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since in the problem it is given that there is at least a 0.75 chance that the number of
defective chips
we have p{10-9k< X<10+9k } 0.75
i.e 1-(1/k2) =0.75
1/k2=1-.75
1/k2=0.25
Therefore
k2=4
K=2
b. Three soft drink users will have to be interviewed to find the first Gatorade drinker.
Solution:
Using Bayes theorem of probability this problem can be efficiently solved.
Let c1 c2 c3 denote command of Gatorade, Coco-Cola's Power& Pepsi's All Sport.
Let A denotes the drink users.
Then p(c1)=p(c2)=p(c3)=1/3
P(A/c1)=0.80
P(A/c2)=0.11
P(A/c3)=0.03
a).p(c1/A)={p(c1)*p(A/c1)}/ { P(ci)*P(A/ci)} where i=1,2,3
therefore
p(c1/A)={0.33*0.80}/{0.33*0.80+0.33*0.11+0.33*0.03}
=0.2640/0.3102 = 0.85107
b).let c denote the total probability to find Three soft drink users will have to be
interviewed to find the first Gatorade drinker.
P(C/A)= P(c1/A)+P(c2/A)+p(c3/A)
p(c1/A)={0.33*0.80}/{0.33*0.80+0.33*0.11+0.33*0.03}=0.85107
p(c2/A)={0.33*0.11}/{0.33*0.80+0.33*0.11+0.33*0.03}=0.0363/0.3102=0.1170
p(c3/A)={0.33*0.03}/{0.33*0.80+0.33*0.11+0.33*0.03}=0.0093/0.3102=0.0028
P(C/A)= P(c1/A)+P(c2/A)+p(c3/A)=0.85107+0.1170+0.0028=0.97095
Hence the total probability is 0.97095