15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

RVQUAL1. Are you eligible to vote in the upcoming Federal Election being held in October?

REGION

Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base
Yes

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

1000
1000

127
134

107
107

73
64*

383
383

219
240

91
71*

223
230

289
280

280
283

208
207

187
190

813
810

450
484

550
516

223
278

385
370

392
352

1000
100.0%

134
100.0%

107
100.0%

64
100.0%

383
100.0%

240
100.0%

71
100.0%

230
100.0%

280
100.0%

283
100.0%

207
100.0%

190
100.0%

810
100.0%

484
100.0%

516
100.0%

278
100.0%

370
100.0%

352
100.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

3 of 84

15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

RV1A. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

1000
1000

127
134

107
107

73
64*

383
383

219
240

91
71*

223
230

289
280

280
283

208
207

187
190

813
810

450
484

550
516

223
278

385
370

392
352

The Conservative Party

214
21.0%

18
27.0%
EF
17
26.0%

89
23.0%
EF
90
23.0%

9
12.0%

39
17.0%

56
20.0%

65
23.0%

175
22.0%

38
14.0%

66
18.0%

47
20.0%

66
23.0%

52
18.0%

38
20.0%

191
24.0%

109
21.0%

80
22.0%

248
25.0%

35
26.0%

22
21.0%

10
16.0%

82
22.0%

79
22.0%

0
-

0
-

7
3.0%

58
31.0%
L
10
5.0%

94
25.0%

0
-

78
27.0%
J
10
4.0%

130
25.0%

0
-

75
27.0%
J
5
2.0%

118
24.0%

31
3.0%

67
29.0%
J
10
4.0%

189
23.0%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

22
3.0%

20
4.0%

12
2.0%

6
2.0%

31
3.0%

6
5.0%

2
2.0%

2
2.0%

15
4.0%

4
2.0%

10
4.0%

2
1.0%

4
2.0%

27
3.0%

15
3.0%

16
3.0%

8
3.0%

3
0

0
-

0
-

1
0

0
-

0
-

3
1.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

3
0

3
1.0%

0
-

2
1.0%

0
-

1
0

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

35
4.0%

4
3.0%

2
2.0%
E
3
3.0%

14
6.0%
HJ
1
0

23
6.0%
OQ
10
3.0%

3
1.0%

Green Party

78
33.0%
BCD
31
13.0%
ABCDF
5
2.0%

80
29.0%
Q
75
27.0%

110
31.0%
OP
69
20.0%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

26
37.0%
ABDE
19
27.0%

122
25.0%
N
120
25.0%

92
18.0%

45
19.0%

53
26.0%
G
64
31.0%
GI
29
14.0%

40
21.0%

229
23.0%

36
33.0%
DEF
19
18.0%

28
12.0%

The Liberal Party

34
26.0%
EF
31
23.0%

0
-

18
4.0%

17
3.0%

3
1.0%

16
22.0%

38
20.0%

171
21.0%

69
14.0%

140
27.0%
M

21
8.0%
PQ
48
17.0%

10
3.0%

45
19.0%

8
4.0%
H
43
21.0%

32
4.0%

23
21.0%

12
4.0%
H
56
20.0%

4
2.0%

23
17.0%

12
5.0%
H
40
17.0%

3
1.0%

209
21.0%

19
5.0%
F
87
23.0%

6
3.0%

Don't Know/Not sure

3
5.0%
F
15
23.0%

86
23.0%

75
21.0%

Other

0
1
1.0%

69
25.0%

12
4.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

14 of 84

15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

RV1B. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

218
209

22
23**

24
23**

17
15**

92
87*

42
45*

21
16**

41
40*

76
69*

56
56*

45
43*

39
38*

179
171

66
69*

152
140

40
48*

92
86*

86
75*

The Conservative Party

29
14.0%

6
27.0%

6
26.0%

2
11.0%

9
10.0%

5
10.0%

2
10.0%

4
11.0%

9
13.0%

8
14.0%

7
17.0%

3
8.0%

26
15.0%

11
16.0%

18
13.0%

5
11.0%

10
12.0%

13
18.0%

The Liberal Party

26
13.0%

4
18.0%

0
-

1
7.0%

14
16.0%

5
12.0%

2
10.0%

5
11.0%

6
9.0%

6
11.0%

9
21.0%

2
5.0%

