Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Prepared by
Ferris J. Ritchey
University of Alabam a at Birm ingham *
______________________________
* M aterials retained from the first edition of this manual were prepared with the assistance of Lynn B.
Gerald, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of M edicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham.
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Chapter 2
Chapter 3
Chapter 4
Measuring Averages
Chapter 5
Chapter 6
Chapter 7
Chapter 8
Chapter 9
Chapter 10 Hypothesis Testing II: Single Sample Hypothesis Tests: Establishing the
Representativeness of Samples
Chapter 11 Bivariate Relationships: t-test for Comparing the Means of Two Groups
Chapter 12 Analysis of Variance: Differences Am ong Means of Three or More Groups
Chapter 13 Nominal Variables: The Chi-Square and Binomial Distributions
Chapter 14 Bivariate Correlation and Regression Part 1: Concepts and Calculations
Chapter 15 Bivariate Correlation & Regression Part 2: Hypothesis Testing and Aspects
of a Relationship
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Page
10
Informing Students about the Feedback System and Guidance on How to Succeed
11
12
13
Sample Syllabi
14
25
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
The remaining files of this Instructors Manual supply chapter-by-chapter course materials,
including:
1. An outline of chapter and lecture objectives
2. A lecture with references to overhead transparencies and PowerPoint slides.
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
8. Chapter Objectives for each chapter are available on the Web site under Student Resources.
These chapter objectives are a good starting point for study of an assigned chapter. Each
objective starts with a Study Guide for students.
9. Key Terms (glossaries) are available for each chapter on the Web site under Student Resources.
10. Flash Cards for testing mastery of terms and concepts for each chapter are available on the Web
site under Student Resources.
11. Self-Assessment Quizzes for each chapter are available on the Web site under Student Resources.
How an Instructor Can Provide Feedback Without Sacrificing His or Her Personal Life
Experienced instructors of statistics courses know that requiring extensive exercises is necessary
for student success, yet this creates unusual demands on an instructors or laboratory assistants time. The
feedback system described here solves this dilemma. It makes students responsible for correcting their
own papers.
,
First, take note that in The Statistical Imagination, for each chapter there are four parallel sets of
pencil-and-paper exercises. This allows an instructor to vary assignments from class section to
class section and from term to term. Complete assignment keys for every one of these exercises
are provided in the Solutions Manual in the instructors section of this Web site.
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
,
Require weekly assignments that are due the class day following completion of a lecture on a
chapters material. Even if computers are used as the main calculator for the course, require the
students to complete some pencil-and-paper exercises in order to learn the algorithm of a
procedure and gain a sense of proportion about the equations.
Use the following easy quick check method for scoring assignments:
Assign a T+ (good comprehension and complete), T (satisfactory and complete), T(unsatisfactory), or zero (incomplete or very unsatisfactory). Do not spend great amounts of time
red inking the assignments. Simply circle or otherwise identify incorrect parts.
Return graded assignments at the next class. From the Solutions Manual, print the chapters pdf
file and make these complete assignment keys available to students. Students may then use the
keys to make their own corrections. An excellent way is to post the keys in a Plexiglas covered
bulletin board near the instructors office. This thorough feedback from the keys reinforces and
supplements learning. Through class testing, it has been established that the availability of
assignment keys does not compromise the next terms work as long as examinations are given
closed-book and assignments are only awarded so much credit toward the final grade (e.g., 15-20
percent). Making keys public is not a problem. The keys are like music scores. Simply having a
music score in hand does not mean one can play music. Similarly, if a student does not practice
problem solving, having a copy of the key is useless.
Collect assignments on Day 1 of the week. The easy-to-do quick check assignment grading
method allows return of assignments on Day 2.
At the next class or in lab (Day 3), quiz students on that chapters material.
<
Quiz items may be selected from the Test Bank.
<
The quizzes can be short (10-20 minutes). Give them closed-book, providing only
photocopies of formulas and guides that appear on the inside covers of the text, as well as
statistical tables from text Appendix B. Collect the quizzes five minutes after the first
completed quiz is turned in. Distribute clean copies of the quiz and immediately present
and discuss the answers (or have students do so).
