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Daily Sentiment Report


Monday, December 15, 2014

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1 Traders have been selling high-yield junk bond funds heavily, including the most
popular exchange-traded funds. That has pushed the market price on these funds to
more than 1% below the value of their underlying securities, a rarity for ETFs. See
page 2.

What We're Watching


Stocks Short-Term
Short-term risk has declined
again as signs of pessimism
increase and stocks head into a
consistently positive time of year

2 Since the inception of S&P 500 futures, they have lost more than -1% during the
week of December option expiration only 1 time out of 32 years. The average return
is +1.1%, with an average drawdown (i.e. maximum loss) of -0.7% versus an average
maximum gain of +2.1%, a 3-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio. If Monday of expiration week
closed lower (like it did on Monday), then the rest of the week was positive 8 out of 9
times, averaging +1.9%.

Stocks Intermediate-Term
Risk has declined back to neutral
after rising to above-average
levels on December 4, with the
huge increase in uncertainty
being the main factor
Bonds
The Optimism Index for bonds
has pushed into extreme territory
for the first time since mid-2012,
suggesting a rise in yields is
becoming more likely
Gold
Optimism is in extreme
pessimism territory, but has a bit
to go before matching extremes
from the past year

Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence


Chart
80%

See the Active Studies page


for other markets

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1700

60%
1500

50%

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60%

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The data and analysis contained herein are provided as is and without warranty of any kind. Sundial Capital Research, Inc., its employees, or any
third-party data provider, shall not have any liability for any loss sustained by anyone who has relied on the information contained in any publication
published by Sundial Capital Research, Inc. No report shall be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any stock or security. This communication reects
our opinions as of the date of this communication and will not necessarily be updated as views or information change. Sundial Capital Research, Inc.
and its respective employees may have lpositions in the securities discussed herein and may purchase or sell such securities without notice. The
information contained herein is believed to be accurate to the best of our knowledge, and we make no guarantees that there will not be errors from
ourselves or third-party data providers. We make every effort to validate data integrity, but occassionally errors do occur and we subsequently make an
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Page 1 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Studies And Updates


Nearing Panic In High Yield Bonds

iShares iBoxx $ High Yield


Corporate Bond ETF (HYG)

Discount > -1%

Premium / Discount To NAV


For HYG, JNK And PHB
+1% Premium

-1% Discount

Source: CBOE, Bloomberg Finance LP @ Sundial Capital Research, Inc. sentimenTrader.com

Late last week, we took a look at the "triple time frame" rate
of change in high-yield (junk) bonds, which was showing one
of the most severe bouts of selling pressure in 30 years.
When we see sharp dislocations like this, it makes the job of
arbitrageurs more difficult. Some love it because it creates
opportunities for large gains; others loathe it because it
makes their daily cash flow unpredictable.
One of the favorite targets of arbitrageurs is closed-end
funds. Driven by retail investors, the market price of closedend funds often drifts from the value of the underlying assets
held by the fund. An arbitrageur can buy the fund at its
market price, then hold it and wait for the market to catch up.
There is still risk involved because the underlying assets
could deteriorate, but buying the assets at a discount
provides the investor with a tailwind and a greater chance of
a positive return than if they had bought the assets at fair
market value.
With exchange-traded funds, arbitrageurs don't have as
much opportunity because of how the funds are priced and

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traded. We rarely see popular ETFs trade with a large


premium or discount to the fund's Net Asset Value.
That's what makes the current situation unusual for the three
most popular ETFs that track the high-yield bond market.
HYG, JNK and PHB are the three go-to funds for investors
who want quick and convenient access to high-yield bonds.
The vast majority of the time, the three funds all have a
market price that's within 1% of the underlying value of the
funds' holdings.
Not now.
Investors have started to panic, and the funds' prices are now
more than a percentage point below their NAV. We only
have 7 years' worth of history, but every other time the
discount dove to -1% is shown in the table on the next page.
It didn't say much about the shorter-term prospects of the
funds, but longer-term it was a good sign of irrational selling
pressure. From 3 months forward, the only negative instance
occurred during the financial crisis of 2008.