24
14.0%

10
15.0%

16
11.0%

5
10.0%

10
11.0%

12
16.0%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

26
13.0%

2
9.0%

1
5.0%

0
-

3
7.0%

2
13.0%

3
6.0%

6
9.0%

10
18.0%

7
16.0%

4
10.0%

22
13.0%

8
12.0%

18
13.0%

7
14.0%

8
9.0%

11
15.0%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

1
1.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

18
20.0%
E
0
-

1
3.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

1
3.0%

0
-

0
-

1
1.0%

1
2.0%

0
-

1
3.0%

0
-

0
-

Green Party

1
1.0%

0
-

0
-

1
8.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

1
1.0%

0
-

1
1.0%

0
-

1
1.0%

0
-

1
1.0%

0
-

1
1.0%

1
1.0%

Don't know

125
60.0%

11
46.0%

16
69.0%

11
73.0%

46
53.0%

31
68.0%

11
67.0%

29
72.0%
J

47
68.0%
J

30
53.0%

19
45.0%

29
77.0%
L

96
56.0%

38
55.0%

87
62.0%

30
62.0%

57
67.0%
Q

38
50.0%

Base: Undecided
Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

15 of 84

15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

RV1A/Q1B. ALL VOTERS - LEANERS INCLUDED

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

1000
1000

127
134

107
107

73
64*

383
383

219
240

91
71*

223
230

289
280

280
283

208
207

187
190

813
810

450
484

550
516

223
278

385
370

392
352

The Conservative Party

243
24.0%

19
30.0%
EF
18
28.0%

98
26.0%
EF
104
27.0%

11
15.0%

44
19.0%

66
23.0%

73
26.0%

201
25.0%

43
16.0%

76
21.0%

52
22.0%

72
26.0%

59
21.0%

39
21.0%

216
27.0%

125
24.0%

90
24.0%

274
27.0%

37
28.0%

23
22.0%

10
16.0%

100
26.0%

148
29.0%

102
28.0%

90
26.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

88
31.0%
J
12
4.0%

126
26.0%

0
-

81
29.0%
J
5
2.0%

212
26.0%

33
3.0%

69
30.0%
J
10
4.0%

62
33.0%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

7
3.0%

10
5.0%

23
3.0%

21
4.0%

12
2.0%

7
3.0%

32
3.0%

6
5.0%

2
2.0%

3
4.0%

15
4.0%

1
1.0%

5
2.0%

10
4.0%

3
1.0%

4
2.0%

28
3.0%

15
3.0%

17
3.0%

8
3.0%

3
0

0
-

0
-

1
0

0
-

0
-

3
1.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

3
0

3
1.0%

0
-

2
1.0%

0
-

1
0

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

35
4.0%

4
3.0%

2
2.0%
E
3
3.0%

14
6.0%
HJ
1
0

23
6.0%
OQ
11
3.0%

3
1.0%

Green Party

81
34.0%
BCD
33
14.0%
ABCDF
5
2.0%

85
31.0%
Q
82
29.0%

124
35.0%
OP
80
23.0%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

28
39.0%
ABDE
21
30.0%
C
0
-

133
27.0%
N
130
27.0%

110
21.0%

50
21.0%

61
29.0%
G
73
35.0%
GHI
35
17.0%

43
22.0%

255
25.0%

42
39.0%
DEF
19
18.0%

33
14.0%

The Liberal Party

41
30.0%
EF
35
26.0%

0
-

18
4.0%

17
3.0%

3
1.0%

11
15.0%

29
15.0%

96
12.0%

38
8.0%

87
17.0%
M

21
8.0%
PQ
30
11.0%

10
3.0%

31
13.0%

8
4.0%
H
19
9.0%

32
4.0%

16
15.0%

12
4.0%
H
30
11.0%

4
2.0%

11
8.0%

12
5.0%
H
29
13.0%

3
1.0%

125
12.0%

19
5.0%
F
46
12.0%

6
3.0%

Don't Know/Not sure

3
5.0%
F
11
17.0%

57
16.0%
Q

38
11.0%

Other

47
17.0%
IJ

13
4.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

16 of 84

15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

RV1A/Q1B. DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

838
840

114
120

87
88*

58
50*

317
318

185
203

77
61*

183
189

235
231

241
242

179
179

154
157

684
683

399
428

439
412

182
227

312
