WHAT IS THE FRESH-LOOK DEFINITION

FOR RISK?
By © Copyright 2009 Andres Agostini (Andy)

Robert Kennedy: The past is not the script of the

future…Future is not a gift; it is a daily conquest.

RISK, What is it from a unique, new perspective? RESPONSE: Chiefly

but not always, risk is pent-up energy. Pent-up energy waiting to
becoming constructive or destructive or both. What type of energy

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does risk entail? RESPONSE: Mostly, KINETIC ENERGY (the energy
possessed by a body because of its motion [or temporarily paused
motion], equal to one half the mass of the body times the square of
its speed).

As any ENERGY, it is within its nature to get transformed and

transformed and transformed endlessly. To get transformed into a
lucrative initiative, the unleashing-process is scientifically stewarded,
so that ENERGY (as it contained in RISK) makes a successful
(optimum) landing in the ‘right quadrant’ (so to speak, meaning
superseding NASA’s greatest expectations by far. I immediately
explain why NASA has to be in this example). By way of example and
in this occurrence, let’s cite when NASA’s Rover made it over-
perfectly on Mars. How do you like that? This is the accomplishment
of an UPSIDE RISK. UPSIDE RISK is always fruitful and
advantageous.

When the unleashing of the kinetic energy is not known or it has not
been identified and controlled or when the management is
ineffectual (because it is not scientific enough), it takes place
towards the antipodes. This is the accomplishment of a DOWNSIDE

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RISK. DOWNSIDE RISK is always fruitless and disadvantageous. THE
GOOD SIDE OF THE PROBLEMATIC OUTCOME IF THAT ENGENDERS
NEW KNOWLEDGE AND HEIGHTENS AWARENESS. There is also an
additional issue when the DOWNSIDE RISK crystallizes into a
disruption or a loss. I will explain ASAP. The come-true DOWNSIDE
RISK has a huge magnitude as the Global Financial and Economic
Crises (GFCAC) overwhelmingly verify. Then, it starts to attract other
unbeneficial RISKS. How?

RESPONSE: Such a milestone as the case study spoken of makes all-

kinds of people bewildered, frightened, and sometimes paralyzed.
Paralysis is in this arena an extra terrible characteristic. Actions are
paralyzed because the mind is terrorized by those biblical-proportion
tragedies. If the GFCAC got the minds of the world’s dignitaries in
stalled—and that of the supporting system of staff of such
dignitaries, How do these people respond effectively and
efficaciously, say, to (a) Bombardments by anarchists, (b) Pandemic
flu, (c) Global climate, (d) Over population, (e) Extremely-worsened
Poverty—globally, so forth?

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Once a pre-existential downside risk is brought into existence, all
resources start to fall short. To begin with and recapping, the
dignitaries’ minds get inattentive and jammed to hold a veritable
consideration of a second or a third global crises at the same time
(energy, wars, failed states, maritime piracy, petroleum dictators,
etc.). And the good aspect of it is that we have an arsenal of
technological tools, like never before, to make Earth better.
Obviously, the 700-billion inhabitants of the globe—in one or other
magnitude as it depends on his / her resource availability— each
other must industriously and instantly help to get back to a decent
life, globally.

“Omniscience is the only salvation of Earth (a) if stringent and

absolute morality and ethics are universally practiced by the totality
of individuals, and (b) if, concurrently, the 700-billion inhabitants
collaborate lavishly and fluidly with each other. I am still a realistic
with a touch of optimism. Said optimism will come true and grow if
people become honest, compassionate, and helpful to each others,
as well as when solidarity among each other is practiced universally.
My optimism would raise the highest bar if the greatest majority of
the 700-billion would become ‘good Samaritans’ genuinely. ” –

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Andres Agostini “Andy” (Jan/24/2009), 4:23 p.m. – Arlington,
Virginia, USA at www.AgostiniWorks.blogspot.com

The most important resources, shared by everyone in different

degrees, are the Intellectual Capital. Resources like trained ‘first
responders’ are crucial. So is it with physical and digital
infrastructure. Spiritual Capital is the perfect spouse of said
“Intellectual Capital.” We must own the whole package without
preconditions.

There is an even more important resource. Without it, the population

of Earth can have a true ‘reality-check’ of how life is after life. What
resource is that? RESPONSE: The Moral, Ethical, and Spiritual
Capital! If humankind does have it and use it through its entirety, it
got some chances. If humankind does not have it, go pray or
meditate until the very last, forthcoming ‘reality-check’ talked about
earlier. Even with the most splendorous omniscience marshaled in
‘omni mode’ mode, grave and universal violations to morality, ethics,
as well as the pontification and application of corruption, said
omniscience cannot prevent us from delighting us with a visit,
without return, to life after life.