Page 2 of 14

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No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Studies And Updates - continued


HYG Performance After Multi-Fund Discount > -1%
Signals
(2007-2014)

15-Sep-2008
23-Feb-2009
7-Jul-2009
4-Feb-2010
5-May-2010
16-Jun-2011
4-Aug-2011
23-Nov-2011
17-May-2012
31-May-2013
19-Aug-2013
12-Dec-2014
Median
All Days
# Up
# Down
Relevance

1 Day
Later
-2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
-0.6%
-2.5%
1.1%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
-0.1%
0.9%

1 Week
Later
0.2%
-4.6%
1.9%
-1.8%
0.4%
2.3%
-1.3%
5.1%
0.9%
-0.1%
1.5%

2 Weeks
Later
-10.6%
-9.7%
6.5%
1.5%
-1.7%
3.9%
-1.0%
5.7%
-0.7%
0.4%
1.0%

1 Month
Later
-12.4%
1.5%
11.4%
3.6%
-2.8%
4.0%
0.7%
8.8%
2.6%
-1.2%
3.7%

3 Months
Later
-24.3%
15.1%
14.7%
1.1%
4.3%
0.8%
3.1%
13.0%
6.3%
-0.1%
5.2%

6 Months
Later
-20.1%
26.5%
23.4%
8.1%
8.8%
2.5%
8.2%
10.4%
7.4%
3.5%
7.5%

1 Year
Later
6.9%
38.6%
25.4%
16.4%
15.3%
9.3%
13.3%
19.8%
16.7%
8.2%
11.1%

0.0%
0.0%
4
6
11%

0.4%
0.1%
7
4
30%

0.4%
0.3%
6
5
5%

2.6%
0.6%
8
3
71%

4.3%
2.0%
9
2
53%

8.1%
4.1%
10
1
73%

15.3%
10.0%
11
0
95%

Relevance above 95% suggests statistical significance; the higher the %, the more robust the result
@ Sundial Capital Research, Inc. sentimenTrader.com

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Page 3 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Active Studies
Stocks
Date
18-Nov-2014
17-Nov-2014
14-Nov-2014
31-Oct-2014
30-Oct-2014
2-Oct-2014
8-Jul-2014
9-May-2014
16-Apr-2014
19-Feb-2014

Description

S&P breaks out of tight range to new high


Extremely negative SPY Liquidity Premium
Highest 5-day range to lowest w/in 30 days
S&P component new highs spike higher
S8P thrusts above its 5-day average
InsiderScore buy inflection
Consecutive 5% jumps in VXO
Tight range near a 52-week high
Issuances of money-losing IPOs continues
10-day breadth thrust

Priority
Low
Low
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Low
Medium
High
High

Bias

S&P 500 should be

Bullish
Bearish
Bullish
Bullish
Bullish
Bullish
Bullish
Bullish
Bearish
Bullish

> 2040 from Feb - Dec 2015


< 2041 into Dec 2014
> 2040 from Dec 2015 - Mar 2015
> 2018 through Dec 2015
> 1994 from Nov 2014 - Oct 2015
> 1946 from Nov 2014 - Oct 2015
> 1963 through Jul 2015
> 1878 through May 2015
< 1862 through Apr 2015
> 1828 through Feb 2015

Priority
Medium
Medium
High
Medium

Bias

Market implication

Bearish
Bullish
Bullish
Bullish

10-year yield > 2.25 through early 2015


EWW > 61.50 through spring 2015
XME > 34.63 through early 2015
XLB > 48.06 through early 2015

Other Markets
Date
8-Dec-2014
5-Dec-2014
13-Nov-2014
3-Nov-2014

Description

Bond optimism becomes extreme


Mexican stocks (EWW), peso extreme pessimism
Metals & Mining public bearish & insiders bullish
Materials fund (XLB) shows extreme pessimism

The Active Studies highlight studies we've discussed in prior reports that are still "active". This means that the market is
still within the time frame that was indicated as being effective, meaning it showed returns or consistency that was
significantly different than random during the study period. For some studies, there was not a concrete time frame given,
but rather general market conditions. The study would remain "active" as long as those market conditions were in effect.