302

344
311

The Conservative Party

243
29.0%

19
38.0%
EF
18
36.0%

98
31.0%
EF
104
33.0%

11
17.0%

44
23.0%

66
28.0%

73
30.0%

201
29.0%

133
31.0%

110
27.0%

43
19.0%

76
25.0%

50
25.0%

52
27.0%

72
31.0%

59
24.0%

39
25.0%

216
32.0%

130
30.0%

125
30.0%

90
30.0%

274
33.0%

37
31.0%

23
26.0%

10
20.0%

100
32.0%

90
29.0%

0
-

0
-

7
4.0%

62
40.0%
L
10
6.0%

102
34.0%

0
-

88
36.0%
J
12
5.0%

148
36.0%

0
-

81
35.0%
J
5
2.0%

126
29.0%

33
4.0%

69
37.0%
J
10
5.0%

212
31.0%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

23
3.0%

21
5.0%

12
3.0%

7
3.0%

32
4.0%

6
5.0%

2
2.0%

3
6.0%

15
5.0%

5
2.0%

10
4.0%

3
2.0%

4
2.0%

28
4.0%

15
3.0%

17
4.0%

8
4.0%

3
0

0
-

2
2.0%
E

0
-

1
0

0
-

14
7.0%
HJ
1
0

23
8.0%
OQ
11
4.0%

3
1.0%

Green Party

81
40.0%
BC
33
16.0%
ABCDF
5
3.0%

85
37.0%
Q
82
36.0%

124
40.0%
OP
80
26.0%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

28
46.0%
ABDE
21
35.0%

61
34.0%
G
73
41.0%
GHI
35
20.0%

43
27.0%

255
30.0%

42
47.0%
DEF
19
22.0%

33
16.0%

The Liberal Party

41
34.0%
EF
35
30.0%

3
1.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

3
0

3
1.0%

0
-

2
1.0%

0
-

1
0

Base: Decided Voters - Leaners Included

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

Other

0
1
1.0%
0
-

13
4.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

17 of 84

15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

RV2. How certain are you that this is the party that you will actually support on Election Day:

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

848
849

114
120

89
90*

59
51*

318
319

186
204

82
65*

184
190

240
235

243
243

181
181

156
159

692
690

402
431

446
417

184
229

317
306

347
313

Absolutely certain

353
42.0%

51
43.0%

43
48.0%

20
40.0%

119
37.0%

91
45.0%

27
42.0%

72
38.0%

108
46.0%

101
41.0%

72
40.0%

60
38.0%

292
42.0%

190
44.0%

162
39.0%

76
33.0%

128
42.0%

Fairly certain

391
46.0%

52
44.0%

32
35.0%

24
47.0%

95
47.0%

31
48.0%

114
47.0%

79
44.0%

79
50.0%

312
45.0%

199
46.0%

193
46.0%

115
50.0%

141
46.0%

90
11.0%

13
6.0%

6
9.0%

25
11.0%

24
10.0%

25
14.0%

17
10.0%

73
11.0%

39
9.0%

51
12.0%

26
8.0%

1
2.0%

7
2.0%

4
2.0%

1
1.0%

2
1.0%

4
1.0%

4
2.0%

5
3.0%

3
2.0%

12
2.0%

3
1.0%

12
3.0%
M

35
15.0%
PQ
3
1.0%

29
9.0%

15
2.0%

13
14.0%
E
2
2.0%

6
11.0%

Not at all certain

17
14.0%
E
0
-

101
53.0%
H
15
8.0%

97
41.0%

Not very certain

158
49.0%
B
35
11.0%

149
48.0%
O
135
43.0%

9
3.0%

3
1.0%

T2B

744
88.0%

103
86.0%

75
83.0%

44
87.0%

277
87.0%

58
90.0%

214
88.0%

151
83.0%

139
88.0%

605
88.0%

191
84.0%

269
88.0%

17
14.0%

15
17.0%
E

7
13.0%

42
13.0%

29
12.0%

29
12.0%

30
17.0%
G

20
12.0%

85
12.0%

389
90.0%
N
42
10.0%

355
85.0%

105
12.0%

173
91.0%
J
17
9.0%

206
88.0%

L2B

187
91.0%
B
17
9.0%

62
15.0%
M

38
16.0%
Q

38
12.0%

284
91.0%
O
29
9.0%

Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

7
10.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

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Detailed Tables

RV3. And, assuming you can't vote for your first choice, which party would you support as a second choice?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