<
The remaining lab time is spent going over the assignment due at the next class. Have
students in groups of 3 to 4 put present solutions to chapter exercises on the board.
Give three to five in-term examinations as well as a final examination. All examinations are given
closed-book except for photocopies of test selection guides and formulas on the inside covers of
the text and statistical tables in Appendix B.
The Test Bank that accompanies The Statistical Imagination provides conceptual questions in the
form of multiple-choice, true-false, and matching items. It also provides calculation exercises
framed like chapter exercises and short answer/essay questions. The Test Bank also includes
answers to all test items.
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
The following table presents the general schedule of the assignment-quiz-examination regimen. The
coverage of chapter 1 is highlighted to reveal the general pattern for a chapter.
W eek
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3 or Lab
Chapter 1
Chapter 1
Assign chapter 1 exercises
Chapter 1
M ath review;
W ork on Chapter 1
assignment
Chapter 2
Chapter 2
Collect chapter 1 assignment
Assign chapter 2 exercises
Chapter 2
Return corrected chapter
1 assignment
Quiz on Chapter 1
W ork on Chapter 2
assignment
Chapter 3
Chapter 3
Collect chapter 2 assignment
Chapter 3
Return corrected chapter 2
assignment
Quiz on Chapter 2
W ork on Chapter 3
assignment
Etc.
On the next page is an example of a course schedule that should be provided with the course
syllabus. (Complete sample syllabi are provided below for courses with and without use of computers.)
While initially this schedule appears intimidating to average students, it communicates to them the
importance of giving priority to the course.
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Day 1
Day 2
1. Chapter 1
(Specify dates)
1. W hat is science?
2. Chapter 2
1. Asgmt. 1 due
2. W hat is statistics?
1. Statistical error
2. Organizing and
coding data
3. Chapter 3
1. Asgmt. 2 due
2. Graphing
1. Graphing (cont.)
4. Chapters 4 & 5
1. Asgmt. 3 due
2. Measuring averages
1. Distribution curves
2. Dispersion (Ch. 5)
5. Chapter 5 (cont)
and exam
1. Asgmt. 4 due
2. Dispersion (cont.)
First Examination on
W eeks 1-3 M aterial
6. Chapter 6
1. Asgmt. 5 due
2. Basic probability
1. Partitioning the
normal curve
7. Chapter 7
1. Asgmt. 6 due
2. Sampling distributions
1. Degrees of freedom
8. Chapter 8
1. Asgmt. 7 due
2. Confidence intervals
1. Confidence intervals
(cont.)
9. Chapters 9 & 10
1. Asgmt. 8 due
2. Hypothesis testing (Ch. 9)
1. Large single-sample
means test (Ch.9)
10. Chapter 10
(cont.) and exam
1. Asgmt. 9 due
2. Single sample tests (cont.)
Second Examination on
W eeks 4-8 M aterial
11. Chapter 11
(cont.) & 12
1. Asgmt. 10 due
2. Testing for sample
representativeness (Ch. 10)
12. Chapter 12
1. Asgmt. 11 due
2. ANOVA calculations
1. ANOVA hypothesis
test
13. Chapter 13
and exam
1. Asgmt. 12 due
2. Chi-square test
Third Examination on
W eeks 9-11 M aterial
14. Chapters 14
(cont.) & 15
1. Asgmt. 13 due
2. Chapter 14 (cont.)
Chapter 15
15. Chapter 15
(cont.)
1. Chapter 15 (cont.)
1. Asgmt. 14 due
2. Final exam review
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
While this regimen of assignments, quizzes, and examinations requires a lot of work on the
students part, it is an effective way to teach statistics without dumbing down and without sacrificing
statistical principals. The quick-check method of scoring assignments, together with availability of keys,
not only makes it easy on the instructor, but also encourages students to correct their work. This
procedure motivates students to perfect their assignments before turning them in, because they know they
will have to work some more on them anyway to prepare for quizzes. After a couple of weeks, the serious
students know how to maximize this system for preparing for the closed-book examinations. For less
serious or math anxious students, especially if the course is required, the pedagogical structure engenders
discipline. In addition, the incremental way topics are introduced in the text allows students to succeed
early on and this reduces math anxiety. These factors combined lead marginal students to do much better
than expected in the course.