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Page 4 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Stocks Short-Term Sentiment Summary


Risk Level

Low risk
(0)

High risk
(10)

Bottom Line: Odd readings continue in this market. The VIX "fear gauge" declined more than
-3% despite more than a -0.5% loss in the S&P 500, the first time this has happened on any
day other than a Friday (traders often reprice options on Friday to account for time decay
during weekends). When it has happened (again, only on Fridays), the S&P 500 rose over the
next three days 21 out of 28 times. One of the most seasonally positive times of the year
begins now, though that is always only a tertiary consideration. More importantly, there are
numerous signs of excessive pessimism on a shorter-term time frame, with the Optix at 25 and
confirmed by a variety of other measures, so risk has declined again.

S&P 500 - Past 90 Days

Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)

S&P 500 Down Pressure (3-day average)

% Of S&P 500 Stocks > 10-Day Avg

Equity Put/Call Ratio

Inverse ETF Volume As % Of Total

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Page 5 of 14

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No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Stocks Intermediate-Term Sentiment Summary


Risk Level

Low risk
(0)

Bottom Line (Updated 12/12/14): The last update from December 4 raised the risk level to
slightly above-average due to a number of overly-optimistic readings. Now that stocks have sold
off, and more importantly we've seen a spike in uncertainty, that risk has decreased back to
normal levels. The way things are going, it may not take much more to trigger below-average
risk on a 1-3 month time frame. As always we will monitor that on a day-by-day basis.

High risk
(10)

S&P 500 - Past Year

Intermediate-term Optimism Index (Optix)

Stock / Bond Ratio

% Of S&P 500 Stocks > 50-Day Avg

De-Trended Equity Put/Call Ratio

SPY Liquidity Premium

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Page 6 of 14

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No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Typical Sentiment Cycle

Maximum Last Gasp 1


Optimism
(early Jan 2014)

Re-Test
BeliefBuilding
Phase

WE ARE HERE
Lower Probability

Lower Low
(3%-8% decline)

BeliefBuilding
Phase
Fear-Building Phase
(More than 8% decline)

WE ARE HERE
Highest Probability
WE ARE HERE
Lowest Probability

Explosive Rally 3

Maximum
Pessimism
Re-Test 2

BULL PHASE

CORRECTION

BEAR PHASE

CORRECTION

BULL PHASE

The Typical Sentiment Cycle is a real bull-to-bear phase from the S&P 500 in 1966. It displayed the classic price
phases that many cycles exhibit. The WE ARE HERE box is a partially subjective judgment based on sentiment
conditions, price behavior and fundamental ratios. It should proceed forward the majority of the time, but may skip
backward as new information becomes known. These are rough approximations only.
The case against using something like this is that every cycle is different. No two markets ever look exactly the
same, or exactly like this. Sometimes, like the mid-1990s, the middle phase just keeps going and going and going.
More typically, stocks spend 1-3 months in each phase, though there is wide variation in that, from weeks to years.
Note that "maximum optimism" and "maximum pessimism" normally occur before a market peak and market trough,
respectively. It's rare for bull phases to end when optimism is at its highest point. The same goes for bear phases,
but that is less consistent - sometimes a bear will end in panic and both price and sentiment will bottom at the same
time.
1 What to watch for: Divergences with breadth figures; "This time is different" articles; arrogance from bullish commentators; proliferation of new
types of funds; closing of long-time funds that are not fully invested.
2 What to watch for: Divergences with breadth figures, doomsday prophesies on mainstream media, stocking up of staples among consumers,
heavy trading activity, ridicule of "knife catching" buyers.
3 Watch to watch for: Explosive price gains over 2-3 day periods; massive thrusts in market breadth; "Just another bear market rally" articles;
minimal pullbacks after short-term overbought readings

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Page 7 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Stock Sentiment Breakdown


Indicator Groups
December 15, 2014

Short-Term
Excess
Pessimism

Optix

Intermediate-Term
Excess
Optimism

25

Volatility

Excess
Optimism
48

Optix
40

40

Volatility

45

Options
Pressure

Excess
Pessimism

50

Options

35

45

Breadth

Oscillator

40

Surveys

TICK

40

C.O.T.

