

Present value (PV): an initial value at the beginning


of a period of time.
Future value (FV): a final value at the end of a
period of time.
Number of periods (n): the number of periods
(years) in the total time period.
Periodic interest rate (i): the rate of return earned
during each period n; may also be called the rate of
return (r), or the yield (y).
Growth rate (g) of cash flows, usually constant
growth rate during the cash flow projection period.

Simple interest linear growth; interest earned

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush

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only on the original investment

FV = PV [1 + (i n )]

Compound interest geometric growth;

interest earned on interest

FV = PV (1 + i)

Continuous compounding exponential growth

( )

FV = PV ein
5

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Figure 1. Calculation of future value of


money graphically

The basic rule of compounding:


The more frequently interest is
compounded, the higher the future
value

20

EUR

16
12
8
4
0
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Years

10% - compound interest

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10% - simple interest

10% - continuous compounding

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Types of interest rates (2)

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...rental price for money.


...the time value of consumption.
...opportunity cost.
...expressed in terms of annual rate.
As with any price, interest rates serve to
allocate funds to alternative uses.
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the actual rate of interest earned (paid) after


adjusting the nominal rate for factors such as
the number of compounding periods per year.

EARANNUAL
EARQUARTERLY
EARMONTHLY
EARDAILY (365)

= EAR = 1 + nom 1
m

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10.00%
10.38%
10.47%
10.52%

If m > 1, EAR will always be greater than the


nominal rate and vice versa.

iNOM nominal interest rate


m frequency of calculation of interest per year
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Values of interest rates at various


compounding levels:

Effective annual interest rate, EAR

ieffective

Interest rate is...

Nominal interest rate frequency of interest


calculation is one time per year; stated in
contracts, and quoted by banks and brokers
Effective interest rate frequency of interest
calculation is more than one time per year;
takes account compounding within a year
Real interest rate nominal interest rate
corrected by inflation rate
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Case 1 (EAR)
Effective interest rate in case of continuous
compounding of interest
m

EAR = lim 1 + nom 1 = einom 1


m
m

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Suppose, you are investing 10 000 USD for two


years with nominal interest rate 10,5% per year.
The interest is calculated four times per year
(quarterly).
1. What is the effective annual interest rate of such
kind of investment?
2. How the answer will change in case, when the
interest is calculated only one time only during
the two-years investment horizon?
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1 + inom
1
ireal =
1
+
i
infl

ireal inom iinfl

Ordinary cash flow


(cash flows in every single period differ from
each other)
Annuity
(ordinary annuity and annuity due or rent
annuity)
Growing annuity
Perpetuity
Growing perpetuity

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Ordinary annuity payments or receipts occur at


the end of each period.
Annuity due payments or receipts occur at the
beginning of each period.

A perpetuity is a constant cash flow at regular


intervals lasting forever.

At a given time period the higher is the interest rate


(or discount rate), the smaller is present value and vice
versa, the smaller is the interest rate (or discount rate),
the bigger is the present value.
What is the value of 500 after 5 years in case the interest
rate (or discount rate) is 10%? 15?
Interest rate = 10% PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 310.46
Interest rate = 15% PV = 500 / (1.15)5 = 248.58

At a given interest rate the longer the time period,


the smaller the present value and vice versa, the
shorter the time period, the bigger the present value.
What ise the value of 500 after 5 years? 10 years? in case
the interest rate (or discount rate) is 10% in both cases?

A growing perpetuity is a constant cash flow

5 years: PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 310.46


10 years: PV = 500 / (1.1)10 = 192.77

that is expected to grow at a constant rate forever.


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Important relations:

An annuity represents a series of equal


payments (or receipts) occurring over a
specified number of equidistant periods.

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Cash flow models

Calculation basis of real interest rate, rreal

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The basic assumptions in calculations


In case there is not said otherwise, then:
1) all cash flows are assumed to appear at the end of
each period (i.e, a year, half-year, quarter, month,
day);
2) there is used only nominal interest rate in the
time value of money interest factor formulas (NB!
with some minor exceptions!);
3) all calculations must be based on comparable and
equivalent input data.
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Future value of money.