To eliminate math anxiety, Chapter 1 starts with a review of proportions and percentages, but this
is framed as proportional thinking--simply a balanced way of looking at things. Chapter 1-3
exercises (on proportions, frequency distributions, and graphing) allow students to enjoy early
success with assignments. This thorough review of proportions and percentages facilitates
instruction on probability theory, sampling distributions, p-values, Types I and II Error, etc. At
the same time, students become oriented to the feedback system without feeling overwhelmed.
To foster linear thinking and proportional thinking skills, take plenty of time to explain the
standard deviation and standardized scores (Chapter 5) and have students work many problems
partitioning areas under the normal curve (Chapter 6).
Actually generate at least two sampling distributions in class, such as the bean sampling exercises
of chapter 7. This reifies the concepts of sampling distribution and repeated sampling.
Thereafter, students are able to fully and easily grasp the place of these concepts in hypothesis
testing.
On every hypothesis test presented on assignments, quizzes, and examinations, require students to
produce the details of the six steps of statistical inference--especially drawing the sampling
distribution curve in step 2. Repeating this procedure brings all students along. Some will grasp
the details immediately (Chapter 9). By Chapter 11, every student who is truly working hard will
have grasped the logic. Thereafter, the instructor is able to cruise through the remaining chapters,
because the pedagogical aspects of the six steps will be second nature to students. Thus, in later
chapters on bivariate analysis, an instructor may concentrate on conceptual issues related to
hypothesis testing and research ideas.
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Targeting Results to the Proper Audience. Throughout the text, discussions are included on
how to present results to both scientific and public audiences. In addition, chapters provide
examples of tabular presentation.
Overcoming Conceptual Hurdles. Conceptual hurdles are identified and many devices are
employed to get students past them. Such devices include a thorough delineation of the standard
deviation, extensive coverage of standardized scores and sampling distributions, and a clear
explanation of degrees of freedom. The chapters of this Instructors Manual provide specific
class-tested ways to reify concepts.
Six Steps of Statistical Inference. The logical procedures of hypothesis testing are consistently
presented as the six steps of statistical inference. Every statistical test is illustrated within this
framework. A Brief Checklist of the Six Steps of Statistical Inference precedes the first
hypothesis test in each of Chapters 9-15. For bivariate tests (Chapters 11-15), the write-up of
results is framed as Four Aspects of a Relationship (i.e., existence, direction, strength, and
practical applications). These aspects provide a guide for presenting information as well as a
sense of closure by reassuring students that they have covered all bases.
<
Complete examples of each statistical procedure. Adhering to the six steps of
statistical inference and four aspects of a relationship, complete examples keep students
informed of what is expected on assignments and examinations. Distinctions between
givens and calculations facilitate problem solving.
<
The null hypothesis. To avoid vagaries and inconsistencies of the concept null
hypothesis, its meaning is thoroughly covered in the text. The importance of viewing it as
a statistical hypothesis is emphasized. That is, the null hypothesis is the one that
generates the sampling distribution.
10
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
,
Guidelines on Choosing the Proper Statistical Test. Each hypothesis test is preceded by a box
describing when to use a test (i.e., number of samples, level of measurements of variables, sample
size, etc.). A cumulative tree diagram for selecting statistical procedures is presented at the end of
each chapter. The complete diagram is presented on the front inside book cover.
Highlighting of Important Terms and Formulas. Concepts and formulas are boxed throughout
for easy review and each chapter has a summary of formulas. The Index is thorough. Symbols
and formulas are listed on the back inside book cover.
Conceptual Diagrams. To teach students to think proportionally, all hypothesis tests are
presented with conceptual diagrams that distinguish populations and parameters from samples
and statistics.
Statistical Follies and Fallacies. Consistent with the error control theme, each chapter presents
common (and often comical) misinterpretations of statistics in everyday life and by mass media
and researchers.
11
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Emotions can arise also among students without math anxiety, but who are resentful of the
demands of a statistics course. For most social science students, a statistics course is the most demanding
one they will encounter. The time required for this course is great. Some students will not anticipate the
demands. Others will be unable to rearrange class or work schedules to accommodate the demands.