848
849

114
120

89
90*

59
51*

318
319

186
204

82
65*

184
190

240
235

243
243

181
181

156
159

692
690

402
431

446
417

184
229

317
306

347
313

The Conservative Party

65
8.0%

10
9.0%

9
10.0%

3
7.0%

24
8.0%

16
8.0%

2
3.0%

12
6.0%

20
8.0%

19
8.0%

14
8.0%

9
6.0%

56
8.0%

37
9.0%

28
7.0%

17
6.0%

23
7.0%

The Liberal Party

188
22.0%

19
21.0%

8
15.0%

70
22.0%

38
18.0%

16
25.0%

56
23.0%

33
18.0%

41
26.0%

147
21.0%

88
20.0%

100
24.0%

60
20.0%

77
24.0%

198
23.0%

14
16.0%

14
28.0%

80
25.0%

45
22.0%

56
24.0%

56
23.0%

165
24.0%

103
24.0%

94
23.0%

61
27.0%

65
21.0%

71
23.0%

27
3.0%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

7
4.0%

6
2.0%

11
5.0%

7
4.0%

20
3.0%

7
3.0%

16
9.0%

15
10.0%

95
14.0%

58
14.0%

32
14.0%

51
27.0%

37
16.0%
J
64
27.0%

57
23.0%

56
31.0%

45
28.0%

183
26.0%

108
25.0%

119
29.0%

46
20.0%

33
4.0%

0
-

45
14.0%
E
99
31.0%
E
0
-

8
12.0%
E
17
26.0%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

7
13.0%
E
19
37.0%
E
0
-

33
13.0%

227
27.0%

21
24.0%
DE
27
30.0%
E
0
-

24
13.0%

Don't know/Not sure

19
16.0%
E
31
26.0%

16
5.0%
Q
35
11.0%

4
1.0%

110
13.0%

21
5.0%
N
52
12.0%

6
1.0%

Some other party

27
13.0%
ABCDF
10
5.0%

53
29.0%
G
3
2.0%

33
21.0%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

21
33.0%
AB
0
-

53
28.0%
HJ
33
17.0%

46
20.0%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

37
31.0%
CE
22
18.0%

25
11.0%
P
52
23.0%

0
-

10
5.0%

5
2.0%

12
5.0%

7
4.0%

10
6.0%

23
3.0%

21
5.0%

12
3.0%

7
3.0%

35
17.0%
33
16.0%
ABCDF

90
29.0%
O
23
8.0%
OQ

44
14.0%
92
29.0%
O
3
1.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

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Detailed Tables

RV4. Thinking about the Conservative government under the leadership of Stephen Harper, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of their performance?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