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Future value interest factor, FVIF

FVIFi,n = (1 + i)

Case 2 (future value, FV)

In 1626 Peter Minuit, a Dutchman, purchased


Manhattan Island from Native Americans for 24 USD
worth of trinkets, beads and knives. Suppose the
deal was made in cash and the same Indians invested this money with interest rate 8% per year. What
would be the value of the invested sum today?
FVn = CF(1+i)n
FV380 = 24 (1.08)380 = 120 trillion USD

nm

i
FVIFi,n = 1 +
m

[( )]

FVIFi,n = e in

i nominal interest rate


n number of years
m frequency of calculation of interest per year
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With interest rate 6% the value would be today:


FV380 = 24 (1.06)380 = 99 trillion USD
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Case 3 (future value, FV)

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Solution (future value, FV)

Suppose that you are planning to deposit the


money as follows: one year from now 100 EUR,
two years from now 200 EUR, three years from now
300 EUR, four years from now 400 EUR and five
years from now 500 EUR. What ise the sum of the
money accumulated to the deposit during the five
years in case the bank deposit interest rate is 5%
during the whole period and the interest is
compounded annually?
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5%

100 (1,05)4

200 (1,05)3 300 (1,05)2 400 (1,05)1 500


420.00
330.75
+

231.53
121.55

= 1603.83
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Future value interest factor of an


annuity, FVIFA

Future value interest factor of growing


annuity, FVIFGA

(1 + i)n 1
FVIFAi,n =

FVIFGA i,n, g

= n(1 + i)

i
SFFi,n =
(1 + i)n 1
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(1 + i)n (1 + g )n
=
, if i g
ig

n 1

] , if i = g

g growth rate
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Theory of discounting
Exponential (E) discounting model of compound
interest
1
FVn
FV
PVo =
= FVn
i = n n 1
n
n
PVo
(1 + i)
(1 + i)

Present value of money.

Hyperbolic (H) discounting model of simple


interest
FVn
1
FVn
PV
PVo =
i= o
n
1
(1 + i n)

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Case 4 (present value)

Present value interest factor, PVIF

Suppose that your 5-year old daughter has just announced


her desire to attend a college. After some research, you
determine that you will need about 100 000 EUR on her 18th
birthday to pay for four years of college.
If you can earn 8% per year on your investments, how much
do you need to invest today to achieve your goal?

1
PVIFi, n =
n
(1 + i)

Solution

PVo =
i interest, discount rate, cost of capital or required rate of return
n number of years
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PVo =
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CFn
(1 + i)n
100 000

(1 + 0.08)13

= 36 769,79 EUR

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Solution (present value)

Case 5 (present value)


0.

Suppose, you are considering investment with cash


flows as follows: first year 200 USD, second year
400 USD, third year 600 USD and fourth year 800
USD.
In case your, as an investor, required rate of return
from that investment is 12%, what would be the
maximum amount of money what you are willing to
pay today for such cash flow?

1.

2.

3.

4.

200

400

600

800

12%

178.57
318.88
427.07
508.41

1432.93
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Case 6 (present value)


A friend offers you an investment opportunity, where
investing today 100 USD, you will receive one year from now
40 USD and for two years from now 75 USD. In case, the
required rate of return according to the risk of the
investment is 15%, will you accept the offer?

Solution:

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Case 7 (present value of annuity)


Suppose you are receiving 800 EUR at the end of
each month during the next four years. What is
the present value of such cash flow in case the
investors effective required rate of return is 12%
(EAR) and the interest is calculated monthly?

Calculate the present value of expected future cash flows:


PVo = 40/(1.15) + 75/(1.15)2 = 91.49 USD
Compare the present value of cash flow with initial investment
offering.
Decision?
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Change the effective interest rate to nominal:

iNOM =

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Present value in terms of continuously


compounded interest rate

Solution (present value of annuity)

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12

1 + 0,12 1 12 = 0,00948879 12 = 11,39%

PVo =

Present value of ordinary annuity:

1 (1 + 0,009488 )48
PVA o = 800
0,009488

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= 800 38,41184 = 30 729,47 EUR

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e = lim 1 +
m
m

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FVn
ein

mn

= 2.71828

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The graph of loan amortization with


equal payments

Case 8 (loan amortization)


You are willing to take bank loan 300 000 EUR
with nominal interest rate 4%. Loan term will
be five years and during this time, the loan
will amortize totally with equal payments.
How much interest (in dollars) you must to
pay during the whole loan term?