Moreover, it is difficult to game the system with this course. A student cannot make a half hearted
effort or confidently work for a C. Grade distributions for this course tend to be bimodal,
distinguishing those who give full effort from those who do not. Some students will become angry about
having to give a full effort. These anxieties are best dealt with up front in a first day discussion of how to
succeed in the course.
Put your perceived weaknesses in math aside. The course starts with simple calculations and
builds on them. If you work hard and keep up, the math will not be an issue. Start by reviewing
basic mathematical procedures in Appendix A. This course and its text is designed for early
success to ease your fears.
Organize class notes, study notes, assignments, returned papers, etc., in a three-ring binder. This
allows corrected materials and returned papers to be inserted in their proper place and makes
examination preparation highly efficient.
Never miss a class or lab session. The material in this course is cumulative. Everything learned
early on is applied in later chapters. Each chapter is a link in a chain, and a chain is only as strong
as its weakest link. Keep up and this course is fun. Get behind and this course becomes
unnecessarily troublesome.
In this course, do not be afraid to give back what is in the book. Complete sample exercises are
provided for all procedures and there is a summary of formulas at the end of each chapter.
Exercises and tables distinguish between givens, information provided by a research problem,
and calculations, what must be done to complete the problem. Follow the form of these
exercises and show the work as well as the answer. In fact, answers to some of the problems
are provided in Appendix C in order that you may check your progress at home. A lifeless
computer can also generate answers. Proper interpretation of the answer is what is important and
detailed work is necessary for learning the logic behind a procedure.
12
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
,
This course has a feedback system that allows you to practice working problems before you are
tested on them. In this course there are weekly assignments and quizzes designed to prepare
students for major examinations.
<
Assignments are returned the class day after they are turned in, after which complete
assignment keys are made available so that you may correct your exercises. Review the
assignment keys to see where any knowledge gaps exist.
<
A quiz on this material follows soon after. Both assignments and quizzes provide the
specific expectations of what will occur on examinations. Thus, the assignments may be
viewed as rehearsals, the quizzes as dress rehearsals, and the examinations as
performances.
<
Work hard on assignments and quizzes so that you can make your mistakes there where
they do not count for much. If you follow this feedback system, you will not only
succeed but likely make an A or B in the course. This course tends to have what we will
later call a bimodal distribution of grades. Students either do very well or very poorly.
You cant shoot for a C. Play the game and work hard and you are likely to make an A.
Goof off and you are likely to make an F. It is difficult pass this course with a halfhearted effort.
Turn in work on time. Go over returned assignments and correct them immediately. Since
assignment keys are made available the class day after an assignment is turned in, papers cannot
be accepted late.
Ask for assistance when needed. There is no such thing as a stupid question in this course, but
failing to ask is stupid.
Accept the fact that this course is fun. Concentrated effort will be rewarded not only in terms of a
grade but also in terms of learning valuable job skills.
13
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Now let us talk about some specific ways to go about learning statistics and doing well in this
course. First, take advantage of the study guides and supplements available on The Statistical Imagination
Web site. Start with the Overview of Chapter Objectives and Study Guide that is provided for each
chapter in the Student Resources section of the Web site. The study guide provides students with an
organized way to master material and self-test in preparation for quizzes and exams.
[Post Transparency Overview-1 and read over it emphasizing important points. Then post Transparency
Overview-2 and do the same.]
[To complete your first day in class, take a few moments to tell the class a little about yourself. Tell
students where you were born and raised, went to college, your specialty areas, your research interests,
and a little about your personal life, such as family, hobbies, favorite music, and past times. Start by
saying that studies of student performance reveal that students are less intimidated by instructors who
share personal interests. Tell students your intention is to humanize yourself so that students will not
hesitate to come to you for help. If a lab instructor is to take major responsibility for meeting with
students, he/she should also talk some.]
[If time permits and the class is relatively small (say, less than 40 students), ask students, if they wish, to
introduce themselves and tell a little about themselves (e.g., name, hometown, major, career plans). So
that you will know when a student has finished, ask them to conclude by telling us their favorite dessert.]