85
50
55

Shorts
Cash
Insiders
Rydex

80
45
95

% Of Indicators At An Extreme
50%
--- S&P 500

--- % Showing Excess Pessimism

--- % Showing Excess Optimism

40%

30%

25%
20%

19%

10%

@ Copyright sentimenTrader.com
0%
06/19/14
07/19/14
08/19/14

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09/19/14

Page 8 of 14

10/19/14

11/19/14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Stock Sentiment Breakdown


Breakdown Of Indicators At Extremes
December 15, 2014
Indicators Showing
Excess Pessimism Chart

Indicators Showing
Excess Optimism

Equity PutCall
IPOs
ISE Sentiment Index
Mutual Fund Flow (No ETFs)
New High / New Low - NYSE
Odd Lot Shorts
OEX PutCall
Risk Appetite Index
Rydex Beta Chase Index
Rydex Bull/Bear Spread
Secondary Offerings
Short-Term Optix
TICK - NYSE
Up Issues - NYSE
Up Volume - NYSE
VIX
VIX Term Structure

AAII Bull Ratio


Consensus Bulls
Dumb Money Confidence
Equity / Money Market Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash %
NAAIM Managers
Net Available Cash - NYSE
OEX PutCall Open Interest
Retail Money Market
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Money Market %
Rydex Ratio
SKEW Index

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Page 9 of 14

Chart

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Sector Optimism Indexes


100
90

55 100

Basic Materials

48

50

80

90

350

Biotechnology

70

300

80
45

70
60

40

50

250

70
60

200

50
35

40
30

30

20

150

40
30

100

20
25

10
XLB Optix
0
Nov-13

XLB

IBB Optix
20

Feb-14

100
90

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

0
Nov-13

90

72

65

IBB
0

Feb-14

75 100

Consumer Discretionary

80

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

55

Consumer Staples

54

50

80

70

55

60

45

70
60

50

45

40

40

50
35

40
35

30

30

20

25

10

30

20
25
10

XLY Optix
0
Nov-13

XLY
15

Feb-14

100
90

50
10

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

XLP Optix
0
Nov-13

20
Feb-14

105 100

Energy

47

95

80

90

XLP

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

30

Financials

66

25

80
85

70

70
75

60
50
40

65

50

55

40

30

20

60
15

10

30
45

20

20
35

10
XLE Optix
0
Nov-13

XLE

XLF Optix
25

Feb-14

May-14

Aug-14

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10

Nov-14

0
Nov-13

Page 10 of 14

XLF
0

Feb-14

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Sector Optimism Indexes


100

75

Health Care

62

90

100

64

90
65

80

36

Housing

34

80
32

70

55

60

70
30

60

50

45

40

50

28

40

26

35

30

30
24

20

25

10
XLV Optix
0
Nov-13

100
90

May-14

Aug-14

XHB Optix
Nov-14

70

Industrials

XHB
20

Feb-14

100

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

45

Technology

71

60
80
50

70
60

40

40

70
60

35

50

50
30

40
30

20

40

30

30
20

20
10
10
XLI Optix
0
Nov-13

Feb-14

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

44
47

80
70

42

60
50

XLK
20

Feb-14

May-14

Aug-14

Nov-14

22

Click here for a sortable table of the most active ETFs,


including these, and links to interactive charts.

32

30
20
10
XLU Optix

XLU
Aug-14

The Sector Optimism Indexes are based on sentiment


in the respective ETFs. This includes option market
activity, volatility expectations, premium/discount to
NAV, fund flows and price activity. The Indexes can
go from 0 (most pessimistic) to 100 (most optimistic).