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Amorality and immorality, beyond and above the banks and the stock
markets of the world (and beginning with WORLDWIDE ‘Main
Streets’), will ascertain the ultimate struggle to each and every
specie on the face of Earth. IF WE, THE MOST-ADVANCED
HOMINOIDS WISH IT TO BE OTHERWISE AND INSTILL VIABILITY
TO OUR ONLY SPACECRAFT (THAT ONE THAT HOUSES THE 700-
BILLION PEOPLE), THERE IS A MUCH BETTER CHANGE, NOT AN
IMPEACHABLE GUARANTEE THOUGH. QUESTION: WHAT WILL BE
YOUR OWN ELECTION ON BEHALF OF CIVILIZATION FOR THE
GREATER GOOD OF ALL LIVING CREATURES ON THIS SPACESHIP,
EARTH? RESPONSE: I just wonder, to be a bit kind to the reader!

In attempting to formulate futuristic scenarios –whereas one is

expected to be practicing a drill from its furthest hindsight through
plausible and even implausible foresight-driven outcomes (known or
unknown ones, weirdest or not), there are many errors in the
process. BUT WE MUST ALWAYS REMEMBER THAT ERRORS ARE
THE ULTIMATE LEARNING DEVICES AVAILABLE TO US. Clearly and
only, if we register, document, and extract knowledge from said
errors as a matter of a systematic habit brought into robust
execution. ‘Futuristic scenarios’ practiced and ‘futures’ drilled are the
landmark foundation to formulating a robust program of

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contingencies (countermeasures for the thinkable, unthinkable,
expected, and/or unexpected).

Accelerating the ‘error making’ cycle–especially of those not so

expensive undertakings–, allow the researcher, experimenter, and
tester to capture more and more knowledge. Knowledge that is
subject to falsification (à la Popper) or verification or amplification as
it is deeply analyzed with other already applicable scientific truths.

Then, besides learning, one also becomes aware that must (a) get
more and more prepared through the approach of omniscience (a
bold effort to be made for good), and (b) that, in getting really
prepared, his / her contingency planning will never be farfetched
and/or too-farsighted in THESE TIMES OF THE ‘EVER-
INCREASINGLY’ UNTHINKABLE ONES. THE UNTHINKABLE ONES
WILL GET INCREASINGLY MORE AND MORE UNTHINKABLE. LET’S
PAUSE THE GIRLIE CRY, GET PREPARED FOR AND USED TO THE
WORSE. THE BRIGHT SIDE WILL ILLUMINATE A NEWLY-NASCENT
ILLUSTRATION EON!

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RISK, in general and by the public at large, is traditionally
exceedingly underestimated. The mentioned underestimation carries
with it a perpetually life-to-death disruption potential. By the way,
this FUTURE has made a point of honor to demolish the traditions of
times from the PAST and PRESENT. I am not sorry since Earth is not
my invention. I disseminate onerous ideas and reflections for the
greater good if that’s feasible at all.

What are the fundamental questions and reflections we are failing to

formulate? What possible changes do we need to prepare for? Is
there a toolbox to solving the challenges spoken of here? YES,
ADVANCED RISK MANAGEMENT WITH THE OMNISCIENCE
PERSPECTIVE—AND THROUGH MORALITY, ETHICS, AND
PRINCIPLES—CAN TURN SOME IMPOSSIBLES, AS WELL AS SOME
DISRUPTING POTENTIALS, INTO VIABLE ONES. That is, if there is
not a major catastrophe in the world taking place and if the
application of this discipline is instituted universally, literally by the
totality of the population (clearly, with a variety of degrees through
such application). If said ‘advanced risk management with the
omniscience perspective…’ can, to a considerable extent, save
civilization, HOW DO WE DISCUSS OUR WORLDWIDE

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CIVILIZATION’S CHALLENGES IN A USEFUL AND CONSTRUCTIVE
WAY?

INCIDENTALLY: “Concerning the FUTURE, the PRESENT is always

naïve, timid, and pathologically passive.” –Andres Agostini (Andy)

By © Copyright 2009 Andres Agostini (Andy)

May 21, 2009 -Arlington, Virginia, USA
www.AgostiniWorks.blogspot.com