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The graph of loan amortization with


equal payments of initial loan sum
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

PVA o =

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Algjk Laenumakse Intress Phisumma Lppjk


300 000
67 388
12 000
55 388
244 612
244 612
67 388
9 784
57 604
187 008
187 008
67 388
7 480
59 908
127 100
127 100
67 388
5 084
62 304
64 796
64 796
67 388
2 592
64 796
0
36 941

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Present value interest factor of an


annuity, PVIFA

Algjk Phisumma Intress Laenumakse Lppjk


300 000
60 000
12 000
72 000
240 000
240 000
60 000
9 600
69 600
180 000
180 000
60 000
7 200
67 200
120 000
120 000
60 000
4 800
64 800
60 000
60 000
60 000
2 400
62 400
0
36 000

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Loan value
300 000
=
= 67 388 EUR
PVIFA5y,4% 4,451822

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1 (1 + i)n 1

1
=
PVIFAi,n =
n
i

i i (1 + i)

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Present value interest factor of growing


annuity, PVIFGA

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Present value of perpetuity, PVP

1 + g n

1
1
1 1+g 1+i
PVIFGA i,n, g =

, if i g
=

ig
i g i g 1 + i

n
=
, if i = g
1 + r

PVPo =

CF
i

CF cash flow of perpetuity


i nominal interest rate

g growth rate
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Present value of growing perpetuity,


PVGP

Case 9 (present value of perpetuity)


Consider the perpetuity of one dollar every
period your friend promises to pay you.
The interest rate or discount rate is 8.5%.

PVGPo =

Solution
PVo =

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1 USD
= 11.765 USD
0,085
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CF1 cash flow of perpetuity at period 1


g growth rate
i nominal interest rate
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Case 10
(present value of growing perpetuity)

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PVGPo =

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Suppose you have been offered an investment


opportunity that allows you to double the invested
sum after 6 years. You have currently available to
invest 10 000 EUR.

FV
1
PV

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400
400
=
= 57 234,50 EUR
0,009488 0,0025 0,006988

Case 11 (discount rate)

What would be the annual interest rate on the


investment?

FV
ln
PV
n=
ln(1 + i)
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Present value of growing perpetuity:

Formulas for finding the interest rate


and number of periods

i=n

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Solution

Suppose you are receiving at the end of each


month 400 EUR and which grows every
month per 0,25%. What is the present value
of the cash flow with investors effective
interest rate 12%, compounded monthly?

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CFo (1 + g ) CF1
=
ig
ig

i = (FV / PV)1/n 1 = (20,000 / 10,000)1/6 1 =


0.122462 = 12.25%
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Case 12 (time value of money)


You are planning the consumption for your retirement and
you will find that you could need another 700 EUR in
addition to government pension. Suppose you will retire
at the age of 65 and you hope to get the pension at least
for 20 years. For that purpose you are going to save the
certain amount of money, starting from the age of 25. The
nominal interest rate of your deposited money is 10% per
year, compounded monthly. Let assume, for simplicity,
that there is no taxes and inflation.

Valuation of bonds.

Please find, what is the amount of money you should


deposit every month during these 40 years to your savings
account in order to allow yourself such additional
consumption plan during the retirement (assuming also
monthly withdrawing)?
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Possible components of the investors


required rate of return

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Classification of bonds...
...according to term:
...according to issuance:
Commercial bonds
Govenrmental bonds
Municipal bonds

...according to interest payments:


Fixed interest rate
Variable interest rate
0-coupon bond

...according to collateral:
Secured bond
Unsecured bond
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Valuation formula of the bond

Bond characteristics/attributes:

The value of the bond derives from the sum of the


present value of bonds periodical interest
payments and its nominal value at the end of the
term.

Nominal value
Coupon rate
Term

Important relations:

In case the bonds coupon rate = market interest rate,


the bond is sold on a market near its nominal value.
In case the bonds coupon rate < market interest rate,
the bond is sold on the market under its nominal value
(i.e., with discount).
In case the bonds coupon rate > market interest rate,
the bond is sold on the market above its nominal value
(i.e., with premium).
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Short-term (money market instruments)


Long-term (capital market instruments)

Risk-free rate (compensation for postponing the


consumption and decreasing purchasing power)
Real risk free rate
Inflation premium
Risk premium (compensation for risktaking)
Size of the risk
Investors risk tolerance
Premium to cover the taxes and trading costs
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INTt
Mn
+
t
(1 + YTM)n
t =1 (1 + YTM)

Vb =
Vb
INTt
Mn
t
n
YTM
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value of the bond


interest payments at the year t
nominal value of the bond
number of periods from 1 up to n
bonds term to maturity
yield to maturity, market rate of return
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Case 13 (bond valuation)

Macaulay duration, MD
n

The required rate of return of the investor is 15% per year.


