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Anomalies
By Tisa Silver | September 28, 2008AAA |
In the non-investing world, an anomaly is a strange or unusual occurrence. In
financial markets, anomalies refer to situations when a security or group of
securities performs contrary to the notion of efficient markets, where security
prices are said to reflect all available information at any point in time.
With the constant release and rapid dissemination of new information, sometimes
efficient markets are hard to achieve and even more difficult to maintain. There
are many market anomalies; some occur once and disappear, while others are
continuously observed. (To learn more about efficient markets, see What Is
Market Efficiency?)
Calendar Effects
Anomalies that are linked to a particular time are called calendar effects. Some of
the most popular calendar effects include the weekend effect, the turn-of-themonth effect, the turn-of-the-year effect and the January effect.
Why Do Calendar Effects Occur?
So, what's with Mondays? Why are turning days better than any other days? It
has been jokingly suggested that people are happier heading into the weekend
and not so happy heading back to work on Mondays, but there is no universally
accepted reason for the negative returns on Mondays.
Unfortunately, this is the case for many calendar anomalies. The January effect
may have the most valid explanation. It is often attributed to the turn of the tax
calendar; investors sell off stocks at year's end to cash in gains and sell losing
stocks to offset their gains for tax purposes. Once the New Year begins, there is a
rush back into the market and particularly into small-cap stocks.
more people are using tax-sheltered retirement plans and therefore have no reason to sell at
the end of the year for a tax loss.