1000
1000

127
134

107
107

73
64*

383
383

219
240

91
71*

223
230

289
280

280
283

208
207

187
190

813
810

450
484

550
516

223
278

385
370

392
352

Strongly approve

82
8.0%

9
7.0%

6
10.0%

37
10.0%

13
5.0%

2
3.0%

15
6.0%

24
9.0%

30
11.0%

14
7.0%

14
7.0%

69
8.0%

12
4.0%

26
7.0%

296
30.0%

36
27.0%

19
30.0%

12
17.0%

60
26.0%

79
28.0%

85
30.0%

72
35.0%

146
28.0%

92
33.0%

97
26.0%

39
29.0%

18
27.0%

18
25.0%

60
26.0%

70
25.0%

78
28.0%

53
26.0%

71
37.0%
L
48
25.0%

225
28.0%

260
26.0%

76
32.0%
F
66
28.0%

44
13.0%
OP
106
30.0%

Somewhat disapprove

114
30.0%
F
95
25.0%

50
10.0%
N
150
31.0%

32
6.0%

Somewhat approve

15
14.0%
EF
39
37.0%
F
25
23.0%

213
26.0%

113
23.0%

147
28.0%

78
28.0%

104
28.0%

78
22.0%

Strongly disapprove

362
36.0%

50
37.0%

28
26.0%

21
33.0%

138
36.0%

85
35.0%

39
55.0%
ABCDE

96
42.0%
I

108
38.0%

90
32.0%

68
33.0%

58
31.0%

304
37.0%

171
35.0%

191
37.0%

96
34.0%

142
38.0%

124
35.0%

T2B

378
38.0%

25
39.0%
F
39
61.0%

150
39.0%
F
233
61.0%
B

89
37.0%
F
151
63.0%
B

74
32.0%

103
37.0%

115
41.0%

86
41.0%

104
37.0%

124
33.0%

155
68.0%

177
63.0%

168
59.0%

121
59.0%

200
41.0%
N
285
59.0%

178
35.0%

57
80.0%
ABCDE

84
44.0%
L
106
56.0%

294
36.0%

622
62.0%

54
51.0%
ADEF
53
49.0%

14
20.0%

L2B

45
34.0%
F
89
66.0%
B

337
65.0%
M

174
63.0%

246
67.0%
Q

150
43.0%
P
201
57.0%

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

516
64.0%
K

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

20 of 84

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Detailed Tables

RV5. Some people say that the Conservative government under Prime Minister Stephen Harper has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected on October 19th. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

1000
1000

127
134

107
107

73
64*

383
383

219
240

91
71*

223
230

289
280

280
283

208
207

187
190

813
810

450
484

550
516

223
278

385
370

392
352

Harper government has done a good job and deserves re-election

286
29.0%

44
33.0%
EF

52
49.0%
ACDEF

20
30.0%
EF

115
30.0%
EF

46
19.0%

10
14.0%

48
21.0%

81
29.0%
G

83
29.0%
G

75
36.0%
G

54
28.0%

233
29.0%

153
32.0%

134
26.0%

63
23.0%

88
24.0%

135
39.0%
OP

Time for another federal party to take over

714
71.0%

91
67.0%
B

55
51.0%

45
70.0%
B

268
70.0%
B

194
81.0%
ABCD

61
86.0%
ABCD

182
79.0%
HIJ

200
71.0%

200
71.0%

132
64.0%

137
72.0%

577
71.0%

332
68.0%

382
74.0%

215
77.0%
Q

282
76.0%
Q

216
61.0%

Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

21 of 84

15-060010-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015

Detailed Tables

5. In your view, which Party and leader is gaining the most popularity and momentum in this election?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

Base: All respondents

Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

1000
1000

127
134

107
107

73
64*

383
383

219
240

91
71*

223
230

289
280

280
283

208
207

187
190

813
810

450
484

550
516

223
278

385
370

392
352

Justin Trudeau and the Liberals

297
30.0%

81
35.0%
I
34
15.0%

76
27.0%

55
27.0%

60
32.0%

237
29.0%

123
25.0%

81
23.0%

49
17.0%

26
13.0%

34
18.0%

125
15.0%

76
16.0%

112
40.0%
PQ
33
12.0%

105
28.0%

50
18.0%

174
34.0%
M
83
16.0%

52
14.0%

476
48.0%

128
46.0%

137
48.0%

390
48.0%

108
39.0%

3
1.0%

1
0

5
2.0%

3
2.0%

9
1.0%

259
53.0%
N
5
1.0%

217
42.0%

0
-

114
55.0%
GH
3
2.0%

86
45.0%

12
1.0%

32
45.0%
C
0
-

97
42.0%

Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc

122
32.0%
E
67
18.0%
F
169
44.0%
C
0
-

31
44.0%
ADE
2
3.0%

Thomas Mulcair and the NDP

27
42.0%
E
15
23.0%
EF
16
25.0%

85
30.0%

159
16.0%

33
31.0%
E
24
23.0%
EF
43
40.0%
C
0
-

46
19.0%

Stephen Harper and the Conservatives

38
29.0%
E
21
16.0%
F
65
48.0%
C
0
-

7
1.0%

Elizabeth May and the Green Party

56
6.0%

10
7.0%
E

7
6.0%
E

7
10.0%
E

25
7.0%
E

6
8.0%
E

15
7.0%

16
6.0%

16
6.0%

9
4.0%

7
4.0%

49
6.0%

21
4.0%

35
7.0%

4
1.0%
Q
22
8.0%

189
51.0%
O
8
2.0%
Q
16
4.0%

73
21.0%
OP
179
51.0%
O
0
-

29
12.0%
F
151
63.0%
ABCDF
12
5.0%
ABDF
2
1.0%

18
5.0%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base

Ipsos Public Affairs

August 26, 2015
FINAL DATA

23 of 84