Professional Documents
Culture Documents
DRAFT
Discussion Paper
presented by
DR. Friedhelm Betke
Advisor to the Director General,
Statistics Indonesia (BPS)
Table of Contents
I.
II.
III.
IV.
Introduction ................................................................................................. 3
Why social resilience? ............................................................................. 3
What is social resilience?......................................................................... 4
How to assess social resilience capacity among local communities?...... 7
STEP I: Nationwide mapping exercise ..................................................................... 8
a) Social resilience mapping: ranking areas according to dependant variables at
the family, the individual, and the community level............................................ 8
b) Large-scale systems integration mapping: ranking areas according to variables
independent of local influence ............................................................................. 8
c) Map matching: identifying correlating patterns of social resilience and largescale integration.................................................................................................. 8
STEP II: Field studies in four selected districts ......................................................... 9
a) Final selection of example areas and preparations for village and district level
assessment of relevant dimensions of local-specific social organisation............. 9
b) Pilot analyses: Identifying relevant dimensions of local-specific social
organisation ........................................................................................................ 10
c) Developing standard procedures for integrated analysis of regional social
resilience constraints and potentials................................................................... 10
STEP III: Going to scale: centrally facilitated empowerment of regional BPS offices
to lead area-specific routine assessment of social resilience opportunities
and challenges ........................................................................................... 10
ANNEX I: Outcome Assessment...................................................................................... 11
a) Assessing changing individual vulnerability across the human life span .......... 11
References ......................................................................................................................... 15
I.
Introduction
This paper is written as an attempt to lay the foundation to a rational, systematic and
thorough discussion of the possible courses of joint action in defining and developing
objectives and tasks of my current working environment, i.e. the newly established
Directorate of Social Resilience Statistics (Direktorat Statistik Ketahanan Social,
DitHansos) at the National Agency for Statistics (Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS)
Statistics Indonesia). Therefore, this paper will be adjusted to the results of the two-way
communication process with my counterparts, as well as in response to comments from
national and international scholars which whom this paper is shared. During this process,
however, it should be noted that the opinions stated in this paper will remain my personal
and individual opinions as long as the paper is in draft condition. Before official adoption
of the final version BPS is not to be held responsible for any statement contained in this
paper.
I have decided to use the English language for this paper in order to facilitate easy
communication with international scholars within and outside Indonesia and to support
the ongoing documentation of my work sponsored by the Integrated Experts
Programme of the German Federal Government through the International Centre for
Migration and Development (CIM) (see http://www.cimonline.de).
The immediate purpose of this paper is to facilitate the joint creation of an integrated
short-term and medium-term work plan spelling out the tasks of different sections of my
current host institution in relation to tasks assigned to myself. In addition, the essence of
this paper should aid the composition of adequate advocacy papers directed at different
audiences (such as donor agencies, the central and regional government, etc.) whose
support to the directorates future activities would be sought. However, this paper is
strictly conceptual, technical and procedural in nature and no attempts are made yet to
advocate for the emerging concept of social resilience.
The Direktorat Statistik Ketahanan Sosial (ind.) was established at the Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) in July 2001 and has three
sub-directorates covering regional resilience (ketahanan wilayah), environmental resilience (ketahanan lingkungan hidup),
and political and security resilience (ketahanan politik dan keamanan).
F. Betke, Direktorat Statistik Ketahanan Sosial, Badan Pusat Statistik, Indonesia
Figure 1: Levels of Scale in Regard to Assessing Social Resilience Among Local Communities
In a first attempt to sort out the forces of social resilience we need to clearly distinguish
independent and dependent variables2 observable in the process of small-scale systems
(families, communities, local environment) coping with (social, economic, biological,
and psychological) risks induced through integration into large-scale systems (national
policies, global economy, global ecosystems). In doing so, a first working definition of
social resilience can be approached: Local social systems are classified as socially
resilient in terms of the outcome of their coping process with the risks associated to
integration into the large-scale regional, national, global systems. A positive outcome of
this process of coping with large-scale integration would succeed in:
Effective protection of the vulnerable individuals: children, women, the elderly,
the disabled through the institutions of marriage and family;
Effective protection of vulnerable families/households, and vulnerable groups
through institutions of mutual help within and across networks of mutual help
(kinship, neighbourhood, and civic society organisations);
Maintaining environmental sustainability (effective protection of natural
sesources from depletion);
Effectively control violence and resolve conflicts arising from frictions in local
social organization and socialization in the course of integration into larger
systems.