14
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
4) GRADING: Source
Percent of Grade
11 short quizzes
13 weekly assignments
Four in-class exams
Final exam (partly comprehensive)
TOTAL
15
20
40
25
100
WEEKLY ASSIGNMENTS AND QUIZZES: Assignments and lab quizzes provide previews and
practice for exams and are designed to encourage students to keep up with course material. Keys to
assignments are provided after assignments are returned; therefore, under no circumstances can an
assignment be accepted late. The lowest quiz grade will be dropped. See the attached pages for due dates.
For study and test preparation, make sure you understand all unassigned study m aterial as well as
the assigned material. That is, pay special attention to all chapter questions.
SPECIAL W ARNING: DO NOT MISS AN EXAM! Makeup exams are given on the day of the
final exam. They are made difficult to neutralize any advantage a student gains from extra study
time. Make-up exams are seldom passed.
15
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
Page 2 of 5
5) ATTENDANCE IS REQUIRED
Only a fool would miss a class or lab session in this course. This class requires consistent diligent
effort. Absences create insurmountable catch-up problems for the student, and course
management problems for the instructors. For the benefit of all, absences are strongly
discouraged. However, this course will come easy to anyone who keeps up, gets help when needed,
and attends all classes and labs.
Total absences from class or lab result in the following deduction in points from your final course grade:
Number of
absences
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Deductions
Full attendance will push up a borderline course grade
Forgiven, but will not push up a borderline grade. Save this for a real emergency!
2 points
6 points
10 points
15 points
20 points
A course grade of F, irrespective of earned course points on assignments, quizzes, and exams.
16
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
Page 3 of 5
Tuesday
Thursday
Friday Lab
1. W hat is science?
2. W hat is statistics?
1. Levels of measurement
2. Frequency distributions
1. Graphing interval/ratio
1. Distribution curves
1. Quiz on Ch. 3
2. Variability (Ch. 5)
5. Feb. 1, 3, 4
2. Measuring Averages
(Ch.4)
1. Z-scores (Ch. 5)
1. Partitioning curves(Ch.6)
EXAM 1: (2/4/05)
EXAM 2: (2/17/05)
2. Sampling (Ch. 7)
1. Confidence intervals
1. Quiz on Ch. 7
Ch. 8
9. Mar. 1, 3, 4
2. Confidence intervals
1. Asgmt. for Ch. 8 due
Ch. 9
10. Mar. 8, 10, 11
2. Hypothesis testing
EXAM 3: (3/8/05)
Ch. 10
11. Mar. 15, 17, 18
variables
1.
2.
1.
2.
1.
1. Quiz on Ch. 9
2. Sample
representativeness
1. Asgmt. for Ch. 10 due
Ch. 11
13. Mar. 28April 1
14. Apr. 5, 7, 8
Ch. 13 (except pp.
437-447); Ch. 14
15. Apr. 12, 14, 15
2. Aspects of a relationship
Spring Break
1. Chi-square test
2. Chi-square test
Chs. 14, 15
1. Correlation and
regression: hypothesis
testing
1. Asgmt. for Ch. 14-15
due
No class
10:45 AM - 1:15 PM
17
1. Quiz on Ch 10
Its Over!
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
Page 4 of 5
Weekly Assignments
ASSIGNMENT
CHAPTER QUESTIONS
CHAPTER
EXERCISES
Ch. 1
Chap. 1: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11
Problem Set 1A
Ch. 2
Chap. 4: 1, 4, 5, 7, 9, 14
numbers 1, 2, 5
Problem Set 4A,
Ch. 3
Ch. 4-5
Problem Set 2A
numbers 1, 3, 5, 6, 8;
Entire Chapter 1
1/11/05
1/18/05
2/8/05
1/25/05
Ch. 8
Chap. 8: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8
Ch. 9
Chap. 9: 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 15
Ch. 10
Ch. 11
Chap. 13: 1, 2, 5
numbers 2, 3, 4, 7
Problem Set 8A,
numbers 1, 2, 4, 6, 7
Problem Set 9A, numbers
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8a
Problem Set 10A,
numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 6a
numbers 3, 5
numbers 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 8
Ch. 14-15
APPLICATIONS
DUE
DATE
Assignment
Ch. 7
Ch. 13
COMPUTER
Chap. 14: 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10
numbers 1, 2
Problem Set 15A,
numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
18
2/15/05
Chap. 7: Exercise 1
2/22/05
3/1/05
3/15/05
3/22/05
4/5/05
4/12/05
4/21/05
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
Page 5 of 5
19
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Percent
15
20
40
25
100
of Grade
(about 1.4% each)
(about 1.5% each)
(Feb. 4; Feb. 17; Mar. 8; Apr. 8)
(April 28, 10:45 AM - 1:15 PM)
WEEKLY ASSIGNMENTS AND QUIZZES: Assignments and lab quizzes provide previews and
practice for exams and are designed to encourage students to keep up with course material. Keys to
assignments are provided after assignments are returned; therefore, under no circumstances can an
assignment be accepted late. The lowest quiz grade will be dropped. See the attached pages for due
dates. For study and test preparation, make sure you understand all unassigned study m aterial as
well as the assigned material. That is, pay special attention to all chapter questions.
