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Culture Documents
Saudi Arabia
by
A. M. Arafah1,
G. H. Siddiqi2
and
A. Dakheelallah3
ABSTRACT
Extreme value analysis of wind data in the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia is described.
Probabilistic models of wind
behavior at twenty stations are generated which yield the
basic design wind speeds for a given recurrence interval
in fastest mile units. The models are verified by the Chisquare and Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit tests at 5
percent significance level. Basic design wind speeds are
calculated at each station and an isotach map of design
speeds for a 50 year mean reccurrence interval is
presented. The information obtained allows evaluation of
design wind loads by the ANSI A58.1 procedure.
___________________
1Asistant
Professor, Department of
Engineering, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Civil
Engineering,
College
of
2Associate
Professor, Department of
Engineering, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Civil
Engineering,
College
of
3Postgraduate
Civil
Engineering,
College of
Student, Department
Engineering, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
of
INTRODUCTION
Wind loads, among the other design loads, are crucial
for the design of structures such as tall buildings,
towers, radar and communication antennas.
This paper
considers the reliability and homogeneity aspects of the
wind data and studies the distribution of extreme annual
wind speeds over the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to obtain a
rational basis for the evaluation of wind induced loads
according to American National Standards Institute's Code
for design loads, ANSI A58.1-19821.
RELIABILITY AND HOMOGENEITY OF DATA
In order for the wind speed data to provide useful
information it must be reliable and form a homogeneous
set.
Measured
data
are
considered
reliable
if
the
recording instruments are adequately calibrated and are
not exposed to local effects due to proximity of
obstructions.
However, if at any time in future the
calibration is found to be inadequate, it is possible to
evaluate the corrections and adjust the data.
Measured data form a homogeneous set when they are
obtained under identical conditions of averaging time,
height above ground and roughness of the surrounding
terrain.
Averaging Time
The data averaged over short intervals, like highest
gust, 5 second average etc., in certain cases, can be
affected by stronger than usual local turbulence, which
results in distorted picture of the mean winds. Averaging
over longer periods like 5 or 10 minutes is, therefore,
desirable.
Isotach Map
An individual extreme value model for a station
predicts the BDW speeds at various recurrence intervals at
the station. The speeds at a network of stations form the
three dimensional input data to a contouring software
which plots isotachs (lines of equal wind speed) over the
geographic region. BDW speed at a chosen location can be
interpolated from this map.
Wind Induced Forces
Most codes translate the BDW speed to an equivalent
static wind load intensity which varies over the height of
a given structure.
This procedure accounts for type of
"terrain exposure" facing the structure, shape and form of
the structure, and its "importance" and other related
factors.
DATA PROCESSING
The data comprising of the largest annual wind speeds
available
with
the
Meteorological
and
Environmental
Protection Agency (MEPA) include records varying over
periods of three to thirty three years measured at twenty
eight stations well distributed over the Kingdom. Twenty
of these stations have records over a continuous duration
of fifteen or more years which is desirable for the
probabilistic analysis involved here.
These stations
along with the anemometer heights and duration of their
record are listed in Table 1 and considered in this study.
It is presumed that the anemometers at all the
weather stations in the Kingdom are situated in open
country environments throughout their period of commission
and
that
they
are
well
maintained
and
adequately
calibrated.
However, if at any time in future, it is
Table 1.
can
be
FV () = exp [ - exp ( -
(1)
the
exp
parameters
and
)] !
(2)
are
parameter3.
the
values
of
cumulative
density
function,
(3)
inverse
function
of
FV()
is
known
as
the
is
linear
relation
(4)
between
(F)
and
the
(5)
distribution
1)
2)
type
3)
4)
5)
6)
7)
8)
Table 2
---------------------------------------------Station
Type
u ()
()
(1)
(2)
(2)
---------------------------------------------Badana
I
59.54
11.37
Bisha
I
51.16
8.73
Dhahran
I
45.95
4.90
Gassim
I
63.19
11.59
Gizan
I
53.48
11.59
Hail
II
53.52
7.99
Jeddah
I
48.59
6.44
Jouf
I
56.88
7.09
Khamis-Mushiat
I
42.05
7.58
Madina
I
45.34
9.87
Najran
II
47.94
8.03
Hafer-Albatin
I
57.46
6.66
Riyadh
II
51.98
7.57
Rafah
I
55.26
7.27
Sulayel
II
51.22
6.55
Tabuk
II
54.54
8.05
Taif
I
51.36
8.68
Turaif
I
56.53
8.19
Wajh
I
47.17
8.21
Yanbu
I
46.58
6.68
---------------------------------------------(1)
(2)
which means,
FV() = exp [ - exp ( - ( ] ) ) !
On the other hand, in Riyadh, the
extreme wind speeds were found to
extreme Type II given by,
Fv() = exp
)] !
MODEL VERIFICATION
The
models obtained are checked by the Chi-square and
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) goodness-of-fit tests at 5 percent
significance level. The calculated values of the statistic
D1 for the Chi-Square and D2 for Kolmogrov-Smirnov
goodness-of-fit tests are listed in Table 3 along with the
corresponding critical values, D1c and D2c , at 5 percent
significance
level.
The
results
indicate
that
the
calculated values of D1 are below the critical values at
sixteen stations. At the remaining four stations, Dhahran,
Jouf, Hafer Al-batin and Yanbu, they however, exceed the
critical limits. Such a result, when several events are
clustered in one wind speed interval, is expected in Chisquare analysis. On the other hand, the calculated values
of statistic D2 are less than the critical values at all
the stations which indicates that the models are acceptable
at 95 percent confidence level.
Table 3
(6)
wind
with
return
period
of
years,
the
(7)
mean
specified
recurrence
accepted
interval
risk
or
the
percentage
return
and
period
design
for
service
N = !
(8)
However,
and
property
in
the
case
of
failure,
are
to
be
Table 4.
Weather Stations
Intervals.
for
Different
Mean
Recurrence
Fig. 1
Isotach, in mile per hour, annual fastestmile, 33 feet above ground for exposure C,
with 50-year mean recurrence interval.
The maximum basic design wind speed of 107.2 mph, for 50year mean recurrence interval, is obtained at Gassim
Station, while the minimum of 65.1 mph is obtained at
Dhahran.
The ANSI-prescribed minimum of 70 mph is
exceeded at all stations excepting Dhahran.
REFERENCES
1- American National Standard Building Code Requirements
for Minimum Design Loads in Buildings and Other
Structures,
A58.1,
American
Institute, New York, NY, 1982.
National
Standards
Simiu,
E.
and
Filliben,
J.J.,
"Probability
Distributions of Extreme Wind Speeds", Journal of the
Structural
Division,
ASCE,
Vol.
102,
No.
ST9,
September 1976, pp. 1861-1877.
5-
6-
Simiu,
E.,
and
Scanlan,
R.,
Structures,
Second
Edition,
Publication, New York, 1986.
Wind
Effects
on
Wiley-Interscience