The amount to which these local level outcomes could be achieved will depend on the
locally specific process of interaction in the force-field of societal (large-scale)
factors and communal (small-scale) characteristics as displayed in Figure 2.
This mechanistic differentiation into independent and dependant factors is maintained for the sake of conceptual simplicity.
Analysis will have to accommodate empirical interdependencies between and among the two groups of variables.
F. Betke, Direktorat Statistik Ketahanan Sosial, Badan Pusat Statistik, Indonesia
Socio-economic/ecological System:
Communal Factors:
Local
Degree of integration into
global market economy
(prevalence of waged
/salaried labour,
monetarisation,
mechanisation, modern
technology use, global flow
of capital, exportorientation);
Degree of integration into
urban settings;
Global flow of
information and
knowledge;
Central, regional level
socio-economic/ ecological
policy framework (e.g.
population, health &
education policy).
Local politicoSocial
support
Family
networks/
institutions
economic system
environment
Social organisation of
reproduction: (family
formation; matri- vs.
virilocality, marriage &
kinship systems, principles
of descent, inheritance &
succession)
Social organisation of
production (stratification
and division of labour
according to gender, age,
class, strata);
Social norms according to
ascribed and achieved
status;
Belief systems;
Agency options for
Individual & family survival
and development.
rakyat) as the established major principle of Indonesian social policy? And is social
resilience-oriented policy basically a conservative approach, aimed at keeping traditions
alive, foster controlled processes of evolution or even involution (Geertz 1963) and avoid
fundamental change? An adequate discussion of these questions is beyond the scope of
this paper; however, at this early state of conceptual development the following
(intentional) answers can be given:
The Indonesian social welfare approach comprehensively focuses on the political target
of elevating poor families through various evolutionary stages of economic and social
development to the final (normative) condition of being prosperous. At this final stage
families would have applied the political target of dua anak cukup (two children is
enough), they would show a high degree of moral integrity (manifested as full
participation in religious ceremonies and compliance to formal religious requirements)
and they would have acquired sufficient means to secure their own livelihood as well as
to support less fortunate community members. This evolutionary development appears to
be envisaged largely as the result of beneficial state interventions.
Contrarily, the idea of social resilience would focus on the indigenous potential
within families, communities and local socio-cultural systems in general to adjust
themselves to changing and often threatening conditions imposed by external (global,
national, regional) forces, including state interventions, which often have conflicting
objectives and controversial impacts at the local level. In this sense, social resilience
assessment would be a means to maintain the focus of state policy on empowering its
people rather than to monitor the (paternalistic wish) of social engineering of its
populace.
resilient, and least resilient and eventually be studied in comparing their respective
specific composition of societal and communal factors responsible for higher or lower
degrees of social resilience.
In operational terms this means that the following work steps would be needed in order to
consolidate the methodology of approaching the complex phenomenon of social
resilience in Indonesia:
Existing data from various BPS (and other governmental) surveys apt to describe the
above independent variables4 could be used in a nationwide mapping exercise resulting
in a nationwide discrimination of provinces, districts and communities according to their
decree of social resilience.
b) Large-scale systems integration mapping: ranking areas according to variables
independent of local influence
Existing data from various BPS (and other governmental) surveys apt to describe the
above independent variables5 could be used in a nationwide mapping exercise resulting
in a nationwide discrimination of provinces, districts and communities according to their
degree of large-scale integration into global markets, global flow of information, and
into urban settings.
c) Map matching: identifying correlating patterns of social resilience and large-scale
integration.