SPECIAL W ARNING: DO NOT MISS AN EXAM! Makeup exams are given on the day of the
final exam. They are made difficult to neutralize any advantage a student gains from extra study
time. Make-up exams are seldom passed.
20
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
Page 2 of 4
5) ATTENDANCE IS REQUIRED
Only a fool would miss a class or lab session in this course. This class requires consistent
diligent effort. Absences create insurmountable catch-up problems for the student, and
course management problems for the instructors. For the benefit of all, absences are
strongly discouraged. However, this course will come easy to anyone who keeps up, gets
help when needed, and attends all classes and labs.
Total absences from class or lab result in the following deduction in points from your final course grade:
Number of
absences
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
exams.
Deductions
Full attendance will push up a borderline course grade
Forgiven, but will not push up a borderline grade. Save this for a real emergency!
2 points
6 points
10 points
15 points
20 points
A course grade of F, irrespective of earned course points on assignments, quizzes, and
21
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
Page 3 of 4
Tuesday
Thursday
Friday Lab
1. Jan. 4, 6, 7
Ch. 1
1. W hat is science?
2. W hat is statistics?
1.
2.
1.
2.
1. Levels of measurement
2. Frequency distributions
1. Graphing interval/ratio
variables
1. Distribution curves
2. Variability (Ch. 5)
5. Feb. 1, 3, 4
1. Z-scores (Ch. 5)
EXAM 2: (2/17/05)
2. Sampling (Ch. 7)
1. Confidence intervals
1. Quiz on Ch. 7
Ch. 8
9. Mar. 1, 3, 4
2. Confidence intervals
1. Asgmt. for Ch. 8 due
Ch. 9
10. Mar. 8, 10, 11
2. Hypothesis testing
EXAM 3: (3/8/05)
Ch. 10
11. Mar. 15, 17, 18
1. Quiz on Ch. 9
2. Sample representativeness
1. Equality of variances
Ch. 11
2. Aspects of a relationship
Spring Break
1. Asgmt. for Ch. 11 due
2. Chi-square test
Spring Break
1. Chi-square test
Chs. 14, 15
16. Apr. 19, 21, 22
Chs. 14, 15
No class
Its Over!
10:45 AM - 1:15 PM
22
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
SOC 410
Social Statistics
Spring 2005
of 4
Page 4
Weekly Assignments
CHAPTER QUESTIONS
CHAPTER EXERCISES
DUE
DATE
Ch. 1
Chap. 1: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11
(Do # 9 for a bonus point, due on 1/05)
1/11/05
Ch. 2
1/18/05
Ch. 3
Chap. 3: 1, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9
5/05
Chap. 4: 1, 4, 5, 7, 9, 14
Chap. 5: 1, 3, 9, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 18, 20
2/8/05
Ch. 6
Ch. 7
Ch. 8
Chap. 8: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8
3/1/05
Ch. 9
Chap. 9: 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 15
3/15/05
Ch. 10
3/22/05
Ch. 11
4/5/05
Ch. 13
Chap. 13: 1, 2, 5
4/12/05
Chap. 14: 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10
4/21/05
ASSIGNMENT
Ch. 4-5
Ch. 14-15
2/15/05
2/22/05
23
Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
4. Show all work on computationssymbols, formulas, etc.--as noted in the box at the bottom of page
19 in the text. Follow examples in the text. Draw diagrams and curves, and include calculation
spreadsheets.