27

40

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0
Nov-13

For most of them, sentiment above 70 can be


considered extreme optimism, after which the sector
tends to struggle. Sentiment below 30 tends to
indicate exreme pessimism, after which the sector
usually rallies. The box will turn red if the score is
above 70, and green if below 30.

37

May-14

10

52

Utilities

Feb-14

25
XLK Optix

XLI
0

100

0
Nov-13

0
Nov-13

90

42

80

90

22

10

XLV
15

Feb-14

20

Nov-14

Page 11 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Optimism Index Ranks


Sectors Ranked By
Lowest - Highest Optimism Index
Junior Gold Miners
Gold Miners
Oil Services
Industrials
Metals & Mining
Utilities
Energy
Basic Materials
Retail
Oil & Gas
Consumer Products
Semiconductors
REITs
Real Estate
Health Care
Homebuilders
Financials
Volatility
Biotechnology
Technology
Consumer Discretionary

Countries Ranked By
Lowest - Highest Optimism Index

23

Russia
Mexico
UK
Canada
Japan
Australia
Brazil
India
Spain
Emerging Markets
Italy
Germany
China
United States
France

33
41
42
42
44
47
48
53
54
54
55
55
61
62
64
66
68
70
71
72

13
21
30
35
35
38
38
38
41
41
43
50
51
52
55
Interactive List

Interactive List

Industries Ranked By
Lowest - Highest Optimism Index

Stocks Ranked By
Lowest - Highest Optimism Index

Holding Companies-Divers

25

Storage/Warehousing

27

Cullen/Frost 10

Trucking&Leasing

28

Sturm Ruger & Co 10

Machinery-Constr&Mining

Valmont Inds 7

32

Home Builders

Windstream Holdi 10

36

Dun & Bradstreet 12

Coal

38

Iron/Steel

39

Metal Fabricate/Hardware
Entertainment
Machinery-Diversified

Transocean Ltd 12
Now Inc

13

Rayonier Adv

13

43

Joy Global Inc

14

44

Liquidity Servic

14

41

54

Prudentl Finl

81

Lodging

55

Prologis Inc

81

Cosmetics/Personal Care

55

Mohawk Inds

82

Office Furnishings

56

On Assignment

82

56

Boston Propertie

83

58

United Tech Corp

84

Airlines

58

Delta Air Li

84

Advertising

58

Facebook Inc-A

85

Biotechnology

58

Viad Corp

86

REITS

Semiconductors
Real Estate

Textiles

Pericom Semicond

61

94

Interactive List

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Page 12 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


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Currency, Commodity And Bond Sentiment