4 To be identified by a small working group of BPS staff knowledgeable on the particulars of the census, intercensal survey,
SUSENAS, PODES, 100 villages survey, and other surveys to be selected as major sources.
5 To be identified by a small working group of BPS staff knowledgeable on the surveys particularly addressing economic change.
F. Betke, Direktorat Statistik Ketahanan Sosial, Badan Pusat Statistik, Indonesia
Low integration
Medium integration
High integration
Low resilience
Regions of Type 1
Regions of Type 4
Regions of Type 7
Medium resilience
Regions of Type 2
Regions of Type 5
Regions of Type 8
High resilience
Regions of Type 3
Regions of Type 6
Regions of Type 9
Production
Political participation
Figure 3: Major Stages and Events within the Human Life Span
Death
First Marriage
Birth
New / Old
Generation
2061
Old
Age
60+ yrs.
2001
2019
Adulthood
18-60 yrs.
1959
2014
Adolescence
13-17 yrs.
1954
2008
School
Age
7-16yrs.
1948
2003
Preschool
Age
2-6 yrs.
1943
2001
Infancy
0-1 yrs.
Old Age
1941
Childhood (0 12 yrs.)
2000
Prenatal
Period
-9 0 mo.
Adulthood
Adolescence
1940
School
Age
Pregnancy & Delivery
Figure 4: Analysis dimensions of change in adolescent vulnerability across the human lifespan
(2047+)
(2027+)
(2037+)
(1985+)
(1995+)
(1980+)
(1990+)
Adolescence
Adolescence
Old Age
(2057+)
(2067+)
(2015+)
(2025+)
(2005+)
Adulthood
(2000+)
(2010+)
(2020+)
Adolescence
13-17 yrs.
Adolescence
Adolescence
(1994+)
(1974+)
(1984+)
School
Age
7-16 yrs.
(1969+)
(1979+)
Preschool
Age
(1967+)
(1977+)
(1966+)
(1976+)
(2004+)
(2014+)
(1999+)
(2009+)
(1997+)
(2007+)
.(1996+)
(2006+)
(1989+)
(1987+)
Infancy
(1986+)
PAST
PRESENT
FUTURE
Prenatal
Period
Contextual change:
Projection
Prospective
Societal history
Trend
Retrospective
Life history
Table 3:
2.
3.
Manhood, 6 comprising
Working age (10+ th.)
Married life
Pre-marital life
Male reproductive and productive age (15+ th.)
Womanhood, comprising
Working age (10+ th.)
Post-reproductive and productive age (50+ th.)
Married Life
Pregnancy and delivery (15-49 th.)
Pre-marital life
Reproductive and productive age (15-49 th.)
Family/ Community/
Society
Processes of aging
4.
Youth comprising
Female and male Adolescence (13-18 th.)
Female and male School age (7-15 th.)
5.
Assessment Foci :
Processes of male
livelihood and
reproduction
Processes of female
livelihood and
reproduction
Processes of
child growth and
development
Dynamics
of domestic
(dyadic)
interaction
between
spouses,
between parents
and children,
between siblings,
between
grandparents and
grandchildren
Dynamics
of social
support
for bride and
groom,
primary care
givers
Communal &
societal
mechanisms
controling
nuptiality and fertility,
property rights, rules of
descent, inheritance and
succession,
as well as
as well as
the disabled,
the elderly
and the
environment
determining
division of labour,
equity and equality,
use of violence,
utilisation of the
environment
Protection, Participation
and Empowerment
Opportunities
The term Manhood indicates male participation and responsibility in the process of reproduction (in terms of determining the frequency of female pregnancies) as well as in productive life in
general, whereas the term Womanhood emphasises the multiple and complementary roles in human reproduction (in pregnancy, giving birth, and breast-feeding) as well as in productive life.
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