5. For confidence intervals and hypotheses tests (Chapter 8-15), show details as illustrated in text
solutions boxes. Show the five steps for computing a confidence interval, and the six steps of hypothesis
testing. Draw diagrams and curves.
6. When graded assignments are returned, assignment keys are posted. Therefore, all assignments must
be turned in on time.
END OF SYLLABUS
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Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Transparency - Overview-1
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Overview of Course Design: Instructors Manual to Accom pany The Statistical Im agination, 2 nd Edition
Transparency - Overview-2
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CHAPTER 1
INSTRUCTORS MANUAL
to accompany
Prepared by
Ferris J. Ritchey
University of Alabam a at Birm ingham *
______________________________
* M aterials retained from the first edition of this manual were prepared with the assistance of Lynn
B. Gerald, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of M edicine, University of Alabama at
Birmingham.
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Lecture Objectives
1. Overview of statistics and its place in practical and research work
2. Overview of the concepts of the statistical imagination and proportional thinking
3. Review of science and the basic scientific research process
4. Review of fractions, proportions, percentages, and rates
Chapter 1 Lecture
[This lecture is designed to supplement the overhead transparencies found at the end of this
file. They may be projected via computer or photocopied onto transparencies. Present
transparencies as indicated. The material that follows m ay be read in a pinch. Given time
for preparation, the instructor can use the material as an outline.]
[IMPORTANT NOTE ON TRANSPARENCIES: For the most part, the transparencies and
PowerPoint slides for this text appear in Web resources, of which the students have access
under Student Resources. In addition, much of the material that appears on
transparencies and slides comes directly from the text. Therefore, it is unnecessary for
students to frantically copy slides or transparencies. In fact, slides and transparencies often
put students on automatic pilot during class. Students will simply copy them thinking I can
look at this more closely later. INFORM STUDENTS THAT THE SLIDE AND
TRANSPARENCY MATERIALS ARE IN THE BOOK AND AVAILABLE ON THE
WEB. The instructor is to use these devices merely as a focal point around which to lecture.
The only time students will have to closely copy notes is when sample problems are
presented in class (and lab, when available).]
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Our interest here is not so much about the physical science of how aliens may reach
us. Rather, our interest is in why people are so quick to believe in it. The late Carl Sagan,
who was a spokesperson for science education and a prom oter of interplanetary space
travel occupied a curious position on alien life forms. On the one hand he insisted that life
on other planets most assuredly exists considering the vastness of the universe. On the
other, he was very skeptical of the notion that any alien had visited our planet. In his book
The Dem on-Haunted World (Carl Sagan 1995; New York: Random House) he not only
debunks common myths about alien visitation, but explains why we are so prone to
credulity--why we are so quick to believe things.
This course in statistics is about controlling this desire to accept things as they first
appear. Statistics is about bringing balance and objectivity to a study of the world and its
occupants. Its about carefully gathering hard facts and looking at the larger picture before
making a decision.
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Statistical error:
WHAT IS SCIENCE?
!
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Purpose of Science
The purpose of scientific investigation is to explain things. These
explanations take the form of theory:
Scientific theory: A set of interrelated, logically organized statements
that explain a phenomenon of special interest, and
that have been corroborated through observation
and analysis
Constants:
A Hypothesis
A prediction about the relationship between two variables, asserting
that differences among the measurements of an independent variable
will correspond to differences among the measurements of a dependent
variable.
Dependent Variable
Cause
Effect
Predictor
Outcome
Stimulus
Response
Result
Correlation: change in
one variable
Associated change in
another variable
Seven steps:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Mathematical Proportions
Division problems which weigh a part (the numerator) against a whole
(the denominator).
# in a category
# in total group
# in a category
= quotient
# in total group
378
1,000
Rates
A rate is the frequency of occurrence of a phenomenon per some
specified, useful base number of subjects in a population
Calculating Rates
Rate of occurrence = (p) (a useful base number)
# of deaths
# of live births
182
(1,000)
17,431