Excess
Pessimism

Currency Futures

Grain Futures

British Pound

26

Corn

Canadian Dollar

25

Soybeans

Euro

38
27
55

Wheat

21
23

Swiss Franc
U.S. Dollar

80
17

Japanese Yen

Soft Futures
Cocoa

47

Coffee
Cotton

Energy Futures
Crude Oil
Heating Oil

43
20

Lumber

44
50

Orange Juice

24

Sugar

11

Natural Gas
Unleaded Gas

Excess
Optimism

Excess
Pessimism

Excess
Optimism

24

31
21

Meat Futures
Cattle

Metal Futures
Copper
Gold

25
29

Silver
Platinum

60

34

Hogs

42
30

Bond Futures
Eurodollar

25

2 Year

25
50

5 Year
38

10 Year

50

30 Year

Bond ETFs
72

TLT
56

BND
37

HYG
JNK
LQD

29
45

Interactive List

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Page 13 of 14

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

Disclosures
The data and analysis contained herein are provided as is and without warranty of any kind. Sundial Capital Research, Inc., its
employees, or any third-party data provider, shall not have any liability for any loss sustained by anyone who has relied on the information
contained in any publication published by Sundial Capital Research, Inc. No report shall be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
stock or security. This communication reects our opinions as of the date of this communication and will not necessarily be updated as
views or information change. Sundial Capital Research, Inc. and its respective employees may have lpositions in the securities discussed
herein and may purchase or sell such securities without notice. The information contained herein is believed to be accurate to the best of
our knowledge, and we make no guarantees that there will not be errors from ourselves or third-party data providers. We make every effort
to validate data integrity, but occassionally errors do occur and we subsequently make an effort to disclose that to subscribers. Further
distribution prohibited without prior permission.
The Correction Risk Level is a quick way to gauge what our indicators and studies are suggesting. The higher the risk, the more likely the
market is to decline. Another way to look at it is in terms of cash. If the Correction Risk Level is 0, then we would be more inclined to keep
0% of our portfolio in cash (i.e. we would be fully invested). But if the Correction Risk Level is 10, then we would be more inclined to keep
100% of our portfolio in cash (i.e. no exposure to stocks).
In both cases, we take the overriding trend of the market into account. If the indicators are showing excessive amounts of bearish opinion,
then the market is more likely to respond favorably to that if we're in a bull market, and the Correction Risk Level would be lower. But if
we're in a bear market, then bearish sentiment extremes are less reliable, and the Correction Risk Level would be a bit higher.
We take our studies into account as well. So if the indicators are murky, but we have some very compelling studies suggesting the market
should rally, then the Correction Risk Level might be lower than the indicators would suggest.
The default Correction Risk Level is 5, which is where it would be if there is no edge present among our indicators and studies.
We do not suggest using these Correction Risk Levels in any kind of mechanical way. They are meant to help support any existing
technical or fundamental research you may be doing. When the Correction Risk Level is very high, though, we do recommend backing off
on long positions or possibly considering short positions (especially during a bear market). For both time frames, aCorrection Risk Level
below 3 can be considered "low risk" while a level above 7 can be considered "high risk". The more extreme the Correction Risk Level, the
more likely the market will respond in a timely manner.
The most likely time for these Correction Risk Levels to fail is during a time of trend transition from a bull to bear market (or bear to
bull). That is often good information in itself - if the Correction Risk Level is very high, for example, but prices continue to rise, then that is a
heads-up that buyers are very interested, and we will likely see even higher prices going forward.

Short-Term Risk Level

Intermediate-Term Risk Level

The Risk Level travels on a scale of 0 (extremely


low risk) to 10 (extremely high risk). Based on our
study of indicators and technical movements, it
represents the risk to traders of a correction over
the next week.

The Risk Level travels on a scale of 0 (extremely low


risk) to 10 (extremely high risk). Based on our study
of indicators and technical movements, it represents
the risk to traders of a correction over the next 3
months.

S&P 500 Returns Past 3 Years

S&P 500 Returns Past 10 Years

Risk

Avg

Risk

Avg

Level

Return

Positive

Avg Max Avg Max


Loss

Gain

Level

Return

Positive

Loss

Gain

1.6%

64%

-6.0%

8.6%

7.3%

100%

-0.2%

8.3%

3.8%

62%

-3.5%

6.6%

2.3%

73%

-1.4%

2.5%

5.3%

77%

-3.5%

7.4%

0.1%

52%

-1.4%

1.5%

5.4%

70%

-5.3%

8.2%

1.0%

70%

-1.0%

2.0%

2.7%

63%

-3.6%

4.8%

0.3%

56%

-1.1%

1.1%

2.6%

65%

-4.7%

5.8%

0.4%

59%

-0.8%

1.1%

1.5%

56%

-5.6%

4.8%

0.4%

66%

-0.7%

1.1%

1.1%

58%

-5.2%

5.0%

0.3%

57%

-1.4%

1.7%

0.8%

54%

-3.8%

4.0%

-6.9%

25%

-11.9%

3.5%

10

10

-4.0%

39%

-12.3%

2.8%

RE-DISTRIBUTION NOT ALLOWED


WITHOUT PRIOR CONSENT

Page 14 of 14

Avg Max Avg Max

@ Copyright 2014 Sundial Capital Research, Inc.


No content contained in this report is intended as
a solicitation to buy or sell securities in any form.

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