There are four different types of bonds described as follows:
Bond A without the term, carries only coupon interest
payments 120 per year.
Bond B term to maturity is 5-years, the nominal value is
1200, no interest payments.
Bond C 0-coupon bond (no interest payments) with
nominal value 1000 and term to maturity 6 years.
Bond D term to maturity 2 years, nominal value 1000,
interest payments 50, twice per year.
Please find: (1) what ise the maximum amount of price an
investor is willing to pay for above-described bond-types; (2)
rank the bonds according to their duration (from shorter to
longer).

t CFt

(1 + YTM)

D=

t =1
n

CFt

(1 + YTM)

t =1

CFt cash flow at period t


YTM discount rate
t
time weighting from 1 up to n
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Type of shares
Common stock confirms the ownership of the
company, gives the owner the right to vote for
decisions in shareholders general meeting of the
company, gives the right to get a share from the
profit (dividends).
Preferred stock ownership confirming hybid-type
of security (bond + common share), a share
without the voting right, gives the privilege in
getting dividend payments and in distribution of
assets after the companys activity

Valuation of shares.

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Types of values of shares

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Valuation models of the common shares

Nominal value
Accounting value
Market value ( market price, usually)
Fair value (= market value, usually; an accounting
term)

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Value of the common share derives from the


future cash flows from the share investment,
mainly from the dividends.
There are three main valuation models:
Dividends are not growing
Dividend growth is constant
Dividend growth is variable

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10

Valuation of common shares (1)

Valuation of common shares (2)

No dividend growth (similar to preferred stock):

Vo =

Common share with constant dividend growth (Gordons


dividend growth model):

Do
Ke

Vo =

V0 value of common share


D0 dividend per year
Ke investors required rate of return (discount rate)

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D1 expected (next year) dividend payment per year


Ke investors required rate of return (discount rate)
g constant dividend growth rate per year
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Common stock with variable growth of dividends


(multiple period model):

Dt
t
t =1 (1 + K e )

Vo =

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In case the required rate of return of the investor is


10% per year and the last dividend payment (Do) of the
company was 2 USD per share, what will be the market
value of one share of the company?
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Solution (1)

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D1

D2

D3

D4

(1 + K e ) (1 + K e )2 (1 + K e )3 (1 + K e )4

D5
Ke g
+
(1 + K e )4

V0 =

D 4 (1 + g 3 )
D 0 (1 + g 1 ) D1 (1 + g1 ) D 2 (1 + g 2 ) D 3 (1 + g 2 )
Ke g
V0 =
+
+
+
+
(1 + K e ) (1 + K e )2 (1 + K e )3 (1 + K e )4 (1 + K e )4

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Solution (2)

Solution formula:

V0 =

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The growth of the companies income at first 2 years is


negative, i.e., 5% per year, thereafter the next 2 years
the growth will be 0% and since the 5th year, there
would be expected 6% per year in perpetuity.

D n+1
K g
+ e
(1 + K e )n

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Case 14 (valuation of common stock with


variable growth of dividends)

Valuation of common shares (3)

D1
D (1 + g)
= o
Ke g
Ke g

65

2(1 0.05) 1,90(1 0.05) 1.805(1 + 0 ) 1.805(1 + 0 )


+
+
+
+
(1.1)
(1.1)2
(1.1)3
(1.1)4

1.805(1 + 0.06 )
0.1 0.06 =
(1.1)4

1.9133
1.90 1.805 1.805 1.805
0.04 =
+
+
+
+
1.1
1.12
1.13
1.14
1.14

= 1,7273 + 1.4917 + 1.3561 + 1.2328 + 32.67 = 38.47 USD

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Solution (3)

Valuation of preferred stock

Graphically expressed solution:


0

g = 5%

D0=2.00

g = 5%

D1=1.90

D2=1.805

0.9091

g=0

g=0

D3=1.805

0.8264

0.7513

gn = 6%

D4=1.805

5
D5=1.913

Vp =

0.6830

1.727
1.492
1.356
1.233

P4 =

1.913
= 47.825
0.10 0.06

P0 = 38.47 USD
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Kp

Vp value of preferred stock


Dp dividend per year (constant cash flow)
Kp investors required rate of return (discount rate)

32.665

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Dp

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